MLB DFS

Happy Saturday!  We finally made it to the weekend and oh what a weekend it’s going to be.  I won’t be writing tomorrow so wanted to wish all the dads here a very happy Father’s Day!  I’ll be focused on this afternoon’s 7-game slate of MLB DFS.  This slate is void of any true ace.  There are a bunch of average pitchers on this slate, none of which will be considered a must-play.  We don’t have a single arm over $10k and just 2 over $9k.  Ownership should be spread out. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Charlie Morton ($8.6k on DK) vs. Tampa Bary

This year’s version of the Tampa Bay Rays is hot garbage.  I started my article yesterday with the hot garbage line and I’m keeping it because it’s accurate.  The Rays were dominated by Chris Sale last night and they’ll get dominated by Charlie Morton today.  This is a high-strikeout Rays team.  The projected lineup today for the Rays has a K rate over 27% against righties this season.  Both Brandon Lowe and Randy Arozarena are having down years and that’s contributed to the Rays woes. 

This shouldn’t take away from the fact that Charlie Morton continues to pitch well, even into his AARP years.  He owns a respectable 4.12 ERA on the year with an xFIP lower than that.  He’s known to throw some duds, but I like this spot for him.  With how bad pitching is today, I’m going to side matchup over ability.  This is a solid matchup.   

Jack Flaherty ($8.9k on DK) vs. Houston Astros

I don’t normally like to attack the Astros with pitching but without Kyle Tucker in the lineup, they really aren’t as scary as they normally.  I’m more so going with Flaherty today because he offers more of a floor than a ceiling and that floor is going to be higher than most other pitchers on this slate.  He’s been brilliant in his new home in Detroit.  Throughout his career control has really what has brought Flaherty down.  His control has been impeccable this season. 

His BB/9 is at a career low of 1.24.  That is nearly 2 walks lower than his career average.  This has caused an uptick in K’s as he’s been able to last longer into games.  I don’t think we quite see the massive amounts of strikeouts from him today, but I do think we see a solid outing from him. 

I honestly don’t have any interest in anyone else today.  The next best pitcher would be Grayson Rodriguez but he gets the Phils.  I’m also not paying nearly $10k for Justin Verlander today, even with the matchup.  He has more starts of late giving up 4 ER than he does giving up less than that.   

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Baltimore Orioles vs. Taijuan Walker

Taijuan Walker is having arguably the worst season of his career.  His ERA of 5.40 is by far the highest of his career.  His xERA is the highest that it’s been since all the way back in 2018.  The strikeouts for Walker continue to tread down and his walks continue to tread up.  To make matters worse for Walker, he’s also giving up just a ton of hard hits.  He’s yet to have a start this season without allowing at least one barrel. 

Walker has had more starts this season giving up multiple barrels than he has given up just 1.  His barrel % is nearly double his career average.  He’s getting pummeled this season and we’ll want to continue to stack against him.  With Walker, we want to prioritize getting lefties into our lineup.  The Orioles are going to throw out 6 lefties today.  It’s a match made in heaven. 

Core Bats: Gunnar Henderson, Adley Rutschman, Anthony Santander

Secondary Bats: Ryan O’Hearn, Jordan Westburg

Value Bats: Cedric Mullins, Colton Cowser

San Francisco Giants vs. Patrick Sandoval

I ended up going with the Giants last night and they put up 6 runs vs. the Angels.  I like the spot again for them as they take on Patrick Sandoval today.  Sandoval is nothing more than an average pitcher.  In 2 of his last 4 starts, he’s given up at least 5 ER.  He’s a low K pitcher who gives up a decent amount of hard contact at more than 35%.  He gets a tough matchup today as the Giants are one of the better teams in the league against lefties. 

They have the 9^th best OPS in the league vs. lefties and have a strong wOBA of .327 vs. them.  That ranks 7^th best vs. lefties.  They should be able to put up a healthy amount of runs vs. Sandoval today.  I’m going to be mostly focused on the righties here as they have been putting him to work over the last 30 days. 

Core Bats: Heliot Ramos, Jorge Soler, Matt Chapman,

Secondary Bats: Wilmer Flores, Michael Conforto

Value Bats: Austin Slater, Patrick Bailey

Other stacks I like tonight will be the Mets vs. Adam Mazur, Reds Vs. Bryse Wilson, and Braves vs. Ryan Pepiot 

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

TGIF!  It’s almost the weekend and I don’t know about you, but I’m ready for it!  We have a massive 12-game slate of MLB DFS tonight.  This is a slate that is very top-heavy with pitching and not much below that.  My plan right now is to go with double aces and find some value bats to allow me to get some solid stacks. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Chris Sale ($10.5k on DK) vs. Tampa Bay Rays

This year’s version of the Tampa Bay Rays is hot garbage.  There’s no other way to say it.  At 33-36, the Rays currently occupy last place in the AL East.  It’s a far cry from the success they’ve had over the last few years.  They’ve been especially bad against lefties this season, with a 25% K rate and just a .130 ISO.  That K rate is one of the highest rates in the league vs. lefties. 

Tonight they’ll be facing one of the best in the game in Chris Sale.  It’s a resurgent season for Sale as his new home in Atlanta has done him well.  His K’s are back to where they were back in 2019 and his walks are also down to the lowest level of his career.  Out of his 12 starts this season, he has just 3 starts that were under 20 DK points.  Look for him to continue to make a case for the NL Cy Young award as he blows away the Rays tonight. 

Simeon Woods Richardson ($7.5k on DK) vs. Oakland

For a brief minute there, the Oakland A’s looked like a competent lineup.  They even put up an 8 spot vs. Chris Sale a few weeks ago.  Those days are long gone though.  They are back to their old selves as their record has dipped to 26-45 and have lost 6 straight games.  Over the last week, the A’s have scored just 15 runs and own a 35% k rate.  Only the Mariners have struck out more times than the A’s this season.  And only the fish and White Sox have scored fewer runs. 

We are talking about an awful offense.  That will set up great for Woods Richardson tonight.  While he doesn’t have the K ability as his peers, he does have the matchup and that’s what I’m looking at here.  If we can get the normal 5-6 K’s from him today, at his price he should be able to pay off his salary.  He’s cheap and in a great matchup.

As I said earlier, there are a ton of options for pitching.  Going with double aces is also very much in play.  Freddy Peralata vs. Cincy, Tarik Skubal vs. Houston, Cole Ragans vs. LA, Luis Castillo vs. Texas (especially if Seager is out again), and Matt Waldron vs. the Mets are also other options to play with tonight. 

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chris Flexen

This isn’t just a play on Chris Flexen, but also a play on the White Sox bullpen.  Flexen hasn’t been awful of late.  Over his last 3 starts, he’s only given 5 ER.  Not terrible.  But he’s also gone just 5 innings in each of the games and the White Sox ended up giving up at least 6 ER in 2 of the 3 starts.  In fact, if we look at his last 8 starts, opposing teams have scored at least 6 runs in all but 2 of them. 

That’s because he’s not going long and we’re getting close to half the game with the White Sox pen.  Over the last 2 weeks, the White Sox pen has an ERA that’s pushing 9.  If we can get another 4-5 innings of the White Sox bullpen today, we’ll get a ton of runs from the Diamondbacks.  Don’t get me wrong though, even if the White Sox bullpen wasn’t that bad I’d still be stacking against Flexen because he’s terrible. 

Core Bats: Corbin Carroll, Joc Pederson, Christian Walker, Ketel Marte

Secondary Bats: Lourdes Gurriel

Value Bats: Gabrial Moreno, Geraldo Perdomo, Jake McCarthy

Atlanta Braves vs. Zack Littell

My family and I went to the Braves/Orioles game and I noticed something very glaring.  The Braves hit the ball damn hard.  Almost every ball hit yesterday was smoked.  Not a single one of their hits were cheapies.  Their offense has been mostly stagnant of late but they’re poised for a huge breakout and I think it comes tonight against Zack Littell.  Littell is mostly a low-strikeout pitcher.  Yeah, he K’d 9 A’s a few weeks ago, but who hasn’t?  He’s coming off back-to-back appearances vs. the O’s that saw him strikeout just 5 hitters across the 2 games. 

In comparison, he also gave up 5 barrels.  A 1:1 K to barrel % isn’t ideal.  Now if you were getting 10 K’s a game that’s one thing, but we’re not seeing that from Littell.  He’s given up multiple barrels in 5 games, with 3 of the games having 3 a piece.  He’s getting rocked and he’s going to wake the sleeping giant known as the Braves today.  We want to prioritize the lefties here as they have a .258 ISO and a .402 wOBA against him over the last month. 

Core Bats: Michael Harris, Ozzie Albies, Matt Olson

Secondary Bats: Marcel Ozuna, Austin Riley,

Value Bats: Jarred Kelenic, Orlando Arcia

Other stacks I like tonight will be the Padres vs. Sean Manea, White Sox vs. Ryne Nelson, and both sides of the Pirates/Rockies game. 

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

Hump Day!  It’s Wednesday and that means we’ll have a full day of baseball.  While 4 games are starting at 1pm today, I’ll be focused on the main slate that start after 7pm tonight.  As has become the norm of late, we’re left without top end pitching tonight.  The most expensive pitcher tonight is Sonny Gray at $10k and I’m not sure I can get there with him tonight as he hasn’t been as dominant as he was to start the year.  There are however a few spots for pitchers that I really like

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Christopher Sanchez ($8k on DK) vs. Boston Red Sox

Lefties vs. the Red Sox has become a thing this season.  The Red Sox as a team have been striking out at a torrid pace vs. lefties in 2024.  If we look at the projected lineup for the Red Sox tonight, we’ll see that they have 6 guys in the lineup that have a strike-out rate over 25% vs. lefties and 4 of them are over 30%.  While Christopher does not blow most hitters away, at his price point we don’t need someone to K 10 hitters. 

In this matchup, he has a real shot of striking out 6-7 hitters.  If we can get that plus 6 innings of work and limited damage, we’re talking about a pitcher that could crush his value.  In 3 of his last 6 starts, he’s been well over 20 DK points and this is a matchup where he can get there again.  He’s not splashy, but he’ll get the job done for us today. 

Bryce Miller ($9k on DK) vs. Chicago White Sox

I’m looking for Bryce Miller to get back to form tonight.  He’s coming off an awful start against the Royals, but who hasn’t had a bad start vs. the Royals this season?  We’ve seen Miller throw some gems this season and if we look at the bad starts they’ve typically been against really strong lineups.  His recent duds have been against teams like the Royals, Yankees, and Orioles.  All top MLB offenses. 

He’ll get the luxury of facing off against an awful White Sox lineup.  The White Sox have an OPS under .625 this season against righties and wOBA of .278.  Both numbers indicate severe struggles and they’ll struggle against a pitcher that has a ceiling upside today.  I’m hopeful his last outing lowers his ownership because he should do well tonight.   

I don’t have Sonny Gray listed as one of my top 2 pitchers but he’s definitely in play tonight.  He’s just not a must-start.  5 of his last 6 starts have been mediocre at best and with him being the only pitcher at $10k or above, I’m willing to fade with the hopes the Pirates can get to him.  Other pitchers I like tonight will be David Peterson vs. Miami and maybe Nick Lodolo vs. Cleveland.  This is a slate without many options on the mound and a case could be made to stack against every one of them.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

New York Yankees vs. Dan Altavilla/Daniel Lynch

To avoid having Daniel Lynch face Juan Soto and Aaron Judge in the first inning, the Royals will be turning the ball over to opener Dan Altavilla.  Anyway you splice it, Lynch will have to at some point face off against these 2, and bad things are going to happen when he does.  Daniel Lynch is a pitcher who once had a ton of promise thanks to his expected K upside.  Boy have things gone badly for him in the Majors.  He broke into the bigs in 2021 and he’s had now just one season with an ERA under 5. 

He’s someone that we’ll typically be able to rely on to give up some runs.  He’s coming off a shellacking handed down to him by the Mariners last week.  He gave up 8 ER in just 4 innings of work.  I’m not sure we can expect a similar fate as that was horrendous, but with him giving up a 47% hard-hit rate so far this season a repeat isn’t completely out of the question.  We want to focus mostly on the righties here as they have typically been his weakness.  He’s given up 42 homers in his career and 40 have been to righties.  Sure Juan Soto is matchup-proof, but if I’m paying over $6k for a hitter it’s going to be in a platoon advantage type of spot.

Core Bats: Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, Gleyber Torres

Secondary Bats: Anthony Volpe, Juan Soto, Alex Verdugo

Value Bats: Oswaldo Cabrera, DJ LeMahieu, Jose Trevino

Los Angeles Angels vs. Slade Cecconi

Slade Cecconi is arguably the worst pitcher on this slate.  Even when he throws an ok start like this last one, there are still major flags being raised showing how bad he is.  He’s had just two starts this season where he’s had an xFIP under 4.70.  More often than not, his starts have had an xFIP over 5.  He’s giving up a massive amount of hard contact this season as he’s given up 10 barrels over the last month. 

To make matters worse, he’s also given up a flyball rate of over 50%.  So a ton of hard-hit balls in the air.   What could go wrong!  With Cecconi, we want to focus on righties.  They are torching him this season especially of late.  Over the last 30 days, righties have a .410 ISO and a .488 wOBA vs. him.  Yikes!

Core Bats: Luis Rengifo, Taylor Ward, Kevin Pillar

Secondary Bats: Logan O’Hoppe, Willie Calhoun

Value Bats: Zach Neto, Michael Stefanic

Other stacks I like tonight will be the Mets vs. Braxton Garrett, Dodgers vs. Jon Gray, and Cardinals vs. Bailey Falter.  I don’t mind the Guardians vs. Nick Lodolo either. 

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

Happy Tuesday everyone!  We have ourselves a massive 12-game slate of MLB DFS tonight.  This slate brings us one of the most reliable pitchers on the board, Zack Wheeler.  It also brings us a bunch of other pitchers that are good, but not at the ace level.  We’ll also have plenty of different options for stacking purposes tonight.  This slate is shaping up to be a fun one. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Pauk Skenes ($9.4k on DK) vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Few pitchers in the game possess the strikeout ability of Paul Skenes.  The rookie and former LSU standout is living up to the hype this season.  Of the 5 starts he has so far made this season, his start against the Dodgers may have been the most impressive.  While he gave up 3 ER in that game, he also fanned 8 in just 5 innings of work. The Dodgers have one of the top offenses in the league and Skenes was still able to mow down hitters.  His nearly 36% K rate this season ranks first out of all the pitchers on the mound tonight. 

He’ll have a much easier task today as he faces off against the St. Louis Cardinals.  The Cardinals have been pretty mediocre this season.  Against righties this year the Cardinals have a nearly 24% K rate and just a .142 ISO.  This is a matchup that Skenes should be able to excel today.

Tylor Megil ($7.3k on DK) vs. Miami Marlins

After a strong comeback win against the Phillies in London, the Mets return home in an attempt to kick-start their season.  They’ll get a great draw of the cards as they take on the last-place Marlins.  Helping the Mets tonight in an attempt to get back into the playoff race will be Tylor Megill.  Megill has been mostly strong this season with 3 of his 4 starts being solid. 

His 2 starts before his dud against the Nats were dominant, including a 9 K performance against the Dodgers.  This should be his easiest start to date and one he should do well in.  The Marlins have shown little to no pop against righties this season.  They have a .661 OPS vs. righties, a .127 ISO, and a .292 wOBA.  Look for Megill to dominate tonight. 

Other pitchers I like this afternoon will be Zack Wheeler vs. Boston and Bryan Woo vs. Chicago.  

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Cincinnati Reds vs. Triston McKenzie

In DFS, there are 2 things to chase.  The first is K’s and the second is home runs.  With McKenzie, we have someone giving up dingers and giving up dingers often.  Over his last 4 starts, Triston McKenzie has given up an eye-opening 9 dingers.  That’s just a crazy number of homers.  He’s not only giving up a ton of homers but he’s also getting rocked.  He’s giving up a 36% hard-hit rate over the last month and has also given up 10 barrels. 

Again, these are crazy numbers to give up and it’s something we want to take advantage of.  With the Reds hitting the ball well right now, it should be a good matchup for us tonight.  I normally like to take advantage of platoon matchups, but we want to make sure we get some righties in here.  Righties have been crushing McKenzie this season with a .220 ISO and a .367 wOBA.

Core Bats: Spencer Steer, Elly De La Cruz, Tyler Stephenson

Secondary Bats: TJ Friedl, Jeimer Candelario, Jake Fraley

Value Bats: Jonathan India, Will Benson

Los Angeles Angels vs. Jordan Montgomery

One has to wonder if top free agents to be will continue to use Scott Boras as their agent.  He continues to put his free agents in bad spots and turn down lucrative contracts, only to get short-term deals and then struggle.  We are seeing it this season with Blake Snell and Jordan Montgomery.  Without a true spring training, both guys have struggled and struggled mightily.  Montgomery is coming off 2 consecutive duds that have seen him give up 14 ER over just 6 innings of work.  It hasn’t been against top offenses either as he gave up 6 to the Giants and 8 to my Mets. 

He’s yet to throw a game this season where he would have warranted the type of deal he was looking for.  His command is off and he’s also giving up a ton of hard contact.  His WHIP over the last month is over 2.  Until he gets it right, we’ll continue to want to stack against him.  What makes matters even better is that the Dbacks bullpen has been equally as bad over the last couple of weeks as they have an ERA and XFIP over 5. 

Core Bats: Kevin Pillar, Logan O’Hoppe (also great value), Luis Rengifo, Taylor Ward

Secondary Bats:

Value Bats: Jo Adell, Michael Stefanic (could be leading off at min price)

Other stacks I like tonight will be the Yankees vs. Brady Singer, Rangers vs. James Paxton, Phillies vs. Kutter Crawford

Top Individual Bats

Aaron Judge

Teoscar Hernandez

Fernando Tatis

Jarren Duran

Top Value Bats

Heliot Ramos

Lenyn Sosa

Paul Dejong

Andrew Vaughn

JP Crawford

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

Happy Saturday y’all!  With it being Saturday, that means we have a massive afternoon slate.  Today, we’ll have a 10-game slate of MLB DFS starting at 4 pm EST.  I’ll be solely focused on that slate.  Here’s another slate where we really won’t be spending too much on pitching.  We have just one pitcher at $10k or above today.  It’s a slate where we should really see some spread-out ownership with pitching.  It’s also a slate that has some really solid spots for bats. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Freddy Peralta ($10k on DK) vs. Detroit Tigers

Really like this spot for Freddy Peralta this afternoon.  The one major concern I have starting Peralta as my SP1 is we typically don’t see much length from him.  He’s gone past 6 innings just once this season and more often than not, he’s going 5-6 innings.  That mostly limits his ceiling, but at $10k we’re not going to stress if he doesn’t get all the way up to 30 DK points. 

While he doesn’t go too long into games, he does make the most of his time on the mound.  Over the last month, Peralta has a 33% K rate.  That ranks second of all pitchers throwing this afternoon.  He’ll have the luxury of facing a Tigers offense that is bad.  Over the last week, the Tigers have scored just 17 runs while striking out 27% of the time.  This is a David vs. Goliath type matchup and Goliath should prevail.  I’m locking Peralta into my SP1 spot tonight. 

Kyle Bradish ($8.7k on DK) vs. Tampa Bay Rays

I know that Kyle Bradish burned us in this same matchup a week ago, but I’m going right back to the well because it’s tough to ignore the K upside for him.  He has the second-highest K rate over the last 30 days of anyone on the hill this afternoon at nearly 34%.  Prior to his matchup vs. the Rays last weekend, Bradish had put up 5 very strong outings in a row. 

He was the epitome of bad luck last week as the Rays had a BABIP of .700.  That’s not sustainable and it should come back down today.  This is an average at best lineup for the Rays these days and one that Bradish should be able to dominate today.  I’m looking for Bradish to get back on track and rack up even more K’s today at a sub $9k salary. 

Other pitchers I like this afternoon will be Kyle Gibson vs. Colorado, Luis Median vs. Toronto, and Alec Marsh vs. Seattle.     

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Baltimore Orioles vs. Taj Bradley

In 2 of his last 3 starts, Taj Bradley has been absolutely awful.  In those 2 starts, he’s managed to surrender 14 runs thanks to 6 homers.  One of those games was against this same Baltimore offense last Saturday.  We saw him go just 3 innings in that one thanks to giving up 4 homers.  He gave up more homers than strikeouts in that one.  Not a stat you see every day.  Over the last month, Bradley has been giving up a ton of hard contact. 

His hard-hit rate against is a massive 46%.  Across the 26 innings of work, he’s allowed a mind-boggling 14 barrels.  He should continue to struggle today against one of the best offenses in the game in the Orioles.  They have a .195 ISO against righties this season as well as a .733 OPS.  Anything can happen in baseball, but this matchup really speaks for itself. 

Core Bats: Adley Rutschman, Anthony Santander, Gunnar Henderson

Secondary Bats: Ryan Mountcastle, Jordan Westburg

Value Bats: Austin Hays, Connor Norby, Kyle Stowers

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Ryan Feltner

Since I’m going with an expensive stack with my main stack, I need a cheap one to complement them.  In comes the Cardinals who will fit very well with the Orioles this afternoon.  They also happen to get a great matchup vs. a bad pitcher.  Feltner has really struggled of late.  Over the last month, Feltner has pitched to an ERA of 7.3.  That’s not just a Coors thing for Feltner as he’s thrown some duds away from Colorado as well. 

Hitters are teeing off on him as he has a nearly 45% hard-hit rate against him over that same 30-day period.  He’s allowed 7 barrels and 4 homers as well.  With Feltner, we want to target lefty hitters.  Over the last 30 days, lefties have a .300 ISO and a .442 wOBA vs. him.  The Cardinals have a ton of cheap lefties for us. 

Core Bats: Nolan Gorman, Alex Burleson, Brendon Donovan

Secondary Bats: Nolan Arenado, Paul Goldschmidt, Mason Wynn

Value Bats: Matt Carpenter, Michael Siani

Other stacks I like tonight will be the Red Sox vs. Nick Nastrini, Twins vs. Carmen Mlodzinski, and Brewers vs. Casey Mize.  If we get clarity on the weather, the Red Sox vs. Nastrini would be my favorite spot for offense.  The weather in Chicago is very suspect today though.  

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

TGIF!  I don’t know about you, but the weekend could not have come soon enough.  It’s Friday and that typically means we have a larger slate to play with.  We’ll have a 10-game slate of MLB DFS tonight.  Outside of Yoshinobu Yamamoto, this slate lacks any real true ace.  We have some solid pitchers, but no one on this slate is going to be a must-play in terms of pitching.  Yamamoto gets the daunting task of throwing against the Yankees.  I am more than likely out on him due to that.  I’ll let others go to him.

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Garrett Crochet ($8.9k on DK) vs. Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox are an interesting bunch.  We saw them put up a 14-spot last night on this same White Sox team.  That was against a bad righty and White Sox bullpen.  Tonight should be different as I’ve been targeting them with solid lefties most of the year with a bunch of success.  They are a strikeout-prone team against southpaws.  Against lefties this season, they own a 28% k rate.  That’s pitiful.  We’ll target them tonight with a pitcher in Crochet that has the highest K rate over the last month of anyone on the mound today. 

Over the last 30 days, Crochet has a nearly 36% k rate.  The 4th year pitcher is turning into an ace and he needs to be treated as such.  He’s coming off back-to-back starts that saw him strike out a combined 19 Brewers and Orioles.  2 very good offenses.  Look for him to have another high strikeout game tonight against a team that strikes out a turn vs. his handedness. 

Cooper Criswell ($7k on DK) vs. Chicago White Sox

If your team name has Sox in it, I’m attacking you with pitching tonight.  We already touched on the Red Sox, now it’s the White Sox team.  This is a bad White Sox lineup and their “star” player Tommy Pham is currently on the IL.  We saw Tanner Houck throw a gem vs. this same White Sox team last night, striking out 9 along the way.  While Criswell is a clear step below Houck, the White Sox are terrible  vs. righties and Criswell is also significantly cheaper than Houck. 

Criswell for his part has pitched rather solidly this season.  Through 9 starts, he owns a very respectable 3.92 ERA and xFIP even lower than that.  He’s not a high strikeout pitcher, but at this price point we don’t need a ton of K’s.  I plan on using both pitchers in this game, knowing I’m sacrificing a W for one of them.  I expect this to be a boring game with a ton of K’s. 

Other pitchers I like this afternoon will be Michael King vs. Arizona and Chris Bassitt against his former team, the A’s.  This is a slate without many glaring options for pitching.  I’m not spending a ton on this spot tonight.  The two guys I mentioned up top will give us $4.3k per batter on DK.  That’s going to help us put together a strong lineup.  

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Houston Astros vs. Griffin Canning

I’m going to be all over the Astros tonight as they takenon Griffin Canning.  Canning is nothing more than a gas can IMO.  Yes, his ERA is just 2.54 over the last month.  His SIERA and xFIP both tell a different story though.  They are both a full 2 runs higher than his ERA.  They are both pushing 5 and that has me thinking there’s going to be major regression coming his way.  What better team to target him with than the Houston Astros. 

When you target Canning, you target him with lefties.  Lefties have a massive .568 slugging % vs. him this season and a wOBA of .399.  9 of the 11 homers that Canning has given up this season have been to lefties.  Houston happens to have 2 of the best-hitting lefties in the game in Alvarez and Tucker.  Tucker has missed a couple of games with a bruised shin but he should be back in there this evening. 

Core Bats: Kyle Tucker, Yordan Alvarez

Secondary Bats: Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, Jeremy Pena

Value Bats: Victor Caratini, Jake Meyers, Jose Abreu

Cincinnati Reds vs. Justin Steele

Justin Steele has only made 7 starts so far.  Through the 7, he’s already had 4 atrocious starts.  While his last start only 1 run was earned, he still allowed 5 to cross the plate.  Errors or not, you can’t allow 11 runners to reach base through hits or walks across 5 innings of work.  A WHIP over 2 is just bad.  There’s no way to splice it.  Until Steele figures it out like he did the last 2 seasons, I’m going to stack against him. 

Compared to last season, he’s statistically worse in almost every sense of the word.  Walks are up, K’s are down, HR/9 are up, GB% is down.  If there’s a stat, it’s worse this season than last.  It could be due to missing the start of the year, but it also could just be that he’s regressing to the pitcher that he is.  He’s been especially bad against righties this season as they have a .341 wOBA and a .469 slugging % vs. him.  5 of the 6 bombs he’s given up have also been to righties.  That’s where I’m going to use hitters against him tonight. 

Core Bats: Spencer Steer, Jonathan India, Jeimer Candelario

Secondary Bats: Elly De La Cruz (worried about his inconsistency), TJ Friedl

Value Bats: Stuart Fairchild (amazing value if he leads off), Tyler Stephenson

Other stacks I like tonight will be the Yankees vs. Yamamoto, Marlins vs. Logan Allen, Padres vs. Brandon Pfaadt, and Mariners vs. Daniel Lynch.  I’m not expecting the Royals/Guardians to play.  If they do, I love the Mariners side of things.  

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Happy Tuesday!  We have ourselves one of my favorite-sized slates tonight, a 10-game slate of MLB DFS that is.  This slate is loaded with pitching.  We have the likes of Shota Imanaga, Jack Flaherty (never would have guessed he’d be in the ace convo), and Luis Gil.  We’ll need to make some decisions tonight as to whether or not we go double aces or go single and a value pitcher.  That’s because there are some bats in amazing spots, and we’ll want to grab some higher-priced bats. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Shota Imanaga ($10.6k on DK) vs. Chicago White Sox

We have a battle of the windy city tonight as the Cubs play host to their crosstown rivals the White Sox.  A couple of years ago, we never would have thought to use a southpaw vs. the Sox.  They were one of the most feared teams vs. lefties. This year, well they have been dreadful.  They own a combined .116 ISO and just a .268 wOBA vs. lefties.  Just terrible stuff.  Their only saving grace is that their K’s aren’t on the high end.  They’re striking out just 24% of the time.  It’s not a minuscule rate, but not’s nothing that screams ceiling game for an opposing pitcher. 

That said, Imanaga has been amazing this year.  Imanaga is coming off his worst of the year, but it was against an excellent Brewers team so I’m going to give him a pass.  Outside of that one start, he’s been brilliant in his rookie season.  In 60% of his starts, he’s allowed 0 ER.  He’s also struck out 7 or more hitters in 60% of his starts.  Look for him to rebound today in a matchup against a bad team. 

Spencer Arrighetti ($6.7k on DK) vs. St. Louis Cardinals

I really want to go double aces tonight, but I also really want to play the Yankee bats.  Going both Gil and Imanaga would leave just $3.5k per bat and I just don’t think I can build the lineup that I want to with that little per bat.  So I’m going to go with a value pitcher as my SP2.  That leads me to the landing on Spencer Arrighetti.  Arrighetti is starting to figure things out on the mound.  Over his last 6 starts, he’s had at least 14 DK points in 5 of them. 

He’s also coming off the best start of his young career, a start against the Mariners that saw him K 8 in 6 innings of work and not allowing a batter to cross home plate.  In each of his last 4 starts, he’s had an xFIP and SIERA under 4.  He’s starting to figure things out and it won’t be long before we see a rise in his price.  I’m locking him into my SP2 in a favorable matchup vs. an average Cardinals lineup. 

I said in the opener, it’s a huge slate for pitching.  Luis Gil vs. Minny can easily replace Shota Imanaga as my SP1.  Jack Flaherty vs. Texas is also an option, but the Rangers are much better vs. righties than lefties.  Flaherty is due for a regression game and I fear it’s going to come tonight vs. the Rangers.  Max Fried also needs to be in consideration tonight as the Red Sox strike out a ton vs. lefties.  At $9k, he could put up a monster number tonight.  And at the end of the day, I may very well go with a Fried/Arrighetti pairing to win my $10k in the Battery tonight. 

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

New York Yankees vs. Bailey Ober

The Yankees lineup continues to steamroll the competition.  Over the last week, only the Brewers have scored more runs than the Yankees.  At 42-19, the Yankees are tied with the Phillies for the best record in baseball.  As a Mets fan, that hurt to write.  They should continue to roll tonight as they take on Bailey Ober of the Twins.  In 2 of his last 3 starts, Ober has given up at least 5 ER.  If we look at his season as a whole, he’s allowed at least a 45% hard-hit rate in 7 of his 11 starts.  He’s just allowing a ton of hard contact this year. 

Not only is he giving up a ton of hard contact, but he’s also been susceptible to the long ball this year. His HR/9 of 1.58 is the highest it’s been since he broke into the league in 2021.  When looking for stacks, trying to target pitchers giving up the long ball is important.  That’s what we have in Ober.  With Ober, we have a pitcher who is giving up a ton of power to righties this season and it’s something that’s been consistent throughout his career.  Righties have  .254 ISO vs. him compared to the .230 he gave up last season.  That means we’ll want to prioritize getting Judge into our lineups. 

Core Bats: Aaron Judge, Anthony Volpe, Juan Soto (Judge is my preference of the high-priced guys)

Secondary Bats: Stanton, Verdugo, Rizzo, Torres

Value Bats: Wells, LeMahieu

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kyle Harrison

The Diamondbacks have been one of the best teams this season vs. lefties.  They’ve produced a ton of power and have been stingy in terms of strikeouts.  Their OPS on the season vs. lefties is an impressive .775, while their K rate is also an impressive 19%.  The Diamondbacks have 3 guys that sit in the top 30 in all of baseball in terms of OPS vs. lefties this season (Marte at #6, Alexander at #17, and Gurriel at #27). 

That sets up great for them as they’ll be taking on a pitcher in Kyle Harrison who is getting pummeled right now.  In his last 2 starts, he’s allowed a combined 8 barrels, with 4 of them coming off the struggling New York Mets.  Look for the Diamondbacks to put some cash in our pockets tonight. 

Core Bats: Marte, Alexander, Gurriel

Secondary Bats: Walker, Suarez

Value Bats: Grichuk, Newman, Moreno

Other stacks I like tonight will be the Cubs vs. Chris Flexen, Braves vs. Crawford, and both teams in Colorado. 

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Happy Saturday y’all!  I for one can’t believe it’s already June 1.  It seems like just yesterday it was opening day.  We’re now 2 months into the season and things are very clear.  There are teams that have are clear favorites to win their divisions and unless something changes drastically for others, we’re more than likely looking at a Yanks/Phils WS.  They are the clear top teams.  I’ll be focused on today’s 9-game slate of MLB DFS starting at 4pm.  This slate brings us one very clear ace and it also brings us some very solid pitching. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Chris Sale ($11k on DK) vs. Oakland Athletics

Chris Sale is going to be chalk this afternoon and I just don’t think there’s a way around it.  He is by far the best and most talented pitcher on this slate and he has one of the best matchups on the board.  The A’s have been terrible vs. lefties this season.  They have a 25% K rate, a .654 OPS, and a .284 wOBA vs. lefties.  This screams ceiling-type game for a pitcher who has returned to his glory years. 

After a myriad of injuries cost him essentially 3 seasons, Sale is back to being the pitcher he was when he broke into the league with the White Sox.  His ERA is the lowest it’s been in a decade and his strikeouts are over 11 per 9 innings.  His walks are also down to a level we haven’t seen in years.  While the price is high, he has 30 point upside this afternoon.  He’s a lock for my SP1 today. 

Kyle Bradish ($8.8k on DK) vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Whenever I recommend a pitcher against the Rays, I feel a little dirty.  Over the years, they’ve won us a bunch of money stacking them.  This year’s team doesn’t have the same fire as years past.  Guys like Randy Arozarena and Brandon Lowe are really struggling.  They’ve been the heart and soul of this team and where they go, the Rays go.  Right now, they aren’t going anywhere and they are really struggling vs. righties.  Against righties this year, the Rays offense is nearly non-existent. 

Today they’ll face a righty that the Orioles are counting on to give them innings as two of their top pitchers in John Means and Tyler Wells will be out the rest of the year.  He’s only made 5 starts so far this season, but man have they been good.  Across 5 starts, he’s allowed just 5 ER and has a 32% K rate.  For a pitcher under $9k, we really can’t ask for much more than what he’s been providing.  Similar to Sale, Bradish has a ceiling upside today in this matchup. 

Other pitchers I like this afternoon will be Reese Olson (strong value) vs. Boston, Garrett Crochet vs. Milwaukee, and Ryan Weathers vs. Texas. 

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

New York Mets vs. Slade Cecconi

It feels weird to write that, the Mets as a top stack.  To say they’ve been a huge disappointment this season would be an understatement.  They currently sit 9 games under .500 and have been a complete and utter disaster this season.  That said, they held a player-only meeting after getting swept by the Dodgers and have won 2 straight for what feels like the first time this season.  They’ll get a great matchup today vs. Slade Cecconi, a pitcher being recalled from the minors to make this start.  In 3 of his last 4 starts in the bigs, he’s allowed 6 ER. 

In the month of May, he allowed a nearly 38% hard-hit rate and a nearly 62% flyball rate.  In just 20 innings of work, he’s managed to give up 7 homers and 7 barrels.  I’m not going to be concerned with splits here.  Cecconi has been terrible vs. everyone. 

Core Bats: Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonso, JD Martinez, Starling Marte

Secondary Bats: Brandon Nimmo, Jeff McNeil

Value Bats: Mark Vientos, Thomas Nido, Harrison Bader

Atlanta Braves vs. Aaron Brooks

The two guys I’m building my MLB DFS lineups today are going to be Francisco Lindor of the Mets I already mentioned and Matt Olson of the Atlanta Braves.  The Braves get a superb matchup today vs. Aaron Brooks of the Athletics.  The sample size on Brooks this season is small in that he’s only pitched in 3 games.  Through the 3 games though, he’s given up at least 3 runs in all, with his last start being his worst with giving up 5 against Houston in Oakland. 

He’s going to have his hands full today with the second-place Atlanta Braves.  As it stands, the Braves have the highest implied run total on the board at 5.5.  They should get every bit of this in a cake matchup.  My primary focus here is going to be the lefties.  Brooks is giving up a ton of power to lefties this season as they have a .615 slugging % and a .436 wOBA.

Core Bats: Matt Olson, Michael Harris, Ozzie Albies

Secondary Bats: Austin Riley, Marcel Ozuna, Orlando Arcia

Value Bats: Jarred Kelenic (great value today even though he’s in the 9-hole)

Other stacks I like tonight will be the Tigers  vs. Cooper Criswell, Guardians vs. Mitchell Parker, and Twins vs. Framber Valdez

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

TGIF and Happy Patrick Corbin Day to those that celebrate!  Yes, my favorite punching bag is throwing on this slate and is throwing against a dynamic offense.  Tonight, we have ourselves a massive 13-game slate of MLB DFS.  As I already noted, I’ll be picking on our boy Patrick Corbin today.  With 26 teams in action, we surprisingly only have one pitcher over $10k tonight.  We have a bunch of solid arms on the mound though that are in a pretty cost-effective position.  That will make it easy to pay up for hitting tonight. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Marcus Stroman ($8.4k on DK) vs. San Francisco Giants

I really like this price point for Marcus Stroman.  It’s normally reserved for someone that has middle of the road strikeout stuff and that’s exactly what we have with Stroman.  Over the last month, Stroman has had a strikeout rate of just over 17%.  Some of that has to do with 2 low strikeout games over the last month against Minnesota and Detroit.  In 3 of his 5 starts in May, he went for at least 5 strikeouts.  If we can get 5 strikeouts from him tonight at this price, I’ll take it.  With a date against the Giants, I think he can do it. 

The Giants have been starting to strike out a bit more than they have been as they have a 25% K rate over the last week.  They also haven’t faired too well in the power department this season vs. righties.  The projected lineup tonight for the Giants has just a .119 ISO and .265 wOBA vs. righties this season.  Stroman definitely has 20 20-point upside for us tonight.  On this slate, without a pitcher that has 30 30-point upside, I’ll take that. 

Tanner Houck ($9.6k on DK) vs. Detroit Tigers

Tanner Houck is quietly turning into the ace of this Red Sox staff.  Through his first 11 starts of the 2024 season, Houck has an ERA below 2.  While we can’t expect him to have that all year long, his xFIP and FIP are both under 3.  We’re talking about a pitcher who is pitching extremely well this season and isn’t one that is getting lucky.  His control this season has been impeccable.  His BB/9 are a career-low number of 1.65.  That’s half of what it was last season. 

He’s also doing a great job of getting hitters to chase as his chase rate is over 31%.  Only Dylan Cease has a higher number on this slate than him.  The Tigers are a team that typically struggles vs. righties as they have a K rate over 24% and an iso under .160.  He’s had way more starts this season being over 20 DK points than under 10 DK points.  Look for him to continue with this strong start to the season in this great matchup. 

The other pitchers I like tonight will be Walker Buehler vs. Colorado, Dylan Cease (I’m not forcing him tonight) vs. Kansas City, Tobias Myers vs. Chicago, Jose Siriano vs. Seattle (he may end up being in my top 2), and Luis Severino vs. Arizona.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Cleveland Guardians vs. Patrick Corbin

Not sure what needs to be said on this one.   Patrick Corbin is one of my favorite pitchers to target with hitters.  More often than not, he gives up a healthy amount of runs.  He now has started 11 games.  Out of those 11 games, he’s given up at least 4 ER in 7 of them.  For those without a calculator in hand, that means he’s allowed less than 4 ER in just 4 starts this season.  He’s been especially bad in his last 2 games, giving up a total of 12 ER and 5 bombs. 

For the full season, he’s already allowed a hard-hit rate over 47%.  That’s the highest it’s ever been in his career and he’s had some high seasons.  I’m not going to shy away from lefties in this stack, but I really want to focus on the righties.  8 of the 9 homers he’s allowed this season have been to righties.  Corbin has been especially bad away from DC this season, with a .424 wOBA against compared to “just” .365 at home.  He’s on the road tonight, we’re stacking against him.

Core Bats: Jose Ramirez, David Fry, Tyler Freeman

Secondary Bats: Andres Gimenez, Josh Naylor

Value Bats: Johnathan Rodriguez, Gabriel Arias, Brayan Rocchio

Baltimore Orioles vs. Aaron Civale

Aaron Civale is getting hit, and he’s getting hit hard!  During May, Civale has made 5 starts.  In all but one of those starts, he allowed a hard-hit rate over of 45%.  He also gave up a home run in each of those 5 starts.  Civale has had multiple starts this season giving up at least 4 or more runs to opposing offenses.  He’s been bad and he’s someone that we want to stack against tonight. 

While he’s been bad against both sides of the plate, I’m going to be heavily focused on the lefties in this lineup.  Lefties have a .511 slugging % vs. him this season and a .376 wOBA.  He’s going to be facing off against an Orioles lineup tonight that should be able to throw out at least 6 lefties in this lineup.  Good luck sir!

Core Bats: Gunnar Henderson, Adley Rutschman, Ryan O’Hearn, Cedric Mullins

Secondary Bats: Anthony Santander, Ryan Mountcastle, Colton Cowser

Value Bats: Jorge Mateo

Other stacks I like tonight will be the Braves vs. JP Sears, Red Sox vs. Kent Maeda, Pirates vs. Jose Berrios, and Blue Jays vs. Bailey Falter

Favorite Home Run Props

Ryan O’Hearn +600 BetMGM

David Fry +600 BetMGM

Rafael Devers +360 FD

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

Hump day!  With it being Wednesday, that will mean we have multiple slates today.  I’ll be focused on the main slate of games starting at 7 pm EST.  This slate is loaded with options for pitching.  We’ll need to make the decision if we’re going to go with double barreled aces or go with one high priced pitcher and one value pitcher so we can grab some Coors’ bats. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Luis Gil ($10.3k on DK) vs. Los Angeles Angels

The Yankees have themselves a second ace on this staff to complement Gerrit Cole.  While Cole has been out, Luis Gil has been the ace of this staff.  He’s putting together a phenomenal season so far.  He’s currently sporting an ERA of 2.11 on the year and has a massive 11.39 K/9.  Over the last month, he’s been dominant.  His K% over the last 30 days is an astounding 31%.  That is tops of anyone throwing tonight. 

He’s also barely giving up any hard contact as his hard-hit rate over the last month is just 23.5%.  A matchup against the Angels is not one that we should be concerned with and he should continue to play to his 22.9 DK average easily tonight.  Look for him to be one of the top scoring pitchers on this slate. 

Seth Lugo ($9.6k on DK) vs. Minnesota Twins

If the AL Cy Young Award were given today, Seth Lugo would be one of the leading candidates.  In his first year with Kansas City, Lugo has been a force to be reckoned with.  Through his first 11 starts this season, Lugo is sporting a 1.74 ERA and a WHIP of just .97.  Both are career-best numbers and while I’m sure we’ll see some negative regression at some point, I just don’t see it happening against this Twins lineup. 

They have some pop, but this lineup is also one that can be had.  Over the last 2 season, the projected lineup for the Twins has a K rate of over 25% vs. righties.  I really like this spot for Lugo tonight to continue to put up strong numbers. 

The other pitchers I like tonight will be Shota Imanaga vs. Milwaukee, MacKenzie Gore vs. Atlanta, Alek Manoah vs. Chicago, and Justin Verlander vs. Seattle.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chris Flexen

After the Blue Jays put up a 7 spot for us last night, I’m going right back to the well with them tonight.  This is an even tastier matchup for us tonight as the Blue Jays take on Chris Flexen. If you’ve read my articles in the past, you know I love picking on our boy Flexen.  Over the last month, Flexen has been terrible.  Actually, we really could say since 2022 that Flexen has been terrible.  Over his last 3 starts, Flexen has allowed 14 ER.  His WHIP of 1.4 over the last month is one that we should exploit. 

He’s putting a ton of runners on each game.  He’s also giving up a ton of contact at more than 81% over his last 24 innings of work.  With Flexen, we don’t really need to worry about splits.  Both sides of the plate have wOBA’s approaching .350 over the last 30 days.  Lefties have hit for a bit more power though, but again, he’s been bad against both sides.

Core Bats: Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette, Davis Schneider

Secondary Bats: George Springer

Value Bats: Isiah Kiner-Falefa, Cavan Biggio, Kevin Kiermaier

Cleveland Guardians vs. Ty Blach

I normally try to avoid putting a Coors team in one of my top stacks, but this is just such a solid spot for the Cleveland tonight.  Ty Blach has just a 4.15 ERA over the last month, but it’s that low due to some luck.  He’s been getting hit as hard as anyone in baseball over the last 30 days.  His hard-hit rate against him is a whopping 38%.  Blach also has allowed a 91% contact rate.  That’s just an insane number of hard-hit balls that are being put into play against him. 

No one, and I mean literally no one on this slate is giving up anywhere near as close to the amount of hard contact as Blach.  That sets up great for a team that is currently smashing the ball and one that is dominant against lefties.  We’ll want to focus on the righties here as Blach has given up a .442 wOBA against them in May. 

Core Bats: Tyler Freeman, David Fry, Jose Ramirez

Secondary Bats: Andres Gimenez, Josh Naylor, Austin Hedges

Value Bats: Johnathan Rodriguez, Gabriel Arias

Other stacks I like tonight will be the White Sox  vs. Alek Manoha, Astros vs. George Kirby, and Royals vs. Bailey Ober

Favorite Home Run Props

Kyle Tucker +390 on FD

Cal Raleigh +285 on FD

David Fry +560 on FD

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!