FanDuel

We are moving right along through the NFL season as we are past the midway point and grinding our way week-to-week in DFS. This slate gets cut down to 10 games thanks to a few teams on bye, but we’ll still have plenty to work with. Let’s not waste any more time and cut right to the Breakdown, the injuries are piling up for the season and we have a lot to chop it up about!

Stay tuned for all our injury news, updates, and Discord-building advice. Also, check out our Optimizer and Projection Models to get the best possible performance from your lineups. Also, check back into the article during the week as we approach kickoff for more content, as more game breakdowns will be available as we approach the Sunday Slate.

Sunday Main Slate 11/10/24

Bills @ Colts (+4) (O/U 46)

Buffalo will keep the pedal to the metal as they land in Indianapolis to battle the Colts in our kickoff of Week 10. Joe Flacco looked like Joe Flacid last weekend and will need to step up his game against the top dog in the AFC East if he wants to keep Indianapolis in the playoff race. The 46 total is decent, so we should have no worries about taking a slice of this game on the slate for lineups.

Besides Josh Allen who is a lock for cash games week in and week out, what other Bills can be viable this weekend against a Colts’ defense that ranks in the bottom ten of the league against the run and the pass. Keep an eye out for Amari Cooper’s wrist injury, if he sits out again we may want to double down with Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman, and or Dalton Kincaid. James Cook will see a run defense that allows 150 yards per game and could be worth every penny of his $7K salary on DraftKings.

Indy will run it back with Flacco again and hope he will be able to get the ball into the hands of his playmakers. Second-year wideout Josh Downs has become the clear-cut target share leader in the receiver room with a 27% target share for the season with nine last weekend from Flacco. But the running game will need to be established first, so expect to see plenty of Jonathan Taylor against the Bills’ 31st in DVOA to opposing running backs.

Cash: Josh Allen, Jonathan Taylor

GPP: James Cook, Khalil Shakir, Josh Downs

Update: Michael Pittman and Keon Coleman are out.

Steelers @ Commanders (-2.5) (O/U 45.5)

The schedule is beginning to get tougher for the league’s arguable QB1 going into this weekend Jayden Daniels as the Steelers visit the Commanders. Vegas is not intimidated by the Steelers’ defense giving them a 45.5-point total, so we may see some back-and-forth potential between Wilson and Daniels. Let’s see how this may play out.

The secondary has been beefed up in Washington this past week as the Commanders traded for Marshon Lattimore with the Saints. They’ve only been allowing 184 yards through the air before the trade, so expect Wilson to not be as effective down the field. Pittsburgh may lean more on their running game, where Washington has struggled, allowing over 140 yards per game. Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren will offer some GPP appeal in the $6K range at running back the week for DFS.

Washington is rolling with the rookie Daniels under center, winning five of their last six games and having the third-best overall offense in the league. If Daniels can stay elusive from the Steelers’ pressure, then Terry McLaurin may have enough time to shake Joey Porter to get open, who currently ranks 77th in coverage with a +14.6 rating. Also, watch the status of running back Brian Robinson who is still nursing a hamstring. If he sits out again it will be more reps for Austin Ekeler out of that explosive backfield, and priced under $6K on DraftKings.

Cash: Jayden Daniels, Najee Harris

GPP: Russell Wilson, Terry McLaurin, George Pickens, Austin Ekeler
Update: Brian Robinson is OUT

Falcons @ Saints (+3.5) (O/U 46)

Here we have an NFC South matchup as Atlanta travels to The Big Easy to take on the Saints. New Orleans fired their head coach Dennis Allen this week, so we may see some changes to the scheme in the upcoming weeks. Seems like they are preparing for a rebuild as they also traded All-Pro cornerback Marshon Lattimore this week to the Commanders for a third and fourth-round pick.

Atlanta should have a walk in the park this week on offense, as the Saints were 26th overall on defense before the Lattimore trade and Allen firing. Even Carolina locked up a win against this roster, so this game should be cake for Cousins and the crew. Just keep an eye on Drake London during the week as he suffered a hip pointer in the first quarter of last week’s game. The Falcons’ DST is also a solid option this week for DFS.

As for the Saints, it’s still the Alvin Kamara show, who has shown us to be extremely durable this season. He is currently ranked number one among running backs in targets and receptions, and averaging 21 fantasy points per game this season. He may see plenty of stacked boxes when on the field, so keep him in tournaments at his very high salary. Perhaps let’s go back to the Taysom Hill well that I suggested in last week’s Breakdown due to the lack of pass-catchers and running backs. He put up 16 fantasy points, catching five balls for 51 yards and a score while adding 41 yards rushing. Still underpriced at $4K on DraftKings.

Cash: Bijan Robinson, Kirk Cousins

GPP: Alvin Kamara, Taysom Hill, Kyle Pitts, Drake London (if healthy) Darnell Mooney, Saints DST

Vikings @ Jaguars (+4) (O/U 47)

The Vikings are back on track and will look to keep their momentum out in Jacksonville on Sunday against the 2-7 Jaguars. It’s only a four-point spread but it’s a game that can easily get out of hand considering how bad the Jags have been defensively. A great game to pick pieces from for lineups because of each team’s desire to put the ball in the air against their terrible secondaries…Enjoy!

Jacksonville is nearly dead-last in points allowed, passing with total yards allowed per game, it’s gross. Play plenty of purple jerseys this weekend in your lineups, especially Jefferson who is always good for 20-plus fantasy points. Aaron Jones has calmed down recently, putting up a few duds in the last couple of weeks. This week may be his get-right spot as we all witnessed Saquon go bananas at home against that run defense, and he’s used heavily in the fourth quarter to eat up the clock.

The Jags’ season is pretty much dead in the water, and playing for pride the rest of the way. Minnesota does offer the worst overall DVOA in the passing game, so if Trevor Lawrence can shake the left shoulder soreness he could quadruple his value again like he did in Phila. His best receiver Brian Thomas is pricey ($6,600 on DK), but would be a target funnel along with tight end Evan Engram and Parker Washington. Stay clear of the Jags’ backs this week since Minnesota has been tough in the trenches (82 YPG allowed)

Cash: Justin Jefferson

GPP: Sam Darnold, Trevor Lawrence, Jordan Addison, Aaron Jones, Evan Engram, Parker Washington, MIN DST

Update: Trevor Lawrence is unlikely to play, and Mac Jones is to start.

Patriots @ Bears (-6) (O/U 39)

The Patriots narrowly lost by a field goal in Tennessee and will be in over their heads on Sunday at Soldier Field against the Bears’ fifth-ranked defense. The Bears sit in a perfect bounce-back spot after dropping two straight games and will aim to make mincemeat of the Pats at home. It’s a low total with a wide spread so let’s see where to attack here for DFS.

The Patriots have been a punching bag to their opponents all year, allowing the football to move up and down the field no matter who they are facing. This will turn out to be a game for Caleb Williams and the Bears to let out some frustration, especially after last week’s 29-9 loss to the Cardinals. Pick your poison of Chicago’s skill players for GPPs this weekend. Their defense is also in play.

If I were to risk my hard-earned cash on anybody for the Patriots, it would be on Rhamondre Stevenson. The Bears allow over 130 rushing yards per game and Stevenson has been their multi-faceted back that has scored four times in his last two games. He is a discount on his DraftKings salary ($6,400), as the only game in town for New England take your shot in GPPs. If you feel the Bears will also struggle offensively this week, the Jerod Mayo Pats’ defense is another bargain on DK for $2,500.

Cash: None

GPP: Caleb Williams, D’Andre Swift, DJ Moore, Keenan Allen, Cole Kmet, Bears DST, Rhamondre Stevenson, Patriots DST

Broncos @ Chiefs (-8) (O/U 41.5)

We get the world champs this week back on the slate as they’ll host their division rival Denver Broncos. Kansas City will look to stay undefeated in front of a home crowd while the Broncos look to stay above .500 on the road. Pat Mahomes is coming off his best performance of the season and should be able to replicate it this week as an eight-point favorite.

The Broncos have been solid all season on defense, ranking third on the season in overall points allowed, but not as of late. Baltimore gashed them for 41 last weekend, as Lamar Jackson threw for three scores- two to Zay Flowers. Unless this was a hiccup from this Vance Joseph defense we could see another bludgeoning by the Chiefs. Mahomes is always a lock and his weapons of Kelce and DeAndre Hopkins are also viable. Kareem Hunt averaging over 20 carries per game has proven to be a true workhorse again for this offense. But he may be a bit pricey salary-wise for DFS this week.

Head Coach Sean Payton has truly been gifted at developing quarterbacks over his career, as rookie Bo Nix has been a top 12 quarterback on the season so far. He’ll see a true test of skill against a top defense in Kansas City where DC Steve Spagnuolo has suffocated his opponents. I am not investing in any Broncos this week, as the Chiefs currently rank first against running backs and hold their opposition to 18 points per game.

Cash: Pat Mahomes, Travis Kelce

GPP: DeAndre Hopkins, Chiefs DST

Niners @ Bucs (+5) (O/U 51)

The Niners are fresh and healthier off a Week 9 bye and will travel to Tampa to face off against the Bucs. It looks to be pretty high-scoring as the only game on the slate with a total over 50. Tampa came close to defeating the Super Bowl champs on Monday night, but fell short on a coin toss in overtime and allowing them to score a TD. They’re five-point dogs at home, but I believe it will be a much closer game because of Baker Mayfield’s competitiveness.

The Bucs defensively have been a dumpster fire, averaging well over 30 points per game in their last three contests. Mainly giving up chunks of yardage and end zone targets through the air, look for Brock Purdy to continue to expose their holes on defense. Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, and Jauan Jennings will all feast from Tampa’s 30th-ranked pass defense. Cristian McCaffrey is set to make his debut this week, but I do not expect a full workload if he does in fact play. He is still priced up for DFS so best to keep him out of your lineups until we get a full sample.

Baker will do his best to keep up with the Niners’ pace so expect him to do what he has been doing…chuck the pigskin. He’s logged well over 120 attempts in his last three games, but his problem is the talent level at receiver has been depleted due to injuries. Tight end Cade Otton has been his go-to guy since Godwin and Evans went down in Week 7, racking up 25 catches on 31 targets for 256 yards and three scores. He’ll be a cash game play but his fellow receiver teammates who all lurk in the low $4K range on DraftKings should be used in GPPs.

Cash: Cade Otton, Brock Purdy

GPP: Baker Mayfield, Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, Sterling Shepard, Jauan Jennings, Jalen McMillan, Rachaad White

Titans @ Chargers (-7.5) (O/U 38)

The Titans, who finally get a win to go a miserable 2-7 against the Patriots last week, travel to LA to face a Chargers’ defense that has put their opponents in a vice offensively (ranked first in points allowed). LA has won two of their last three and look comfortable sitting at 5-3 going into this matchup as a touchdown favorite. Not too much to decide on here for DFS as both clubs are pretty cut and dry to dissect.

The low total and wide point spread tell us to start up that Chargers’ defense, obviously, but who else is worth a shot for LA? Well, Justin Herbert seems to be throwing the football more often these days, and pretty efficiently. He’s passed for 280 yards and two touchdowns in his last two games. Not lighting up the scoreboard but for only $5,200 on DraftKings, that’s four times his value. Pair him up with Quentin Johnston or Ladd McKonkey for even more bang for your buck, or just stay safe with JK Dobbins at running back who’s been a bell cow all season. All are solid GPP options.

Tennessee will continue to focus on their run game as they play hide the quarterback with Mason Rudolph and Will Levis. Tony Pollard has carried a questionable tag for two weeks straight, yet he still will see twenty-plus carries when he is on the field. The Titans will get every dollar out of Pollard this year, but for DFS he may be priced out at $6,900 on DraftKings. Consider Calvin Ridley at only $5,700 as another option as he is the last man standing seeing close to 20 targets since the departure of DeAndre Hopkins to KC. GPP only fellas.

Cash: Chargers DST

GPP: JK Dobbins, Justin Herbert, Ladd McKonkey, Quentin Johnston, Calvin Ridley

Eagles @ Cowboys (+7) (O/U 42)

The white-hot Eagles will visit the Dak-less Cowboys at AT&T Stadium in what looks to be a beatdown in front of a home crowd in Dallas. Philadelphia will look to make a statement to their division rival Cowboys and keep in the race against Washington for first place. Hopefully, this game is not over by halftime and Dallas will keep the Eagles honest.

Philadelphia will do what they do best offensively, enforce the running game by utilizing one of the best O-lines in football. Dallas already ranks 30th defending against it, so basically prepare to see another blood bath in the boxscore between Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts. Their pass catchers are always in play, but keep an eye on Devonta Smith as he’s been missing practice this week due to a hamstring. Tight end Dallas Goedert is set to return after missing four weeks and should see some work especially if Devonta is out.

Cooper Rush will look to pick up where he left off in Atlanta filling in for Dak Prescott, as he threw for 115 yards and a touchdown. But Phila’s DC Vic Fangio may have his number this weekend as Rush has no quality running game behind him and will focus entirely on smothering CeeDee Lamb. Startup that Eagles DST, it could get ugly. However, Rush will have to get the ball out elsewhere if Lamb doesn’t get open, and perhaps tight end Jake Ferguson. Keep Dem’ Boyz in tournaments only.

Cash: Jalen Hurts, Saquon Barkley, Eagles DST

GPP: Cee Dee Lamb, Jake Ferguson, AJ Brown, Dallas Goedert, Devonta Smith (if healthy)

Jets @ Cardinals (-1) (U/O 46)

New York is on the brink of making the playoffs and desperately need a win to stay alive, They’ll be the on the road to face the Cardinals, who currently have first place in their division. There’ll be loads of talent in State Farm Stadium to wrap up the Main Slate this week, so with a lot at stake we can expect both clubs to come out swinging.

It’s win or start looking for a new job for Gang Green, so expect the Jets to be ramped up for battle. Arizona sits in the bottom tier defensively, ranking 22nd on the ground and 24th through the air. New York’s offense is pretty condensed, we’ll see Rodgers utilize Breece Hall out of the backfield and Wilson and Adams to get the majority of the targets. All useful in cash or GPP lineups.

As well as the Cardinals have been record-wise, for fantasy it’s been a roller coaster. Inconsistency has been all over Kyler Murray along with Trey McBride and Marvin Harrison, yet running back James Conner just keeps padding up his stats. Only two of nine weeks he has scored less than ten fantasy points, and against a Jets’ run defense that gets hammered every week for 130-plus yards per game, run him back.

Cash: Breece Hall, Garrett Wilson, James Conner

GPP: Kyler Murray, Aaron Rodgers, Davante Adams, Trey McBride, Marvin Harrison

Thanks for reading my NFL DFS Game by Game Breakdown for Week 10! Remember to check back daily for more updates and content up until kickoff. You can reach me on X @JoeDiCarlo78 or in our Discord tag me @DiCarlo78 for any lineup build opinions or questions, always here to help! Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts and myself talking plays across every sport 24/7/365!

And we are back for another week of a Main Slate to break down as we move through halfway of the season. So many gems were in last week’s article that would’ve skyrocketed you up the pay lines if they were locked in your lineups. From our punts like Cedric Tillman and Jameis Winston to our pay-up plays of AJ Brown and Jalen Hurts, all produced 4 times or more their salaries. On to Week 9. Only two teams are on bye so we have 12 games on the menu tonight. Let’s get to the digging, Week 9 Breakdown here we go!

Stay tuned for all our injury news, updates, and Discord-building advice. Also, check out our Optimizer and Projection Models to get the best possible performance from your lineups. Also, check back into the article during the week as we approach kickoff for more content, as more game breakdowns will be available as we approach the Sunday Slate.

Sunday Main Slate 11/3/24

Broncos @ Ravens (-9) (O/U 42)

We kick off the slate with a battle between two AFC playoff contenders as Denver heads over to the East Coast to take on the Ravens. Both teams sit at 5-3 and their records speak for themselves. Built on tough defenses and running the football, The Ravens and Broncos may have to switch their strategies to pull out a victory.

The last domino fell this week in the wide receiver sweepstakes as Baltimore acquired Diontae Johnson via trade with the Panthers. Although Johnson’s fantasy value will take a now being a part of a crowded Ravens’ receiving room, Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry will be even more effective in the run game. The Broncos led by Patrick Surtain are ranked third overall and fourth defending the pass. Diontae Johnson is another weapon to distract opposing defenses away from the NFL’s number one running offense. Lamar and Henry stay in the cash game conversation.

Baltimore also has the number-one-ranked rushing defense, which only allows 69 yards per game. Bo Nix will need to fully rely on his arm in this game, which shouldn’t be a problem as he ranks first in the league with deep ball attempts (37). His 20-plus fantasy points in two of his last three games are in trouble, so Denver will focus on Nix to get the ball out and attack Baltimore’s 31st-ranked secondary. GPPs welcome Courtland Sutton, Javonte Williams, and company.

Cash: Lamar Jackson, Derrick Henry

GPP: Bo Nix, Javonte Williams, Courtland Sutton, Devaughn Vele, Troy Franklin, Mark Andrews

Dolphins @ Bills (-6) (O/U 49)

A rivalry in the AFC East emerges in Buffalo as the Bills host the Miami Dolphins team in their second matchup of the year. The Bills have a stranglehold on the division at 6-2 and will look to widen the margin against a Dolphins team that has struggled on both sides of the ball all year since Tua went down in Week 2.

The chemistry keeps building in Buffalo between Josh Allen and his revamped receiving room. Six to seven players are targeted in Allen’s last three contests, which again will be a headache for Miami defensive coordinators. Deciding on a Bills receiver will be tricky for DFS, so a safer approach would be to use a naked Josh Allen or James Cook. Miami is 21st in DVOA to opposing running backs, which sets the stage for another decent performance for Allen and Cook.

Miami was back to full strength with Tua back in the lineup, and what a shot in the arm for the offense as they put up 27 points against the Cardinals last week. It shouldn’t get too cold this Sunday up in Buffalo, which gives the Dolphins a chance for a shot at stealing a win on the road. If Miami can continue to force De’Von Achane and the running game, it could be finally a return of Tyreek Hill to DFS relevance. The Bills rank 31st in defending opposing backs, in a game with an implied total of 49, Achane, Hill, and Tua a week removed from IR make great GPP options.

Cash: Josh Allen, De’Von Achane, James Cook

GPP: Tyreek Hill, Tua Tagovailoa, Keon Coleman, Dalton Kincaid, Jaylen Waddle

Commanders @ Giants (+3.5) (O/U 43.5)

Next, we have an NFC East matchup between the division-leading 6-2 Commanders and the struggling 2-6 Giants. Washington will aim to keep its momentum moving after last week’s Hail Mary victory against Chicago. Big Blue is singing the Blues these days as they have dropped three of their last four games and become the division’s bottom feeders. But it’s a divisional game with plenty of football left in the season, so expect New York to come out with some spunk.

Jayden Daniels played with a bruised rib in last week’s victory against the Bears, and he is trending towards suiting up again at MetLife Stadium. He’ll be a risky play for DFS at his salary, along with his receiving core especially after being held to just 13 fantasy points with zero touchdowns in Week 2 against New York. The Washington running game is what cashed in their first meeting with both Brian Robinson and Austin Ekeler combining for over 200 total yards. Their defense has also stepped up along the season (11th ranked overall), so for DFS they are a full go against bumbling blue.

The Giants were humiliated in Pittsburgh on Monday Night, but there was one bright spot… Tyrone Tracy Jr. The rookie ran for 145 yards at over 7 YPC, with a touchdown. Although Devin Singletary is still in the mix, Tracy saw 20 carries and is the preferred back for coach Brian Dabol, so long as he clears concussion protocols. The Giants’ other rookie number four overall pick Malik Nabers should again see plenty of volume averaging 12 targets per game. He lit up the sky in Washington back in Week 2 for 31 DK fantasy points, so let’s bring him back for another shot in DFS for Week 9.

Cash: Malik Nabers, Brian Robinson (if healthy)

GPP: Jayden Daniels, Terry McLaurin, Tyrone Tracy Jr. (if he plays), Commanders DST, Austin Ekeler

Raiders @ Bengals (-7) (O/U 46.5)

The Bengals hungry to stay in the playoff race will host the lowly Raiders who still are playing with no identity here in Week 9. The Bengals sit in a perfect landing spot to bounce back after taking one on the chin last week from Philly, as a clear favorite in this matchup. There will be some notable names missing from this game, so let’s fill you in with the details.

Starting wide receiver Tee Higgins and running back Zack Moss are listed as doubtful going into the weekend, which usually means a big no-no for DFS even if they miraculously suit up. Having this news, it will be the Chase and Chase show for Cincy, as Ja’Marr Chase and Chase Brown will have a full plate of reps and volume this weekend. Other players to step up will be Andrei Iosivas, Trent Irwin, and Mike Gesicki for Joe Burrow to pepper in the Bengals’ pass-first offense. A nice matchup all around for the team as Vegas’ 26th-ranked offense will provide plenty of extra scoring opportunities.

The Raiders will get back Jakobi Meyers at receiver for Gardner Minshew, who will need all the help he can get. At this point in the season, the players are looking to keep their jobs for next season. Running back Alexander Mattison has been consistent and has taken over the lead role, Cincinnati allows close to 140 yards per game so he can be a GPP candidate. Meyers and Mattison are the only Vegas show in town this weekend, so if you’re looking for leverage in tournaments look no further.

Cash: Ja”Maar Chase, Chase Brown, Bengals DST, Joe Burrow

GPP: Andrei Iosivas, Trent Irwin, Mike Gesicki, Jakobi Meyers, Alexander Mattison

Cowboys @ Falcons (-3) (O/U 52)

Now this is more like it. A 52 total indoors featuring two teams that are not afraid to throw the football. The Cowboys hit the road and will be eager to not drop their third straight game, but the Falcons will be a tall order. Atlanta wants to go back-to-back wins to keep up and stay in first place in the division against Tampa. The high total will draw the field over for ownership, so let’s check it out.

Dallas’ porous defense will be on stage this Sunday, who desperately will miss Micah Parsons, DaRon Bland, and Trevon Diggs once again. It will be a blood bath on the astroturf, as this fully healthy and weaponized offense led by Kirk Cousins could be the highest-scoring team on the slate, and all safe for cash. The Cowboys rank 31st against the run and 29th against the pass allowing 7.2 yards per attempt and 154 rushing yards per game.

Since the Cowboys will not be able to defend, they should be behind in the second half. Prescott will hopefully go back to where his bread is buttered with CeeDee Lamb (13 REC/146 YDS/2 TDS in Week 8) to keep up the pace, as they have no clear second option in Dallas. Atlanta can be thrown on too so no worries, their DVOA is 23rd to its wideouts. If you don’t choose Lamb, go for tight end Jake Ferguson who saw eight targets against San Fran last week. All three are GPPs except for Lamb who can go cash too.

Cash: CeeDee Lamb, Drake London, Bijan Robinson, Kyle Pitts

GPP: Kirk Cousins, Dak Prescott, Rico Dowdle, Jake Ferguson, Darnell Mooney

Chargers @ Browns (+1.5) (O/U 43)

LA hopes to stay in contention while in the aggressive AFC West and steal a win on the road from the new and improved Cleveland Browns. The lights will all be on quarterback Jameis Winston after his incredible 334 yards, 3 touchdown performance to defeat the first-place Ravens. Can lightning strike again in Cleveland? It will be a stretch against the number-one-ranked defense in points allowed, but anything can happen.

LA continues to ride the coattails of JK Dobbins, who had another touchdown scored against New Orleans. He’s been their go-to guy, especially with the injury to Gus Edwards. But finally, we get to mention Justin Herbert in the Breakdown, who threw the ball 32 times last week. He’ll get Quentin Johnston back from a bum ankle alongside Ladd McConkey, which should help pad his stats. With all the injuries on defense including Joey Bosa entering the contest questionable, if Jameis has another big day, Herbert may have to keep up.

Winston was the talk of the town in the NFL and has the red carpet rolled out for him as comeback player of the year if he keeps up this type of play. Cedric Tillman became his preferred receiver of choice, catching seven for 99 yards and two touchdowns. Tight end David Njoku was also on the receiving end of his scores, but with Winston, everyone is in play who is on the field. Again, It’s the Chargers’ defense so buyers beware if they show up. All are GPP options, including the LA DST if you feel Winston goes back to some of his old ways.

Cash: None

GPP: Justin Herbert, Jameis Winston, David Njoku, Cedric Tillman, Quentin Johnston, Ladd McConkey, JK Dobbins, LAC DST

Saints @ Panthers (+7.5) (O/U 43.5)

Well, we’ve reached rock bottom of the slate as the 2-6 Saints take on the 1-7 Panthers in a game to decide who is the worst of the worst. New Orleans has an injury report that looks like a grocery list, and the Panthers are starting Bryce Young again over a healthy Andy Dalton. Both teams are horrendous on defense, which is a cheat code for fantasy riches. I am locked into this game for tournaments since the low total may sway ownership away, a potential sleeper… so let’s dive in.

Derek Carr is finally back in the mix after a four-game oblique injury, which is a sigh of relief for the offense in New Orleans. What a matchup to help ease him back into game form too, as Carolina ranks dead last in overall defense. Chris Olave is the last of the Mohicans of Saints’ starting wideouts, who had a stud-like game last week ( 8 REC/107 YDS). Both are solid for cash along with their lone soldier at running back Alvin Kamara since no one else is healthy in their backfield. The rest of them can be slid into tournaments, see below in bold…

Bryce Young is the cheapest starting quarterback on DraftKings at $4,400, yet he put up over 15 fantasy points against Denver last week, but that was in garbage time. Still, that’s nearly four times his salary, rolling the dice on Young one more time against a Saints defense that will be without defensive backs Marshon Lattimore and Kool-Aid McKinstry would be very tempting for DFS. The departure of Diontae Johnson causes Xavier Legette to become Carolina’s alpha by default followed by Jalen Coker and Jonathan Mingo. All are GPP targets, along with running back Chuba Hubbard who gets another full workload against a Saints defense that allows 143 yards per game on the ground.

Cash: Chris Olave, Derek Carr, Alvin Kamara, Chuba Hubbard

GPP: Bryce Young, Xavier Legette, Cedrick Wilson, Mason Tipton, Juwan Johnson, Taysom Hill, Jonathan Mingo, Jalen Coker

Patriots @ Titans (-3.5) (O/U 38)

A possible stinker on the slate. Mason Rudolph gets the call as the Titans will host the Pats with a concussion-free Drake Maye. Just on the total and these teams’ records alone I would say either defense would be safe to use in lineups. However, taking some ownership of some of the skill players in this one is a slick spot to get different in tournaments. Let’s take a look and see.

Rudolph did well in garbage time last week against Detroit scoring 21 fantasy points, and has a small chance to replicate it again if this game gets sloppy. The Pats will allow opponents to move the chains (223 PaYDS/game, 133 RuYDS./game), giving the Titan’s top playmakers Calvin Ridley and Tony Pollard plenty of optimism to ball out. Pollard has not practiced all week and Tyjae Spears is out, so if you are feeling frisky take the min-priced Julius Chestnut. If Pollard bows out from his foot, you’ll see 20 carries from a $4K back on DraftKings.

Last weekend we witnessed the Lions put 34 points up on the Titans by halftime, so it is safe to say they’ll be out to prove a point on defense this weekend. But if the Pats can score half of that 52 then we should see some value out of them. Rookie Drake Maye, Rhamondre Stevenson, and DeMario Douglas are all tournament plays against a Titans team that’s 28th in the league in points allowed per game (26.3)

Cash: Patriots DST, Titans DST

GPP: Drake Maye, Masin Rudolph, Rhamondre Stevenson, Calvin Ridley, Demario Douglas, Hunter Henry, Tony Pollard, Julius Chestnut

Jaguars @ Eagles (-7.5) (O/U 45.5)

This game has a blowout script written all over it. The Jags were bad enough as it is defensively (29th overall), but now their offense has taken a hit from injuries. Philadelphia on the other hand looked unstoppable in Cincinnati racking up 37 points on the road to defeat the Bengals. The Eagles are back at home and Jacksonville may have their work cut out for them, here’s why.

Trevor Lawrence’s 62% completion ratio up against a top-ten Eagles’ defense on the road, plus injuries to the offensive skill players are just too many red flags this week for the Jags. Christian Kirk was lost for the season this week due to a collarbone fracture, and everybody else is questionable except Evan Engram. Engram may be in store for a ton of targets this weekend as the only fully Jaguar suiting up to catch the football. Keep an eye on reports on the rest of the team closer to game time.

Jalen Hurts gave you 37 fantasy points last week and could very well do it again at home. He is true to padding his stats and will take every opportunity to light up the boxscore at home. Play all your Eagles connected to him, especially Barkley this time out as he will face a Jaguars’ 28th in DVOA to opposing running backs. Jacksonville allows close to 28 points per game on the season and is well on pace to drive up that number in Philadelphia.

Cash: Jalen Hurts, Saquon Barkley, Eagles DST

GPP: AJ Brown, Devonta Smith, Evan Engram

Bears @ Cardinals (-1) (O/U 44.5)

Chicago will be out for vengeance after losing to a Hail Mary pass in Washington last weekend, so Arizona better brace themselves. The Bears are above .500 and playing well this deep into the season, and appear to have finally found their quarterback. Arizona is another surprisingly decent team at 4-4 so far and on top of the NFC West division. Only a one-point spread here in a mid-forties total, so I would not get cute in this game for DFS. Just target either team’s star players if you like this game.

Kyler Murray read the playbook beautifully last weekend, getting the ball into the hands of his best players, Marvin Harrison Jr. and Trey McBride. Each caught for over 100 yards and a touchdown. However, facing a number four-ranked Bears defense may slow down Murray through the air so that James Conner may be more emphasized in the offense on Sunday. Chicago allows over 120 yards of rushing per game, making Conner another safe play this week. Conner has scored over 15 fantasy points in six of eight games this season.

Chicago has won three of its last four games (there should have been four straight) and it’s all because of one man, D’Andre Swift. The former Georgia Bulldog has averaged well over 100 total yards and one touchdown per game in his last four contests. A solid option for cash games and is still severely underpriced on DraftKings at $6,400. We usually do not stack running backs with quarterbacks in DFS, but in this case, I see no issue rolling Swift out with Caleb Williams. Bears receivers have been hit or miss, for a safer option go with tight end Cole Kmet who sees a 78% snap share.

Cash: James Conner, D’Andre Swift

GPP: Kyler Murray, Caleb Williams, Cole Kmet, Trey McBride, Marvin Harrison

Lions @ Packers (+3.5) (U/O 48.5)

A huge game on the slate featuring the most explosive division in the NFC North. Both teams are hungry to take the lead as they are neck and neck with six wins a piece. However there is some rain in the forecast in Green Bay, so calm yourselves down a bit on attacking this part of the slate. Let’s figure out this game.

Vegas has dropped the total one point to 47.5 since Tuesday, and this is after Jordan Love was cleared to play from his groin injury that had him crawling to the sideline last Sunday. I do not feel Love is 100% after watching him in pain, so I am out weather or no weather factor. Running back Josh Jacobs is the only Packer I am interested in, averaging 24 fantasy points in his last two games and the clear workhorse of this offense.

Two fun facts about the Lions: They will run the ball down your throats at will, and Jared Goff sucks outdoors, even worse in wet weather. The combination of Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery has been lights out all year, ranked 6th in yardage and first in touchdowns with 13 rushing. Now Goff can’t hand it off thirty times tomorrow, so I would go Amon-Ra St. Brown and Sam LaPorta for some work so long Goff does not melt away. Packers DST is an under-the-radar move this week I feel because of the high total, so long as Goff does not show up.

Cash: Jahmyr Gibbs, David Montgomery, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Josh Jacobs

GPP: Sam LaPorta, Tucker Kraft, Jayden Reed, Packers DST, Lions DST

Rams @ Seahawks (+1.5) (U/O 48)

Last but not least we have a battle in the NFC West. It’s a nice total of 48 with a tight spread of 1.5, so we should see some back-and-forth game flow. The division is up for grabs so expect both teams to come out swinging in their first meeting of the season.

LA is fresh off a victory in Minnesota thanks to a ref turning a blind eye to a facemask on Sam Darnold. The Rams are one of the most electrifying teams in football when healthy, and this week they seem to be. The matchup is juicy, especially for Kyren Williams, who’ll face a Seattle defense that gives up close to 150 yards per game in the trenches. But all should feast well in this high-scoring game so start your Rams up but they won’t come cheap.

Seattle will need all the help they can get on offense as they’ll be without DK Metcalf and Noah Fant. Geno Smith’s downfield threat capabilities will be compromised unless Jake Bobo and AJ Barner can fill in some big shoes this weekend. Although Seattle may choose a more run-heavy approach with Kenneth Walker, who has been solid this season. His role in the passing game has increased to a 14% target share in Seattle, fifth in the league amongst running backs. Jaxson-Smith Njigba and Tyler Lockett will see a bump in their starting roles this week as well.

Cash: Kyren Williams, Kenneth Walker

GPP: Puka Nacua, Cooper Kupp, Matt Stafford, Geno Smith, JSN, Jake Bobo, AJ Barner, Tyler Lockett

Thanks for reading my NFL DFS Game by Game Breakdown for Week 9! Remember to check back daily for more updates and content up until kickoff. You can reach me on X @JoeDiCarlo78 or in our Discord tag me @DiCarlo78 for any lineup build opinions or questions, always here to help! Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts and myself talking plays across every sport 24/7/365!

We are back for another breakdown as we are almost halfway through the NFL season. A full entree of 13 games to chop up and set out on the table for you to enjoy. Week 8 should be interesting since so many injuries to starters occurred, and their replacements are set to take on bigger roles in their perspective offenses. Not to mention some players who have been injured will be returning this week, so let’s get started.

Stay tuned for all our injury news, updates, and Discord-building advice. Also, check out our Optimizer and Projection Models to get the best possible performance from your lineups. Also, check back into the article during the week as we approach kickoff for more content, as more game breakdowns will be available as we approach the Sunday Slate.

Sunday Main Slate 10/27/24

Titans @ Lions (-10.5) (O/U 45)

We start off with the roaring Detroit Lions who are still licking their lips after handing Minnesota their first loss of the year. They host Tennessee, a team that just can’t seem to find the win column with a record of 1-5. It’s a huge spread with Detroit laying 10.5 and the total seems like it may take a dive closer to Sunday. Let’s see who we like in this matchup for DFS.

Don’t underestimate Tennessee’s defense by looking at their record. They’re fifth in rushing yards allowed (105 yards allowed per game) and third in passing yards allowed (186/game). Besides last week’s beat down by Josh Allen, the Titans have not defended any other competent quarterbacks all year. Jared Goff should get the job done once again, along with Amon-Ra St. Brown and Sam LaPorta. Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery are the best one-two punch at running back in football, un fadeable in my opinion. However, the Lions may be losing Jameson Williams to a suspension for two games, so the arrows are up for Khalif Raymond and Tim Patrick, great salary savers this weekend in tournaments.

Mason Rudolph did not move the marker any better than Will Levis last week, who got the start at quarterback, and the team is just nauseating to think of in regards to any type of offense on the road in Detroit. So we can’t invest in this passing game and Tony Pollard’s matchup is brutal, facing a Lions team that only allows 92 yards per game rushing. Let’s play it safe, stand clear of any Titans, and lock in the Lions DST.

Cash: Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jahmyr Gibbs, Lions DST

GPP: Jared Goff, Sam LaPorta, Khalif Raymond, Tim Patrick

Update: DeAndre Hopkins was traded to the Chiefs

Packers @ Jaguars (+4.5) (O/U 49.5)

This game has some shootout potential, a near 50-total with the Jags getting a few points at home against the Packers. Both quarterbacks have stepped up to their game, especially Jordan Love winning his third straight game. The contest should see plenty of warm weather with sunny skies, a perfect design for some points to get on the scoreboard. Can the Jags make it two wins in a row after flying back over the pond? We shall see.

Jordan Love does not play favorites, which is unusual for quarterbacks these days. He hits the open man. So roll him out nude and he’s good for 20 fantasy points, which he has averaged all season. But if you can stack him with a receiver, that would be even better. It’s a risky play since we never know where the ball is going in Green Bay, but Romeo Doubs has scored a touchdown and double-digit fantasy points in two straight games. The matchup is gold too, Jacksonville ranks in the bottom three of defending the pass, so roll out Doubs, Reed, Watson, or whoever your gut says will be a Love beneficiary.

The Jags left the pond with a win over the Pats, pulling it off by being down 10-0 at one point. They’ll need more from Trevor Lawrence, who is only completing 66% of his throws and averaging just two carries a game. The rookie Brian Thomas Jr. (17 YPR) and second-string running back Tank Bigsby (6.2 YPC) have been keeping the offense going as of late. Each has scored four times this season, but tight end Evan Engram has the better matchup against Green Bay’s 23rd-in DVOA coverage this week. The Packers have allowed five-plus catches per game at 56 yards a clip in seven games this season, take a shot on Engram in GPPs.

Cash: Jordan Love

GPP: Evan Engram, Brian Thomas Jr., Tank Bigsby, Jayden Reed, Romeo Doubs, Christian Watson, Tucker Kraft, Dontayvion Wicks

Colts @ Texans (-6) (O/U 46)

Next on the menu, we have an AFC South in Texas where the Colts will take on the Texans. The total is mid-range and the spread suggests Houston should walk out of the contest as victors. It’s a great bounce-back spot, mainly for CJ Stroud since scoring single-digit fantasy points last weekend. Although the Colts stroll in with a winning record at 4-3, they rank 31st in rushing yards allowed and 23rd in passing coverage. Indy has also been up and down offensively, which team will show this weekend?

The Texans rallied behind Joe Mixon against Green Bay in their loss, who put up another solid performance (124 TOT yards/2 TDs). We are going to let it ride with Mixon one more week against a Colts team that allows 159 yards per game in the trenches. Stefon Diggs and Tank Dell should also see production in this spot, but Stroud may not get to pay his salary if this game gets out of hand. If they do in fact keep Anthony Richardson and the Colts in check, the Texans DST are an option too this week.

Free Joe Flacco in Indianapolis. Anthony Richardson returned from a two-game stint to lead the Colts to victory, but it wasn’t from his quarterback play. He returned to pass for only 129 yards at 5.4 yards per attempt, so it’s not looking good this week against a Houston defense that is fourth in the league in rushing, and eighth in passing yards allowed. But there is some hope for Jonathan Taylor to return this week, if he does he is a GPP dart throw for a running back that sees 20-plus carries per game.

Cash: Joe Mixon

GPP: Stefon Diggs, Tank Dell, CJ Stroud, Jonathan Taylor, Houston DST

Eagles @ Bengals (-3) (O/U 47.5)

I like this game on the slate, it’s a potential sleeper for a shootout. The total does not tell the entire potential game script in Cincinnati, as each team’s defenses are vulnerable to giving up big plays. The Eagles dominated the Giants last week, by showcasing their former bell cow up and down Met Life stadium as he ran for over 170 yards and a touchdown. The Bengals also had a cakewalk weekend in Week 7, beating up on the woeful Browns on their own turf by the hands of Joe Burrow. I’ll explain why this game could be crucial to take ownership of on the slate.

Philadelphia has been impenetrable on the front seven, but you can air the ball out on their secondary. Back in Week 4 Baker Mayfield threw for 347 yards and two touchdowns on that secondary, he had Godwin and Evans alongside him. This week Philly will see Burrow with Ja”Maar Chase and Tee Higgins on opposite sides of him. Imagine the fireworks display that we may be in store for. All three Bengals make the grade, with Chase Brown and Zack Moss also for goal line and hurry-up offense PPR work.

The Bengals however, have been awful at stopping the run. There are too many boxscores to list in this paragraph, but Derrick Henry, Chuba Hubbard, and rookie Tyrone Tracy Jr have all been RB 1’s in the weeks they ran against Cincinnati. Saquon Barkley will be a staple at running back this weekend once again, with Jalen Hurts also getting pushed into the endzone. A.J. Brown and Devonta Smith should see all the passing work with tight end Dallas Goedert sidelined, they will be great GPP options this week.

Cash: Saquon Barkley, Jalen Hurts, Ja’Maar Chase

GPP: Tee Higgins, Joe Burrow, A.J. Brown, Devonta Smith, Chase Brown, Zack Moss

Ravens @ Browns (+11.5) (O/U 44.5)

Baltimore hits the road again after putting up 41 in Tampa on Monday Night and will take on their division rival Browns. The spread is gross and the total is not enticing either, but here we are to take from what we are given. Cleveland’s 200-million dollar man Deshaun Watson is done for the year with a torn Achilles, but that may be good news for the team in general.

We’ve all just seen the highlights and on Monday Night Football, the Ravens are the real deal. Their success is based on running the football, thanks to Derrick Henry. The 30-year-old has averaged over six yards per carry, totaling 873 yards and ten touchdowns. He has only Lamar Jackson to thank because of his own rushing capabilities. And welcome back Mark Andrews, Lamar’s established tight end has been his go-to guy since his rookie season. Andrews was on a milk carton to begin the season, until his last two games as he caught three touchdowns.

Now the Browns will be having a changing of the guard at quarterback, and he should get a warm welcome from the home crowd. Jameis Winston has not been fantasy-relevant since 2022 until he tore his ACL, but he’ll get his shot at redemption on Sunday. It’s not the softest landing spot either as we witnessed two picks by the Raven’s secondary in the first half Monday night. Winston along with Jerry Jeudy, Elijah Moore, Cedric Tillman, and David Njoku are all in play due to their inexpensive salaries against a Ravens’ pass-funnel defense that is impossible to run against (allows only 68 rushing yards per game)

Cash: Lamar Jackson, Derick Henry

GPP: Jameis Winston, Jerry Jeudy, Mark Andrews, David Njoku, Elijah Moore, Cedric Tillman, Ravens DST

Jets @ Patriots (+7) (O/U 41.5)

Aaron Rodgers and the Jets land in a get-right spot on the road in New England, a game they desperately need to win in order to stay in the playoff race. The Pats are back in the States after taking a beating over the pond against Jacksonville. If you want to take a bite out of this contest, I suggest taking the guys in green only. Let’s break it down.

Don’t let New York’s record fool you, if not for a couple of missed field goals this team would be sitting at 4-3. Now with one week under his belt with his former Packer teammate, Davante Adams will see a much better stat line against a Pats’ coverage that ranks 24th in DVOA to opposing wide receivers. Garrett Wilson, Allen Lazard, and Breece Hall should all be involved as well this Sunday as the Jets may use the Patriots as a punching bag this weekend and let out some frustration.

New York’s defense was a dumpster fire in Pittsburgh, but look for them to also land in a soft spot and put the clamps on Drake Maye and the Pats’ offense. They will be in front of a home crowd but using any Patriots’ skill players will be GPP Milli-Maker viable due to the ownership. If I were to take a shot at a Pat it would be Rhamondre Stevenson facing a Jets’ defense that has struggled to stop the run, allowing over 127 yards per game. A safer bet would be the Jets’ DST if you have the salary to pay up for.

Cash: Breece Hall, Garrett Wilson, Jets DST

GPP: Aaron Rodgers, Davante Adams, Allen Lazard, Rhamondre Stevenson

Cardinals @ Dolphins (-3) (O/U 47.5)

Miami will host the Cardinals in a game where we may finally see the Dolphins back to full strength offensively with the return of Tua Tagovailoa. Arizona fresh off their Monday night win against the Chargers is sitting pretty at 3-4 and working their way to a .500 record. It’s a decent total with a standard spread of home-field advantage at -3, let’s get right to it.

The Dolphins are desperate for Tua to suit up, as their offense has looked like a deer in headlights without him over the past six weeks. I haven’t seen Tyreek Hill at .$7K on DraftKings in years, if Tua is back we may have to jam Hill into all of our lineups at that price. Jaylen Waddle and De’Von Achane also fell down the ladder of affordability, you may want to consider them also, along with Tua himself.

Kyler Murray put the Cardinals on his back Monday night and carried them to a last-minute second by getting his team into field goal position. His legs played a big part in the game, rushing for 64 yards on six carries and a touchdown. He also has not been sacked in his last two games, which helps keep the offense on the field. Miami is ranked first in defending the pass, allowing the least amount of yards and touchdowns, which is bad news for Marvin Harrison and Trey McBride. A naked Kyler Murray or James Connor is the path to take this week in Arizona, Miami has allowed the third-most rushing touchdowns (9) so far this season at 4.6 yards allowed.

Cash: James Conner, Tyreek Hill

GPP: Kyler Murray, Tua Tagovailoa, Jaylen Waddle, De’Von Achane, Trey McBride

Falcons @ Bucs (+2.5) (O/U 47.5)

Here we have an NFC South battle in Tampa, Florida as the Division lead will be handed to the winner, Both clubs sit with a record of 4-3, but the Bucs are in serious trouble as they lost both Mike Evans and Chris Godwin back on Monday. Meanwhile, in Atlanta, everything is roses. Although they lost to Seattle last week, the team is healthy and should bounce back this weekend.

The bloodshed is still fresh in our minds from watching Baltimore dismantle the Bucs’ defense by scoring 41 at the hands of Lamar Jackson’s five touchdown passes. It’s an open-and-shut case to fire more bullets at this Tampa defense. Drake London and Bijan are a lock along with Kirk Cousins. I have no problem with any Falcons this weekend actually, even the it defense gets a thumbs up as Tampa is short-handed at receiver.

Tampa is down, but don’t count them out yet. Baker Mayfield still has a cannon of an arm and is not afraid to use it. He leads the league in passing touchdowns with 18, and second in yardage. Who will be on the other end of these throws? Well expect a receiver-by-committee approach, including all three running backs, so keep them all in tournaments. Tight end Cade Otton went bananas (8 receptions for 100 yards) in garbage time last week when Godwin went down after Evans, he could very well be the target monster after all of the injuries.

Cash: Kirk Cousins, Drake London, Bijan Robinson, Baker Mayfield, Cade Otton

GPP: Darnell Mooney, Kyle Pitts, Jalen McMillan, Sterling Shepard, Trey Palmer

Bills @ Seahawks (+3) (O/U 47.5)

Here we have another game to invest in for DFS. The revamped Buffalo Bills offense hits the road to take on the Seahawks and the tough crowd of Seattle. Both teams sit on top of their divisions and look to stay there in a game that foresees back-and-forth scoring action. Grabbing each side of this matchup could be a solid path across the pay lines, let’s check it out.

Seattle only allows 200 passing yards per game, but that number exists only because opposing teams have been successful running the ball, as they allow nearly 150 yards per game. I would not be afraid of this secondary and be willing to roll out any Bills receivers alongside Josh Allen. James Cook should also have a great turnout, both Cash game options. Tight ends Dalton Kincaid has been limited and Dawson Knox has a DNP this week, so monitor them closely.

Buffalo is in the same boat defensively, as they’ve been gashed by running backs and allowing over 130 yards per game at 5.2 yards a clip. If the Seahawks can get the ball rolling with Kenneth Walker, who has been balling out in 2024 (3rd in TOT TDs with 7, 2nd in catches with 23), then Geno could carve up a beat-up Bills defense that may miss DTs Terrel Bernard and DaQuon Jones this week. Keep an eye on DK Metcalf on the injury reports, if he can’t suit up Tyler Lockett, JSN, and Noah Fant will see a bump in target share.

Cash: Josh Allen, James Cook, Kenneth Walker

GPP: Geno Smith, Amari Cooper, Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman, DK Metcalf (if healthy), JSN

Update: DK Metcalf is doubtful

Chiefs @ Raiders (+9.5) (O/U 42)

The undefeated Chiefs will fly into Sin City to play the Raiders in an AFC West matchup with an ugly total of 42. The spread is extremely lopsided favoring the Chiefs, mainly because of the bone-crushing KC defense and the porta john offense of Las Vegas. We are used to scrolling straight to the Chiefs for DFS week to week, but not this time around, here is why.

If Vegas scores more than 13 points this week I’ll be surprised, Chris Jones and Trent McDuffie have suffocated every team in their path this season allowing 20 or more points only twice. They will be forced to roll out Gardner Minshew, who they benched, due to Aiden O’Connell landing on IR. Minshew sits on top of the league with eight picks, a number that may get higher after this week. The only Raiders I would consider against KC would be Alexander Mattison, who has taken control of the backfield, and tight end Brock Bowers who has become their number-one passing option.

The Chiefs have a shiny new toy and his name is DeAndre Hopkins. The news broke early Tuesday morning as he was traded from the Titans, becoming the latest wide receiver to switch teams mid-season. He is on pace to play, and Andy Reid will call the plays to send the ball in his direction to see what he acquired. If this game plays out the way most anticipate, we should see plenty of Kareem Hunt eating up the clock in the second half and Pat Mahomes spreading the ball around to gain an early lead.

Cash: Chiefs DST, Kareem Hunt, Brock Bowers

GPP: Pat Mahomes, Travis Kelce, DeAndre Hopkins, Alexander Mattison

Saints @ Chargers (-7) (U/O 39.5)

The 2-5 Saints head out to California to face the Chargers and will still be without quarterback Derek Carr. LA welcomes New Orleans over on Sunday wit a warm welcome and looks to exploit their deteriorated defensive line. It’s a touchdown spread with a total under 40, this could be ugly for fantasy. There’s always a route to take for DFS in every game though, let’s dive in.

The Saints will send out Spencer Rattler one more time, and boy I am licking my chops at the Chargers DST this weekend. Rattler has not delivered at quarterback and still needs to be groomed for obvious reasons. His decision-making is one of them, as he has thrown two picks to one touchdown in two games, and completed passes at only 5.5 yards per attempt. LA is ranked first in points allowed, with six interceptions under their belt already, 13 sacks, and four fumble recoveries. I want no part of any Saints this weekend, even though Chris Olave and Taysom Hill are trending towards playing this week, if Hill plays we may see him take over the QB position.

New Orleans has been destroyed across the board defensively as they rank 28th in passing yardage, 30th in rushing, and average well over 23 points allowed per game. Harbaugh and the Chargers are firm believers in running the football and tossing it out to their tight ends. JK Dobbins and Will Dissly/Hayden Hurst will flourish in this game. This may be the last time we see Dobbins under $7K on DraftKings so take him before the price goes up down the road.

Cash: JK Dobbins, Chargers DST

GPP: Will Dissly, Hayden Hurst (if both are healthy), Taysom Hill

Panthers @ Broncos (-8) (U/O 43.5)

Denver will sit in the driver’s seat on the road to victory as they will host the single-win Panthers. It will be one of the most lopsided games on the slate as the Broncos rank in the top five in almost all the categories including total defense and points allowed. Bryce Young will be back under center, which could be a tougher pill to swallow for all Panther fans. We’ll pick the pieces for you to decide on to put in your lineups.

Low totals with spreads at a touchdown or higher equal running backs and defenses to target for fantasy. Javonte Williams and the Denver defense make absolute sense this weekend, stacking both in your lineup will have you sleeping like a baby Saturday night before the slate kicks off. The Panthers have allowed 27 total touchdowns so far this season, ranking dead last in points allowed, rushing yardage and touchdowns. All the Broncos are viable this weekend including their defense.

Bryce Young will be thrown back to the wolves since Andy Dalton bruised his thumb in a car accident. What a matchup he gets, Denver on the road. He may also be without his number one receiver Diontae Johnson due to some bruised ribs, which could lead to stacked boxes for Chuba Hubbard. Stay away from the Panthers this weekend against one of the best defenses in football.

Cash: Javonte Williams, Denver DST

GPP: Bo Nix

Update: Diontae Johnson is out

Bears @ Commanders (+2.5) (U/O 44)

To wrap up the Breakdown it will be a showdown between the number one and number two overall picks in this year’s draft. Caleb Williams will look to continue the Bears’ hot streak against The Commanders, who hope Jayden Daniels will be healthy enough to play. Williams has not practiced all week with a rib injury, which would give Marcus Mariota the start in case he can’t suit up. Let’s look into the final game of the slate.

The number one-ranked offense in points scored of the Commanders may be tough sledding this weekend, especially without Jayden Daniels. The Bears rank fourth in total defense and only allow 180 passing yards per game, with only four touchdowns. Look for Washington to focus on moving the football on the ground behind one of the strongest offensive lines in the league. Brian Robinson Jr. and Austin Ekeler are GPP backs this week and Jayden Daniels of course will be usable if he plays. If we get Mariotta, use the Commanders’ receiving core with caution.

Chicago on the other hand has a great matchup, as Washington is not frugal at all when it comes to scoring on them. Diontae Johnson and Zay Flowers feasted on this upcoming secondary of Washington, which is 26th in DVOA to opposing wide receivers. They’ve also been friendly to opposing backs, allowing just under five yards per carry. DJ Moore, Keenan Allen, Cole Kmet, and Rome Odunze get the thumbs up and are all in play for GPPs. D’Andre Swift has re-emerged finally, scoring over 20 fantasy points in his last three games, which cements him in cash games because of his low $6K price tag on DraftKings. Stack your Bears or roll Caleb out nude, either way, you should be golden on the slate.

Cash: D’Andre Swift, Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels (if healthy)

GPP: DJ Moore, Keenan Allen, Cole Kmet, Rome Odunze, Brian Robinson, Austin Ekeler, Chicago DST (if Daniels is out)

Thanks for reading my NFL DFS Game by Game Breakdown for Week 8! Remember to check back daily for more updates and content up until kickoff. You can reach me on X @JoeDiCarlo78 or in our Discord tag me @DiCarlo78 for any lineup build opinions or questions, always here to help! Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts and myself talking plays across every sport 24/7/365!