Fight

UFC VEGAS 10.

Hill Vs. Waterson

Another week has gone by, and another UFC fight card is here! Tonight we will target some of my best and favorite targets for both Daily Fantasy Sports and Sports Betting picks. After having fight cards with ten, eleven, and twelve fights, we are now graced with a card that is currently down to nine contests, but they are nine action-packed, finish friendly fights.

In my UFC DFS lineups, I will have 100% exposure to the Main Event. The Main Event is a five-round fight. The Main Event WILL NOT be featured as one of my top three plays (Top Value Play, Locked In-Play, or Top Scoring Play) but WILL be featured in my Honorable Mention category. My Main Event target will be a top play. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Vegas 10 Hill vs. Waterson.

Win Daily Sports is committed to bringing its members and subscribers fresh content daily for as long as the professional sports leagues remain on hiatus. Our goal is to continue to focus on how to be better DFS and Sports Gamblers by teaching you how to do the little things better just like the pros. Sign up at this link and stay prepared!

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Ottman Azaitar +100 (DK 7700) (FD $17) vs. Khama Worthy -130 (DK 8500) (FD $15).

Azaitar is coming into this fight with an undefeated pro record of 12 wins and no losses. After an impressive debut KO over Packalen, he is set to take on UFC rookie, Khama Worthy.

Worthy has had a decent pro career so far, winning 15 of his 21 fights. He came into the UFC with a bang, knocking out Smith and then surprising the world with a third-round submission over Pena.

Even though Worthy has more experience, this fight is 50/50 in my eyes. It has a Vegas line of -265 to end via finish, and it can truly go either way. In my opinion, Worthy is going to carry over a lot of ownership after his win against Pena. Khama has been knocked out many times in his career and could be set up for more of the same if he gets caught by one of the unique strikes that Azaitar is known for.

Since Worthy moved up to the 155-pound weight class, he has looked like he is getting his career back on track. I think this fight could go one of two ways. Either Azaitar knocks out Khama in the first or second round, or Khama gets a finish late in the third. With that said, I am going to side with Azaitar here. He is cheaper in salary, can help you build a more intriguing DFS lineup, and will be a good leverage spot to get a little different. My prediction is Ottman Azaitar wins with an early knockout punch in the first round.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Ottman Azaitar +100 (DK 7700) (FD $17). FIRST-ROUND TKO.

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET:

Brok Weaver +255 (DK 7500) (FD $14) vs. Jalin Turner -315 (DK 9000) (FD $19).

Jalin Turner is coming into this fight with a nice chip on his shoulder, after showing the world that he belongs in the UFC with a dominating win over Joshua Culibao. He ended midway through the second round. Turner is known for his devastating power and persistence.

One thing that you do not have to worry about with Turner is his cardio. He will move and move until his opponent has nowhere to go, then he will land dynamic combos and go for takedowns. Jalin is holding a nasty streak of finishes in his wins. His record has nine wins and five losses, but in every one of his victories in his entire career has come by way of stoppage, whether it be KO, TKO, or Submission.

Weaver is by no means an intriguing pick here. He is giving up the height and reach advantage to Turner. The only way to beat Turner is going to be by KO, and I don’t think Weaver can KO him. Brok struggled against Roosevelt Roberts on the feet, and Turner is at a higher level than Roberts, in my opinion. I predict this fight to end with Jalin getting the fight to the mat and forcing a first or second-round submission.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Jalin Turner -315 (DK 9000) (FD $19). SECOND-ROUND SUBMISSION.

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET:

Alexander “King Kong” Romanov -300 (DK 8700) (FD $19) vs. Roque Martinez +240 (DK 7500) (FD $12).

This is my favorite pick of the night and with good reason. Romanov is making his debut after running up a perfect professional record of eleven wins and no losses. They don’t call him King Kong for nothing. Romanov has a perfect record that includes finishing every single one of his opponents by KO or submission. Eight out of his eleven victories have come in the first round of the matchup.

Alexandr is a beast on the ground. If he gets Martinez on the mat, it is going to be over before you blink. If Romanov gets top control, he can force any submission he wants at will. Martinez has mediocre takedown defense and tends to leave himself open to easy shots and strikes. This fight should be over very fast. I predict Romanov takes Martinez down and submits him in the first round.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Alexander “King Kong” Romanov -300 (DK 8700) (FD $19). FIRST-ROUND SUBMISSION.

UFC HONORABLE MENTION:

(No specific order)

Bryan Barberena -265 (DK 9000) (FD $21).

Billy Quarantillo -260 (DK 9300) (FD $19).

Ed Herman (RISKY GPP ONLY) +205 (DK 7400) (FD $12).

Angela Hill -120 (DK 8200) (FD $20). (CASH LINEUPS WILL HAVE BOTH HILL AND WATERSON -110 (DK 8000) (FD $20) (Will have 60% HILL and 40% Waterson in my lineups).

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s twelve bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 10 GPP lineups. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of about 75 percent of my lineups. Always remember the more rounds in a fight, the higher the fantasy score could be. This slate is very tough to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset. I will use a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Value, Locked-In, Top Scoring, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat or you can find me on Twitter @JThomsonDFS. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

UFC FIGHT NIGHT.

Overeem Vs. Sakai

Another week has gone by, and another UFC fight card is here! Tonight we will target some of my best and favorite targets for both Daily Fantasy Sports and Sports Betting picks. After having fight cards with ten, eleven, and twelve fights, we are now graced with a card that is currently down to nine contests, but they are nine action-packed, finish friendly fights.

In my UFC DFS lineups, I will have 100% exposure to the Main Event. The Main Event is a five-round fight. The Main Event WILL NOT be featured as one of my top three plays (Top Value Play, Locked In-Play, or Top Scoring Play) but WILL be featured in my Honorable Mention category. My Main Event target will be a top play. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Fight Night Overeem vs. Sakai.

Win Daily Sports is committed to bringing its members and subscribers fresh content daily for as long as the professional sports leagues remain on hiatus. Our goal is to continue to focus on how to be better DFS and Sports Gamblers by teaching you how to do the little things better just like the pros. Sign up at this link and stay prepared!

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Jalin “The Tarantula” Turner (+120) (DK 7200) (FD $14) vs. Thiago Moises (-150) (DK 9000) (FD $20).

Jalin Turner is coming into this fight with a nice chip on his shoulder, after showing the world that he belongs in the UFC with a dominating win over Joshua Culibao. He ended midway through the second round. Turner is known for his devastating power and persistence. One thing that you do not have to worry about with Turner is his cardio. He will move and move until his opponent has nowhere to go, then he will land dynamic combos and go for takedowns. Jalin is holding a nasty streak of finishes in his wins. His record has nine wins and five losses, but in every one of his victories in his entire career has come by way of stoppage, whether it be KO, TKO, or Submission.

Thiago Moises is on the same level Turner with his wins via stoppage. The majority of his thirteen wins in his career have come via either submission or TKO. Moises is a favorite here and with good reason. He has the ability to take down any opponent and stuff any takedown attempt by his opponent. Even though Moises does have decent power, he will have to rely on his ground game to beat Turner. Turner has pretty good takedown defense and should give Thiago a lot of trouble. I believe that Jalin Turner is going to take this fight to a decision and pull out the win in a close matchup. Possibly even a third-round finish.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Jalin “The Tarantula” Turner (+120) (DK 7200) (FD $14). DECISION

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET:

Brian Kelleher (-220) (DK 9200) (FD $18) vs. Kevin Natividad (+180) (DK 7000) (FD $12).

Brian Kelleher is nothing short of an absolute beast. He is a well-rounded fighter that is good in just about any situation. His last fight versus Cody Stamann was an excellent effort, where he came up short. Before the battle with Stamann, he looked like an unstoppable force, destroying his previous two opponents by Guillotine Choke and the other with a nasty left hook followed by many hammer fists. Brian has been put it just about every situation and is now in a spot facing Natividad, who is debuting for the first time in the UFC.

Kevin Natividad is making his UFC debut after posting nine wins and one loss in his professional career. Throughout his career, he has taken full advantage of the fact that he was under matched and slaughtered a lot of his competition, except for one fight in which he lost by way of knock out. The sub-par opponents he has faced is going to haunt him in this fight versus Kelleher. This is by far the most challenging test Kevin has faced in his career, and I’m pretty confident that he takes his first UFC loss in his first UFC fight. Kelleher should come in, giving him more than he can handle and walk away the victor after a first-round knockout.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Brian Kelleher (-220) (DK 9200) (FD $18) FIRST-ROUND KO

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET:

Alexander “King Kong” Romanov (-145) (DK 8400) (FD $17) vs. Rogerio de Lima (+115) (DK 7800) (FD $17).

We are going to have an exciting fight here. Alexander Romanov is an absolute force to be reckoned with. He is making his debut after running up a perfect professional record of eleven wins and no losses. They don’t call him King Kong for nothing. Romanov has a perfect record that includes finishing every single one of his opponents by KO or submission. Eight out of his eleven victories have come in the first round of the matchup. Usually, with a first-round KO artist, you worry about cardio. He has also taken three of his fights into the third round and finished his opponent there too. King Kong is now facing off against a veteran of the UFC.

The Veteran is none other than Marcos Rogerio De Lima. Marcos is rolling into the jungle with a record of 17-6-1. He has been around the block, and I believe he will feel like he was hit by one after this fight. Marcos’s chin is suspect, to say the least, and he has been finished in his last four losses. He will need everything in his arsenal to beat Romanov here, and I don’t think he can do it. King Kong should KO Rogerio De Lima in the first round without any problem.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Alexander “King Kong” Romanov (-145) (DK 8400) (FD $17). FIRST-ROUND KO.

UFC HONORABLE MENTION:

Alonzo Menifield (-130) (DK 8300) (FD $18)
(Additional top play)

Bartosz Fabinski (-165) (DK 8600) (FD $18)

Michel Pereira (-120) (DK 8200) (FD $17)

(GPP Only) Augusto Sakai (+135) (DK 7400) (FD $19)
(Fanduel salary is very inflated)
(Value play on DK, not on FD)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s NINE bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 10 GPP lineups. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of about 75 percent of my lineups. Always remember the more rounds in a fight, the higher the fantasy score could be. This slate is very tough to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset. I will use a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Value, Locked-In, Top Scoring, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat or you can find me on Twitter @JThomsonDFS. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

UFC FIGHT NIGHT.

Smith Vs. Rakic.

WE ARE BACK with another UFC breakdown! Tonight we will target some of my best and favorite targets for both Daily Fantasy Sports and Sports Betting picks. Last week we had some huge upsets that led some of our WinDaily crew into some big paydays. Tonight we have UFC VEGAS 8 Anthony Smith vs. Aleksandar Rakic and looking to cash big on my favorite plays.

In my UFC DFS lineups, I will have 80% exposure to the Main Event fight with either Smith or Rakic in my lineups. Normally I will have 100% exposure to the Main Event, but this is a three-round fight instead of a five-round fight. The Main Event WILL NOT be featured as one of my top three plays (Top Value Play, Locked In-Play, or Top Scoring Play) but WILL be featured in my Honorable Mention category. My Main Event target will be a top play. Now let’s get to it!

Tonight i’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Vegas 8 Smith vs. Rakic.

Win Daily Sports is committed to bringing its members and subscribers fresh content daily for as long as the professional sports leagues remain on hiatus. Our goal is to continue to focus on how to be better DFS and Sports Gamblers by teaching you how to do the little things better just like the pros. Sign up at this link and stay prepared!

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Zak Cummings (-105) (DK 8400) (FD $15) vs. Alessio Di Chirico (-125) (DK 7800) (FD $17).

This fight opened up in Vegas as Di Chirico as the betting underdog. There is a good reason that people have smartened up and started betting that line through the roof, but that does not change my stance on this fight. Di Chirico is coming off of back to back losses, and he did not look good at all. Fortunately, in the UFC, anything can happen, and it is all about stylistic matchups when picking the winner of a fight. Cummings has the experience to perform well in any fight and has the ability to come back in a fight when he is down.

In Zak’s last two fights, he has lost via close decisions. The issue I see here is that he will struggle against Di Chirico’s ground game and takedown defense. Even though Cummings has the power to knock anyone out, Alessio has not been knocked out, and I don’t see it happening here. I think that Di Chirico takes it to Cummings in a close decision win and, in doing so, will put up enough points to hit value at only 7800 on Draftkings.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Alessio Di Chirico (-125) (DK 7800) (FD $17). DECISION.

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET:

Magomed Ankalaev (-315) (DK 9000) (FD $19) vs. Ion Cutelaba (+245) (DK 7200) (FD $12).

This is probably my favorite fight of the night to target and could easily be the fight of the night. This will be a fight that will be mandatory to have the winner in your DFS lineups. Ankalaev is a beast, and so is Cutelaba. Cutelaba is a very aggressive, fast, direct, and straight forward fighter. He will give everything he has in order to try and Knock Out his opponent early and fast.

The issue I see here is that Ankalaev is a strategically sound fighter with both knockout and submission ability. He will circle the octagon looking for an opening to light up Cutelaba. Cutelaba will attempt to force punches that are not the best option at the time and will tire himself out. Ion is a first-round or bust fighter, and this time I think he’s on the Bust train. Magomed will wait out the early storm and take advantage of a tired and gassed out opponent in the second round and will tie him up like a pretzel.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Magomed Ankalaev (-315) (DK 9000) (FD $19) SECOND ROUND SUBMISSION

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET:

Sean Brady (-450) (DK 9300) (FD $20) vs. Christian Aguilera (+325) (DK 6900) (FD $10).

Sean Brady is the highest priced fighter on Draftkings for a good reason. He dropped into the UFC with two very convincing wins over McGee and Naurdiev. Those were not his only two wins. Before the UFC, Brady looked like a man on a mission, destroying everyone in his path en route to an undefeated record of ten wins and no losses and has added two decision wins to his total in the UFC. Brady is a Jui Jitsu specialist and has finished five of his twelve fights.

This is a spot where I feel as if it will be more of the same and should come out and takedown Aguilera and have his way with him. Sean could easily Knock Out Christian in the first round or submit him later in the second round, but either way, my prediction is Brady via finish and should be one of, if not the highest DFS scorer of the night.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Sean Brady (-450) (DK 9300) (FD $20). TKO ROUND ONE.

UFC HONORABLE MENTION:

Aleksandar Rakic (-270) (DK 8700) (FD $23) (Main Event)

Neil Magny (-260) (DK 8600) (FD $18)

Impa Kasanganay (-150) (DK 8500) (FD $17)

Mallory Martin (-315) (DK 8900) (FD $18)

Bill Algeo (RISKY GPP ONLY) (+235) (DK 7000) (FD $13)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s 11 bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 10 GPP lineups. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of about 75 percent of my lineups. Always remember the more rounds in a fight, the higher the fantasy score could be. This slate is very tough to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset. I will use a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Value, Locked-In, Top Scoring, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat or you can find me on Twitter @JThomsonDFS. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

UFC 252

Miocic Vs. Cormier.

Welcome back for another UFC DFS breakdown, we are at home at the Apex Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. We were finally going to witness the greatest heavyweight trilogy of all time, in my opinion. UFC 252 is an action-packed card, filled with big named superstars, and highly anticipated fights. This eleven-bout fight card is one of the most exciting cards I have witnessed in a long time.

In my UFC DFS lineups, I will have 100 percent exposure to the five-round Main Event fight, with one of either Miocic or Cormier in every lineup that I create. The Main Event WILL NOT be featured as one of my top three plays (Top Value Play, Locked In-Play, or Top Scoring Play) but WILL be featured in my Honorable Mention category of the article.

Tonight i’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC 252 Miocic vs. Cormier.

Win Daily Sports is committed to bringing its members and subscribers fresh content daily for as long as the professional sports leagues remain on hiatus. Our goal is to continue to focus on how to be better DFS and Sports Gamblers by teaching you how to do the little things better just like the pros. Sign up at this link and stay prepared!

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Chris Daukaus (-110) (DK 7700) (FD $14) vs. Parker Porter (-120) (DK 8500) (FD$ 17).

Daukaus is the older brother of fellow UFC fighter Kyle Daukaus. Kyle recently had his debut fight and did not look impressive, so im hoping his brother does not follow in his footsteps here. Chris Daukus is making his UFC debut after starting his professional career off with eight wins and three losses. Daukaus has only one fight that has gone the distance in his career. He is a fighter that constantly looks to take down his opponent and force some heavy ground and pound. He looks for any opportunity to trade strikes, even though he is not the best striker in the world by any means.

Kyle is facing off against Parker Porter. Porter is also making his UFC debut after combining ten wins and five losses to his professional record. Parker is more of an old school, technical boxer with a little bit more experience. I think this fight is going to be a slop fest. Both fighters have a combined two fights (one each) that have gone to a decision. These fighters will struggle with their gas tanks if the fight goes into the later rounds, but I do not see that happening. This is a fight that could go either way and is extremely close. I am going to side with Daukaus via TKO in the first round. I will have some exposure to Porter in my UFC DFS lineups, but will mostly have Daukaus.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Chris Daukaus (-110) (DK 7700) (FD $14). FIRST ROUND TKO.

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET:

Herbert “The Blaze” Burns (-270) (DK 8900) (FD $19) vs. Daniel “The Pit” Pineda (+205) (DK 7300) (FD $12).

Over time we have watched Gilbert Burns take the UFC by storm, destroying everyone on his path to the number one contender spot. Now we have Herbert Burns starting to showcase his abilities just like his brother. The Burns brothers should be on everyone’s radar, and today we focus on Herbert “The Blaze” Burns and his fight vs. Daniel Pineda.

Burns is undoubtedly making a name for himself in a hurry with his amazing Jui-Jitsu and his disgusting Muy-Tai striking. In his most recent fight against Evan Dunham, we watched him choke the daylights out of him with a precise and tight Rear Naked Choke submission in the first round. In his UFC debut, he caught Landwehr with one of the most disgusting knees from the clinch I have ever seen, basically taking twenty years off of Nate’s life in the first round.

Burns is now set up for success again against Pineda. Pineda is 35 years old and is on the downswing of his career. I do not see much that Pineda will be able to do in his return to the UFC after six years. He will be in for a rough and tough welcome back, and I think it will be short-lived.
Gilbert’s Muy-Tai and Jui-Jitsu will be way too much for Pineda to handle, and I predict Gilbert to end this fight in the first round. Burns is going to be a staple in most of my DFS lineups.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Herbert “The Blaze” Burns (-270) (DK 8900) (FD $19). FIRST ROUND TKO/SUBMISSION.

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET:

Merab “The Machine” Dvalishvili (-250) (DK 8700) (FD $18) vs. John “The Magician” Dodson (+195) (DK 7500) (FD $14).

Here is another fight that I am going to heavily target in my UFC DFS lineups. Merab Dvalishvili has been on a war-path as of late, winning four consecutive matches in a row, and producing no less than 91 draftkings points in any of those victories. Generally, if a fight is predicted to end via decision, we try to find a better fight to target for our DFS lineups.

When Merab fights, it is the exception. Dvalishvili is an absolute animal when it comes to taking down his opponents. Out of his four-fight win steak, he has produced no less than five takedowns per fight. In his last fight versus Lopez, he took him down 13 times and had 14 advances en route to a decision victory and a massive 173 fantasy point performance. Merab is a takedown machine and should keep his streak alive against Dodson. Dodson is a decent fighter, but no match for The Machines takedowns. Dodson will be able to escape quickly, but will just get taken down again. I see this fight being an up and down fight with A LOT of takedowns coming from Merab en route to a very convincing decision win.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Merab “The Machine” Dvalishvili (-250) (DK 8700) (FD $18). DECISION

UFC HONORABLE MENTION:

Jairzinho Rozenstruik (-125) (DK 8400) (FD $17).

Stipe Miocic (-110) (DK 8200) (FD $20).

Jim Miller (+110) (DK 8300) (FD $16).

(RISKY GPP PLAY) Marlon “Chito” Vera (+220) (DK 7000) (FD $10).

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s 11 bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 10 GPP lineups. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of about 75 percent of my lineups. Always remember the more rounds in a fight, the higher the fantasy score could be. This slate is very tough to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset. I will use a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Value, Locked-In, Top Scoring, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat or you can find me on Twitter @JThomsonDFS. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

UFC FIGHT NIGHT

BRUNSON VS. SHAHBAZYAN

Welcome back for another MMA DFS breakdown, this time we are back at home at the Apex Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. We were finally able to see what Fight Island was really about, and It did not disappoint. Now, the UFC is back at the Apex ready to give us some more eventful and exciting fights with another action-packed fight card on Saturday 8/1/2020 at 7 pm. After a rough night of cancellations and additions, we are now locked into ten fights.

Tonight i’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Fight Night Brunson VS. Shahbazyan .

Win Daily Sports is committed to bringing its members and subscribers fresh content daily for as long as the professional sports leagues remain on hiatus. Our goal is to continue to focus on how to be better DFS and Sports Gamblers by teaching you how to do the little things better just like the pros. Sign up at this link and stay prepared!

MY MMA VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Chris Gutierrez -315 (DK 9200) (FD $19) vs. Cody Durden +245 (DK 7000) (FD $11).

My top value play of the day comes from a matchup that I see being a takedown fest. Gutierrez is coming in with some high ownership, and it is entirely understandable. He is more established and experienced in the UFC than Durden. The odds of this fight, in my opinion, are way off. Vegas has Gutierrez as a -315 favorite and Durden as a +245 underdog.

Gutierrez could be at a disadvantage with his takedown defense. He has been known to be taken down multiple times per fight and tends to give up possible advancement opportunities too easily. This could be tragic for him against a fighter like Durden, an excellent grappler who excels with takedowns. If Gutierrez gets caught in the same old story of dragging out his fights to a decision, he will be in for a long night when he meets Durden in the octagon. I feel that Durden will have his way with Gutierrez and could give us all a nice payday. I think Durden submits Gutierrez in the third round.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Cody Durden +245 (DK 7000) (FD $11). THIRD ROUND TKO/SUBMISSION.

MY MMA LOCKED-IN TARGET:

Kevin Holland -235 (DK 8900) (FD $19) vs. Trevin Giles +185 (DK 7300) (FD $11).

Holland is very hard to trust. This is a unique situation of a full-time fighter vs. a full-time police officer. Holland is far and away better at striking, grappling, takedowns, and on the ground. He puts every minute of everyday training into getting better and enhancing his cardio. Kevin is an all-around better fighter.

On the other side, Giles has publicly stated that he has not been training as hard as he should be due to his full-time job. He said that when the pandemic hit his camp changed dramatically, and he could not dedicate efforts to training (completely understandable). Over the previous fights that I watch of Giles, I noticed that he is extremely powerful but tends to lose all energy and gets gassed out in the later rounds. If Giles runs into the same situation here as he did in his last fight, I see the same outcome happening.

Holland is not someone that you can get locked in a cage without extra training and expect better results. The results that I see happening here are a faster ending than Giles’s last fight. If Giles attempts takedowns, which I believe is his only slim shot at a win, he will most likely get gassed and submitted. I do not see this fight going the distance. I’m predicting a second-round submission with Kevin Holland coming out victorious.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Kevin Holland -235 (DK 8900) (FD $19). SECOND ROUND TKO/SUBMISSION.

MY MMA TOP SCORING TARGET:

Jamall Emmers -335 (DK 7800) (FD $12) vs. Vincent Cachero +275 (DK 6900) (FD $9).

Initially, I was fading Emmers vs. Valiev. That changed quickly with all of the changes to this fight card overnight. Cachero is 30 years old with minimal fight experience, four-inch reach disadvantage, fighting on short notice, and has never fought at 145 before. This lines up to be a disaster for him. Emmers is a tough fighter with a lot of power, great takedowns, excellent takedown defense, and a solid chin.

There are not many paths to victory for Cachero here. He is lined up to be the punching bad for Emmers, and I think Emmers’s experience will demolish him. Emmers should come out and potentially take Cachero out in the first or second round, after many significant strikes and takedowns. He should have no problem here, and I will be leaning heavily on him in my MMA DFS lineups.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Jamall Emmers -335 (DK 7800) (FD $12). FIRST ROUND TKO/SUBMISSION.

UFC HONORABLE MENTION:

Edmen Shahbazyan -330 (DK 9100) (FD $20).

Jonathan Martinez -265 (DK 8600) (FD $17).

(CASH/GPP VALUE): Johnny Munoz +120 (DK 7200) (FD $10).

(RISKY GPP ONLY) Randy Brown +165 (DK 7400) (FD $15).

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s 10 bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 10 GPP lineups. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of about 75 percent of my lineups. Always remember the more rounds in a fight, the higher the fantasy score could be. This slate is very tough to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset. I will use a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Value, Locked-In, Top Scoring, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat or you can find me on Twitter @JThomsonDFS. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

The Final Round At Fight Island .

WHITTAKER VS. TILL

It has been a fantastic run on UFC Fight Island. Every fight on every card has not disappointed. We have witnessed a ton of action-packed battles. This will be the last of the Fight Island fights in Abu Dhabi before heading back home to the Apex Arena in Las Vegas. Every fight card has been an exciting, nonstop experience, and on Saturday, July 25, we are being blessed with a massive amount of fights. There will be FIFTEEN FIGHTS! This enormous fight card is most definitely the toughest list of contests that I have ever tried to predict.

Tonight im here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for the last fight card on UFC Fight Island.

Win Daily Sports is committed to bringing its members and subscribers fresh content daily for as long as the professional sports leagues remain on hiatus. Our goal is to continue to focus on how to be better DFS and Sports Gamblers by teaching you how to do the little things better just like the pros. Sign up at this link and stay prepared!

MY MMA VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Jai Herbert (+145) (DK 7700) (FD $14) vs. Francisco Trinaldo (-165) (DK 8500) (FD $17).

Trinaldo has been in the UFC for a long time. He has accumulated a record of 15 wins and six losses in his UFC career. 21 Fights, not something to laugh at. Over time, as every fight passes and every minute goes by, the beating that a fighter takes will wear on the body. Trinaldo has fought some of the toughest competition in his career. He has been in some dog fights that he has won and some that he has lost.

The problem that I have with Trinaldo is that he needs to be more aggressive in his matches. There have been multiple fights that, in my opinion, he should have won via decision, but instead, he took a loss by leaving it up to the judges and letting them decide if his lack of aggression was enough to win or lose. Now he is facing an opponent that could undoubtedly stop him right in his tracks and capitalize on his passive fighting style.

Jai Herbert is no rookie to fighting as he comes into this fight with a record of ten wins and one loss as a professional fighter but is finally making his longly anticipated UFC debut. Herbert is no stranger to aggressiveness. He has won every single one of his fights via stoppage except one, whether it be a submission or TKO.

Herbert is mainly a boxer and is extremely dangerous. He does not let up. He will come into this fight looking for every opportunity he can to finish Trinaldo. His speed and power, I believe, will be too much for Trinaldo to handle. Herbert has only had one fight in his career go to the third round. This looks like another stoppage before the third round.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Jai Herbert (+145) (DK 7700) (FD $14). SECOND ROUND TKO/SUBMISSION.

MY MMA LOCKED-IN TARGET:

Tom Aspinall (-220) (DK 8800) (FD $17) vs. Jake Collier (+180) (DK 7400) (FD $13).

Jake Collier has not been in a fight in almost two years; he has a professional record of eleven wins and four losses. Collier entered the UFC with one loss in his career and looked mediocre with a three-win and three loss UFC record. In his last fight (almost two years ago), he was able to outwork Fortuna in a unanimous decision win.

Before his win against Fortuna, he took a beating by Devin Clark and lost convincingly via unanimous decision. Collier has shown glimpses of a top fighter but has made a ton of mistakes. His mistakes have led to his even 500 record and have put him at a standstill in the UFC. On top of his mediocre performances, he is now fighting for the first time in the heavyweight division, and that has disaster written all over it.

Aspinall has seven wins and two losses as a professional fighter. This will be Tom’s UFC debut. He is a sniper with his right hand, and primarily a striker inside the octagon. When Tom is not landing with his boxing, he starts focusing on kicks to the body and low calf kicks. His Muy Tai style starts to show, and he can be devastating with that skillset. Both of these fighters have enough power to knock out the other. Aspinall, in my opinion, has more power. Aspinall has only been to a fight that ended in a decision one time in his entire fighting career. I expect this to be more of the same, with Tom catching Collier with multiple different combos and putting him to sleep in the second round.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Tom Aspinall (-220) (DK 8800) (FD $17) SECOND ROUND TKO.

MY MMA TOP SCORING TARGET:

Khamzat Chimaev (-1100) (DK 9800) (FD $20) vs. Rhys Mckee (+600) (DK 6400) (FD $9).

Khamzat had his first career UFC win in his debut on July 15, 2020. Yes, he will be fighting again on one of the fastest turn arounds in UFC history (10 days). After Chimaev’s dominant performance over John Phillips (second-round submission), he asked Uncle Dana for another fight, and if you ask, you shall receive. In Khamzat’s debut, he showed why exactly he belongs in the UFC.

The performance he showed the world was extremely impressive. He mirrored the fighting style of Khabib Nurmagomedov. For those who do not know who Khabib is, he is the UFC Lightweight Champion, with an undefeated record of 28 wins, zero losses, ranked number two in the UFC men’s pound-for-pound rankings, and one of the most dominant grapplers in the world. Chimaev is also undefeated in his young career (7-0). His last fight was won in the middleweight division, which is a heavier weight class than his normal division (Welterweight). After he looked huge and dominant in a heavier division, he is going back to a lighter division, where he will most definitely have an advantage versus an undersized opponent in Rhys Mckee.

Khamzat will look to prove to the world that he is not messing around, here to stay and going to put a staple down with his second dominant performance in just ten days. Mckee will most likely give it everything he has, but will not be even close to enough versus and opponent with the fighting style of Chimaev. Look to see this fight end in the first round via submission.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Khamzat Chimaev (-1100) (DK 9800) (FD $20) FIRST ROUND TKO/SUBMISSION.

UFC HONORABLE MENTION:

Marina Rodriguez (-170) (DK 8600) (FD $16)

Paul Craig (-135) (DK 8000) (FD $15)

Robert Whittaker (-135) (DK 8300) (FD $21)

(RISKY GPP ONLY): John Castaneda (+355) (DK 6700) (FD $11)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s 15 bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 10 GPP lineups. I will be focusing on the three targets listed in my article to be a part of about 75 percent of my lineups. Always remember the more rounds in a fight, the higher the fantasy score could be. This slate is very tough to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset. I will use a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Value, Locked-In, Top Scoring, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat or you can find me on Twitter @JThomsonDFS. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!