GOLF

Bermuda Championship DFS Projections

This week the tour heads to Bermuda, an island closest to North Carolina for their weekly PGA tournament. Reports are that it may get a bit windy, especially Saturday and Sunday. Those golfers with good stinger shots should say thank you to it’s inventor, Mr. Tiger Woods. We’ll get to my Bermuda Championship DFS Projections, but first…

Last week my top pick was Jon Rahm and I mentioned in my report I would be overweight on him. I also had Kevin Kisner, Ryan Palmer, Sebastian Munoz and  Patrick Reed, my out in left field play was Takumi Kanaya, who for 6,300 in salary scored 83.5 DK points for extremely good value. I was lamenting the fact that if Kisner had moved up a couple of spots to top 5, and if Rahm had won, instead of coming in 2nd, I would have increased my earnings into the thousands. Then I watched as the DraftKings NFL Millionaire Maker was being won by a guy that had 6 seconds left to win a million, and a missed kick sent it into overtime, and he ended up losing 900,000 dollars for a missed kick, suddenly I felt much better, even though I shouldn’t have. A missed kick, a missed 2 foot gimme putt, they all can have “life changing money” consequences, it’s why I love DFS golf. Let’s get to the final projections for The Bermuda Championship so we all can go after that life changing money!

Final Projections for The Bermuda Championship

The most owned golfer by a whopping amount is actually a Korn Ferry pro trying to gain his tour card, Will Zalatoris is 31%+ and is projected to be at around 34% by lock. He is very good with great metrics, even so, that means a total fade for me at that ownership, if he doesn’t win, I just gained leverage on 1/3 of the field by not rostering him. Doc Redman is 22.3%, he’s second and almost 10% less owned than Will. Peter Malnati, an industry darling, is 21%. Justin Suh is 19%, Adam Schenk is 18%, Denny “putts” McCarthy is 17.7%, Kristoffer Ventura is 17%, Harold Varner lll at 16.9% ownership, Stewart Cink is 15.6%, Wesley Bryan is 15.2%, Sepp Straka is 13.7%, Emiliano Grillo is 13.6%, Henrik Norlander is 13%, Cameron Tringale, who I like is 12.7%, Aaron Wise is 12.6%, Pat Perez is 11.4%, Henrik Stenson is 11.2%, Charley Hoffman is 10.9%.

Golfers under 10% ownership:

Max Homa and Tyler McCumber are 9.8%, Scott Piercy is 9.4%, Luke List is 9.2%, Russell Knox is 9.1%, Beau Hossler is 8.7%, Scott Stallings and Doug Ghim, a Sia favorite, are 8.4%, Jason Dufner is 8%, Anirban Lahiri is 7.9%, Kyle Stanley is 7.7%, Maverick McNealy is 7%, Chesson Hadley and Will Gordon are 6.9%, Rasmus Hojgaard, a phenom from Europe, is 6.8%, Tom Lewis is 6.5%, Patrick Rodgers is 6.3%, Wyndham Clark is 6%, Jhonattan Vegas is 5.9%, Rob Oppenheim is 5.4%, Hank Lebioda and Matt Jones are 5.2%, Chase Seiffert is 5.1%, and a dark horse.

Golfers under 5% ownership:

Hudson Swafford is 4.9%, Michael Gligic is 4.4%, Troy Merritt is 4.3%, all the touts who said wait till Troy plays on Bermuda grass….he’s playing IN Bermuda this week, Brice Garnett is 4.2%, Brian Stuard is 3.7%, Kramer Hickok, David Hearn and Branden Grace are 3.5%, Andrew Putnam and  Ollie Schniederjans are 3.3%, Vaughn Taylor, Chris Baker, and Ben Martin are 3% owned, Joseph Bramlett, Bo Hoag and Danny Willett are 2.9%, Rafa Cabrera Bello is 2.8%, Ryan Armour and Vincent Whaley are 2.6%, Josh Teater is 2.5%, Padraig Harrington is 2.4%, Brandon Hagy is 2.2%, Aaron Baddeley and Nick Watney are 2.1%. Kelly Kraft is 2%

Golfers under 2% ownership:

Kiradech Aphibarnrat and Bronson Burgoon are 1.9%, Camilo Villegas, Wes Roach, Seamus Power and Roger Sloan are 1.8% owned, Fabian Gómez is 1.6%, Brian Gay, Sang  Moon Bae and Mark Anderson are 1.3% owned, K.H.Lee and Scott Harrington are 1.1% owned.

All other golfers are under 1% owned at the time of this report including Bill Haas who is owned by less than 1/10th of 1%,  if your looking for that grand slam! (I probably won’t risk it)

Picks for The Bermuda Championship:

I really liked Will Zalatoris until his ownership % went tilt. At his salary and ownership, he MUST win to get you value, if Grillo could putt straight I’d pick him because he plays well in high gusting winds, so my first high priced pick is Doc Redman for his stats relative to his recent play and also that his irons are the best part of his game. I’ll follow up with Charlie Hoffman who can play lights out in a breeze.

I also like Peter Malnati although I’m not thrilled with his ownership, he gained 4.7 and 6.2 strokes on approach the last 2 times he played on Bermuda, he’s definitely playing on it this week.

For value I’ll go with Scott Stallings, he has the best stinger shot of anyone playing this week and he can gain strokes with just that one shot.

On the low end I’m playing Hadley, Garnett and McCumber in rotation on my teams, I won’t be using them as a core.

My out in left play this week is Camilo Villegas, 6400 salary, no one is on him, 1.8% ownership, he gained 7.3 strokes at the Sanderson Farms tourney and Bermuda is his best putting surface, this is a risky play that I feel will make the cut, and at that price and ownership anything after that is pure gravy.

I’ll be in the Discord Channel after this report is published to answer any questions on ownership, roster building, and player on player analysis.
Please review the writers reports on Win Daily Sports to gain additional perspective, and join in the live stream on Tuesdays at 8:00 EST for Michael, Sia and Joel’s intel on the upcoming tournament, guys this info is solid gold and speaking of gold, rather platinum, don’t forget Sia’s world renown SECRET WEAPON (cue star wars theme music) that will be unleashed on The Discord Channel later tonight! Do not miss it !

Thanks so much for reviewing this Bermuda Championship DFS Projections report, we appreciate it, and as always, I hope to be with you, in the money.

ZOZO Championship Ownership Projections

Greetings Jason Kokrak fans! This weeks PGA tour takes us to California and Sherwood Country Club for the ZoZo Championship, scheduled farther out in the Pacific (Japan) but dialed back into the US due to pandemic issues. This is a no cut event, and Dustin Johnson is out from Covid, and Adam Scott just withdrew, Tony Finau is back, as well as some guy named a Tiger who used to play a while back. Let’s breakdown the ZOZO Championship Ownership Projections.

Last week I had Jason Kokrak in 9 of my lineups, (thanks Isaiah), my model liked Bubba Watson and Russel Henley, and I was on Palmer as well. On Thursday morning before lock I read a blip that said Kokrak has never won in 233 starts, and in over ten years never sniffed a trophy, so I promptly pulled him out of 7 lineups. I ended up +600, and considered last week a loss due to the fact that if I stayed with Kokrak I would have made 14 times that. Sometimes we tinker with lineups and get the above results, sometimes we tinker and get hot and get paid well, then we are all suddenly a genius and know everything about DFS, for at least another week anyway.

This course is only 7000 yards with 5 par 5s and 5 par 3s with major scoring potential, ownership will be important with a small no cut field to differentiate between winning 1st place or sharing 1st place with 3000 strangers, let’s take a look at the ZOZO Championship Ownership Projections.

The golfer with the highest ownership by a longshot is Webb Simpson sitting at 22.6% +, Justin Thomas is next at 20.7% closely followed by Jon Rahm at 19.9%, Rory has jumped to 18.3%, (a lot of Adam Scott ownership moved his way.)  Xander is next at 17.7%, then it drops to Matt Wolff at 15.9%, NOTE: Matthew Wolff went to high school 7 miles from this course, he knows it well. Tyrrell Hatton is 15.6%, Joaquin Niemann  is 15.1%, Collin Morikawa is 14.5%, and is reportedly seeking medical treatment for hallucinations, he is allegedly seeing Patrick “Sharps” Scott behind every palm tree, on a totally unrelated note Patrick has palm fronds available for sale for all your holiday decoration needs. Harris English is 14.2%, Sebastian Munoz is 14.1%, pretty high for his salary range, Daniel Berger is 13.4%, Patrick Reed is 13.2%, Russell Henley and Victor Hovland, a favorite of Sia’s, is at 12.9%, Lanto Griffin is 12.6%, Cameron Smith is 12.5%, Sungjae Im is 12.4%, Hideki Matsuyama is 12.1%, Matthew Fitzpatrick and Abraham Ancer are 11.3%, Brian Harmon is 11.2%, some old geezer named Tiger and Scottie Scheffler are both at 11.1%, Ryan Palmer and Brendan Todd are at 10.8%, Paul Casey is 10.5%, Patrick Cantlay is 10.4%.

Golfers under 10% Ownership:

Bubba Watson is 9.8%,( last week I had him as a pick in my report, he finished 7th. Sia and I both like him again this week, he has a sweet fade shot which this course supports) Billy Horschel is 9.7% and I like him this week, Justin Rose and Kevin Kisner are at 9%, Talor Gooch, a favorite of Michaels, is 8.4%, Adam Hadwin is 8.2%, Kevin Na and Rickie Fowler are at 8.1%, Rickie has dropped a lot in salary and ownership, his play has dictated this downward trend, and Michaels grandmother is still disappointed. Matt Kuchar is 7.4%, Kevin Na, Jordan Spieth, Tony Finau, Mackenzie Hughes and Gary Woodland are all at 7%. Jason Kokrak and Tommy Fleetwood are at 6.8%, Kevin Streelman is 6.7%, Joel Dahmen is 6.6%, Corey Conners is 6%.

Golfers under 5% Ownership:

Jason Day and Cameron Champ are 4.6%, Harry Higgs is 4.3%, Alex Noren is 4%, Mark Hubbard is 3.7%, Danny Lee and Dylan Frittelli are 3.4%, Brendan Steele, B An, and Phil Mickelson are 3.3%, Adam Long is 3.2%, Tyler Duncan is 3%. Tom Hoge is 2.9%, Marc Leishman is 2.3%, Carlos Ortiz is 2.2% and Richy Werenski is 2.2% (another good sleeper).

Golfers under 2% Ownership:

Nick Taylor is 1.8%, Andrew Landry is 1.4%, Jazz Janewattananond is 1.1%, Takumi Kanaya is 1%. A golfer of note is Michael Thompson at .0039%.
All other golfers including Thompson are under 1% at the time of this report.

Picks for the ZoZo Championship

Jon Rahm is my golfer of choice for the top end, he has a 37% chance to be in the top optimal lineup, I’ll be overweight on him.

In the mid range I’m going with Patrick Reed and Collin Morikawa, their recent metrics have been ultra solid and Reeds eye should fit this course.

In the lower end I like Richy Werenski and Kevin Kisner. They are low owned and can allow salary relief and have 15% or better to hit top 20 results.

My out in left field play this week is Takumi Kanaya, the former #1 amateur who placed 7th in his first start as a pro. He’s low owned and he has the game to get birdies which means points.

Please review the articles by Sia, Antonio, Isaiah, Patrick and myself for more in depth analysis, and don’t miss the live cast on Tuesday evenings featuring Michael, Sia and Joel. I will be in the Discord Channel to answer any questions and to assist with roster construction or player intel.

Thanks for taking the time to review this article, we appreciate it, and as always, I hope to be with you, in the money.

Sanderson Farms Championship Ownership

Greetings Golf and DFS fans. This week we travel to Mississippi for The Sanderson Farms championship, where the Jackson Country Club the tourney is being played at was a key player in liquor flowing once  again after prohibition. In 1966 liquor was still prohibited in Mississippi, the local sheriff busted the tuxedo and tails gala at the club, the only problem was the governor had stopped by for a cocktail, and watched his champagne being confiscated by deputies. The following Monday booze was again available statewide. Go figure. Golf and booze seem to go together, especially if you play as well/bad as I do. On to the Sanderson Farms Championship Ownership projections!

In the last six years there have been six new champions, there’s no reason to not make it seven with a watered down group of golfers. These are perfect opportunities to fatten your bankroll for more interesting places, such as Augusta GA in November, with that in mind, let’s get to the ownership projections to help you go green on your screen.

The ownership leader by far is Scottie Scheffler  at 28.6%, he is followed by Sam Burns at 24%, and close behind is Sungjae IM at 23.3%. Cameron Davis is next at 21.9%, Will Zalatoris is next at 18.9%. **NOTE** Will Zalatoris told his caddy he was “exhausted” during their practice round, he also told him he was considering withdrawing because if he did as well as expected, he may be paired up with Scheffler, who just came out of Covid protocol. As of now he is a go, I believe he may have other things on his mind besides the  golf tournament right now. Doc Redman follows Will at 18.5%. There’s a steep drop down to Patrick Rodgers and Sergio Garcia at 14.2%, Luke List is 13.4%, Denny McCarthy is 13%,(Vegas likes Denny ) Brian Harmon is 12.7%, Sebastian Munoz is 11.6%, Adam Long is 11%, Si Woo Kim, Adam Schenk and Taylor Gooch are 10.8%, Corey Conners is 10.6%, B. An is 10.3%, Carlos Ortiz is 10.2% ( I’m a fan of the Big O this week ) Dylan Frittelli and Charley Hoffman are 10% owned.

X Zang is 9.7% owned, Emiliano Grillo is 9.4%, Kristoffer Ventura is 9.3%, Cameron Tringale is 9.2%, Lucas Glover is 8.8%, Henrik Stenson is 8.5%, Zach Johnson is 8.4%, Chez Reavie is 8.2%, Hudson Swafford is 8%, Tom Lewis is 7.7%, Chesson Hadley is 7.5%, Cameron Percy is 7.1%, Sepp Straka is 7%, Pat Perez is 6%, Jhonattan Vegas is 5.9%, Mark Hubbard is 5.7%, J.T. Poston is 5.3%, Richy Werenski comes in at 5.1%.

Golfers under 5% ownership:

Kyle Stanley is 4.9%, Brian Stuard is 4.7%, Rory Sabbatini and Russel Knox are 4.5%, Stewart Cink and Davis Riley are 4.2%, Brandt Snedeker is 3.9%, Matthew NeSmith is 3.8%, Henrik Norlander and Tom Hoge are 3.7%, Charl Schwartzel is 3.6%, Maverick McNealy and Will Gordon are 3.5%, Keith Mitchell, Tyler McCumber and Bronson Burgoon are 3.2%, Rafa Cabrera Bello is 3%, Wesley Bryan is 2.9% and a favorite sneaky play, Martin Laird is 2.8%, Aaron Wise is 2.5%, Robby Shelton and Nate Lashley are 2.4%, Branden Grace and Scott Stallings are 2.3%, Anirban Lahiri and Chris Kirk are 2.2%, Jason Dufner is 2% owned.

Golfers under 2% ownership:

Wyndham Clark is 1.9%, Matt Jones is 1.8%, Sebastian Cappelen is 1.7%, Peter Malnati is 1.6%, Scott Harrington is 1.4%, JJ Spaun, Sahith Theegala, Kevin Chappell, Branden Hagy, Scott Pierce and Nick Watney are 1.3%, Grayson Murray is 1.1% owned. At the time of this report all other golfers are under 1% owned.

Picks for Sanderson Farms:

Upper Tier:
Scottie Scheffler (11,400)  hands down is the elite golfer in this class, he is healthy, and he’s playing, I will be overweight on him.

Mid Range:
Si Woo Kim (8400) and Carlos Ortiz (8300) have a good shot at T 20 and actually better, at these prices they are good fits.

Low Range:
Robert Streb (6600 ) is a streaky golfer who is making cuts and playing well, and he is totally off the radar, you have to look under the projections page to try and find his ownership %.

Out in Left Field Play:
This week it’s Wesley Bryan (6300) who shows up, makes the cut, and brings value, one day he’ll win one. I’m overweight on him as well.

Thank you for checking out our Sanderson Farms Championship Ownership projection. I will be in the Discord Channel to answer any questions on projections, roster construction, salary left over, anything to help you cash your teams. Don’t forget to read the other articles in Win Daily Sports by the writers who have great intel to get you to the money. Sia’s Secret Weapon will be unleashed on Discord later tonight, that beast has been making it rain for months. Delight in the pick that will make you crazy money or just crazy, it’s that good, month after month it keeps hitting value +++. Don’t miss Sia’s Secret Weapon play in Discord tonight.

Guys last week I played only 82 in tourney fees and cleared 270 after costs. It’s way below my norm and that’s O.K.  These tourneys are meant to build your bankroll for the Masters and other majors and mid majors, they are also fun to sweat just like the majors and you could walk away with many many zeroes behind your  first number. As always, I hope to be with you, in the money.