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Los Angeles Angels

MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (July 17)

Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to Monday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.

It’s Monday Funday and MLB has blessed us with a 10-game slate of MLB DFS. This slate is lacking a true ace pitcher but it does have some higher-end pitching that should do well for us. It also has some gas cans that we should be able to take full advantage of tonight. At first glance, this is looking to be a fun slate that we can go in multiple directions.

Let’s dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Nick Pivetta vs. Oakland Athletics

Some sites are showing Nick Pivetta as the listed starter for the Boston Red Sox tonight. Should he start tonight, I really like this spot for him. The A’s are an inconsistent offense that has shown to have some spunk. They are also a lineup that has shown a high propensity to strike out as they have a 32% K rate since coming back from the All-Star Break.

We all know that K’s are king and even if a pitcher gives up a few runs, those excess strikeouts will save our day. Pivetta has shown the ability to strike out hitters in masses this season. Over his last few outings, Pivetta has a K rate of over 42%. With his ability to strike out hitters and the A’s propensity to strike out, there’s a high ceiling for Pivetta tonight.

Logan Webb vs. Cincinnati Reds

The Reds have one of the more exciting lineups in all of baseball with some of the prospects they’ve called up this season. Matt McClain, Elly de la Cruz, and now Christian Encarnacion -Strand. That said, since the All-Star Break, their offense has essentially been non-existent. They’ve scored just 3 runs and have struck out a league-leading 41% of the time.

With such a young lineup, we’ll see swings like this as they’ll be inconsistent as they find their footing. With the funk that they are in right now, I plan on attacking them with the Giants’ top starter in Logan Webb. Webb has been good over the last month with an ERA of just over 3 and a K rate of 25.5%. With his solid form and the Reds’ struggles right now, this is a solid spot for Webb.

Logan Gilbert vs. Minnesota Twins

I don’t mind Logan Gilbert either tonight. The Twins, while having the ability to put up runs quickly, have the ability to really strike out quite a bit. In the 3 games after the All-Star Break, the Twins have struck out 33 times for a 32% K rate. That’s one of the highest marks of any team in the big leagues. If we look at what Gilbert has done recently, he’s been pretty good.

Over the last month, Gilbert has pitched to a 2.10 ERA and just a .87 WHIP. While I wish the K rate was a bit higher than his 19.4%, he does have some upside with how much the Twins have been striking out. The other good thing about Gilbert is that he typically goes deeper into games so that just adds to the positives for him tonight. He’s priced fairly tonight at $9.8k so feel to roll him on DraftKings.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Los Angeles Angels vs. Luis Severino

Luis Severino is coming off back-to-back absolute clunkers. Over his last 2 outings, Severino has given up a total of 14 ER. That’s not ideal for one of the Yankees’ mainstay pitches. He’s actually given up 7 ER 3 times this season in a game. Do I think he does that again today? Eh, probably not. I do think he continues with his string of subpar outings.

This season has really been a struggle for Severino. His ERA is 4 runs higher than last year, his xFIP is 2 runs higher, and K’s are down significantly over his career average. The 2023 season is so far one that Severino is wishing that he can get a restart on. I won’t be overly concerned with splits here because Severino has been hot trash vs. both sides of the plate.

Any Angels stack that doesn’t start with Shohei Ohtani is just doing it wrong. He is the best player that this game may ever see. He’s absolutely crushed righties this season, with a .444 wOBA and a .354 ISO. The only drawback to Ohtani tonight is his $6.6k price tag on DK. That said, there’s way more than enough value in this lineup to make up for his enormous salary.

We’ll also look to include Mike Moustakas at $2.5k, Mickey Moniak at $3.8k, and Taylor Ward and $3.9k. If you want to grab even more value, you can dip all the way down to Eduardo Escobar and Luis Rengifo as they are both under $3k tonight. The Angels are in a great spot tonight and should put up a big number, just like they did last night.

Chicago Cubs vs. MacKenzie Gore

Another team that has been somewhat of a disappointment this season is the Chicago Cubs. They are currently 6 games under .500 and will more than likely be sellers as the trade deadline approaches. The Cubs made some big signings this offseason and they aren’t really seeing much in the way of productivity from them.

That said, they are in a great spot tonight vs. a struggling pitcher in MacKenzie Gore. In 3 of his last 5 starts, Gore has allowed at least 5 ER. That’s not ideal for a pitcher the Nationals plan on building around for years to come. Gore has been pretty bad vs. both sides of the plate this season so we won’t need to worry about excluding lefties here.

I’m starting my Cubs stack off with Cody Bellinger. Bellinger has been one of the few really bright spots this season for the Cubs. He’s showing that he really just needed a fresh start to get back to the glory days that saw him win an MVP award. Bellinger has been really solid vs. lefties this season, with a .455 wOBA and a .309 ISO. No need to shy away from the L/L matchup here.

I also like guys like Nico Hoerner, Seiya Suzuki, and Yan Gomes. They all have solid numbers vs. southpaws this season. A solid value piece here could be Miguel Amaya. Amaya has a .426 wOBA vs. lefties this season and is just $2.2k on DK tonight.

Other stacks I like tonight will be the Tigers vs. Jordan Lyles, Red Sox vs. Paul Blackburn, and Pirates vs. Xzavion Curry.

MLB DFS Summary

We have our first Monday slate after the All Star Break. This slate brings us some clear mismatches and some pitchers in really good spots. It’s shaping up to be a really fun slate.

Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

2 years ago 0 comments

MLB DFS Aces and Stacks (June 23)

Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to Friday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.

It’s full-slate Friday! Tonight we have a 10-game slate of MLB DFS. This slate brings us back to Coors, but there will also be other areas for offense. We have solid pitchers in great spots also that we’ll want to take full advantage of. The biggest thing with this slate will be weather though. Many games are at risk of delay/ppd.

Let’s dig and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Chris Bassitt vs. Oakland Athletics

Chris Bassitt is coming off 2 starts that he probably wants to forget. He did however face 2 of the better lineups in all of baseball in Texas and Baltimore. Tonight, he’ll face a much inferior lineup in the Oakland Athletics. The Athletics have been brutal vs. righties this season. They have a 26% k rate and an OPS of just .640.

This sets up for Bassitt to have a nice rebound performance. We’ve seen him dial it up to get upwards of 41 DK points this season. This matchup speaks for itself and we should see more of a ceiling game for Bassitt than a floor game.

Brayan Bello vs. Chicago White Sox

To save a little bit of money on pitching today, I’m going to drop down to Brayan Bello. Bello is coming off his best start of the season. Against the Yankees, Bello struck out 8 across 7 innings and allowed just 1 ER. It added up to a 29 DK-point outing for the young right-hander.

The matchup today vs. the White Sox brings Bello a very similar upside. The White Sox are not built to succeed vs. righties. They have a modest k rate of 23%, but they also have just a .670 OPS and a .290 wOBA. Bellow should be able to navigate pretty easily through this lineup tonight.

Other pitchers I like tonight will be Kodai Senga vs. Philly, Taijuan Walker vs. New York, and Kyle Gibson vs. Seattle.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Los Angeles Angels vs. Kyle Freeland

If you’ve followed me, you know I try my hardest to avoid recommending Coors stacks. Not because they aren’t good plays, but more so to provide you with other options. I just can’t avoid this matchup tonight. The Angels are really solid vs. lefties and today they’ll face one of the worst in the game. Kyle Freeland has been really bad over the last month.

Over the last month, Freeland has a 5.67 ERA and has allowed a nearly 36% flyball rate. He’s attackable every single outing and this is one of the more attackable spots against him all year. We want the righties here. Righties have significantly better numbers vs. Freeland this season

I’m going to get to the obvious first. Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani are in play. They are always in play. They are 2 of the best hitters in the game. Their prices however tonight are extremely restrictive. Ohtani is $6.7k and Trout is $6.5k. just insane.

The 2 guys I really like here outside of Trout and Ohtani are Brandon Drury and Hunter Renfroe. While neither guy has really crushed lefties this season, both historically have. This is an elite matchup for both of them. After those 2, I’ll look to add Chad Wallace, Taylor Ward, and Luis Rengifo. This entire lineup today is in play.

San Diego Padres vs. Patrick Corbin

For a while there, it looked like Patrick Corbin was starting to pitch with some competence. Those days are long gone! Over the last month, Corbin has been back to being the old Corbin. His ERA is pushing 6 and he’s back to giving up what we love to see, hard contact. His hard-hit rate over the last month is a massive 42%.

Corbin’s walks are also up, which has led to a WHIP of nearly 2.00. If the Padres show some patience tonight, they’ll put up a massive number. I’m going to prioritize righties here. Corbin’s numbers are way worse against them.

My 2 favorite bats here are going to Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis. Both guys have absolutely crushed lefties this season. Machado has a .422 wOBA and Tatis has a .488. With Tatis, he’s shown some real power vs. them as well with a .420 ISO. If I had to pick between the 2 of them, I’d go Machado due to price.

Machado is significantly lower tonight and that extra cash will go a long way. Another bat that I’ll prioritize here will be Gary Sanchez. He’s been a stud vs. lefties this season, with a .429 ISO and a .385 wOBA. Other bats to get here will be Ha-Seong Kim and Xander Bogaerts.

Other stacks I like today are Toronto vs. James Kaprielian and Texas vs. Luis Severino.

MLB DFS Summary

We’ll want to keep an eye on the weather tonight. There are a ton of games at risk of t-storms. That said, the stacks/pitchers I laid out are weather-risk-free.

Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.

2 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (June 7)

Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to Wednesday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.

It’s Wednesday and we actually have a large main slate of MLB DFS. Tonight brings us 10 games of MLB DFS to navigate through. We have some top pitchers in tough spots and some above average pitchers in good spots. It may be a night to hang out in the mid-tier of pitching as the top ones give plenty of risk. We also have some solid spots for offense.

Let’s dig and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Jon Gray vs. St. Louis Cardinals

With news breaking yesterday that Jacob deGrom will need season-ending TJ surgery, the Rangers are going to need someone to step into the ace role. Luckily for them, they have 2 guys that have been performing at an ace level all year, one of those being Jon Gray. Gray has been outstanding of late. Over the last month, Gray has pitched to an insane .79 ERA. Now we can’t expect that to last, especially against a good Cardinals lineup. That said, there aren’t many indicators that are screaming that Gray is due for massive regression.

He’s doing a good job of keeping the contact at a minimum as hitters have just a 73% contact rate vs. him. He’s also done a great job of keeping the ball in the ballpark as he’s surrendered just 2 homers over his last 34 innings of work. Gray’s been an ace and I’m willing to take the risk with him today against the Cardinals with his price being just $8.9k.

Jamie Barria vs. Chicago Cubs

Jamie Barria threw a season-high 90 pitches in his last outing vs. the White Sox and boy was he impressive. He went 5 innings, striking out 6 and giving up just 1 ER. His outing was good enough for 21 DK points. While the Chicago Cubs are a bit better than their cross-town rivals, they haven’t been that much better of late. The Cubs offense over the last week has been essentially dormant.

Outside of their 7-run outburst, they’ve been shut out twice and scored 1 run once. They’re also striking out 34% of the time over the last week. I’m willing to roll the dice tonight with Barria as he’s shown the ability to get guys out consistently and has been rather dominant on the mound. It also helps that he’s just $7k tonight on DK.

I don’t mind either guy in the Mets/Braves game tonight. That game should be low-scoring tonight, strikeouts may be at a minimum though because neither team strikes out that much. I also don’t mind Logan Webb tonight, even though the game is in Colorado. He’s a groundball pitcher so that should help pitching in Colorado.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Los Angeles Angels vs. Jameson Taillon

James Taillon shocked the world in his last outing by allowing just 1 ER against the San Diego Padres. Up until then, he had allowed at least 4 ER in 4 consecutive starts. A new streak starts today! If we look at the start against the Padres, he benefited from an extremely lucky BABIP of just .176.

You can’t expect to put that many balls in play and they all get caught. I’m hoping for the return of the old Taillon tonight against the Angels. The priority here with the Angels will be the lefties. Taillon has been way worse against them, by a significant margin.

Knowing that I’m going to load up on Shohei Ohtani tonight. He has multiple home run potential tonight in this matchup. His $6.1k price tag is a bit prohibitive, but he has as much upside as anyone in the game. Other lefties in this lineup I’ll look to include tonight will be Matt Thaiss and Jared Walsh. Both guys are sub $3k and will make paying for Ohtani that much easier.

Don’t shy away from the righties here either. If Taillon struggles, we’ll get to the Cubs bullpen early. Trout, Ward, and Drury would be the other main targets here that I’d like to include in my stack.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Noah Syndergaard

At one point, the New York Mets had a trio of starters named Matt Harvey, Jacob deGrom, and Noah Syndergaard. They were as dominant of a threesome of pitchers as there was in the game. This was only 8 years ago and all 3 were in their 20’s. Now, Harvey is retired, deGrom is facing TJ surgery at the age of 35 after years of injuries, and Noah Syndergaard is a shell of the pitcher that got him the nickname Thor.

Syndergaard is now a pitcher we can regularly stack against. Over the last month, he’s pitched to an ERA that’s pushing 7 and has allowed 5 homers in just 21 innings of work. Hitters have a nearly 43% hard-hit rate vs. him and an 84% contact rate. He no longer has the swing-and-miss stuff. I’m not going to be overly concerned with splits vs. Thor.

I’m starting this stack with the top prospect in baseball, Elly De La Cruz. He absolutely annihilated pitches last night in his debut. In just one game, he already has the hardest-hit ball of any Reds player this season. His combination of speed and power is going to be something that will be extremely fun to watch as he grows into the player he will be. He’s also just $2.7k on DK.

Other bats I also like here will be Spencer Steer, Jake Freely, and Matt McLain. The future for the once-storied franchise appears bright again. Reds fans have fun, you’ve deserved it after the last decade of duds.

Other stacks I also like today are the Dodgers vs. Williamson, Yankees vs. Lance Lynn, and Giants vs. Connor Seabold if rain doesn’t cancel the game in Colorado. A complete game stack of the Reds/Dodgers game is very much in play tonight.

MLB DFS Summary

Pitching is blah today, but hitting is plenty. I’m not going to force the top priced arms today because they carry risk.

Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.

2 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (Apr. 26)

Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to Wednesday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.

It’s Wednesday and that means we have a split slate on our hands. There’s a 5-game starting at 1pm est and an 8-game slate starting at 6:35pm est. This article will be focused solely on the main slate of MLB DFS starting this evening. It’s a doozy with some clear mismatches.

Let’s dig and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Bryce Elder vs. Miami Marlins

The pick on the Marlins tour turns to Bryce Elder tonight. So far in this series we’ve seen Spencer Strider strike out 13 and Charlie (AARP cardholder) Morton strike out 9. While Elder doesn’t necessarily have the K upside that Strider and Morton have, he has been consistent with at least 6 K’s in 3 of his 4 starts this season.

With facing the Marlins and their 24% K rate vs. righties, there’s definitely a chance for Elder to grab a couple of extra strikeouts tonight. His price has started to get up there at $9.4k, but that matchup tonight speaks for itself. He should be able to pay off his salary tonight.

Steven Matz vs. San Francisco Giants

I said this the other day with Jordan Montgomery, lefties vs. the Giants will be a thing this season. Montgomery went on to have a pretty nice outing, striking out 6 through 6 innings and not allowing a single earned run. We’ll continue to pick on them with competent lefties and tonight we’ll do so with the kid from Long Island, Steven Matz.

Matz being only $6k on DK tonight makes him arguably the top-value pitcher tonight. He may not net us 30 points tonight, but he’s been over 10 in 3 of his first 4 starts and the one he didn’t was in Colorado so he gets somewhat of a pass. He has 13 K’s over his last 2 games and with facing a team that has a 31% K rate vs. lefties tonight, he has extreme upside at this price.

In full transparency, these are the only 2 arms I’m looking at tonight. Other arms that may do ok are Logan Gilbert and Kodai Senga. Senga’s biggest issue has been walks. If he can get some more control of his pitches, he should dominate but he’s definitely struggling with command.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Chicago Cubs vs. Michael Wacha

After shutting out the Braves on April 8, the world has essentially fallen apart for Michael Wacha. Over his last 2 starts, Wacha has allowed an impressive 12 ER in just over 8 innings of work. Also over those 2 starts, he’s allowed 21 hits. He’s struggling to get hitters out right now and they are getting good wood on him as he’s allowed 9 barrels this season.

I’m not going to be overly concerned with splits here as Wacha has been bad vs. both sides. That said, he’s been brutal vs. lefties this season as they have a .382 ISO and a .460 wOBA.

The bats I’m mostly interested in here will be Ian Happ, Patrick Wisdom, and Nico Hoerner. Happ is the lefty here so he’s going to have a major advantage with how bad Wacha has been against lefties. Happ has been great vs. righties this year too, with a wOBA of .446.

Wisdom is off to a solid start this year, especially against righties. He has a .391 wOBA and a .380 ISO vs. them. He also lines up very well. Wacha throws his changeup 26% of the time to righties. This is a pitch that Wisdom has crushed from righties, with a .463 wOBA and a .400 ISO. Other bats I’ll look to here are Dansby Swanson, Eric Hosmer, and Trey Mancini.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Roansy Contreras

Roansy Contreras has just 1 bad start out of 4 to start to the year. I fully expect him to make it 2 out of 5 after tonight. He’s just not someone that profiles well as he gives up a ton of fly balls, doesn’t miss many bats, and also has an extremely high WHIP.

His 1.52 WHIP to start the year is one of the highest numbers of anyone on the mound today. We chase pitchers with high WHIPS because it just means there are more batters on the bases and that gives us more chances for runs.

I’m starting off my Dodgers stack with the Rookie of the Year award leader, James Outman. Outman is red hot over the last week with 4 homers and 4 barrels. His 8 wRC also leads the team. In terms of the Rookie of the Year award, he’s really in a class of his own at this point. He’s hit safely in 6 of his last 7 games and after tonight it will be 7 of 8.

Other bats we’ll look at here will be Freddie Freeman, Mookie Bets, JD Martinez, and David Peralta. From a value standpoint, Miguel Vargas should be close to the top of the list. He’s just $2.5k and is 7 for his last 22. He won’t get us much in the way of power, but at his price point if he continues to play like he has he’ll easily return value.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Luis Medina

The Oakland A’s will be turn the ball over to rookie Luis Medina tonight. Medina will be making his major league debut. While he has a fastball that reaches triple digits, he’s also been a pitcher in the minors that has had command issues. Anytime I see a young prospect coming up with command issues, I automatically want to attack him. Major League hitters are way more patient and his command issues could lead to a ton of walks.

The obvious bats here are Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani. There’s not much I need to say to sell you on them. They are good, no they’re generationally good. I also really like both Brandon Drury and Hunter Renfroe here. They were both key additions for the Angels this past offseason.

Renfroe has been great for them so far this season, with 6 homers and 18 RBI. He’s also been solid vs. righties with a .279 ISO. The value bat I’m looking at here Zach Neto. He’s 7 for his last 22 and has a .899 OPS. If he can get on tonight, there’s a great chance that one of Ward, Trout, or Ohtani will knock him in.

MLB DFS Summary

I didn’t name them in my top stacks, but a full game stack of that A’s/Angels game is very much in play. The A’s have shown the ability to put up runs and Sandoval has one of the higher xFIPS of anyone pitching tonight. They could definitely do some damage tonight.

Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.

2 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (Apr. 24)

Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to Monday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.

It’s Monday and we have a very manageable 7-game slate of MLB DFS to navigate through. We are now close to a month into the 2023 season and some things have become abundantly clear. The A’s are bad, very very bad. The Tigers are bad, very very bad. These are 2 teams we’ll often want to pick on with pitching and stacking. Tonight will be no different.

Let’s dig and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Spencer Strider vs. Miami Marlins

From a pure strikeout standpoint, there isn’t a single pitcher on tonight’s slate that has the upside that Spencer Strider has. Through 22 innings of work this season, Strider is already up to 36 K’s. That equates to a massive 14.73 k/9. The next closest person pitching tonight is Lance Lynn at 11.81. Add in the fact that he’s facing the Marlins and we have a pitcher that has immense upside tonight.

He’s the clear SP1 tonight and I don’t think it’s even close. He’ll be a lock in my lineups tonight. I’d only recommend fading if you are MME. Let’s not overthink this one.

Jordan Montgomery vs. San Francisco Giants

Lefties vs. the Giants will be a thing this season. They are at least for now. We saw Joey Lucchesi, the same pitcher that hadn’t pitched in close to 2 years, absolutely mow this team down the other night. The projected lineup tonight for the Giants has a 27% k rate vs. lefties and a sub .300 wOBA. They’ll get the luxury of facing off against Jordan Montgomery tonight.

While Montgomery is never a safe pick, he has shown at times to have some upside. He struck out 9 Brewers a couple of weeks ago. I tend to only use him when the matchup is solid and tonight’s matchup is solid. You’ll need a bottle of Tums, but he should do well tonight.

Colin Rea vs. Detroit Tigers

We just saw a questionable Baltimore Orioles pitching staff take full advantage of a bad Tigers lineup. Colin Rea will be making only his third start of the season but oh what a spot this is for him. He too is far from safe, but we’re limited with pitching options today as many of the teams are on the back ends of their rotation.

We’ve seen some mixed results from Rea this season. He dominated the Padres in his initial start but came right back down to earth against a very good Mariners lineup. With the Tigers being so bad, I’m willing to roll the dice here on Rea.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Los Angeles Angels vs. Ken Waldichuk

Until they prove otherwise, I will be stacking against the A’s on most nights. They currently have a -103 run different on April 24. The next closest team is the Colorado Rockies at -54. They are giving up runs in the teens on multiple occasions each week. Just this week alone they gave up 18 to the Rangers and 12 to the Cubs. The week before they gave up 17 to the Mets and 12 to the Orioles. On any given night, there is blow-up potential and with Ken Waldichuk on the hill tonight, it’s there again.

Has he pitched better of late? The box score says yes. I’m not buying it though. I’m going to stack against him with a team that has a .359 wOBA vs. lefties this season and a .813 OPS. The Angels can get to lefties and they’ll face a beatable one tonight.

My priority in this lineup are 2 lefty crushers. One guy goes by the name of Mike Trout and the other is Hunter Renfroe. Renfroe has been a beast against lefties so far this season. He’s up to a .333 ISO and a .566 wOBA. There’s an excellent chance that he takes Waldichuk deep tonight. There’s not much I need to say about Trout. He’s an excellent play every night, and tonight is exaggerated with a bad pitcher on the mound.

Shohei Ohtani is also very much in play in this L/L matchup. On the year, he has a .379 wOBA vs. lefties and can excel here. Other bats I really like on the Angels are anyone that it’s in the lineup. They are all in play.

Minnesota Twins vs. Jhony Brito

One of the things I like to look at when picking stacks is how many barrels a pitcher has given up. Barrels are a good indicator that a pitcher either makes mistakes and leaves the ball over the plate or the hitters just get a good look at what he’s throwing. Brito has given up 7 barrels already this season in just 15 innings of work. That’s an extremely high number of barrels in not a lot of innings of work.

With Brito, we want to focus on righties. He’s as extreme of a reverse splits pitcher as there is. Righties have a .445 wOBA vs. him this season vs. a .189 for righties. The ISO is also significantly higher for righties.

Knowing this, the first 2 batters I want to look at are going to be Byron Buxton and Carlos Correa. There are few players in the game that have the type of upside that Buxton brings to the table. His only problem has been the ability to stay healthy. So far this season he’s been able to stay on the field and has hit safely in 4 straight games. With a beatable righty on the hill, he should be able to make it 5 straight with a full stat line.

Correa should also excel here. Brito is a sinker ball pitcher. Over the last few years, Correa has a .415 wOBA vs. righty sinkers. Other bats to look at here will be Jorge Polanco, Jose Miranda, and Michael Taylor.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Lance Lynn

I’m not opposed to attacking Lance Lynn tonight. So far this year we haven’t really seen the Lynn we’ve grown accustomed to over the last several seasons. All of his metrics are at or nearly at career-worst marks. Has the big fella hit the wall at age 35 season? It’s quite possible.

While the strikeouts are still there, the BB/9 and HR/9 are insanely high compared to his career numbers. He’s coming off a start that saw him give up 5 ER to the Phillies. We’ll attack him until he gets things right if that happens at all.

The bats I want to prioritize here will be Vlad Guerrero and Matt Chapman. While Chapman has cooled a little bit after his torrid start, he still has 3 barrels over the last week which has resulted in 2 homers. He’s done well vs. righties this year with a .426 wOBA. Vlad Jr. has also done well vs. righties this season with a .254 ISO and a .394 wOBA. Other bats I’ll look to here will be George Springer, Bo Bichette, and Daulton Varsho.

MLB DFS Summary

I’m going to prioritize getting Mike Trout into my lineups tonight. I normally shy away from prioritizing a super expensive player, but he has so much upside tonight in this matchup vs. an awful team.

Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.

2 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (Apr. 10)

Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to Monday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.

With more and more teams opting for 6:40 start times, the main slate has started to become smaller and smaller. Tonight’s main slate is just 8-games, but that makes for a much more manageable slate of MLB DFS. We have Coors and we also have Corbin on the hill vs. a very good Angels lineup. We also have a repeat of the NL Wild Card round from last year the Padres making their way to Citi Field. This is shaping up to be a fun slate of MLB DFS.

Let’s dig and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Julio Urias vs. San Francisco Giants

So far to start the year, the Giants have really struggled vs. lefties. Through their first 60 AB vs. lefties, they’ve hit just .153 with just 1 homer. They also have a 40% strike-out rate and just a .213 wOBA. This is an attackable team right now vs. lefties and we’ll attack them with one of the best lefties in the game in Julio Urias.

Urias has had a solid start to the season. He’s sporting a nearly 28% k rate and an xFIP of just 2.72. When hitters have put the ball in play, he’s done an excellent job of limiting the damage by getting them to put the ball on the ground, as evidenced by his nearly 52% groundball rate. He should be able to dominate this Giants lineup tonight.

Luis Castillo vs. Chicago Cubs

Luis Castillo has started out the season with some impressive numbers. Through his first 2 starts of the season, Castillo is sporting a 30% K rate, while having an xFIP just over 3. He’s still yet to give up an ER and I doubt that continues too much longer, but with a date with the Chicago Cubs, an extension of his innings scoreless streak very well could continue tonight.

While the Cubs haven’t been awful to start the year, they are still an average at best lineup and one that Castillo should be able to handle with relative ease. A double ace combo of Urias and Castillo very well could be the combo that gets you to the winner’s circle tonight. A combined 50 points from the two is very well attainable.

Bryce Elder vs. Cincinnati Reds

If you want to go the cheap route tonight with one of your pitchers, Bryce Elder is more than likely the play. In his lone outing this season, he looked absolutely dominant vs. the Cardinals. In that start, he went 6 innings without allowing a single run. He also struck out 6 and gave up just 2 hits. The lineup that he’ll face tonight against the Reds will be far weaker than what he saw a week ago vs. the Cardinals. Can he do it again at just $6.6k? It’s absolutely in the realm of possibilities.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Before I get into my stacks I want to touch on Coors. Both teams are 100% in play. Anytime a team is playing in Coors, they are in play and you just don’t need me to tell you that. My goal here is to provide you with other options and that’s what I’ll be doing. I don’t want that to take away from the fact that both teams in Coors tonight have phenomenal matchups.

Seattle Mariners vs. Drew Smyly

Drew Smyly’s first start of the season could not have gone any worse. Against the Reds, he went just 4 innings and gave up 6 ER and 9 hits. It was a struggle for him right from the very start of the game and with facing a much better Mariners lineup tonight, we very well could expect to see the same thing.

The only thing that Smyly had going for him in that initial outing was that he was able to limit Reds hitters from inducing hard contact as they had a 16% hard-hit rate. One might say the BABIP gods weren’t in his favor. When you allow a nearly 81% contact rate though, you’re just asking for trouble and he’ll see some trouble tonight.

Core: My core with the Mariners tonight will be Julio Rodriguez, Teoscar Hernandez, Eugenio Suarez, and AJ Pollock. 3 of the 4 guys have long track records of being able to hit lefties well. Hernandez last year absolutely annihilated lefties with a .450 ISO and a .435 wOBA. He’s one of my favorite bats on the board tonight and should excel in this matchup. Rodriguez has hit safely in 4 of his last 5 games and a world of upside tonight.

Secondary: Other than my core with the Mariners, I’ll also look to add in guys like Sam Haggerty, Ty France, and Cal Raleigh. All three of them have good to solid numbers vs. lefties and should also do well in this matchup.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Patrick Corbin

You knew I was going to go here right? If Corbin is on the mound, I’m stacking against him and that awful Nationals bullpen. Corbin has now thrown in 2 games and has an ERA of 8. While that seems high, his xFIP of nearly 5 does indicate that he’s awful. After giving up a 64% groundball rate in his first outing, he ended up giving up way more line drives and fly balls in his second out. If that continues tonight, he’s going to get rocked by a team that has done extremely well vs. lefties this season so far. So far in 2023, the Angels have an OPS of .946 and a wOBA over .400.

Core: The obvious part of the core here is going to be Trout and Ohtani. Nothing that I can say here will do their talents justice. They are two of the best in the game. I’m also going to add Brandon Drury and Hunter Renfroe to my core. Hunter Renfroe lines up extremely well tonight with Corbin. Over the past few seasons, he has a .423 ISO vs. lefty sinkers and a .577 wOBA. He’s going to homer tonight.

Secondary/Value: Other important bats here will be Taylor Ward and Anthony Rendon. They should both smash in this matchup.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Wade Miley

Wade Miley is coming off a shutout of the New York Mets. Even though he gave up 0 runs in that start, his xFIP for the start was well over 5. To go along with his 3 k’s in 6 innings, he also gave up a 48% flyball rate. Giving up flyballs almost half the time is asking for trouble and this Diamondbacks team has some sneaky power vs. lefties.

Core: We’ll want to get Christian Walker, Evan Longoria, and Lourdes Gurriel into our lineups tonight. Walker had a .232 ISO vs. lefties last season and a wOBA over .350. I’m also very intrigued by Gurriel tonight. He lines up very well with Miley. Miley throws his cutter more than 40% of the time to righties. This is a pitcher that Gurriel has handled well in his career. Over the last few years, he has a .429 ISO vs. it and a wOBA of .482.

Secondary Value: We’ll also want some shares of guys like Nick Ahmed and Ketel Marte. They’ll all have the platoon advantage and that’s extremely key when a lefty is on the mound, especially one in Miley. Miley is dominant vs. lefties but can be beaten by righties.

MLB DFS Summary

Even though this is a Coor’s slate, we’ll have plenty of options tonight. There’s going to be lots of offense to go around.

Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.

2 years ago 0 comments

MLB Premium

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Wednesday, August 04

Jared Levitt 4 years ago

written by Jared Levitt

Welcome to the Wednesday edition of Picks and Pivots. Today we have a nice sized 11 game main slate of MLB DFS on Draftkings to navigate through.

Main Slate Breakdown

It’s Jared and I’ll be filling in Brian over the next 2 weeks when I’m not writing Aces and Bases as he takes a much needed and well deserved vacation. We have 2 slates today but the article will be focused on the main slate.

Tonight should make for an intriguing evening as we have Max Scherzer ($9.1k) facing the Astros in his Dodgers premier. I’m going to be hands off tonight with Mad Max as this isn’t the match up that I want him in. The Astros have one of the best lineups in the business and even at a reduced price for Scherzer, the upside in value just won’t be there.

The ace I’m going to go with tonight is Lucas Giolito ($10.6k). I said it yesterday that the Royals aren’t normally a team to attack with pitching. But they are struggling mightily right now and lost Andrew Benintendi to a calf strain last night.

The Royals over the past week are striking out nearly 28% of the time and not putting much wood on the ball when they actually make contact as they have just 9 barrels. 2 of which came from Benintendi. Rostering Gio will make us want to have a bottle Rolaids sitting around as he’s been extremely inconsistent this year. He’s my guy though tonight because he still has elite K ability and he’s facing a team that’s struggling.

Where do we go next for pitching? Could we go to Coors field? I think I might! Rostering a pitcher in Coors is never a sure thing but we have a pitcher in Jon Gray ($7.2k) who has pitched well this season and has been able to navigate some tough matchups recently.

His last 4 outings have been against the Padres and Dodgers and hasn’t given up more than 2 runs in any of those contests. Over the past month he’s also seen an uptick in strike outs as his K rate is 24.4% vs. 21.7% for the year. He’s facing a lineup tonight that no longer has Rizzo, Baez, or Bryant. Outside of the Royals, no team has a lower wRC+ over the past week than the Cubs. Always a risk going to Coors with a pitcher, but Gray is on a roll and gets a soft match up here.

Now that pitching is out of the way, let’s find some bats. My favorite pitcher to attack is on the hill tonight in J.A. Happ and he’s facing a tough Braves lineup. One of the common missteps people make when facing a lefty is ignoring a guy like Freeman ($5.1k). Last night guys like Albies ($4.9k), Swanson ($4.2k), and Soler ($3.3k) all had ownership around 20% while Freeman was around 7%.

Guess who was the highest scoring of the bunch? Freeman. He outscored Albies, Riley, and Swanson combined. The match up tonight speaks for itself. Happ is a shell of his former self with an xFIP of 4.83 over the last month. He’s been especially bad against righties this year with a .270 ISO against and a 43% hard hit rate.

While I’m going to load up on the righties here, I’m going to make sure I include Freeman in my stack because he’ll go under owned in the match up and at some point, probably around inning 4 or 5, the game will be turned over to the Cards bullpen and Freeman will more than likely get a L/R match up.

With some of my Braves targets being on the high end of the salary scale I’ll want to find a stack that’s cheap and in a great match up. Look no farther than the Los Angeles Angels. As a whole, the Angles have been somewhat struggling but the match up tonight is just too juicy.

Kolby Allard has been downright awful over the past month. In his last 23 innings of work he’s surrendered 7 long balls and 13 barrels. If ever there was a pitcher that would waken bats up, it’s Allard. My hope is that Max Stassi ($3.3k) makes the lineup tonight as he’s been the Angels hottest hitter and has crushed lefties this year with a .216 ISO and .340 wOBA.

Phil Gosselin ($2.4k) is near min priced and should bat between Ohtani and Upton ($3.4k). Both Upton and Gosselin have wOBA’s over .340 this year against lefties. They are cheap and should be productive.

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap-Up

Tonight’s slate has a land mine waiting for us in Scherzer. While I love his price tonight, I just don’t want any part of facing a solid Astros lineup. I’d much rather face depleted lineups like the Royals and Cubs with my pitchers. Enjoy our J.A. Happ day folks. I promise, it will be even better than our Lester day yesterday!

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

4 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 6/19 (FanDuel Main Slate)

Antonio D'Arcangelis 4 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s seven-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:15PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

The rain from Tropical Storm Claudette is seriously threatening to PPD the Braves-Cards game, so we’ll leave that off our list of targets. The rest of the games have just a few possible delays sprinkled in, so just keep an eye on SP for those games.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Framber Valdez ($10,200)

I’m not all that enamored with Walker Buehler’s strikeout numbers this season, and Lance Lynn is squaring up against an Astros lineup that just doesn’t strike out very much. Both are more expensive than Valdez and have about the same projected FD total, so Framber seems like the best option with the most upside in a home game that could turn into a pitcher’s duel. He’s carrying a 1.42 ERA that’s much lower than his 3.48 FIP but the xFIP is just 3.01. There is some additional reason for concern given that his 90.9% LOB% is pretty bloated, but he should fare well if he can keep the White Sox off the base paths today.

Best GPP Value: Patrick Sandoval ($7,800)

Sandoval has made great strides in the past year, mixing in a solid changeup to go along with a fledgling four-seamer that Adam Strangis highlights in his excellent, must-read 6/19 Starting Rotation piece. While I don’t agree with his choices of Buehler and Lynn before Valdez today, the writeup on Sandoval deftly addresses how much of a great leverage play Sandoval could be in tournaments tonight, especially with some folks stacking the cheap Tigers bats as a contrarian move in GPPs. Sandoval is a decent by-the-book DFS play on FD because of his effective recent starts and the fact that the Angels are -220 favorite and the Tigers have the highest team K rate (27.6%) in baseball.

Contrarian GPP Play: Vladimir Gutierrez ($7,600)

Gutierrez has been awfully sharp in four outings this season, and while the Padres are not a team we like to play pitchers against, the rookie righty has yet to give up more than two earned runs in any start and already has two quality starts to his record in 2021. It’s important to point out that while the sample size is still very small, it’s possible major league hitters are still making an adjustment to the youngster’s stuff and what has been a very effective fastball. Gutierrez works in a slider, curve and change that have been average, but with injuries abounding in the Reds rotation, he’s making a play to stay there. As a GPP play, he’s got upside, along with huge bust potential, so steer clear of him in cash games and single-entry builds. Both he and the befuddling Austin Gomber (who’s pitched great in Coors Field this year) are interesting leverage plays on this slate.

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Los Angeles Angels at DET RHP Wily Peralta

The Angels have a .377 team wOBA in the past seven games, and they have some monster bats in Shohei Ohtani ($4,400), Jared Walsh ($3,800) and Justin Upton ($3,400), who has thrived in the leadoff spot. Mix in “FanDuel fourth-man” power options Max Stassi ($3,600), Taylor Ward ($2,900) and the possible return of Anthony Rendon ($3,700) and you’ve got the building blocks of a slate-breaking stack.

Value Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. ARI RHP Matt Peacock

We can call the Dodgers a value stack on this slate because they have a few lefty hitters that qualify for that designation tonight including Gavin Lux ($2,900) and Zach McKinstry ($2,400). Using one or both of them should allow you to fit in two or three of the big bats: Mookie Betts ($4,200), Justin Turner ($3,900), a rejuvenated Albert Pujols ($3,10)and Chris Taylor, who is still overpriced a bit at $3,400 (unless he’s moved back up in the order). Will Smith ($2,700) and A.J. Pollock ($2,600) are also cheap and remain in the conversation for Dodgers stacks.

Contrarian Stack: Tampa Bay Rays vs. RHP Logan Gilbert

The Rays aren’t typically a contrarian stack, but they are today, especially with a Coors Field game on the slate. I’ll defer to the Discord chatter a bit on the specifics of the best Tampa Bay builds since they LOVE the Rays in there, but I’m starting my stacks with Austin Meadows ($3,800) and Randy Arozarena ($4,000), mixing in a few shares each of Joey Wendle ($3,100), Ji-Man Choi ($2,700) and Manuel Margot ($3,000).

Good luck tonight, and make sure you utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

4 years ago 0 comments

Collector’s Corner: 2021 MLB Breakouts – AL Hitter Trading Cards

jason mezrahi 4 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

This week’s Collector’s Corner takes an early look at some possible 2021 breakouts in the AL – and the trading cards to collect from this bunch.

By now, everyone knows to collect Luis Robert trading cards, but there’s a huge crop of baseball prospects whose trading cards could see a huge bump in 2021 and beyond if they have breakout seasons. Here are nine such players in the AL you should be stocking in your collection.

NOTE: I’m using my Cash/GPP/Punt system again since it translates well to the DFS/trading card investment comparison.

Breakout Trading Cards – Cash

Wander Franco, TB SS

I shouldn’t have to say much about Franco – who’s now the top prospect in baseball – but since he hasn’t played since 2019, he’s flying a bit under the radar.

Franco does everything well and is projected for about 90 games at the major league level in 2021 – a call-up that will immediately cause a bump in his rookie trading cards. You can buy 2019 1st Bowman #BP100 PSA GEM MINT 10 rookies for $100-125 apiece, and parallels and autos – while expensive – remain excellent long-term investments. I’m happy to have a sharp 2020 Bowman Chrome Sapphire #BCP-1 (second year) in my collection, but I’m working on adding some of his rookies.

He’s not slated for a spot in the Rays lineup on day one of the 2021 season, but once he’s here he may be here to stay.

It’s his second year, but I love the look of this card. The Bowman Chrome Sapphire is one of my favorite products.

Ryan Mountcastle, BAL OF

Mountcastle had an auspicious 2020 debut for the Birds, and he did an excellent radio interview where he talks about the transition to the majors and how he fared in his rookie season (“I held my own”). The multi-positional fielder – who played mostly outfield for Baltimore – posted a solid .333/.386/.492 slash line with five homers and a 141 wRC+ in 35 games.

It’s a small smaple, for sure, but I love guys who can play all over the diamond and remain entrenched in the everyday lineup, and Mountcastle is one of those guys. THE BAT, ZIPS and Steamer projections for 2021 all have him hitting over 20 homers with a wRC+ north of 100.

You can pick up graded 2015 rookies for a reasonable price, and he’s a hitter who’ll be smack dab in the middle of a potent group of young hitters, so his 2021 production could well exceed expectations.

Bobby Dalbec, BOS 1B/3B

This guy can mash. He hit eight homers in just 92 ABs for the Red Sox in his 2020 debut, and as a corner infielder he should consistently find a way into the Boston lineup. The 42.4% K rate is a bit disconcerting, but as far as raw power metrics goes, his .338 ISO stands out as an obscene number that points to 40+ HR upside for the 2016 draft pick.

2021 projections from the aforementioned sources are unanimous in assuming 25+ HRs for the upcoming season, and his path to 30+ is only clouded by how often he can make things happen and avoid a prolonged slump at the dish.

A natural third baseman, his 2016 Bowman Chrome Draft rookie trading cards are still dirt cheap, and he’s a solid investment in a huge market city – even if he’s a guy who strikes out almost 200 times in a 15-game season.

This PSA 10 Dalbec in a rare blue refractor parallel auto can be had for less than $1K — a price that could double or triple in value if he has a monster season in Boston.

Breakout Trading Cards – GPP

Andrew Vaughn, CWS 1B

With Robert off the list and getting regular MLB at-bats, Vaughn is now the No. 1 prospect in the White Sox system, and while he’s not expected to start the 2021 season in the majors, he’s just 22 years old slated for a mid-season arrival.

There’s not a clear path to regular playing time in the field just yet, but Vaughn could become the White Sox DH for a large chunk of the 2021 season, which could be a difficult adjustment for someone used to playing the field.

Still – he was so good in big league campo after he was drafted in 2019 that he was almost brought up to the majors in 2020. While his 2019 trading cards are pretty hot, there’s still plenty of room for growth. I really hate the 2019 Bowman design, but that’s his first Bowman card. I did manage to pull a couple of his 2020 Bowman Chrome Mega Box Mojo Refractors, but it’s important I cave and just grab some of his rookies.

My buddy Chris Gilmore over at Vintage Breaks owns this beautiful PSA 10 Vaughn rookie in the 2019 Bowman Sapphire Edition. He shows it off once in a while during his VB South breaks on YouTube.

Jo Adell, LAA OF

Adell didn’t find much success as a rookie outfielder for the Angels in 2020, but he’s still 21 years old and has the tools and talent to bounce back in his sophomore campaign.

He may start the 2021 season in the Triple-A, and there’s a few hard-hitting outfielders who could complicate his return to The Show – but all five-tool prospects are worth some additional development if it increases their confidence. Adell was clearly rushed into the bigs last year – probably because he’s a high-energy guy and they wanted him to play baseball instead of languishing in the pandemic-induced hiatus that may have stunted the growth of an untold number of MLB prospects.

As a result, his 2017 rookie trading cards – even PSA 10s – are very inexpensive for an organizational No. 1. He’s worth adding to your collection and seeing what happens in the coming season.

Sean Murphy, OAK C

Murphy has the offensive and defensive chops to be an All-Star major league catcher for a long time, and we’ve already seen a little of what he’s capable of at the big-league level.

A legitimately great defender at a premium position who looks a lot like a poor man’s Buster Posey when it comes to his pitch-framing and solid bat, Murphy’s 2020 debut was promising – with a .233/.364/.457 slash line, seven HRs and a 132 wRC+ in just 43 games. That stretch earned him 1.5 WAR and an everyday spot in the Athletics’ lineup.

His 2018 Bowman Chrome rookie trading cards are still a huge bargain, and you can pick up a PSA 9 MINT auto rookie for under $100.

Breakout Trading Cards – Punt

Nolan Jones, CLE 3B

Like Dalbec, Jones was drafted in 2016, and his rookie trading cards are also still very affordable. He’s also got immense raw power, as seen by the .213 ISO he posted in 2019 for the team’s Double-A affiliate. Unlike Dalbec, he hasn’t played since 2019 since he wasn’t called up to the bigs.

Jones is now the No. 1 prospect for Cleveland and may or may not get his shot in 2021 – but we’ve seen hitters like him arrive to fill a lineup gap and just never leave. There’s probably less long-term risk involved than Dalbec, but he may not provide immediate dividends.

Evan White, SEA 1B

Kyle Lewis made a huge splash in 2020 and Julio Rodriguez may be ready to arrive by late 2021 or early 2022, but White will be in the Mariners lineup on opening day. His 2017 Bowman Chrome rookie autos are selling (raw) for low prices and PSA 10s can be had in the $100-200 range.

White struggled at the dish as a rookie in 2020 (.176/.252/.346 slash with a 41.6% K rate and just eight dingers in 200+ ABs), but THE BAT and Steamer projections have him improving drastically in 2021; only ZIPS has him hitting fewer than 20 homers with an average under .230.

For $140, this could be a steal if White can make more contact and hit a few more homers in 2021.

Nick Solak, TEX 2B

Big Nick is slated to bate out of the No. 5 slot in the Rangers 2021 lineup, and while he’s on his third organization since being drafted by the Yankees in 2016, his 2020 Topps trading cards earned the RC logo and are very cheap, very good investments.

Solak had a great MLB debut in 2019, took a step back in 2020, and is poised for a big 2021. His rookies have him on the Yankees, so that may not hurt their ability to fetch big prices as much as say 2015 Bowman Draft Mike Yastrzemski rookies in Orioles gear. He’s not a great defender and isn’t going to be a guy who hits 30+ homers or steals 30 bases, but he’s got 20-15 upside and a solid enough bat to move the needle on his trading cards in the next couple of years.

4 years ago 0 comments

MLB

GPP MLB Stacks: Winning Edge for August 31

6 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s nine-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you stay up to date with all our favorite plays on our Premium Gold DFS Cheat Sheet as well.

Teams with Highest IRT

GPP MLB Stack: Pittsburgh Pirates

vs. RHP Tim Melville (COL): 7.50 Runs

I’m just going to start off my saying I’m really not impressed with what either team has to offer in Coors field tonight. Tim Melville has two starts this season so it’s hard to overlook his performance in the past even though he holds 0.75 ERA at the moment. His pitch movements and velocity look right on par with league averages and he utilizes a lot of slider (56%), a breaking pitch that helped Agrazal limit damage to three earned runs last night. If you did not read my article yesterday I talked about some of the more effective pitches in Coors and breaking pitches statistically are. Not a full fade here and once again I’m not looking at Melville as a viable pitching option, but I think he can limit damage here if he can keep up with that high GB rate through two starts. The Pirates are slashing .325 wOBA, .170 ISO, and 100 WRC+ for the month of August.

Preferred Plays: Josh Bell ($4400 FD|$5700 DK), Starling Marte ($4300 FD|$5800 DK), Bryan Reynolds ($3900 FD|$5600 DK), and Jose Osuna ($3300 FD|$5400 DK).

GPP MLB Stack: Colorado Rockies

vs. RHP Joe Musgrove (PIT): 6.50 Runs

Same applies as I talked about with the Pirates. Musgrove is not very good but neither is Colorado with their .160 ISO and 78 WRC+. I will have a share or two of Coors just to cover me but I’m just not sold.

Preferred Stack: Charlie Blackmon ($4500 FD|$5700 DK), Nolan Arenado ($4600 FD|$5400 DK), Trevor Story ($4100 FD|$5600 DK), and Sam Hilliard ($3100 FD|$4100 DK).

GPP MLB Stack: Atlanta Braves

vs. RHP Reynaldo Lopez (CWS): 5.75 Runs

There are a few games I like today but this is probably my favorite. The Braves face Lopez who is hot and cold at times, but overall has had an “ok” year. Lopez doesn’t have a lot of variation to his pitches, he throws a ton of four seam fast ball and the Braves have seven players in their line slugging .500 or better to the four seamer. Atlanta has let us down on a few occasions but I’m willing to overlook that today. The Braves are slashing to a .328 wOBA, .189 ISO, and 101 WRC+ in the month of August.

Other Teams I Have Interest in

GPP MLB Stack: Baltimore Orioles

vs. RHP Jorge Lopez (KCR): 5.00 Runs

Preferred Plays: Renato Nunez ($3300 FD|$4400 DK), Trey Mancini ($3600 FD|$4500 DK), Jonathan Villar ($3500 FD|$5100 DK), and Anthony Santander ($3000 FD|$4300 DK). Hanser Alberto ($2900 FD|$4000 DK) offers some salary relief as well.

GPP MLB Stack: Washington Nationals

vs. RHP Pablo Lopez (MIA): 5.75 Runs

Preferred Plays: Juan Soto ($4000 FD|$5300 DK), Anthony Rendon ($4400 FD|$5300 DK), Adam Eaton ($3600 FD|$4600 DK), and Matt Adams ($2800 FD|$4300 DK).

GPP MLB Stack: Boston Red Sox

vs. LHP Dillon Peters (LAA): UPDATE

Pitching

Stephen Strasburg RHP (WSH): 2.75 Runs
Dylan Bundy RHP (BAL): 4.00 Runs
Brock Burke LHP (TEX): UPDATE

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6 years ago 0 comments

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Older Posts

Los Angeles Angels

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Nick Pivetta vs. Oakland Athletics

Logan Webb vs. Cincinnati Reds

Logan Gilbert vs. Minnesota Twins

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Los Angeles Angels vs. Luis Severino

Chicago Cubs vs. MacKenzie Gore

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Chris Bassitt vs. Oakland Athletics

Brayan Bello vs. Chicago White Sox

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Los Angeles Angels vs. Kyle Freeland

San Diego Padres vs. Patrick Corbin

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Jon Gray vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Jamie Barria vs. Chicago Cubs

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Los Angeles Angels vs. Jameson Taillon

Cincinnati Reds vs. Noah Syndergaard

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Bryce Elder vs. Miami Marlins

Steven Matz vs. San Francisco Giants

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Roansy Contreras

Los Angeles Angels vs. Luis Medina

MLB DFS Summary

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Spencer Strider vs. Miami Marlins

Jordan Montgomery vs. San Francisco Giants

Colin Rea vs. Detroit Tigers

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Minnesota Twins vs. Jhony Brito

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Lance Lynn

MLB DFS Summary

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Julio Urias vs. San Francisco Giants

Luis Castillo vs. Chicago Cubs

Bryce Elder vs. Cincinnati Reds

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Seattle Mariners vs. Drew Smyly

Los Angeles Angels vs. Patrick Corbin

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Wade Miley

MLB DFS Summary

Main Slate Breakdown

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap-Up

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Framber Valdez ($10,200)

Best GPP Value: Patrick Sandoval ($7,800)

Contrarian GPP Play: Vladimir Gutierrez ($7,600)

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Los Angeles Angels at DET RHP Wily Peralta

Value Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. ARI RHP Matt Peacock

Contrarian Stack: Tampa Bay Rays vs. RHP Logan Gilbert

Breakout Trading Cards – Cash

Wander Franco, TB SS

Ryan Mountcastle, BAL OF

Bobby Dalbec, BOS 1B/3B

Breakout Trading Cards – GPP

Andrew Vaughn, CWS 1B

Jo Adell, LAA OF

Sean Murphy, OAK C

Breakout Trading Cards – Punt

Nolan Jones, CLE 3B

Evan White, SEA 1B

Nick Solak, TEX 2B

Teams with Highest IRT

GPP MLB Stack: Pittsburgh Pirates

vs. RHP Tim Melville (COL): 7.50 Runs

GPP MLB Stack: Colorado Rockies

vs. RHP Joe Musgrove (PIT): 6.50 Runs

GPP MLB Stack: Atlanta Braves

vs. RHP Reynaldo Lopez (CWS): 5.75 Runs

Other Teams I Have Interest in

GPP MLB Stack: Baltimore Orioles

GPP MLB Stack: Washington Nationals

GPP MLB Stack: Boston Red Sox

Pitching

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