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Houston Rockets

NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Mar. 15)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

While multiple NBA stars will be missing in action tonight, there are plenty of elite matchups featuring some of the league’s best. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets (+2.5)

Los Angeles Lakers (-2.5)

With both LeBron James and Anthony Davis out tonight, it will be up to the new-look Lakers to come away with a win versus a rebuilding Rockets team. While this is a mismatch at first glance, the small-ball Lakers lineup tonight plays right into Houston’s hands. Both Jarred Vanderbilt and Rui Hachimura will man the paint, while D’Angelo Russell, Dennis Schroder, Austin Reaves, and Malik Beasley will need to carry the scoring opportunities. This rotation will be one of, if not the most popular rotation on the NBA slate. Thus, be wary of being overexposed here, as many of these players, most notably the last four mentioned, all need to score to contribute in a fantasy basketball setting.

Houston Rockets (+2.5)

As mentioned above, the Lakers lineup tonight plays right into Houston’s hands. Despite being 29th in defensive rating, the Rockets play at an elite pace when facing smaller lineups. Thus, this is a great spot for both Jalen Green and Jabari Smith Jr. The former continues to lead the team in both usage rate and scoring, while having 20 or more points in four of his last five appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 25.2/3.2/3.4 on 40.6% shooting during that span. With the Lakers sitting 28th in the NBA against primary ball handlers, Green is the Rocket to play tonight. However, should Alperen Sengun (groin) miss this game, Jabari Smith Jr. quickly climbs the rankings in tonight’s player pool. Averaging 24.7/11/2.7 over his last three, the 6’10” Smith Jr. will cause problems for Vanderbilt and Hachimura in the paint.

Golden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Clippers (-3.5)

Golden State Warriors (+3.5)

When looking at the top of the pricing grid on this NBA slate, the player that stands out the most is Steph Curry. Long beholds the matchup the fantasy community should be chasing: primary ball handlers versus the Clippers. With how tight the Western Conference is right now, every game counts for the Warriors. With Andrew Wiggins still out of this lineup, Curry figures to see as many shots as he can handle. The Clippers sit 27th in the NBA versus primary ball handlers, while also allowing over 12 three-pointers per night.

Los Angeles Clippers (-3.5)

With no Andrew Wiggins to guard Kawhi Leonard tonight, Draymond Green will be tasked with guarding one of the league’s best. While Green has proven to be a hall-of-fame defensive talent, this Clippers offense has too much switchability for Kawhi not to find himself open in the midrange versus Donte DiVincenzo. Leonard has now scored 20 or more points in seven straight appearances, averaging 31/6.9/3 on a ridiculous 57.4/58.3/88.9 shooting split during that span. Pairing the two best players in this game is an elite strategy on an NBA slate with many stars missing at the top of the pricing grid.

Honorable Mentions:

Sacramento Kings @ Chicago Bulls (+1.5)
Dallas Mavericks @ San Antonio Spurs (+5.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Mar. 9)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

With six games on the NBA schedule tonight, there are multiple matchups that will result in offensive fireworks. It’s a Thirsty Thursday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Houston Rockets @ Indiana Pacers (-9.5)

Houston Rockets (+9.5)

This game will be a track meet with no defense being played. Houston will be missing Kevin Porter Jr. (thigh) tonight, meaning both Jalen Green and Alperen Sengun will see more offensive looks. The two carry usage rates of 28.4% and 21.6%, respectively, but see increases to 32.8% and 22.4% with Porter Jr. off the court. Moreover, Indiana ranks 26th in the NBA in defensive rating, while being 8th in pace. While the quartet of Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, KJ Martin, and Jae’Sean Tate are viable as well, both Green and/or Sengun make for more intriguing plays in tournaments.

Indiana Pacers (-9.5)

At the top of the pricing grid, most will flock to the next point guard named rather than Tyrese Haliburton. However, with Houston ranking 29th in the NBA in defensive rating and versus primary ball handlers, Haliburton has a tremendous ceiling. Over his last three games, Haliburton has scored 29 or more points in each appearance, with 30 or more in two of three games. Moreover, he has averaged 33.7/4.3/11 on 59.3% shooting during that span.

Golden State Warriors @ Memphis Grizzlies (+2.5)

Golden State Warriors (-2.5)

No one is of more importance at the top of the pricing grid than Steph Curry. As alluded to above, he will be the most popular option in that spot, and rightfully so. The greatest shooter in NBA history is fresh off a 40/6/7 performance, where he made ten three-pointers on sixteen attempts. Moreover, he has taken a total of 43 shots in two appearances since returning from injury, 29 of which came from behind the arc. Memphis remains without Ja Morant, and Tyus Jones is simply no match for Curry’s combination of on-ball and off-ball wizardry. Additionally, Memphis ranks 22nd in the NBA in three-pointers allowed per game, setting the stage for Curry to lead the slate in scoring. Should you start with both he and Haliburton, paired with one of Green or Sengun, this lineup construction allows for ample room for other surrounding pieces.

Memphis Grizzlies (+2.5)

Both Desmond Bane and Tyus Jones figure to be less popular than they have been on other NBA slates recently. The two have climbed the ranks of the pricing grid, making them intriguing tournament plays in an elite game environment. In the absence of Ja Morant, the two have combined for 39 points per game, while having off-setting minutes. While the Warriors struggle with on-ball defense, it is Bane’s minutes in that position that is the more enticing spot of the two players mentioned.

Brooklyn Nets @ Milwaukee Bucks (-12.5)

Brooklyn Nets (+12.5)

The Nets figure to have one of, if not the most popular rotation on this NBA slate. On the front end of a back-to-back, Brooklyn will be without Spencer Dinwiddie, Nicolas Claxton, Cam Johnson, Ben Simmons, and Royce O’Neale. While most will flock to Mikal Bridges, it is Cam Thomas that will seize the most opportunity on the offensive side of the ball. While he takes over as the primary ball handler, Thomas has been electric in this spot before. At the beginning of February, Thomas strung together three straight 40-point efforts while taking 25 shots per night during that stretch.

Milwaukee Bucks (-12.5)

Simply put, there is no need to get exposure to the Bucks’ offense if both Giannis Antetokounmpo and Jrue Holiday return to the lineup. The Nets will be no match for Giannis on the inside, but this game will instantly lack competitiveness. However, should both miss a second straight game, the trio of Khris Middleton, Bobby Portis, and Jevon Carter are intriguing options. Wait to see the final injury report before taking any decisions.

Honorable Mentions:

Charlotte Hornets @ Detroit Pistons (+3.5)
Utah Jazz @ Orlando Magic (-3.5)
New York Knicks @ Sacramento Kings (-3.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Feb. 24)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Despite NBA teams having a week off following the All-Star break, there are still numerous players missing in action. While some focus on their playoff push, others have cause for concern. It’s a Fajita Friday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

New York Knicks @ Washington Wizards (-1.5)

New York Knicks (+1.5)

One of the biggest snubs of this year’s NBA All-Star game was Jalen Brunson. A questionable signing turned into a perfect situation for the Knicks, as they have found their point guard. In ten games before the break, Brunson scored 20 or more points in each one of those appearances. Moreover, he averaged 31.5/4.2/6 on 55.4% shooting during that stretch. The backcourt is riddled with underappreciated talent between Brunson and Immanuel Quickley, while the Knicks suddenly have solid wing depth as well in RJ Barrett and Josh Hart. The latter has been overly efficient since arriving from Portland, shooting 62.1% from the field and 64.3% from behind the arc in three appearances with his new team. While he lacks upside due to limited volume, he is someone that will likely be overplayed on this NBA slate.

Washington Wizards (-1.5)

Bradley Beal did not practice for two consecutive days coming out of the break and is unlikely to play tonight. Thus, Kristaps Porzingis and Kyle Kuzma will shoulder the load on offense. The former plays against the organization that drafted him, while Kuzma is surprisingly still in town following the trade deadline. However, Washington is still holding a spot in the Play-In tournament right now. While the duo are in awkward positions on the pricing grid, the latter has more upside. Kuzma does not see drastic increases in his production with Beal off the court, but does take more shots and handles the rock more frequently. A reluctancy to commit to such a bleak situation would be understandable, so look to Deni Avdija or Delon Wright here.

Miami Heat @ Milwaukee Bucks (-1.5)

Miami Heat (+1.5)

While this is far from an elite game environment, these two teams will be playing on tight rotations. Both organizations have built their rosters around defensive ability, and the two both have top 5 defenses in the NBA. However, Miami is desperate for wins and will need to tighten their rotation down the stretch. In the absence of Kyle Lowry (knee), Tyler Herro will be a key contributor in the backcourt. Moreover, Jimmy Butler will have ample room to dominate this halfcourt offense in the absence of one of, if not the best defender in the league: Giannis Antetokounmpo.

Milwaukee Bucks (-1.5)

As alluded to above, Giannis Antetokounmpo (wrist) injured himself in the last game before the NBA All-Star break and is doubtful to play tonight. Thus, Jrue Holiday, Brook Lopez, Khris Middleton, and Bobby Portis will see an increase in offensive looks. There is no clear advantage in individual matchups between the four, as the Heat bolster one of the best defensive units in the league. However, Khris Middleton will look to regain his form before the playoffs begin, leaving him with the most upside based on sheer volume. Before the break, Middleton scored in double digits across his last six appearances and eight of his last nine. During that stretch, he averaged 16.1/5/3.6 on 48.7% shooting, while taking over 12 field goal attempts per night.

Houston Rockets @ Golden State Warriors (-9.5)

Houston Rockets (+9.5)

In the absence of both Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green, there are a ton of shots available to the remaining Rockets. Alperen Sengun is the key benefactor in this situation, seeing his usage rate increase from 22.1% to 26.4%, with his fantasy points per minute rising from 1.21 to 1.25. However, there are others to consider as well. The trio of KJ Martin, Jabari Smith Jr., and Tari Eason make for intriguing plays in tournaments, with Smith Jr. being the least preferable of the three. Look for the trio of Josh Christopher, TyTy Washington Jr., and Daishen Nix to pick up the bulk of the workload in a depleted backcourt.

Golden State Warriors (-9.5)

The Warriors are still missing Andrew Wiggins and Steph Curry for this game. Thus, against the worst defense in the NBA, their remaining offensive players are in a tremendous spot. Both Jordan Poole and Klay Thompson fell on the pricing grid, leaving more room for upside here. However, as stated in yesterday’s breakdown, these are the two you want to focus on. Moreover, Kevon Looney and Draymond Green will be key in shutting down Alperen Sengun. No need to reinvent the wheel here: the key contributors are known and are excellent plays on this slate.

Honorable Mentions:

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Atlanta Hawks (-1.5)
Sacramento Kings @ Los Angeles Clippers (-6.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

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NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Feb. 6)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Yesterday, we saw a rollercoaster of a storyline finally come to an end with Kyrie Irving being traded to the Dallas Mavericks. This not only has implications on future NBA slates, but also sets the wheels in motion for other negotiations to heat up. Injury reports will be key to monitor from now until the trade deadline. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Sacramento Kings @ Houston Rockets (+6.5)

Sacramento Kings (-6.5)

De’Aaron Fox missed a second straight game last night due to personal reasons. Should he be ruled out once again, Domantas Sabonis is a prime candidate to be one of the highest scoring players on this NBA slate. Houston is surprisingly the best rebounding team in the league at this point in the season, but they struggle mightily versus Sabonis, who has amassed 29 rebounds across two previous meetings between these two teams. Moreover, he has averaged 22/14.5/12.5 versus Houston this season. The Rockets rank 26th in the NBA in points allowed in the paint per game, setting the stage for a bounce back performance from the Kings All-Star after a disappointing outing last night.

Houston Rockets (+6.5)

Kevin Porter Jr. remains without a timetable to return, making Houston one of the more intriguing rotations to follow in the latter stages of the NBA season. Jalen Green and Alperen Sengun hold bright futures, but the Rockets have a tough road ahead of them in this rebuild. The former returned to the lineup last game after missing the previous three, but struggled mightily with his shot. However, he led the team in usage rate and will do so again tonight. In the mid range of the pricing grid, Green carries a ton of risk, but has massive potential to be in the optimal lineup given his shot-making ability. KJ Martin and Eric Gordon make for intriguing plays in the mid range as well, but lack the upside that Green carries.

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Golden State Warriors (-4.5)

Oklahoma City Thunder (+4.5)

Fresh off a 32-point blowout versus the Rockets, where the Thunder put up a ridiculous 153 points, OKC have been thriving in an up-tempo offense this season. They currently sit third in the NBA in pace, while sitting 13th in net rating. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was recently named an All-Star for the first time in his young career, and deservingly so. However, Josh Giddey offers tremendous upside in this matchup as well. Over his last three games, Giddey has averaged 19.3/8/8 on 53.1% shooting. Moreover, he led the team in rebounds during that stretch, as he has done for the duration of the season. Giddey offers a safe floor and a high ceiling in an elite game environment.

Golden State Warriors (-4.5)

The reigning NBA Champions have been dealing with injuries all season long. After an extended absence earlier this season, Steph Curry is now ruled out for multiple weeks. Thus, Jordan Poole and Klay Thompson will be tasked with picking up the bulk of minutes in the backcourt. On the year, Poole has averaged 20.5/2.8/4.3 on 43.5% shooting. Not only is he third in the team in scoring, but also in field goal attempts per night. However, with Curry off the court, Poole takes on a bigger role, both off the bench and in the starting unit. In this scenario, Poole sees his usage rate increase from 29.4% to a whopping 34.8%, while producing 1.12 fantasy points per minute.

Honorable Mentions:

Los Angeles Clippers @ Brooklyn Nets (+6.5)
Milwaukee Bucks @ Portland Trail Blazers (+4.5)

Key Injury Reports:

Dallas Mavericks: Luka Doncic (heel – out), Spencer Dinwiddie (traded – out), Christian Wood (thumb – questionable), Dorian Finney-Smith (traded – out)
Brooklyn Nets: Kevin Durant (knee – out), Kyrie Irving (traded – out), Ben Simmons (knee – questionable), Seth Curry (adductor – out)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Jan. 26)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

There are plenty of good matchups on a small NBA schedule tonight. Some teams are on the second half of a back-to-back, while others are crawling to the All-Star break hoping to get healthy. It’s a Thirsty Thursday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Detroit Pistons @ Brooklyn Nets (-8.5)

Detroit Pistons (+8.5)

Lately, Jalen Duren has been a force on both ends of the court. The rookie was shockingly dealt from the Knicks/Hornets on draft day in a three-team trade, but the Pistons have been reaping the benefits. Over his last five games, Duren has averaged 13.6/11.6/1 on 71.8% shooting. Moreover, he has collected three double-doubles in those five appearances, seeing 20 minutes or more in four of five. The Nets rank 6th in the NBA in points allowed in the paint per game, but their bench is overmatched versus Duren, who is likely to come out of the starting lineup with the return of Isaiah Stewart looming.

Brooklyn Nets (-8.5)

The Nets are on the second half of a back-to-back and facing an underwhelming opponent. Thus, there is a chance that key players sit this one out. Should Kyrie Irving be one to miss this game, the NBA slate will be turned upside down. Make sure to monitor this injury report throughout the day.

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Houston Rockets (+7.5)

Cleveland Cavaliers (-7.5)

Donovan Mitchell is set to miss multiple games with a groin injury, making the Cavaliers enticing on this NBA slate. Beginning with Darius Garland, the starting unit will thrive against a Rockets defense that ranks 28th in the defensive rating. On the season, Garland has a 27.4% usage rate, resulting in 1.10 fantasy points per minute. However, with Mitchell off the court, Garland sees an increase to 1.24 fantasy points per minute through a 29.8% usage rate. Caris LeVert will see more opportunity on the offense end, while both Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley see more action in the paint with Mitchell out.

Houston Rockets (+7.5)

The Rockets are on the second half of a back-to-back and may rest a few players. Eric Gordon has been the subject of many trade rumors and could get the night off, while Jabari Smith Jr. returned to the lineup after a two-game absence against the Wizards. Thus, the duo of Jalen Green and Alperen Sengun will continue leading the offense. However, there will also be more opportunity for the likes of KJ Martin and Tari Eason, should both Gordon and Smith Jr. miss this game. Another injury report to monitor, but a crucial one to this NBA slate.

Honorable Mentions:

Chicago Bulls @ Charlotte Hornets (+5.5)
Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns (+1.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Jan. 25)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Injuries highlight the NBA slate as we approach the All-Star break. Moreover, many players are at the core of trade rumors. It’s a busy time for the league, but it makes these games all that more meaningful. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Indiana Pacers @ Orlando Magic (-4.5)

Indiana Pacers (+4.5)

The Pacers are on the second half of a back-to-back but that won’t stop them from being one of the most popular rotations on the NBA slate. In the absence of Tyrese Haliburton, there have been many players stepping up. TJ McConnell continues to be a hot commodity in the mid range of the pricing grid, while Buddy Hield showed out after being highlighted in yesterday’s article. Moreover, Myles Turner continues to be a fantasy points per minute machine and is seeing an increased workload in the paint.

Orlando Magic (-4.5)

Despite cooling off after a hot start to his NBA career, Paolo Banchero is a tremendous play in the mid range of the pricing grid. Banchero has now scored in double digits across 12 straight appearances, averaging 19.8/5.7/3.3 on 42.4% shooting. However, his minutes have been limited during that stretch, large in part because of blowout losses. Tonight, the Magic are favored as two rebuilding teams face one another. With The Pacers lacking size on the wing, opting for smaller lineups with combo guards such as Mathurin and Hield, Panchero holds a massive size advantage against anyone he lines up against.

Washington Wizards @ Houston Rockets (+3.5)

Washington Wizards (-3.5)

Both of these teams are riddled with injuries but this is one of the best game environments on the NBA slate. Despite Kyle Kuzma acting as the primary ball handler in this offense, the sheer upside that Bradley Beal has in this matchup is too good to pass up on. Not only is his place on the pricing grid outright disrespectful, but the Rockets rank 28th in the league in defensive rating. He is far from his form that nearly led him to a scoring title in 2020-2021, but Beal is still one of the best off-ball guards in the league. The absence of Kristaps Porzingis opens up a ton of shots for Beal, who has scored 20 or more points in ten of his last fifteen appearances.

Houston Rockets (+3.5)

On the flipside of this matchup is plenty of offensive potential in its own right. In the absence of Kevin Porter Jr., both Alperen Sengun and Jalen Green have been phenomenal. The former gets a juicy matchup versus Daniel Gafford, who is simply not match for the sophomore. Sengun has three double-doubles in his last four games, averaging 24.3/12.5/6.5 during that span. Moreover, Green has scored 20 or more points in four of his last five games since KPJ went down with a foot injury. Green has averaged 28.6/3.2/3.6 on 49.5% shooting during that span, taking over 20 field goal attempts per night.

Toronto Raptors @ Sacramento Kings (-4.5)

Toronto Raptors (+4.5)

One of the most intriguing teams heading into the NBA trade deadline, the Raptors still have one of the best cores in the league. However, they have failed to return to form that won them a championship only a few years ago. Yes, Kawhi Leonard is gone, but OG Anunoby is one of the best defenders in the league, while Pascal Siakam and Scottie Barnes have the potential to carry this team to wins nightly. In this matchup, Gary Trent Jr. will see a lot of shot attempts versus a Kings defense the struggles on the perimeter. Moreover, Scottie Barnes will be key in defending De’Aaron Fox, while producing on offense and on the glass.

Sacramento Kings (-4.5)

Simply put, this is a tremendous matchup for Domantas Sabonis. To the surprise of no one, he is featured once again in a Kings writeup. However, the Raptors struggle on the glass, giving Sabonis great potential to dominate both ends of the paint. Over his last seven games, not only has Sabonis posted six double-doubles, but he also has eight or more assists in each one of those appearances. Sabonis has averaged a 17.4/12.9/10.9 triple-double during that span, showing no signs of slowing down anytime soon.

Honorable Mentions:

Brooklyn Nets @ Philadelphia 76ers (-6.5)
Denver Nuggets @ Milwaukee Bucks (-6.5)
Minnesota Timberwolves @ New Orleans Pelicans (-2.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS for Ghost’s Gems (Jan. 23)

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

There are plenty of great matchups tonight in the NBA. Unfortunately, many players continue to be sidelined with injuries. However, many unfamiliar names have stepped up for their respective teams. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Houston Rockets (+6.5)

Minnesota Timberwolves (-6.5)

In the second matchup between these two teams in only three days, all eyes will be on Anthony Edwards. The former #1 overall draft pick exploded for 44/6/4 on Saturday, making him likely to be one of the popular options on this NBA slate. Over his last seven games, Edwards has scored 20 or more points in six appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 27/5.3/5 during that span, shooting 46.9% from the field. With the Rockets ranked 28th in defensive rating, Edwards is set to continue leading this offense.

Houston Rockets (+6.5)

Should Rudy Gobert miss a fourth consecutive game, Alperen Sengun is an elite target in the mid range of the pricing grid. Over his last eight games, Sengun has logged 28 or more minutes in every appearance. Moreover, he has averaged 19.1/11.1/5.9 during that span, displaying both finishing and playmaking ability. With Gobert on the sidelines, Minnesota has a 115.1 net defensive rating, which would currently rank 25th in the NBA.

Charlotte Hornets @ Utah Jazz (-7.5)

Charlotte Hornets (+7.5)

Exposure to the Hornets is contingent on the availability of LaMelo Ball. After missing Saturday’s game with an ankle injury, Ball has since been upgraded to questionable for this matchup. However, should he eventually be ruled out, Terry Rozier will lead the charge on offense. On the season, Rozier is second on the team with a 26.9% usage rate, producing 1.03 fantasy points per minute. However, with Ball off the court, Rozier sees increases to a usage rate of 30.2% and 1.09 points per minute. The Jazz struggle more off the ball than with primary ball handlers, ranking 27th in the NBA versus the former.

Utah Jazz (-7.5)

Although Kelly Olynyk is nearing a return to the lineup, the future of the Jazz in the paint lies in Walker Kessler. Despite having a low 12.8% usage rate on the year, Kessler has been on the best from the most recent NBA draft class. He not only has three double-doubles over his last four games, but he is also averaging 12.5/12.5/1.8 on nearly 70% shooting during that span. Moreover, despite logging 29 minutes per game, Kessler is fourth in the NBA in blocks, averaging 2.0 per night.

Memphis Grizzlies @ Sacramento Kings (+2.5)

Memphis Grizzlies (-2.5)

Memphis is on the second half of a back-to-back so there could be addition to their injury report throughout the day. Believe it or not, this game features two of the best in the Western Conference, as Sacramento shockingly finds themselves in the third seed. Despite an improved defensive system for the Kings, they lack the ability to close out on wings. Thus, Desmond Bane is the player to watch tonight, alongside Ja Morant. The former has battled injuries this year, but has been performing quite well. He carries a 26.7% usage rate on the season, averaging 21.6 points per game in over 30 minutes per night.

Sacramento Kings (+2.5)

While Domantas Sabonis and De’Aaron Fox are both worthy on an NBA All-Star selection, it will be tough to fit one of them in NBA lineups tonight with other priorities. Thus, both Kevin Huerter and Harrison Barnes find themselves as options. The former gets a favorable matchup on the perimeter versus a Memphis defense that ranks 22nd in three-pointers allowed per game. Thus far, Huerter has shot 41.4% from deep, making 2.9 three-pointers per night. Moreover, Barnes has scored 20 or more points in four of his last five appearances. Sporting a 19.1% usage rate during that span, Barnes has averaged 22.8 points per game on 53.2% shooting.

Honorable Mentions:

Atlanta Hawks @ Chicago Bulls (-1.5)
San Antonio Spurs @ Portland Trail Blazers (-8.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 01/13/2023

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

As has been the theme of the week, tonight’s NBA slate is riddled with injuries. However, plenty of elite game environments remain. It’s a Fajita Friday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Atlanta Hawks @ Indiana Pacers (+3.5)

Atlanta Hawks (-3.5)

The lone bright spot of the Pacers in their own end of the court has been their on-ball defense. However, this changes drastically with Tyrese Haliburton ruled out for the next two weeks. Trae Young missed last game with an illness, but is off the injury report. Wednesday night was a prime example of how this offense can struggle without the face of their franchise. Not only does Young lead the team with a 33.6% usage rate, but he also leads the team in both scoring and assists as well. Despite swirling rumors around the team, Young has been excellent this NBA season, averaging 27.5/2.9/9.8 on 42.2% shooting.

Indiana Pacers (+3.5)

As mentioned above, Tyrese Haliburton will be out for at least two weeks with a sprained elbow. Thus, there is ample opportunity for others on the offensive side of the ball. While TJ McConnell and Andrew Nembhard figure to share the rock on the starting unit, interest should also lie in Indiana’s shooters. While Atlanta has good on-ball defense thanks to Dejounte Murray, Trae Young has been abysmal on defense with a 117.7 rating. Thus, Buddy Hield and Bennedict Mathurin cannot be overlooked on this NBA slate. Hield leads the league in three-pointers this season with 165 makes. Moreover, he has averaged 18.3 points while shooting 42.7% from behind the arc. Meanwhile, Mathurin continues to lead the Pacers in usage at 25.8% and figures to play a crucial role in this offense in the absence of Haliburton.

Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Clippers (-1.5)

Denver Nuggets (+1.5)

Nikola Jokic was a surprising addition to the Nuggets injury report. Known as one of the most durable players in the NBA over recent years, the back-to-back MVP will dictate exposure to this offense. Should he evidently play, he is in a prime spot to lead the slate in scoring. The Clippers currently rank 19th in points allowed in the paint and 24th versus true centers. Moreover, Jokic has averaged 25.5/12.3/11 over his last 13 games, recording a whopping seven triple-doubles along the way. If Jokic is ruled out, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon will lead the starting unit, while Bones Hyland becomes an intriguing play off the bench.

Los Angeles Clippers (-1.5)

Kawhi Leonard is no longer mispriced on NBA DFS sites. Tonight, in the absence of Paul George, Leonard will once again lead the charge for the Clippers. However, there are other targets in this offense as well. Norman Powell and Terance Mann both continue to log heavy minutes over veterans John Wall and Reggie Jackson. Moreover, Powell has now scored in double digits in each of his last four appearances. During that span, Powell has averaged 18.8/3.5/1.8 on 50% shooting, including 20 or more points in two of his last four outings. If you cannot play Leonard, don’t hesitate to get exposure to this offense in other ways.

Houston Rockets @ Sacramento Kings (-10.5)

Houston Rockets (+10.5)

A rematch of Wednesday’s contest is highlighted for the second time in three days. A key difference, however, is that Kevin Porter Jr. has been ruled out for tonight’s game. Thus, both Jalen Green and Alperen Sengun are elite targets on this NBA slate. On the season, Green leads the team with a 28.1% usage rate and has posted 0.98 fantasy points per minute. However, with KPJ off the court, Green’s output increases to 1.07 fantasy points per minute and a 32.4% usage rate. Moreover, Sengun continues to be ignored by the field. He was highlighted in Wednesday’s article, which you can find here. The sophomore came through with the first triple-double of his career, posting a 10/10/10 scoring line on 55.56% shooting.

Sacramento Kings (-10.5)

Another NBA slate featuring the Kings is another day to play Sabonis or Fox. However, both have been featured countless times over the years. Kevin Huerter was scratched on Wednesday because of an illness and he did not practice yesterday. Should Huerter be ruled out for tonight’s game, both Malik Monk and Terence Davis will play larger roles on offense against one of, if not the worst defense in the NBA. However, make no mistake about it, Domantas Sabonis and De’Aaron Fox are the prime targets here.

Honorable Mentions:

Golden State Warriors @ San Antonio Spurs (OTB)
Phoenix Suns @ Minnesota Timberwolves (-3.5)
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Chicago Bulls (-4.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 01/11/2023

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

It is truly crucial to follow the news as an NBA slate unfolds. Yesterday, many players were ruled out, causing short rotations in nearly every game. Tonight, injury reports are one again lengthly and some teams are on the second half of a back-to-back. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards (OTB)

Chicago Bulls (OTB)

Both teams in this game have crucial players on their injury reports. For the Bulls, DeMar DeRozan left the team’s last game and did not return due to a quadriceps injury. He is currently listed as questionable for tonight. Whether DeRozan plays or not does not shift the importance that both Nikola Vucevic and Zach Lavine will have on this NBA slate. Over his last eight games, Vucevic has posted seven double-doubles. Moreover, he has averaged 17.6/13.8/3.5 on 56.1% shooting during that span. Lavine has also picked it up in what can only be described as a disappointing season. Over his last three games, Lavine leads the team with a 31.3% usage rate. He has three straight outings with 27 or more points, including 36-point and 41-point efforts. Over his last three, Lavine has averaged 34.7/5.3/4.7 on 56.3% shooting, including a whopping seven three-pointers made per night.

Washington Wizards (OTB)

Washington remains without Bradley Beal and could be even more shorthanded tonight. Both Kristaps Porzingis and Daniel Gafford are listed as questionable, while partially practicing yesterday. Should either frontcourt player miss this one, Rui Hachimura will be in for more offensive looks. On the season, Hachimura has a 22.3% usage rate and 0.90 fantasy points per minute. However, with Beal, Porzingis, and Gafford off the floor, his numbers do not increase by an overwhelming amount. This is large in part due to dominating usage on the second unit, but struggling to coincide with Kyle Kuzma. Thus, on a large NBA slate, exposure to a mediocre offense is far from a must.

Milwaukee Bucks @ Atlanta Hawks (OTB)

Milwaukee Bucks (OTB)

Should players be ruled out at the same rate as last night’s NBA slate, Giannis Antetokounmpo will be the first priority. Despite struggling in a shocking blowout loss to the Hornets, Giannis still has 30 or more points in four of his last six games. During that span, he has averaged 34/14.5/5.7 on 48.9% shooting, despite a 9/4/0 stat line against the Hornets. Moreover, the Greek Freak is in a tremendous matchup. With Clint Capela still out for the Hawks, Onyeka Okongwu will be severely outmatched in the paint on both ends of the floor. The Hawks rank 26th in points in the paint per game, paving the way for Giannis to dominate on both ends of the paint tonight.

Atlanta Hawks (OTB)

Despite Jrue Holiday being an elite defender, the Bucks have been getting dominated by opposing primary ball handlers as of late. In their last three games, the Bucks have allowed Jalen Brunson to drop 44/7/4, while giving up 24/3/12 to LaMelo Ball, and 28/8/12 to Fred VanVleet. In his last four games, Trae Young has scored 30 or more points in three appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 28.3/3.5/9.3 on 48% shooting. With the Hawks ranked 5th in the NBA in pace, this offense will be one to focus on.

Houston Rockets @ Sacramento Kings (OTB)

Houston Rockets (OTB)

Despite their opponent’s success in the standings, they still rank 24th in the NBA in defensive rating. Moreover, they rank 4th in pace, creating an elite game environment for a young Rockets offense. In their last ten games, the Kings have also allowed 120.9 points per game, so there is plenty of intrigue here. Despite a tough matchup on paper versus Domantas Sabonis, Alperen Sengun will be needed to match his fellow center’s minutes. Moreover, the Kings rank 29th in the NBA in points allowed in the paint. Over his last five games, Sengun has scored in double digits each time. Moreover, he has averaged 15.6/7.6/3.2 on 51.9% shooting during that span. If the matchup is concerning for your lineups, both Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green have a ton of upside in this matchup, with the former being the preferred target.

Sacramento Kings (OTB)

On the season, the Rockets rank 28th in the NBA in defensive rating, allowing nearly 116 points per game. Moreover, they rank last in the league against primary ball handlers. De’Aaron Fox has been playing at an all-star level this year. He leads the team in usage rate at 29.2% and scoring with 23.8 points per game. Moreover, Fox has scored 20 or more points in 11 of his last 13 appearances, averaging 26.4/3.8/7.1 on 50.4% shooting. This is also a tremendous matchup for Kevin Huerter. The Rockets allow a league-worst 14.3 three-pointers per game. On the season, Huerter has been lights out from behind the arc. He has averaged three three-pointers made per game, shooting 42% from deep. He has 11th in the NBA in three-pointers made per game, while being 14th in shooting percentage.

Honorable Mentions:

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Detroit Pistons (+5.5)
New Orleans Pelicans @ Boston Celtics (-9.5)
Phoenix Suns @ Denver Nuggets (OTB)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 01/05

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Star-studded matchups and teams on the tail end of back-to-backs headline tonight’s action in the NBA. It’s a Thirsty Thursday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Memphis Grizzlies @ Orlando Magic (+6.5)

Memphis Grizzlies (-6.5)

Both of these teams are on the second half of a back-to-back so things will get interesting on the defensive side of the ball. Steven Adams has been dominant on the glass as of late and gets a friendly matchup on both sides of the court. He has three double-doubles in his last four games, averaging 11/19/2.8 on 52.8% shooting. Moreover, the backcourt of Ja Morant and Desmond Bane will be able to work this offense in comfortable fashion, with the latter having a ton of upside on this small NBA slate.

Orlando Magic (+6.5)

The Magic rotations returns to full strength with everyone having served their suspensions. While Bol Bol missed last night’s game as expected, he is a strong candidate to sit once again tonight. Additionally, there are potential rest candidates in Wendell Carter Jr. and Jalen Suggs. There is intrigue to be had despite the tough matchup versus a Grizzlies defense that ranks second in the NBA. Look for updates in Discord once the final injury report comes through.

Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets (+5.5)

Utah Jazz (-5.5)

This is the best game environment on the NBA slate. Utah comes into tonight having lost a heartbreaker to Sacramento and five straight games, but their offense has been tremendous, averaging 121 points over their last three. Malik Beasley was at the forefront of Tuesday’s article and he came through with 16/6/2 in 30 minutes of play for 33 fantasy points. He is once again in a great spot tonight with Collin Sexton out, as is the trio of Markkenen, Clarkson, and Conley.

Houston Rockets (+5.5)

On the second half of a back-to-back, Eric Gordon is a potential rest candidate for the Rockets. Should he miss this game, the bench gets awfully thin after Tari Eason. It won’t be the first time he’s mentioned and certainly won’t be the last: this is a tremendous spot for Alperen Sengun. On the season, the sophomore is averaging 14.3/8.5/2.6 on 55.1% shooting. With the Jazz ranked 29th in the NBA against centers, Sengun is set to dominate the paint on both ends of the floor.

Honorable Mentions:

Boston Celtics @ Dallas Mavericks (+2.5)
Los Angeles Clippers @ Denver Nuggets (-6.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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