Welcome to Friday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.
It’s full-slate Friday. Tonight we have a massive 13-game slate of MLB DFS. While this slate is lacking the top-tier aces, it does provide us with pitchers that have been pitching at or near ace level at non-ace level price. At first glance, this looks to be a fun slate with a healthy amount of options both on the pitching front and stacking front.
Let’s dig and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Tyler Wells vs. Kansas City Royals
The Baltimore Orioles and Tyler Wells get to take on a bad Kansas City Royals team tonight. Wells for his part has been very good. Over the past month, Wells has an ERA of 3.49, while striking out nearly 35% of the batters he’s faced. He’s coming into this having been over 23 DK in 3 of his last 5 outings and hasn’t been in single digits since all the way back in April. He’s been one of the Orioles better this season and his price is just $8.3k tonight on DK.
He’ll face a Royals lineup that has a 26% K rate vs. righties this season and just a .150 ISO. Anything can happen on any given day, but I really like the spot for Wells tonight and he’ll be a lock in all of my lineups.
Shohei Ohtani vs. Seattle Mariners
Shohei Ohtani is coming into this one on the heels of one of his poorest performances in America. Last time out he faced the Astros and the start just didn’t go well. He allowed 5 ER in his 6 innings of work and struck out just 6. I’m going to give him a pass because it’s the Houston Astros and they are one of the top lineups in all of baseball.
Tonight he gets a much easier task as he’ll face off against a very disappointing Seattle Mariners lineup. This is a lineup that strikes out a ton which presents us with a ton of upside from Ohtani. The Mariners are striking out nearly 26% of the time vs. righties this season. Look for Ohtani to have a nice bounce-back game tonight and end up as one of the top-performing pitchers.
Other pitchers that have my interest tonight are going to be Marcus Stroman vs. San Francisco, Christian Javier vs. Cleveland, and Gerrit Cole vs. Boston. Going with a Stroman/Wells combo tonight very well could net you close to 50 points. At a combined $17k, you really can’t ask for more than that.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
New York Mets vs. Dick Moutain – AKA Rich Hill
The New York Mets are coming off as disappointing of a series as they’ve had in a number of years. They blew 3-run leads in consecutive games. The good news for us is that this wasn’t related to their bats, but their pitching. Their bats have come alive as they just put 19 runs against a very good Atlanta Braves pitching staff.
They’ll have the luxury of facing off against a pitcher tonight that is about 5 years past his expiration date. Rich Hill is no longer the pitcher that he once was and the Mets should be able to get to him tonight. Hill has struggled against righties this season and the Mets will more than likely have 7-8 righties in the lineup tonight, well as long as Buck doesn’t play Daniel Vogelbach.
I’m going to start my Mets stack off with 2 of their youngsters, and that’s Francisco Alvarez and Mark Vientos. Alvarez in his short time in the big leagues is making a strong case for Rookie of the Year. He belted another 2 homers last night, bringing his season total to 11. He’s also up to 23 RBI on the year. The Mets haven’t had a backstop with this offensive prowess since the days of Mike Piazza.
I’m also willing to take a shot at Vientos. He did struggle last night, going 0-5 with 3 K’s. He should have an easier showing tonight vs. Hill and he was a lefty crusher in the minors. Both of these guys have home run potential tonight. I also want to add Francisco Lindor, Mark Canha, and Starling Marte to this stack. After starting out the season slow, Marte’s bat is really coming around and he should put up a big night vs. the aging veteran in Hill.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Jordan Montgomery
We may start seeing the Reds in this stacking spot more often. They are no longer the punching bag that they were for the last few seasons. They have punch, they have spunk, and they have an attitude that says they just won’t give up in games. They’ll get to face off against a pitcher that is just 2-7 on the year and has struggled over the last month.
e’s pitched to an ERA of 5.76 over his last 25 innings of work. Montgomery has struggled vs. righties this season as they have a .351 wOBA vs. him and a .212 ISO. He’ll face a lineup that will consist of all righties tonight. That sets up extremely poorly for him.
We’ve seen so far what Elly De La Cruz can do as a lefty. Tonight we’ll see what he can do as a righty bat. If it’s anything like he’s done as a lefty, we’re in for a huge treat tonight! He’ll be a lock in my lineup when I stack the Reds and tonight will be no different.
I’ll look to build around him with guys like Matt McLain, Kevin Newman, and Spencer Steer. All 3 of these guys have crushed lefties this season. The only one of the 3 without a wOBA over .400 vs. lefties is Steer and he is at .392. We can also add guys like Jonathan India and Tyler Stephenson to this stack. This is becoming a pretty lineup and one that we’ll want to use often, especially in matchups like they have tonight.
I also really like the Twins tonight vs. Yusei Kikuchi. Kikuchi hasn’t been overly sharp over the last month. Twins have a shot to put up a big number tonight. Other stacks I like are the Yankees vs. Whitlock, Pirates vs. Tylor Megill (game stack), and Dodgers vs. Ranger Suarez.
MLB DFS Summary
This is shaping up to be a fun slate. We finally have both options on the mound and for stacking.
Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
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