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golf dfs

The Rocket Mortgage Classic Final Ownership Projections

written by cdenny99@hotmail.com

The Rocket Mortgage Classic Final Ownership Projections

Last year a sub named Nate Lashley led from start to finish at the Detroit golf club and finished -25. The rough has been allowed to grow and thicken, I’m not sure how much that will deter scores, last year was a birdie bonanza, it should still be a high scoring affair this year. The weather is negligible for now for The Rocket Mortgage Classic so keep it in mind. Let’s get down to the ownership and picks.

The top man this week is Bryson DeChambeau by a large margin, he is at 29%. He deserves the love, but at 30% he would have to win to make value. Next is Victor Hovland at 23% and then a drop to Tyrrell Hatton at 19%. Patrick Reed follows at 18%, Doc Redman at 17%, Sneds is at 16%, Kevin Na at 16%. Kevin said Sunday night after finishing 5th last week that his back feels great, for now. I thought why would he add “for now ?” Patrick Scott caught a tweet from him last night that he hopes his back will allow him to make it thru this tourney, I was considering him for a core position, but I’m off now. Beware the injured golfer, he rates high, but it’s too risky for me. Webb Simpson is also 16% owned and is a great pivot off DeChambeau, the writers all agree he could do well.

Deki and Sungjae Im are 15% owned along with Tony Finau and Scottie Scheffler, don’t be surprised to see Scottys % go up from the time of this report. Lucas Glover and EricVan Rooyen are at 14%, Adam Hadwin is 13%.

The following golfers are at 11% JT Poston, Rory Sabbatini, Christian Bezuidenhout, Brendan Todd, and Sebastian Munoz. Brian Stuard is at 10%, Lanto Griffin is at 9%, along with Brian Harmon, Kyle Stanley, Maverick McNealy, and Jason Day. Scott Stallings and last weeks underdog hero, Will Gordon are at 8%, along with my favorite pick Tyler Duncan, and Tom Hoge. Si Woo Kim is also 8%. In the 7% owned bracket you have Mark Hubbard, Matt Wolf, Sam Burns, and Patton Kizzire. At 6% you have Rafa Cabrera Bello, Kevin Kisner, Alex Noren, Kurt Kitayama who won a qualifier on Monday, Patrick Rodgers, Branden Grace, and Aaron Wise. At 5% and under some notables include Cameron Tringale, Chesson Hadley, Keegan Bradley, Emiliano Grillo, Luke List, Joseph Bramlett and Sepp Straka.

The following golfers may help your team place higher in the Draft Kings Million contest, please note this is for high entry GPP only, there is inherent and real risk involved to go after all the zeroes behind the 1.

Top Tier: Bryson DeChambeau (11,700) and Webb Simpson (11,000) Sungjae Im (9800)

Bryson is a beast and as long as he’s under 30 % a neutral play that can score points, he may go over 30 % owned, if he does, his perfect pivot is to Simpson, cheaper and the same upside as Bryson. Sungjae again projects well in this price range for value and upside. (He is my Na replacement)

Mid Tier: Kyle Stanley (7100), Scott Stallings (7500),and Rafa Cabrera Bello (8100)

With low ownership and really good numbers to make top 20, these three are projecting well in the model, and they allow you price wise to go for more top talent.

Low/ Mid Tier: Harold Varner lll (7600), Tyler Duncan (7000) Joseph Bramlett (7500)

These are the roster adds that can win a million, or blow up your team on Friday night, they are projecting at the top of the risk field.

Long Shot: Wes Roach (7300) Kevin Chappell (6600)
Their numbers indicate this course fits them, IF they putt well it could be a good week.

I spent some time this afternoon with Patrick and Sia trying to nail down some decent picks for you, our members, it’s extremely important to us, and I know Isaiah has already posted some great info as well. I play under the name SicilyKid, and you will see the above named players on my teams.

As always I hope to be with you, in the money!

Players and members please remember that the people who win millions every week have a common factor, they have two players whose ownership average is between 5 to 8% each, and their total team ownership comes in between 12-18%. Use ownership as a weapon, don’t be afraid to roster player X if you think he brings it.

The writers and I will be in the Discord Chat later to answer questions, do yourself a favor and check out all the golf reports, and as always, I hope to be with you, in the money. Check out more golf content for FREE over at WinDailySports.com/Golf.

5 years ago 0 comments

PGA

Isaiahs Protocol for the PGA DFS Slate on 7/2

Isaiah 5 years ago

written by Isaiah

The Course

The PGA DFS slate heads to Detroit where Donald Ross has designed a par 72, 7334 yard course. This course plays longer and has four par 5’s. With only one water hazard, Ross is very good at protecting his greens with an abundance of deep bunkers. The fairways are also lined with trees that come with substantial foliage. An errant drive off the tee may leave the ball in deep rough that will be blocked from finding the green.

Typical to any other Ross design, there is a premium put on ball striking here. Accuracy off the tee will be more valuable than pure distance. Strokes gained on approach is equally important. Hitting the greens in regulation has been a priority to getting on the leader boards. Ross is famous for building greens back to front so our golfers will find a steep, fast, downhill putt if they go long. Once on these Bentgrass/POA surfaces, I’m looking to put a little more emphasis on the flat stick. We want to capitalize on some of these par 4’s and 5’s. Putting becomes important for scoring.

Recent Ross layout winners include Woods, Schauffele, McIlroy, Snedeker, Stenson, Bradley, and last years Rocket Mortgage winner Nate Lashley. He had a solid week (+5.3 strokes) with his irons, and was on fire (+9.3 strokes) with his putter. One thing these golfers have in common is some of the best iron games in the world. That’s where I’ll be looking this week.

The Golfers

Taking projected ownership and DraftKings salary into consideration on this PGA DFS slate, lets look at some of my favorite plays this week.

Hideki Matsuyama ($10200): Typically worse on Bermuda greens, I expect Deki’s ownership to be obtainable. He had a poor showing on the greens 2 weeks ago where he missed the cut at the RBC Heritage. Mats has one of the best long iron games in the world. A solid bounce back performance in this average field can be expected this week.

Bubba Watson ($9200): Bubba missed the cut on the number last week as a heavy chalk favorite. His ownership has dipped drastically because of it. Let’s take a look at some statistics over the last 24 rounds. SG:OTT 2^nd, SG:BS 14^th, SG:T2G 15^th, and SG:P4 2^nd. This salary and ownership make him an interesting play. You will soon see that I’m using a strategy to get 3 top golfers into a lineup

Kevin Na ($9100): Na ranks 6^th in my model for this PGA DFS slate. It’s hard not to look at him after his 5^th place performance at the Traveler’s last week. A solid approach, and putting game is exactly what I’m looking for. I’d like him to be a bit more accurate off the tee. Regardless, a great play at this salary.

Scottie Scheffler ($9000): Make no mistake about it, he’s been cold lately. We leave the confines of some of these smaller courses and let Scottie air it out again. I think he takes full advantage of the par 5’s and has the upside to get back to the top 5, where he was earlier in the season.

Not to give the wrong impression. I DO like Bryson DeChambeau, Webb Simpson, Tyrrell Hatton, Patrick Reed, Victor Hovland, and Sungjae Im as well. Simply trying to get more power into a single lineup without attracting too much ownership is a strategy that allows me to build lineups for single entry GPP’s. Let’s take a look at some of the other names to be considered.

The Others

Rickie Fowler, Tony Finau, Christiaan Bezuidenhout, Erik Van Rooyen, Harold Varner III, Maverick McNealy, Scott Stallings, Will Gordon, Sebastian Munoz, Peter Uihlein, Kyle Stanley, Tyler Duncan, Sam Burns, Matthew Wolff, Aaron Wise, Cameron Tringale, Cameron Davis, Shawn Stefani, and Chase Seiffert.

They all haven’t made my lineups yet, but I just wanted to give you a look at my player pool so far.

Please feel free to join us in the Discord chat rooms as the other pro’s and I break down and discuss our favorite plays even further. Our family here at WinDaily hopes that we can give you the tools you need to succeed at playing DFS. Our common goal is for everyone to earn some extra money doing something we love.

5 years ago 0 comments

PGA

Rocket Mortgage Classic Ownership Preview

Steven Polardi 5 years ago

written by Steven Polardi

Rocket Mortgage Classic Ownership Preview

Last week in the DraftKings Milly Maker, the winner had not just two golfers in the 5-8% threshold, he had three, including Mr Gordon, a sub for a sub that replaced a Covid casualty, and was owned by less than 1% of the field. The winner beat the second place finisher by almost 25 points, and both winners in the last two weeks had a total ownership of 13% +. Let’s get into the Rocket Mortgage Classic Ownership Preview.

This weeks field for the Rocket Mortgage Classic has big name players skipping out to ready themselves for the gauntlet of tourneys coming up. Those of you that play regularly will notice that pricing has tightened up considerably, if you see a favorite of yours and think, that salary’s too high, then it probably is. This is a list of golfers I’m considering for Thursday’s tourney.

Wesley Bryan- (6500) He has made the cut the last two tourneys and he led the field in approach last week, a key metric for the Detroit course.

Adam Hadwin- (7000) Adam took last week off, prior to that he’s been playing consistent good golf. His approach game is strong right now, and both he and Bryan allow relief to pick higher priced targets.

Scott Stallings- (7500) Stallings was the first golfer to pop in my models and has continued thru today. This is a course he can excel on, and he is reasonably priced.

Doc Redman- (8500) Just look at this price tag, about 2000 more than the first tourney three weeks ago, he has proven to be money as far as value and he placed 2nd at this tourney last year.

Kevin Na- (9100) Kevin quietly finished in fifth place last week, carried by his approach and putting, putting can be volatile, again his approach game makes him worthy for this course.

Thanks for reading this Rocket Mortgage Classic Ownership Preview. I will have a more detailed report tomorrow afternoon with updated ownership and picks for the tourney on WinDailySports.com. Please remember to check out Sia’s live stream on the WinDailySports Twitter Page, and he and all the writers will be available in the Discord chat to answer any questions.

As always, I hope to be with you, in the money.

5 years ago 0 comments

PGA

The Travelers Championship Final Ownership Projections

DFSGhost 5 years ago

written by DFSGhost

The Travelers Championship Final Ownership Projections

The ownership projections for the first two tournaments have been on lock. This week, as of this report, the top golfer is Bryson DeChambeau at 23%+ (+ is rising) Justin Thomas has shot up in the last hour at 22%, and Victor Hovland is at 21%+. There are still 57,000 entries available in the Milly Maker. This weeks numbers are more clustered together, last week Webb Simpson smoked the field in ownership. Here are The Travelers Championship Final Ownership Projections.

Ownership Projections

Jon Rahm, Abraham Ancer, Joaquin Niemann and Sungjae Im are next at 19% and Patrick Scott’s poster boy Collin Morikawa at 18% + along with Justin Rose and Bubba Watson. Scottie Scheffler is at 17%+ (I like Scotty ) along with Xander Schauffele and DJohnson.

Patrick Reed is 16%, with Rory McILroy, and Patrick Cantlay( first tourney in 4 months) coming in at 15%, followed by Gary Woodland +, and then Tony Finau at 14%.

M Fitzpatrick is 12%,M Leishman is at 11%, and so is Sergio Garcia. Ian Poulter and Corey Conners are coming in at just under 11%, along with Joel Dahmen, who has shot up quickly in the last hour, his % will go up.

Doc Redman, JT Poston and Jason Kokrak are just a shade under 8%, Billy Horschel, Max Homa and S. Munoz are at 6%, Jordan Spieth is at 5% along with Jason Day.

The following are at present sub 5% owned golfers:

Ryan Moore, Keegan Bradley, Dylan Frittelli, Ryan Palmer,Kevin Kisner, Shane Lowry, Louie Oosthuizen, B. An, Shane Lowry, Bud Cauley, Vaughn Taylor, Chez Reavie, Rafa Cabrera Bello, H Varner III, K Streelman, Jim Furyk and others in the 6 K range.

Bryson and JT may top 25% by tourney lock out. If you roster them both, remember you will need four sub 8% owned players to get in the range to win the Milly, if you choose 1 you can play some mid to high priced player (s)as long as you have several low owned and diverse people in your lineup.

I was going to roster Shane Lowry in 9 lineups, now he’s in none. He played with Brooks Koepka, who’s caddy tested +, and Graeme McDowell, who’s caddy tested+. He may withdraw prior to tee off time, regardless he is too risky now to roster.

The following are players I believe may help:

Bubba Watson (8800) 18% owned. He is at the top of the ownership plateau, Data Golf docked him <2> for regression, what they did not do is allow him the customary .5 to .75 for history, when Bubba likes a course, he plays really well at it. He may or may not win his 4th championship in 10 years, even with the doc, he is still a + value, and on this course I won’t bet against him, although I have,and lost, many times. Secondary: Rory and Xander.

Matthew Fitzpatrick (8100) 12% owned, Marc Leishman (8000) 11% owned
These are two golfers hovering just over 10% with a decent short game and accuracy, they should provide decent value this weekend. Secondary Tony Finau (8200) and JT Poston (7900).

Doc Redman (6700) 7% owned. Max Homa (7000) 6% owned. I love Doc, he was eighth in strokes gained last week. I would like their ownership to be sub 5 but you can’t have everything, and you will get everything if these two make the cut and play golf as they have been, both rate as good values with + upside in my models.

Deep Longshots: Tyler Duncan, Cameron Tringale, Ryan Moore

These three can win you the Milly Maker on your team, or they can blow it up in a second on Friday (cut) night. Duncan is a cut maker, he needs to learn that there are two more days after the cut to play. My model loves Tringale, and Ryan Moore should fit this course enough to make the cut.

Honorable Mention: Harry Higgs.
Harry has made 7 straight cuts and he drinks Tito’s Homemade Vodka, made right here in Austin TX. That’s good enough for me.

5 years ago 0 comments

PGA

The Travelers Championship Preview

Steven Polardi 5 years ago

written by Steven Polardi

The Travelers Championship Preview

My reports for The Travelers Championship Preview concentrate on ownership %, it’s one of the key metrics to winning 1 million dollars. This weeks winner again had two golfers with an average of just over 6 %, (you need two that range from 5 to 8 %) and the total ownership for his entire team was 13.76 % (your entire team should range between 12-18%) He blew away his competition. You can as well.

Imagine a NASCAR race between two drivers, one driver is a 30% owned golfer, and your driver is 2.5% owned. They both score the same points.
You would lap the 30% owned driver 12 times in the race. That’s how powerful it is.

Of course there would be multiple wrecks, golfers can’t drive on an oval at 200 MPH.

Golfers I’m targeting for tomorrow

Dylan Frittelli 7100
Dylan shot a blistering 62 on Sunday, and had an excellent week finishing 8th. His metrics didn’t leap off the page, they exploded off of it. This is a 6800 yard course, similar (Pete Dye) to last weeks. It will be interesting to see if this is a one off, or if Dylan has found the sweet spot.

Sungjae Im 8600
His price dropped this week, not as much as his strokes lost putting, over 4 strokes lost to the field. Ouch. He missed the cut, the fact remains he is an elite ball striker and he may have the putter back in gear.

Bubba Watson 8800
Yes, that Bubba. His play the last two weeks has been solid. You may be surprised to know Bubba has won this tournament three times since 2010, the last in 2018. His eye likes the look of this course.

Doc Redman 6700
Doc was ranked 8th overall in strokes gained tee to green. With all that star power at the top, and he shows up 8th? I’m tracking him as a possible core player for the same type of course, with that salary, he is just the kind of candidate you want for the millions.

I will have a much more detailed report early tomorrow evening once ownership % are on lock. I, and the other writers, will be on the Expert Discord Chat following the reports to answer any questions, and as always I hope to be with you, in the money. Check out more Golf content at WinDailySports.com/Golf!

5 years ago 0 comments

PGA

RBC Heritage Ownership Percentage

DFSGhost 5 years ago

written by DFSGhost

RBC Heritage Ownership Percentage

Last week Rory Mclroy was an 8-1 favorite, his salary was 11,800. Based on his odds, it should have been 16,300. For that to happen the top tier would have gone way over 11,000 and the lowest tier would be way under 6 K. DraftKings makes “adjustments” to smooth out the entry pool. The guy who won a million last week won a million 6 months ago. How? He had an average of a 15% owned team with two sub 5% players, he didn’t even have the winner, didn’t need him to take down a million. There is a way.

Most of us, including myself a while back, would sweat and spend time picking our core, 3 to 4 golfers we liked, and then pick the last two based on whatever salary we had left. We’ve all done that. Take one team, just one, start at the bottom two players, spend the time to study them, and make your picks from the bottom up. You’ll have plenty left over for your top end golfers afterwards, and it may help improve your cash flow.

Web Simpson is at 24% ownership and rising. He is the highest owned player. Bryson DeChambeau is next at 20% and holding, followed by Justin Thomas at 19% and rising, then Gary Woodland at 18%, Kuchar, Schauffele, and Rory, along with Sunjae IM are 17%. Colin Morikawa, whose poster is rumored to be over Patrick Scott’s bed, and Hedeki are at 16%, along with Tyrrell Hatton. Justin Rose and DJ are at 15%. Justin Rose fired his coach of 11 years this afternoon. DJ is at 14%, Tony Finau and John Rahm are at 13%, Jordan Spieth, Ian Poulter, Billy Horschel, and Matthew Fitzpatrick are between 10 and 11% now. An, Berger,Hovland,Hadwin,Sabbatini,Ancer, and Furyk are all sub 10%. Jason Day, Bubba Watson, Luke Donald,Shane Lowry, Brandt Snedeker, and Christian Bezuidenhout are all at 6% or lower.

Upper Tier | DraftKings
With Rorys blow up last Sunday you can expect his 17% ownership to stay steady, and it is lower than Simpson, JT, DeChambeau, and Woodland. My move from him would be to Rahm, who was 7th last week in gaining strokes tee to green, his putter was his downfall. He may be the only single digit heavy on the top tier.

Mid Tier | DraftKings
Hideki has 10% less ownership than Simpson and they rate pretty equal. Kuchar, Woodland, and Hatton have really strong approach games, a key metric to this needle thin fairway tournament. Their ownership is an issue, if you play one or more, make sure you go to a low owned player(s)to offset the heavy chalk. Patrick Reed is popular with 16.5 % ownership and is a strong play according to the models.

Lower Tier | DraftKings
Harris English, Tyrell Hatton, Kevin Kisner, Shane Lowry, Jim Furyk and Mathew Fitzpatrick are all solid low owned plays. The model likes B. An and Poulter and Lowry
Hatton is the highest owned at 16%, make sure you have someone low owned to go with, especially if you carry top tier talent on your team.
Last week I had Adam Hadwin and Brian Harmon, they are picks this week as well, along with Ryan Moore, and Christian Bezuidenhout.

Extreme Longshots: Russel Knox and JT Poston

Lower End Golfers with Top 20 Upside | DraftKings
R. Sabbatini
Ian Poulter
B.An
Luke Donald
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Victor Hovland
Brandt Snedeker
Ryan Moore
Jim Furyk

Hopefully this RBC Heritage Ownership Percentage breakdown is helpful! The players above are part of that group that can help you increase your ROI. There is some expected weather that may benefit the morning tee times, check the weather report for updates for Showdown. Make sure to hop in the Win Daily Sports Discord chat to ask questions to myself and the other pros! Check out the other articles we have on the site, too! Good Luck tomorrow, and I hope to be with you, in the money.

5 years ago 0 comments

PGA

Charles Schwab Challenge Ownership Breakdown

Michael Rasile 5 years ago

written by Michael Rasile

Charles Schwab Challenge Ownership Breakdown

The time is near, we have the PGA to thank.
Let’s comb thru this data of the Charles Schwab Challenge Ownership Breakdown, and put the money in the bank! Let’s all go try and take down that Million Dollars from DraftKings!

Last year the Colonial played as the 7th hardest course relative to par. It ranked near the bottom in strength of field. Not anymore.

Ownership Breakdown Percentage | DraftKings

Rory McILroy and Web Simpson will battle it out for top ownership %, presently at 24% and rising.

They are followed by John Rahm, Sunjae IM, Patrick Reed and Colin Morikawa (sorry Patrick) at 18% ownership and on an uptick.

Justin Thomas and Xander Shauffele are holding steady at 15%.

English, Kuchar, DJ, Na, Fowler, and Spieth are between 10 and 14%.

DeChambeau, Hovland, An, Fitzpatrick (my compliments Jason), Moore and Lowry are all sub 10 percent, ranging from 8% down to 5%.

The reason I mention these golfers above is that they all have a high percentage to make the cut, and a 20% + chance to make top 20 in the tourney, with the exception of Jordan Spieth, who is still a respectable 15% to make top 20. The following players deserve a mention as well.

M Leishman – 11% owned, 27% to T20
K Kisner – 11% owned 19% to T20
C.Conners – 11% owned 18% to T20
J. Day – 7% owned 25% to T20

R Moore, S Lowry, C Reavie, V Taylor, R Knox,C. Bezuidenhout, B Cauley, T Hoge all are under 5% ownership with 15% odds to make T 20.

High Priced | DraftKings

At first I was high on Rahm, after he said he’s just “praying not to shank the first 7 balls I hit…and I just need to work the rust off.” I’m going to pass and look hard at Rory and Bryson, with JT following closely behind Bryson. Also I wasn’t planning on rostering Koepka, after he said “my game is really coming around, after the Players it’s now a million times better.” Okay, that’s a few lineups for me, thank you. Sunjae Im has been playing 5 hours every day, so he is ready. Kevin Na: “I spent all my time at home, loved it, didn’t play any golf, I may be a bit rusty.” Sergio just had a baby! Congrats, No roster for you!

If you are playing in a high player GPP I wouldn’t go with more than 1 of the high priced players, and to be contrarian, I don’t feel it’s necessary to roster any. Web Simpson is popping all over my models, at 25% ownership, I may put him in 1 lineup in multiples and pivot to a lower owned choice, grudgingly.

In the mid tier it’s Day, Kuchar and Sheffler popping, with Day being one of the best contrarian pivots due to ownership,value,and a decent short game.

Golfers of Note	Odds to make cut (%)	Odds to T20(%)
Xander S	74.2	37.6
P Reed	70.9	34.3
Sunjae IM	69.7	33.8
C Morikawa	69.6	32.9
DJ	69.1	32.0
S Scheffler	68.9	30.9
R Fowler	66.9	28.6
M Fitzpatrick	66.4	28.1
M Kuchar	65.9	27.9
B Koepka	63.9	25.8
J Day	62.7	24.2
T Finau	62.6	22.9
D Berger	59.8	19.7
R Sabbatini	57.5	18.4
K Kisner	56.3	17.5
D Lee	53.2	15.6
M Homa	50.7	14.2

Max was the last to be close, although he didn’t quite hit the 15%, he has the short game to get a pass.

Value Plays | DraftKings

Adam Hadwin, B An, Abraham Ancer, Billy Horschel and Harris English are the top value plays with Jim Furyk, Ryan Moore, Bryan Harmon and Conners secondary value plays.

Deep deep sleepers: Munoz, Cauley, Duncan, Redmon, Cabrera-Bello, Stricker, Todd, – roster if you’re feeling frosty!

If you don’t see your golfers name listed anywhere above, it’s because of ownership, value, DraftKings pricing or data, and it doesn’t mean you can’t roster him. I haven’t listed any golfers with a less than 50% chance to make the cut, and at least a 15% chance to make the top 20. I feel the best golfers to get you the money are there, and I’ll be glad to answer any queries in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat once the writers reports are in. Make sure to keep checking Win Daily Sports for all the up to date news on all your Golf bets and DFS plays.

As always, I hope to see you there, in the money.

5 years ago 0 comments

PGA

Charles Schwab Challenge DraftKings Breakdown

Michael Rasile 5 years ago

written by Michael Rasile

Charles Schwab Challenge DraftKings Breakdown

In this article Steven Polardi give his Charles Schwab Challenge DraftKings Breakdown.

Hello everyone, the PGA is back, with the sponsor Charles Schwab hosting the Colonial in Dallas. DraftKings has a $3 million, (first place $1 million) golf contest, a $20 entry, with a sweetener, for every day of the tourney DraftKings will split a $50k bonus with everyone who rosters the low golfer of the day. You might have to split that with a few strangers, but $200k free money is free money. Texas has been under COVID restrictions, there has been little play and the course is in good playing condition. The temperatures will be in the mid to high nineties, so we’ll know pretty quick who’s been on the couch and who’s been on the bag practicing. There may be a west Texas breeze come thru so for showdown golfers, watch your weather. The following golfers are who I’m looking at for some of my core group, tomorrow I will have core picks, value plays, sleepers and ownership projections to assist in your lineup picks. Not all the golfers listed are in the order of their world golf rankings.

Even though I only play DK GPP, FanDuel has just changed their algorithms and metrics AND scoring to almost the exact duplicate of DK scoring. I guess that merger is still on in some aspects. This means for all you FD players that this data may apply as well to your rostering teams.

Rory McILroy- okay, he’s ranked number 1 for a reason. In his last seven tourneys he has placed in the top 5 five different times, his strokes gained average is obscene. He is the top priced golfer on DraftKings at $11,800, with his recent history, his ownership % will be a key factor in rostering him.

Bryson DeChambeau- Bryson is telling everyone who will listen he’s been in the gym and has his slide rule out every day for golf. His recent history glows, a 4th at Arnies Invitational, 2nd at the quality packed WGC Mexico and 5th at the Genesis, so his recent history is smoking.
DraftKings price $10,100.

John Rahm- in his last 17 starts he placed top 15 sixteen times, and although he missed the cut at last years Colonial, he finished 5th and 2nd the last two years before.
DraftKings price $11,000.

Sungjae IM- there’s a rumor he wanted to play “pretend tournaments” so he wouldn’t have to go home, this guy plays every single weekend. So far he won the Honda, then had a 3rd at the Arney Palmer Inv.
DraftKings price $9,300

Collin Morikawa- look, PATRICK SCOTT, look!!!! Patrick is one of our VERY good golf contributing writers, he told me about Collin at the beginning. I’ve been grateful ever since. This guy is a cut making machine, he hasn’t missed a cut since Robert Trent Jones last teed up at Augusta, (kind of). He is exactly the type of value play that will get you paid.
DraftKings price $9,100.

Tony Finau- Tony has had a quiet good year. He was 2nd at Phoenix, 6th at Torrey Pines and 14th at the American Express. With his DraftKings price at $8,700 he will have value to be watched closely

Scottie Scheffler- Scottie walked off the tour with hot clubs, he has been entering, and winning every mini tourney he can find since then. This is his hometown, 1st time playing here, so will nerves lower his score, or will he slam it in another gear?
DraftKings price $8,400

Victor Hovland- Victor has quietly been playing in small tourneys here in Texas, which acclimates him to the weather and conditions, although he hasn’t been winning them all like Scheffler, he has been tourney ready since May.
DraftKings price $7,900

Abraham Ancer- Abraham has played in two mini tourneys here in Texas, he is from Texas, and with the long layoff any tourney competition speaks well for the players.
DraftKings price $7,300

Golfers I may not roster- Rose, Day, Kokrak,Koepka again, this is preliminary.

Possible Sleepers: D Redman, DMcCarthy, C Ortiz, A. Hadwin X Schauffele, I Poulter, B Todd,K Kisner,R Palmer, T Duncan and I will have more value plays in that most important 7-8 K range tomorrow, along with % to make the cut, % to make the top 20, and % of ownership.

This tourney isn’t normally as talent laden, with the long layoff, even the stars are ready to tee it up. This is certainly noticeable with the softer pricing on DraftKings. We should be able to find excellent value and contrarian value in the lower tiers.

Make sure to check out more Win Daily Sports Golf Content on our website!

5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports

Win Daily Show for 6.5 | Bets and Picks from our Team

Michael Rasile 5 years ago

written by Michael Rasile

Win Daily Show for 6.5 | Bets and Picks from our Team

On this Win Daily Show for 6.5 | Bets and Picks from our Team, we have on different team members to get you all the info you need for the upcoming sports weekend!

Sia and Michael have a jam packed show talking with some of our Win Daily writers to hand out some picks and plays for this weekends events! Sports are back!

Rich Masana comes on to discuss the Bundesliga slate for Saturday 6.6 giving us some DFS picks and bets to place.

Jmo comes on to discuss NASCAR DFS for Sundays, 6.7, Race in Atlanta!

Then Sia and Michael discuss the NBA Playoffs and a few odds that they are looking to snag early.
And they finish the show with a little ramp up to the PGA Tour Charles Schwab Challenge starting on 6.11.

Listen to the episode below and don’t forget to subscribe and give it a 5 star review!

You can also find all the episodes at these platforms below!
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Steven Polardi’s PGA Preview -> https://windailysports.com/pga-tour-dfs-preview-for-2020/

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5 years ago 0 comments

PGA

PGA Tour DFS Preview for 2020

Michael Rasile 5 years ago

written by Michael Rasile

PGA Tour DFS Preview for 2020

In this article Steven Polardi explains his PGA Tour DFS Preview for 2020 and where there are some areas to make money. Make sure to check out Win Daily Sport for more Golf content and hop in the Expert Discord Chat!

One week from today real golf comes back. A full field, FedEx points, and PGA golfers on the course after months of waiting, it will be exciting. I play DraftKings GPP. My goal is to have you make money, enough to allow you to keep entering and hit the big money. It won’t happen every week, those of you with limited bankrolls should start out playing 1 entry per week to build your stake.

There are two anomaly’s concerning this tourney. First, it is the middle of June and this is the start of the season. Golfers have been quarantined for months and have had limited practice, right? Well, you can bet the top 30 name golfers can pick up the phone and go play a practice round easily, and that’s exactly what they’ve been doing. The lower end of the field has been left to practice in their back yard. You would think it’s an advantage to the top of the field, yet all of us remember Phil Mickelson making incredible other worldly shots from a tree, from a table at the club, from a hole in the parking lot, and he learned all those shots in his back yard, which gives us something to consider. The second thing is there are no crowds, no one to spur an athlete to greater gains. Rory, Phil, Tiger (the Tiger roar) and others are used to huge galleries, while the lower end of the field won’t notice much of a change since they aren’t followed that much. How much these differences affect the tourney, if any, will be fun to watch as the tourney progresses.

I use predictive data to try and gain leverage on the field. Using data and metrics like long term form and short term, with a very light touch on course history. The course that holds the largest difference only has a .3 per round, or 1.2 strokes per tourney difference and that’s the Masters. Most other courses have negligible differences, and I’m not worried about less than 1 stroke per tourney. That being said, don’t ever fade Tiger at The Masters, he has mastered the memory of that course and is the lock chalk. Speaking of chalk, I will never roster the most expensive player over 30% owned. He would have to win with low scores to make value, find a sub 5% owned player who plays a few strokes short or equal to the chalk and you just beat 70% of the field, AND have thousands left in salary to upgrade the other five players. The only risk is if the chalk wins and goes low, which rarely happens.

There is a lot of casual money in GPP, using predictive information can help you beat the field to the money. On Tuesday I will have a preliminary report on some of the players I’m looking at and have a detailed report on Wednesday afternoon. Please know my report on Wednesday will come between 5-6 pm CST. This is to ensure the accuracy of the ownership %, which is a key metric to the predictive data. As a collective group we can all benefit from solid information, and we can all make decisions that make us money.

5 years ago 0 comments

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