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Mike Moustakas

MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 8/7 (FanDuel Main Slate)

Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s 10-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

Some light rain in Baltimore, where I’m not looking at pitchers anyway, and some normal pop-up chances in Atlanta and Cincy, but nothing tumultuous that could PPD a game we’re featuring. Giddyup!

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Julio Urias ($10,000)

Urias may not have the highest upside on the slate, but both he and a pitcher to be named later offer the best chance at safety in cash games. His solid July numbers (2.30 ERA, .264 wOBA, 20% K rate, 5.6% BB rate) portend a more steady stretch in the season’s second half. The scuffling Angels have hit just .216/.271/.342 over the past week and this should not be considered a get-right spot for the halos. I’ll be plugging Urias in about half my cash and a third of my GPP lines tonight and moving on to some value stacks.

Best GPP Value: Yu Darvish ($9,600)

Last week we discussed how Darvish has struggled in July and had a good spot against the Rockies and he got lit up (including yielding a HR to the opposing pitcher, German Marquez) for 5 ER — though he did rack up 8 Ks and 27 FD points. This time we have reason to expect he can improve on those numbers and hit the 40+ threshold we’re looking for in GPPs. Adam Strangis discusses Darvish’s matchup in the 8/7 Starting Rotation article and as usual it’s a must-read. Darvish has been a reverse-splits pitcher in 2021 because of the soft contact he induces against LHB, and with the D-Backs’ featuring a slew of lefty hitters and the team K rate at 23.6% (24.4% vs. RHP), he’s once again in a great spot for GPPs.

Value Cash/Single-Entry GPP Play: Charlie Morton ($8,700)

At one point, a matchup against the Nationals would have scared me off a guy like Morton, and there may still be some oblivious DFS folks who don’t take advantage of what we’re really getting on this slate with the veteran hurler in this spot. That’s a solid floor of around 30-35 FD points and the opportunity to notch 55-60+ points if he hits his ceiling. Over his past nine starts dating back to June 17, Morton has at least 25 FD points in every one, with four in the 45+ point range and three at 52, 54 and 64 FD points. The Nats have been decimated by injuries and trades and have only or two hitters that really frighten me, so I’ll have some shares of Morton in both cash and GPPs where I may need the extra $1,000 to $1,300 to squeeze in a potent stack.

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Colorado Rockies

This idea that we don’t have to tell you to play hitters n Coors has been around for quite a while, but some days you need to reiterate just how high the team total for Colorado (or in many cases their opponent) is. Today’s the home team is in a really great spot against a talented but unproven starter in Jesus Luzardo that may not be ready for the Mile-High treatment. There’s a very good avenue to some decent value in fastball-mashing Brendan Rogers ($3,500) and Elias Diaz ($3,400) before we have to pay a premium for Trevor Story ($4,300) and C.J. Cron ($4,000), and we could always mix in a guy like Yonathan Daza ($3,000). It’s not a slate we need to overthink, and getting exposure to the Rockies is a good idea on a slate where they won’t garner that high of the ownership share.

GPP Stack: Cincinnati Reds

They’ve been RED-hot as of late and just got Mike Moustakas back from the IL Damn near everybody in the lineup got in on the action last night, and now we’ve got a roster chock full of left-handed hitters looking to annihilate Mitch Keller and exceed the massive projected 6+ run total the Cincy crew is carrying into the slate. Moustakas is a ridiculous bargain at $2,500, while some of the usual suspects — Joey Votto ($4,100), Jesse Winker ($4,100), Jonathan India ($3,700) and Nick Castellanos ($3,500) — still feel underpriced somehow. Throw in Kyle Farmer ($2,900), who’s been on absolute fire in the second half (.421/.470/.671 slash line, 1.141 OPS with a 200 wRC+), and lefty Tyler Naquin ($2,900) — and you’ve got plenty of options to choose from.

Contrarian Stack: Cleveland Indians

With the majority of ownership heading to the Rockies, Reds and likley the Dodgers and Braves, I’m more than happy to give the future Guardians a chance to put up galactic numbers against a weak Detroit southpaw (Tyler Alexander) and bullpen. Getting exposure to the top four — Myles Straw ($2,600), Amed Rosario ($2,900), Jose Ramirez ($3,700), Franmil Reyes ($3,500) is optimal, and we can take a few shots with Harold Ramirez (2,400), Bobby Bradley ($2,500) and Oscar Mercado ($2,500) if we need some bargain plays. If we want to pay up for a top arm and fade Coors in some lineups, there’s a few cheap and potent bats on the Detroit end (facing the hittable Eli Morgan) to make this a full game stack! Let’s go DET-CLE!!

Make sure to keep an eye on the starters as lineups are released. Good luck tonight, and please utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

3 years ago 0 comments

MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 4/10 (FanDuel Main Slate)

Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

We’ve got some live arms and potent bats in this edition of Aces and Bases focusing ONLY on FanDuel’s six-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET.

There’s a couple of bad weather spots to look out for (BOS @ BAL & LAA @ TOR), both of which could offer some scoring opportunities, but we’ll give you some safer and more appealing options.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top Ace: Ian Anderson ($8,600)

Anderson gave up four hits, two BB and just 1 ER in his 2021 debut against these same Philadelphia Phillies on April 4, striking out seven batters in just 5.0 IP. He’s an electric young pitcher who’s shown us both bat-missing dominance in his career so far (11.57 K/9 in the first 37.1 IP over 2020-21). While it’s tempting to slot in Julio Urias ($10K on FD and a solid pitcher in his own right) Anderson has the most upside on the slate and should be locked into most of your builds.

Best Value: Chris Paddack ($6,900)

Paddack makes sense as a low-cost pivot from Anderson a slate without too many usable DFS arms, and it’s because he sports a low walk rate (5.5% for his career) and 9.46 K/9 rate over 203.2 major league IP. He gives up a few solo shots once in a while, and the 1.64 HR/9 metric is one of the more alarming ones on his resume, but strikeouts and preventing huge innings on FD are king, and that’s where he’ll give you more than any other pitcher at this price point.

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Dodgers vs. Nationals (RHP Austin Voth)

There’s only one team in baseball with better offensive numbers than the Dodgers (and we’ll discuss them in a bit), but the Bashers in Blue boast a very respectable .377 team wOBA and 143 wRC+ through the first week couple weeks of the season, and they are deep – which means they can still bring the pain without a couple stud hitters. The low-scoring affair from last night is almost sure to see a turnaround tonight via the bats of Corey Seager ($4,300), Max Muncy ($3,300) and some other relatively low-cost secondary options in the lineups. With Mookie Betts day-to-day with a back injury and Cody Bellinger on the IL, we can take advantage of whatever mispriced bats slot into their usual spots and roll with the 1-4 hitters.

Value/Contrarian Stack: Padres vs. Rangers (RHP Jordan Lyles)

Using the Padres might be the contrarian route when most of the masses turn to the discounted Dodgers and value-packed Reds. I prefer the 1-4 hitters here, with three lefty bats against a right-hander who’s career .357 wOBA versus LHBs gives us something to attack with Trent Grisham ($2,500), Jake Cronenworth ($3,100) and Eric Hosmer ($3,700). Mix in No. 3 hitter Manny Machado ($3,400) at 3B or drift down to Wil Myers ($3,300) and you’ve got a slew of studs without breaking the bank.

Value Stack: Reds vs. Diamondbacks (RHP Riley Smith)

Virtually any four-man combination of the Reds 1-6 hitters today could yield massive returns against RHP Riley Smith. Righty-lefty doesn’t matter all that much with this bunch, as their best two hitters have been right-handed Nick Castellanos ($4,200) and lefty slugging Tyler Naquin ($3,400). We can expect a positive progression from Eugenio Suarez ($3,100), who always has double-dong potential, and veteran Joey Votto ($2,600), who comes at a massive discount in contrast to his career production. Rounding out the stacking possibilities are Mashin’ Mike Moustakas ($3,300), Jesse Winker ($3,000 – who normally leads off against RHP but is day-to-day with a calf injury) and the red-hot Jonathan India ($3,200), who had 10 hits in his fist 21 ABs of 2021.

Good luck!

3 years ago 0 comments

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

7/26 MLB DFS: The Fearless Five (DK GPP)

TimmySigs 4 years ago

written by TimmySigs

I’ve got five hitters for you to consider for the early 7/26 MLB DFS 11-game slate in DK GPPs, where it pays to be fearless and swing for the fences!

7/26 MLB DFS – C Robinson Chirinos (DK $3,900) TEX vs. COL

The Rangers offense has been a bit slow out of the gate, but RHBsin that lineup have a favorable matchup vs. LHP Kyle Freeland. One fearless leftymasher who comes at a considerable discount is Chirinos – an ample power sourceat catcher and a guy who often flies under the radar in DFS. If you’re notpaying up for J.T. Realmuto (DK $4,800), Mitch Garver ($4,900) or ChristianVazquez (DK $4,300), Chirinos makes sense as part of a stack or as a one-off tosave a few bucks and get similar upside. *Note: Chirinos battled an ankleinjury near the close of camp and sat out Saturday but looks to be good to gofor today.

7/26 MLB DFS – 1B Joey Votto (DK $3,800) CIN vs. DET

Speaking of discounts, Votto is a relatively inexpensive veteran slugger off to an uncharacteristically hot start, with a couple HRs in his first two games. I’m intrigued by the Reds stack against eminently hittable Spencer Turnbull, who’s been known to issue the occasional free pass and give up the long ball. Spend-up options include Anthony Rizzo (DK $5,000) and one-off Josh Bell (DK $4,900), and the punt-worthy Michael Chavis (DK $2,900) is available at both 1B and 2B – but I’m putting about half my GPP eggs in the Votto basket on the early slate.

7/26 MLB DFS – SS Alex Bregman (DK $4,900) HOU vs. SEA

Thankfully, Bregman is available at both SS and 3B on DK, where there’s a few other guys I’d like to play at the hot corner. The Astros have the second-highest projected total after the Red Sox, and it’s a GPP priority to lock in Bregman and his eye-popping .417 career wOBA vs. LHP against Yusei Kikuchi, a southpaw with a home run problem. Xander Bogaerts (DK $4,600) got the day off Saturday but returns to the BoSox lineup this afternoon, so he’s a viable option as pivot from Bregman, in Boston stacks or alongside Bregman if you plug the latter in at 3B. Red-hot Didi Gregorius (DK $3,500) sticks out as a value option for the Phillies.

7/26 MLB DFS – 3B Mike Moustakas (DK $4,000) CIN vs. DET

I’d like to play both Reds 3B Eugenio Suarez (DK $4,500) and Moustakas on DK, but you have to take your pick since each player is limited to a singular position at the hot corner. While Suarez might see lower ownership, we can probably get our variance elsewhere, as the man who sounds like a delicious Mediterranean casserole comes in with the highest daily simulated projections in the Cincy lineup. He’s the anchor of a 1-2-4-5-6 Reds stack that won’t cost you a bundle, and his upside is similar to more expensive options like Josh Donaldson (DK $4,200) and Rafael Devers (DK $5,200).

7/26 MLB DFS – OF Christian Yelich (DK $5,600) MIL at CHC

I’m on board with using potent Reds leadoff hitter Jesse Winker (DK $3,500) and value option Shogo Akiyama (DK $2,000) – easy-to-fit stack components who could make or break the slate – but my favorite spend-up at OF on DK is Yelich, who annihilated RHPs to the tune of a .473 wOBA and 195 wRC+ in 2019. The Brewers star went 1-for-5 with a dinger in yesterday’s game and we could see the wind blowing out in Wrigley this afternoon. I’m also interested in seeing Joey Gallo (DK $4,300) solve the new roofed park in Texas, so I’ll be mixing in shares of him as well. Yelich is expensive, but my first few builds include him and all of the aforementioned players with Trevor Bauer and Carlos Carrasco at my pitching spots – two of the highest projected starters in the slate.

ANOTHER NOTE: It’s also my 45th birthday today, so taking down one of the big GPPs on DraftKings would be the ultimate present! Good luck… and be fearless!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @LouisLipps and be sure to sign up for a ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return.

Image of Christian Yelich courtesy of Erik Drost.

4 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

8/26 DFS Hitting Picks and Prop Plays: Brewin’ Birds

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

It’s Monday, which means it’s a travel day for numerous MLB teams. That’s why we have only eight games in total and seven in the night slate. We’re going to go ahead and eliminate the one day game between Colorado and Atlanta because there really won’t be much action on that game for DFS purposes. What’s interesting here is that we have five of the eight games being played in pitcher’s parks, so we’re going to try to avoid those if possible. So, let’s get into our 8/26 DFS Hitting picks for the night slate.

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8/26 DFS Hitting Catcher

Yasmani Grandal, MIL vs. STL

DK ($4,600) FD ($3,100)

In such a limited slate, I was pleased that we were able to find such a good catcher at such a reasonable price. The simple fact is, Grandal is in the midst of a career year and he’s recording some of the best numbers among anyone at the catcher position. In fact, Grandal is generating a .381 OBP and .848 OPS this season, which are both Top-5 among catchers. Getting to hit from the left side is the main reason we like Grandal, with the Milwaukee battery mate posting a .483 SLG and .826 OPS against right-handers since 2017. That’s huge against Adam Wainwright and we’ll go over his struggles in our third base write-up.

8/26 DFS Hitting First Basemen

Paul Goldschmidt, STL at MIL

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,700)

Goldy has had a disappointing season by his standards but we really like him here against a lefty in a hitter-friendly stadium like Miller Park. Let’s begin with that matchup, as he faces Gio Gonzalez, who’s pitching to a 4.17 FIP and 1.40 WHIP dating back to last season. More importantly, right-handed hitters have a .345 OBP and 1.50 WHIP against him in that same span. That’s huge for a guy like Goldy, who’s got a .426 OBP, .589 SLG and 1.014 OPS against southpaws for his career.

8/26 DFS Hitting Second Basemen

Gleyber Torres, NYY at SEA

DK ($5,100) FD ($4,200)

Any time the Yankees get a matchup against a lefty, they’re always in play for a full-on stack. Sending out a bunch of potent righties is the main reason why and Torres would be the main part of that stack. What we really like is his recent form, with Torres collecting 12 homers over his last 20 games. That’s led to him providing 32 dingers and a .552 SLG for the year, which is simply incredible statistics. He’s killed lefties in his career too, tallying a .538 SLG and .880 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. Tommy Milone is certainly not a southpaw we need to fear either and we’ll go over that in the outfield write-up.

8/26 DFS Hitting Third Basemen

Mike Moustakas, MIL vs. STL

DK ($5,000) FD ($3,700)

We foreshadowed Wainwright’s numbers in the Grandal recommendation, so let’s discuss why we like these Brewers. So far this season. Wainwright is allowing left-handed bats to accrue a .393 OBP, .377 wOBA, 1.86 WHIP and 5.86 FIP against him. Those are ghastly numbers and it really makes him someone we want to stack against in a place like Miller Park. Moustakas should play a major part in that damage, as he too is setting career-highs in AVG, OBP, SLG and OPS. The Moose is really letting it loose right now too, generating a .500 OBP and 1.000 SLG over his last six games en route to a 1.500 OPS.

8/26 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Paul DeJong, STL at MIL

DK ($4,400) FD ($3,400)

Those aforementioned numbers from Gio Gonzalez put many of the Cardinals bats in play, with Goldy, Marcell Ozuna and DeJong being the cream of the crop. The slugging shortstop usually finds himself batting third for the RedBirds and it’s no surprise when you see his career .473 SLG and .794 OPS. That’s huge from a guy who has four dingers in his last 11 games and 10 homers across his last 34 fixtures. DeJong getting the platoon advantage is simply the icing on the cake, with the shortstop producing a .357 OBP against lefties so far this season.

8/26 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Aaron Judge, NYY at SEA

DK ($4,600) FD ($4,100)

Let’s get into Tommy Milone, as he makes the Yankees one of the best stacks of the day. The Seattle southpaw is currently pitching to a 4.84 ERA, which looks even worse when you see his 7.02 ERA and 1.44 WHIP over his last seven starts. That definitely puts Judge in play, with the big man posting a .483 OBP and 1.120 OPS against lefties this season. Those brilliant numbers are coming in a down year, as Judge’s 96.5 MPH exit velocity and 58.4 percent hard-hit rate happen to be the best marks in MLB, which indicates even more positive regression is headed his way.

A.J. Pollock, LAD at SD

DK ($4,400) FD ($3,400)

Pollock has been dealing with injuries throughout his career but he’s always in play when he’s healthy. The reason we like him today is because he gets to face a lefty, with the Dodgers typically batting him leadoff in these circumstances. That’s really no surprise when you see that he has a .369 AVG, .425 OBP, .523 SLG and .948 OPS against lefties so far this season. That’s all you can ask for from a player who has a .383 OBP, .590 SLG and .973 OPS over his last 30 fixtures. Not to mention, he faces Eric Lauer and his 4.47 ERA and 1.40 WHIP.

Corey Dickerson, PHI vs. PIT

DK ($4,700) FD ($3,500)

Dickerson is always a favorite of mine against righties. The simple fact is, this dude is one of the best hitters in the game against right-handed pitching. That’s evident by his .364 wOBA, .534 SLG, .868 OPS and .243 ISO against righties for his career. Those numbers are even better this year, with Dickerson generating a .981 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. Dickerson happens to be raking right now too, hitting .340 over his last 27 games en route to a .649 SLG and 1.013 OPS. That’s the opposite of what Joe Musgrove is doing, with the Pirates righty pitching to a 7.03 ERA and 1.41 WHIP over his last eight starts. That’s even scarier in a hitter’s haven like Citizen’s Bank Ballpark.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

Adam Wainwright Under 5.5 Strikeouts

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Seeing as how we love the Brewers, this prop seems like a great pick. I don’t anticipate Wainwright getting past the fifth inning and that’s truly scary against this lefty-heavy lineup. Wainwright’s 20 percent K rate against lefties and his aforementioned struggles against southpaw bats only add to the value of this prop.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

8/23 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks

Joel Bartilotta 5 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Stay focused!!! I know we’re all giddy to eventually dive into NFL DFS and various Fantasy football drafts, but the 8/23 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks are set for you to make plenty of the long green.

There are 14 games awaiting, with all but Nationals-Cubs being played under the lights, highlighted by a Yankees-Dodgers series that will feel like an October tease. There’s not a monster stack here, but there’s a couple worth considering.

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8/22 DFS Hitting Catcher

Christian Vazquez, BOS at SD

DK ($3,800), FD ($2,700)

Vazquez brings a 1.007 OPS over the past week to Petco Park. While his plate discipline is questionable on the road (.309 OBP), it’s more than made up for by Vazquez’s .509 slugging percentage and .818 OPS in away games, as Vazquez has swatted 10 of his 18 homers away from Fenway. The .202 Isolated Power and 33.9% hard contact rate — both career highs — are continuing to hold up, as his .862 OPS this month is marked improvement over the .778 OPS he produced in July. He gets a good matchup in rookie hurler Chris Paddack, who leads the league with a 70.1 strikeout rate, but has a 43.1% hard contact rate that has made him suspect to brutality at times.

8/23 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Carlos Santana, CLE vs. KC

DK ($4,600), FD ($3,700)

Few have mauled pitchers in the manner Santana has over the past two weeks, as he’s gone on a .364/.485/.745 (1.230 OPS) with six homers, 16 RBI and 17 runs scored. He borders on Must-Start as he’s worn out Royals pitching to the tune of .292/.460/.542 (1.002 OPS) with three homers, 10 runs scored and 15 walks. Santana’s 17% walk rate and 14.8% strikeout rate pairs well against the Royals’ pitching staff, which is 23rd in walks allowed and 27th in Ks from their hurlers.

Santana’s damage to pitchers is more impressive considering he has just a 16.1% line drive rate and a modest 36.8% fly ball rate. The 43.8% hard contact rate is loud when adding his patience at the plate.

8/23 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Keston Hiura, MIL vs. ARI

DK ($4,800), FD ($3,600)

Yeesh, that 30.5% strikeout rate. Yet if you can live with the whiffs, you’ll take the upside of Hiura, who has scored seven runs and produced five extra base hits (all doubles) in the past week. Hiura has shaken off the lack of plate discipline with a .414 BABIP along with a .267 Isolated Power that is better than expected at this stage. You have to like the balance that comes from his batted ball rates, as he’s spraying line drives (24.5%) and getting the ball in the air (40.3%) while delivering a solid 43.4% hard contact rate and a 40.9% medium contact rate.

Hiura has thrived well against Diamondbacks pitching, going .389/.389/.667 in 18 at-bats. He’ll get the inconsistent Merrill Kelly on the mound for Arizona, which should translate into a good Friday for Hiura.

8/23 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Mike Moustakas, MIL vs. ARI

DK ($4,100), FD ($3,800)

Bah Gawd! Are we playing our hand when it comes to an 8/23 DFS Hitting and Stacks Stack? Well…um….maybe. Moustakas has hit the D’Backs well this season, going .313/.389/.688 (1.077 OPS) with a homer and five RBI in 16 at-bats. He’s also coming into Friday having homered four times in the past week along with 11 RBI and a 1.550 OPS. Moustakas is riding the wave of a career year in Isolated Power (.269) with a 19.3% HR/FB rate that has bolstered those totals.

Both he and Hiura should thrive against Merrill Kelly, who has a .329 OBA this month. Kelly has a 5.40 ERA in August despite allowing just one run in his last outing.

8/23 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Tim Anderson, CWS vs. TEX

DK ($4,800), FD ($3,100)

Anderson has quietly produced a heck of a breakout season, one that has seen him hit .433 over the past week along with scoring at least one run in seven of his last eight games. That he’s competing for the A.L. batting title despite a 2.6% walk rate is one of the more befuddling things you’ll see this season, but Anderson is living large due in part to a .391 BABIP and the ability to spray the hell of out the ball throughout the field.

He’s still a good play against Rangers ace Lance Lynn, as Anderson has hit Texas pitching to a .462/.462/.779 slash with a homer and five ribbies this season.

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8/23 DFS Hitting Outfielder

Michael Brantley, HOU vs. LAA

DK ($5,300), FD ($4,000)

Let’s try to forget the fact he’s hitting .440-2-4 over the past week. Instead, look at how he’s owned Angels pitching this season. The 8/23 DFS Hitting and Stacks MVP, Brantley has a .484/.515/1.000 (1.515 OPS) with four homers, nine RBI and 12 runs scored. Career year? Damn straight it is, as Brantley sports a .206 Isolated Power and .345 BABIP along with a 14% HR/FB%. The Angels have yet to decide who will get the start, but seriously, is it going to matter to Brantley?

8/23 DFS Hitting Outfielder

Aristides Aquino, CIN at PIT

DK ($5,400), FD ($4,300)

He’s looked human over the past week, hitting just .174, but he’s quietly improved his plate discipline to a 9.3% walk rate. The freakish .507 Isolated Power is still there, while his 44.9% hard contact rate has cooled off. For all the uncertainty about using him, Pirates starter Mitch Keller’s 4.22 BB/9 and 8.86 ERA are tempting enough to use Aquino with the bet that Keller will continue to let hitters pound him with a .977 OPS and 29% line drive rate. It’s an expensive play, but I’m willing to suggest rolling the dice on Aquino paying off.

8/23 DFS Hitting Outfielder

Willie Calhoun, TEX vs. CWS

DK ($4,800), FD ($3,700)

Don’t count on Calhoun going hitless against White Sox hurler Dylan Cease tonight. Calhoun has three homers over the past week, which makes his bat attractive to Cease’s pitching, as the rookie has allowed 10 homers over 44 innings. Calhoun’s 43.6% fly ball rate will play well in gopher-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field. as will a 52.3% pull rate when it comes to assaulting the foul pole in right field. He is also a more potent away hitter, producing a .939 OPS outside of Arlington.

8/23 DFS Hitting Stacks

8/23 Hitting Stack of the Night: Houston Astros: Brantley is the anchor of an H-Town stack, with Yordan Alvarez and Alex Bregman (1.253 OPS, four homers, 12 RBI versus the Angels) a pair of monster options. You’d have to choose between two of the three, but Jake Marisnick, who is hitting .455 with an 1.174 OPS against the Angels, is cheap enough to add in the outfield, allowing you to spend elsewhere.

8/23 Hitting Stack Runner-Up: Milwaukee Brewers: Hiura and Moustakas are the beginning of a stack that would include Ryan Braun, who has a pair of homers over the past week with a suddenly revived Lorenzo Cain (.462 over the last week). The makings are there for a very potent stack that appears ready to make some serious cake.

8/23 Hitting Stack to Consider: Cincinnati Reds: Aquino is expensive but utility man Josh VanMeter (.364 the past week) should be a good add at a reasonable price. Eugenio Suarez has gone deep against the Pirates, while Nick Senzel has hit .462 versus the Bucs. Had Joey Votto not gone on the DL, the Reds might have been Stack of the Night.

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5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

8/6 MLB DFS Winners: Picks That Helped Us Cash Big

StixPicks 5 years ago

written by StixPicks

A 14-game slate yesterday with a few highlights from our team on the 8/6 MLB DFS Report. Initial scouting reports included are from Monday’s columns.

8/6 MLB DFS Winner: Vince Velasquez

Vince Velasquez had a solid start against the Arizona Diamondbacks last night. He went seven innings and allowed two runs on six hits with two walks and three strikeouts while picking up the win. Wes Anderson had this pick on the MLB Cheat Sheet article and his picks and those from our founder, Jason Mezrahi, are highlighted in this 8/6 MLB DFS Report . The Cheat Sheet has been on fire with winning picks and is available to Premium Gold subscribers.

Outlook: His next start is slated for Saturday afternoon on the road against the Giants. Velasquez just went five innings with two runs against San Francisco last time out. Look for him to have a similar outing.

8/6 MLB DFS Winner: Joc Pederson

Another pick by both men on the MLB Cheat Sheet as their value first baseman. Pederson went 2-for-4 from the leadoff spot with a homer, two runs, a RBI and a walk against the St Louis Cardinals

Outlook: Pederson has been ice cold recently, as he is posting a slash line of .130/.200./.304 in the past week. Let him bust out of the slump fully and fade him during today’s slate.

8/6 MLB DFS Winner: Mike Moustakas

Jason Mezrahi chose Moose as his value pick from the hot corner In the Cheat Sheet and Moustakas delivered. He went 1-for-4 with a home run, a walk, RBI and a run scored against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Outlook: Moustakas has been on fire lately as he has a .900 OPS in his last seven games. The Pirates are only ahead of the Rockies in the National League in terms of ERA with 5.00 thus far this season. Look for Moustakas to continue his hitting spree.

8/6 MLB DFS Winner: Jonathan Villar

Joel Bartilotta wrote the above paragraph in his 8/5 MLB DFS Hitting and Prop Picks and Villar showed up against the New York Yankees. From the leadoff spot, Villar went 4-for-5 while hitting for the cycle, two runs and two RBI.

Outlook: Villar has been hitting well lately, as he posted a .318 average in his last 15 games. He will be facing an opener in Johnathan Holder and the rest of the bullpen. The Yankees have a semi-rested bullpen and should cause some doubt about Villar continuing his hot play.

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5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

MLB DFS Hitting and Prop Picks for 7/24: Bryce is Nice and the Moose is Loose

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

There are games spread all throughout the day and that makes for a fascinating MLB DFS slate. That’s why I’ll provide plays throughout the day, to cater to all of you who want to play at different times. Luckily, there’s not a whole lot of weather in the forecast, which is huge considering we’ve already had a postponement earlier this week.

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Catcher

Carson Kelly, ARI vs. BAL

DK ($4,100) FD ($2,600)

Kelly is a hidden gem for MLB DFS and we have to love him against a pitching staff like this. Not only do the Orioles rank last in total ERA, they’re also well on their way to shattering the MLB record for most home runs allowed. While they’ll be throwing out their best pitcher, it happens to put the platoon advantage in Kelly’s favor. The slugging catcher currently has a .380 AVG, .475 OBP, .760 SLG and 1.235 OPS against left-handers so far this season. John Means is a pitcher definitely due for regression too, as his xFIP is 2.40 runs higher than his ERA.

First Base

Anthony Rizzo, CHC at SF

DK ($5,100) FD ($4,400)

Rizzo might be the hottest hitter in MLB DFS right now and we simply can’t avoid him. Not only does Rizzo enter this matchup in the midst of 13-game hitting streak, he’s also providing a .478 AVG and 1.293 OPS in that span. It’s quietly one of the best hitting stretches of the season and it’s a wonder why he’s not getting more publicity. What we like here is that he gets the platoon advantage in his favor against Tyler Beede, who’s pitching to a 4.70 ERA and 1.43 WHIP this season. Rizzo also has a .418 OBP, .578 SLG and .989 OPS against right-handers this season, if you needed any more incentive.

Second Base

Max Muncy, LAD vs. LAA

DK ($5,100) FD ($4,100)

Picking a second baseman always hurts my soul but Muncy is always a reliable choice at this weak position. Since joining the Dodgers last season, Muncy has an ISO just shy of .300 while posting a wOBA in the .400-range. That’s backed up by a .565 SLG and .947 OPS, as Muncy is simply one of the best power bats in the game. He’s actually in the midst of yet another power surge, homering nine times in his last 19 games. All that doesn’t even take into consideration that he gets the platoon advantage against Jaime Barria’s 7.36 ERA and 1.64 WHIP.

Third Base

Mike Moustakas, MIL vs. CIN

DK ($4,600) FD ($4,100)

Moustakas is one of the best third basemen in MLB DFS and it’s a wonder why he’s priced so reasonably. The talented slugger is actually in the midst of his best season, setting career-highs with a .548 SLG and .886 OPS. Those numbers are obviously fantastic and it says a lot about how much he’s developed his game. The Moose is raking right now too, hitting .313 over his last 12 games while generating a .953 OPS in that span. The icing on the cake is this matchup is against Lucas Sims, who’s just coming up from the minors and has a 5.75 career ERA and 5.18 career xFIP.

Shortstop

Trea Turner, WSH vs. COL

DK ($4,600) FD ($3,900)

While the Nationals are going to play a doubleheader here, we’re going to focus on the supreme matchup against Kyle Freeland. This guy has been absolute trash for my Rockies this season, pitching to a 7.62 ERA and 1.65 WHIP. That obviously puts many of the Nationals bats in play, especially a guy like Turner. The speedy shortstop currently has a .365 OBP and .795 OPS against left-handers dating back to the start of last season and that’s all you can ask for from a guy who’s likely to steal a bag if he gets on base. Getting to hit atop this lineup is what intrigues me most though, with Washington projected for more than five runs in this game. Not to mention, Turner hit for the cycle against this terrible pitching staff on Tuesday.

Outfield

Bryce Harper, PHI at DET

DK ($4,500) FD ($4,100)

Harper got off to a slow start with his new club but we love this matchup and recent form. Over his last 20 games. Harper gas collected four homers, 16 RBI and 12 walks en route to a .404 OBP and .951 OPS. That’s the stud we’ve been waiting for and not making the All-Star team clearly lit a fire under him. What makes him enticing here is this matchup against Jordan Zimmermann, who’s 7.51 ERA and 1.69 WHIP makes him one of the worst pitchers in the league. That also puts the platoon advantage in Harper’s favor, which is scary since he has a career .250 ISO, .394 wOBA and .400 OBP against right-handed pitching.

Garrett Cooper, MIA at CWS

DK ($4,700) FD ($2,900)

Cooper has been a sneaky beast and people need to take notice of his stellar play. A .309 average speaks loudly in its own right, but he’s also got an .884 OPS to match it. The simple fact is, these MLB DFS sites are overlooking that this guy is on the Marlins. This is the most underutilized team in DFS and all of their prices will remain low no matter what. Getting to face Reynaldo Lopez is why I love him today, with the White Sox righty pitching to a 5.76 ERA and 1.50 WHIP this season.

Yasiel Puig, CIN at MIL

DK ($4,600) FD ($3,300)

Puig has been a different player the last two months and FanDuel simply hasn’t priced him up enough. Over his last 32 games, Puig is hitting .356 en route to a 1.156 OPS. That means this price should be much higher on both sites and it’s a wonder why he remains in this price range. Facing Jhoulys Chacin is obviously a huge plus too, with the Milwaukee righty pitching to a 5.67 ERA and 1.53 WHIP this season.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

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Noah Syndergaard Over 5.5 Strikeouts and Dinelson Lamet over 4.5 Strikeouts

Play these props together or separately but they really surprised me. Syndergaard is especially friendly, as I expect him to clear this prop by the fifth inning. We’re talking about a guy with a 28 percent K rate facing a righty-heavy lineup that ranks 28th in K rate. Lamet is quite the strikeout king himself, posting a 29 percent career K rate while pitching against the 18th-ranked offense.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Stacks for Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 12

Daniel Wehr 5 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

Welcome back everyone! I know we have a few “new” guys on the Win Daily staff, as well as a few subscribers. I just wanted to welcome all of you. This report will provide recommended DFS stacks for today’s 13-game main slate.

**Please check back this afternoon between 5-6pm EST. Possible updates to lines once starting lineups are released.

New York Yankees

vs. RHP Aaron Sanchez (TOR): 7.10 Runs

The Yankees lost two games in a row going into the All-Star break and had only lost two in their previous 18. They are clearly the best team in baseball right now, boasting a 6.5 game lead on the Rays and 9.0 on the Red Sox. We all know how tricky the AL East can be after the break. These teams can close the gap rather quickly given their talents. Look for the Yankees to keep their foot on the gas and truck their way into the post season. Aaron Sanchez carries a 6.16 ERA, 5.56 FIP, and 5.57 SIERA into tonight’s game. His splits are identical, holding .a 361 wOBA, .391 OBP, and .451 OBP on the year. Coming out of the break, The Yankees are slashing to a .364 wOBA, .247 ISO, and 126 WRC+. They are hitting well above their season averages.

Los Angeles Angels

vs. RHP Mike Leake (SEA): 5.60 Runs

Mike Leake hasn’t been awful this season, carrying a 4.32 ERA, 4.89 FIP, and 4.55 SIERA into tonight’s game. These +4.00 ERA stat lines seem more of the norm this season with the elevated scoring. Leake has identical splits, holding a .330 wOBA, .303 OBP, and .493 SLG through 114. innings pitched. He has the displeasure of facing an Angels team who hold the lowest strikeout rate in MLB. They average 6.87 strikeouts per game on the year. The Angels are slashing .to a 321 wOBA, .191 ISO, and .458 SLG to right handed pitching over a two week span coming out of the break.

Preferred DFS Stacks Build: Mike Trout ($4700 FD|$5300 DK), Shohei Ohtani ($3900 FD|$4800 DK), and Justin Upton ($3500 FD|$3800 DK).

Milwaukee Brewers

vs. RHP Shaun Anderson (SFG): 5.60 Runs

Shaun Anderson heads into tonight’s matchup holding a 4.23 ERA, 4.38 FIP, and 5.28 SIERA through 55 innings pitched. He has identical splits with a .320 wOBA, .331 OBP, and .417 SLG. I’m really hoping for a healthy Christian Yelich here tonight as he has been experiencing some lower back discomfort on and off this season. The Brewers come out of the break slashing to a .297 wOBA, .223 ISO, and .423 SLG to right handed pitching. The Brewers are only a half game back on the Cubs, who actively seem to be trying to hand the Brewers the division, but they have been having issues of their own. An unhealthy Yelich certainly does not give this lineup a ton of appeal. Look for the Brewers to get it together coming off the break.

Preferred DFS Stacks Build: Christian Yelich ($4800 FD|$5200 DK), Eric Thames ($3200 FD|$4800 DK), Yasmani Grandal ($3500 FD|$4900 DK), and Mike Moustakas ($3900 FD|$4700 DK) if you prefer a full stack on FD.

Honorable DFS Stacks Mentions

San Diego Padres vs. LHP Dallas Keuchel (ATL): 4.30 Runs

Preferred Stack: Hunter Renfroe ($3000 FD|$4700 DK), Manny Machado ($3900 FD|$4100 DK), and Manuel Margot ($2600 FD|$3600 DK).

Oakland A’s vs. RHP Ivan Nova (CHW): 5.60 Runs

Preferred Stack: Matt Chapman ($3900 FD|$4800 DK), Matt Olson ($3800 FD|$5100 DK), Mark Canha ($2800 FD|$4300 DK), and Ramon Laureano ($3100 FD|$4500 DK).

St. Louis Cardinals vs. LHP Robbie Ray (ARZ): 4.50 Runs

Preferred Stack: Paul Goldschmidt ($3200 FD|$3800 DK), Jose Martinez ($2800 FD|$3500 DK), and Dexter Fowler ($2900 FD|$3700 DK).

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Hitters and Stacks for June 30th

Marshall Rosen 5 years ago

written by Marshall Rosen

Sunday’s MLB action will include a couple of DFS studs on the bump in Max Scherzer and Gerrit Cole. But it will also include plenty of pitchers that you can exploit when building your Daily Fantasy Sports lineups.

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Catcher – Yasmani Grandal vs. Steven Brault

FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $4,800

The Brewers’ catcher has a .284 ISO versus left-handed pitchers in 2019. Grandal also has a .385 wOBA against lefties. Grandal should take advantage and keep crushing righties in this one while leading your DFS lineup to the green.

Value:

Buster Posey

DraftKings: $3,000

First Base – Joc Pederson vs. Chi Chi Gonzalez

FanDuel: $4,000

Pederson has a .340 ISO and a .379 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. And now he faces a below league average pitcher in Coors Field. If playing on DraftKings, the Chicago Cubs’ Anthony Rizzo is your play. Either option should do just fine for your DFS hopes.

Value:

Jesus Aguilar

FanDuel: $2,500 DraftKings: $3,300

Second Base – Mike Moustakas vs. Steven Brault

FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,100

The Brewers’ Moustakas has a .315 ISO, a .393 wOBA and a 142 wRC+ versus left-handed pitching in 2019. Look for those numbers to jump up after this meeting with Brault. The lefty is allowing a .374 wOBA against right-handed batters this season. Moustakas is a great DFS option on Sunday.

Value:

Keston Hiura

FanDuel: $2,600

Tommy Edman

DraftKings: $2,300

Third Base – Justin Turner vs. Chi Chi Gonzalez

FanDuel: $3,900

The Dodgers third baseman has a .374 wOBA versus right-handed pitching in 2019. If playing on DraftKings, your preferred third base play is the Nationals’ Anthony Rendon. Both third basemen are good DFS options.

Value:

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $3,500

Shortstop – Trea Turner vs.Jordan Zimmermann

FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,300

Zimmermann has a 5.20 xFIP against righties. Turner has a .238 ISO and a .356 wOBA versus right-handed pitchers in 2019. Turner should be plenty good enough for your DFS lineups.

Value:

Tommy Edman

FanDuel: $2,500

Jose Peraza

DraftKings: $3,100

Outfield – Cody Bellinger vs. Chi Chi Gonzalez

FanDuel: $5,200 DraftKings:

Bellinger has a .356 ISO and a .457 wOBA versus right-handed pitching. Look for Bellinger to produce big DFS numbers on Sunday.

Outfield – Kyle Schwarber vs. Anthony DeSclafani

FanDuel: $3,300 Draftkings: $4,200

Schwarber has a .244 ISO against right-handed pitching in 2019. He should add excellent value to your DFS entries.

Value:

Ryan Braun

FanDuel: $3,100

Bobby Bradley

FanDuel: $2,200

Stephen Piscotty

DraftKings: $3,600

Top Stacks

Cleveland Indians:

After letting us down yesterday, the Indians’ offense will look to get back in good graces today. And Cleveland should have no problem doing just that with Baltimore’s Gabriel Ynoa taking the bump. The Orioles’ right-hander has a 5.17 SIERA and a 5.54 xFIP this season. With Ynoa allowing 2.38 HR/9 this year, expect us to be much happier with Cleveland and our DFS lineups at the end of the day Sunday.

Chicago Cubs:

A flyball pitcher (41.6%) that allows a lot of hard contact (44.6%) seems like a good place to start a stack. The Reds’ Anthony DeSclafani seems to be the perfect pitcher to attack with your DFS lineups. The Reds’ starter has a 4.44 xFIP and a 4.27 SIERA this season.

Milwaukee Brewers:

The Brewers have crushed left-handed pitching all season. As an offense, Milwaukee has a .210 ISO against lefties. The Pirates’ Steven Brault should be no match for the Brewers. The Pirates’ pitcher is not missing any bats this season with a low 9.8% swinging strike rate. The Brewers should put plenty of balls in play with success on Sunday. Milwaukee is a very suitable stack for DFS purposes today.

Los Angeles Dodgers:

Any time you can get the Dodgers against a righty, you fill up your DFS lineups with Dodger Blue. Los Angles has .216 ISO and a .347 wOBA versus righties this season. The Rockies’ Chi Chi Gonzalez could be in trouble in this one.

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5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Stacks for 6/28: Crack a cold Brew

Jared Contestabile 5 years ago

written by Jared Contestabile

With both Coors and Miller hosting games that could turn into high-scoring affairs, there might be a lot of cracking cold brews as we watch the numbers turn on the scoreboard and in our DFS lineups.

1.) Los Angeles Dodgers

Antonio Senzatela is no more than a below average pitcher. At Coors this season he holds a 6.21 ERA and has given up five long balls. What doesn’t help his case is that he struggles against lefties. So far this season he has given up a .336 BAA and a .531 SLG. With the likes of Joc Pederson, Max Muncy, Cody Bellinger and Alex Verdugo, good luck. The Dodgers are going to have a field day and carry your DFS lineups.

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2.) Minnesota Twins

Carson Fulmer has had a horrible start to his young career. So far while at home in his career he holds a 7.81 ERA with a .390 wOBA. He is able to limit his hard contact, but he gives up massive fly ball rates. With the power hitters of Eddie Rosario, Nelson Cruz, CJ Cron and Jorge Polanco, there is no reason why they won’t chase Fulmer back to the minor leagues on your way to winning big in DFS.

3.) San Diego Padres

What a downfall for Michael Wacha. Someone with such promising talent that just lost it all this year. On the road so far this season he holds a 5.21 ERA. So far this season he has been very reverse splits and cannot get a righty out for the life of him. Against righties he has a .338 BAA and a .619 SLG. Hunter Renfroe, Manny Machado and the young phenom in Tatis Jr. should be the staples of your DFS stack here.

4.) Milwaukee Brewers

How bad are the Pirates regretting this Chris Archer Trade? Holllllllllly. Archer has been dreadful this year, but he has been even worse away from Pittsburgh (8.42 ERA). It seems like Archer has been better against lefties, but the underlying numbers show that he gets hit harder, more fly balls and strikes them out less. This makes me love Yelich, Mouse, Grandal and I also don’t mind throwing in Braun for DFS purposes. This is a very sneaky stack for me as I assume everyone will jump all over Coors.

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5 years ago 0 comments

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