Ghost

CS:GO Slate Summary: Nine to Five (11am EST)

• 2 series on DK
• Best of 3

CS:GO SlateOverview

CS:GO Matchup#1: CR4ZY (+162) vs AVEZ (-225)

The first matchup of the CS:GO slate sees CR4ZY taking on AVEZ with the latter being higher ranked at #63 than the former at #71, but both teams have won back-to-back series and are coming off impressive upsets versus sAw and Illuminar, respectively. CR4ZY bans Dust2 first at a 74% rate while AVEZ’s top ban is Mirage, which they do 74% of the time. CR4ZY selects Nuke first 21% of the time and boast an 86% winning percentage in 7 maps played, although they can also turn to Vertigo here, where they are riding a 6-map winning streak and pick it first at a 21% rate as well, but the former is more likely. AVEZ is likely to pick Overpass with their first selection, which they do at a 26% rate and have a 56% winning rate on 16 maps played; they hold a massive advantage there, where CR4ZY has only played twice in the past 3 months. With either Nuke or Vertigo leftover, along with Train and Inferno, we are likely to see Inferno as the third map of the series, where AVEZ does hold the advantage in win rate, but CR4ZY have the edge in experience. Markos is the awper for AVEZ and has been playing phenomenally as of late and remains too cheap for the value he can return, boasting 0.79 kills per round and a 1.33 K/D over the past month, including a whopping +27 on 47-20 in a 2-0 series upset versus Illuminar the other day. Kei is the primary rifle fragger I want here for AVEZ and he looked great versus Illuminar the other day, going +19 on 38-19. On the flipside, CR4ZY’s awper SENSEi is a good payup option; he has a 1.30 K/D and 0.72 kills per round in the past month, including a +38 on 105-67 in his last 5 maps played, and if they want to win the series, they’ll need Sergiz to have a good series; he is the main rifle fragger on the squad along with DemQQ, but the former does have a better K/D (1.10 to 1.07) in the past month despite having a lower kills per round (0.70 to 0.73); he is +36 on 94-58 on his last 4 maps played. Although I think AVEZ wins this one, I will hedge it in case CR4ZY pulls off yet another upset.

Top Plays(AVEZ): Markos ($6,600), Kei ($8,400), byali ($7,000)

Top Plays(CZY): SENSEi ($8,000), Sergiz ($6,200)

CS:GO Matchup #2: Syman (-275) vs SG.pro (+300)

The second matchup of the CS:GO slate sees the chalk, Syman, taking on SG.pro. At first glance, Syman is a lock on paper, but further analysis proves otherwise; while the favorite is higher ranked at #47 compared to their opponent at #70, SG.pro did sweep Syman just 6 weeks ago in their most recent matchup. SG bans Inferno heavily at an 88% rate while Syman bans Vertigo first at a 53% rate, so we’re unlikely to see those two maps. Both teams typically pick Train so one will for sure choose it; Syman does hold the advantage in winning percentage (67% to 50%) and in experience (18 maps played to 8), but SG had no problem beating them 16-13 in their last matchup. If SG does not pick Train, they’ll likely turn to Mirage with their pick, where they only have 4 maps played but are 4-0 compared to Syman’s 3-7 record. We’re likely going to see Overpass leftover since Syman isn’t fond of Nuke and SG would get crushed on Dust2. While Syman is a heavy favorite, I wouldn’t be surprised to see SG take this one, and if they do, it’ll be on the back of their awper, kise, and their two primary rifle fraggers, fame and s1natoRRR; below are their stats over the past month:

• kise: 1.24 K/D, 0.73 kills per round
• fame: 1.15 K/D, 0.78 kills per round
• s1natoRRR: 1.14 K/D, 0.77 kills per round

On the flipside, Syman’s lofty ownership means we have to play them in cash games; the top target is their awper, mou, who has a 1.19 K/D and 0.74 kills per round in the last month, and is largely the top producer with primary rifle fragger n0rb3r7 who has a 1.02 K/D and 0.69 kills per round over the past month. I really wish I could tell you why Keoz is so expensive at $9,800, but he certainly does not deserve to have a ZywOo-esque price tag when he has a 0.91 K/D and 0.62 kills per round over the past month, but maybe DK knows something we don’t. The underdog is more than viable here, and I think I’ll be overweight on them in large field tournaments, but you can’t deny the heavy ownership that Syman will carry and the associated risk with fading them in single entry tournaments and cash games.

Top Plays (SG): kise ($6,400), fame ($7,800), s1natoRRR($6,800)

Top Plays(SYM): mou ($9,000), n0rb3r7 ($7,400)

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

CS:GO Slate Summary: Nine to Five (11am EST)

• 2 series on DK
• Best of 3

CS:GO SlateOverview

CS:GO Matchup#1: sAw (-450) vs CR4ZY (+300)

While we wait for DreamHack to begin in August, we’ll be treading into some unfamiliar territory for those that haven’t been following CS:GO before the global pandemic took away all major sports from us. In the first matchup of the slate, we get a familiar face in sAw taking on CR4ZY; the former is the higher ranked team at #38 and are in better form having won 4 of their past 5 series. CR4ZY bans Dust2 first at a 72% rate and haven’t played there in 3 months so we can safely assume they’ll take it out of contention, while sAw bans Mirage first at an 88% rate. CR4ZY is likely going to turn to Nuke with their first pick, which they do 22% of the time, but sAw is riding a 7-map winning streak there and will cause them trouble; ultimately, this pick is the best of a bad scenario for the underdog. Although sAw’s typical first selection is Vertigo, I can see them turning to Inferno or Train here, where they have CR4ZY severely outmatched, but all three maps are viable options. Led by their awper stadodo, who has a 1.16 K/D and 0.71 kills per round over the past month, sAw should cruise to a 2-0 sweep and will feature 3 players in all of my CS:GO lineups. Primary rifle fraggers MUTiRis, rmn, and JUST will round out my 3-man stacks for sAw; below are their statistics over the past month:

• MUTiRIS: 1.10 K/D, 0.73 kills per round
• rmn: 1.08 K/D, 0.72 kills per round
• JUST: 1.17 K/D, 0.74 kills per round

While all 3 make for compelling options to pair with stadodo, MUTiRiS leads the way on Nuke over the past month, with a stellar 1.49 K/D and 0.89 kills per round, albeit rmn and JUST are not far behind. The difference maker here is that rmn struggles on Inferno, where he has a 0.97 K/D and 0.58 kills per round over the past month whereas both MUTiRiS and JUST are over 1.00 and 0.7 kills per round, but he does still make for a great value play and should exceed his point/$ value.

Top Plays: Stadodo($8,000), MUTiRiS ($8,800), JUST ($7,200), rmn ($6,400)

CS:GO Matchup #2: AVEZ (+125) vs Illuminar (-175)

The second matchup on the CS:GO slate is where things get more interesting, with AVEZ taking on Illuminar. While these two teams have played twice since late-May, Illuminar has played much more CS:GO over the past month so I’ll give them the edge here; they’re higher ranked than AVEZ at #54 in the world compared to #63 and are in better form than their counterparts. AVEZ bans Mirage first at a 73% rate while Illuminar bans Inferno at a 71% rate, so we’re unlikely to see those maps here. AVEZ typically selects Overpass first, which they do at a 56% rate, but Illuminar matches up well despite having played there 11 fewer times over the past 3 months. Illuminar should turn to Nuke with their first pick, which they do 35% of the time and have AVEZ clearly outmatched, although I can make an argument for them to select Dust2 as well. Snax is Illuminar’s awper and makes for a great target, averaging 0.71 kills per round and a 1.09 K/D over the past month. The next two options can be a combination of Innocent, reatz, Vegi, and mouz, but both Vegi and mouz are far from consistent; Innocent would probably be my first second-man in with a 1.07 K/D and 0.70 kills per round over the past month paired with reatz if you can afford the salary. If hedging this CS:GO matchup, your AVEZ stacks need to begin with team awper Markos, who is sporting a 1.18 K/D and 0.72 kills per round over the past month and is +24 on 72-48 in his last 3 maps played, and makes for a great one-off options in 3-2-1 lineup constructions if you need to save salary somewhere in your lineup.

Top Plays (ILL): Snax ($8,600), Innocent ($7,000), reatz($7,800)

Top Plays (AVEZ): Markos ($6,800)

CS:GO Captain Options

• Pay up: stadodo ($12,000), MUTiRiS ($13,200), Snax ($12,900)
• Mid-tier: JUST ($10,800), Innocent ($10,500)
• Value: rmn ($9,600)

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

CS:GO Slate Summary: CS Summit (11am EST)

• 2 series on DK
• Best of 5

CS:GO SlateOverview

CS:GO Matchup#1: Team Vitality (-275) vs BIG (+200)

We were lucky enough to see ZywOo and Vitality take on syrsoN and BIG just a few days ago on a CS:GO slate, but with the latter’s victory in the lower bracket versus OG yesterday, we get a rematch in the CS:GO Summit (EU) finale. Vitality will start the series with a 1-0 lead having come from the upper bracket and the two teams will only ban one map each, followed by alternating selections in a Best of 5. While both teams typically ban Train first, BIG will likely use their ban on Vertigo and let Vitality ban Train. This means we will see four of Nuke, Mirage, Overpass, Inferno, and Dust2. While BIG does have superior depth in terms of which maps they’ll be able to win on in a Best of 5, Vitality’s 1-0 lead may be hard to overcome; BIG did pull it off versus G2 in the DreamHack finale when they beat them 3-2 (in reality 3-1 since G2 had a 1-0 lead) but G2 doesn’t have ZywOo. I’ll split exposure here and run multiple 2-1 stacks from both sides or go for a full 3-man stack paired with players mentioned below, because if there’s any team in the world that I refuse to count out in a Best of 5 down 1-0, it’s BIG.

Top Plays(BIG): ZywOo ($9,800), shox ($8,200), RPK ($6,200) or apEX ($7,200)

Top Plays(VIT): syrsoN ($8,600), tabseN ($7,800), XANTERES ($6,400) or tiziaN ($5,600)

CS:GO Matchup #2: Evil Geniuses (-600) vs GenG (+350)

The second matchup of the CS:GO slate sees EG taking on GenG in the CS:GO Summit (NA) finale. GenG is coming off a shocking win over TL in the bottom bracket to reach the finale, where they’ll be down 1-0 to EG since they came from the upper bracket. Both teams typically ban Overpass first so we’re likely to see EG use their ban on Mirage, meaning we’ll see four of Nuke, Vertigo, Inferno, Dust2, and Train. As much as GenG has impressed in their recent victories versus 100 Thieves and TL, I don’t see how they’re able to beat EG in a Best of 5. CeRq, along with Brehze and Ethan have all been playing tremendously in the past month; CeRq specifically has a 1.21 K/D and 0.73 kills per round over the last month, including going positive (K/D differential of +1 or more) on 13 straight maps, dating back to June 20th.

Top Plays: CeRq ($7,600), Brehze ($7,000), Ethan ($6,800),stanislaw ($4,800)

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

CS:GO Slate Summary: CS Summit (12pm EST)

• 2 series on DK
• Best of 3

CS:GO SlateOverview

CS:GO Matchup#1: BIG (-225) vs OG (+162)

The first of two matchups of the CS:GO slate sees a rematch between BIG and OG for a place in the final versus Vitality. While BIG did lose the last encounter 1-2, it came down to a 16-14 win on Mirage for OG; BIG have won 3 of their past 5 series and are in better form, higher ranked, and the more talented squad, and are one of the best CS:GO teams in the world, while OG has won 4 of their past 5. BIG bans Train first 90% of the time while OG bans Vertigo first at a 93% rate so we shouldn’t see these two maps today. BIG is likely going to choose Dust2 as their map, where they boast a 79% win rate on 24 maps played and have beaten OG there before, whereas OG is likely to turn to Inferno or Mirage with their first pick. While OG took the first series from BIG, I don’t see it happening a second time in a row here; mantuu ($7,600) led the way for OG last time out, going +18 on 62-44 but with the way syrsoN ($8,000) looked yesterday versus Vitality, you better believe BIG wins this one to set up a rematch versus Vitality in the finals. I’m not opposed to using mantuu as a one-off but much rather stick to 3-3 stacks.

Top Plays: syrsoN ($8,000), XANTERES ($7,400), tabseN ($7,800), tiziaN ($6,400)

One-Off: mantuu($7,600)

CS:GO Matchup #2: Team Liquid (-300) vs GenG (+225)

The second matchup on the CS:GO slate sees TL taking on GenG for the second time in the past month after the former deated the latter 2-0 at DreamHack. TL comes into this one being in better form than GenG and having won 3 of their past 5, just as GenG has won 3 of their past 5. TL bans Train first 100% of the time while GenG bans Overpass first at a 71% rate so we can eliminate the possibility of seeing those two maps. While TL’s first pick is typically Mirage, I can see them turning to Dust2, where they hold a significant edge over GenG with a 62% win rate in 8 maps played compared to GenG’s 38% win rate on 8 maps played. GenG picked Mirage last time out since they have a better winning percentage (75% to 44%) than TL but learned the hard way that it is TL’s first pick for a reason and eventually lost 16-6 there; on today’s CS:GO slate, I can see them selecting Inferno, leaving Mirage or Vertigo at the map leftover. While neither Stewie2K or Twistzz have been playing well in the past month – the former has a 0.95 K/D and 0.67 kills per round and the latter has a 0.93 K/D and 0.62 kills per round – I’ll give the edge to Stewie2K who is +6 and has gone positive in 4 of his past 5 maps played compared to Twistzz who is -9 and has one positive K/D map in the same span.

Top Plays: EliGe ($8,400), NAF ($8,200), Stewie2K ($6,600), Twistzz ($6,800)

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

CS:GO Slate Summary: CS Summit (12pm EST)

• 3 series on DK
• Best of 3

CS:GO SlateOverview

CS:GO Matchup#1: Team Vitality (+100) vs BIG (-138)

The first matchup of the CS:GO slate is one that I’ve been waiting to see; ZywOo and Vitality finally get to take on syrsoN and BIG. While the former is now finally reaching new deserved heights in the World rankings, currently sitting at #2, BIG can be argued to be the top team in the world at the moment; both teams are in excellent form having won 4 of their past 5 matches. Both VIT and BIG ban train first at 90%+ rates so we’re likely going to see Vitality ban Dust2 or possibly see BIG let Vitality use their ban on Train while they’ll ban Vertigo or Overpass. While it’s nearly impossible to predict which team will pick which map, I want to point out the amount of success BIG has across 5 core maps; rarely do we see a team that is able to manipulate the ban phase the way BIG can. They have the advantage on Dust2, Mirage, Inferno, and Nuke, while also having a better winning percentage on Overpass albeit having 3 less maps played. While ZywOo is one of, if not the best player in the world, I’ll take BIG here to win the series based on their depth on both their roster and across various maps opposed to Vitality’s, but I’ll most definitely have ZywOo is almost, if not all of my lineups.

Top Plays(BIG): tabseN ($8,400), syrsoN ($7,400), XANTERES ($7,000), tiziaN ($6,400)

Top Plays(VIT): ZywOo ($10,400)

CS:GO Matchup #2: GODSENT (+162) vs Fnatic (-225)

The second matchup on the CS:GO slate has some great targets for our DFS lineups. Fnatic is in better form than GODSENT and the latter lost to North yesterday 2-0, looking lost in all facets of the game outside of the first half on the first map, and are the higher ranked team, at times playing like the best squad in the world. Fnatic bans Vertigo at a 61% rate while GODSENT bans Mirage first 93% of the time; cross those two off the list with confidence. I think GODSENT turns to Nuke with their first pick, which they do 21% of the time and have a 62% winning percentage on 13 maps played compared to Fnatic’s 38% on 16 maps played. The favorite likely counters with Inferno here, which they pick first nearly 40% of the time and have a massive advantage of their counterparts. While GODSENT boasts a decent 4-man unit outside of kRYSTAL, Fnatic is too good to get upset here and should draw heavy ownership, and rightfully so, while being the core of your cash builds; if dodging one of the core 4, I’d personally drop flusha ($8,200), who is not only priced too high for my liking, but also has a 0.93 K/D over the last month and an abysmal 0.61 kills per round, including going -24 on 77-101 in his last 5 maps played.

Top Plays: Brollan ($9,800), KRIMZ ($7,600), JW ($6,400)

CS:GO Matchup#3: Team Liquid (-120 PK) vs Evil Geniuses (-120 PK)

The last matchup of the CS:GO slate sees TL taking on EG for the third time in the past month, with the latter having taken the past two encounters. EG is in better form than TL, have won 5 straight series, and are slightly higher ranked at #8 compared to TL’s #10 ranking. EG bans Overpass first at a 42% rate while TL bans Train first 100% of the time; it’s been this way every time they’ve faced one another, and tomorrow is no different. While TL typically turns to Mirage with their first pick, they’ve only played there 3 times in the past month, the last time being two weeks ago; given that they’re 0-2 against EG in the past month, they may change it up and turn to their former go-to map, but I’m more inclined to say that they select Nuke or Dust2. EG has made some questionable map choices against TL, including picking both Nuke and Dust2 in separate series despite having worse winning percentages, but have still come out with two straight victories. Anything can happen here with EG’s map pick, but I’d like to see them on Inferno where they are riding an 8-map winning streak. People were questioning whether BIG could take out a team of FaZe’s caliber three times in a single month, and we told them to load up on BIG, who came through in a big (pun intended?) way; EG rolls here for the third time in 30 days. CeRq is the main man with a 1.24 K/D and 0.75 kills per round in the last month, along with Brehze and Ethan, but don’t count out stanislaw ($5,000) who is nearly minimum price and is +15 on 77-62 in his last 4 maps played; I likely won’t be going there, and you’ll see why in the notes section, but he’s someone worth mentioning for large field tournaments.

Top Plays: CeRq ($7,200), Brehze ($6,800), Ethan ($6,600)

CS:GO Slate Notes

I don’t think DraftKings could have made this CS:GO slate any easier on us; pricing is a real joke tomorrow and we need to take advantage by narrowing our player pool down as much as possible. Outside of premium pay up options in ZywOo ($10,400) and Brollan ($9,800), there is nobody that we cannot fit in our lineups. Players such as syrsoN ($7,400), XANTERES ($7,000) and CeRq ($7,200) should all be over $8,000 and we need to jam in as many studs as we can. While plugging in ZywOo at captain will be the chalk, I’m not opposed putting someone in the 7k-8k range there ($10,500-$11,700 at captain) to jam in ZywOo, Brollan, and 2-3 other names mentioned above.

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!