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golf dfs

WGC – Initial DFS Picks

Sia 5 years ago

written by Sia

WGC – Initial DFS Picks

The Win Daily Golf Team is getting after it in the next couple of days with numerous articles, projections and the Livestream which airs Wednesday night at 8:30. This week we have a very strong field at the WGC but it is also a no cut event so don’t be as shy about taking some guys down low. APP and OTT remain important but we’re going to factor in ARG a little bit more than normal. Jump in Discord over the next couple days as we debate more picks and discuss our core players. Please also take a look at our “cheat sheet” which comes out soon. Here are our WGC – Initial DFS Picks.

Justin Thomas (10700) – This guy T2G is just awesome. Iron play is awesome. Other than a poor performance at the Travelers he has been great since the restart. In this elite price range he’s my favorite guy.

Tyrell Hatton (9700) – There are a couple holes on this course where you can really find trouble in the water and that always scares me with a guy who has Hatton’s temperament. With that said, he’s been so good this year in the few tournaments he’s played and he’s a great ball striker.

Daniel Berger (9600) – Shaky with a missed cut at the Memorial and hasn’t played much lately but can’t deny this guy’s OTT and APP game. No stranger to a hot putter either. I’m happy to roster Berger coming off his missed cut as I think he’s elite.

Viktor Hovland (9400) – The knock on Hovland post pandemic was his short game was terrible. He’s clearly improved there and has added even better ball striking. He finally took a week off last week, which I think he definitely needed. There’s just no reason for me to think his ball striking is going to be any different than it’s been and I’m happy to roster him in spite of being expected chalk.

Gary Woodland (8600) – He seemed to have found something with his OTT game after switching to his driver at the Workday. At the Memorial he had mixed results with his ball striking, but that may have been more of a conditions issue than anything. If he found what I think he found at Workday, then this is great value at this price.

Abraham Ancer (8400) – If you had him at the Memorial you were happy with the made cut but not happy with anything he did on the weekend. I’m really not factoring in much of the Memorial to my analysis as the conditions were brutal. Ancer is a great ball striker. He’s particularly great OTT and on APP and his ARG is decent. Expect him to be popular at this price.

Jason Day (8200) – Always a risk to withdraw and back looked a little shaky last time out. But what didn’t look shaky was his ball striking and he appears to have found something that resembles the Jason Day of old (7^th and 4^th in his last two). Further, his ARG game is great so I’ll add him to a few lineups.

Sergio Garcia (8000) – This guy simply can’t putt, but he’s been good everywhere else. I’m always willing to hope and pray that a guy finds a hot putter while gaining strokes everywhere else. This guy can compete with the big boys as he’s been one of the big boys before (and a 5^th at the RBC showed us he can compete with a packed field on Sunday).

Kevin Streelman (6900) – His 54^th at the Memorial wasn’t anything great but honestly just making the cut at that tournament is good enough for me to check a box. 7^th at Workday and 2^nd at Travelers speaks to how well Streelman has been clicking. Good ball striker who gains in every category.

Chez Reavie (6700) – Happy to ride the mini-hot streak with a 22^nd at the Memorial and 17^th at Workday. He’s good on APP and good ARG. If he’s decent OTT he’s good value at this price.

Nick Taylor (6100) – a low rent option that allows you to jam in some guys at the higher ends of the market.

Secret Weapon (sub 7k) – Stay tuned for this week’s secret weapon in Discord.

See everyone in Discord and check out the Livestream and Podcast tomorrow. Please subscribe to the Win Daily podcast if you haven’t already. and check out all the other articles from the Win Daily Sports Team!

5 years ago 0 comments

PGA

3M Open 2020: Sunday Showdown DFS Targets

Capper Steve 5 years ago

written by Capper Steve

3M Open 2020: Sunday Showdown DFS Targets

After another low scoring day in MN, this weekend is shaping up much differently than last weekend’s bloodbath at the Memorial Tournament.
Michael Thompson and Richy Werenski are playing outstanding golf and share a 2 stroke lead over the rest of the field thus far. However with the way this course is playing the tournament is still wide open. Lets look at the 3M Open 2020: Sunday Showdown DFS Targets.

One thing to keep in mind when building lineups for Sunday’s Showdown slate on DraftKings are the bonus points awarded for finishing position. The golfer who finishes in 1st place will receive 13 bonus points, 2nd place 10 points, etc. That does not necessarily mean only play the leaders because for GPP you still need to find the most birdies & eagles but if you are deciding between two golfers you should favor the golfers closer to the top of the leaderboard while building your lineups for Sunday. Looking at Sunday’s field, there are a lot of guys bunched up on the leaderboard behind Thompson & Werenski and DraftKings has made the necessary salary adjustments from Thursday’s opening round for Sunday’s Showdown slate.

Richy Werenski ($9,500):Richy is having a great week currently sharing the lead with Thompson. He is known to be a good putter but he lost strokes putting on Saturday (-0.48) while his ball striking was above average (+1.25 SG APP). If he starts sinking putts again on Sunday, Richy can win this tournament!

Michael Thompson ($8,500): Hard to fade Thompson tomorrow as he has a share of the lead, he is striking the ball really well (+1.73 SG APP) and unless he completely implodes he should receive some of those valuable bonus points mentioned above for finishing position.

Ryan Moore (9,700): Ryan went -4 on Saturday while losing over 2 strokes with his putter. His irons were outstanding (+1.87 SG APP & +1.67 SG ARG) and he was solid off of the tee (+0.78 SG OTT). If Ryan can sink a few putts on Sunday he could compete to win the whole tournament.Si Woo

Kim ($7,600): Kim is the epitome of streaky and is capable of getting red hot. While he has not played great this season, he did shoot a 65 on Sunday at the Travelers Championship back in June. On Saturday, he gained 1.5 strokes off the tee which led the entire field. I do not anticipate him being highly owned, so if he continues to drive the ball well and he can sink a few putts tomorrow, he might be a sneaky play.

Pat Perez ($7,000): Pat went -5 on Saturday and struck the ball really well. Gaining 1.31 strokes OTT and +1.25 SG APP. I like Pat’s form heading into Sunday’s final round.

Tom Lewis ($6,900): Tom’s iron play was really strong on Saturday as he went 4 under while gaining more than 2 strokes on his approach shots. He was also solid with his driver but lost strokes putting on Saturday (-1.03). If he can wake the putter up on Sunday I like him as a strong play for this salary.

Doug Ghim (6,200): Ghim might not be a big name but he is in solid form and at this salary he is hard to ignore. He went 4 under on Saturday getting him to -8 for the week. With another solid day on Sunday he could also help your lineup with those valuable leaderboard bonus points. Doug has been driving the ball well all week and gained almost 2 strokes ARG on Saturday. He will need to wake the putter up as he lost almost a stroke (-0.91) putting on Saturday but if he does sink a few putts he will be a great lineup addition for this salary range.

Also make sure you hop into the Win Daily Premium Discord Channel as we will be adding more PGA Picks and hot takes in there. As a gold member of Win Daily, you will be able to join other members of the Win Daily family as well as DFS pros in the coaching channels. There you will find great DFS conversation on lineup construction, contest selection, etc. It is a great place to find the daily fantasy sports winning formula 24/7.

5 years ago 0 comments

PGA

3M Open Final Ownership Breakdown

Adam Strangis 5 years ago

written by Adam Strangis

3M Open Final Ownership Breakdown

Hello DFS Golf members,
Please remember that the key metric to the big money is ownership %. You can gain leverage on the field simply following a few quick steps that has made millions every week for DraftKings players, so here is how we can do it with the 3M Open Final Ownership Breakdown.

Once again, the winning team that took down 1,000,000 in the DraftKings Milly Maker came into the “zone formula” that takes down a million dollars almost every single week for as long as I can remember. Some of you aren’t sure how it works so I want to offer a guide with an explanation.

In order to win the million dollar prize, you must have at least two golfers who are each less than five % owned, the lower owned, the better. Then when you determine your 6 man teams ownership, it must fall between 12-18%.
Below is an example of a 6 man team entered in the Milly Maker

John Rahm	25% owned
Xander S	25% owned
Tony Finau	15% owned
Patrick C	15% owned
T. Duncan	2% owned
R. Palmer	2% owned

84% owned divided by 6 =14% ownership, with 2 players sub 5% owned, (Duncan & Palmer) This team would hit the formula needed.

This weeks million dollar winner had ownership of 13%. This is the fourth time in 5 weeks the million dollar winning % has been 13%, I would call that a trend, and it also shows how extremely important ownership % is. Staying in these parameters allows you the best % to take down a million dollars, and it also gets you tremendous leverage over the rest of the field.

Remember Sia’s secret weapon play is now 2 for 2 for a low owned, and low priced player who placed high in the tourney. This week his secret weapon play is Adam Schenk, salary 6900, and 5% owned. DFS members I cannot state how valuable this is when just making the cut puts you way above the rest of the field, and a top 15 is huge, not just solid gold, but absolute titanium.

Let’s get to those valuable important ownership projections:

Tommy Fleetwood, aka Fairway Jesus, is the top man at 23%+ (+ is rising)
Harris English is at 22%, followed by Paul Casey and DJ at 21%.
Tony Finau is 20.75%, Doc Redman and Lucas a Glover are just shy of 20 at 19.6%. Sam Burns and EVR are at 19% then it drops down to Matthew Wolff at 16% along with Russell Henley at 15.75%.Henrik Norlander is at 15%.

Will Gordon is just shy of 14%, Luke list is 13.5%, K Ventura is 13%, and Brooks Koepka is a surprising 12.5%. Richy Werenski, Charlie Hoffman and Max Homa are 11%.

Ryan Moore is 10% owned, along with M. Schwab, Sam Ryder, Scott Stallings and Chase Seiffert. Bubba Watson is 9.5% owned, Patrick Rodgers is 9%. Brian Harmon,Dylan Frittelli and J. Vegas are 8.5% owned. B. Wiesberger, Troy Merritt and Sepp Straka are at 7.5%. Ryan Armour is at 7%.

Aaron Wise is 6% along with Si Woo Kim.
Keith Mitchell, Chesson Hadley, Adam Schenk and Chris Kirk are 5.5% owned. Tom Lewis, Emiliano Grillo, Kyle Stanley, and Taylor Gooch are at 5%.

Hudson Swafford is 4.75 %. Cameron Davis, Wyndham Clark and Cameron Tringale are at 4.5%. Seamus Power is 4.25% owned. C Howell lll, Alex Noren, Branden Grace, Brice Garnett, Tom Hoge and Matthew NeSmith are at 3.5% Scott Piercy, Pat Perez, and Adam Long, along with Branden Hagy and Peter Uihlein are at 2.75% owned. K H Lee, X Zang, Danny Lee and Rafa Cabrera Bella are at 2.5%.

Those at 2% or under include Shawn Stefani, Ben Martin, Russel Knox, Bronson Burgoon, Jason Dufner, Joseph Bramlett, Michael Thompson, Denny McCarthy, Harry Higgs, Austin Cook, Stewart Cink, SY Noh, RogerSloan, Andrew Putnam, Chris Stroud, Josh Teater, Derick Ernst, Ryan Brehm, Zach Sucher, Alex Cejka, Matt Every, Ryan Blaum, Doug Ghim, Rob Oppenheim, Jamie Lovemark, David Hearn, Luke Donald and Patton Kizzire.

Any others are going to be under 2%, if you need a specific player I’ll be glad to get you the % in the Discord Channel after the report comes out.

My picks for this weeks 3M PGA tournament:

The most recent metrics, or short term, on my model are showing Lucas Glover (9400) and Henrik Norlander (8600) as the most balanced golfers.

Sia’s secret weapon pick is Adam Schenk, (6900), do yourself a favor, click on the green plus sign next to his name and add him to your team, you’ll be glad you did.

My out in left play is Derek Ernst, (6300) who I met last weekend while the Korn Ferry tour was playing where I was on vacation. He has been lighting up the Korn Ferry, and the last time he was an alternate, like now, he won the PGA Wells Fargo Championship, let’s hope lightning strikes twice.

These ownership projections represent the Million dollar tournament on DraftKings, and are intended to assist you in stronger team entries. We also hope the picks listed help get you to the top of the DraftKings leaderboard.

Thanks for checking out the 3M Open Final Ownership Breakdown. Make sure to check out the other great article on WinDailySports.com for Golf, follow us on Twitter at @WinDailySports, and hop into our Expert Discord Chat to talk with us one on one! As always, I hope to be with you, in the money.

5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports PGA Premium

3M Open 2020: Initial DFS Picks

Sia 5 years ago

written by Sia

3M Open 2020: Initial DFS Picks

We’ve got a very big and very watered down field this week for the 3M Open. I’ll be putting a priority on APP and OTT. It should be easier to scramble here relative to last week and the greens aren’t as abusive, so scrambling and putting take a back seat.

Below are my initial picks for DraftKings for the 3M Open. As usual these picks will be developed and discussed with all subscribers and the Win Daily Golf Team in Discord. Further, just like any other week, there will be a number of articles that come out over the next 36 hours from our writers (which include The Range article which has already been published on Win Daily). Can’t wait to dive into all the articles and into Discord with everyone. Tune into the Livestream Tuesday night at 8:30 and subscribe to our podcast. And of course, stay tuned for the secret weapon.

Dustin Johnson (11500) – I fear opening this article with DJ for fear that literally everyone will dismiss the rest of my picks. Shooting back to back 80’s at the Memorial seems to be standard DJ when he knows he’s not going to make the cut. This guy is not going to grind to try to put a respectable score together if he knows he’s not playing the weekend. With that said, DJ on his best day is better than every golfer in this field, so while I won’t be overweigh on him, I need to have some shares. The Par 5’s are very gettable this week and DJ’s eagle opportunities could be big this week. The DJ upside was visible last month when he took down the Travelers. Look for a bounce back this week.

Tommy Fleetwood (10500) – This 10k and above range is tough to navigate, but I’ll be dipping my toe into DJ and Fleetwood and therefore largely fading Finau, Brooks and Casey (I am not a full fade on Casey). As it stands now, it looks like DJ and Fleetwood will be less owned than Finau and Casey. If it’s ball strikers you want on this course (which, you do), then Fleetwood is your guy. Word on the street is that he’s in good form despite not playing lately and the good news is that you can catch that form on Wednesday when he plays in the charity event with Matt Wolffe, Paul Casey and Will Gordon (airs on Golf Channel from 3-5 EST).

Russell Henley (9200) – Henley is a bit pricey and you would think that would keep ownership down, but it looks like the entire 9k range will be chalky (other than Bubba Watson who appears to be a good leverage play considering how well he is ball striking of late). Henley is fantastic on APP (and as you may expect T2G). His putter and OTT tend to let him down but I think his APP game pays off the pricetag. Finished 7^th at the Workday and 32^nd at the Travelers so he’s certainly in good form.

Harris English (9000) – English led many teams last week to green screens, particularly with his relatively impressive Sunday finish. English gains in every SG metric, particularly OTT and APP. Reasonable pricetag for a guy who has had four Top 20s in his last 5 events (which date back to pre-restart). I should note he did miss the cut here last year. No worries for me in that department.

Doc Redman (8700) – Both Redman and English will be chalk so make sure you find leverage elsewhere. For this reason, I may be a bit underweight on Doc The Chalk (I just trademarked that . . . you can’t have it) but he really does grade out well on this course and he can’t be ignored. He’s coming off a missed cut at the Memorial but he was lights out prior to that (should be noted that he struck the ball well at Memorial but just couldn’t make anything happen ARG or with his putter and he lost all of his strokes in those departments). Doc The Chalk is great OTT and even better on APP. His trouble with ARG shouldn’t hurt him too much this week.

Troy Merritt (7500) – I’m going to give most people a pass for missing the cut at the Memorial as the conditions led to some good players having some very bad holes (Paul Casey is a great example of that). Merritt is another hot hand who has made four of his last five cuts (Memorial being the missed cut). He was Top 10 at the Rocket Mortgage and 22^nd at Workday. And by the way, he was 7^th here last year.

Richy Werenski (7400) – If anyone has been tracking my “secret weapon” plays, you were on Richy two weeks ago (it was Chez at Memorial, you’re welcome). There is absolutely nothing about Werenski’s numbers that scream that he needs to be in your lineup, but he certainly has a hot hand. Since the restart he’s made 4 for 4 cuts and before the restart he was 17^th at Honda. This guy is peaking and now enters a soft field, good value at this pricetag.

Chesson Hadley (6900) – I’m happy to find a ball striker of Hadley’s caliber in the 6k range. Hadley gains on APP and OTT and simply needs to find a hot putter to payoff his pricetag this week. He’s made 3 out of 4 cuts but his finishes have been relatively unimpressive. Now he enters a field with much less talent than his last four tournaments so it’s time for the ball striker to strike.

Stewart Cink (6600) – If you end up taking some high priced horses, you’re going to need to dip into this range. He’s made two cuts in a row including a 17^th at the Workday. He’s also made 5 out of his last 6 cuts in fields with much greater talent. He gains on APP but is shaky in most other places. If you’re dipping down low, Cink is a solid option.

Again, stay tuned for the Win Daily Livestream tonight at 8:30 @windailysports where we will discuss the 3M Open golf picks and many more (the Livestream will include some NFL, NBA and MLB talk as well). See everyone in Discord!

5 years ago 0 comments

PGA

The Memorial Golf Ownership Preview & Picks

Steven Polardi 5 years ago

written by Steven Polardi

The Memorial Golf Ownership projections are a key factor when creating your lineups for tournaments. So lets take a look at the numbers.

Hello everyone, it’s time to pick your poison, and based on the The Memorial Golf ownership % the 9K group is almost all at 20% or higher. If you can stay away from the 9 K group, a hard option to let go of, it offers you a 20-25 % leverage over the field unless one of them wins. Let’s get down to the numbers. These numbers are as of this report, and again expect a push from the 9K field.

Patrick Cantlay leads the field at 22%+ (+ is rising ) followed by Abraham Ancer at 21%, and The Man, Tiger Woods, rounding out the top 3 at 20%.

Jon Rahm is next at 18%, Xander Schauffele, Gary Woodland, and Victor Hovland are 16.5%, Webb Simpson is at 16%, Rory McILroy is 15.5% and Bryson DeChambeau is 15%+, along with Daniel Berger and Hideki Matsuyama. Justin Thomas is 14.5 % and Paul Casey, a late bloomer has blossomed up to 13.5 % Joaquin Niemann is 12.5%. Rickie Fowler along with pal Dustin Johnson are 11.5%. Last weeks winner and Patrick “Sharps” Scott’s favorite pick Collin Morikawa is only 11% along with Patrick Reed and Kevin Streelman.Brooks Koepka is at 10.5%

The players at 10% include Adam Hadwin and Sergio Garcia and Billy Horschel.Lucas Glover is 9.5%. Harris English is 9% along with Jason Day, and Tony Finau. Matt Kuchar and Matthew Fitzpatrick are 8.5%. Ian Poulter is 8%. Corey Conners, Sungjae IM and Mark Leishman are at 7%. Jordan Spieth, Kevin Kisner, and Scottie Scheffler are at 6.5%, Justin Rose and Danny Willett are at 6%. Doc Redman is at 5.5% Kevin Na and B An are at 5%

The sub 5% group includes Brendan Todd and Max Homa who are on the border at 4.75 % Sepp Straka, Keegan Bradley, and H Varner lll are at 4%, along with Brendan Steele. Chez Reavie is 3.5%, along with Taylor Gooch. Troy Merritt is at 3% along with Shane Lowry, Louis Oosthuizen, Jim Furyk, Matthew Wolff and Cameron Champ. Coming in at 2.5% are Joel Dahmen, Bubba Watson, Emiliano Grillo, Phil Mickelson, Lanto Griffin, and Maverick McNealy.

The sub 2% group includes Bud Cauley, Zach Johnson, Bernd Weisberger, Tyler Duncan, Hao Tong Li, Carlos Ortiz, Sebastian Munoz, Eric V Rooyen, Nick Taylor, Jason Kokrak, Jason Dufner, Tom Hoge, Andrew Landry, Mackenzie Hughes, Steve Stricker, Branden Grace, Matt Wallace, Patrick Rodgers, Brian Stuard, Scott Piercy, Mark Hubbard, Dylan Frittelli, CT Pan and Vaughn Taylor along with the lower tiers not named.

My best value pick is Adam Hadwin, based on his metrics and ownership for this course. I also like Webb Simpson this week, and believe Gary Woodland will be in the mix.

My lower tier picks include Harris English, Troy Merritt and Lucas Glover.

My out in left field play is Ryan Moore, and last weeks pick,Nick Taylor.

As always, I hope to be with you, in the money and I hope The Memorial Golf ownership projections helped you pick wisely.

Also Wednesday night you can find me in the Win Daily Discord helping members with their lineups and last-minute questions.

5 years ago 0 comments

PGA

Isaiahs Protocol for The Memorial Tournament

labatts2225@gmail.com 5 years ago

written by labatts2225@gmail.com

TheMemorial Tournament

The Memorial Tournament will be the first time in history, The PGA will host back-to-back events at the same course. Muirfield Village will look to play a little more difficult the second time around, as the course should be drying out. Officials are letting the rough grow out and greens should be running at speeds between 13-14 on the Stimpmeter (after last weeks average of 11). Jack Nickaulas designed courses are tricky as the greens are guarded by deep bunkers and water hazards. DraftKings has dealt us some soft pricing for this field of golfers that ranks the highest in strength for a non-major event in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR) era. There are also only 133 golfers in the field compared to last weeks 156, and this should give us a higher percentage of golfers that will make the cut.

Strategy

With the strength of this field being so high, we should see ownership spread out more evenly than the last few tournaments. I have to assume that a majority of DraftKings entries will be built using a balanced approach. For Instance, 6 golfers in the $8K-$9K range certainly looks enticing. as we’ve seen a very small percentage of lineups squeeze 6 of 6 golfers through the cut line since the re-start. I may not put as much emphasis on looking at ownership this week, but may look to use more of a stars-n-scrubs type roster construction to gain leverage on the field of entrants. I’m not saying to ignore ownership percentages all together, but there may be some other ways to obtain said leverage in smaller guaranteed prize pool (GPP) contests. Obviously in cash games, balance will be king.

Statistics

I’veopened my model up a bit to include more stats to look at. I’vealso incorporated looks at both the last 3 months and the last 50rounds so I could get a good view of the entire field. (listed inorder of weighted importance)

SG:APP

P4:450-500

SG;OTT

SG:ARG

Prox:150-175

OpportunitiesGained

P3:200-225

SG:Putting

SG:P5

TheGolfers

I don’t have the space, time, or energy to list them all. An argument can be made either for, or against most of the golfers at this weeks Memorial Tournament. Let me just give you some things to consider while constructing your lineups.

Upper Tier

PatrickCantlay ($9800) Too cheap. Popping in every statistical metric. Greatrecent form, and history here. Most likely the highest ownership, butI’ll eat this chalk and look for leverage elsewhere.

BrysonDeChambeau ($11100) Obviously a beast in every metric to look at. Soexpensive that he may come in low owned compared to the field andprovide some much needed leverage in a stars-n-scrubs type of build.Keep an eye on his ownership and jump if he comes in too low.

JonRahm ($9300) Starting to gain popularity after finally putting hisgame together and shooting an 8 under last Sunday here at TheWorkday. If he’s on, he’s way too cheap.

XanderSchauffele ($9200) Sneaky good vs. strong fields in his career.Strong metrics and history across the board. In an interesting spotsqueezed between Rahm, Koepka, and Tiger.

Tiger Woods ($9000) Keep an eye on ownership here. I’ve seen it predicted all over the place. His age or the lengthy lay-off may scare some away, but Woods is almost always great coming off lay-offs. Tiger has won The Memorial Tournament 5 times, and is just one win away from claiming a record 83^rd PGA title. This is arguably his favorite course on tour. This salary is simply too cheap for one of the greatest iron players in my lifetime.

Mid-Tier

JustinRose ($8900) Sneaky GPP candidate after burning everyone last week.No ownership and great history here.

GaryWoodland ($8600) Went back to his old driver last week and theresults SG:OTT came back as well. Could easily surprise everyone thisweek.

Paul Casey ($7900) DraftKings made a mistake with his salary as Paul comes in high on the statistical board. He hasn’t placed in the top 10 this year, but he’s a bonafide cut maker.

SergioGarcia ($7800) His game is steadily improving since coming over fromthe Euro. Always plays tough in strong fields and statisticallystrong in everything except putting. Poor putters have won hereplenty of times and Sergio’s low ownership could be a key thisweek.

Marc Leishman ($7800) Throw him in the same mix as Rose. Strong in all the metrics, great history, and upside to win outright. Burned everyone bad last week (including me). At this salary, with no ownership, he makes a strong GPP play this week if you’ve got the nerve.

Lower Tier

HarrisEnglish ($7300) Another golfer popping high in all the metrics and agenuine cut maker. Also seems to be unusually cheap at this salary.

KevinNa ($7200) If his back is good, he’s too cheap. He’ll either burnyou and withdraw, or finish in the top 5. Good luck value GPP dart.

TheOthers

Here’s a list some honorable mentions I’m looking at as well.

Upper:DJ, Morikawa, Hideki, and Koepka

Mid:Rickie, Berger, Ancer, and Reed

Lower:Doc, Hadwin, Glover, Dahmen, Steele, and Varner

Idon’t know that I feel it’s necessary to go this low, but…

Darts:Homa, McNealy, Lanto, Bud, Wiesberger, and Duncan

I know it’s a lot to consider but I just wanted to give you some of my personal thoughts after hours of research for The Memorial Tournament. I highly encourage everyone to join us in the Discord chat room as the other writers and I break down some of our favorite plays even further. Our family here at WinDaily hopes that we can teach everyone how to succeed at playing DFS and earn some extra money doing something we love.

5 years ago 0 comments

PGA

Workday Charity Open Final Ownership Projections

Steven Polardi 5 years ago

written by Steven Polardi

Workday Charity Open Final Ownership Projections

Hello DFS Golf fans, it’s time for the Workday Charity Open Final Ownership Projections. One thing that is trending right now is the ownership % of the DraftKings Millionaire Maker. For the last three weeks the winning millionaire team came in at 13% + ownership, with at least two of the golfers at 5% each or lower. At Colonial it was 15%. The reason is that these new young Turks have no fear, one golfer this week put it best. “Normally there are 50 to 80,000 people in the galleries and walking the grounds, you hear a huge roar, like the “Tiger roar” or a huge roar for one of Bryson’s 370 yard drives. When these younger guys would hear it on the course, they’d think I have to make a move and perhaps press their game a bit, now with only the camera personnel and a few people in homes off the green clapping, there is no pressure and these new guys are showing up with their A game.” Indeed they are, with the exception of Bryson last week, most of the normal top 10 golfers have been nowhere in sight on Sunday afternoon and a new wave of younger names have replaced them. DJ also won but he was ranked 16th at the time. Time will tell if it’s an anomaly or if it’s the new way of the PGA. It is telling that the last three winners have had 13% ownership as a total group, when the average winning team has been at 15%+.

Here are your Workday Charity Open Final Ownership Projections

Mr Hovland takes the honors this week with 25% ownership as of this report. Right behind him is Patrick Cantlay at 23%, with Justin Thomas at 22%, and another Justin, Mr. Rose at 21%. Hedeki Matsuyama is at 20%. Joaquin Niemann, one of my favorites, is now at 17.5%, I may have to go underweight on him. Gary Woodland is at 15% and so is Xander Schauffele. Brooks Koepka is at 14%+ (plus means rising) along with Mark Leishman and Adam Hadwin. Collin Morikawa and Jon Rahm are at 13.5% Matthew Fitzpatrick, Matt Kuchar, Patrick Reed and Ricky Fowler are at 12%. Corey Conners comes in at 11.5%. Kevin Streelman, Joel Dahmen, and Scottie Scheffler are at 11%.

Coming in at 10% ownership are B. An, Harold Varner and Sungjae IM. Cameron Champ is 9.5%. Jordan Spieth and Billy Horschel are at 8.5 %. Max Homa is at 8%. Emiliano Grillo, Maverick McNealy, Russel Henley and Jason Day are at 7%. Bubba Watson is at 6%.Ryan Armour is at 5.5%. Mark Hubbard, Ian Poulter, Rory Sabbatini, Shane Lowry, Matthew Wolf and Louis Oosthuizen are at 5%.

The following golfers are under 5%: Sebastian Munoz, Scott Stallings, Matthew NeSmith, Michael Thompson, Richy Werenski, Jhonattan Vegas, Jason Kokrak, Bud Cauley, Ryan Palmer, Keegan Bradley, Luke List, Nick Taylor, Jim Furyk, Lanto Griffin, Kyle Stanley, Tom Hoge, Troy Merritt, Carlos Ortiz, Mackenzie Hughes, Jason Dufner, Sam Burns, Dylan Frittelli, Aaron Wise, and Adam Long.

The following golfers are at or under 2%: Chesson Hadley, JB Holmes, Brandon Wu, Hudson Swafford, Charl Schwartzel, S.Y. Noh, K H Lee, Cameron Davis,Keith Mitchell, Graeme McDowell, Harry Higgs, Steve Stricker, Matt Jones, Pat Perez, Adam Schenk, Chris Kirk, PHIL MICKELSON, Charles Howell lll, Brendan Steele, Chez Reavie, Si Woo Kim, Sung Kang, Sam Ryder, Nate Lashley, Bronson Burgoon, Taylor Gooch, Vaughn Taylor, Cameron Tringale, Brian Stuard, Zach Johnson, and Andrew Landry.

Please look long and hard at the sub 5% and sub 2% owned players, there are two of them that with the right combo of higher priced players will make you a million dollars.

Please ask my self or our gifted team of writers any questions you may have in the Win Daily Sports discord channel after the reports go up. Don’t forget to check out the other great content over at WinDailySports.com, too!

As always, I hope to be with you, in the money

5 years ago 0 comments

PGA

Isaiahs Protocol for the Workday Charity Open

labatts2225@gmail.com 5 years ago

written by labatts2225@gmail.com

The PGA Tour heads to Dublin, Ohio for the Workday Charity Open. This event will be replacing the (canceled) John Deere Classic for this year only and will take place at the Jack Nicklaus designed Muirfield Village. The Tour will also be playing this same course next week for The Memorial Tournament. I’ll get into more of that shortly. Let’s take a look.

TheCourse

MuirfieldVillage
Par: 72

Yardage:7456

Greens:Bentgrass

FavorableStatistics (in order of importance)

StrokesGained: Approach

StrokesGained: Off The Tee

StrokesGained: Around The Greens

StrokesGained: Putting

Basically speaking we want to find golfers that can nail their shot approaching the greens. Great ball strikers, that are accurate off the tee and can provide some distance, is also a plus. Unlike the previous tournaments we’ve seen since the Covid break, we want to keep our eye on guys that can get up and down well (SG:ARG). These small greens are protected heavily by deep bunkers, among other challenges.

Strategy

Iwanted to mention some things that are at the top of my head whileI’m writing this article. Its important to realize some differencesbetween this weeks tournament and next weeks. This week is an “Open”,meaning it is a MUCH bigger field and has a much wider spectrum oftalent. Next weeks tournament is an “Invitational”, meaninggolfers are selected by invite only (for the most part) and will be amuchsmaller field of elite talent.

There are two specific reason I wanted to mention this. This weeks Workday Charity Open will consist of roughly 150+ entrants. For DFS purposes, I’m going to assume that the DraftKings “Milly Maker” will resemble the last two weeks where under 5% of the entrants were able to get 6 of 6 golfers through the cut line on Friday afternoon.

Looking at DraftKings salaries, I’ve noticed that we have six golfers in the $10,000+ range. Other than Patrick Cantlay, Each one of them have some questionable concerns moving into this weeks tournament. On the flip side, there are a lot of golfers in the sub $7K range. Honestly, this range doesn’t look as appealing to me as the previous two weeks have.

Whetherwe’re talking about cash games, or GPP’s (Guaranteed Prize Pool),The core to my strategy is going to be getting six golfers throughthe cut Friday afternoon. After that, let them play it out and letthe cards fall where they may. Withan $8333 dollar average for your lineup construction, I don’t seeany reason that a balanced approach won’t lead to some riches thisweek, as it did in the first two tournaments coming out of the break.

Ofcourse we may want to reach out and grab some of the higher pricedgolfers in our GPP lineup construction. This will force us to seekout some of the needles in the haystack that is the lower pricedrange. Nothing is set in stone here. It’s just a strategy that Ilike to keep in mind while I’m developing my lineups. Lets take alook at some plays.

CashGame Golfers

Throw ownership out the window for The Workday Charity Open. Find 6 golfers that make the cut. They do NOT need to win, but each of them should produce just enough to get you over the 50% line of the rest of the entrants in your contest. That’s all you need to make some money here.

Collin Morikawa ($9200) Kawa finally missed his first cut as a professional this season at The Travelers, towards the end of June. So now we know he’s human. He also possesses on of the strongest iron games in the world. Over the last 50 rounds he ranks 2^nd in SG:APP, 3^rd in SG:BS, and 5^th in SG:T2G. 13 of 14 cuts made.

Marc Leishman ($8700) Leishman has made the cut in 10 of his 11 visits to Muirfield Village, and has 2 top 5 finishes in his last 5. In 4 of those 5 he’s ranked inside the top 20 in SG:T2G.

Matthew Fitzpatrick ($8000) Another guy that just missed his first cut of the season at The Travelers. Again, in a 50 round sample, he ranks 20^th in SG:TOT, 23^rd in SG:T2G, and 30^th in both SG:APP and SG:BS. 10 of 11 cuts made.

GPPGOLFERS

Ownership becomes a key factor in The Workday Charity Open. The larger your field of contestants is, the less ownership you’re going to need to be different from your competition. Be careful not to sacrifice production for name recognition while searching for a gem to get you into the top 20% of your contest for a chance at some serious money. You’re going to have to risk a little more here to be rewarded.

Brooks Koepka ($10400) Seemingly forgot about during his struggles post break, Brooks is currently projected to be a little over 10% owned. Looking at that larger sample, Brooks ranks 13^th SG:OTT, 18^th SG:T2G, 24^th SG:BS, and 11^th SG:TOT. His nemesis has been the flat stick where he’s quietly gained strokes in each of his last 8 rounds.

Rickie Fowler ($9000) Currently sitting just under 12%, Rickie had switched to a cross handed grip on his putter post break after listening to Jordan Speith. Why, I don’t know. He went back to his old grip last week at The Rocket Mortgage and the results were evident in comparison. Rickie also loves this course finishing T2, T8, and T14 since 2017. In DFS golf you always gotta catch the boat before it sails. This just may be Rickie’s week to return to the leader board after flashing some of his vintage skill in Detroit last week.

Scottie Scheffler ($7800) We were all burned by a chalky Scheff losing a career worst 6 strokes SG:APP on Thursday in Detroit. He came out Friday and ranked 1^st SG:OTT, and 3^rd SG:T2G, but the damage was already done. How soon we forget. I’m gonna chalk this up as one bad day, and go right back to a super cheap, 7% owned Scottie Scheffler this week.

Feel free to mix and match, and choose your spots wisely. Its our goal at WinDaily to teach EVERYONE a formula to playing DFS so that we ALL succeed. The BEST overall strategy I can give you would be to join our family in the Discord chat rooms as we discuss, and break down our favorite plays even further.

5 years ago 0 comments

PGA

Workday Charity Open Ownership Preview

cdenny99@hotmail.com 5 years ago

written by cdenny99@hotmail.com

Workday Charity Open Ownership Preview

There are two tourneys in two weeks at Muirfield this year, normally driving distance and approach would be key factors, with the PGA determined to make it two distinct courses this weeks important metrics are SG TTG, scrambling and putting. Let’s look at some of the players who play well with those metrics for the first tournament. Here is your Workday Charity Open Ownership Preview for our DraftKings MillyMakers!

Patrick Reed (8800) Reed has been hit or miss since the start up, mostly miss, whatever ails him should be remedied at Muirfield with his game.

Matt Kuchar (8500) Just like Patrick Reed, Matt has a win and a runner up spot, and they both are cut makers at the event. Everything will hinge on their ownership %, they are considered safe values at the moment

Patrick Cantlay (10,600) Patrick won here last year, they are slowing the greens down for the first event, 11 on the stemp meter, that shouldn’t bother him, he went -19 last year on his way to victory.

Joaquin Niemann (8400) Joaquin has only played here twice, with a top 10 and top 30 result, his salary will come in handy for saving dollars.

Emiliano Grillo (7200) Emiliano has made four straight cuts here in his four tries, including a 9th and 11th, he will also provide you an ability to reach higher priced studs with his price on your roster

Sebastian Munoz (6800) Munoz is a bit more risky but has the metrics that will allow him to compete with the talent, and there is a lot of talent playing these next two weeks.

The PGA has notified the players that all tee boxes are in play this week, including the white tees, to mix up the distance. They will be slowing the greens as well to differentiate the following weeks Memorial, where the man himself, Jack Nicklaus, is the tournament host.

I will have projections early tomorrow evening and final picks for this week on Win Daily Sports. Please remember Sia has a live stream at 8:30 pm on the @WinDailySports twitter account, and the writers and I will be in the Discord channel to answer any questions you may have after the articles go up.

As always, I hope to be with you, in the money.

5 years ago 0 comments

PGA

Workday Charity Open DFS Picks: Initial Look

stephenbrown764@gmail.com 5 years ago

written by stephenbrown764@gmail.com

Workday Charity Open DFS Picks: Initial Look

We’ve got an interesting set up for the next two weeks as the PGA Tour will have back to back tournaments on the same course. This article we will be looking at the Workday Charity Open DFS picks. We will be looking for ball strikers yet again this week and we will be looking for a bit more accuracy off the tee relative to last week. It’s only Monday and this is merely an initial look at golfers I like, but if last week wass any indication, my early picks set up well for success. Stay tuned for a ton of content coming this week from the Win Daily Golf Team including more picks, ownership projections and modeling. Please jump in Discord as these picks develop. And watch the Win Daily Show Livestream and podcast tomorrow night at 8:30 for more on this tournament, including an early look at projected ownership. Get your DraftKings lineups reserved and ready to go!

Patrick Cantlay (10600) – If you’re looking for a guy who is great OTT and who is great on APP you have found him in Patrick Cantlay. After a long lay off, he came back to the Travelers and finished 11^th two weeks ago. Cantlay finished 1^st here last year and 4^th the year prior. It appears that he is picking his spots since the restart, and although he’ll be chalky, he picked wisely in joining the field this week.

John Rahm (10900) – Rahm has been unimpressive since the restart, and frankly, feels relatively forgotten among the elite players. After taking the week off last week, I expect an energized and precise golfer who we can trust to gain strokes in all departments. I’m assuming Rahm will be less owned than most golfers in this elite price range.

Xander Shaufele (10200) – With my lineups likely being comprised of two elite golfers (stars and scrubs), I will probably be jamming in two elite golfers as my base this week. Xander will be one of those three as he is also great OTT and on APP and has flirted with outright wins since the restart. The real question here is which Xander shows up but I trust he’ll be focused and ready after taking a week off. He was 14^th here last year.

Collin Morikawa (9200) – May not be as chalky as normal as he’s coming off two very unimpressive performances (and his first missed cut, ever). Add to that how hot Viktor Hovland is and that he is near Collin’s price range, and you may have some value here. Morikawa took last week off and hopefully he’s in reset mode as prior to the mini-struggles, his iron play was excellent. Happy to roll the dice here.

Adam Hadwin (8200) – Coming off a 4^th place finish at the Rocket Mortgage this guy was a value machine last week and continues to present value this week. Gains strokes in every category and is prone to having a hot putter. While I think Hadwin will garner a lot of interest, I don’t think he’ll be as popular as Woodland who will be only one hundred dollars more expensive. It’s noteworthy that Hadwin’s track record here is not very good.

Joel Dahmen (7700) – The strokes gained metrics jump off the page with Joel Dahmen and his results are bearing that out. Dating back to the API, Dahmen has made four cuts in a row and three of those have been Top 20. Like most golfers in this range, Dahmen is prone to the bad day here and there but his upside is too good to leave him out of your lineups. Likely to be chalky in this range so find your GPP leverage elsewhere.

Corey Conners (7600) – Not going to lie, this one gives me a ton of trepidation (look it up, it’s a word you’re going to want to incorporate into your vernacular. Yes, look that one up too). But I can’t ignore Conners game OTT and on APP. The good news for Conners is that there have been plenty of bad putters who have succeeded on this course. Not a ‘core’ play for me but absolutely going to be included in some lineups.

Ryan Armour (7400) – Feels like I’m chasing value instead of projecting value with this pick, but I just can’t ignore back to back tournaments with finishes in the top six. His strokes gained metrics don’t jump off the page by any means, but he has looked locked in the past couple of weeks. The price here seems reasonable and I think most people in this price range will be jumping on Tringale, Hubbard, McNealy or Sabbatini. Armour is by far the least ‘sexy’ of those names. Only a few sprinkles of Armour for me.

Matthew NeSmith (6800) – Coming off a missed cut at the Travelers we have a guy who has an inexpensive stock but has the numbers to make the cut and make some weekend noise. An up and comer who is very good on APP and T2G. NeSmith made two cuts immediately prior to the Travelers and I think he presents value at this low price.

Chesson Hadley (6500) – I’m back on the Hadley train this week. He was one shot away from making the cut last week which is unimpressive but not terrible considering his price. He’s still one of the better options in this range on APP and he’s not bad OTT either. I’m looking for positive regression here and I trust ownership will be even lower this week after a missed cut last week.

Henrik Norlander (6500) – He’s made two cuts in a row and is coming off a very impressive 12^th place last week at the Rocket Mortgage. Accuracy off the tee should factor into the analysis this week and Norlander was 1^st last week in that department. His approach game hasn’t been outstanding this year but he is in the positive category. This is a guy that can do some damage for your lineups as long as he can be ok with the putter (a category where he typically loses strokes).

As mentioned above, The Win Daily team has plenty more to come. Enjoy this initial look at targets and start reserving your lineups for the Workday Charity Open DFS. Check out the upcoming articles, hope in the Win Daily Sports Expert Discord Chat, and the Win Daily Show with me and Michael Rasile at 8:30 pm tomorrow night on the @WinDailySports Twitter page!

5 years ago 0 comments

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Here are your Workday Charity Open Final Ownership Projections

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