MLB

Hump day!  With it being Wednesday, that will mean we have multiple slates today.  I’ll be focused on the main slate of games starting at 7 pm EST.  This slate is loaded with options for pitching.  We’ll need to make the decision if we’re going to go with double barreled aces or go with one high priced pitcher and one value pitcher so we can grab some Coors’ bats. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Luis Gil ($10.3k on DK) vs. Los Angeles Angels

The Yankees have themselves a second ace on this staff to complement Gerrit Cole.  While Cole has been out, Luis Gil has been the ace of this staff.  He’s putting together a phenomenal season so far.  He’s currently sporting an ERA of 2.11 on the year and has a massive 11.39 K/9.  Over the last month, he’s been dominant.  His K% over the last 30 days is an astounding 31%.  That is tops of anyone throwing tonight. 

He’s also barely giving up any hard contact as his hard-hit rate over the last month is just 23.5%.  A matchup against the Angels is not one that we should be concerned with and he should continue to play to his 22.9 DK average easily tonight.  Look for him to be one of the top scoring pitchers on this slate. 

Seth Lugo ($9.6k on DK) vs. Minnesota Twins

If the AL Cy Young Award were given today, Seth Lugo would be one of the leading candidates.  In his first year with Kansas City, Lugo has been a force to be reckoned with.  Through his first 11 starts this season, Lugo is sporting a 1.74 ERA and a WHIP of just .97.  Both are career-best numbers and while I’m sure we’ll see some negative regression at some point, I just don’t see it happening against this Twins lineup. 

They have some pop, but this lineup is also one that can be had.  Over the last 2 season, the projected lineup for the Twins has a K rate of over 25% vs. righties.  I really like this spot for Lugo tonight to continue to put up strong numbers. 

The other pitchers I like tonight will be Shota Imanaga vs. Milwaukee, MacKenzie Gore vs. Atlanta, Alek Manoah vs. Chicago, and Justin Verlander vs. Seattle.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chris Flexen

After the Blue Jays put up a 7 spot for us last night, I’m going right back to the well with them tonight.  This is an even tastier matchup for us tonight as the Blue Jays take on Chris Flexen. If you’ve read my articles in the past, you know I love picking on our boy Flexen.  Over the last month, Flexen has been terrible.  Actually, we really could say since 2022 that Flexen has been terrible.  Over his last 3 starts, Flexen has allowed 14 ER.  His WHIP of 1.4 over the last month is one that we should exploit. 

He’s putting a ton of runners on each game.  He’s also giving up a ton of contact at more than 81% over his last 24 innings of work.  With Flexen, we don’t really need to worry about splits.  Both sides of the plate have wOBA’s approaching .350 over the last 30 days.  Lefties have hit for a bit more power though, but again, he’s been bad against both sides.

Core Bats: Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette, Davis Schneider

Secondary Bats: George Springer

Value Bats: Isiah Kiner-Falefa, Cavan Biggio, Kevin Kiermaier

Cleveland Guardians vs. Ty Blach

I normally try to avoid putting a Coors team in one of my top stacks, but this is just such a solid spot for the Cleveland tonight.  Ty Blach has just a 4.15 ERA over the last month, but it’s that low due to some luck.  He’s been getting hit as hard as anyone in baseball over the last 30 days.  His hard-hit rate against him is a whopping 38%.  Blach also has allowed a 91% contact rate.  That’s just an insane number of hard-hit balls that are being put into play against him. 

No one, and I mean literally no one on this slate is giving up anywhere near as close to the amount of hard contact as Blach.  That sets up great for a team that is currently smashing the ball and one that is dominant against lefties.  We’ll want to focus on the righties here as Blach has given up a .442 wOBA against them in May. 

Core Bats: Tyler Freeman, David Fry, Jose Ramirez

Secondary Bats: Andres Gimenez, Josh Naylor, Austin Hedges

Value Bats: Johnathan Rodriguez, Gabriel Arias

Other stacks I like tonight will be the White Sox  vs. Alek Manoha, Astros vs. George Kirby, and Royals vs. Bailey Ober

Favorite Home Run Props

Kyle Tucker +390 on FD

Cal Raleigh +285 on FD

David Fry +560 on FD

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

Hope you all had a great MDW. I also hope you were able to take some time to reflect on the memories of those who served and are no longer with us.  Tonight we have ourselves a nice-sized 10-game slate of MLB DFS.  We have some solid pitching.  We also have some really great spots for bats.  It’s shaping up to be a really fun slate that can take us in a few different directions. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Freddy Peralta ($10.5k on DK) vs. Chicago Cubs

One has to wonder if Craig Counsell is having second thoughts about his decision to bolt Milwaukee for Chicago.  The Cubs are losers of 5 straight and playing some very average to below-average baseball.  They have a 29% k rate over the last week while scoring just 16 runs.  On the other end of the spectrum, we have the Brewers owning a 4.5-game lead over the said Cubbies and playing some really solid baseball this season.  I’m going to attack the Cubs tonight with Peralta.  Peralta continues to pitch well. 

On the year, Peralta has a 3.81 ERA and xFIP lower than that at 3.26.  He did face this Cubs team a few weeks ago and was hampered by control as he walked 6.  We’ve seen him reel back the command as over his last 3 outings he has just 3 combined walks.  If that trend of command continues tonight, he has immense upside against a team striking out quite a bit right now.  He’s my favorite pay-up pitcher tonight. 

Kevin Gausman ($8.5k on DK) vs. Chicago White Sox

I have nothing but love for the city of Chicago.  That said, I will more than likely be picking on both teams from that city tonight.  I hope the weather holds out for us tonight because this is a great spot for Kevin Gausman.  Over his last 4 starts, Gausman has struck, out 30 batters for an average of nearly 7 per game.  He’s also coming off his best start of the year, a start that saw him K 10 Tigers and only allow a single run to score across 6 innings of work.  His xFIP in May is a very solid 2.52 and he gets to face a White Sox team that is striking out a ton. 

Over the last week, the White Sox have a 30% K rate and have scored just 22 runs.  There’s a weather risk here but it does look like this game should be able to be played after a delay to start the game.  If it does, Gausman makes a great pairing with Peralta where we’ll still be able to get nearly $3.9k per hitter tonight.

The other pitches I like tonight will be Zack Wheeler vs. San Fran, Dane Dunning vs. Arizona, Matt Waldron vs. Miami (he’s my fallback guy in the event Tor/CHW gets PPD), and Cole Ragans vs. Minny.  My one concern with Wheeler is that the Giants do not strike out a ton.  They have just a 21% K rate vs. righties this season and just a 21% k rate over the last week.  I’m not paying $11k for a pitcher against a team that lowers his ceiling.  

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Mike Clevinger

I really hope this game plays tonight.  Not just because I like Gausman here, but I also really like the Toronto bats.  Clevinger has not fared well this season.  Through his 4 starts, he owns a 6.75 ERA and an xFIP over 5.  Out of the 4 starts, only one has seen him leave after giving up less than 3 ER.  In the games he’s started, the White Sox have given up 8 runs in half of them.  With a matchup against a Blue Jays team that is finally hitting well, that means we have a struggling pitcher vs. a team on a roll. 

Only 4 teams have scored more runs than the Blue Jays over the last week.  Clevinger also lines up perfectly for this Blue Jays team.  This season, righties have a .778 slugging % vs. him and a .540 wOBA.  He should face a Blue Jays lineup where the heart and soul is righty.

Core Bats: Bo Bichette, Vlad Guerrero, Davis Schneider, Danny Jansen – listed in order of preference.

Secondary Bats: George Springer, Daulton Varsho

Value Bats: Isiah Kiner-Falefa

New York Yankees vs. Griffin Canning

If ever there was a pitching that was skating on thin ice, it’s Griffin Canning.  Canning’s xFIP is more than 2.5 runs higher than his ERA.  When I see that large of a delta, I anticipate that there will be some regression coming.  In Canning’s case, there are plenty of indicators that lead me to believe that it’s coming, and it’s coming tonight vs. the Yankees.  He’s a low strikeout pitcher that is giving up loads of hard contact and has an extremely low BABIP of just .205.  He’s also giving up a fly-ball rate of nearly 46%.  He’s also given up 8 barrels over his last 27 innings of work. 

There are warning flags everywhere for Canning.  A lot of the regression I see coming is going to be against righties.  He has a higher BB/9 than K/9 against righties this season at home and righties at home also have just a .185 BABIP.  I’m loading up on Yankees righties today with the hope the regression happens today.

Core Bats: Judge, Soto, and Stanton

Secondary Bats: Volpe, Verdugo

Value Bats: Wells, LeMahieu

I also like the Phillies vs. Spencer Howard, Guardians vs. Ryan Feltner (keep in mind, he’s actually been better at home this season than away from Coors), and Mariners lefties vs. Hunter Brown.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

Cheers to a healthy and happy holiday weekend.  I’m going to focused on the 9-game slate of MLB DFS starting at 1 pm EST today.  It’s a fun-looking slate that is void of top-end pitching.  The most expensive pitcher on this slate is just $9.3k on DK.  That will mean we should have plenty of cash lying around for whatever bats we’ll want to use. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Brady Singer ($9.3k on DK) vs. Tampa Bay Rays

This Rays team is not the same Rays teams of years past.  Sitting at 2 games under.500, it’s going to be a struggle for them.  Mainstays like Randy Arozarena and  Brandon Lowe are off to horrific starts this season and that has contributed to the very slow start for the Rays.  Over the last week, this Rays team has scored just 15 runs while striking out at a decent 26% clip.  Until they right the ship, we’ll want to attack them with pitching. 

We’ll do so today with a pitcher that is pitching lights out this season.  Singer is so far 4-2 this season with an ERA of just 2.70.  His FIP and xFIP both tell us that this isn’t a fluke, and that he’s actually pitching well.  His K/9 is the highest of his career and his BB/9 is near the lowest number he’s ever put up.  He’s averaged 19 DK points this season and I don’t see a reason why he shouldn’t get that and more this afternoon.

Reese Olson ($7.1k on DK) vs. Toronto Blue Jays

This is a Blue Jays team that can be had.  Although they’ve had some games this week where they’ve put up big numbers, they are an average lineup when you look past guys like Vlad Guerrero and Bo Bichette.  I think that Reese Olson continues with this strong pitching today in this matchup.  If we take out his last start he left early, he’s been dominant. 

He has just one start this season where he’s given up more than 2 ER.  While he isn’t a high strikeout pitcher, at his price we’re only looking for someone that can get 5-6 K’s and go around 6-7 innings.  If we look at what he’s done this season, he 100% can do that again today in this matchup. 

The only other pitcher that I have any interest in will be Reynaldo Lopezvs. Pittsburgh Pirates. 

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Kansas City Royals vs. Aaron Civale

You have to respect what the Royals are doing this season.  At 33-19, they are one of just 6 teams who have crossed the 30-win total this season.  They are hitting well, pitching well, and fielding well.  They should continue to play well today in a great matchup vs. a struggling pitcher in Aaron Civale.  Civale is coming off a start that saw him walk 4 hitters and give up 4 ER in just 5 innings of work.  He’s a low strikeout pitcher that is giving up a ton of hard contact. 

Civale has given up 7 barrels over his last 24 innings and hasn’t given up less than 47 hard-hit rate in any of his May starts.  I fully expect him to continue with his struggles this afternoon.  We’ll want to prioritize lefties here as his numbers against them are horrid.  That doesn’t mean we skip over Bobby Witt Jr though as he will always be in play. 

Core Bats: Bobby Witt Jr, Vinnie Pasquantino, Michael Massey

Secondary Bats: Sal Perez, Nelson Velazquez

Value Bats: Kyle Isbel, MJ Melendez

Boston Red Sox vs. Colin Rea

Colin Rea is coming into this one on the heels of his worst start of the year.  In his last outing against the Astros, he went just 4 innings and gave up 5 ER.  It wasn’t an anomaly as this was his third straight start giving up at least 3 ER.  He’s been wildly inconsistent this season as he’s thrown a couple of gems, but more often than not he’s struggled.  He’s well on his way to setting a career-high in barrels allowed and his barrel % is also the highest of his career. 

Based on pitch type and also handedness, this is a bad matchup for Rea.  He really struggles against lefties as they have a .491 slugging % and .366 wOBA against him.  Those are significantly worse than what righties are doing against him.  He’s set to face a lineup today that should have at least 5 lefties in it. 

Core Bats: Rafael Devers, Jarren Duran

Secondary Bats: Tyler O’Neill, Connor Wong

Value Bats: Wilyer Abreu, Dominic Smith, David Hamilton

Other stacks I like tonight will be the Orioles vs.Erick Fedde, Tigers vs. Jose Berrios, and Astros vs. JP Sears. 

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

TGIF!  It’s Friday and that means we’ll have a big slate.  Tonight, we’ll have an 11-game slate of MLB DFS. This slate brings us the potential NL ROY/Cy Young favorite in Shota Imanaga.  It also brings us the hottest team in the league heading to Coors Field where they are certain to put up a big number.  This slate will have a little bit of everything for us. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Shota Imanaga ($11k on DK) vs. St. Louis Cardinals

While the Cardinals are starting to play a little bit better, they’re still an aging team with many flaws.  It’s taken an 8-2 run over the last 10 to get to 3 games under .500.  They are still a team that we should be attacking, and we’ll attack them with a pitcher who has been outstanding in his rookie season.  The Cubs rookie has been dealing, as evidenced by his .84 ERA.  While that isn’t sustainable, he does still have a fairly low xFIP at 3.14.  He’s due for some minor regression, but I doubt it comes tonight. 

He’s now made 9 starts at the Major League level and has only given up runs in 3 of the games.  He hasn’t had the easiest of schedules either as he’s shut down teams like the Braves, Padres, Red Sox, and Dodgers.  It’s baseball and there’s always a ton of variance, but this matchup doesn’t scare me off Imanaga.  Lock and load as your SP1.

Christopher Sanchez ($7.2k on DK) vs. Colorado Rockies

Yes, using a pitcher in Coor’s isn’t for the faint of heart.  It’s as tough of a place to pitch in as there is.  That said, he’s cheap and pitching well.  Christopher Sanchez is known as a groundball pitcher and when I opt to use a pitcher in Coors, that’s the profile I look for.  His GB rate over the last month is a staggering 56%, compared to just a 17% FB rate.  As long as he can continue to keep the ball on the ground, he should be able to pay off his salary tonight, providing us much-needed relief after spending up for Imanaga. 

Sanchez has averaged nearly 15k points this season and if he can get up to that number again tonight, 2x will be nice.  If he can manage to get into the 20s like he’s done in 2 of his last 3 outings, that will be even sweeter for us.  It’s not out of the question, especially against a team that blew 2 extra inning leads yesterday and is more than likely feeling down. 

Other pitchers that will be in my pool today will be Justin Verlander (very cheap) vs. Oakland Athletics and Zac Gallen vs. Miami Marlins. 

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

I’m not going to write up the Phillies as one of my top stacks today.  They are far and away in the best spot of any team tonight.  They are facing a pitcher that has an ERA of 5.4 over the last month and they are in Coors.   You don’t need me to tell you they are in play.  They are the obvious play of the day.  I’ll give you some other options in the event you want to be different.  I want to be different. 

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Braxton Garrett

Braxton Garrett has only thrown 2 games so far this season, and they’ve been terrible.  He’s given up 11 ER across his 2 outings, with one coming against my lowly New York Mets.  In just the 2 outings, he’s allowed a massive 43% hard-hit rate and has allowed 15 base runners across the 9 innings of work.  It’s going to be some tough sledding for him tonight as he’s facing off against a team that has crushed lefties this season. 

Against lefties, the Dbacks have a .810 OPS and a .353 wOBA.  They’ve been great and face a very beatable lefties.  I’m going to favor the righties here as Garrett has historically struggled vs. righties as they have a .337 wOBA vs. him throughout his career.

Core Bats: Ketel Marte, Christian Walker, Lourdes Gurriel

Secondary Bats: Corbin Carroll

Value Bats: Blaze Alexander, Randal Grichuk, Gabriel Moreno

Houston Astros vs. Ross Stripling

Houston, we have a problem.  That’s what it is going to be going through the minds of the A’s tonight.  After struggling to start the season, the Astros are finally playing some better baseball, winning 7 of their last 10 games.  A lot of this had been due to the stellar play of their 2 lefties in Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker.  Both of them have been tremendous of late and get a phenomenal matchup today vs. Ross Stripling. 

Stripling just isn’t a very good pitcher.  He’s now started 10 games this season and has only allowed less than 3 ER 3 times.  He’s allowed 4 or more runs in 4 of the starts.  Stripling is someone that we can always count on to give up some runs.  Tonight will be no different.  He just doesn’t miss enough bats to have any level of success anymore.  I’m not going to be overly concerned about splits here as he’s pretty terrible vs. both sides of the plate. 

Core Bats: Kyle Tucker, Yordan Alvarez, Jose Altuve

Secondary Bats: Alex Bregman, Jeremy Pena

Value Bats: Jake Meyers, Jon Singleton

Other stacks I like tonight will be the Orioles vs. Chris Flexen, Cubs vs. Miles Mikolas, and Angels vs. Logan Allen.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

It’s Hump Day, and for a change, we actually have one large slate today.  We’re blessed with a 10-game slate of MLB DFS tonight.  The sites smarted up and included the 6:40 games for us.  Tonight’s slate is a bit different than last night in that it includes so ace-level pitching.  We won’t need to look for scraps.  It also has some league-leading offenses that are in prime spots.  It’s going to be tough to fade a team like the Dodgers tonight. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Tyler Glasnow ($10.6k on DK) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

It’s going to be a pretty easy decision tonight to use Tyler Glasnow as my SP1.  Although the Diamondbacks aren’t a high strikeout team against righties, Glasnow is a pitcher where I don’t look too much into the other team’s strikeout creds.  He is a pitcher that will get his strikeouts, regardless of the opponent.  He’s coming into this game with 6 consecutive games having at least 8 K’s.  His K/9 on the season is sitting close to 12. 

That’s down a bit from years past but what is also down from year’s past is his BB/9. He’s had more control this season which has also meant he’s been able to go a little deeper into games.  Up until his last start, he had gone 4 consecutive starts going at least 6.  On the year, he’s gone at least 6 in all but 3 starts.  I’m locking him in as my SP1 tonight. 

Jared Jones ($9.6k on DK) vs. San Francisco Giants

Tonight’s going to be a night where I end up paying up for both pitchers and look for value with my bats.  I’m not a fan of the middle and low tiers.  That brings me to the Jared Jones.  Boy this Pirates franchise is set with the top of their rotation for years to come.  Between Jones and Paul Skenes, the Pirates have 2 of the most dynamic young pitchers in the game.  This is going to be the second time that Jones will be facing the Giants this season. 

In his first outing, he had just 3 K’s.  That should change tonight.  This is going to be the second time he’s faced a team a second time this season.  In his first outing vs. the Cubs, he k’d only 4 but he made adjustments and ended up K’ing 7 Cubs in his next outing.  I think he does something similar tonight vs. an average Giants lineup. 

Other pitchers that will be in my pool today will be Michael King vs. Cincinnati, Jesus Luzardo vs. Milwaukee, and Freddy Peralta vs. Miami. 

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Ryne Nelson

With every slate, I try my hardest to find a stack other than the Dodgers.  This is nothing against the Dodgers, it’s actually a complement.  They are just always in such a good spot that I normally want to get different.  It’s going to be hard tonight with how good of a spot they are in.  Ryne Nelson is really struggling right now.  Over his last 3 starts, he’s given up 15 ER.  He’s doing just about everything wrong. 

Hitters have a 40% hard-hit rate vs. him, he has a WHIP of 2.27, and he’s also given up 5 barrels in those 3 starts.  The only thing that he’s done well is the ability to keep the ball down.  Hitters have just a 26% FB rate vs. him.  If there’s a lineup that overcome his groundball tendencies, it’s the Dodgers. 

Core Bats: Freddie Freeman, Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts (listed in order of preference)

Secondary Bats: Will Smith, Teoscar Hernandez

Value Bats: Jason Heyward, Kike Hernandez

Texas Rangers vs. Taijuan Walker

Even though they’re playing the Phillies, we shouldn’t sleep on the Rangers today.  Taijuan Walker hasn’t looked overly sharp since making his season debut.  In just 4 starts, he’s managed to allow a slate high 12 barrels over the last month.  In the 22 innings he’s worked this season, he’s also allowed 5 homers and a 54% flyball rate.  Those are just really bad numbers and he really hasn’t faced much in the way offense.  He faced some below average offenses. 

Todays’ the first time he’s going to really face a solid offense and that may mean the floodgates open against him.  Another thing working in our favor here is that it’s going to be warm at game time in Philly and the wind is going to be blowing out to center.  Things could get ugly quickly for Walker today. 

Core Bats: Corey Seager, Nathaniel Lowe, Jonah Heim, Evan Carter

Secondary Bats: Marcus Semien, Adolis Garcia

Value Bats: Josh Smith, Travis Jankowski

Other stacks I like tonight will be the Phillies vs. Dane Dunning, A’s vs. Austin Gomber, White Sox vs. Chris Bassitt, and Rays vs. Brayan Bello

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!