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Genesis Invitational Best Bets

The 2025 Genesis Invitational boasts a substantial prize purse of $20 million, with the winner set to receive $4 million. This elevated purse underscores the tournament’s status as a premier event on the PGA Tour, with the Genesis Invitational one of just eight Signature Events in 2025.

The field includes top-ranked players such as Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy. McIlroy, fresh off a victory at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, is considered a strong contender. Defending champion Hideki Matsuyama is also in the field, aiming to retain his title.

Why has the Genesis Invitational moved to Torrey Pines?

The 2025 Genesis Invitational, traditionally held at Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles, has been relocated this year to Torrey Pines Golf Course in San Diego due to the devastating wildfires in the Los Angeles area. The Pacific Palisades, where Riviera Country Club is located, were particularly hard hit by the fires.

The decision was made to ensure the safety of players, staff, and spectators, as well as to maintain the high standards of the event. With the unique challenges posed by the wildfires, including air quality concerns and potential damage to the region, Torrey Pines in San Diego offers a suitable alternative.

This course has hosted numerous prestigious tournaments, including the U.S. Open, and provides a world-class setting for this iconic PGA Tour event. Also residing in California, the tournament represents a great opportunity to raise funds for relief efforts.

Course Analysis

The tournament will be contested on Torrey Pines’ South Course, renowned for its challenging layout and scenic beauty. This course has a storied history, hosting the Farmers Insurance Open since 1968 and major championships in the U.S. Open. This included the 2008 iconic playoff battle, where Tiger Woods willed himself to victory over Rocco Mediate with a torn ACL and two stress fractures in his leg.

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Players will face a par-72 layout stretching approximately 7,765 yards, featuring narrow fairways, thick rough, and fast greens. The course’s coastal location introduces variable winds, adding to its difficulty. Notable holes include the par-3 16th, known for its cliffside green. The par-5 18th offers a challenging finish, with anything from birdie to double bogey or worse possible.

Expert Picks

The 2025 Genesis Invitational promises to be a compelling tournament, combining the challenges of Torrey Pines with a competitive field and a significant prize purse.

Here are the WinDailySports Expert’s Picks for the 2025 Genesis Invitational:

.
David
Bieleski
Joel
Schreck
Steven
Polardi
Outright WinnerAll E/W, check Golf Bets channel in WinDaily Premium Discord for staking plan and odds

Aberg
Sungjae Im
MacIntyre
R Hojgaard
Min Woo
Clark
Woodland
Scheffler
Matsuyama
Cantlay
Pendrith
Rory
Top Finishes MarketsTop 20
MacIntyre
R Hojgaard
Min Woo
Clark
Woodland
Top 20:
Aberg
Cantlay
Singjae
McNealy
Hovland
Berger
Rose
Poston
Match-UpsPendrith over Tom Kim (+100 Bet365)
Thomas over Morikawa (+100 DK/FD)
First-Round LeaderAll E/W, check Golf Bets channel in WinDaily Premium Discord for staking plan and odds

McIlroy
Aberg
R Hojgaard
MacIntyre
Clark
Matsuyama
Hovland
Aberg
Hun An
Hojgaard
Nick Taylor
Thompson
My 3 Golfer DFS CoreMcIlroy
R Hojgaard
MacIntyre
Nick Taylor
Cantlay
Hovland
Rory
Lowry
Pendrith
DFS Chalk I'm playingScheffler
McIlroy
Pendrith
R Hojgaard
Min Woo
Scott
Clark
Woodland
Berger
Scheffler
Rory
Aberg
Scheffler
DFS Chalk I'm fadingMorikawa
Hovland
Young
Bhatia
Fitzpatrick
Homa
Hughes
Knapp
Justin ThomasJT
Hovland
Matsuyama
My Top 3 Sneaky Low-Owned PlaysAberg
Sungjae Im
MacIntyre
Spieth
Cantlay
Hun An
Rose
Homa
Poston

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Riviera Country Club for Round 2 3-Ball bets at the Genesis Invitational

It’s rare that we deep-dive into any match-up bets before the weekend. We don’t often delve into the round by round bets early in tournaments as there is benefit (and an edge) to be had in extracting some extra data for the week. So, when we do, it pays to pay attention. At the Genesis Invitational, David Bieleski (@DeepDiveGolf) has found some 3 balls with promising returns.

As always, make sure you have delved into all our deep-dive into this course. We cover the key metrics for Riviera Country Club to find success at Riviera Country Club. You can find my pre-tournament statistical analysis of the Genesis Invitational here.

You can also catch the most recent PGA Draftcast episode below. Catch us live on YouTube every Tuesday at 9PM ET.

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Best Bets: Round 2 3-Balls

J.J Spaun over Luke List and Kevin Yu
3u +225 Unibet (+220 MGM)
Justin Thomas over Tiger Woods and Gary Woodland
5u -115 Bet365 (-118 MGM)
Adam Scott over Alex Smalley and Taylor Montgomery
5u +100 William Hill (+100 MGM/FanDuel)

Treble Spaun/JT/Scott to win their 3-ball
1u +1068 Bet365
Boxed Doubles Spaun/JT/Scott to win their 3-ball
6u (3 x 2u Doubles) Bet365

Genesis Invitational: J.J. Spaun over List/Yu

Let’s be real: Luke List (+120) is a dreadful putter. He just gained +4.59 SG: Putt in round 1 to lead the field putting. He has only gained putting at this course in 1/8 tournaments at the Genesis Invitational. We can expect some regression.

As to the other in the 3-ball, Kevin Yu (+200) shot +4 today without a single birdie. He lost across the board in all SG metrics.

Meanwhile, J.J. Spaun ranked 68/70 losing -3.31 SG: Putt in round 1, is statistically a better putter than List, and has gained putting here in 3/6 tournaments at Riviera. He was also 7th for SG: APP.

Very happy to take the underdog in this 3-ball at long odds.

Genesis Invitational: Justin Thomas over Woods/Woodland

JT really shot himself over the first 9 holes, losing -2.13 strokes putting and -1.27 approach on the front 9 alone. Perhaps he was simply Tiger-struck? He found his game over the 2nd half of the round, gaining +1.52 SG: APP and +1.19 SG: Putt. Thomas also lost -0.94 SG: ATG on the round.

He has gained 4+ strokes putting at the Genesis Invitational in 4/6 most recent events at Riviera. That includes when in the dreadful first 6 months to 2023. The Genesis Invitational was the only event he gained strokes putting. He has gained in SG: ATG at every tournament he has played here.

Woodland stats are massively buoyed by an eagle at the 11th hole. He has only gained putting in 1/6 at the Genesis Invitational and only finished better than 26th once. He has had his own medical issues to deal with and Woods obviously still suffering from both rust and injury, claiming the shank at the last was due not to the leg but a back-spasm. I’ll certianly be claiming back-spasms next time I shank the ball. Of course, he might produce some Woods magic but I like the number available on JT to continue the good form he showed on his 2nd 9.

Genesis Invitational: Adam Scott over Smalley/Montgomery

This bet is not so much about what Adam Scott did, but more about what the others didn’t do in round 1 at the Genesis Invitational.

Montgomery was 61st for SG: APP and 63rd for SG: OTT. Basically, his ranking of 65/70 in SG: T2G really tells the story of how poor his ball-striking was. He has only played the Genesis Invitational once last year, missing the cut.

Likewise, Alex Smalley was very poor in round 1. Having just lost -8.20 SG: APP at the WM Phoenix Open, he lost another -3.91 SG: APP on Thursday here. His Genesis Invitational record reads 72-MC.

Therefore, neither of these pose much threat to Adam Scott. Although he didn’t play brilliantly, he was still better statistically than his two competitors. Scott is a two time winner at the Genesis Invitational and has been in brilliant form in 2024. Look for a return to business in the 2nd round.

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