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MLB DFS

MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for 7.30

scotthouston1971@yahoo.com 5 years ago

written by scotthouston1971@yahoo.com

Hopefully, you all were on the Discord last night to catch all of our discussions that lead to a very nice night of cashing! Let’s run it back today. The July 30th edition of Aces and Bases will take on the main MLB DFS slates on DraftKings and FanDuel.

The purpose of this article is to identify our top pitching plays and fades on the slate, in addition to our top offense stacks for your GPP lineups.

Please make sure you keep an eye on the weather and other factors as those are always important things to monitor when playing MLB DFS. Be sure to check out our MLB DFS Projections as well. Without further ado, it’s Aces and Bases time.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Best Value: Dylan Bundy ($8,200 DK / $8,200 FD)

Bundy had a great first showing this season striking out 7 while giving up just 1 run over 6.2IP. This was Bundy’s Angels debut and he immediately looks more comfortable using his arsenal. Everything seemed to be working, including his slider that FINALLY had increased usage (33%!).

Bundy gets a great chance to follow up his good start with a go at the Mariners today, where strikeouts will be plentiful.

Honorable Mentions: Ross Stripling

Top Ace(s): Shane Bieber ($9,800 DK / $10,700 FD)

Absolute domination on opening day. 14Ks an no earned runs. Bieber had it all going with 21 whiffs on the day and showcasing top tier fastball command. Great to see Bieber picked up where he left off last year and is match up proof until proven otherwise.

Honorable Mention: Dinelson Lamet

Punt Play: Robbie Ray ($7,100 DK / $7,900 FD)

Ray had his normal nasty stuff in his first outing, but he did not exhibit this new found control we were hearing about. The new shortened arm circle did seem to be real, but it did not bring the command I was hoping it would (so far). Ray is going to have a tough opponent in the Dodgers today, if the stuff is there he could hang though, and could provide some good value with a low draft %

Honorable Mention: Brady Singer

Top Fade: Jose Berrios ($10,200 DK / $9,000 FD)

Berrios has accrued some good name value while being a consistent arm with a good looking breaking ball. I don’t want to call him over rated, but I think his price is too high here. In Berrios’s opening day start against the White Sox he gave up 4 runs, while only strike out 1 and getting 1 measly swinging strike. Berrios needs to show us something before I believe in the $10k price tag.

Honorable Mention: J.A. Happ

MLB DFS: The Bases

There are a ton of different ways to build your offense on these big slates. Personally, I’m going to take a stand on a few offenses and call it a day. If you’re play MME style of GPPs, you can always get some exposure to more offenses, but for 3-Entry Max and Single Entry GPPs, I’m going to battle with a very limited player pool, as I really want to pick on a couple of starting pitchers and weaker bullpens.

We all know the importance of stacking when play MLB DFS GPPs, so here are my top stacks for the Thursday Main Slate.

Top Stacks

New York – I like both the Mets and the Yanks today. John Means is going for Baltimore and the Yankees have a lineup designed to kill left handed pitching. The Mets get Martin Perez, who couldn’t handle the aforementioned Orioles in his last start.

Los Angeles Angels – The Mariners have allowed at least 6 runs in each of the first 6 games of the season. The Angels put up a 7 spot last night and I don’t see a reason they cant repeat that tonight.

Value Stacks

Kansas City Royals – The Royals have been great stacks to start the season, incredibly cheap for the production they are providing and get another great opportunity against a weak Tigers staff today.
San Diego Padres – Another cheap option that has been hitting so far this year. Obviously it is easy to pick on the Giants, but I will continue to do so.

Monkey Knife Fight

Using the information above, you can even make some money on Monkey Knife Fight! As I said I like Shane Bieber in this spot and you can grab the over on his 5.5 strikeout prop!Check out how to play with our quick overview here.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter @TimmySigs and be sure to sign up for a ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

MLB DFS: Ace Day! Aces and Bases for 7.29

scotthouston1971@yahoo.com 5 years ago

written by scotthouston1971@yahoo.com

Hopefully, you all were on the Discord last night to catch all of our discussions that lead to a very nice night of cashing! Let’s run it back today. The July 29th edition of Aces and Bases will take on the main MLB DFS slates on DraftKings and FanDuel.

The purpose of this article is to identify our top pitching plays and fades on the slate, in addition to our top offense stacks for your GPP lineups.

Please make sure you keep an eye on the weather and other factors as those are always important things to monitor when playing MLB DFS. Be sure to check out our MLB DFS Projections as well. Without further ado, it’s Aces and Bases time.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Best Value: Chris Paddock ($8,400 DK / $9,700 FD)

Cowboy Chris Paddock gets a nice match up in San Francisco for a nice price here on DK, I do not like his price as much on Fan Duel though, as they have him the 3rd SP off the board. I can see Paddocks draft percentage getting higher as he looks like a great kicker to the high end guys.

Nevertheless, Paddock will be a good play throwing in a park where its easy to keep in the yard… especially when playing the giants.

Honorable Mentions: Andrew Heaney & Brandon Woodruff

Top Ace(s): Gerrit Cole $11,400 DK / $11,700 FD) & Jacob DeGrom ($12,000 / $11,200 FD)

I mean, obviously. Nose bleed prices for top end performance. Its easy to imagine that Cole will have double digit strikeouts against Baltimore.

The Red Sox however might be able to put up a tad bit of resistance, and if there ever was a time when DeGrom got beat, it was those three starts in April of last season, where he didn’t last more than 5 innings and had 3 or more Earned Runs in each start. Of course its not actually April, and I still believe the reigning Cy Young winner will roll. I may even set a couple Pocket Aces lineups today to see what the bats would have to look like.

Honorable Mention: Charlie Morton & Mike Soroka

Punt Play: Joe Musgrove ($5,300 DK / $6,700 FD)

My favorite part about Ace Day is the pure salary value provided. Musgrove had a pretty decent outing last week, 5.2IP/5h/3bb/3ER and 7Ks, and he is UNDER 6,000! Love this play tomorrow, great kicker to one of the top aces and can be paired with a value arm to load up on bats. The strikeout upside has always been there for Joe and its starting to come together. Musgrove’s second nod to hill will be to face a Brewers lineup that always seems to over perform.

Honorable Mention: Danny Duffy

Top Fade: Matthew Boyd ($9,000 DK / $8,400 FD)

Boyd looks like good value in the middle of the pack, and playing a sparse KC offense, but I am scared for Boyd and am staying away until I see that slider return home. Boyd hit two batters in the first inning and could not produce a single swinging strike until the 3rd inning! Nothing was working for Boyd and i’m very hesitant to roll him out today with all the other options available.

Honorable Mention: Rich Hill

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stacks

Los Angeles Dodgers – The Astros are missing their ace after Verlander went down last week, that leaves a hole in the rotation to be filled by Cristian Javier, a 23 year old who holds some great minor league strikeout numbers, but still needs work on his command.

Los Angeles Angels – Sticking in tinsel town, and picking on another youngster, the Angels get a good spot facing off the Mariners and Justin Dunn.

Value Stacks

Kansas City Royals – As I talked about above, Boyd looks lost right now, no real secondary pitch until that slider returns and a fastball that can not carry that situation.
San Diego Padres – Johnny Cueto loves to give up barrels, Tommy Pham loves to barrel the ball.

Thrive Fantasy

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5 years ago 0 comments

7/28 MLB DFS: The Fearless Five (DK GPP)

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

Baseball is back and I’ve got five hitters for you to consider in large-field DK GPPs for 7/28 MLB DFS, where it pays to be fearless!

7/28 MLB DFS – C Will Smith (DK $4,300) LAD @ HOU

If I’m spending up at catcher today, it’s for Smith, who sports a.410 road wOBA in his career and has a lofty .322 career ISO in 206 plate appearances.He’s a reliable power source who stands a good shot at going deep in MinuteMaid Park. We can find Wilson Ramos (DK $3,700) a little further down the pricelist and the punt play is probably Sal Perez (DK $2,800). But with plenty ofvalue on this slate I’ll leaning toward spending for the most pop at catcher.

7/28 MLB DFS – 1B Matt Olson (DK $4,600) OAK vs. COL

I love the Athletics’ lefty bats in this matchup, as Antonio Senzatelais a bit of a dumpster fire against LHBs – yielding a .394 wOBA and a walk rateover 11%. Olson is almost $1K cheaper than Pete Alonso ($DK $5,500) and has a decentcontact rate for a slugger. I’ll absolutely be rolling out shares of Alonso andMax Muncy (DK $4,000), and the latter comes at a big discount because the Astrosare starting lefty Framber Valdez – who, let’s be honest, may not last long inthis game.

7/28 MLB DFS – 2B Kike Hernandez (DK $3,000) LAD @ HOU

Kike is available at 2B and any of the three outfield positions onDK, so there’s a great deal of flexibility in fitting him in your lineups.There’s always a chance he comes out of the game in the later innings, but whathe can do in just an at bat or two facing a southpaw is very intriguing. Thepricing is very soft on some of these Dodgers bats, and I’ll be taking advantage.I do have some love for dirt-cheap 2B/OF Whit Merrifield (DK $3,800), but I’llbe happy to use him in an OF spot along with the Royals OF I’ll get to in aminute, and 2B/3B David Fletcher (DK $3,200) is another interesting optionleading off for the Angels, especially with that bevy of sluggers following him(Trout, Rendon, Upton, Ohtani, Pujols).

7/28 MLB DFS – SS Xander Bogaerts (DK $4,000) BOS vs. NYM

The price on Bogaerts is way too low, so I’m not going to overthinkthis one and just use him as my main SS on DK. You can make a case for AmedRosario (DK $5,100) in GPPs that feature Mets stacks, but I’ll be putting mostof my eggs in Xander’s basket tonight. And aside from Adalberto Mondesi (DK $3,400),I’m just not seeing much upside in the value guys.

7/26 MLB DFS – OF Jorge Soler (DK $3,700) KC vs. DET

I almost included Soler in yesterday’s column but decided to give Yelich a shot, and he respond by going yard – even if it was his only hit of the game. The multi-hit games are coming, and tonight could be the first of many. Merrifield-Soler-Mondesi-Perez-Ryan O’Hearn-Maikel Franco is a fine 1-6 stack against Detroit SP Rony Garcia, and I’d be happy to run it back with some Tigers bats in a full game stack. Spend-up one-offs include Trout (DK $6,000) and the much more moderately-priced Joey Gallo ($4,100), and Mookie Betts is in a fine spot for Dodgers stacks.

NOTE: Pitching worked out great last night as I got plenty of value from Glasnow and Wacha, but tonight is a much tougher proposition. I’m currently interested in value option Patrick Sandoval ($6,600) and pairing him with a mix of higher-priced options like Kyle Gibson and possibly even Walker Buehler – pitch count and tough matchup notwithstanding.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

I’m looking at the offense for the Royals-Tigers game, which s of post time didn’t have a line yet. I’ll take the 1-2 hitters for the Royals who were discussed in the column and Tigers leadoff hitter Niko Goodrum. 3x is risky, but these guys can easily rack up 17.5 fantasy points so you can get a big triple-up reward when you take down your Monkey Knife Fight bet.

Good luck!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @LouisLipps and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return.

Photo of Jorge Soler courtesy of Minda Haas Kuhlmann.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB Premium

MLB DFS: 7/28 Aces and Bases

brgrewe@gmail.com 5 years ago

written by brgrewe@gmail.com

Hopefully, you all were on the Discord last night to catch all of our discussions that lead to a very nice night of cashing! Let’s run it back today. The July 28th edition of Aces and Bases will take on the main MLB DFS slates on DraftKings and FanDuel.

The purpose of this article is to identify our top pitching plays and fades on the slate, in addition to our top offense stacks for your GPP lineups.

Please make sure you keep an eye on the weather and other factors as those are always important things to monitor when playing MLB DFS. Be sure to check out our MLB DFS Projections as well. Without further ado, it’s Aces and Bases time.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Best Value: Josh Lindblom ($5,100 DK / $6,100 FD)

If you want to load up on virtually any top-bats you’d like, well rostering Josh Lindblom is your way to doing so. It’s been quite some time since we’ve seen Lindblom in the MLB as he’s spent the last few years in the KBO. I don’t think Lindblom is a world-beater by any means, but he certainly has high strikeout upside (the 3.5K prop leads me to believe Vegas thinks otherwise) and should keep the ball in the yard.

Lindblom is a (-170) favorite facing off against a weak Pirate’s lineup who’s projected K-Rate sits right around 20%. Nothing spectacular there, but at this price, I’m going to have a lot of Lindblom and pray he keeps the walks down… because I believe that is the only way Pittsburgh would be able to knock him out early in the game.

Honorable Mention: Zach Davies

Top Ace(s): Walker Buehler ($11,300 DK / $10,500 FD) & Kyle Gibson ($9,700 / $8,200 FD)

This is one ugly slate. I’d love to jam in all of the Buehler (-130) I can, but he’s likely to be on a strict pitch limit, so if we use him, we need a lot of strikeouts. Most books are currently showing a K-Prop of only 5 strikeouts with slight juice on the over. That’s a bit concerning for me to pay top dollar for a limited Buehler, but he’s probably the safest pitcher on the slate.

Kyle Gibson (+101) is just another safer play who should keep the ball down against a Arizona squad who has only scored 7 runs thus far in the young season.

Honorable Mention: Honestly probably no one

Punt Play: Patrick Sandoval ($6,600 DK / $5,600 FD)

Did I mention that this slate is ugly? It’s setting up for a Patrick Sandoval (who’s also likely to be on a low pitch count) chalk night. He does have a respectable 4.5K prop with juice on the over, but I don’t like it. This slate is gross.

Honorable Mention: David Peterson

Top Fade: Merrill Kelly ($10,000 DK / $7,800 FD)

Kelly is $10,000 on DraftKings, lol. Kelly grades horribly in my model with an extremely high fly-ball/line-drive rate, barrels, and average exit velocity against. I wouldn’t even pay for him on FanDuel with the significant discount.

Honorable Mention: Carlos Martinez

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stacks

Texas Rangers – I mentioned that I think Merrill Kelly grades out horribly tonight… let’s get some Rangers exposure.
Boston Red Sox & New York Mets – This game has by far the highest total on this slate. I prefer going to the Mets’ side because Matt Hall profiles as an awful pitcher against this powerful New York lineup, but I’m cool with Boston bats as well. Stack em’ up!

Honorable Mention: Milwaukee Brewers & Los Angeles Angels

Value Stacks

Detroit Tigers – Love this match-up against a dumpster fire pitching staff that Kansas City is rolling out there in this series. With Kyle Zimmer slated to start and likely followed by Glenn Sparkmann or Jorge Lopez, let’s roll with the Tigers’ bats who are ridiculously cheap on both sites.

Lots of wind blowing out tonight as well.
San Diego Padres – I’ll always have a stack or two going up against Jeff Samardzija.

Prize Picks

With the Mets being one of my preferred stacks, you can grab Alonso and Cespedes on Prize Picks in a mini two man stack to win yourself some money! If they both go over their projected fantasy score, you win! Check out Prize Picks, and hop into the Discord chat if you have any questions!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter @StixPicks and be sure to sign up for a ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

FanDuel MLB Daily Lineups – July 28

Peter dremonas 5 years ago

written by Peter dremonas

FanDuel MLB Daily Lineups: Slate Summary for July 28

I love that we effectively have baseball every day, starting around mid-afternoon, throughout the entire week of this wacky season. However, from a FanDuel MLB perspective, it does complicate things a bit.

Sure, I don’t have to play the All Day, or sometimes ‘Early Only,’ slate each day. But, there are times when some of my favorite offensive MLB DFS stacks are available early or the ONE SP I’ve been waiting to roster is finally fantasy baseball available!

Today is different. Today, I wish it were tomorrow…because this slate is horrendous! However, I do think we’ve found a few nuggets for our FanDuel MLB plays.

First of all, we do have three slate options. There’s an ‘All Day’ slate which is the only one capturing the Indians hosting the White Sox in Cleveland.

That slate also captures the Blue Jays in Washington playing, current World Series Champs, the Nationals. And, assuming there’s no longer COVID concerns, the Yankees in Philly playing the Phillies.

However, you can also get a small ‘Early Only’ slate with ONLY the two games in Philly and DC. Personally, given the COVID-Marlins concerns around Philly right now…that slate seems awfully risky to play.

Then, we have the Main slate, which now often appears to be slated for 6:40pm each day. For this post,that is my main focus, but I’ll also talk about the All Day slate so we capture each of the more popular FanDuel MLB options for the day.

FanDuel MLB: Top Pitching Plays

First of all, I wouldn’t consider the ‘Early Only’ slate for Tuesday. There is at least a 50/50 chance the games in Philly (100%, it’s already postponed) and DC are delayed, if not postponed, due to showers and storms developing right around game time.

Basically, the messy weather we had in the Ohio Valley yesterday is transitioning to the East Coast this evening.

That’s unfortunate, because if you’re playing the All Day FanDuel MLB slate, Gerrit Cole ($11,700) is was BY FAR the best pitching play of the day. ~~So, for now, I would plug Cole into your All Day lineups, but be prepared to flip to one of our other top options as we get weather reports closer to 6pm ET today.~~

So, the obvious next place our minds would pivot to for SP’s is Walker Buehler ($10,500). But, there’s two major caveats! First of all, the Astros are one of the the worst offenses to target a RHP against. The wRC+ was above 100 last year, and their K rate was around 17%. MUCH WORSE, Buehler is on a pitch-count cap for his first several starts in 2020.

https://twitter.com/SInow/status/1284239042071101441

Paying $10.5K for a limited pitcher with a terrible match-up is non-optimal in fantasy baseball!

So, where does that take us? Well, it’s not a place I thought I’d go. Looking for low x-FIPs and K-rates above 25% last season, I really only found three other solid options.

Name	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	K%	BB%	AVG	WHIP	BABIP	ERA	xFIP
Carlos Martinez	9.9	3.4	0.37	26.50%	9.00%	0.218	1.18	0.298	3.17	3.76
Alec Mills	10.5	2.8	1.25	27.60%	7.20%	0.231	1.17	0.299	2.75	3.98
Austin Voth	9.1	2.7	1.03	25.30%	7.50%	0.209	1.05	0.257	3.30	4.44

Of this group, Carlos Martinez ($7,100) would normally make me the most comfortable, but against the Twins, in Minnesota, there’s just no solid reason to roster Martinez.

Which REALLY narrows down my options to Austin Voth ($7,100) for an All-Day move or …checks notes…checks notes again….Alec Mills ($6,300) against the Reds in Cincinnati.

OK, it’s going to take convincing to play either of these guys. So, I’ll start with Mills, who frankly may be one of the best options in this slate, quietly.

In his last two major league starts, late last September, Alec fanned 15 Cardinals hitters in just 9.2 innings. He gave up only seven hits but did walk four batters. Still, he kept his earned runs down to only ONE!

In fact, Mills had a sub-3.00 ERA last season for a reason, he never gave up more than three runs in any one outing. Also, Mills had a 10.5 K/9 inning rate, higher than practically all options in this slate.

The Reds are one of the teams with the most buzz this season, but against RHP’s in their own ballpark, they had a 91 wRC+ and 23.8% K-rate, 10th worst in baseball. So, Mills even has a decent match-up to consider.

Like Mills, Austin Voth ($7,100) was quietly holding down the fort for the Nationals last September, as they battled through injuries. Voth had five starts in September, gave up only four total runs, and fanned 24 hitters in just 23 innings.

Also, Austin’s match-up is quite good. The Blue Jays had an 89 wRC+ against RHP’s on the road last year, and their 26.1% K-rate was fifth worst in baseball under the same circumstances.

But, like Cole, the problem with Voth is the weather. We have to keep an eye on the radar heading into the 6pm hour to understand if he’s worth rostering. If he is, Voth and Mills are likely great value plays at the SP position today.

Here’s a quick SP summary for these slates:

All Day – ~~Cole (top play)~~ or Voth (value). If weather is a problem for both, then Mills.

Main Slate – Mills is your man for all things pitching!

FanDuel MLB: Hitting Stacks, Value, and Best Plays

I was pleasantly surprised Derek Holland is still pitching in the majors. Holland was one of my favorite pitchers to stack an offense against, and he is again today.

Derek gave up over two home runs per nine innings, had a 1.51 WHIP, and 6.08 ERA last season. Many of those stats were the result of relief pitching action, but that doesn’t modify the outcome to me.

Holland is getting crushed, and the Brewers are an offense to stack for this slate, against Holland. Hopefully the Pirates keep him on the mound long enough to really let the runs pile up!

Name	BB/9	HR/9	K%	BB%	AVG	WHIP	BABIP	ERA	xFIP	Opponent
Derek Holland	4.8	2.13	21.80%	12.00%	0.251	1.51	0.276	6.08	5.25	Brewers
Kyle Wright	6.0	1.83	19.40%	14.00%	0.304	1.88	0.351	8.69	5.44	Rays

Kyle Wright isn’t as well known, but in some aspects his pitching statistics are worse than Holland’s. The Rays get to face a pitcher with a 1.83 HR/9 las season, high 14% walk rate, .351 BABIP, and super high 5.44 xFIP.

A couple of other stacks I’d consider are the Nationals, Mets, and Angels. Within those lineups, you can find some potentially dynamic value plays, like Yoenis Cespedes ($2,600) and Victor Robles ($2,700).

Maikel Franco ($2,200) could stay hot in Detroit and Matt Adams ($2,100) is one of my favorite bomb-hitter value plays when in the lineup facing a righty, as a LHB.

For top plays, assuming you’re going the value route with pitching Mike Trout ($4,500) is in a juicy spot in this slate. While I’m not stacking the Indians, I’d consider Jose Ramirez ($3,600) to stay hot for the ‘All Day’ slate only. And, Paul Goldschmidt ($3,700) and Trea Turner ($3,700) are each heating up for the Main & All Day slates.

FanDuel MLB Daily Lineups – July 28 Summary

This is a brutal slate to peg. We also know the Marlins and Orioles game is cancelled, and the Yankees Phillies game has been canceled as well, and there are storm concerns for DC.

That said, Alec Mills is an exciting SP option for the Main slate, and Austin Voth is worth a play in the All Day slate in the same position. We love the Brewers and Rays stacks in all formats, along with the Nationals (All Day Only), Mets, and Angels.

Our favorite pitchers provide plenty of value to snag top plays like Ramirez and Trout, or Turner and Goldschmidt. Franco, Adams, Cespedes, and Robles all carry some FanDuel MLB value as well.

Thanks for checking out this article on FanDuel MLB Daily Lineups – July 28! Our team will continue to bring you daily content, tools, and projections and a community that will help you make this your best MLB season yet…and…OH, btw, use promo code “23” and you can join for your first month for just 23 CENTS. Literally cents.

Also, make sure to check out WinDailySports.com for more content in the near future, follow me me on Twitter @MattyMcMatt17 and our team @WinDailySports, and hop into our Expert Chat for one on one conversations!

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

7/27 MLB DFS: The Fearless Five (DK GPP)

TimmySigs 5 years ago

written by TimmySigs

Baseball is back and I’ve got five hitters for you to consider for the 7/27 MLB DFS Monday night slate in large-field DK GPPs, where it pays to be fearless!

7/27 MLB DFS – C Wilson Ramos (DK $3,800) NYM @ BOS

There’s certainly some firepower among the top few catchers in Monday’s slate, but spending down to Ramos makes sense for large-field GPPs, where the sub-$4K price tag and his upside in this excellent matchup (vs. Red Sox opener Josh Osich and primary long reliever Zach Godley) combine to give us great value. My favorite spend-up option on this slate was J.T. Realmuto (DK $4,600) facing his old battery mate J.A. Happ, but now I’m considering Cubs C Willson Contreras (DK $4,800) against the Reds.

7/27 MLB DFS – 1B C.J. Cron (DK $3,300) DET vs. KC

Cron has always been a risk-reward play in DFS, but he’s coming off a homer night and the price has not caught up to his enormous power upside, especially facing LHP Mike Montgomery. He’s dirt cheap and if you’re not spending big and rolling out the slow-starting Pete Alonso (DK $5,600 and a great GPP play at such a high price), it makes sense to find some value at 1B.

7/27 MLB DFS – 2B Nico Hoerner (DK $3,400) CHC @ CIN

I had planned on using Gleyber Torres here but with the Yankees-Phillies game postponed, I’ll tout my discount play. I’m very intrigued by what Nico Hoerner offers at such a huge discount, though in Astros stacks I’ll likely spend up for Jose Altuve (DK $5,000). The Cubs rookie (82 plate appearances in 2019) is off to a solid start and will look to keep it rolling against Reds LHP Wade Miley.

7/27 MLB DFS – SS Alex Bregman (DK $5,100) HOU vs. SEA

Bregman has hit safely in all three games thus far, and the multi-hit performances are right around the corner. There’s not much to be scared of by the likes of Seattle RHP Kendall Graveman, who now sports an upper 90s four-seam fastball to go along with his trademark sinker – pitches that Bregman feasts on. NYM S Amed Rosario (DK $5,000) is another GPP options best deployed in Mets stacks.

7/26 MLB DFS – OF Lorenzo Cain (DK $3,700) MIL at PIT

Christian Yelich (DK $5,900) really let us down yesterday, so we’re going to plug in his more contact-oriented teammate against Steven Breault. I’ll have some Milwaukee stacks where I play both, but Cain makes sense as a cheap, upside-laden one-off against a pitcher that doesn’t yield too many homers.

NOTE: With the postponement of the Orioles-Marlins and Yanks-Phils along with several rain-threatened games, finding suitable SPs is going to be a challenge. For now, I’m mostly rolling with Tyler Glasnow in a risky spot against the juggernaut Braves and GPP contrarian play Michael Wacha (NYM) against the much-less-potent Red Sox. This leaves plenty of room for Astros stacks and a smattering of value plays.

Good luck!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @LouisLipps and be sure to sign up for a ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return.

Photo of Alex Bregman courtesy of Keith Allison.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

MLB Team Stacks 7/27

billyr011199@gmail.com 5 years ago

written by billyr011199@gmail.com

MLB Team Stacks 7/27

In this article I will be breaking down MLB Team Stacks 7/27. I will hit three to four teams and If I am interested in a player on only one site, I will be site specific. I will be using DraftKings pricing for this article.

Tonight, we have a nine game MLB slate where weather looks to be a factor in the Indians game, where there is an 80% chance of rain. The pitchers on this slate are less enticing as the pitchers we have seen in the last several slates. Don’t forget to join myself and the rest of the WinDaily staff in the discord chat rooms, as we breakdown the slate even further when starting lineups get solidified and keep you up to date on weather.

MLB Team Stacks 7/27

~~Philadelphia Phillies~~ WHOOPS!

J.A Happ has very severe left versus right splits and he pitches more effectively to left handed hitters. I will be all over these Phillies right-handed hitters and Bryce Harper. Happ allows a hard-hit rate of 41% and 38% of that has an exit velocity of above 95 miles per hour. I should also mention that Happ allows a 15% higher flyball rate to right-handed bats. The Phillies have three righties and Bryce Harper in this lineup with above 50% hard hit percent against left-handed pitching. That is not including J.T Realmuto who has a hard-hit percentage of 49.5% against lefties.

Houston Astros

Houston is ateam that can always smash the ball, they have good quality hitters top tobottom in that order. Now tonight they get to face a pitcher who last pitchedin the big leagues in 2018 and carried an ERA of 7.60 that year. He also has446 innings pitched in his MLB career and only 286 strikeouts. A pitcher thatdoesn’t miss many bats against the Astros sounds like a recipe for success. I preferstacking 3-4-5 or 3-4-5-6 in this scenario it allows you flexibility to get anotherbig bat due to the low pricing of Gurriel and Brantley.

-AlexBregman

-MichaelBrantley

-YuliGurriel

-CarlosCorrea

New York Mets

The Mets arefacing Zack Godley a pitcher that wasn’t even in the league just over two weeksago. He was sent down to the minor league by Arizona last season, went to Torontoand threw in the bullpen, and then was cut by Detroit because he was going tobe left off the opening day roster. Godley last year surrendered nearly 40%hard hit percentage and just shy of 45% medium hit percentage last season. Godleywas ahead in the count less than 50% of the time last season and allowed a wOBAof .348. I will be attacking the left-handed hitters in this Mets lineup and YoenisCespedes.

-Jeff Mcneil

-MichaelConforto

-YoenisCespedes

– RobinsonCano

~~Miami Marlins~~

The ~~Marlins~~ and Detroit Tigers are going to my salary saver teams tonight, I will use players from these two teams to help get my higher priced hitters in. ~~The Marlins are squaring off against a pitcher that allowed 17 homeruns in just 82 innings pitched last season~~. I will be interested in the cheap Tigers first basemen (Miguel Cabrera, C.J Cron)and Jonathon Schoop. These right handed power hitters for Detroit are Matching up against a lefty that allowed 18 homeruns in just 91 innings pitched last season.

That will wrap it up for MLB Team Stacks 7/27 nine game slate. Thanks for reading my content, Saturday and Sunday were both profitable days for me. Weather should be great for baseball other than that Cleveland game so be sure to check on that. Jump in the Discord chat to join myself and the WinDaily staff for late news and later game lineup locks and adjustments. Best of Luck everyone, lets take down a tournament!

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

MLB DFS: Monday’s Aces and Bases

TimmySigs 5 years ago

written by TimmySigs

MLB DFS season is finally here and so is the Aces and Bases from Win Daily Sports. The July 27th edition of Aces and Bases will take on the main 9-game MLB DFS slate on DraftKings and FanDuel. The purpose of this article is to identify our top pitching plays and fades on the slate, in addition to our top offense stacks for your GPP lineups.

Please make sure you keep an eye on the weather and other factors as those are always important things to monitor when playing MLB DFS. Be sure to check out our MLB DFS Projections as well. Without further ado, it’s Aces and Bases time.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Best Value: Pablo Lopez ($7,500 DK / $6,900 FD)

Pablo Lopez takes the bump for the first time in 2020 and gets a favorable match up in the Baltimore Orioles. The Orioles bats played better than expected over the weekend in Boston, but the lineup is still lacking and shouldn’t be able to keep it up during the week.

~~Lopez leans on his change up, and for good reason, it has great movement and produced a 46% O-swing rate last year. Look for Pablo to find strikeouts in Monday’s match up.~~ Covid-Postponed.

Honorable Mention: Josh James

Top Ace(s) FanDuel: Tyler Glasnow ($8,900 DK / $9,700 FD)

Glasnow and his curveball were absolutely electric in 2019 (57% K rate!) as the young hurler was off to a fantastic start before getting injured.

Glasnow should be ready for almost a full workload Monday and looks to pick up where he left off in 2019 where started with a 1.78 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, and 76/14 K/BB ratio over 60 2/3 innings in 12 starts. Atlanta is a tough opponent but Glasnow was near match up proof before going down and he is just priced way too low at the moment.

Honorable Mention: Josh James($8,600 DK / $6,700 FD)

Punt Play: Asher Wojciechowski ($6,800 DK / $6,400 FD)

The counter play to our value ace, Wojciechowski gets to take the bump against the Marlins, which is the main reason for this play. It’s hard to justify rolling out a Orioles pitcher but Asher has decent command of his fastball and showed some flashes with a few good outings last year. The price sure reflects this one. Covid-Postponed.

Replacement: Wade Miley

Top Fade: Jon Lester ($9,200 DK / $ 8,600 FD)

Lester’s arsenal is rapidly declining, his signature cutter lost a lot of movement last year and his four seam fastball wasn’t effective is the slightest. The four seamer lost a couple ticks of velo that it didn’t have to give away, coming down to a career low 90.8mph. Im going to be fading Lester all year.

~~Honorable Mention: Jake Arrieta~~

MLB DFS: The Bases

On an 9-game slate, there are a ton of different ways to build your offense. Personally, I’m going to take a stand on a few offenses and call it a day. If you’re play MME style of GPPs, you can always get some exposure to more offenses, but for 3-Entry Max and Single Entry GPPs, I’m going to battle with a very limited player pool, as I really want to pick on a couple of starting pitchers and weaker bullpens.

We all know the importance of stacking when play MLB DFS GPPs, so here are my top stacks for the Sunday main slate.

Top Stacks

Houston Astros – Houston should have no problem teeing off against Kendal Graveman and the Mariners. This will be Graveman’s first start since the 2018 season as he missed all of 2019 down recovering from Tommy John.
New York Yankees – The Yankees will be expensive all year and for good reason. The lineup is strong top to bottom and will be a good bet for a couple bombs against the aging Arrieta who lost a lot to his once great sinker.

Value Stacks

Cincinnati Reds– Playing with our fade here, the Reds have yet to turn it on offensively, dropping the opening series to the Tigers. Lester gives them chance to get some runs across the board early.
New York Mets – The Boston staff is thin this year, and they are either rolling out an opener or Phillips Valdez, either way this looks like a great spot to attack.

Good luck to all this week!

5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

7/26 MLB DFS: The Fearless Five (DK GPP)

TimmySigs 5 years ago

written by TimmySigs

I’ve got five hitters for you to consider for the early 7/26 MLB DFS 11-game slate in DK GPPs, where it pays to be fearless and swing for the fences!

7/26 MLB DFS – C Robinson Chirinos (DK $3,900) TEX vs. COL

The Rangers offense has been a bit slow out of the gate, but RHBsin that lineup have a favorable matchup vs. LHP Kyle Freeland. One fearless leftymasher who comes at a considerable discount is Chirinos – an ample power sourceat catcher and a guy who often flies under the radar in DFS. If you’re notpaying up for J.T. Realmuto (DK $4,800), Mitch Garver ($4,900) or ChristianVazquez (DK $4,300), Chirinos makes sense as part of a stack or as a one-off tosave a few bucks and get similar upside. *Note: Chirinos battled an ankleinjury near the close of camp and sat out Saturday but looks to be good to gofor today.

7/26 MLB DFS – 1B Joey Votto (DK $3,800) CIN vs. DET

Speaking of discounts, Votto is a relatively inexpensive veteran slugger off to an uncharacteristically hot start, with a couple HRs in his first two games. I’m intrigued by the Reds stack against eminently hittable Spencer Turnbull, who’s been known to issue the occasional free pass and give up the long ball. Spend-up options include Anthony Rizzo (DK $5,000) and one-off Josh Bell (DK $4,900), and the punt-worthy Michael Chavis (DK $2,900) is available at both 1B and 2B – but I’m putting about half my GPP eggs in the Votto basket on the early slate.

7/26 MLB DFS – SS Alex Bregman (DK $4,900) HOU vs. SEA

Thankfully, Bregman is available at both SS and 3B on DK, where there’s a few other guys I’d like to play at the hot corner. The Astros have the second-highest projected total after the Red Sox, and it’s a GPP priority to lock in Bregman and his eye-popping .417 career wOBA vs. LHP against Yusei Kikuchi, a southpaw with a home run problem. Xander Bogaerts (DK $4,600) got the day off Saturday but returns to the BoSox lineup this afternoon, so he’s a viable option as pivot from Bregman, in Boston stacks or alongside Bregman if you plug the latter in at 3B. Red-hot Didi Gregorius (DK $3,500) sticks out as a value option for the Phillies.

7/26 MLB DFS – 3B Mike Moustakas (DK $4,000) CIN vs. DET

I’d like to play both Reds 3B Eugenio Suarez (DK $4,500) and Moustakas on DK, but you have to take your pick since each player is limited to a singular position at the hot corner. While Suarez might see lower ownership, we can probably get our variance elsewhere, as the man who sounds like a delicious Mediterranean casserole comes in with the highest daily simulated projections in the Cincy lineup. He’s the anchor of a 1-2-4-5-6 Reds stack that won’t cost you a bundle, and his upside is similar to more expensive options like Josh Donaldson (DK $4,200) and Rafael Devers (DK $5,200).

7/26 MLB DFS – OF Christian Yelich (DK $5,600) MIL at CHC

I’m on board with using potent Reds leadoff hitter Jesse Winker (DK $3,500) and value option Shogo Akiyama (DK $2,000) – easy-to-fit stack components who could make or break the slate – but my favorite spend-up at OF on DK is Yelich, who annihilated RHPs to the tune of a .473 wOBA and 195 wRC+ in 2019. The Brewers star went 1-for-5 with a dinger in yesterday’s game and we could see the wind blowing out in Wrigley this afternoon. I’m also interested in seeing Joey Gallo (DK $4,300) solve the new roofed park in Texas, so I’ll be mixing in shares of him as well. Yelich is expensive, but my first few builds include him and all of the aforementioned players with Trevor Bauer and Carlos Carrasco at my pitching spots – two of the highest projected starters in the slate.

ANOTHER NOTE: It’s also my 45th birthday today, so taking down one of the big GPPs on DraftKings would be the ultimate present! Good luck… and be fearless!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @LouisLipps and be sure to sign up for a ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return.

Image of Christian Yelich courtesy of Erik Drost.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

FanDuel Main Slate Breakdown 7.26

Uriah Wesson 5 years ago

written by Uriah Wesson

What is up ladiesand gentlemen! Hoping the return of sports is treating everyone well. Over hereat Win Daily we are starting the grind off on the right foot. Tons of folks indiscord helping each other out all day every day, getting breaking news outthere, finding your lower owned stacks, and identifying under the radar playsto help separate you from the rest of your competition. We have yet anothermassive 13 game slate to dig into so without any further ado let us dig in!

Pitching:

Cash

ZackGreinke, Astros, 9.6K

We do not have a ton of history when it comes to Greinke vs. the Mariners. He went into the ninth inning late last season with a no-hitter intact and that is it. What I do have, however, is several years watching him pitch every fifth and an understanding of how his slider is nearly impossible for left-handed bats to handle, which happens to be what Seattle is loaded with. He is not the same K/9 guy that he used to be, but he has plenty left in the tank to handle this Mariner lineup.

Zac Gallen, Diamondbacks,8.3K

I have been eagerly awaiting seeing what Gallen is going to do this season. He didn’t give up more than three earned runs at any point during the 2019 season including a seven-inning, eight strikeout shutout against the Padres. Not a ton in terms of BVP but he has a 97 tOPS+ against right-handed bats and he gets the benefit of pitching in San Diego today. He and Greinke are going to make up 80 percent of my cash pitching today.

Trevor Bauer,Reds, 9.7K

Tigers ledthe MLP with a K rate of 26.4 percent last season, Trevor strikes out a ton ofpeople. Not much else to explain on this one. It is going to be a bad day forDetroit.

GPP

ShoheiOhtani, Angels, 8K

I am hoping people wait for a game to see if Shohei is back to form and we can get him at a deep ownership discount. West coast bias is real in DFS and I am hoping enough people are just a bit nervous about using him on his first start back since tommy john. Not much needs to be said about his stuff. He has ended up living up to every bit of his hype in a way that I have never seen, and it has already been stated that he will not be on a pitch count so load up and enjoy the ride.

Ryan Weber,Red Sox, 6.1K

This is not a great day for pitching today so I am trying to find some potential upside near the bottom so you can load up with bats. Weber is a high-risk proposition, but his skillset matches up very well against the Orioles. Weber is a sinker pitcher with around 7.2 K/9 and the O’s sit at around a 23 percent K rate with slightly worse splits against finesse pitchers. No, it is not pretty, but his price combined with the batting woes in Baltimore leads me to put him in a few of my lineups today.

Others to consider: Snell, Hudson, Maeda

Stacks andBats:

Red Sox

Yes, I am going back to the well, yes, I am a little nervous about it. But you cannot be scared as a DFS player and expect to win. The data still says this is an elite matchup. And I am hoping we get a little ownership decrease from yesterday’s poor performance. Do not freak out folks, it is still Baltimore.

Cash: Martinez, Bogaerts, Vasquez GPP: Devers

Yankees:

I think people are going to be scared off by Corbin on the hill a little bit. I truly hope so. There are a few guys on the Yankees who demolish Corbin. Stanton has a 1.319 OPS with 2 HR’s in 18 AB’s, LeMahieu has a 1.127 OPS with four homers in 52 AB’s, Torres has a .900 OBS against LHP, and Aaron Judge was slugging .657 in 99 at-bats against lefties. Everything points to a long day for Corbin.

Cash: Stanton, Judge, LeMahieu, Torres GPP: Sanchez, Urshela

Reds:

Suarez, Castellanos, and Votto are all playing fantastic ball right now and I have no reason to think that Spencer Turnbull is going to anything to slow that down. Votto specifically looks like his former self when he was competing for MVP’s and batting titles year in and year out. Implied total is 5.5 for the Reds today and I am expecting that number to go up before the first pitch

Cash: Suarez, Castellanos Votto GPP: Shogo Akiyama

Rangers:

Rangers are my sneaky game that I am hoping goes overlooked for tournaments. Freeland was giving up 2.2 HR/9 last season and 22 of the 25 he gave up were to right-handed hitters. Solak and Frazier both hit lefties hard and Andrews, Gallo, Choo, and Santana are a threat at any point.

Cash: Solak, Frazier GPP: Gallo, Odor, Choo

Favorite Pitcher:

Cash: Zack Greinke

GPP: Ohtani

Favorite Stack:

Chalk: Yankees

Low Owned: Rangers

Favorite Chalk Player: Giancarlo Stanton

Favorite Low Owned Player: Todd Frazier

Salary Saver: Nick Solak

Home Run Call: Aaron Judge (x2)

Thanks for taking the time to look through my breakdown for today’s FanDuel main slate. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord Chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

5 years ago 0 comments

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Older Posts

MLB DFS

MLB DFS: The Aces

Best Value: Dylan Bundy ($8,200 DK / $8,200 FD)

Top Ace(s): Shane Bieber ($9,800 DK / $10,700 FD)

Punt Play: Robbie Ray ($7,100 DK / $7,900 FD)

Top Fade: Jose Berrios ($10,200 DK / $9,000 FD)

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stacks

Value Stacks

Monkey Knife Fight

MLB DFS: The Aces

Best Value: Chris Paddock ($8,400 DK / $9,700 FD)

Top Ace(s): Gerrit Cole $11,400 DK / $11,700 FD) & Jacob DeGrom ($12,000 / $11,200 FD)

Punt Play: Joe Musgrove ($5,300 DK / $6,700 FD)

Top Fade: Matthew Boyd ($9,000 DK / $8,400 FD)

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stacks

Value Stacks

Thrive Fantasy

7/28 MLB DFS – C Will Smith (DK $4,300) LAD @ HOU

7/28 MLB DFS – 1B Matt Olson (DK $4,600) OAK vs. COL

7/28 MLB DFS – 2B Kike Hernandez (DK $3,000) LAD @ HOU

7/28 MLB DFS – SS Xander Bogaerts (DK $4,000) BOS vs. NYM

7/26 MLB DFS – OF Jorge Soler (DK $3,700) KC vs. DET

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

MLB DFS: The Aces

Best Value: Josh Lindblom ($5,100 DK / $6,100 FD)

Top Ace(s): Walker Buehler ($11,300 DK / $10,500 FD) & Kyle Gibson ($9,700 / $8,200 FD)

Punt Play: Patrick Sandoval ($6,600 DK / $5,600 FD)

Top Fade: Merrill Kelly ($10,000 DK / $7,800 FD)

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stacks

Value Stacks

Prize Picks

FanDuel MLB Daily Lineups: Slate Summary for July 28

FanDuel MLB: Top Pitching Plays

FanDuel MLB: Hitting Stacks, Value, and Best Plays

FanDuel MLB Daily Lineups – July 28 Summary

7/27 MLB DFS – C Wilson Ramos (DK $3,800) NYM @ BOS

7/27 MLB DFS – 1B C.J. Cron (DK $3,300) DET vs. KC

7/27 MLB DFS – 2B Nico Hoerner (DK $3,400) CHC @ CIN

7/27 MLB DFS – SS Alex Bregman (DK $5,100) HOU vs. SEA

7/26 MLB DFS – OF Lorenzo Cain (DK $3,700) MIL at PIT

MLB Team Stacks 7/27

MLB DFS: The Aces

Best Value: Pablo Lopez ($7,500 DK / $6,900 FD)

Top Ace(s) FanDuel: Tyler Glasnow ($8,900 DK / $9,700 FD)

Punt Play: Asher Wojciechowski ($6,800 DK / $6,400 FD)

Top Fade: Jon Lester ($9,200 DK / $ 8,600 FD)

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stacks

Value Stacks

7/26 MLB DFS – C Robinson Chirinos (DK $3,900) TEX vs. COL

7/26 MLB DFS – 1B Joey Votto (DK $3,800) CIN vs. DET

7/26 MLB DFS – SS Alex Bregman (DK $4,900) HOU vs. SEA

7/26 MLB DFS – 3B Mike Moustakas (DK $4,000) CIN vs. DET

7/26 MLB DFS – OF Christian Yelich (DK $5,600) MIL at CHC

Pitching:

Cash

ZackGreinke, Astros, 9.6K

Zac Gallen, Diamondbacks,8.3K

Trevor Bauer,Reds, 9.7K

GPP

ShoheiOhtani, Angels, 8K

Ryan Weber,Red Sox, 6.1K

Stacks andBats:

Red Sox

Yankees:

Reds:

Rangers:

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