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Fantasy Football Tight End Rankings

Adam Strangis
written by Adam Strangis

Fantasy Football Tight End Rankings

This position can be a whole lot of blah if you miss out on the elite options. Typically it comes down to if your player scores a touchdown that given week and that’s always difficult to predict. Still, you have to field a player in that position regardless so let’s talk about Fantasy Football Tight End Rankings!

Note – Any ADP (average draft position) is taken from FantasyData.com. In addition, these are my personal ranks and not WinDaily Staff ranks.

Fantasy Football Tight End Rankings

  1. Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs – Kelce scored as the WR4 in PPR settings last season, which is frankly an absurd advantage on your team. We mentioned this in the receiver ranks, but if Kelce gets some of the nearly 14% target share left from Sammy Watkins leaving the team, Kelce could push for 350 PPR points. For context, Davante Adams scored 358.4 points last year as the WR1. He was the only tight end to clear 1,200 receiving yards (1,416) and scored 11 times. 
  2. Darren Waller, Las Vegas Raiders – I believe the only player with a shot of unseating Kelce as the TE1 is Waller, instead of the man at third. Waller was only one target behind Kelce and under 100 yards behind in air yards. Waller also had one more RZ target and he led the position in receptions. Waller only finished 30 points behind Kelce, which is under two points per game. He doesn’t have the same sizzle as Kelce, but the 14 spot difference in ADP is appealing. 
  3. George Kittle, San Francisco 49ers – Kittle is the last of the elite tier in my eyes and still well worth a top 30 pick in the draft. The fact Kittle finished as the TE19 in just eight games speaks to how good he is and how shallow the position is. Kittle led in target share at 24.1% and still had a 26.2% air yards share. It would be a large upset if Kittle played the whole season and finished outside the top three. 
  4. T.J. Hockenson, Detroit Lions – Both Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones have moved on, leaving Hockenson as the possible number one option in the passing game. Breshad Perriman and Tyrell Williams aren’t exactly number ones in any passing game. He was fifth in targets among tight ends and tied for sixth in points per game. Since the Lions are going to be trailing an awful lot, Hockenson should be a lock to be inside the top-five in targets once again. 
  5. Mark Andrews, Baltimore Ravens – I think most would qualify Andrews as a disappointment last year but he finished fourth in points per game and he was the TE6. Andrews isn’t a target magnet since Baltimore was dead last in pass attempts in 2020 but he was tied for fifth in RZ targets and second in EZ targets. That’s what we look for in tight ends if we can’t have the elite tier and Andrews should have plenty of opportunities to score more than the seven touchdowns that he scored last year. 
  6. Kyle Pitts, Atlanta Falcons – Typically it is very difficult for rookie tight ends to make an impact. Pitts should be able to break that trend since he should be the number two option behind Calvin Ridley and he’ll be in space a ton. I can’t imagine the Falcons passed on multiple quarterbacks at the number four pick to play Pitts as a classic tight end. He won’t be blocking at the line of scrimmage very often. There is a Julio Jones-sized hole in this offense and Pitts should be able to help fill it. 
  7. Noah Fant, Denver Broncos – Fant battled injury through a lot of 2020 but still racked up an 18.2% target share and tied for the team lead in RZ targets. This is where tight ends get very difficult to try and project. Fant has to contend with iffy quarterback play and the duo of Jerry Jeudy and Courtland Sutton as competition for targets. I’m not sure Drew Lock or Teddy Bridgewater will support all three players in a passing game. 
  8. Logan Thomas, Washington Football Team – Thomas was tied for second in targets last season and rarely left the field with a 92.7% snap share. Thomas led the team in RZ and EZ targets as well, not to mention touchdown receptions with six. He finished as the TE3 last season and the only knock is Ryan Fitzpatrick could utilize his receivers more than Washington’s 2020 options. Additionally, they added Curtis Samuel to the offense so the same target share isn’t guaranteed at all. 
  9. Jonnu Smith, New England Patriots – He’s sitting at TE16 in ADP and I’m confused at that. Smith was a priority for New England and signed a deal worth potentially $50 million. They guaranteed over $31 million and still have limited options at the receiver position. New England either will have Cam Newton or will break in rookie Mac Jones at quarterback. It would be wild if either option didn’t treat Smith as an alpha in the passing game. 
  10. Dallas Goedert, Philadelphia Eagles – This is a pick that we’ll need to see how it plays out. There is a ton of new factors in the Philly offense this year. They have a new coach, a quarterback with under six games played, and a new receiver. Goedert should remain an important factor in this offense and he had a 16.7% target share last year in 11 games. I’m curious to see how Jalen Hurts handles Goedert. 
  11. Adam Trautman, New Orleans Saints – The second-year player is a popular breakout candidate as Jared Cook has moved on to the Chargers. Sean Payton and company gave up a lot of draft capital to get him in the 2020 draft. Trautman had a very quiet rookie season but still played 40% of the snaps. Cook was targeted 16 times last year and if Trautman gets that style of work, he could turn into an every-week option. 
  12. Evan Engram, New York Giants – They did add Kenny Golladay but Engram did lead in targets overall, RZ targets, and just missed leading in yards. Despite his 13 RZ targets, Engram only scored one touchdown all season. Even with concerns about a crowded passing tree and his quarterback, he has to score more than once this season. 

Thank you for reading my Fantasy Football Tight End Rankings and make sure you follow me on Twitter at @bucn4life! Be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

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NFL

Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Rankings

Adam Strangis
written by Adam Strangis

Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Rankings

You can argue that receiver is the deepest position in fantasy along with the quarterback spot and I’m not sure I’d fight you on that. My early lean if you’re drafting now is typically going to accentuate running back early unless the studs are gone when I pick. The position itself has so many big names that it can be tough to separate but that’s what we’re trying to do in the Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Rankings!

Note – Any ADP (average draft position) is taken from FantasyData.com. In addition, these are my personal ranks and not WinDaily Staff ranks.

Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Rankings

  1. Tyreek Hill, Kansas City Chiefs – There are not many receivers that can finish as the WR2 in PPR setting with just a 23.2% target share in his offense. Hill accomplished that in 2020 despite being seventh in receiving yards and ninth in targets among receivers. Scoring 17 total touchdowns will bump your scoring, but what happens if a secondary receiver doesn’t emerge for KC? What if the bulk of the 14% target share Sammy Watkins left just goes towards Hill and Kelce? We could see Hill go absolutely bonkers this season. 
  2. Stefon Diggs, Buffalo Bills – He led the league in targets, receptions, and yards in 2020. Even if you’re not the biggest Josh Allen fan, the Bills clearly understand how to use Diggs in this offense. I’m not sure how you could have him anywhere outside of the top-three. 
  3. DeAndre Hopkins, Arizona Cardinals – Only Diggs had more targets last season and the Cards played at the second-fastest pace in the league last year. Nuk had a 29.4% target share and 32.7% of the air yards in this offense last year. The additions of A.J. Green and Rondale Moore should open the field up more, in theory. Hopkins will always have the bulk of the coverage but Kyler Murray should still have room to grow as a traditional quarterback. Hopkins seems utterly safe. 
  4. Michael Thomas, New Orleans Saints – Perhaps folks are spooked after an injury-riddled season or the retirement of Drew Brees. Maybe folks don’t like Taysom Hill as the quarterback potentially with Thomas. Regardless, Thomas with an ADP of WR10 is crazy. With Hill, Thomas had four games. He posted 9/104/0, 4/50/1, 9/105/0, and 8/84/0. In the four reception game, Hill only threw 16 passes since the Broncos played without a quarterback. Thomas accounted for 28% of the targets and 43.6% of the air yards for the Saints. There’s little reason to fade him that far. 
  5. D.K. Metcalf, Seattle Seahawks – This beast of a man showed flashes of taking a giant leap last season, finishing as the WR7 on just 87 receptions (17th in the league). He played 92% of the snaps and accounted for nearly 40% of the air yards. If Metcalf adds just a touch more consistency (five games under 50 yards and he doesn’t catch a ton of passes to help), a top 3-5 finish is just a matter of time. 
  6. Calvin Ridley, Atlanta Falcons – We got a glimpse of Ridley’s life without Julio Jones last year since Julio only played nine games and life for Ridley was good. He finished as the WR4 in PPG and WR5 overall, hauling in 90 receptions and racking up 41.6% of the air yards. Ridley was also tied for the most end zone targets at 20. That may drop some with Kyle Pitts in the fold but Ridley is among the best receivers in the game. 
  7. Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers – Tell me who his quarterback is and he can shoot up to number 2-3 or drop out of the top 10 completely. 
  8. Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings – He walked through the door and smashed as a rookie, just missing a top-five finish. He owned the team lead in air yards and target share but finished third in red zone target share. He racked up 475 more receiving yards than teammate Adam Thielen and even if that gap closes, the 14-7 lead in touchdowns would be tough to repeat for Thielen. 
  9. Keenan Allen, Los Angeles Chargers – Allen played 14 games and finished just 19 targets behind Diggs for the league lead. He led the Chargers in target share at 26.7%, red-zone target share at 26.2%, receptions, and yards. Allen is a monster regardless of format, but PPR remains his best. 
  10. A.J. Brown, Tennessee Titans – Brown was likely top-five before Julio became a Titan. They lost roughly 39% of the target share in 2020 between Jonnu Smith and Corey Davis, not to mention about 33% of the air yards. Julio won’t take up all of that but I’d feel less comfortable taking Brown inside the top-five now. He and Mike Evans tied for the least receptions among any top 20 receivers last season. 
  11. Allen Robinson, Chicago Bears – Robinson slogged through another terrible year of QB play to finish fourth in receptions, eighth in yards, and 30% of the air yards in the Bears offense. If Justin Fields hits the ground running, Robinson could flirt with a top-five finish. He’s been one of the best receivers in football for almost his entire career, he just hasn’t had the quarterback to totally prove it. 
  12. Robert Woods, Los Angeles Rams – Talk about underrated, Woods is the poster boy. He had another top 12 finish last season and gets a massive upgrade at quarterback. Woods and Cooper Kupp were almost identical in air yards and targets last season but Woods tacked on 24 rushing attempts to put him over the top. 
  13. Terry McLaurin, Washington Football Team – Among receivers that played at least 12 games in 2020, Scary Terry led in air yards share at a massive 42%. Washington was just 30th in yards per attempt and Ryan Fitzpatrick will have zero fear about throwing the ball downfield. McLaurin was also 10th in targets in the league last season and it could all come together this year. 
  14. Diontae Johnson, Pittsburgh Steelers – It’s been lost in the shuffle a bit, but Johnson finished sixth in targets among receivers. He was injured and left early in a couple of games and yet he led the Steelers in target share at 22.9%. Additionally, he led in RZ and EZ targets while finishing just nine receptions behind JuJu Smith-Schuster for the team lead. I worry a lot about the offense overall but running back Najee Harris and their number one receiver can overcome the flaws. 
  15. CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys – I’m not likely to have Lamb in redraft because he’s going as the WR13 in ADP. Dak Prescott is back in action and one would think Lamb would easily exceed his 63.8% snap share from 2020. The target share was only 18% and the air yards share was 22.7% which are both solid, but I’m not sure he should be flirting with a top 10 ranking for some. You’re banking on a second-year leap, which isn’t crazy but it’s also not guaranteed. He finished as the WR24 last year on the 22nd most targets. 
  16. Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – We’ll get a full season with the trio of receivers as opposed to Antonio Brown entering in the middle of the season like 2020. I’m leaning Evans for the lead dog since he led the team in targets, air yard share, RZ targets, and EZ targets. It could be tough to get these guys right every week which is the only reason I’m leaving Evans outside the top 15. 
  17. Adam Thielen, Minnesota Vikings – Thielen was the only receiver in the top 10 from 2020 that finished under 1,000 yards but that’s what 14 touchdowns do for you. You’re not drafting him in the top 10 anymore and that risk is already built-in. Thielen still held a 24% target share and only was about 1.5% off in the air yard share lead behind Jefferson. 
  18. Julio Jones, Tennessee Titans – With how much of the passing game from 2020 that is open, Julio walks into a dynamite spot. If the Titans come up into the top half of the league in pass attempts, Julio could have another great season. I’ll be super interested to see how the work splits between him and A.J. Brown.
  19. Amari Cooper, Dallas Cowboys – Dallas played at the fastest pace in the league last year and their offense is built to throw the ball all over the yard. Cooper led the team in targets at 130 last year which was 12th in the league. He also led in RZ targets, EZ targets, yards, and tied for the lead in touchdowns. You may well get a bargain if that repeats in 2021 and Lamb finishes second in points on the team. 
  20. DJ Moore, Carolina Panthers – The Panthers have a new quarterback in Sam Darnold, and Curtis Samuel is gone, so the offense will absolutely look different. Still, Moore led last year in air yard share at 40.8% and racked up 118 targets. Moore also led the team in yards and EZ targets. Samuel ate up 12 RZ targets, 18.9% of the air yard share, and 19.4% of the target share. Even with a healthy CMC, Moore could be taking a significant step forward. He’ll be one I watch closely in the preseason. 
  21. Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – This is generally where things start to get trickier. Godwin only finished about 55 points behind Evans last year playing four games fewer. What is a little worrisome with this ranking is Antonio Brown had a 20% share of the targets, leading the entire team in his snaps. Godwin was 15th in points per game but it’s very difficult to pick. Perhaps the path is taking the last Tampa receiver and using the lowest pick on that player. 
  22. Cooper Kupp, Los Angeles Rams – If we liked Woods so much and they were nearly identical in the metrics, it only stands to reason Kupp can’t be that far behind. 
  23. Tyler Lockett, Seattle Seahawks – He looks great in seasonal data but was a pain to play every week. He seemed to either go nuclear or leave you wanting with around 8-10 points. If Metcalf truly becomes the alpha, Lockett could be more of a second fiddle this year. He still should have a 22-24% target share even if Metcalf is basically locked into the air yards lead. 
  24. Tee Higgins, Cincinnati Bengals – Ja’Marr Chase seems to be universally regarded as the WR1 in the Bengals offense but I’m not sold yet. In 2020, A.J. Green had a 30.5% air yard share and an 18.4% target share. Even with that, Higgins ended as the WR28 with terrible quarterback play through six-plus games. Does Chase take over more than the Green share from 2020? That could be a stretch. Higgins only played 74% of the snaps last year and we should expect that to climb in his second season. 
  25. Kenny Golladay, New York Giants – I believe that Golladay is a talented receiver but I don’t believe in his quarterback by a long shot. The offense in New York is more crowded than Detroit was as well, leading to enough concerns from me to skip him most of the time. 
  26. Brandon Aiyuk, San Francisco 49ers – The rookie last year played just 12 games but led the team in air yards share at 32%, RZ targets, EZ targets, yards, and points. Now, that’s not exactly fair because George Kittle only played eight games and Deebo Samuel played seven. Still, he showed why the 49ers moved up in the draft to add him to their talented offense. The aDOT was 9.3 yards compared to 2.2 for Samuel. Aiyuk was a top 35 option last season despite 12 games played and wildly questionable quarterback play. 
  27. Ja’Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals – Chase is one of the more well-rounded receiving prospects to enter the league in the past few years. With the connection Chase and Joe Burrow showed at LSU, Chase could walk in and be dominant off the bat. I would be a little cautious with him but one or two preseason splash plays and we can see the ADP fly up. 
  28. JuJu Smith-Schuster, Pittsburgh Steelers – Pittsburgh has plenty of concerns but JuJu sitting at WR33 in ADP doesn’t make a lot of sense. He was seventh in receptions last season and finished as the WR16, well beyond where he’s being taken. The 5.5-yard aDOT can actually help JuJu in PPR because if the offensive line can’t hold up as much as Ben Roethlisberger would like, it could mean a lot of quick passes, just like 2020. 
  29. Odell Beckham Jr., Cleveland Browns – Before OBJ got hurt, he racked up a 33.4% share of the air yards and 21.9% target share. He still finished fourth in yards on the team and even though the Browns won’t throw the ball a ton, he is still the alpha on the squad. It’s kind of crazy to think OBJ is barely in the top 30 after the start of his career, but here we are. 
  30. DeVonta Smith, Philadelphia Eagles – It’s very difficult to rank Smith. Not only does he have individual questions about the transfer from Alabama to the NFL, but Jalen Hurts also has yet to prove he’s a capable NFL-caliber quarterback. I would likely prefer Smith in best ball because he’s going to have some big games but I wouldn’t be shocked if he has a few duds as well. 
  31. DJ Chark, Jacksonville Jaguars – The chemistry between him and Trevor Lawerence will be something to watch in camp and preseason. He was the only Jaguar to hit an air yard share above 20% (35.5%) and the target share was 20% in 13 games. Jacksonville added proven veteran option Marvin Jones but Chark should still maintain the alpha role in the passing game. We just need to get an idea of how the targets get distributed between Chark, Jones, Laviska Shenault, and Travis Etienne. 
  32. Brandin Cooks, Houston Texans – The only reason he’s this low is the uncertainty of Deshaun Watson. Cooks was in the top 18 in both points per game and points overall last year and that was with Will Fuller playing 11 games. Cooks racked up a 30% air yards share and a 23.8% target share. We just need the information on the quarterback. 
  33. Antonio Brown, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – If Tom Brady hones in on him early, AB is going to climb quickly in the ranks. As I mentioned, he led the team in target share when he played. That’s going to be very important to monitor this preseason. 
  34. Courtland Sutton, Denver Broncos – I love Sutton as a talent and he only got to play one game last season before tearing his ACL. If Denver manages to acquire Aaron Rodgers (speculation based on rumor), Sutton would have a rocket ship strapped to his back. As it stands, the duo of Drew Lock and Teddy Bridgewater could hold him back a good bit. 
  35. Michael Pittman, Indianapolis Colts – The second-year receiver is tied to quarterback Carson Wentz, and that could be an issue. Pittman flashed upside last season and accumulated a 13.8% target share and 16.3% air yards share as a rookie. He didn’t get a single end zone look but he led the receiving corps in the snap rate at 77.8%. I’d love to gamble at this stage with the next alpha in a passing game and be wrong with my third/fourth receiver. He could easily be the lead option ahead of T.Y. Hilton this season. 

Thank you for reading my Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Rankings and make sure you follow me on Twitter at @bucn4life! Be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

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NFL

Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings

Adam Strangis
written by Adam Strangis

Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings

The running back position can be very difficult in the fantasy realm because of injuries and other factors. Some managers prefer to sink their early picks on running backs and land the studs while others take backs late in the draft. The ranks should give you an idea of exactly who to target regardless of which strategy you employ so let’s get into Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings! 

Note – Any ADP (average draft position) is taken from FantasyData.com. In addition, these are my personal ranks and not WinDaily Staff ranks.

Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings

  1. Christian McCaffrey, Carolina Panthers – Since the start of 2019, CMC has posted at least 29 points per game in PPR formats. When he played a full season in 2019, he racked up almost 2,400 scrimmage yards and scored 19 touchdowns. He’s among the easiest picks on the board. 
  2. Alvin Kamara, New Orleans Saints – Even with Drew Brees riding off into the sunset, Kamara is going to remain an elite back. They now have a full offseason to create an offense tailored to the strength of their quarterback and Kamara is one of the most lethal players in the NFL with the ball in his hands. 
  3. Dalvin Cook, Minnesota Vikings – When you have a running back that rushes for over 1,500 yards, second in carries inside the 20, tied for first in carries inside the 10, and an 11.5% target share, you draft said running back. Cook is an absolute stud. 
  4. Austin Ekeler, Los Angeles Chargers – I am all in on Ekeler this year. He did miss six games in 2020 but still racked up 54 receptions, over 900 scrimmage yards, and three touchdowns. With the Chargers upgrading their offensive line this offseason, Ekeler has even higher upside on the ground and he finished fifth among running backs in receptions in his 10 games. 
  5. Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans – Some will see him at five and ask me if I’m nuts. King Henry rushed for over 2,000 yards and honestly looks like the Hulk in a blue uniform out there. So why is he fifth in the rankings? My one small (I emphasize small) concern is the change in the Titans this offseason. The defense struggled last year and they added Julio Jones. If the defense doesn’t improve, they could be in more shootouts than they plan for. Henry was 38th in targets and is not a part of the passing game. He could see some week-to-week volatility and he takes just a slight knock in my eyes. The argument against me here is the defense wasn’t very good last year either, but I would take Ekeler even though I know it’s a spicy choice. 
  6. Saquon Barkley, New York Giants – Provided the knee checks out alright in camp, I have almost no issue with Barkley. His offensive line isn’t anything to write home about but he’s a home run hitter and Barkley has always been a major part of the passing game. 
  7. Nick Chubb, Cleveland Browns – I wish Chubb caught a few more passes but if Cleveland continues to run the ball at a top-five rate, things will work out. 20 targets in 13 games is a legitimate concern but he still finished ninth in points per game and scored 12 touchdowns rushing, tied for the third-most. He’s a centerpiece of a good offense, that’s all you can ask for in a top-tier back. 
  8. Ezekiel Elliott, Dallas Cowboys – It’s truly splitting hairs between Chubb and Zeke. I give Chubb the slight nod because, in my eyes, the Dallas passing offense is more advanced. Dak Prescott will be back under center and that could slightly ding Zeke’s touchdown upside. He finished first in carries inside the five last year but Dak adds a much different dimension to the offense. 
  9. Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts – I’m slightly lower than the field because the Colts still have Nyheim Hines and they brought Marlon Mack back. Hines was third in targets last year among backs and swiped 27 red zone rushing attempts. There’s no question that Taylor is the best player in the backfield. I just believe Hines and Mack are going to be more of a thorn in his side for fantasy production than folks think. 
  10. Aaron Jones, Green Bay Packers – I do like Jamaal Williams heading to Detroit because that hopefully means more work for Jones. Williams took 25 RZ attempts (40 for Jones) and 32 targets last year (47 for Jones). Provided A.J. Dillon doesn’t take all of those, Jones should be in for another big season. Hopefully, Aaron Rodgers is still there as well. 
  11. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh Steelers – I’ll be the first one to tell you that the O-line concerns are very, very legitimate. At the same time, Pittsburgh drafted Harris in the first round with a lot of other glaring holes. It’s a bad pick by value but they as a team have been pounding the table to improve the running game. The only two scenarios stopping Harris from 350+ touches, all the red zone work, and 1,100-1,300 scrimmage yards are injury and a rookie not making the jump immediately. He may have efficiency issues but there is no doubt he is the feature back. Even as much as I think it’s a bad pick in real life, Harris is talented and has every opportunity we crave for fantasy. 
  12. Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Kansas City Chiefs – CEH was a disappointment to many but let’s put it into some context. First, not every rookie just hits the ground running. Secondly, his disappointment was RB22 in 13 games and finished 14th in targets with Dalvin Cook. If that’s my floor at an ADP of RB15, I’ll take that all day long. The Chiefs sunk a first-round pick into him just one year ago. I wouldn’t be shocked at all if he’s a top-eight back this year. 
  13. Cam Akers, Los Angeles Rams – Akers took over the Rams backfield in the last four regular-season games with a total of 86 carries and eight receptions. He added another 49 touches in two playoff games and comes into this season as the most popular breakout candidate of the industry. 
  14. Antonio Gibson, Washington Football Team – This kid walked into a rookie season having never been a full-time running back in college, and dazzled with over 1,000 total yards in 14 games. Washington was only 24th in rushing attempts and perhaps the largest issue with Gibson is a teammate. J.D. McKissic led the league in targets for a back and finished second in receptions. That’s a LOT of work for Gibson to not get. He also got 14 RZ attempts to 31 for Gibson. Picking Gibson this high does bake in the idea that Washington phases McKissic out more, which I am comfortable with. 
  15. Joe Mixon, Cincinnati Bengals – It seems like Mixon is a polarizing figure in fantasy circles. His ADP is RB14 so I would say I’m with the field on this one. I’m generally not a person that worries about injuries from the previous season and Gio Bernard is no longer in Cincinnati. Mixon should have the backfield to himself for the most part and was 11th in points per game last year. Gio ate up 47 targets which were fourth on the team. Mixon should be the fourth option in the passing game which is more than enough to have him right on the edge of an RB1 season. 
  16. David Montgomery, Chicago Bears – Perhaps there is hesitation with Tarik Cohen returning from injury but I’m not sure I understand Montgomery at an ADP of RB21. He paced the Bears with 65% of the RZ carries, finished fifth in receptions, fourth in rushing attempts, and had over 1,500 scrimmage yards. We’re taking him after 20 other backs? Even with some questions at the quarterback position, that’s not the slightest bit different than 2020. 
  17. Chris Carson, Seattle Seahawks – It seems as his injury history (which is extensive in fairness) leaves Carson perpetually underrated. Even with just 12 games, Carson finished in the top 20 in receptions, 14th in points per game, and top 30 in attempts. When he’s healthy, he’s an auto-lock for an RB2 slot. 
  18. Myles Gaskin, Miami Dolphins – He came out of nowhere and finished as a top 30 option in just 10 games while compiling an RB13 year in points per game. The best thing that could have happened to Gaskin happened because Miami did not address the running back position in any significant way. They singed Malcolm Brown as a free agent and drafted Gerrid Doaks in the seventh round. Gaskin took 41.5% of the RZ attempts last year and 47 targets. There is little reason to think he won’t be the lead back for what should be an improved Dolphins offense. 
  19. Miles Sanders, Philadelphia Eagles – It’s somewhat of the opposite end of the spectrum for Sanders. While none of these backs are a threat to take the job, Philly signed Kerryon Johnson, still have Boston Scott, and then drafted Kenneth Gainwell in the fourth round. You’re not drafting him as an RB1 but it’s not the most comfortable situation. 
  20. JK Dobbins, Baltimore Ravens – He’s a back I will likely have almost none of in redraft. Not only did Dobbins only have 24 targets all season long, Baltimore sunk $9 million into Gus Edwards. So we’re talking about a back that is in a time-share, has no discernible pass-catching upside, and saw his offense add receivers with two of their first five draft picks (Rashod Bateman in the first round). That’s not a situation that I’m all that excited about. 
  21. Kareem Hunt, Cleveland Browns – Hunt is the type of player that every roster can use. If Nick Chubb gets hurt, he can churn out borderline RB1 numbers. If Chubb stays healthy, Hunt can still be a low-end flex option. These two split RZ carries 42-40 in favor of Hunt last year and Hunt led in targets at 52-20. Even with Chubb missing four games, Hunt finished last year with 236 total touches. He was 11th in carries alone so he has standalone value with a high ceiling as well.
  22. D’Andre Swift, Detroit Lions – Speaking of situations I’m not happy about, Swift qualifies in spades. I love the talent but despise the situation. The team is in full rebuild and is an underdog in 16 of 17 games currently. They really have no reason to grind Swift to death and signed Jamaal Williams. Not only is Williams very capable, why would Detroit ride Swift for 20-24 touches per game? 
  23. Mike Davis, Atlanta Falcons – There are some circles in the industry that are a little too excited here in my eyes. The line of thinking is Davis is the lead dog, and that is accurate. However, we saw that in Carolina and Davis fizzled after a couple of big games. I’m fine with him as a lower-end RB2 or a flex option, but not past that. 
  24. Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas Raiders – I fully believe Jacobs is still the lead back in Vegas, but Kenyan Drake hurts the ceiling without a doubt. Jacobs had 33 receptions last season but it’s hard to see that going anywhere but down, along with a decrease in his third-most attempts last year. If Jacobs retains his 68% of the red zone carries, he’s going to be solid but volatile week-to-week. 
  25. Javonte Williams/Melvin Gordon, Denver Broncos – This is something of a cop-out but it will take care of itself as camp starts. There are already beat reports saying Williams will be the lead back, but that’s a big leap as of now. If I drafted tomorrow, I’d skip both around this range and take the chance on the one that fella bit. 
  26. Chase Edmonds, Arizona Cardinals – With Kenyan Drake in Vegas, Edmonds has the opportunity in front of him for a lead role. James Conner lurks and could be a value himself, but Edmonds should get the first crack. Arizona was second in pace last season and Arizona was sixth in rush attempts. Some of those come from Kyler Murray but Edmonds isn’t going so high he’s not worth a look here. 
  27. Raheem Mostert, San Francisco 49ers – You know who doesn’t care about who you started in fantasy? Kyle Shanahan, 49ers head coach. They have a habit of riding a hot hand but Mostert can get hot in a hurry. His speed is incredible and he can break legitimately any touch for a touchdown. This is a situation to monitor through camp with the addition of Tre Sermon (among others) but we know what Mostert is capable of and that’s 521 rushing yards on just 104 carries last year. 
  28. James Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars – Robinson would have been much higher coming off a season that saw him finish as the RB7 until the Jaguars drafted Travis Etienne in the first round of the draft. I don’t particularly understand that but we can be sure that 289 touches aren’t very likely to happen again. The early report is Robinson will still be a two-down back but if he loses receptions to Etienne, that’s going to drop the floor and ceiling for him. 
  29. Michael Carter, New York Jets – The rookie walks into an incredible opportunity. Only Tevin Coleman and Lamical Perine stand in front of him for carries and receptions. The obvious questions are how quickly Carter can adjust to the NFL and how good the Jets can be. Still, at this point we’re shooting for some upside and Carter does have that potential.
  30. Ronald Jones, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – As things stand, Jones would be my guy in the Tampa backfield. Last year saw Jones lead Leonard Fournette in RZ carries 35-20, carries overall at 192-97, and overall touches 220-133. They are going within about four picks of each other right now but Fournette is going first. I’m not sure I understand that one. 
  31. Damien Harris, New England Patriots – The Patriots running backs don’t exactly have the best reputation in fantasy, but Harris could jump up a bit during camp. I would imagine New England is likely going with a play-action heavy, two-tight end offense since they signed Jonnu Smith and Hunter Henry. The smash-mouth approach could help Harris rack up attempts and yards, I just wouldn’t expect many receptions. 
  32. Travis Etienne, Jacksonville Jaguars – He has the draft capital that tells us he will have a significant role. It’s just hard to know exactly what it is. Robinson seemingly could lead in carries, Laviska Sheanult can carry the ball and get targets near the line of scrimmage, and Etienne has questions about how he’ll run inside at the NFL level. 
  33. A.J. Dillon, Green Bay Packers – Jamaal Williams has 150 touches last season and it would stand to reason that Dillon will handle the bulk of those left behind. Aaron Jones was 10th in carries and ninth in targets. To see Williams get 150 touches in addition to Jones’ workload, Dillon is interesting as is. If Jones went down, Dillon could be a league-winning player. 
  34. James Conner, Arizona Cardinals – Last year saw both Kenyan Drake and Edmonds have value for fantasy as Drake was the hammer back and Edmonds was the receiving back. There is no guarantee that Edmonds will succeed in the lead role whereas Conner does have experience (and has thrived) in that role with the Steelers. 
  35. Zack Moss, Buffalo Bills – The Stix Special. Devin Singletary is still there and last year was an absolute pain to play either one. They split snaps nearly down the middle when both were healthy but Moss had the lead in RZ carries at 30-22. He missed three games while Singletary played all 16 so this is a situation that we need to look at closely through camp. 

Thank you for reading my Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings and make sure you follow me on Twitter at @bucn4life! Be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

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Fantasy Football Quarterback Rankings

Adam Strangis
written by Adam Strangis

Fantasy Football Quarterback Rankings

With Major League Baseball hitting their All-Star Break, it’s a reminder of how quickly the fantasy football season will be upon us! Quarterback is arguably the most “replaceable” positions in fantasy but that doesn’t mean you can just swing wildly and pick. It’s just about time to get prepared for the drafts that we all know and love, so let’s kick it off with Fantasy Football Quarterback Rankings! 

Note – Any ADP (average draft position) is taken from FantasyData.com. In addition, these are my personal ranks and not WinDaily Staff ranks.

Fantasy Football Quarterback Rankings

  1. Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs – The franchise man for the Chiefs finished 2020 third in points per game, third in intended air yards, and second in yards above replacement. Kansas City added some much-needed big men upfront along the offensive line with the likes of Joe Thuney and Kyle Long (hoping to be ready for Week 1). Even with the question marks of who’s the third target in the passing game behind Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce, I’m betting Mahomes and coach Andy Reid can figure things out. 
  2. Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals – This could be a bit of a jump to some but Murray didn’t finish in the top 12 in passing yards last season yet was the QB6 even in six-point passing touchdown formats. The Cardinals went out and added a veteran in A.J. Green in free agency and used a top 50 draft pick in Rondale Moore. Murray combined for 86 plays inside the red zone last year and converted for a total of 37 touchdowns. 40 is not at all out of the question this season. 
  3. Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills – Allen may be the player I have been most wrong about my entire fantasy career, so ranking him third may scare some people. 
  4. Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys – Dak could threaten for the number one spot this season. He also gets you a main piece of the high-octane Dallas offense without having to sweat which receiver has the best game week to week. 
  5. Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Ranking him this high is a risk because, at his age, it could all go away in an instant. Still, we’re talking about the quarterback who was QB7 in 2020 with no real offseason to acclimate to his new offense. He led the entire NFL in intended air yards and still has Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Antonio Brown as his top receivers. QB9 in ADP feels like an absolute bargain. 
  6. Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers – Herbert lit the NFL on fire in his rookie season and they frankly crushed the off-season on paper. Adding Corey Linsley and Matt Feiler to the O-line was great. Then rookie Rashawn Slater fell into their laps in the draft. The departure of tight end Hunter Henry shouldn’t derail this offense much and Herbert should in theory take a nice leap in his second season. 
  7. Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens – There is not really a reason to pick on Jackson and it speaks to how loaded the quarterback position is. Most will have Jackson and Brady flipped. 
  8. Ryan Tannehill, Tennessee Titans – This man threw 33 touchdowns last season, got the luxury of adding Julio Jones to throw to, and his ADP is outside of the top 12. They also have some serious defensive concerns since they were 31st in passing touchdowns allowed and 32nd in sacks. If the defensive signings don’t stop that bleeding, Tannehill will finish higher than 18th in attempts. In truth, I wanted him higher but couldn’t justify anyone else moving down. 
  9. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers – Let’s see where he plays before getting too attached to a ranking for Rodgers. He may still just be golfing, living his best island life by September. 
  10. Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams – The best coaching staff he’s ever had and a massive upgrade from his 2020 offense all-around. 
  11. Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks – Just like Lamar, this is a sign of just how loaded the quarterback position really is. The fizzle down the stretch last year likely leaves certain players leaning away from Wilson. 
  12. Kirk Cousins, Minnesota Vikings – Nobody gets excited to add Cousins to the squad but he’s finished 11th, 14th, and 11th in the past three years among his colleagues. If not for a disaster start to the 2020 campaign, a top 10 finish was in sight. Cousins is currently sitting at QB18 in ADP, which makes very little sense. 
  13. Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals – The receiving trio for Burrow is not in question with Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd, and former LSU teammate Ja’Marr Chase all in the fold. The offensive line is a different story and Burrow is coming off a serious knee reconstruction. I don’t believe it’s a large difference, but if I’m on the clock in redraft leagues I’d likely go Cousins. 
  14. Trey Lance, San Francisco 49ers – I suppose you can say this is my hottest take in the ranks but I’m a big believer in Lance. Most rookie quarterbacks selected third have some issues with the team around them. That’s not the exact case for Lance. He inherits a solid offensive line and has George Kittle, Brandon Aiyuk, and Deebo Samuel for weapons. Coach Kyle Shanahan is one of the most respected offensive minds in the game. The 49ers gave up an immense amount to get to the third pick. Lance will play early, has some rushing upside, and will be a fantasy dynamo off the hop. 
  15. Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles – Possibly the toughest quarterback to rank. He’s the clear starter and has serious rushing upside but legit questions on the passing game as a whole in Philly make life difficult. 
  16. Trevor Lawerence, Jacksonville Jaguars – It wouldn’t be surprising if Lawerence ends up higher at the end of the year. He’s been the consensus first pick for so long that I think some have forgotten how good he actually is. My questions are more on the side of coaching but Lawrence has a god cast and should trail plenty this year. 
  17. Baker Mayfield, Cleveland Browns – Our founder thinks this is about 15 spots too high. Baker is a good quarterback but with a strong run game that Cleveland loves to lean on (fifth-most rush attempts per game in 2020), I’m not sure where the ceiling truly is for Mayfield. 
  18. Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons – Can he do enough to support Calvin Ridley and Kyle Pitts as dominant players at their respective positions? I believe so, but Ryan losing Julio with no real replacement is just a huge loss for an offense. I know Julio was hurt through a lot of 2020 and Ryan finished as the QB13 in part due to that reason. Finishing second for intended air yards and outside of the top 12 for quarterbacks, last year isn’t the best sign to my eyes. 
  19. Tua Tagovialoa, Miami Dolphins – The vibe around Tua is weird. He has just 290 attempts under his belt and it seems like plenty are ready to give up. I’m not there yet. Tua shouldn’t have to worry about getting yanked from the game midway no that Ryan Fitzpatrick is gone. He also has been drawing great reviews with his command of the offense in OTA’s. Adding Jaylen Waddle in the draft and Will Fuller via free agency to DeVante Parker and Mike Gesicki should help the 6.3 yards per pass thrown, ranked 31st in the league last year. 
  20. Derek Carr, Las Vegas Raiders – He’s like Kirk Cousins-lite. Nobody is excited to draft him, but the field is leaving him below QB25 in ADP. He was the QB14 last year and passed for over 4,100 yards, threw for 27 touchdowns, and got almost nothing from Henry Ruggs or Bryan Edwards. There is profit to be had at QB29 in ADP, even with some concerns about the offensive line. 
  21. Carson Wentz, Indianapolis Colts – Talk about someone tough to rank. Wentz could take the reunion with coach Frank Reich, get his head right, and take massive advantage of the upgrade in offense line and weaponry. He could also continue to just be a guy, take a ton of sacks, and turn the ball over. Indy was top 10 in rush attempts per game, so they don’t need Wentz to be a hero. 
  22. Ryan Fitzpatrick, Washington Football Team – Fitzpatrick and his majestic beard are now in Washington and he has some weapons to work with Terry McLaurin, Curtis Samuel, Logan Thomas, and Antonio Gibson. I’m not sure Fitzmagic is going to be required to have many huge games because Washington should continue to have a very good defense. 
  23. Deshaun Watson, Houston Texans – The team is a mess and he has large issues off the field right now. I’m in no position to address those, but if I was drafting today I wouldn’t take Watson in case the NFL hands down discipline. He’s a player that could see his ranking change instantly. 
  24. Justin Fields, Chicago Bears – Full disclosure, I love Fields and I wanted the Steelers to make the same type of trade to draft him. However, Matt Nagy has not proven to be a coach that we can trust to elevate folks for fantasy. We also don’t know when he gets on the field. You can make that same argument with Lance but the trade packages were far different and San Francisco is a clearly better offensive environment. 
  25. Sam Darnold, Carolina Panthers – A lot of my dynasty teams are littered with whatever New York spit out of Darnold. A friendly reminder that he just turned 24 and is free of the tyranny of Adam Gase for the first time in his career. His weapons are far better, the coaching is far better, and Darnold costs you nothing with a very tangible reward at his QB31 ADP. 
  26. Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers – Well, nobody can accuse me of being a homer. Big Ben was 29th in yards per completion last year and struggled to hit anything deep downfield. Now he has an offensive line in flux (and that is being very kind), is a year older, and has a lot of folks saying he should’ve hung it up last year. His receivers are very talented but he’s learning a new offense with major question marks around him. It’s a tough sell for fantasy. 
  27. Zach Wilson, New York Jets – New York did a pretty solid job of re-vamping the offense this past offseason and Wilson will have to fail pretty spectacularly to get the starting job taken away. 
  28. Daniel Jones, New York Giants – The talent around him is not a question as far as pass catchers go, but the O-line is and Jones has always been turnover-prone. 
  29. Jameis Winston, New Orleans Saints – Until we know who the starter is, I’m not going to be that excited for Winston or Taysom Hill. 
  30. Jared Goff, Detroit Lions – Goff was 23rd in points per game with Sean McVay as his coach and much better weapons in LA last season. You’d be banking on a lot of garbage time stats (which count all the same) but the environment is way inferior to 2020. 

Thank you for reading my Fantasy Football Quarterback Rankings and make sure you follow me on Twitter at @bucn4life! Be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

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5.13 The Fantasy Isle with Nabaté Isles featuring special guest Warren Moon

Jon Jansen
written by Jon Jansen

On the second episode of The Fantasy Isle, Nabaté Isles talks with Pro Football Hall of Famer Warren Moon. Moon talks about the NFL Draft, quarterbacks for this season including Colts new quarterback Carson Wentz and where Aaron Rodgers end up playing this season!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bVy_GSS0xUI

Make sure to check out more DFS and betting content at WinDailySports.com

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5.6 The Fantasy Isle with Nabaté Isles featuring special guest Marshall Faulk

Jon Jansen
written by Jon Jansen

On the first ever episode of The Fantasy Isle, Nabaté Isles talks with Pro Football Hall of Famer Marshall Faulk. Faulk talks about financial education, strategies he uses for fantasy football drafts, Urban Meyer in Jacksonville, Tom Brady and much more!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S2TCVGI9GBg

Make sure to check out more DFS and betting content at WinDailySports.com

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Non-Fantasy, Fantasy Impact Signings

Justin Rasile
written by Justin Rasile

Non-Fantasy, Fantasy Impact Signings

This article is about impactful free agent signings that aren’t fantasy players. Non-Fantasy, Fantasy Impact Signings, if you will. It’s about an offensive lineman that can help protect the quarterback and open up holes in the running game. As well as Defensive players that can get the ball back for the offense. Then how will this impact certain betting odds. These are marquee, big named players so the teams with the most cap space will sign these star players. Check out my Free Agent tracker to see where these guys end up signing! I also have a Mock Draft and Fantasy Impact Signings up on the site!

Trent Williams – OT – Jacksonville Jaguars – 4 years / $80,000,000

The Jaguars just used their franchise tag on left tackle Cam Robinson, so why would they spend $20,000,000 on another left tackle? Trent Williams is better, plain and simple, and signing him would improve the entire offense as a whole. Arguably the best left tackle in the game, Trent Williams would protect Trevor Lawrence’s blindside. AJ Cann and Jawaan Taylor haven’t lived up to expectations so shuffling around the right side of the line with Cam Robinson playing right tackle and Jawaan playing right guard might give this team the best chance to win. The impact of signing Trent Williams would greatly help Trevor Lawrence’s development as he knows he can drop back safely on every play and not worry about what is behind him. This will give him more time to throw deep passes to DJ Chark and Laviska Shenault. James Robinson will have even more holes to run through. I’m not going to tell you to bet on the Jaguars to win the Super Bowl (DraftKings has the odds at +7500) but the potential of them winning the division (+1200) is very intriguing. The Texans are a complete dumpster fire. The Colts are betting their future on Carson Wentz. Derrick Henry is going to have to slow down eventually and that Tennessee team still can’t rush the passer. So why not take a chance on the Jaguars?

Shaq Barrett – DE – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 4 years / $70,000,000

A quarterback’s best friend (outside of protection and a number one wide receiver) is a great defense that can get the ball back to the offense. Not many players over the past few years have been better at that than Shaq Barrett. 2019, Barrett broke out in a major way racking up 19.5 sacks. Last year he totaled 12 sacks (8 regular season and 4 in the postseason) and two forced fumbles and was a disruptive force in the Super Bowl. If Shaq is on the team, the leads can continue to pile up and this means more opportunities for whichever running back is leading the way. Whether Leonard Fournette resigns or if Bruce Arians gives the full workload to Ronald Jones II or Ke’Shawn Vaughn, one of these guys could be a beast in season-long and DFS. Barrett is a monster off the edge and is somebody that Tampa Bay needs to resign. If Shaq does leave the Bucs, I have a hard time believing that Jason Pierre-Paul can get it done by himself. Ndamukong Suh is also a free agent. If Tampa Bay loses two of their top four leaders in sacks, I see them having a difficult time making it back to the Super Bowl (+850). Tom Brady and Mike Evans will rearrange some money to help as many players come back from that championship team but none are more important than Shaq Barrett.

Yannick Ngakoue – DE – Miami Dolphins – 4 years / $60,000,000

I mentioned Shaq Barrett above and how much of a sack guru he has been, but let’s take a look at the forced fumble master. Since Yannick Ngakoue came into the league in 2016 he has 19 forced fumbles. The impact of forced fumbles cannot be underestimated as having an extra drive every couple of games can do wonders for building or maintaining a lead. Turnovers play such a key part in helping the offense and those drives have a higher chance of ending as a scoring opportunity. Tua Tagovailoa struggled last season. He had a difficult time reading defenses and the coverages they were running but Tua will improve in year two. Miami also has two first-round picks again and one of them will be used on an offensive playmaker. I believe Miami will look long and hard at bringing in Aaron Jones and Chris Carson, so this offense will be much improved in 2021. I think that Ngakoue would be a key piece to helping Tua get better. The Dolphins’ current odds to win the Super Bowl are +2500, which is a bit steep considering we need to see more improvement from Tua, but their +300 odds to win the AFC East is pretty tasty.

Joe Thuney – OG – Cincinnati Bengals – 4 years / $65,000,000

Joseph Lee Burrow needs better protection next season as exemplified by that gruesome injury he sustained. I have talked ad nauseam about how bad he was at throwing the deep ball, something he was so good at in college, and he needs that back in his repertoire. Burrow has the weapons to go deep and the Bengals have money to add another piece but they badly need offensive line help. It has long been presumed that the Bengals will draft a left tackle with the fifth overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft. Players like Penei Sewell and Rashawn Slater will instantly upgrade that line. Plug in Joe Thuney at left guard and this allows Jonah Williams to move to right guard or right tackle or whatever the best shuffle of the offensive line is. Then we can see Burrow drop back without hesitation and step up into the pocket. Another player beneficiary from Thuney joining the team is Joe Mixon. A polarizing fantasy football player with incredible talent but his lackluster stats and inability to stay healthy have caused some to stay away from him. His offensive line has been subpar since he’s been in Cincinnati and with the improvement of Joe Burrow, Mixon will see some open holes to run through. The Bengals are at least a few years away from competing for a Super Bowl but in the NFL anything can happen and their +2500 odds to win the division sure is intriguing. 

Anthony Harris – FS – Minnesota Vikings – 5 years / $60,000,000

Anthony Harris resigning with the Vikings is an absolute must. The Vikings defense was one of the worst in the league last year, even as it did begin to show signs of life towards the end of the season. Adding Danielle Hunter back to the defensive line will help improve the secondary and another year of experience will help their second-year corners (Jeff Gladney and Mike Hughes) improve but Anthony Harris is the glue that holds it all together. His seven interceptions in 2019 led the entire NFL and even without a pick last year, he’s still an incredible free safety. Harris’s ability to play elite centerfield creates more opportunities for the Vikings offense. Either ending a drive with an interception or making a pass deflection to end a drive, gives the offense more opportunities to score. This allows Dalvin Cook to grind out more yards when the Vikings are leading and Kirk Cousins more passing touchdown opportunities to Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen. The Vikings don’t have any in-house upgrade to take over the spot if Harris does leave but with Minnesota having -$5,500,000 in salary cap space, good players won’t be kept. Dalvin Cook currently has +6600 odds and Kirk Cousins at +5000 to win MVP next year. It might be worth throwing a few dollars on those guys if Anthony Harris resigns with the team.

Alejandro Villanueva – OT – Indianapolis Colts – 3 years / $40,000,000

Since the day that Anthony Castonzo retired there has been a massive hole at the Colts’ left tackle position. A very underrated player, Castonzo held down the Colts quarterback’s blindside for ten seasons and now they have to address the position. Alejandro Villanueva has done the same thing for Big Ben for the past seven seasons and now it’s time to give Carson Wentz protection. The Colts mortgaged quite a bit to get the former Eagles quarterback so he needs to show improvement from last season. Standing at 6’9 and 320 pounds, Wentz will take one look at the former Army Ranger and know that he’s got his back. Wentz has some good weapons in Michael Pittman and Parris Campbell and a total stud in Jonathan Taylor. Taylor will be fed the rock a lot next season. I know the MVP award is a quarterback award but Jonathan Taylor at +12500 odds is a nice bet since he has a real opportunity to hit 2,000 rushing yards next season with Villanueva paving the way. Jonathan Taylor’s success will take a lot of pressure off of Wentz and allow him to set up play-action passes that he has been so successful at running throughout the years. If Carson can return to his MVP-ish form, it will be because the offensive line was able to keep him upright and healthy. Currently at +3300 odds to win MVP, Wentz is giving us good odds on a longshot quarterback.

Patrick Peterson – CB/FS – Las Vegas Raiders – 3 years / $30,000,000

This is a little bit of a curveball that I’ve been considering. Not so much of Peterson leaving the Cardinals and going to the Raiders but him switching positions to free safety. A potential Hall of Famer, Peterson has had a storied NFL career but there could be a resurgence to the second half of his career if he accepts this switch. It appears as though he has lost a step so a move to the back part of the secondary will still allow him to use great instincts and incredible ball skills. The Raiders are in desperate need of a veteran presence on that team and just so happen to have a hole at free safety. Las Vegas also has a good amount of cap space now that they have cut some bad contracts from the team. Derek Carr appears locked in at quarterback for 2021 but he needs some help to get it done. This is where Peterson’s playmaking abilities can help out. 28 career interceptions and a tremendous leader can help shape the defense into a much-improved unit. The Raiders had one of the worst defenses in the league last year, allowing close to 400 yards per game, but I think that if the Raiders can be successful it’ll start with a better defense. This will allow Josh Jacobs to be utilized in better situations and will give Darren Waller and Derek Carr more opportunities for touchdowns. I can’t with a straight face say that the Raiders can win the division, it’s way too hard to bet against Patrick Mahomes, but anything is possible. +8000 for Derek Carr to win MVP could be an interesting bet as they NEED him to succeed to win.

Carlos Dunlap – DE – Buffalo Bills – 2 years / $20,000,000

The Buffalo Bills have a real shot to win the Super Bowl next year and after years of criticism, Josh Allen looks like a perennial MVP candidate. He took a major step forward and will be critical to the success of this team. One area that the team can improve upon is fixing the defense. They were middle of the pack in sacks with 38 last year,  27th in rushing touchdowns allowed, and 23rd in yards per carry allowed. The Bills defense has to step up if it wants to compete with the Chiefs for a chance to go to the Super Bowl. Carlos Dunlap, a two-time pro bowler, hits the open market after a short stint with the Seahawks. Dunlap was dominant in 2019 and still had a very good season in 2020 despite the midseason trade from the Bengals. He graded positively against the run and the pass and is exactly what the Bills could be looking for. Stopping the run and adding a few more sacks will help give Josh Allen the ball with more opportunities to score and will take more pressure off of him to do everything. No running game and a subpar defense held this team back from being great. Josh Allen is already one of the favorites to win MVP at +1300 and the Bills are considered one of the early favorites to win the Super Bowl at +1200 and those odds could get better if Dunlap signs.

Haason Reddick – DE – New England Patriots – 4 years / $44,000,000

The New England Patriots of 2020 did not look like a Patriots team we were used to seeing. The offense was horrific and the defense had a lot of turnover and opt-outs. Whoever the quarterback is for 2021 will have to be better for this team to compete again. The offensive line has already had some shake-ups with the Trent Brown trade and the potential loss of Joe Thuney to free agency but I can’t lose faith in Bill Belichick. He’s a defensive genius and knows what he needs his players to do. Finally, with some cap space, he can go and grab the players that he covets. One of those players I believe is Haason Reddick. The Patriots had a pitiful amount of 24 sacks last season and a +3 turnover differential. JC Jackson accounted for 9 of the team’s interceptions and adding Reddick would improve every facet of the team but especially the pass rush. Belichick would have him in the best position to make plays and get the ball back to the offense. A player I liked last year was Damien Harris but with this team constantly behind, they couldn’t get him involved in the offense as much as they would have liked. I believe that with a more improved defense and better quarterback play, Bill will have this team in a position to succeed next season. I am not sure of the odds for Harris to win a rushing title or to score the most touchdowns in 2021 but they will be worth a look once those get released.

Russell Okung – OT – Arizona Cardinals – 3 years / $40,000,000

The Arizona Cardinals will be a team with very high expectations next season. Kyler Murray will be an MVP candidate but if Kliff Kingsbury and Steve Keim can’t fix the offensive line woes, then it will be another lackluster season. Being a smaller quarterback, Kyler needs to protect himself or he risks injury. We saw this happen last season and once he got hurt the threat of his rushing ability gets taken away, he’s a sitting duck behind that porous line. Arizona has two holes at right guard and right tackle after JR Sweezy and Kelvin Beachum are going to leave via free agency. Russell Okung will allow another shuffle of the offensive line. Okung can start at left tackle and DJ Humphries can move back to right tackle. They have the 17th pick in the draft and filling their two tackle positions beforehand will allow them the flexibility to take the best guard/ center option or supplement their defense. With the offensive line fixed, the Cardinals can get their running backs hitting open holes and allow Kyler more opportunities to step up into the pocket and throw the ball with conviction. The Cardinals currently have the worst odds to win the NFC West at +550. Easily the toughest division in the NFL, there is a very good chance the Cardinals are in it at the end of the season.

Thanks for the read-through of my Non-Fantasy Fantasy Impact Signings! Looking at non-fantasy players that can affect major fantasy players and gambling is a bit different. There are a lot of quality free-agent offensive linemen that can drastically improve their teams. As well as a bunch of edge rushers and safeties that can cause turnovers to get the ball back to the offense. Hopefully, you see some odds in this article and make a couple of bucks off it.

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Free Agency Fantasy Football Predictions 2021

Mivilledave@live.ca
written by Mivilledave@live.ca

Free Agency Fantasy Football Predictions 2021

One of my favorite times of the NFL season is the months of March and April. During a normal year, the NFL Combine kicks everything off and that rolls right into free agency and then the draft. I’ve followed free agency closely for the past ten years and have, what I feel is, extensive knowledge of these signings. The legal tampering period starts Monday, March 15th at 4 pm EST. I believe that the Jaguars, Jets, Patriots, Washington, Colts, and Bengals will be the most active teams as they all have cap space north of $50,000,000. There will also be an unprecedented amount of talented veteran players hitting the market over the next few days as teams try and get below the estimated salary cap of $185,000,000. My thought process with writing these breakdowns is where I see the most success for these players based on cap space, depth chart, and fit into the offensive scheme. Let’s get to my Free Agency Fantasy Football Predictions 2021.

Allen Robinson – Jacksonville Jaguars – 5 years/ $95,000,000

“I’m coming home, coming home, tell the world that I’m coming home” or however that Diddy song goes. The 27-year-old Allen Robinson returns to Jacksonville with a vengeance after years of horrible QB play, he finally gets a chance to play with a potential bonafide superstar. This may be a bit of a homer prediction (since I may be the only Jaguars fan you know) but I think this is a very possible destination for Allen Robinson. According to Spotrac, the Jaguars have over $85,000,000 in cap space. Something that many talking heads aren’t mentioning is that the salary cap will go up next year because of fans returning to stadiums and this new monster TV deal that will be signed in the coming weeks. Keeping that in mind, the Jaguars could spend all of that $85,000,000 and then when the cap shoots up to around $215,000,000, they will have another $30,000,000 in cap space in 2021. This will allow them to resign DJ Chark, the only free agent in 2022 that is worth resigning. 

Fantasy Analysis – Imagine an offense with Allen Robinson, DJ Chark, Laviska Shenault, James Robinson, and Trevor Lawrence manning the QB position. You have a true deep threat in Chark. The impossible to tackle Laviska Shenault (22 missed tackles in 2020). James Robinson doing it all at the RB position. Allen Robinson completes this offense by being a true number one receiver. He makes every single catch and will put up monster numbers if he finally has a quarterback that can throw the ball where it needs to go. Find ways to acquire him in any league you can if he signs in Jacksonville.

Final Stat Predictions – 101 receptions, 1320 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns

Kenny Golladay – Washington Football Team – 5 years/ $90,000,000

Kenny Golladay will sign a big-time deal. The question though is with which team. His talent allows him to be a number one wide receiver on any team that needs one. But how about pairing him with another worldly talent in Terry McLaurin. Washington has moved on from two of their starting quarterbacks from last year (Alex Smith and Dwayne Haskins), so where do they go from here? If you are a Draftnik like myself, you see and hear rumblings of Washington trying to trade up into the top 10. If they somehow land this massive deal, they could grab Justin Fields, Trey Lance, or Mac Jones. But what if the Football Team lands a marquee talent like Russell Wilson or Deshaun Watson. There are also fallback plans like Teddy Bridgewater, Tyrod Taylor, Taylor Heinicke, Kyle Trask, or Kellen Mond. Then all of a sudden this offense is one to be reckoned with. Add in the young superstar Antonio Gibson coming out the backfield and this is another offense that can score with any team. 

Fantasy Analysis – This move does depend on the quarterback that holds down the fort next year for Washington. Golladay is a wide receiver that can succeed despite the quarterback situation but if he has one of those early drafted quarterbacks or Watson/Wilson his ceiling is incredibly high. He and McLaurin could each have over 1400 receiving yards. There could be shades of the “Greatest Show on Turf” but instead on that horrible FedEx Field.

Final Stat Predictions – 75 receptions, 1114 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns

Chris Godwin – New England Patriots – 4 years/ $70,000,000 Tagged by Tampa Bay

What a year for Chris Godwin. Plays with Tom Brady. Wins the Super Bowl. Signs a massive deal with an NFL team. And he’s only 25 years old! During Godwin’s breakout 2019 season, he had 1333 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns. He had to take a bit of a backseat in 2020 when Brady came down as he brought some of his buddies with him (Rob Gronkowski and Antonio Brown). Bill Belichick knows he needs to improve his offense. Julian Edelman is not the same as he used to be, N’Keal Harry was a waste of a first-round pick and the rest are bad (Jakobi Meyers, Matthew Slater, Donte Moncrief). I could very much see Chris Godwin and Hunter Henry signing with the Pats and transforming that offense to fit around whoever the quarterback is in 2021 (cough Jimmy Garoppolo cough).

Fantasy Analysis – Godwin coming to New England is something that needs to happen if the Patriots want to be competitive. He’s a tough, hard-nosed, and difficult to cover receiver that can create separation. If Jimmy G signs with New England, Godwin will have a monster season. He will be utilized all over the field and will be a PPR monster just like in 2019.

JuJu Smith-Schuster – New York Jets – 5 years/ $85,000,000

This seems like a match made in heaven. JuJu loves the spotlight so I can only assume that both New York teams are at the top of his list to help build his brand off the field. Don’t get it wrong though, JuJu is a dog on the field. I understand that Big Ben was a shell of himself last season but JuJu having 8.6 yards per reception in 2020 is utterly ridiculous. He’s going to want to go somewhere with a creative mind calling the plays. Insert Mike LaFleur, younger brother of Green Bay Packers head coach Matt LaFleur. I’m sure there will be plenty of Dodgeball references that Smith-Schuster can come up with but I’ll dodge those for now. LaFleur has been the passing game coordinator for the past four seasons and has worked side by side with Kyle Shanahan. The way that the 49ers use their receivers in a multitude of ways, JuJu will love the innovation.

Fantasy Analysis – Imagine this scenario. Jets keep Sam Darnold and then trade down out of the second pick in the draft and accumulate more picks. They then take the best available offensive lineman and sign a veteran guard in free agency (Joe Thuney). This offense all of a sudden looks pretty damn good. In that offense, JuJu can flourish as Darnold will have more time to throw deep balls and timing routes. Potentially add Chris Carson as well and this offense will be transformed with a creative offensive mind running the show.

Final Stat Predictions – 101 receptions, 1260 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns

Aaron Jones – Miami Dolphins – 4 years/ $44,000,000

Every single mock draft has the Dolphins taking a running back at some in the first two rounds. Yes, they do have a need at the position but the way that Tua Tagovailoa played last year it would behoove them to have a veteran running back to help ease him into the league. Enter Aaron Jones. He can do it all: goal line, catching passes out of the backfield and he can block. He will earn Tua’s trust right away and will rack up the stats doing so. I can very much see the Dolphins taking one of the top three wide receivers in this year’s draft. Having an offense with Aaron Jones next to Devante Parker, Mike Gesicki and any combo of Devonta Smith/ Jaylen Waddle/ Ja’Marr Chase would benefit Tua’s growth.

Fantasy Analysis – Aaron Jones going from the Frozen Tundra of Lambeau to South Beach would be a statement move by the Dolphins. It screams that they are ready to compete with the Buffalo Bills for the AFC East title but it also allows Aaron Jones to do everything he was already doing in Green Bay. He won’t have to take a backseat to anybody and will be a full-time three-down back, which in the fantasy world is what we want our running backs to be. He’s averaged 48 catches and 415 receiving yards the past two seasons to go along with over 1000 rushing yards. Miami’s running backs combined for 65 catches last year. Aaron Jones will dominate next year.

Final Stat Predictions – 1250 rushing yards, 55 receptions, 465 receiving yards and 15 total touchdowns.

Curtis Samuel – Los Angeles Chargers – 4 years/ $48,000,000

Justin Herbert proved many of his doubters wrong last year. He looked spectacular. There are still some areas that he can improve upon but he is well on his way to being a stalwart quarterback. Adding Curtis Samuel next to another speedster in Jaylen Guyton can help open up this offense. Keenan Allen and Mike Williams are different types of wide receivers. Mike Williams is a jump ball receiver and he’s 50/50 to come down with the ball or get hurt doing so. Keenan Allen is a masterful route runner and creates great separation. Austin Ekeler is used out of the backfield a lot but signing Samuel wouldn’t take away from his productivity. 

Fantasy Analysis – Joe Lombardi (the son of Vince Lombardi) is now the offensive coordinator for the Chargers. After working as the Saints quarterback coach for the past five seasons, Lombardi has a plethora of knowledge ready to use at his disposal. He watched as Sean Payton utilized Alvin Kamara and Michael Thomas all over the field and it sounds like Lombardi will bring creative schemes to LA. Curtis Samuel will line up all over the field. Catching passes out of the backfield, over the middle of the field, and taking deep shots with him. That’s the beauty of signing a guy like Samuel because you can do whatever you want with him. He had 1000 combined receiving and rushing yards last year and it will be safe to assume he can exceed those stats.

Final Stat Predictions – 75 receptions, 1010 receiving yards, 215 rushing yards and 10 total touchdowns

Chris Carson – New York Jets – 4 years/ $36,000,000

As I mentioned above, I predict Chris Carson will sign with the Jets (along with JuJu Smith-Schuster). Carson is a hard-nosed, big running back with a bit of an injury history but when he’s on the field he is a great back to watch. The Jets will add at least a few offensive linemen in the offseason to supplement their already incredible left tackle in Mekhi Becton. With this being done, Carson will have the opportunity to find a few open holes that were never there in Seattle.

Fantasy Analysis – New Jets offensive coordinator Mike LaFleur watched firsthand as Kyle Shanahan’s outside/wide zone running scheme carved up defenses. One thing I’m sure LaFleur noticed is how effective that offense can be with a talented running back at the position. A much better pass catcher than thought, Carson will be used more in the passing game than he was in Seattle and that will increase his fantasy stock tremendously. I’m sure having a better offensive line will help as well.

Final Stat Predictions – 1230 rushing yards, 45 receptions, 275 receiving yards and 12 total touchdowns

Hunter Henry – New England Patriots – 4 years, $40,000,000

Much of the Patriots’ success over the years (outside of Tom Brady) was having a dominant tight end in the offense. With the Patriots potentially bringing in Chris Godwin and Hunter Henry, the offense will look more like it was in years past. Henry is a big tight end standing at 6’5 and 250 pounds but he comes with an injury history (sounds a lot like Rob Gronkowski). The Patriots need playmakers on offense and if you add a guy like Henry, it helps move the offense along. I’m sure Josh McDaniels has a gameplan from years past that he can rehash. 

Fantasy Analysis – Big, athletic, productive tight ends are hard to find. In 2020, the only tight ends that surpassed 1000 receiving yards were Travis Kelce and Darren Waller. Throw in a healthy George Kittle and Mark Andrews and that number five tight end spot is wide open. In season-long and daily fantasy, tight end is tough to navigate. You either pay up for Travis Kelce or try and find a value pick. Hunter Henry may very well start as the value pick, but midway through the season, he will be dominating the NFL. 

Final Stat Predictions – 72 receptions, 980 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns

Will Fuller V – Cincinnati Bengals – 4 years, $60,000,000

How about we load up Joe Burrow with offensive playmakers? Yes, Cincy needs to address the offensive line and with how the draft shakes up they should have their left tackle spot filled. So Joe will have more time to throw the ball in 2021. Burrow was among the league’s worst last year as a deep ball passer but he was thrown into the fire in a covid year with a terrible offensive line. Next year should be much better especially if you give him a true deep threat with home run ability. Will Fuller will be a fascinating free agency watch as he has so much talent but the injury history is quite worrisome. 

Fantasy Analysis – We finally saw last year what the former Notre Dame standout could do if he remained healthy (albeit despite the PEDs suspension). He will be 27 by the time the NFL season starts, and he will be suspended one game, but in an offense surrounded by talented players like Tyler Boyd, Tee Higgins, and Joe Mixon, Fuller could be the speedster that Cincinnati had hoped for when they drafted John Ross III. 

Final Stat Predictions – 65 receptions, 1025 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns

Leonard Fournette – Pittsburgh Steelers – 3 years/ $21,000,000

If I’m the Pittsburgh Steelers, I see this season as a one-year “let’s go for it” season. Big Ben is going to retire afterward so they are going to push all the chips in. The Steelers have been another popular rookie running back mock draft destination but if they sign a back before the draft, they don’t have to corner themselves into drafting the biggest need on their team. Doing this gives them the freedom to select the best left tackle or best player available. Leonard Fournette has dominated the Steelers. In the three games he has played against them, he averages 128 rushing yards per game and has 6 touchdowns. His game against them in the 2018 AFC Divisional Game was a sight to behold. 109 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns in a signature win for the Jaguars. I would assume this deal would have about $10,000,000 guaranteed so he can be cut after 2021 with very little dead cap. Low risk, high reward deal.

Fantasy Analysis – The Steelers saw firsthand what Fournette can do to a team. “Playoff Lenny” can dominate games when motivated. He’s a big, strong, fast back that can hit the hole and grind games out. This is exactly what the Steelers need. They need to get back to their ground and pound ways as Roethlisberger is a significantly better player when he has the support of the ground game. Fournette would be given the entire workload and if Pittsburgh can supplement the rest of the offensive line, this could be a great signing for both parties.

Final Stat Predictions – 1050 rushing yards, 40 receptions, 250 yards and 12 touchdowns

Dak Prescott – Dallas Cowboys – 4 years/ $160,000,000

Well, this was written and about 10 minutes later Dak signed. Still worth the read though? Tagged or signed to a long-term extension, Dak Prescott will be under center for the Dallas Cowboys in 2021. And simply put he’s too good not to be. Dak has been incredible throwing the deep pass, which is something Jerry Jones must value considering he took wide receiver CeeDee Lamb with the 17th pick in the 2020 draft. At the time of his gruesome injury, Dak led the league with a 135.5 passer rating on deep passes. The combination of Amari Cooper, CeeDee Lamb, and Michael Gallup is easily one of the best WR trios in the NFL and I could see even more success next year. Some will combat this stat and say that Dak needed to throw the ball because his defense was that bad and they were constantly losing. While that may be true, the defense KNEW he was going to throw the ball on nearly every down. So the edge rushers can pin their ears back and go get the QB on every play. Signing Dak Prescott to a deal will help the entire Dallas team perform better. 

Fantasy Analysis – Dak being the quarterback of this team has many fantasy football ramifications. Dak will be a top 5 fantasy QB next year. Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, and CeeDee Lamb will all be top 30 WRs next year. Ezekiel Elliott will be a top 7 running back next year (364 rushing yards, 24 catches, and 6 total TDs in the five games with Dak). But the biggest takeaway from all this is that Dallas’s defense will once again be bad. This will lead to more games where the Cowboys will have to play catch up. In just five games last year, Dak threw for 1856 passing yards and 19 touchdowns. Also, keep in mind that Dak got hurt midway through the third quarter of that fifth game. He could have very easily thrown for 2000 yards in five games. 400 yards per game and 4 touchdowns a game is pretty unfathomable, even in a league with Patrick Mahomes.

Final Stat Predictions – 5049 passing yards and 45 touchdowns.

Thanks for checking out this Free Agency Fantasy Football Predictions 2021! Appreciate the read-through. I have also put together a comprehensive free agency prediction of the top 140 players, a 2021 NFL mock draft, and an up-to-date salary cap breakdown with the predicted players – bit.ly/3arhKzR. Be on the lookout for some more NFL offseason articles where we’ll even be doing a mock draft breakdown!

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NFL

NFL Week 14 Team Stacks

Michael Rasile
written by Michael Rasile

NFL Week 14 Team Stacks

Mitchell (@MitchellThoenn1) and Michael (@MichaelRasile1) check out the week 14 team stacks for the NFL!

With the playoffs coming down the pipe, there’s a full 13 game schedule for this Sunday’s main slate! Finding ways can be fun and different especially with so many games in the 50s and above for totals. There are some lower total games that do allow for some sneaky stacks, or at least a few shares, that could make your lineups much, much different than those around you.

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NFL

NFL Week 13 Team Stacks

Michael Rasile
written by Michael Rasile

NFL Week 13 Team Stacks

Mitchell (@MitchellThoenn1) and Michael (@MichaelRasile1) check out the week 13 team stacks for the NFL!

Be on the lookout for the Sunday Morning Live Stream at 11am on the Win Daily Sports home page! It can also be found on our Twitter and YouTube pages as well!

Make sure to check out the Win Daily Sports Betting Membership for even more shark plays and always be on top of the best lines on our Betting Lines page!

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