Fight

UFC FIGHT NIGHT.

Welcome back for another fantastic UFC fight card, where we will show you how to pick winners, utilize value, and create some winning DFS lineups! Over the last two days at WinDailySports.com, we have released a first look article with three fights that the favorite should capitalize on. We released a highly anticipated video with three great underdogs.

Now we are here with another top-notch article that will have you counting down the minutes until the first fight of UFC Vegas 17 Thompson vs. Neal on Saturday, December 19. Today I am going to give you the secret sauce to building your very own winning UFC DFS lineup, starting with a solid core.

Win Daily Sports is committed to bringing its members and subscribers fresh content daily. Our goal is to continue to focus on how to be better DFS and Sports Gamblers by teaching you how to do the little things better just like the pros. Sign up at this link and stay prepared!

THE STAR:

Here is where I explain how I start my UFC DFS lineups and what I do in the beginning stages of my building process. The first thing is finding your most confident pick. This will be any fighter that you feel should win the fight and either knock his opponent out or submit him early in the battle. The first fighter for my lineups will be Tafon Nchukwi. Nchukwi comes in as one of the biggest favorites on the fight card at -305. He is my most confident pick that I also feel will produce the most fantasy points with an early stoppage to the fight. The first fighter you plug into your lineup should always be your NUMBER ONE PICK (THE STAR).

(THE STAR) Tafon Nchukwi -305 (DK 9400) (FD $23).

THE VALUE:

The second fighter that I input into my lineup is ALWAYS someone that is in a good spot to win, but Vegas and the rest of the world don’t necessarily think so. By doing this, you separate yourself from a majority of the people either playing in your GPP or cash game. When you separate yourself with a fighter that everyone might be overlooking, it will give you leverage. Leverage is key to winning that monster first place prize that we all want to take home.

For this UFC card, my leverage (THE VALUE) fighter is going to be Rob Font. Font is only a slight underdog (+120) in Vegas’s eyes, but, Draftkings has him underpriced in my opinion at 7200, as does Fanduel ($11). To me, this is a perfect opportunity to use what looks like a misprice on both sites to your advantage. This also makes your lineup unique, and when sliding in a player so cheap, you can fit more potential upside with fighters that you predict to win by knockout or submission into your UFC DFS lineup.

(THE VALUE) Rob Font +120 (DK 7200) (FD $11).

THE LOCK:

The third fighter you put into your UFC DFS lineup should be one that, whether you are building a stars and scrubs lineup or a balanced lineup, will fit right in with no issues. This fighter is also known to me as my lineup glue. No matter what, they are the one that holds the lineup together. This fighter can fit in with any lineup construction you imagine. They should always be strong enough to end the fight inside the distance but also have the endurance to last every second of the fight and still come out victorious.

There is one fighter on this fight card, in my eyes, that fits this mold, and that is Antonio Arroyo (THE LOCK). Arroyo is a -160 betting favorite, has a Draftkings salary of 8900, and a Fanduel value of $16. Whether he is in a short winning fight or a long winning fight, he will produce very strong fantasy numbers. Antonio is also in a price range that not many people will go to when building their lineups. He has slate-breaking upside and, together with everything else, will make for a deadly DFS combo in your UFC DFS lineup.

(THE LOCK) Antonio Arroyo -160 (DK 8900) (FD $16).

SUMMARY:

When building a UFC DFS lineup, the core of your lineup is the most crucial part. You want to make sure that your lineup’s core is extremely strong and can not be broken. This is the foundation of what will be the winning lineup. You have to double and triple check your research to make sure that you will succeed. When you build your core, it is easy to fill in the other three spots that are left. It will make for an extremely confident UFC DFS lineup.

In my UFC DFS lineups, I will be starting with the core I have listed above, followed by filling in the blanks with my other picks and predictions from my Wednesday article and Thursday video. We will have any question you have ready to be answered in the WinDaily Discord leading up to the fight, and you can find me there 24/7 @JThomsonDFS. If you need more insight, I am also available on Twitter @JThomsonDFS , and the entire WinDailySports team is ready, willing, and able to answer anything you have on your mind. We have so much more to offer! Do not miss out, and Don’t forget to come back and WIN DAILY!

UFC FIGHT NIGHT.

Thompson vs. Neal.

Can’t wait for UFC this Saturday? Don’t worry; We have you covered at WinDaily with an early look at some of my top plays for this weekend’s insane 14 fights. I will give you a breakdown of three fights that caught my attention as soon as I looked at the fight card. UFC Vegas 17, Thompson vs. Neal is going to be one for the ages!

Win Daily Sports is committed to bringing its members and subscribers fresh content daily. Our goal is to continue to focus on how to be better DFS and Sports Gamblers by teaching you how to do the little things better just like the pros. Sign up at this link and stay prepared!

UFC DFS Pick One:

Jimmy Flick -150 (DK 8700) (FD $17) vs. Cody Durden +120 (DK 7500) (FD $12).

This is the second attempt at this fight that was initially supposed to happen two weeks ago, and I have been feeling the same way about it as I did then. Durden is 3-1-1 in his last five fights and is going to come in with more ownership than I am comfortable with as an underdog. He’s facing off against a fighter that will give him hell on the mat.

Jimmy Flick is 4-1 in his last five fights, and even though he does not have the best striking defense, I believe that he will push through that and force Durden to the mat. The second that Durden is on the mat with Flick, it puts Cody in an awkward situation. The ground is where Flick thrives, and I still believe he will completely take over there. In my opinion, Flick should wrap him up and end him in the first round.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Jimmy Flick -150 (DK 8700) (FD $17). FIRST-ROUND SUBMISSION.

UFC DFS Pick Two:

Tafon Nchukwi -305 (DK 9400) (FD $23) vs. Jamie Pickett +245 (DK 6800) (FD $9).

Here is a fight with a fighter who has never been knocked out (Pickett) against a fighter with heavy hands (Nchukwi). With Pickett being more experienced, Nchukwi is in for a test, but not a test of his ability to perform. It is a test of how fast he can knock him out.

Nchukwi is a heavy favorite, and for a good reason. He has four wins and one loss in his last five fights. Tafon has legitimate takedown defense. Even though he has a low output in his hands when he lands, he lands extremely hard. I believe there is a first time for everything, and Pickett will take the first knockout loss of his career in the very first round.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Tafon Nchukwi -305 (DK 9400) (FD $23). FIRST-ROUND TKO.

UFC DFS Pick Three:

Deron Winn +130 (DK 7300) (FD $12) vs. Antonio Arroyo -160 (DK 8900) (FD $16).

Winn vs. Arroyo was the fight that I immediately fell in love with. Winn does not have confidence in his Jui-Jitsu, has not looked good in his previous fights, and is severely undersized. Arroyo is nine inches taller and has a reach advantage of three and a half inches. Antonio is an excellent striker, has phenomenal kicks, and has a solid ground game. Arroyo has won 88 percent of his fights by finish, and I feel that it will happen here as well with an early first-round knockout.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Antonio Arroyo -160 (DK 8900) (FD $16). FIRST-ROUND TKO.

SUMMARY:

It is still early, and a lot of things can change significantly in the UFC. There are currently 14 fights scheduled for Saturday, and I am hoping that they all stay intact, but it can most definitely change, as we have seen with recent fight cards.

I will use my core fighters (Value, Locked-In, Top Scoring, Honorable Mention) from my Friday article to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat or you can find me on Twitter @JThomsonDFS. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

UFC FIGHT NIGHT.

HALL VS. SILVA.

We have an action-packed UFC fight card tonight! UFC Fight Night Hall vs. Silva starts with seven preliminary fights, followed up with five excellent fights on the main menu at the Apex Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. This is a fight card with 24 fighters scheduled to go to battle. I cannot wait to watch this massive TWELVE fight combination!

In my UFC DFS lineups, I normally have 100% exposure to the Main Event, but this fight is different. I will only have about 60% exposure because I feel that this fight will end in a low scoring decision, with the possibility of not reaching the optimal lineup. The Main Event is a five-round fight. The Main Event WILL NOT be featured as one of my top three plays (Top Value Play, Locked In-Play, or Top Scoring Play) but WILL be featured in my Honorable Mention category. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Fight Night Hall vs. Silva.

Win Daily Sports is committed to bringing its members and subscribers fresh content daily for as long as the professional sports leagues remain on hiatus. Our goal is to continue to focus on how to be better DFS and Sports Gamblers by teaching you how to do the little things better just like the pros. Sign up at this link and stay prepared!

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Miles Johns -160 (DK 8400) (FD $18) vs. Kevin Natividad +130 (DK 7800) (FD $12).

This fight is a very interesting matchup. Miles has a record of ten wins and one loss with one win and one loss in the UFC. Johns is coming off of a knockout loss to Mario Bautista, where he was caught with a flying knee in the second round of the fight. He is a fighter who wrestlers more than he likes to strike, and I feel that could backfire on him here.

Natividad is making his UFC debut with a record of nine wins and one loss in his career and is on a five-fight winning streak. Natividad is primarily a stand and bang puncher who could outproduce anyone that is put in front of him. I believe Natividad will completely outwork and out-strike Johns in a close but high scoring fight that is determined by a decision.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Kevin Natividad +130 (DK 7800) (FD $12). DECISION.

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET:

Maurice Greene +255 (DK 7400) (FD $10) vs. Greg Hardy -330 (DK 8800) (FD $20).

Maurice Greene is in a spot that does not favor him. He has an overall record of nine wins and four losses, with four wins and two losses in the UFC. Greene is a great striker and has decent Jui-Jitsu, but the problem he will have is trying to avoid the power shots of Greg Hardy.

Greg Hardy is a unique fighter. He has power, unlike anyone you have ever seen, but can also move like he is a lightweight fighter. He will corner his opponent and throw a ridiculous amount of shots their way. Hardy has the agility and the ability to avoid submissions and takedowns. Greg is a heavy favorite, and for a good reason. He will do everything in his power to produce a finish, and I see him taking out Greene very early into this fight.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Greg Hardy -330 (DK 8800) (FD $20). FIRST-ROUND TKO.

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET:

Adrian Yanez -465 (DK 9200) (FD $16) vs. Victor Rodriguez +340 (DK 7000) (FD $???).

This is one of my favorite fights to target. Yanez comes into this fight with a record of eleven wins and three losses, making his UFC debut. Yanez last fought in the contender series, where he was very impressive in his victory, sending his opponent into outer space and leaving him with a long-lasting reminder of who he is—destroying him in the first round. Adrian is on a little winning streak, basically decapitating three out of his last four opponents. If he continues his powerful strikes, he will finish Rodriguez very quickly.

Victor Rodriguez comes into this fight as the clear-cut underdog with a record of seven wins and two losses, also making his UFC debut. Rodriguez is an animal, but he has not experienced much of a challenge in his career. He has finished or been finished in ALL of his career fights. Rodriguez has a potential shot here, but in my opinion, Yanez will eat him alive. If he goes all-out and forces his strikes as he has in previous fights, Adrian will catch him with a smooth upper or overhand in a very quick fashion.

I do believe Rodriguez continues to fight the same way he has in the past and will get knocked out at the end of the first round, after being punished for over four minutes.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Adrian Yanez -465 (DK 9200) (FD $16). FIRST-ROUND TKO.

UFC HONORABLE MENTION:

(No specific order unless noted)

(Update**)(Risky GPP Play) Justin Ledet +280 (DK 7300) (FD $9)

(Another Top Play) Cortney Casey -260 (DK 8700) (FD $18) (CANCELED)

(Great Value Play) Kevin Holland (DK 8200) (FD $17)

(GPP ONLY) (RISKY) Cole Williams +145 (DK 7900) (FD $15)

(MAIN EVENT) Uriah Hall -225 (DK 8500) (FD $17)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s TWELVE bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 20 GPP lineups. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of about 75 percent of my lineups. This slate is very tough to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset. I will use a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Value, Locked-In, Top Scoring, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat or you can find me on Twitter @JThomsonDFS. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

UFC 254 Fight Island.

KHABIB VS. GAETHJE.

We have an action-packed UFC fight card tonight! UFC 254 Fight Island, Khabib vs. Gaethje starts with two early preliminary fights, four dynamic preliminary fights. It follows up with six excellent fights on the main menu at Fight Island, Abu Dhabi. This is a fight card with 24 fighters scheduled to go to battle. I cannot wait to watch this massive TWELVE fight fiasco and Gaethje’s shot at the title! It is going to be epic!

In my UFC DFS lineups, I will have 100% exposure to the Main Event. The Main Event is a five-round fight. The Main Event WILL NOT be featured as one of my top three plays (Top Value Play, Locked In-Play, or Top Scoring Play) but WILL be featured in my Honorable Mention category. My Main Event target will be a top play. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC 254 Fight Island, Khabib vs. Gaethje.

Win Daily Sports is committed to bringing its members and subscribers fresh content daily for as long as the professional sports leagues remain on hiatus. Our goal is to continue to focus on how to be better DFS and Sports Gamblers by teaching you how to do the little things better just like the pros. Sign up at this link and stay prepared!

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Alex Olivera -115 (DK 8500) (FD $16) vs. Shavkat Rakhmonov -115 (DK 7700) (FD $14).

This is one of my favorite fights to target. The odds that this fight ends in a finish are very high. Olivera is 22-6-1 in his professional career. He has been finished in 50% of his losses and has the potential to finish his opponents, but that is where I will differ. Shavkat Rakhmonov came into this fight as a decent size underdog and has now been bet down by the public to a coinflip at -115. The public is correct, in my opinion.

Rakhmonov currently has twelve wins and zero losses in his professional fighting career. He has never been finished in his career as he is undefeated. Every one of his fights has ended inside the distance, meaning he has knocked out or submitted every opponent he has faced. Coming into his UFC debut, I feel that it will be more of the same, and Shavkat will work Olivera into the ground and finish him late in the fight.

With Shavkat coming in as an underdog, his salaries on both Draftkings and Fanduel are too low, in my opinion. He is a steal! His winning odds of -115 line up for also one of my favorite bets of the day as well. I will have minor shares of Olivera due to his KO potential, but I will not get carried away. Rakhmonov is by far my favorite value of the card on both DK and FD.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Shavkat Rakhmonov -115 (DK 7700) (FD $14). THIRD-ROUND TKO.

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET:

Magomed Ankalaev -315 (DK 8900) (FD $19) vs. Ion Cutelaba +255 (DK 7300) (FD $9).

Ankalaev is lined up for another amazing performance. This UFC fight could and should be very short-lived. Ankalaev is on a four-fight winning streak, with three of those four coming by way of finish. Magomed throws some heavy strikes and could absolutely knock out anyone in his division. He has already proven he could destroy Cutelaba, as he already finished him in his most recent fight in the first-round. Magomed Ankalaev has a record of thirteen wins and only one loss, and that loss came back in 2018, where he was caught late in the third-round by a triangle choke. He has been out for blood ever since that fight.

Cutelaba has fifteen wins in his career, but he also has five losses, and out of those five losses, four of them came via finish. Three of those finishes came early into the fight. Cutelaba is another heavy hitter that could easily knock the lights out of anyone, but in this fight, I think that Ankalaev will get the better of him and catch him with a clean overhand in the first-round again. This is another fight I will have minimal shares of the opponent due to the potential for an off-chance KO. Expect this to be a repeat of their last meeting.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Magomed Ankalaev -315 (DK 8900) (FD $19) FIRST-ROUND TKO.

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET:

Jacob Malkoun +195 (DK 7100) (FD $10) vs. Phil Hawes -250 (DK 9100) (FD $19).

This fight is one that confuses me a bit, but not enough to fade my projected TOP SCORING fighter of the fight card. Malkoun has an overall record of four wins and zero losses. Yes, only FOUR wins in his career, and he is making his UFC debut. Jacob is a very fresh fighter with minimal experience and is lined up to make a debut in the UFC that fighters wait years and years for. Two of his four wins have come by way of KO and the other two via decision. He has not fought any big-named opponents and has not fought anyone with a ton of experience. In my opinion, he is not ready for the challenge he faces with squaring off against Phil Hawes.

Phil Hawes has a professional record of eight wins, two losses and is also making his UFC debut. Hawes is on a four-fight win streak, with every one of those coming by way of first-round knockout. Hawes is by far the more experienced fighter and is the overall better fighter, in my opinion. Phil comes out of the gate fast and with power. He can destroy his opponent by strikes or sneak them into submission. Hawes is a great all-around fighter and should have no issue with Malkoun. He should light him up with many strikes in the first-round and then finish him off with a nasty cross late in the first. I will have very small shares of Malkoun in my UFC DFS lineups, only because his pricetag is so low that you can fit other heavy favorites into your lineups.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Phil Hawes -250 (DK 9100) (FD $19). FIRST-ROUND TKO.

UFC HONORABLE MENTION:

(No specific order unless noted)

(ANOTHER TOP PLAY) Jung Da Un -340 (DK 9400) (FD $22)

(Another TOP VALUE) Tai Tuivasa -120 (DK 7900) (FD $15)

(GPP ONLY) (RISKY) Nathaniel Wood +145 (DK 7500) (FD $13)

(MAIN EVENT) Khabib Nurmagomedov -340 (DK 9200) (FD $24) (70%)

(MAIN EVENT) Justin Gaethje +265 (DK 7000) (FD $18) (30%)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s TWELVE bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 20 GPP lineups. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of about 75 percent of my lineups. This slate is very tough to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset. I will use a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Value, Locked-In, Top Scoring, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat or you can find me on Twitter @JThomsonDFS. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

UFC Fight Island 6.

Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie

We have an action-packed UFC fight card tonight! UFC Fight Island 6, Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie starts with six dynamic preliminary fights and follows up with five excellent fights on the main menu at Fight Island, Abu Dhabi. This is a fight card with 22 fighters scheduled to go to battle. I cannot wait to watch this massive eleven fight fiasco. It is going to be epic!

In my UFC DFS lineups, I will have 100% exposure to the Main Event. The Main Event is a five-round fight. The Main Event WILL NOT be featured as one of my top three plays (Top Value Play, Locked In-Play, or Top Scoring Play) but WILL be featured in my Honorable Mention category. My Main Event target will be a top play. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Fight Island 6, Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie.

Win Daily Sports is committed to bringing its members and subscribers fresh content daily for as long as the professional sports leagues remain on hiatus. Our goal is to continue to focus on how to be better DFS and Sports Gamblers by teaching you how to do the little things better just like the pros. Sign up at this link and stay prepared!

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Fares Ziam +115 (DK 7900) (FD $15) vs. Jamie Mullarkey -145 (DK 8300) (FD $15).

This fight between Ziam and Mullarkey, in my opinion, is a coinflip fight. Both fighters have four wins and one loss in their last five fights. The difference in this fight is going to be the toughness of the fighter. I believe that Ziam is going to outlast Mullarkey and possibly be able to finish him in the later stage of the battle. Both of these fighters tend to go blow for blow with no mercy.

Ziam will catch Mullarkey with everything he has in the tank, and Mullarkey tends to leave himself open to easy punishment. The public is currently on Mullarkey, but I see this fight ending differently. I will side with Ziam being able to end this fight late in the third, where his stamina will come into play.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Fares Ziam +115 (DK 7900) (FD $15). THIRD-ROUND TKO.

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET:

Gillian Robertson -240 (DK 8700) (FD $18) vs. Poliana Botelho +200 (DK 7500) (FD $12)

Gillian Robertson (-240) is squaring off against Poliana Botelho. She has an overall record of eight wins and four losses in her career. Botelho has a record of eight wins and two losses in her career and is coming in as an overwhelming underdog at +200. Botelho will have a three-inch height advantage and a four-inch reach advantage, but that will be irrelevant if she can not stay on her feet. Poliana tends to get taken down very easily. Her takedown defense is mediocre at best, and that is where Robertson will shine.

Robertson has an outstanding takedown accuracy and is going to use every possible opportunity she is given. Botelho will be caught completely off guard in this fight and should be on her back and submitted very quickly. I am going to predict that Robertson wins this fight in the first round via submission.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Gillian Robertson -240 (DK 8700) (FD $18) FIRST-ROUND SUBMISSION.

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET:

Gadzhimurad Antigulov +310 (DK 7100) (FD $10) vs. Maxim Grishin -380 (DK 9100) (FD $20).

Antigulov is 20-7 in his career as a professional fighter and is coming in as a huge underdog (+310) versus Maxim Grishin (-380), who has a record of 30 wins, eight losses, and two draws. This fight is most definitely going to end via knockout. 95% of Antigulovs fights have been finished within the distanced. Antigulov is a very dangerous fighter. Either he wins or loses in the first few minutes of every fight he is involved in.

If he catches Grishin with one of his monstrous shots, he is going to drop very quickly. If Grishin can weather the storm of Gadzhimurad, he will come out on top. Even though the Vegas odds are very wide, I still feel that they are accurate. I feel that Maxim will outlast Antigulov and finish him in the first round after dodging huge power shots.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Maxim Grishin -380 (DK 9100) (FD $20). FIRST-ROUND TKO.

UFC HONORABLE MENTION:

(No specific order unless noted)

Thomas Almeida -130 (DK 8200) (FD $17)

Brian Ortega +160 (DK 7600) (FD $19)

Jun Yong Park -270 (DK 8800) (FD $17)

(GPP ONLY) (RISKY) Guram Kutateladze +250 (DK 7300) (FD $11)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s eleven bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 20 GPP lineups. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of about 75 percent of my lineups. This slate is very tough to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset. I will use a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Value, Locked-In, Top Scoring, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat or you can find me on Twitter @JThomsonDFS. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

UFC Fight Island 5.

Moraes vs. Sandhagen.

We have an action-packed UFC fight card tonight! UFC Fight Island 5, Moraes vs. Sandhagen starts with seven dynamic preliminary fights and follows up with six excellent fights on the main menu at Fight Island, Abu Dhabi. This is a fight card with 26 fighters scheduled to go to battle. I cannot wait to watch this massive THIRTEEN fight fiasco. It is going to be epic!

In my UFC DFS lineups, I will have 100% exposure to the Main Event. The Main Event is a five-round fight. The Main Event WILL NOT be featured as one of my top three plays (Top Value Play, Locked In-Play, or Top Scoring Play) but WILL be featured in my Honorable Mention category. My Main Event target will be a top play. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Fight Island 5 Moraes vs. Sandhagen.

Win Daily Sports is committed to bringing its members and subscribers fresh content daily for as long as the professional sports leagues remain on hiatus. Our goal is to continue to focus on how to be better DFS and Sports Gamblers by teaching you how to do the little things better just like the pros. Sign up at this link and stay prepared!

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Youssef Zalal -165 (DK 8600) (FD $17) vs. Ilia Topuria +135 (DK 7600) (FD $15).

Zalal is coming into this fight as the popular pick and with good reason. Youssef is a solid striker with good takedown defense and has started his UFC career with three wins in a row. His speed and movement is something that could make even the most experienced fighters do a double-take. He needs to use his speed and movement to make Ilia tired if he wants an opportunity to win this fight.

Topuria has an undefeated professional record of eight wins and no losses, making his UFC debut. Ilia is a very skilled wrestler and can implement his submission attempts exceptionally well. He has the ability to turn just about any mistake into someone’s worst nightmare and submit them before they realize what had happened. I believe Topuria will be able to catch Zalal moving too fast and take him out with a submission at the beginning of the second round.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Ilia Topuria +135 (DK 7600) (FD $15). SECOND-ROUND SUBMISSION.

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET:

Tom Aspinall -640 (DK 9400) (FD $21) vs. Alan Baudot +440 (DK 6800) (FD $8).

Aspinall is primarily a Muay Thai striker that steps into the octagon on Saturday with a record of one win and no losses in the UFC. Tom is the heaviest favorite on the entire card, and I agree whole heartedly with the Vegas sports betting odds in this scenario. He is a heavyweight that moves very well and is faster than most of his opponents. His strikes are very clean, precise, fast, and powerful. If his opponent creates even the smallest of openings, Tom will light them up like a Christmas tree.

Alan Baudot is making his UFC debut after rolling to an eight-win, one loss record as a professional. Baudot fights a lot like Aspinall if you were to look at his previous matches. Alan is a decent Muay Thai striker and powerful puncher, but in my opinion, is extremely overmatched in this fight. Aspinall is at a way higher level than Baudot, and I think it will show very clearly in this fight. I don’t see Alan making it too far into this fight without getting his bell rung really hard.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Tom Aspinall -640 (DK 9400) (FD $21). FIRST-ROUND TKO.

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET:

Dricus Du Plessis -170 (DK 8400) (FD $17) vs. Markus Perez +140 (DK 7800) (FD $16).

Du Plessis is a K-1 kickboxer with a professional record of fourteen wins and two losses, making his UFC debut. He is an outstanding striker but has a very unique set of skills when it comes to grappling and submissions. Out of his 16 fights, there has not been a single fight that was not finished inside the distance. All of his fights were TKOs or Submissions. He absolutely loves locking in the rear-naked choke on his opponent, and if there’s an opening for a submission, he is going to attempt it.

Markus Perez has twelve wins, three losses as a professional, two wins, three losses in the UFC, and is coming off of a heartbreaking loss to Wellington Turman. In his last fight, he was dominated all the way through, en route to a unanimous decision loss and is looking to bounce back in a big way. Perez is mainly a grappler, and that is where he will need to be to attempt to beat Du Plessis, but I do not see that happening. Dricus is way more fundamentally sound than Perez and will force him into awkward situations. I see Du Plessis giving Perez his first submission loss in the UFC in round number one.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Dricus Du Plessis -170 (DK 8400) (FD $17). FIRST-ROUND SUBMISSION.

UFC HONORABLE MENTION:

(No specific order unless noted)

Rodrigo Nascimento -265 (DK 9200) (FD $19) (Added Top Play)

Cory Sandhagen -135 (DK 8200) (FD $21) (Main Event)

Ben Rothwell -150 (DK 8500) (FD $18)

Omar Morales -160 (DK 8300) (FD $17)

(GPP ONLY) (RISKY) Stephanie Egger +160 (DK 7200) (FD $10)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s thirteen bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 20 GPP lineups. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of about 75 percent of my lineups. This slate is very tough to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset. I will use a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Value, Locked-In, Top Scoring, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat or you can find me on Twitter @JThomsonDFS. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

UFC Fight Island 4.

Holm vs. Aldana.

We are back at you with another top knock UFC fight card on Fight Island, Abu Dhabi. This card is far from impressive at first glance, but if you start digging, you can start to see the diamonds in the rough. Holly Holm and Irene Aldana headline UFC Vegas 4. This will be a battle with what I expect to be a lot of decision wins, and just because there will potentially be a lot of fights going the distance doesn’t mean that they won’t be amazing fights to watch.

In my UFC DFS lineups, I will usually have 100% exposure to the Main Event, but this is not a usual Main Event. This Main Event, I will have about 50% exposure because both fighters tend to go the distance and do not score very high. The Main Event WILL NOT be featured as one of my top three plays (Top Value Play, Locked In-Play, or Top Scoring Play) but WILL be featured in my Honorable Mention category. My Main Event target will be a top play. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Fight Island 4 Holm vs. Aldana.

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MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Carlos Condit +100 (DK 7900) (FD $16) vs. Court McGee -130 (DK 8300) (FD $17).

Carlos Condit is a veteran of the fight game, stepping into the octagon with 44 fights under his belt. Those fights consist of 30 wins and 13 losses. Condit has been on a torrential downswing as of late, losing his last five battles, and losing six out of his last seven overall.

McGee is also a veteran of the fight game, but his previous few fights have gone a tiny bit better, in my opinion. He has won three out of his last eight fights and is honestly more conditioned for this fight. Im going out on a limb by locking in McGee, but I feel that Condit is officially done fighting after he gets beaten down by Court in this bout.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Court McGee -130 (DK 8300) (FD $17) DECISION.

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET:

Casey Kenney -340 (DK 9000) (FD $19) vs. Heili Alateng +265 (DK 7200) (FD $12).

Kenney has a considerable advantage in this matchup. He is coming into this fight with an excellent record of 14 wins, two losses, and one no contest. Casey is the better overall fighter in this bout. He has better striking, grappling, Jui-Jitsu, and basically better everything. In his last fight he showed he wasn’t just a decision machine, but he could catch a finish as well. I think he can do the same exact thing here.

Alateng has not impressed me when watching his fight film. He is not even close to the level that Kenney is on. If he tries to fight outside of his comfort zone, he will be in for a long match. Kenney should have no problem shutting him down to the point where he physically can not do anything. I predict Casey to finish this fight early in the second round.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Casey Kenney -340 (DK 9000) (FD $19) SECOND-ROUND TKO.

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET:

Charles Jourdain -460 (DK 9300) (FD $22) vs. Joshua Culibao +340 (DK 6900) (FD $9).

Jourdain is coming into this fight with a professional record of ten wins and three losses. He has been an absolute maniac in the octagon, with every one of his wins coming by way of finish. The three losses that he has on his record are by decision. When Charles gets rolling, he looks like a train that can not be stopped. He will overpower his opponent and put them into situations almost impossible to get out of. Jourdain has a knack for coming out of the corner, going balls to the wall, and throwing everything he has at his opponent. If he starts off against Culibao the way he has in his previous victories, this will be a quick fight.

Culibao is a good overall fighter but is not nearly as strong as Jourdain. Josh will attempt to deflect some of his power and will most likely be unsuccessful. Even though Culibao is 8-1 in his career, I believe he has a repeat performance of his most recent fight and is getting finished early.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Charles Jourdain -460 (DK 9300) (FD $22) FIRST-ROUND TKO.

UFC HONORABLE MENTION:

(No specific order)

Kyler Phillips -500 (DK 9200) (FD $21)

Holly Holm -120 (DK 8400) (FD $20)

(GPP ONLY) Nassourdine Imavov -110 (DK 7500) (FD $15)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s eleven bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 10 GPP lineups. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of about 75 percent of my lineups. This slate is very tough to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset. I will use a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Value, Locked-In, Top Scoring, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat or you can find me on Twitter @JThomsonDFS. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!