DFS & Sports Betting Tools, Exclusive Content, and Expert Chat
Pricing
GET STARTED TODAY
 
thumbs-up-solid
DFS & Sports Betting Tools, Exclusive Content, and Expert Chat
Pricing
GET STARTED TODAY
 
thumbs-up-solid
Pricing
GET STARTED TODAY
thumbs-up-solid
Pricing
GET STARTED TODAY
Home / golf dfs / Page 22
Tag:

golf dfs

PGA

The CJ Cup: Initial Picks

Sia
written by Sia

The CJ Cup: Initial Picks

Two weeks in Vegas sounds like a bad idea, but here we are at a no-cut event in Shadow Creek.  This is a new location for the CJ Cup which normally takes place in South Korea.  Therefore, you can go ahead and ignore prior history as it was not on this course. We have also already seen DJ and Tony Finau withdraw the the event. Shadow Creek is characterized as a long course but the length is minimized by the altitude.  There are plenty of water hazards and the rough may be high so you’re going to want some accuracy with your length and good play around the green will also prove to be helpful here, so here are our The CJ Cup: Initial Picks. Don’t forget to join the Livestream TONIGHT (Tuesday) at 8:00 EST.

Jon Rahm (11300) – Hard to pick among the upper crust this week as they are all very deserving to be put in your lineups, but I prefer Rahm’s all around game, particularly what he can do OTT.  Justin Thomas is my honorable mention as far as my favorite top play.

Xander Schaufele (10300) – Looking for good all around game and Xander checks all the boxes.  He has also been in great form which includes a 5th place at the U.S. Open.

Matthew Wolff (10000) – I would normally be a bit hesitant to take a guy who just lost in a playoff, but I don’t think anything really affects the former rookie class of Wolff, Morikawa and Hovland.  They certainly don’t seem like the new kids on the block and I’ll be on them again this week.  Wolff’s ownership likely to be high.

Tyrell Hatton (9600) – Coming off a win last week in Europe, Hatton is a guy that can go low on any given day.  He’s in good form and he gains strokes in every metric with APP being the best of those metrics.  Ownership may be down a bit because Hatton just won and had to travel quite a bit in the last couple of days. 

Collin Morikawa (9500) – I’m guessing Collin’s stock is dipping now that he’s starting to miss cuts and that means it’s the perfect time to take him.  I must admit, I’m a touch worried about his game right now, but it wouldn’t shock me at all if he turns it around on his home turf in Vegas.

Viktor Hovland (9000) – An incredible ball striker who still has a questionable short game.  Definitely willing to gamble on this guy as right now he’s probably the most forgotten of the ‘Rookie Three’ and I think it’s a good time to pick up shares.  His ownership is tracking at well below that of Wolff and Morikawa but still above 10%.

Abraham Ancer (8200) – Ancer was pretty terrible down the stretch of last season, but seems to have recalibrated last week with a 4th place finish.  This guy seems to start FedEx Cup seasons well and he should be a good course fit with his OTT and APP game.

Brendan Todd (7900) – Certainly not long OTT but always seems to be around on Sundays.   Ownership should be low as there are plenty of ‘sexier’ options in this range.

Russell Henley (7100) – Good enough OTT and great on APP and gains ARG.  Henley has been particularly good on APP recently.  Henley may have limited upside but has the game to put up scores that outpace his price.

Ryan Palmer (6700) – I have no issue jamming Palmer into a lineup in a no-cut event.  He’s usually good for at least one great day (and one very bad one) and that’s the type of scenario that could really pay off this week. 

Adam Hadwin (6700) – Great ball striker who has a great track record in the desert.  He shot super low last Saturday and followed it up with a bad Sunday.  The bad Sunday (and resulting 34th place finish) is hopefully what most will remember and that should keep ownership low.

Secret Weapon – See you in Discord.

Thanks for checking out my The CJ Cup: Initial Picks! Don’t forget to join us tonight, check out the other great articles up on Win Daily Sports, and please also subscribe to the Win Daily Podcast!

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
PGAPremium

Shriners Open Final Ownership Projections

Steven Polardi
written by Steven Polardi

Shriners Open Final Ownership Projections

They say football is a game of inches, sometimes golf is as well. Last week there were 3 golfers left on the 18th green on Friday afternoon at The Sanderson Farms tourney, the cut line had moved to -2 a few hours earlier, and the pundits thought it would hit -3 by days end, little did they know how prophetic they would be. Sungjae IM had a 9 foot putt for birdie to end his round, he may not have known that he alone controlled the fate of many golfers in the field. A birdie putt would move the entire field to -3, where a par putt would keep the number at -2. Ten other golfers at -2 held their breath as the putt skirted the hole and rolled in. The cut line is now -3. Here is your Shriners Open Final Ownership Projections.

I had 5 golfers at -2 and would have pushed 9 teams across at 6/6 only if, Sia, whose been picking the Secret Weapon for months now, had his pick at -2 as well. For the first time in months, not weeks or days, but months, his pick didn’t make the weekend. Guys you can’t imagine how difficult it is to find a 6 K salary range golfer, under 5% ownership,( to add more difficulty), and have that player not only make the cut, but bring tremendous value to your 6 man team. Sia could just as easily pick a 6K golfer that nobody owns and have him be at +13 after Friday, but that has never happened…..ever. He missed going 19-0 by an inch last week, that should tell you how good he is. I spent two days last week on the 6 K range golfers, my out in left field pick Wesley Bryan Finished tied for 12th, my favorite pick, Carlos Ortiz, missed out.  I talk about the formula for winning the Draft Kings Milly Maker, with Sia’s Secret Weapon play you are 17% closer to that goal when it hits.

We all work extremely hard to get you the information to get you in that top 1% of the field, GPP is so volatile and contrary, yet the rewards are life changing. Just ask Joel, one of our genius writers, he’s won three 50,000 tourneys in the last month or so, he just moved into a beautiful new place, and after hearing about the president spending 70,000 on hair cuts, he decided to get a new doo as well. Uhh, Joel I think you should get 69,990 in change.

Speaking of change, let’s change your life/luck and get down to the ownership projections for The Shriners Longer Than Necessary Title Open, AKA The Shriners Hospital for Children Open.

The leader for ownership by a few protein shakes is Bryson DeChambeau, currently at 26.2%+ (+ is rising ). I will still roster him until he goes over 30%.

Webb Simpson is currently 2nd at 23.7%, Patrick “Sharps” Scott’s adopted son,Collin Morikawa, who is currently seeking info on restraining orders, is third at 20.2%. Patrick Cantlay is close behind at 20.1%, Matt Wolff comes in at 19.6%, Hideki Matsuyama is 19.2%. Scottie Scheffler settles in at 17.1%, Harris English is 16.5%, ( I like him up to 18% ownership) Joaquin Niemann is a bit lower at 13.3%, Doc Redman is 13.1%, Rickie Fowler is 12.5% ( Vegas likes him), Sungjae IM, the cut master, and Louis Oosthuizen are 12.3% owned, Denny McCarthy is 11.4%, Kristoffer Ventura and Harold Varner lll are 10.8% owned, Cameron Davis, who I like, is 10.3% owned.

Russell Henley and RyannPalmer are 9.9%, Paul Casey is 9.5%, Si Woo Kim is 9.3%, Brian Harman  is 9.1%, Lanto Griffin is next at 8.2%, Brendan Steele is 8.1%, and Sam Burns comes in at 8% ownership. Jason Day is 7.8%, Abraham Ancer,( who is one of Sia’s favorites, and I like his upside) is a very reasonable 7.4% Jason Kokrak and Will Zalatoris are at 6.8 %. Last week my big fade of the week was Zalatoris, he told his caddy he was mentally and physically exhausted, he was 10.2K in salary and didn’t make the cut for the weekend. Sebastian Munoz is 6.6%, Charlie Hoffman is 6.5%, Luke List and Joel Dahmen share 6.3% ownership, Kevin Na,  Cameron Smith, Henrik Norlander and Matt Kuchar are all at 6%, JT Poston is 5.9%, Zach Johnson and last weeks champion, Sergio Garcia are 5.7%, Kevin Streelman, Adam Hadwin and Chez Reavie are 5.5% owned.

The following golfers are under 5% owned:

Cameron Champ is 4.9%, Aaron Wise is 4.8%, Stewart Cink and Maverick McNealy are 4.7%, Adam Schenk is 4.5%, Cameron Tringale, Emiliano Grillo, and Justin Suh are 4.4%, Pat Perez is 4.3%, Patrick Rodgers is 3.9%, Brandt Snedeker is 3.8%, Talor Gooch is 3.6%, Tyler McCumber is 3.5%, Scott Stallings and Sepp Straka are 3.2%, Scott Piercy and B. An are 3%,Will Gordon and  Matthew NeSmith are 2.8%, Chesson Hadley and Keegan Bradley are 2.5%, X. Zhang is 2.4%, Harry Higgs, Martin Laird, Kyle Stanley, and Max Homa are 2.2% owned.

The following golfers are under 2% owned:

Russel Knox and Beau Hossler are 1.9% owned, James Hahn is 1.8%, Carlos Ortiz, Charles Howell lll, Tom Lewis, Francesco Molinari and Dylan Frittelli, Rafa Cabrera Bello, Sam Ryder and J.B. Holmes are 1.7% owned, Scott Harrington and Kevin Chappell are 1.5%, C.T. Pan, Brian Stuard, Sean O Hair, Nick Watney, Camilo Vellegas, Mark Hubbard and Nick Taylor are 1.2% owned. Patton Kizzire is 1.1% owned.  All other golfers at the time of this report are less than 1% owned.

My Picks:

Bryson DeChambeau is the pick of the upper tier. He is expensive (11,800) but has a 60% chance to be in the optimal lineup, which is sky high. Webb Simpson at 800 cheaper is like an older toy, very comfortable, but you prefer the big new shiny Bryson, when you push a button he grows 3 feet and wins golf tournaments.

Denny McCarthy can putt, plain and simple, and that means scoring, at 7700 salary he is both value and salary relief if you go for those above.

In the lower tier I like Ryan Palmer (7400), he’s a bit risky, but he can put up a 62 just as easy as a 72, and I like his chances this week.

My out in left field play this week is Maverick McNealy (6900), he is low owned, he is from Vegas, I believe some home cooking and course familiarity are keys to not only him making the cut, possibly to contend as well.

Thank you for checking out Shriners Open Final Ownership Projections. I will be in the Discord Channel after the report is up, along with the other pros to answer any questions, help with roster construction, player vs player analysis and salary execution, and don’t forget, Sia’s Secret Weapon will be released (unleashed) on the Discord channel either right before or right after his NFL football live stream. Please remember to check out the articles from  The Win Daily Sports team writers, Sia and I, Antonio, Isaiah, and Patrick.

As always, I hope to be with you, in the money.

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
PGA

Shriners: Initial Picks

Sia
written by Sia

Shriners: Initial Picks

We finally have a legitimate field of stars here at the Shriners and it appears that we have value in all pricing tiers. I have isolated my Initial Picks, but I can assure you we will have many more on the Livestream TONIGHT at 8:00 and in Discord up until Thursday morning. Please tune in tonight and good luck this week. Here are is the Shriners: Initial Picks.

Bryson DeChambeau (11800) – There’s no such thing as a lock button guy in golf, but this is pretty close.  His game fits this course quite well, he’s been on fire lately and he’s got a great track record at this course.  His price is the only downside, but you’re going to want plenty of shares.  Bryson will likely be owned at over 20% this week so clearly his price tag is not dissuading players from selecting him.  A lock in cash, but if you want to fade him in a big GPP, I have no issue with it.

Tony Finau (10200) – Yes, I passed right over the guy (Patrick Cantlay) who has finished 2nd, 2nd and 1st his last three years at this event, but I’m going to pivot to Finau who also comes in great form and has a solid track record at this event (including a Top 10 last year).  I’m assuming the expensive salary will keep his ownership at 15% or below.

Matthew Wolff (9600) – Had a top 20 finish last year in his first time at the Shriner’s.  That’s not terribly impressive but Wolff’s game suits this course very well and he’s been on fire as of late (Top 5 finishes in his last two majors).  Wolff is finally being priced up with Morikawa and for good reason.  Interestingly, it looks like Wolff’s ownership will be higher than Morikawa by a significant margin (tracking at 22% versus 15% as of now). 

Sergio Garcia (9100) – Not a huge fan of selecting the winner from the week prior, but this seems like a reasonable price for a guy that is great T2G and who may have figured out some of his putting issues last week.   Sergio’s projected ownership looks to be tracking at less than 7% and he is therefore a nice GPP pivot from many of the other golfers in this range.

Cam Davis (8200) – A long hitter who can get hot at any moment, as evidenced by last week’s Round 3 of nine under (7 birdies and 1 eagle including 5 birdies in a row).   Davis usually fizzles on Sundays but if he gets to Sunday, he’s likely to pay off his price tag.  Be careful in GPP’s with Davis as he is tracking at approximately 25% ownership which is enormous in this range.  You can play him in GPP’s, just be mindful of the chalk and be different elsewhere.  A great cash play.

Joaquin Neimann (8100) –  The ball striking metrics are there for Joaquin, but he is certainly a hit or miss prospect this week.  Going with the upside that he flashed at the BMW (3rd place) and he remains in relatively good form with a 23rd at the U.S. Open.  At less than 10% projected ownership, he’s a nice GPP pivot from Cam Davis (Ancer is another good pivot in the 8k range as his ownership is below 10% as of now).

Denny McCarthy (7600) – Finished 6th last week and has two Top 15’s in his last two attempts at the Shriners.  His ball striking metrics have been very good as of late and he is a great putter.  Good value at the price.

Kristoffer Ventura (7100) – His recent strokes gained metrics jump off the page.  Outside of some somewhat shaky APP play, he’s been knocking the metrics out of the park.  He’s also finished Top 8 in two out of his last three tournaments.  Finished 18th here last year.

Henrik Norlander (6900) – An absolute boom or bust play.  He has been bad lately, but finally emerged from the abyss last week with a 4th place at Sanderson.  We saw the upside with Norlander right after the re-start so we know he has it in him.

Tyler Duncan (6700) – Duncan has been a bit erratic lately with the driver and the putter but his APP game is fantastic.  The rough shouldn’t be too penal here so maybe his APP game bails him out and maybe he finds the putter.  When you get into the 6k range you need to play the ‘maybe’ card from time to time, and I’m happy to do that with Duncan.

Sepp Straka (6500) – Coming off a missed cut last week, but here we have a golfer that typically gains OTT and on APP and doesn’t have a terrible putter.  Plenty of boom upside with Straka.

JB Holmes (6400) – On absolutely nobody’s radar but he did make the cut last week and unfortunately had a horrific Sunday.  I’m willing to lean a bit on pre-injury pedigree for Holmes with the knowledge that I’m dipping into a dangerous area in the 6k range.

Don’t forget to join us TONIGHT at 8:00 for the Win Daily PGA Livestream with Michael Rasile, Joel Schrek and myself. Don’t forget to also subscribe to the Win Daily Podcast and the Win Daily YouTube channel. See you tonight!

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
PGAPremium

Sanderson Farms Championship Ownership

Steven Polardi
written by Steven Polardi

Sanderson Farms Championship Ownership

Greetings Golf and DFS fans. This week we travel to Mississippi for The Sanderson Farms championship, where the Jackson Country Club the tourney is being played at was a key player in liquor flowing once  again after prohibition. In 1966 liquor was still prohibited in Mississippi, the local sheriff busted the tuxedo and tails gala at the club, the only problem was the governor had stopped by for a cocktail, and watched his champagne being confiscated by deputies. The following Monday booze was again available statewide. Go figure. Golf and booze seem to go together, especially if you play as well/bad as I do. On to the Sanderson Farms Championship Ownership projections!

In the last six years there have been six new champions, there’s no reason to not make it seven with a watered down group of golfers. These are perfect opportunities to fatten your bankroll for more interesting places, such as Augusta GA in November, with that in mind, let’s get to the ownership projections to help you go green on your screen.

The ownership leader by far is Scottie Scheffler  at 28.6%, he is followed by Sam Burns at 24%, and close behind is Sungjae IM at 23.3%. Cameron Davis is next at 21.9%, Will Zalatoris is next at 18.9%. **NOTE** Will Zalatoris told his caddy he was “exhausted” during their practice round, he also told him he was considering withdrawing because if he did as well as expected, he may be paired up with Scheffler, who just came out of Covid protocol. As of now he is a go, I believe he may have other things on his mind besides the  golf tournament right now. Doc Redman follows Will at 18.5%. There’s a steep drop down to Patrick Rodgers and Sergio Garcia at 14.2%, Luke List is 13.4%, Denny McCarthy is 13%,(Vegas likes Denny ) Brian Harmon is 12.7%, Sebastian Munoz is 11.6%, Adam Long is 11%, Si Woo Kim, Adam Schenk and Taylor Gooch are 10.8%, Corey Conners is 10.6%, B. An is 10.3%, Carlos Ortiz is 10.2% ( I’m a fan of the Big O this week ) Dylan Frittelli and Charley Hoffman are 10% owned.

X Zang is 9.7% owned, Emiliano Grillo is 9.4%, Kristoffer Ventura is 9.3%, Cameron Tringale is 9.2%, Lucas Glover is 8.8%, Henrik Stenson is 8.5%, Zach Johnson is 8.4%, Chez Reavie is 8.2%, Hudson Swafford is 8%, Tom Lewis is 7.7%, Chesson Hadley is 7.5%, Cameron Percy is 7.1%, Sepp Straka is 7%, Pat Perez is 6%, Jhonattan Vegas is 5.9%, Mark Hubbard is 5.7%, J.T. Poston is 5.3%, Richy Werenski comes in at 5.1%.

Golfers under 5% ownership:

Kyle Stanley is 4.9%, Brian Stuard is 4.7%, Rory Sabbatini and Russel Knox are 4.5%, Stewart Cink and Davis Riley are 4.2%, Brandt Snedeker is 3.9%, Matthew NeSmith is 3.8%, Henrik Norlander and Tom Hoge are 3.7%, Charl Schwartzel is 3.6%, Maverick McNealy and Will Gordon are 3.5%, Keith Mitchell, Tyler McCumber and Bronson Burgoon are 3.2%, Rafa Cabrera Bello is 3%, Wesley Bryan is 2.9% and a favorite sneaky play, Martin Laird is 2.8%, Aaron Wise is 2.5%, Robby Shelton and Nate Lashley are 2.4%, Branden Grace and Scott Stallings are 2.3%, Anirban Lahiri and Chris Kirk are 2.2%, Jason Dufner is 2% owned.

Golfers under 2% ownership:

Wyndham Clark is 1.9%, Matt Jones is 1.8%, Sebastian Cappelen is 1.7%, Peter Malnati is 1.6%, Scott Harrington is 1.4%, JJ Spaun, Sahith Theegala, Kevin Chappell, Branden Hagy, Scott Pierce and Nick Watney are 1.3%, Grayson Murray is 1.1% owned. At the time of this report all other golfers are under 1% owned.

Picks for Sanderson Farms:

Upper Tier:
Scottie Scheffler (11,400)  hands down is the elite golfer in this class, he is healthy, and he’s playing, I will be overweight on him.

Mid Range:
Si Woo Kim (8400) and Carlos Ortiz (8300) have a good shot at T 20 and actually better, at these prices they are good fits.

Low Range:
Robert Streb (6600 ) is a streaky golfer who is making cuts and playing well, and he is totally off the radar, you have to look under the projections page to try and find his ownership %.

Out in Left Field Play:
This week it’s Wesley Bryan (6300) who shows up, makes the cut, and brings value, one day he’ll win one. I’m overweight on him as well.

Thank you for checking out our Sanderson Farms Championship Ownership projection. I will be in the Discord Channel to answer any questions on projections, roster construction, salary left over, anything to help you cash your teams. Don’t forget to read the other articles in Win Daily Sports by the writers who have great intel to get you to the money. Sia’s Secret Weapon will be unleashed on Discord later tonight, that beast has been making it rain for months. Delight in the pick that will make you crazy money or just crazy, it’s that good, month after month it keeps hitting value +++. Don’t miss Sia’s Secret Weapon play in Discord tonight.

Guys last week I played only 82 in tourney fees and cleared 270 after costs. It’s way below my norm and that’s O.K.  These tourneys are meant to build your bankroll for the Masters and other majors and mid majors, they are also fun to sweat just like the majors and you could walk away with many many zeroes behind your  first number. As always, I hope to be with you, in the money.

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
PGA

Sanderson Farms: Initial Picks

Sia
written by Sia

Sanderson Farms: Initial Picks

This week the PGA Tour arrives in Mississippi for the Sanderson Farms Championship. Similar to last week, there isn’t a ton of talent in the field, but there is certainly a talent upgrade relative to last week. We have plenty more content coming from Antonio and Steven, and of course, the PGA Livestream is every Tuesday Night @windailysports and on YouTube so please tune into that and subscribe to the Win Daily Podcast. Here are my Sanderson Farms: Initial Picks.

Sam Burns (9800) – This range is probably where I will be starting most of my lineups, but I will certainly have a couple shares of Scheffler, Im and Zalatoris (more on this on the Tuesday Livestream and Win Daily Podcast).  I prefer more balance this week so my core will feature guys like Burns and Redman.  Last week I had Burns in DFS and outright, but a disappointing Saturday took him out of contention.  He rebounded nicely on Sunday and I think he has plenty of win equity in a field that features similar talent.  Burns finished 45th here last year, but finished 3rd in 2019.

Doc Redman (9700) – One thing you’ll notice if you follow golf is that great ball strikers tend to have success on any style course, even ones where the course benefits longer hitters.  Doc isn’t a hammer with the driver like Burns or Scheffler, but he’s a great ball striker and he’s an elite player in this field.

Luke List (9000) – Another guy I had heavy in DFS and outright last week and he finished Top 10.  Not too bad.  He missed the cut here last year and didn’t play Sanderson in 2017 or 2018, but he did finish 2nd in 2017.   A long hitter who can be hit or miss, but I’ll play the upside.

Cameron Davis (8100) – A perfect course fit and a guy who has been making cuts at an impressive rate.  This guy is probably mispriced a bit and I expect him to make the cut and be in the conversation over the weekend.  I already have an outright on Davis at 45 to 1.

Tom Lewis (7700) – Put this one in the ‘gut play’ category as his recent form doesn’t make me feel warm and fuzzy.  With that said, post pandemic, I saw him get red hot at the WGC (2nd place finish) and at less than 5% expected ownership, he can win you a GPP.  Lewis SG metrics aren’t great but he does gain strokes on most of the field on Bermudagrass.

Stewart Cink (7600) – A guy I’ve been fitting into lineups for well over a year now, he’s just constantly overlooked.  With a relative lack of talent in the field, I’ll take the guy who finished 1st a few weeks back at Safeway and who had a 28th place finish his last time on this track.  Cink is yet another Bermudagrass specialist. 

Nick Taylor (7400) – Taylor hasn’t been very good this year, but he’s generally good OTT and on APP and has some upside at this price.  Don’t grab too many shares, but Taylor is in my player pool. 

J.B. Holmes (7000) – no idea what to expect from Holmes, as injuries have plagued him for quite some time.  With that said, he’s got the pedigree to compete on Sunday if he captures some of his old form.  Made the cut and finished 46th at Safeway, so at least we know he’s not in bad form. At this price, you need to take a shot in at least one lineup.

Tom Hoge (6900) – great with his irons and perhaps an underrated player.  He can really get hot and cold and that can lead to one too many missed cuts to make you comfortable.  However, he appears to have gained some consistency lately and I think he’s a great value if you need to dip into this range. 

Adam Schenk (6700) – A couple months back I had Schenk as the WinDaily SW and he hasn’t missed a cut since (coincidence?).  His weekend finishes aren’t exactly impressive but this guy appears to be a free square when it comes to making cuts.  He finished 7th here in 2019 and has made the cut all three times he’s played Sanderson.

Kelly Kraft (6400) – shout out to Mr. Joel Schrek @draftmasterflex for finding this gem last week.  This guy was full of eagles or birdie streaks last week and there’s no reason not to take another shot if you need to get down to this price range. 

Secret Weapon (sub7k/less than 5%) – Another solid hit last week, particularly due to a great Sunday which included an eagle and a birdie streak.  The SW hasn’t missed a cut, ever.  The run will end at some point, but all aboard the Secret Weapon Freight Train!

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
PGAPremium

Corales Championship Ownership Projection

Steven Polardi
written by Steven Polardi

Corales Championship Ownership Projection

This week is a stark contrast from last weeks carnage at Winged Foot. This week is resort golf, where the fairways could handle a 747 take off, and the greens are fat and luscious. Bryson DeChambeau survived the gauntlet at the U.S. Open and declared he had “dominated” the course, he is surely becoming a legend in his own mind. Here is our Corales Championship Ownership Projection.

Last week I picked Will Zalatoris as my out in left field play, he finished 6th, did well, and now he is the highest priced golfer in DraftKings this week. Michael mentioned in the superior, must see, intel laden live stream with Joel and Sia that it’s the “Win Daily Sports effect”,  If that’s the case then this weeks Secret Weapon pick from Sia will go from 6 K to 80K in salary next week. I seriously considered that the pricing was due to a very weak field, but I like Michaels train of thought so we’ll go with the “Win Daily Sports effect.”

This weeks field has approximately 10 to 12 players that can win outright, please review the live stream and check out the articles to get more intel, ownership will be a key part of a top placing team, so let’s get to the projections this week.

Will Zalatoris is the highest owned player at 22%, followed by Sam Burns at 20.8%, I do like Sam this week. Next, and a bit of a surprise is Jhonattan Vegas at 19%, followed by Adam Schenk at 18.4%, Pat Perez is close at 17.7%, Adam Long is 16.7%, Mackenzie Hughes and Denny McCarthy are at 16%, Will Gordon is 15.8%, Patrick Rodgers is 15.3%, Kristoffer Ventura is 15%, I started targeting him 5 weeks ago and I like Kris this week, X Zhang is 14.2% and deserves a look, Corey Conners is 13.6%, Emiliano Grillo, one of Sia’s favorites is 13%, Thomas Detry is 12.9%, Charles Howell lll and Henrik Stenson are 12.5%, Sepp Straka is 12.4%, Luke List is 12.2%, Matthias Schwab is 11.9%, Keith Mitchell is 11.4%, Henrik Norlander is 11.3%, Charley Hoffman is 10.2% owned.

Chris Baker is 9% owned, Kyle Stanley is 8.8%, Brian Stuard is 8.5%, Chris Kirk is 8.3%, Kurt Kitayama is 7.8%, James Hahn is 7.5%, Beau Hossler is 7.3%, Branden Grace is 7.2%, Seamus Power is 7%, Rob Oppenheim is 6.7%, Doug Ghim is 6.5%, I followed him at his career at the University of Texas, Doug is going to surprise a lot of people soon, very soon. Brice Garnett  and Matt Jones are at 6.4%, Bo Hoag is 6.3%, Brandon Hagy is 6.2%, J.J. Spaun is 6.1%, Graeme McDowell is 6%, Michael Gligic is 5.5%, Joohyung Kim is 5.3%, Sam Ryder is 5.2% owned.

Golfers under 5% ownership:

Matthew NeSmith is 4.6%, Grayson Murray, Joseph Bramlett and Akshay Bhatia are 4.4%, Kevin Chappell is 4.3%, Martin Laird is 4.2%, Peter Uihlein and Cameron Percy are 3.2%, Vaughn Taylor and Vincent Whaley are 3%, Peter Malnati and Anirban Lahiri are 2.9% owned, Josh Teater is 2.7%,  Ben Martin is 2.5%, Tom Wilkinson is 2.4%, Wes Roach and Ryan Brehm are 2.2%, Jamie Lovemark and Nate Lashley are 2% owned.

Golfers under 2% ownership:

David Hearn, Ryan Armour, Hank Lebioda, Chris Stroud, Roger Sloan, Patton Kizzire, Scott Harrington, Hudson Swafford, K.H. Lee, C.T. Pan, David Hearn and Kiradech Aphibarnrat are 1.9%, Kelly Kraft and Fabian Gomez are 1.7%, Chase Seiffert, Robert Streb, Mark Anderson and Zack Sucher are 1.4%, Zac Blair, Bill Haas, Scott Brown, Justin Suh, Kevin Tway, and Ryan Blaum are 1.2% owned. All other golfers are under 1% ownership at the time of this report.

Picks: Upper Tier:  Sam Burns. Will Zalatoris. ( They both have better than a 26% chance to be in “the” optimal lineup while the field is 22% ) I’m also bullish on Corey Conners.

Mid Tier:  Thomas Detry, Branden Grace, Luke List

Lower Tier:   Brice Garnett.

My out in left field play this week is Akshay Bhatia, (6900) 4.4% owned. He finished in 9th at  the Safeway and he has the length to take this 7700 yard long course.

Tonight’s Secret Weapon play brought to you by Sia will be released soon, these plays have been killing the ROI on these 6K salaried players for weeks, months, all the way back to when golf was played with a petrified dinosaur egg, you do not want to miss Sia’s pick, I’ll be available in the Discord Channel as well once this report is published, please check the other articles our Win Daily Sports writers have provided for great intel on roster construction, player profiles, game theory and any questions in general to help you get your screen to go green, it’s why we’re here, night after night.

As always I hope to be with you, in the money.

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
PGA

Corales Puntacana Resort Initial Picks

Sia
written by Sia

Corales Puntacana Resort Initial Picks

The PGA Tour goes to the Dominican Republic this week to take a swing at a resort course which is sure to produce some very good scores. It helps to be long here, but if past winners are any indication, it is not a requirement. Tune in TONIGHT at 8:00 to the Win Daily Livestream @windailysports with the regular cast of characters as we go over the entire DFS slate and provide some outright and H2H picks. Don’t forget to check out the rest of the content we have coming on Win Daily Sports! Here are our Corales Puntacana Resort Initial Picks.

Sam Burns (10100) – He’s long and accurate and has been in good form (he’s coming off a 7th at the Safeway).  Burns has a great shot to win this tournament and if I was doing the pricing, he’d be at the very top.  He will be chalk for sure, but I’ll have him in my GPP’s and cash.

Emiliano Grillo (9800) – He’s played five tournaments since the restart and he’s made all five cuts.  He is great T2G and his success typically comes down to whether or not he can figure out the putter.

Denny McCarthy (9600) – Coming off a missed cut at the Safeway should keep his ownership down, but he was very solid before that.  Also has a nice track record here and is normally great on APP and good OTT. 

Luke List (8700) – List is long and is no stranger to going low.  The problem is his recent form hasn’t been great.  With that said, he sets up very nicely for this course and he’s another guy that just needs to find a hot putter for a couple rounds.

Kyle Stanley (8100) – Stanley hasn’t been making a ton off cuts lately (only made 2 of his last 5) but it’s interesting to note that his ball striking has been very good.  He is getting killed in the PUTT department and I’m willing to take a shot on him turning that around.  If Stanley’s putter is average he should be within the Top 20 on Sunday. 

Patrick Rodgers (8000) – maybe a bit of a misprice here and I’m going to go ahead and take advantage of that.  Five made cuts in a row for Rodgers.   His APP stats on the year aren’t great, but I’m going to take recent form into account and fire away on Rodgers.  Take note that this is a boom or bust play.

Will Gordon (7600) –   Gordon was a DFS darling a couple months back and is now relatively forgotten, which means it’s the right time to jump aboard. He makes birdies and he’s long off the tee which is a great recipe on this track.   Needs to get his APP game in order as it’s been off lately.

Chris Kirk (7400) – He’s gained OTT in each of his last four tournaments and has made four out of five cuts since the restart.  Kirk is a big time comeback story and he seems to have turned a page.  If he can get his APP game clicking he’s got a shot to be competing near the top on Sunday. 

Doug Ghim (7300) – Not an exciting name, but he’s made two of his last three cuts (including 14th at the Safeway) and he’s gained strokes in almost every metric during that stretch.  Ghim has been particularly good on APP and with the short game. 

JJ Spaun (7000) – Just to be clear, Spaun has been mostly bad over the last 12 months.  But his last two tournaments he’s been dialed in with his OTT and APP game and I’m taking a shot here.  This is a GPP play only and I certainly won’t have too many shares, but I’m taking a shot with Spaun.

Secret Weapon (sub 6k/sub 5%) – Get into our Expert Discord Chat for the latest installment.

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
PGAPremium

US Open Final Ownership

cdenny99@hotmail.com
written by cdenny99@hotmail.com

US Open Final Ownership

Welcome to the USGA’s haunted house party otherwise known as the U.S. Open at Winged Foot and we’re here to give you the US Open Final Ownership. There are extremely narrow fairways with fearsome rough that offer tiny pathways to the greens. The greens are elevated and undulating, (think small hills on the green) and the USGA has been known to place a pin in the center of a downside green hill, kind of like putt-putt on the 18th when you have to hit an elevated shot 4 feet up into the clowns mouth to get a free game, only the best you can expect this week is a prayed for par or a bogie.

Mickelson once famously called it “circus golf.” This is the hardest and toughest test of the year for our players, forget -20 when +20 will probably place in the money, the expected winning score is +3 to +5………..for the champion. With birdies and eagles few and far between, this week the scoring that counts will be on placement, which means get as many towards the top ten as possible, a stars and scrubs approach, with an eye on ownership, is the pathway to cashing.

If you play all the middle players and they wind up 40th to 65th, you probably won’t be celebrating that first place win, especially in the Draftkings $10.00 entry, its The Empire State Special, that pays out a hefty $250,000 to the winner. Being contrarian in the main GPP can pay off like a slot machine. They also have the 100 dollar entry Fantasy Golf Millionaire that pays out $1,025.000, and a golden ticket to the DraftKings golf finals. Let’s get to those projections to help you construct a lineup that pays !

There are two golfers tied at the top right now. Xander Schauffele and surprise, Patrick Reed are knotted at 22%. I believe Reeds price (8500 DK) and his majors record are responsible.  Right behind is Webb Simpson at 21.8%, followed by Terrell Hatton at 21%. Next is Jon Rahm at 19.7% Patrick “Sharps” Scott’s attempt at adopting Collin Morikawa has run into a snag, he’s still very popular at 17.2% ownership, next in line is Daniel Berger at 16.7%, D.J. Is at 16.1%, Justin Thomas is 15.6%, Tony Finau is 15.4% and Matthew Fitzpatrick, a Vegas favorite, is 15.2%. Harris English is sitting on 13.8%, Patrick Cantlay is 12.9%, Hideki Matsuyama is 12.2%, right behind him is Rory McILroy at 12.1%, Tommy Fleetwood has risen to 11.8%, and Matthew Wolff, one of my picks, is 11.6%. Adam Scott is in at 11.4%, a small drop to Paul Casey at 10.4%, Abraham Ancer  is 10.3%, Gary Woodland comes in right at 10% ownership.

Louis Oosthuizen is 9.9%, Brendan Todd is 9.7%, Bryson DeChambeau is 9.6%, Victor Hovland and Chez Reavie are 9.1%, Jason Day is 8.8%, Tiger is 8.7%, Rickie Fowler is 8.6% and Sungjae IM is 8.1%. Corey Conners is 7.6%, Justin Rose is 7.2%, Kevin Streelman is 6.5%, Brian Harmon is 6.3%, Jason Kokrak is 6.2%, Martin Kaymer is 6%.  Thomas Pieters, Jordan Spieth, Henrik Stenson, and Kevin Kisner are 5.7%. Shane Lowry & Matt Kuchar are 5.4%, Will Zalatoris is 5.3%, Joaquin Niemann and Billy Horschel are at 5% ownership.

Golfers under 5% ownership:

Sebastian Munoz and Si Woo Kim are at 4.9%, Kevin Na, Ian Poulter and Cameron Champ are at 4.3% ownership, Phil Mickelson is 4.2%, Sergio Garcia is 4.1%, Bubba Watson and B.An come in at 4%. Mackenzie Hughes is 3.9%, Ryan Palmer is 3.8%, Eric Van Rooyen is 3.7%, Lanto Griffin and Joel Dahmen are at 3.6%, Keegan Bradley and Alex Noren are 3.4%, Zach Johnson is 2.9%, Adam Hadwin is 2.7%, Matthias Schwab is 2.4%, Matt Wallace and Lee Westwood are 2.3%, Christian Bezuidenhout is 2.1%

Golfers under 2% ownership:
Rasmus Hojaard and Thomas Detry are 1.9%, Tyler Duncan is 1.8%, Romain Langasque is 1.6%, Adam Long and Brandon Wu are 1.5%, Lucas Glover,J.T. Poston, Mark Leishman and Cameron Smith are 1.3%, Andy Sullivan and Chesson Hadley are 1.2%, Victor Perez is at 1% ownership.

All other golfers, even Snedeker, are currently at less than 1% ownership.

Picks:
The only two at the top I’m considering are Rahm and Xander, you can pair them, just remember the more you pluck from the very top, the more likely you are to get plucked in the bottom.

The  upper/mid range golfers I like are Hideki, Hatton, and Hovland.

The mid range golfers I like are English and Wolff.

The lower range golfers I’ll have are Corey Conners, Munoz and B.An.

My out in left field play this week is Will Zalatoris, he is hovering at 5% ownership, he’s 6700, and he is shredding the KF field almost every week.
My honorable mention is Thomas Pieters, he’s a big Dutchman that has excelled in Europe, and on some very tough courses, he’s 6800 and allows you to get one more cherry from up top.

Thank you for reading this article on US Open Final Ownership! Please remember to check in the Discord channel tonight for Sia’s Secret Weapon, this is the pick that every week has made it rain for months now. You do not want to miss his pick, it’s tonight, it’s on Discord, where I’ll be, and the other Win Daily Sports writers, as soon as our articles go up. We’ll be answering questions and offering suggestions on how to get you on that DraftKings leader board.

As always,  I hope to be seeing you, in the money !

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
PGA

U.S. Open Initial Picks

Sia
written by Sia

U.S. Open Initial Picks

Don’t look now, but the U.S. Open Championship is already here. This is going to be a very tough course and the rough will not be pleasant. My focus for the U.S. Open Initial Picks will be on approach, accuracy off the tee and short game (ARG and PUTT). We are not going to have super low scores in this one so keep finishing position in that back of your mind as that will be more important than most tournaments. We will be on LIVE at 8:30 tonight (Tuesday) to breakdown the entire slate @windailysports on Twitter, Twitch and YouTube. We’ll also have more articles on WinDailySports.com!

Jon Rahm (11000) – It’s pretty clear that Rahm checks all the boxes and he’s my favorite in this elite range.  OTT game is outstanding and it’s rare when his irons fail him (it does happen, but it’s rare).  My favorite part about Rahm on such a difficult course is he appears to have his temperament under control.

Webb Simpson (9700) – If you’re looking for a great APP game and a great short game, you’ve found it in Webb.  He’s not long off the tee but I’m looking for accuracy more than I am looking for length this week.  Don’t get me wrong, length will be important as well this week, but I need my guys in the fairway as the rough is going to be big trouble.

Daniel Berger (9200) – Mr. Under the Radar.  All he does is show up and find himself in the mix on Sundays.  There isn’t really a weak spot with Berger and his short game should pay dividends this week.  Berger also picks up strokes on the field on this putting surface.

Jason Day (8800) – Hasn’t been good his last couple of tournaments and that should keep ownership down.  He finished 4th at the PGA which was also a very difficult course and I have no issue taking a chance on the pedigree.

Adam Scott (8700) – He hasn’t been super impressive since his return at the PGA, but if you consider he waited the longest of all the top golfers to resume play, his numbers don’t look bad.  This week I’m including a lot of golfers that have the pedigree and that can handle the ups and downs of a very tough course.

Paul Casey (7900) – Your classic boom or bust play, but the boom has been evident this year and I’m happy to have some shares.  Casey can be very shaky with the short game, but his OTT and APP metrics grade out very well.

Matthew Wolff (7700) – Finished 4th at the PGA and 16th at BMW and is certainly your best bargain of the Morikawa, Hovland and Wolff trio.  He’s going to really need to be dialed in with the irons as the ARG game isn’t good.  I won’t be heavy on Wolff but the upside is there so certainly a few shares.

Louis Oosthuizen (7600) – The strokes gained metrics don’t look great but his finishing positions at tough courses look fantastic.  Not a guy I’m usually on, but when majors come around he’s worth a look.

Sungjae Im (7500) – Speaking of boom or bust.  Sungjae is one of those golfers you don’t want a lot of shares of, but you do want some.  He gains strokes in all metrics, but he’ll need to avoid the blow up spot.

Brendon Todd (7400) – Always seems to be dialed in with his irons which hopefully makes up for him being short off the tee.  He finds himself in contention too often to be ignored at this price.

Kevin Streelman (6700) – Gained strokes everywhere at the Safeway Open last week.  Streelman has his issues OTT at times and can go ice cold with the putter but you are definitely getting good value with Streelman in this bottom end range.  This also happens to be his best putting surface.

Chez Reavie (6900) – Very accurate OTT and has been excellent on APP (picked up 7 strokes on the field last week and 3 at the Northern Trust).  Coming in good form and checking the necessary boxes puts Reavie as a very good bargain.

Secret Weapon (sub 7k/<5% ownership) – Tune into Discord.

See everyone in Discord and don’t forget to watch the Livestream and subscribe to the Win Daily Podcast.

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
PGAPremium

Safeway Open Final Ownership

Steven Polardi
written by Steven Polardi

Safeway Open Final Ownership

This week marks the return to a full field tournament in The PGA Safeway Open, it’s the start of the 2021 season that will have 2 extra majors, the Olympics and hopefully the Ryder cup at Whistling Straights.

For the 2020 season there were mixed results, it was shortened, majors were cancelled outright or postponed, and it was odd that there were no galleries. Rory and Tiger commented that the roar and excitement of the crowds motivated them, at the same time we had some brash newcomers jump to the leader board, probably because of being less nervous that there weren’t 80,000 people watching their every move. I made a profit for 2020, not what I’m used to, but considering the shortened season and the fact that we had a sport to watch, I look forward to bigger events and better prize money for 2021. The best way to do that is to read the articles in Win Daily Sports and ask questions in Discord. I’ve written for a lot of companies, this has to be one of the finest group of writers anywhere, anytime, a team dedicated to getting you in the pay section of your tourney. Antonio doesn’t write every week but when he does please read it, it contains solid dope for your teams. Sia has knocked it out every single week with his secret weapon play,  I’m a writer and I go to Discord every Wednesday night to get the play like you do, because it pays. Isaiah and Louis also contribute incredible intel. There’s also  Patrick “Sharps” Scott, who just recently took down 2 grand and first place in a FREEROLL, who does that? By the way Patrick, the Sheriff’s department in Collin Morikawa’s home town said please stop calling them, they have checked, he’s okay, and it’s not unusual that he’s bypassing the Safeway Open, in a related note they do have an opening for a new dispatch operator. Let’s get to the Safeway Open Final Ownership projections where high prices are the norm for normal golfers.

Brendan Steele is the top owned golfers this week at 22%. Harold Varner lll is second at 21.7%, Joel Dahmen is third at 21.4%, Jordan Spieth is a surprising fourth at 21.2%. Next up is Cameron Davis at 19.8%, Sia and I both like him this week. Si Woo Kim is next at 18.7%, Phil Mickelson follows at 18.5%. Doc Redman and Mark Hubbard are both at 18.2%.Sergio Garcia is 16.7%, Cameron Tringale is 16.2%. Shane Lowry is 14.5%, Chez Reavie is 14.2%, Eric Van Rooyen is 13.5%, Kevin Streelman is 12.6%, Emiliano Grillo is 12.4%, Luke List is 12.3%, Maverick McNealy is 11.9%, Denny McCarthy is 11.8%, Patrick Rodgers is 11%, Adam Schenk is 10.2%, Charley Hoffman is 9.7%, Bud Cauley is 9.3%, Brandt Snedeker and Talor Gooch are 9.1%, Sam Burns is 8.7%, Henrik Norlander is 8%, Will Gordon is 7.1% owned, Lucas Glover is 7%, Tyler Duncan is 6.9%, Branden Grace is 6.5%, Troy Merritt is 6.3%, Harry Higgs, Jhonattan Vegas, and Jim Furyk  are all at 6.2%. Kyle Stanley is 5.9%, Keegan Bradley is 5.7%, Robby Shelton is 5.6%, JB Holmes is 5.2%,
The following golfers come in at 5% or less ownership:
Kristoffer Ventura is 4.9%,Chesson Hadley is 4.8%, Tom Hoge is 4.7%, Seamus Power is 4.6%, Scott Piercy is 4.4%, Scott Stallings and Joseph Bramlett are at 4.3%, Chris Baker is 3.8%, Pat Perez is 3.2%, XZang is 2.8%, Wyndham Clark is 2.6%, Martin Laird is 2.5%, Matthew NeSmith is 2.4%, Zac Blair is 2.3%Charl Schwartzel is  2.3%, Brice Garnett and Sepp Straka are at 2.2%. Jason Dufner is 2.0%
The following golfers come in at 2% or less ownership
Ryan Armour and Rafa Cabrera Bello are 1.9%,Brandon Hagy is 1.8%, Patton Kizzire is 1.7%, Kevin Chappell is 1.4%, Brian Stuard and James Hahn are 1.2%, Peter Uihlein is 1.1%.
Any golfer not listed is under 1% ownership at the time this report was written.

Picks for the Safeway Open

Golfers, the difference between the high 10K golfers and the high 7 K golfers is only 10%. The top tier has a 35% chance to finish top 20, while those 7500 and above have a 25% chance. The only players I like up top are Sergio Garcia and Jordan Spieth, Spieth is one of two golfers who have gained strokes in their last tournaments before the restart.
For the best value I like Harold Varner lll and Lucas Glover.
In the low end I’m fond of J Vegas.

My out in left field play this week is Chris Baker, Isaiah mentioned him Monday night, and the more I looked into him, the more I liked what I saw. My honorable mention this week is Adam Schenk.

Please read all the articles from the Win Daily Sports staff, and we will be in the Discord channel after the reports are out, and remember Sia’s SW pick will be revealed in Discord later tonight.

As always I hope to be with you, in the money.

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Newer Posts
Older Posts

Subscribe to our newsletter

The best bets and resources to make you more profitable

    Built with ConvertKit

    Our Company

    At WIN DAILY®, our motto is to “change your game and change your life.” We want to help you win that bet, parlay, and big DFS tournament and have some fun while you do. Our goal is to help you turn your love of sports into a profit center while playing responsibly and enjoying your time with a like-minded community.

    LISTEN TO WIN DAILY®RADIO
    Saturdays: 6-8PM EST

    WIN DAILY® RADIO
    Friday’s 8-10pm Est
    Sunday’s 7-9pm EST

    GET STARTED TODAY

    ©2024 WIN DAILY®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

    This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800 GAMBLER. This service is intended for adult users only.
    Close
    -
    00:00
    00:00

    Queue

    Update Required Flash plugin
    -
    00:00
    00:00