Ghost

CS:GO Slate Summary: CS Summit (12pm EST)

• 4 series on DK
• Best of 3

CS:GO SlateOverview

CS:GO Game#1: x6tence (+200) vs Ence (-275)

The firstgame on the CS:GO slate sees a huge favorite, Ence, taking on x6tence. WhileEnce will be without their AWPer Jamppi, they still make for a prime target onthis slate; x6tence has had a limited amount of action and are in terribleform, losing their past 5 series, but have since acquired the Copenhagen Flamesroster just three days ago and are now completely revamped; they’ve only playeda single series together, where they lost 2-0 to NIP.

The first two bans are fairly predictable, barring any significant change from either squad; Ence bans Vertigo first at a 94% rate while x6tence bans Mirage first at a 100% rate. Where things get a little tricky is which map each team will select first; Ence typically turns to Train with their first pick, but I can see them going with Dust2 where they have their opponent severely outmatched. The same can be said for x6tence, who typically go with Nuke on their first pick, but can choose to select Inferno or Overpass instead where they are fairly comfortable as well. No matter which maps get picked, my love for Ence remains constant; they have proven to be fairly inconsistent against the top tier of teams, but usually take care of business when playing inferior opponents; they have them outmatched on every map here and should win 2-0 with ease.

Top Plays: allu($9,000), sergej ($7,200)

CS:GO Game #2: FaZe (-350) vs Team Heretics (+250)

The second game on the CS:GO slate sees the biggest favorite, FaZe, taking on Team Heretics. While I was on the HER and the Maka train yesterday, they severely disappointed. Despite an impressive +8 performance on 52-44 by Nivera, Maka (-24 on 24-48) and Lucky (-22 on 28-50) were nowhere to be found and combined for 24 DraftKings points. Heretics will need all the help they can get in this series against a FaZe squad who are one of the best in the world and will want to bounce back after getting swept by BIG yesterday.

FaZe bans Vertigo first at a 75% rate while HER bans Train first 80% of the time, so we can cross those maps off. FaZe will likely turn to Mirage with their selection where HER will pick either Inferno or Nuke, leaving Dust2 or Overpass as the likeliest map to be leftover. With how bad HER played yesterday, I just don’t see them overcoming the powerhouse that is FaZe. NiKo is the usual top target here and look for broky to have a great performance too, specifically on Mirage where he averages a 1.16 K/D and 0.71 kills per round in the past month. If you want to take shots on rain ($6,200) and/or coldzera ($7,600) in GPPs I don’t blame you; I’ll have my shares in MME since either of them can pop at any time, but their play over the past month has been uninspiring, to say the least.

Top Plays: NiKo ($8,800), broky ($7,600)

CS:GO Game#3: MiBR (+125) vs FURIA (-175)

The third CS:GO matchup of the slate sees MiBR taking on FURIA for the third time in the past month. FURIA bans Dust2 with their first ban 100% of the time while MiBR bans Nuke first 87% of the time. FURIA will likely select one of Vertigo or Mirage with their first selection, while MiBR will likely counter with Inferno, leaving Overpass as the map leftover. While MiBR had FURIA’s number at the BLAST Premier and beating them twice, with how they’ve been playing lately, I have my doubts and will bank on the fact that HEN1 will make those shots he missed yesterday versus EG. FURIA gets their revenge here and takes this one 2-1.

Top Plays(FURIA): yuurih ($7,200), HEN1 ($7,400), KSCERATO ($7,400)

Top Plays(MiBR): kNgV- ($7,000)

CS:GO Game#4: Chaos (+200) vs GenG (-275)

The lastgame of the CS:GO slate is interesting from both an analysis and ownership perspective.While GenG comes in as a heavy favorite, I think this series will be closerthan the odds indicate, and consequently it will have less ownership withpeople prioritizing FaZe and Ence. GenG bans Overpass first at a 68% rate whileChaos bans Vertigo first at a 48% rate, so we’re unlikely to see any of the twomaps here. I expect Chaos to turn to Nuke with their first selection where theyboast a 71% win rate in 7 maps played compared to GenG’s 33% win rate on 6 mapsplayed. GenG will then likely counter with Mirage instead of their typicalselection, Train, since Chaos struggles on the former more than the latter,leaving one of Dust2, Inferno or Train as the map leftover. While GenG has lost4 series in a row, they’ve faced some elite competition and find themselves ina great bounce back spot here today. On the flipside, Chaos has won 6 of theirlast 7 and could put up a fight. I think this one goes 3 and could go either way.

Top Plays (GenG):autimatic ($7,200), koosta ($6,800), BnTeT ($6,400), s0m ($5,800)

Top Plays(Chaos): Xeppaa ($8,400), leaf ($5,400)

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

CS:GO Slate Summary: CS Summit (11:55am EST)

• 4 series on DK
• Best of 3

CS:GO SlateOverview

CS:GO Game#1: FaZe (+110) vs BIG (-150)

The first game of the CS:GO slate has plenty of intrigue and will draw ownership on both sides; you need exposure here in all of your GPP lineups. BIG takes on FaZe for the third time in the past month, having swept them 2-0 in their previous two matchups at DreamHack. BIG has been playing lights out ever since then, where they eventually beat G2 in the finals of DreamHack and have since won 10 of their past 11 series.

BIG bansTrain 91% of the time while FaZe bans Vertigo at a 74% rate, so we’re unlikelyto see any of those maps selected here. Although BIG has a 25% first-pick rateon Dust2, I imagine they would turn to Nuke where they have FaZe severelyoutmatched; FaZe will then probably counter with either Mirage or Inferno,where BIG does just fine: BIG posts a 71% win rate on Mirage in 17 maps playedwhile also carrying a 5-map winning streak, whereas FaZe has a 71% win rate in14 maps played; BIG has an 80% win rate on Dust2 in 20 maps played including ridinga 4-map winning streak whereas FaZe has a 71% win rate on 17 maps played.Carried by the elite talent that is syrsoN, who has a 1.32 K/D and 0.79 killsper round in the past month, BIG is my pick today.

Top Plays: syrsoN($8,600), tabseN ($7,600), XANTERES ($6,800)

CS:GO Game #2: Team Heretics (-120 PK) vs OG (-120 PK)

The second game of the CS:GO slate sees Maka and Team Heretics taking on OG. Luckily for us, Heretics got their rust off with a 2-1 loss to a lousy sAw team a few days ago after having only played 1 other series since June 4th, and they are in a prime spot to bounce back in a big way here. Heretics bans Train 79% of the time with their first ban while OG bans Vertigo 91% of the time, so we can cross those two maps off. Since their best map, Vertigo, was banned from them, I expect HER to turn to Nuke or Dust2 with their first selection while OG will likely counter with Mirage, where Heretics actually posts a better winning percentage. Having an amazing individual talent in Maka and his 1.30 K/D and 0.74 kills per round gives HER a huge boost, but Lucky (1.07 K/D and 0.66 kills per round) and Nivera (1.47 K/D and 0.82 kills per round) aren’t too shabby of a supporting cast (I’m kidding obviously); Heretics takes care of business here. If playing OG, a win will be on the backs of mantuu ($8,200) and valde ($8,000) but I just can’t see it happening, let alone the fact that they are priced way too high for my liking.

Top Plays: Maka ($10,200), Nivera ($7,400), Lucky ($7,000)

CS:GO Game#3: Evil Geniuses (+110) vs FURIA (-138)

The third game of the CS:GO slate is by far the toughest to predict. EG is coming off an impressive win at BLAST Premier, and what can be said about CeRq? The guy has been lights out in the past few weeks and if it weren’t for him, this pick would be a slam dunk, but let’s get down to it to make sure we make the right one. FURIA bans Dust2 100% of the time with their first ban, and while EG typically bans Overpass first (43%), they need to keep FURIA off Mirage since they themselves aren’t too comfortable on Overpass, and that’s exactly what I think they’ll do. FURIA will then turn to Vertigo and attempt to take advantage of EG not banning it, while EG will select Inferno, leaving Nuke or Train leftover. As much as I think the FURIA duo of HEN1 ($7,800) and yuurih ($7,400) are underpriced, and think they can lead their squad to victory, I’m just not sure we can fade CeRq ($7,200) any time soon; he has a 1.15 K/D and 0.74 kills per round over the past month, including going +21 on 95-74 in his last 4 maps played. I’ll take EG 2-1 here but will have shares of both sides since FURIA can easily outscore EG if they keep it close enough and avoid a sweep, despite a losing effort. I’m also not opposed to having one piece of each side, which I rarely do, but just make sure it’s CeRq and one of HEN1/yuurih.

Top Plays(EG): CeRq ($7,200), Brehze ($7,000)

Top Plays(FUR): HEN1 ($7,800), yuurih ($7,400)

CS:GO Game#4: GenG (+100) vs Cloud9 (-138)

The last game of the CS:GO slate sees two of the most inconsistent, unpredictable squads facing off against each other – yay! C9 comes in at #20 while GenG comes in at #19, albeit the latter has been reeling in June, losing 5 of their past 6 series. C9 is in much better form, and they have beat GenG once this month, but every series is a new one, so let’s take a deep dive into some statistics. C9 bans Mirage first at an 84% rate while GenG bans Overpass, C9’s best map, at a 68% rate, so we’re unlikely to see those maps available to be selected. Since their best map is banned, I imagine C9 would turn to Nuke or Dust2 with their pick, while GenG likely selects Train, which they do 30% of the time with their first pick. The issue for them is that C9 has a 64% winning percentage, including a 4-map winning streak, in 14 maps played on Train, whereas GenG has a 42% win rate on 12 maps played. Unless C9 pulls their infamous “let’s get a lead and choke!!”, I can’t see them losing this one, and as much as I liked to pick on his inconsistency in May, oSee ($8,800) has been lights out in June, going +98 (!!!) on 353-255 in 14 maps played.   

Top Plays: oSee($8,800), floppy ($8,400)

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

CS:GO Slate Summary: CS Summit (12pm EST)

• 4 series on DK
• Best of 3

CS:GO SlateOverview

CS:GO Game#1: Team Vitality (-1000) vs FATE (+550)

The first game of the CS:GO slate sees Vitality taking on FATE in a complete mismatch. Vitality comes into this one as the higher ranked team and is in better form than their counterparts, despite winning 3 of their last 5 while FATE has won 4 of their last 5. Vitality bans Train 100% of the time, which is also FATE’s best map, while FATE bans Nuke at a 70% rate, which is also Vitality’s best map. Both teams will have their best map banned, so they’ll have to get creative when selecting; Vitality likely turns to Dust2, which they pick first 32% of the time behind only Nuke at 37%, while FATE likely selects Overpass, which they choose first 23% of the time, behind only Train at 32%. Vitality should win this won with ease and in dominating fashion, 2-0.

Top Plays:ZywOo ($9,200), shox ($7,200), RPK ($6,000), apex ($7,000)

CS:GO Game #2: North (-188) vs Movistar Riders (+137)

The second match of the CS:GO slate has North taking on the Movistar Riders. North has not played since their last loss versus Havu nearly 10 days ago but looks to be in a good spot here. North bans Mirage at a 53% rate while Movistar bans Dust2 100% of the time, so it’s unlikely either team selects those two maps. North will likely turn to Vertigo for their first pick while Movistar will look at Overpass or Inferno with their first selection; the map likely to be leftover is likely to be whichever of Overpass or Inferno that is not selected by Movistar, or possibly Nuke. North has the advantage on Vertigo and Overpass while Movistar has the advantage on Inferno and Nuke. North has beaten Movistar once in the past month, but this series will be a tight one; I’ll likely have pieces of both sides but side with North to win; I’ll be strictly playing the big guns from this game, but I’m not opposed to taking a shot on cajunb ($6,800) in large field tournament, albeit I prefer Vitality value plays.

Top Plays (North):aizy ($8,200), MSL ($8,000)

Top Plays (Movistar):ALEX ($8,800), steel ($7,200)

CS:GO Game#3: MiBR (+130) vs Team Liquid (-170)

The third series of the CS:GO slate sees two familiar foes facing off against one another. MiBR had two uninspiring performances versus EG and Chaos in the past two days, then bounced back with two dominating wins over YeaH Gaming and Envy, then played horrible again versus Triumph where they needed five overtimes to win on Overpass, lost on their own map pick, Dust2, 6-16, then squeaked out a victory on Mirage 16-13 to take the series 2-1. Outside of kNgV-, they have looked out of form; whether it was the quality of competition (or lack thereof) they were facing or for whatever other reason, they simply did not look good. On the other hand, Team Liquid hasn’t been in the best of shape neither, losing their past 3 matches.

MiBR bans Nuke at an 87% rate while Team Liquid bans Train 100% of the time, which is also MiBR’s map of choice, so we won’t be seeing either one here. Although TL typically turns to Mirage for their first pick, they have MiBR’s number on Inferno and will probably continue going back to the well. MiBR, on the other hand, will probably look to Dust2 or Overpass with their selection, leaving Vertigo as the most probably map to be leftover. Given MiBR’s recent lackluster play, I’ll side with TL, but be cautious of a team that hasn’t played in week compared to their opponent who has played six matches since then; if MiBR wins, it’ll be on the back of kNgV- ($7,800).

Top Plays:EliGe ($7,800), NAF ($7,600), Twistzz ($6,600)

CS:GO Game#4: Chaos (+300) vs 100 Thieves (-400)

The last game of the CS:GO slate sees another heavy favorite, 100 Thieves, taking on Xeppaa and Chaos. While OHT has not played in just under two weeks, they boast the far superior squad and should win here with ease, barring any rust. OHT bans Overpass at an 83% rate while Chaos bans Vertigo 45% of the time, and is also OHT’s best map, so it’s unlikely that we see either of those maps. I expect Chaos to turn to Nuke with their pick, where they have OHT somewhat outmatched with an 80% win rate on 5 matches played compared to OHT’s 20% win rate in 8 matches; OHT will likely counter with Inferno. If we get to 3 maps in this one, I suspect it to be Dust2. Even if OHT shows some rust and loses a map, I’ll take them to win the series.

Top Plays: jks($8,400), jkaem ($7,200), Liazz ($6,400)

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

CS:GO Slate Summary: CS Summit NA (2:45pm EST)

• 2 series on DK
• Best of 3

CS:GO SlateOverview

CS:GO Game#1: Team One (+250) vs Triumph (-350)

In the first of two CS:GO matches on the second slate of the day, Team One takes on Triumph. Team One bans Vertigo at a 65% rate while Triumph bans Train 50% of the time, so we can likely scratch those two maps off the list. The issue with Team One is the unpredictability of their map selection; if we remove Train and Vertigo from the process since they will likely be banned, they pick each map between 6% and 12% of the time as their first pick, with the exception of Nuke at 24%, but they have yet to win there in their last 3 games so it’s unlikely they select it. I don’t think we see a repeat performance of how poorly Grim played yesterday, but anything is possible, and I will most certainly have my exposure to Team One because I think they do win, but it’s more of a gut call than a statistical one given the ambiguity of their map selections.

Top Plays(Team One): b4rtin ($8,600), Maluk3 ($6,400)

Top Plays(Triumph): Grim ($9,800), Junior ($7,000) or Spongey ($7,000)

CS:GO Game#2: YeaH Gaming (+450) vs MiBR (-800)

The second game features MiBR taking on YeaH Gaming where the former is a massive favorite, and rightfully so. We’ve seen a bunch of heavy favorites fall in the past 24 hours so nothing is impossible, but I just don’t see MiBR taking another hard loss after yesterday. MiBR bans Nuke 86% of the time while YeaH bans Vertigo at a 100% rate, so we can eliminate those two maps from the selection process. YeaH will likely turn to Inferno for their map pick with MiBR countering on Train; the map leftover is most likely going to be Dust2. Even if YeaH somehow wins on their map, they don’t stand a chance on Train and Dust2. MiBR bounces back in a big way here and will be the core of all of my lineups.

Top Plays: Fallen ($8,400), kNgV- ($7,600), fer ($7,400), trk ($4,600)

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

CS:GO Slate Summary: CS Summit EU (9am EST)

• 2 series on DK
• Best of 3

CS:GO SlateOverview

CS:GO Game #1: Complexity (-500) vs c0ntact (+300)

The first series on the CS:GO slate features one of my favorite teams, Complexity, taking on c0ntact. COM is the higher ranked team, coming in at #10 while c0ntact is slotted in at #44, in addition to being in better form having won 4 of their last 5 and their most recent matchup versus one another. Both Complexity and c0ntact ban overpass first, so we’re likely to see c0ntact use their ban on there while Complexity will likely ban Inferno, where they are winless in their last 4 times they’ve played there, and it is also c0ntact’s best map. I expect c0ntact to turn to their second-best map, Mirage, for their pick, but that is a big mistake given that it is also COM’s best map; COM will likely counter with Nuke. I’m not saying this because they’re one of my favorite teams, but I’d be shocked with anything other than a COM 2-0 sweep here; the only c0ntact player I’m considering is ottoND ($9,200) but given his ridiculous price tag and my priorities for higher-priced guys in the second game, I’ll likely be fading him altogether outside of MME.

Top Plays: blameF($8,600), k0nfig ($6,800), oBo ($6,600), poizon ($6,000)

CS:GO Game #2: Fnatic (-700) vs PACT (+400)

This second game is the one that will dictate the GPP leaderboards; will the field be all over one of the best teams in the world, Fnatic, or take a shot on one of the most underrated teams outside the top 30 in PACT? The latter is coming off a rather impressive 2-0 sweep over MAD Lions yesterday and could be in for a repeat here, but let’s dive into the statistics first. Fnatic bans Vertigo 50% of the time and refuses to play there as much as possible, while PACT bans Mirage 54% of the time; it’s safe to say it should be those two maps gone in the first round of the banning phase. I then expect PACT to select Nuke, whereas Fnatic will likely turn to Inferno for their pick. Of the 3 maps remaining, Fnatic shows the most reluctancy to play on Dust2 while PACT aren’t fans of Overpass, leaving Train as the map leftover. Both teams are fairly even on Train posting identical winning percentages, but PACT has FNC severely outmatched on Nuke. This one goes to 3 maps, and, call me crazy, but PACT does have a serious shot here and I actually think they pull off yet another upset; split exposure and try to avoid cash games.

Top Plays(PACT): Goofy ($8,400), darko ($5,600), consider MINISE ($5,200) for GPP

Top Plays(FNC): Brollan ($8,000), JW ($6,200), KRIMZ ($7,600)

CS:GO SlateNotes

• Don’t be obliged to use all your salary – I have a ton of builds with over $1,000 leftover
• Lock in blameF ($12,900) at captain and don’t think twice
• Take some shots on PACT in large field tournaments
• 3-2-1 is my favorite lineup construction; avoid 2-2-2; 3-3 is the only other viable option

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!