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NHL DFS Friday Night Forecheck for DraftKings and FanDuel (Jan. 28)

allenjesse24@yahoo.com
written by allenjesse24@yahoo.com

Friday 1/28 NHL Breakdown

Welcome back for another installment of the Friday Night Forecheck here at Win Daily Sports! Tonight, we get a nice five game slate. It’s not too big, and not too small, and at first glance looks like a pretty good one. Good luck!

Goalies

Pavel Francouz – Colorado Avalanche: The Avs head to Chicago tonight to face the Blackhawks in a game they should pretty much dominate. They have a massive implied team total and should be able to handle the Hawks. The issue is limited upside here, so he may not be the optimal for GPPs tonight.

Braden Holtby – Dallas Stars: Dallas hosts the Washington Capitals tonight, and Holtby appears to be getting the start against his old team. This is a great spot for Holtby, as the Stars are a better team at home. There should definitely be some shot upside here, and the potential for a win is very real.

Bonus GPP Goalie Pick – Cam Talbot – Minnesota Wild: The Wild head to the Big Apple tonight to take on the Rangers, who just played last night in Columbus. While the Rangers have been better on home ice of late, they could be due for a letdown, and Talbot could very well go in and steal a game from them tonight. NARRATIVE ALERT!! Talbot was the backup to Henrik Lundqvist for two years, and the Rangers are retiring Hank’s number tonight. Marc-Andre Fleury is a consideration for a VERY RISKY GPP ONLY play, against the Avalanche tonight, who could possibly be without their star center in MacKinnon. Even without him, this is a very risky play, but it makes sense given the shot upside and the fact that MAF loves showing up in weird, unlikely spots.

Lines to Build Around

These lines are considered top plays for the night and can be considered the focal point of your builds. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).

Boston Bruins Power Play – Patrice Bergeron/David Pastrnak/Brad Marchand/Taylor Hall/Charlie McAvoy: The Bruins head to the desert tonight to face the lowly Coyotes and their pretty bad goalie in Scott Wedgewood. This unit is high powered, and will be facing the second worst penalty killing unit in the league tonight. It feels like a Pastrnak night, so if you want to go straight BOS2, that works in this situation as well.

Colorado Avalanche 1 – Nazem Kadri/Gabriel Landeskog/Mikko Rantanen/Cale Makar: The Avs called up a center from the AHL last night, which could indicate that Nathan MacKinnon will be out tonight, after taking a rough looking, but totally clean (THERE I SAID IT!) hit from Taylor Hall the other night. Even if Mac can’t go tonight, this is a nice play with Kadri in the top line at C. Kadri has been more than adequate replacing Mac as needed, and this line is in a great spot tonight. Make sure you keep an eye on news through the day, and if MacKinnon does go, then he goes in Kadri’s place.

High Risk Lines

These are plays that carry significantly more risk, but could pay off at low ownership. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).

Dallas Stars 1 – Roope Hintz/Jason Robertson/Joe Pavelski/Miro Heiskanen: The Stars are a much better team on home ice, and tonight they host the Capitals. This even strength matchup bodes well for the Stars, as this line should see much of the depth lines for the Caps. The Stars at home generally match the Glendening line to the opposing top line, setting up this very nice depth matchup.

Minnesota Wild 2 – Frederick Gaudreau/Matthew Boldy/Kevin Fiala/Matt Dumba: A lot of folks will be on the top Minnesota line, and for good reason. The top line looks good as well here, but this second line should be more of a focus, simply based on even strength matchup. The Wild second line should be in for some very good looks tonight, as they face mostly the second line for the Rangers.

Pittsburgh Penguins 1 – Sidney Crosby/Jake Guentzel/Bryan Rust/Kris Letang: the Penguins host the Red Wings tonight, and frankly this game could go either way. The Pens played last night, and are starting a bad goalie in Desmith. With Nedeljkovic likely starting for the Wings, expect a lot of goals tonight, giving this line an opportunity to slide under the radar with Boston and Colorado on the slate.

Detroit Red Wings 2 – Pius Suter/Tyler Bertuzzi/Robby Fabbri/Moritz Seider: The second line for the Wings has been very good recently, and tonight sets them up with a chance to continue that. The Pens loosely match their top two lines against opposing top 2 D pairings, setting this line up for plenty of chances tonight. They will likely carry little ownership, so they are a very nice target for value tonight.

Honorable Mentions: WSH2, NYRPP, MIN1

Value Options – DraftKings

Center: Pius Suter ($3400) – Detroit Red Wings

Wing: Matt Boldy ($2500) – Minnesota Wild

Defense: Samuel Girard ($3600) – Colorado Avalanche

Value Options – FanDuel

Center: Frederick Gaudreau ($4500) – Minnesota Wild

Wing: Craig Smith ($4000) – Boston Bruins

Defense: Esa Lindell ($4500) – Dallas Stars

Cash Considerations – DraftKings

Center: Nazem Kadri – Colorado Avalanche

Wing: David Pastrnak – Boston Bruins

Defense: Miro Heiskanen – Dallas Stars

Goalie: Pavel Francouz – Colorado Avalanche

Cash Considerations – FanDuel

Center: Nazem Kadri – Colorado Avalanche

Wing: David Pastrnak – Boston Bruins

Defense: Miro Heiskanen – Dallas Stars

Goalie: Pavel Francouz – Colorado Avalanche

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Jon and the NHL team will be there answering questions right up until lock! Be sure to be on the look out for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

All line combinations are courtesy of www.dailyfaceoff.com, and the advanced rates referenced in the above article are pulled from www.naturalstattrick.com.

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NBAPremium

NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 01/28

DFSGhost
written by DFSGhost

With only two games on yesterday’s NBA schedule, today is filled with great spots and individual talent. It’s a Fajita Friday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Indiana Pacers @ OKC Thunder

Another NBA slate where we need to be taking advantage of a depleted Pacers rotation. While Domantas Sabonis has been upgraded to questionable for this one after participating in practice on Thursday, Indiana is still without Myles Turner, Malcolm Brogdon, and TJ McConnell. Although Caris LeVert is coming off a foul-troubled performance, he remains a key focus for us, as he takes over the Pacers offense as the primary ball handler. Otherwise, should Sabonis remain out for this one, Goga Bitadze would get the bulk of the minutes at the ‘5’ versus an OKC team that ranks 25th in the NBA in rebounding.

On the flip side of this game, it should be no surprise that my main target is none other than Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who continues to be on an impressive run. Having scored 20 or more points in seven of his last eight, SGA has sported a 32.8% usage rate during that stretch, posting a 27.8/5.4/7.3 scoring line on 48.4% shooting. Taking on an Indiana defense that is 24th in the NBA versus opposing primary ball handlers with Malcolm Brogdon out of the lineup, there is no slowing SGA down tonight.

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Phoenix Suns

The Timberwolves are on the second half of a back-to-back after a loss to the Warriors, and while the status of Patrick Beverley remains up in the air, we know where the offensive production comes from: Anthony Edwards, Karl-Anthony Towns, and D’Angelo Russell. However, the latter left last night’s game with a shin injury and did not return, so should DLo be ruled out of this one, we can turn to Jaylen Nowell as a value play for this NBA slate, especially if Beverley misses once again.

With the number of injuries the Suns have right now, both of these rotations are going to be tight and we need exposure to them. On the Phoenix side of the ball, they will once again be without Deandre Ayton, Jae Crowder, Cam Payne, and JaVale McGee, whereby Chris Paul and Devin Booker will be playing north of 36 minutes each again tonight, making them elite plays on an NBA slate where they face a Minnesota team that ranks 4th in pace. To round out the rotation, Bismack Biyombo, Cam Johnson, and Mikal Bridges will all see a ton of minutes, as the starting 5 will carry the Suns in this one. Don’t overthink it.

Honorable Mentions:

  • Boston Celtics @ Atlanta Hawks
  • LA Lakers @ Charlotte Hornets
  • Portland Trail Blazers @ Houston Rockets

You can find us on Twitter @DFS_Ghost and @Bucn4life

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NBAPremium

NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 01/27

Adam Strangis
written by Adam Strangis

NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 01/27

It’s a rare slate that has under three games but that’s where we are tonight. That can make things challenging in a different way because while the options are limited, it can be hard to fit anything that you’d like to play all together. Raw points will matter more than normal in the NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 01/27 so let’s get into it to find our green screens!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Question 1: “Which approach are you taking when building a single lineup? Stars & Scrubs, Balanced, Game stack, etc.?”

Ghost: Unless more injury news comes in, I’ll be going with a single stud and balanced the rest of the way.

Adam: There is not a ton of value at least as of the night before the slate locks, so it will be locking in one stud player and then going balanced the rest of the way for now. 

Question 2: “Which stud is a lock for you on this slate?”

Ghost: Joel Embiid. He’s coming into tonight’s contest with 30 or more points in a whopping 14 of his last 15, where he’s sported a 41% usage rate while averaging 34.7/10.7/4.3 on 55.9% shooting, including getting to the charity stripe an average of 12 times per game.

Adam: Center is extremely shallow tonight after the high-end, so it makes sense to me to lock in the best option there in Joel Embiid. No player on this entire slate can match his usage of right around 41% with both Seth Curry and Shake Milton out along with his fantasy points per minute which is around 1.80. On a slate that is so small, raw points matter and Embiid has a great chance to lead the slate at a thin position. 

Question 3: “Which stud are you most likely to fade in a single-entry contest or be underweight on in 150-max?”

Ghost: Steph Curry can wreak havoc on any given NBA slate, but even a 30-5-5 night won’t be enough to outscore Embiid. If more value appears, I’m more likely to pair LeBron James with Embiid than I am to play Curry.

Adam: Anyone not named Embiid. In all seriousness, it doesn’t at all look like we can fit two and I’m not willing to bet Steph Curry, LeBron James, or anyone else outscores Embiid in fantasy tonight. 

Question 4: “If you had to pick one star and one value play to be in the winning lineup, who would they be and why?”

Ghost: Joel Embiid and Jarred Vanderbilt. While the latter’s offensive production is somewhat limited while running most of his minutes next to a combination of D’Angelo Russell, Anthony Edwards, and/or Karl-Anthony Towns, his rebounding and defensive upside give us more than enough at a thin PF position.

Adam: We’re going to be looking at the double center approach and pairing Embiid with Kevon Looney. His recent game logs are uninspiring but the matchup against Karl-Anthony Towns should demand the Warriors need Looney’s size tonight on the interior. Minnesota is 21st in rebounds allowed in the paint and 19th in points allowed and that’s enough to take some chances with Looney at a sub-$5,000 salary. 

Question 5: “Give us a hot take for tonight’s slate.”

Ghost: LeBron James continues his offensive dominance by scoring more than 30 points in a losing effort to Joel Embiid.
Adam: Klay Thompson sets his high-water mark in scoring tonight with 25 real points in just 25-27 minutes on the floor.

You can find us on Twitter @DFS_Ghost and @Bucn4life

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NHL

NHL DFS Hot Shot for DraftKings and FanDuel (Jan. 27)

Richard Masana
written by Richard Masana

This article focuses on 1/27 NHL Picks for both DraftKings Sportsbook and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We analyze tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so that we can gain an edge on the field at large. Full rankings for each position for both sites are available below.

Thursday 1/27 NHL Slate and DFS Gameplan

Welcome back to the Hot Shot for a ten-game Thursday slate!

Full Game Odds/Totals and DraftKings Rankings can be found below as well as cash game considerations for each site.

Three Favorite Lines Per Dollar

Florida Two “Sam Bennett, Jonathan Huberdeau, Anthony Duclair”

This line seems to make the cut nearly every slate. However, given their affordable collective DraftKings price and the Panthers propensity for high total games and I guess it comes at no surprise. Tonight, we find Florida hosting the Vegas Golden Knights in one of the slate’s three 6.5 total games as of the time of writing. Their eight full line goals over the last ten games is fourth best in the NHL helping to cement their pricing status as criminal on DraftKings part.

Pittsburgh One “Sidney Crosby, Jake Guentzel, Bryan Rust”

The Penguins find themselves in quite a juicy spot later as -310 moneyline favorites as hosts to the Seattle Kraken. Phillip Gruabauer is projected to start in the opposing net and to say he has had a rough season is a bit of an understatement. All three skaters share correlation on the first power play unit with Bryan Rust my preferred individual play if just choosing one.

New York Rangers One “Mika Zibanejad, Chris Krieder, Julian Gauthier”

New York’s top line has been spitting hot fire recently and now gets to face the traveling Columbus Blue Jackets who are on the second night of a back to back. Tonight’s matchup features one of the three 6.5 total games on the night and it shouldn’t be much of a surprise which team ends up doing most of the heavy lifting in that regard.

1/27 NHL Game Odds and Totals

Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

New York Rangers (-220) at Columbus Blue Jackets (+190) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Anaheim Ducks (-130) at Montreal Canadiens (+110) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Carolina Hurricanes (-240) at Ottawa Senators (+195) – 6 Projected Goal Total

New Jersey Devils (+225) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-300) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Vegas Golden Knights (+140) at Florida Panthers (-160) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Los Angeles Kings (+120) at New York Islanders (-140) – 5 Projected Goal Total

Seattle Kraken (+245) at Pittsburgh Penguins (-310) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Calgary Flames (+110) at St. Louis Blues (-130) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Vancouver Canucks (+145) at Winnipeg Jets (-165) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Nashville Predators (+100) at Edmonton Oilers (-120) – 6 Projected Goal Total

1/27 NHL DraftKings Individual Rankings

Centers

  1. Brayden Point – Tampa Bay – $6,900
  2. Sam Bennett – Florida – $5,600
  3. Aleksander Barkov – Florida – $8,400
  4. Sebastian Aho – Carolina – $7,700
  5. Steven Stamkos – Tampa Bay – $6,400

Wingers

  1. Filip Forsberg – Nashville – $6,100
  2. Andrei Svechnikov – Carolina – $6,000
  3. Teuvo Teravainen – Carolina – $5,000
  4. Bryan Rust – Pittsburgh – $7,400
  5. Jonathan Huberdeau – Florida – $7,700

Defense

  1. Duncan Keith – Edmonton – $2,800
  2. Roman Josi – Nashville – $7,900
  3. Damon Severson – New Jersey – $4,100
  4. Rasmus Andersson – Calgary – $4,800
  5. Zach Whitecloud – Vegas – $4,100

Goalies

  1. Andrei Vasilevskiy – Tampa Bay – $8,500
  2. Igor Shesterkin – New York Rangers – $8,400

Cash Considerations

Filip Forsberg, Andrei Svechnikov, Duncan Keith, Brayden Point or Steven Stamkos

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

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NBAPremium

NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 01/26

DFSGhost
written by DFSGhost

While some teams are on the second halves of a back-to-back, there are others that are also dealing with short rotations. There are plenty of elite game environments amongst the large NBA slate, so let’s begin narrowing down the player pool in our look ahead. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Sacramento Kings @ Atlanta Hawks (-8)

While the Kings got blown off the court yesterday against Boston, they find themselves in the best game environment on tonight’s NBA slate and we need exposure to it. While Sacramento maintains their year-over-year trend of being one of the fastest teams in the league and one of the poorest defensively, ranking 8th in pace and 28th in defensive rating, respectively, Atlanta is also a favorable matchup for any opponent, ranking 27th in defensive rating in their own right. De’Aaron Fox (ankle) did not play yesterday, he could be back in action tonight, while Tyrese Haliburton, who sports a 17.8% usage rate and 1.00 FPPM on the season, would be a strong priority with a 1.7% increase in usage rate and a 1.05 FPPM with Fox off the court.

On the flip side of this game, Trae Young is right up there with the two players discussed below in my top priorities on this NBA slate. Sporting a 32.9% usage rate in his last six games, Young has scored 24 or more points in every one of those games, while averaging a 29.7/3.7/8.3 scoring line on 47.6% shooting. Not only is he firing on all cylinders on this run, but he’s also getting to the charity stripe ovee nine times per contest, and his opponent tonight allows the most points in the paint per game, while Young himself is fourth in the league in drives per game.

Denver Nuggets @ Brooklyn Nets (+1)

I can take a deep dive into this one but realistically, it’s James Harden versus Nikola Jokic, where the former is without All-NBA teammates Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving. Although both teams are on the second half of a back-to-back, this game features two of the league’s top 10 offenses and two of the most prolific offensive talents in Harden and Jokic. The former is fresh off a 33-point triple-double versus the Lakers yesterday, while the latter dropped a near triple-double of his own, with a 28-21-9 scoring line against the Pistons. Harden gets Monte Morris, while Jokic will see – checks notes – Aldridge, Claxton, or Sharpe? Yes please.

Phoenix Suns @ Utah Jazz (+4)

This game look familiar to you? It should – the Jazz shocked the Suns the other night by keeping pace without the bulk of their rotation active, and now, both teams are in a similar spot. Utah remains without Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert, but will likely be getting Joe Ingles, Bojan Bogdanovic, and Royce O’Neale back for this one. On the flip side, the Suns remain without Deandre Ayton, Jae Crowder, Cam Payne, and now, JaVale McGee (knee) joins his teammates on the sidelines. Look for the trio of Chris Paul, Devin Booker, and Cam Johnson to log heavy minutes in this one, while the frontcourt tandem is now left to Bismack Biyombo and Jalen Smith, who was stellar during his run in the starting lineup.

Honorable Mentions:

  • Charlotte Hornets @ Indiana Pacers
  • Toronto Raptors @ Chicago Bulls

You can find us on Twitter @DFS_Ghost and @Bucn4life

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NHL

NHL DFS Between the Benches for DraftKings and FanDuel (Jan. 26)

Jared Levitt
written by Jared Levitt

We’re back with another Wednesday Night Win Daily NHL Article! We’ve been on an excellent run as of late here at WinDaily. Let’s make some more money tonight! On tonight’s slate, we have a medium-sized 5-gamer! Keep an eye on any COVID-19 news since it can change the whole outlook of the slate! With that said, let’s get ready for the newest edition of WinDaily’s Between the Benches! For tonight’s 1/26 NHL slate, the slate begins at 7:00 pm ET. Don’t forget to lock your lines and check the discord for any updates! Let’s get into it!

1/26 NHL Stack Report

  1. Calgary Flames 1
    Tkachuk – Lindholm – Gaudreau (FanDuel: $23,800 | DraftKings: $18,200)
    –     It’s really hard to ignore how the flames have been playing as of late and tonight they are in a prime position to pile on top of a struggling Blue Jackets team who have lost 7 in their last 10 games. The Jackets are also one of the worst teams in the league in both Shots allowed (34.6) and goals against (3.54). The Flames themselves have put together an average of five goals per game over their last three games and over those three games, the Flames top line have put together 21 points (mostly from Tkachuk and Gaudreau). All three of the Flames top liners play on the Flames top powerplay unit but in order to save some salary you can opt for the other members of the power play (Monahan and Andersson) while keeping Tkachuk and Gaudreau. At an implied total of 3.5, I recommend prioritizing Calgary’s top line as an afforable(-ish) group to start your builds tonight.
    Ideal Defensive Partner(s): Rasmus Andersson (FD: $4,700 | DK: $4,500)
  2. Toronto Maple Leafs 2
    Mikheyev – Tavares – Marner (FanDuel: $20,000 | DraftKings: $16,400)
    –     Toronto recently threw their lines in the blender and out came some different but still interesting line matches. The most intriguing one for me from a DFS perspective is the new look second line with two of the leagues best alongside a blooming forward in Ilya Mikheyev. Together, this line has put togehter 9 points over their last three games and the Leafs in general are coming into tonight as the largest favourite on the slate (-295) with the highest implied total at (3.9). It’s not too hard to see why, the Leafs have been electric as of late, winning 7 of their last 10 games and averaging four goals over their last three games. Toronto’s power play as also blossomed to one of the best in the league as they currently sit at an insane 29% conversion rate on the power play. The new-look top line with Matthews alongside two value plays is also intriguing but I do like Toronto’s second line as it is much more complete and every player on the ice is dangerous. Everyone on this line sees power play time with Marner and Tavares on the top unit, while Mikheyev is on the second power play unit. The Ducks goalie has been generally ok this season but has shown a bit of inconsistency, realistically its hard to play against Toronto in general this season, so I would stay away from Gibson for DFS purposes.
    Ideal Defensive Partner(s): Morgan Rielly (FD: $6,300 | DK: $5,700)

    Honorable Mentions in order: DET2 (Bertuzzi-Suter-Fabbri), COL1 (Rantanen-MacKinnon-Landeskog), TOR1 (Kase-Matthews-Bunting)

1/26 NHL Goalie Tracker

Best (Goalies to Roster)

  1. Jack Campbell (FD: $8,600 | DK: $8,300)
  2. Jacob Markstrom (FD: $8,400 | DK: $7,900)
    Honorable Mention(s): James Reimer

Worst (Goalies to Target)

  1. John Gibson (FD: $6,800 | DK: $7,100)
    Honorable Mention(s): Elvis Merzlikins

1/26 NHL Wild Card Targets

Robby Fabbri (FD: $4,800 | DK: $3,000) 
– Fabbri has been decent as of late, recording three points over his last four games along with 14 points over that time. Tonight’s he is going to be paired with much stronger linemates than usual as Tyler Bertuzzi and Pius Suter are joining him on Detroit’s second line. Bertuzzi in particular has been extremely productive as of late with two goals and six assists over his last four games. Fabbri will also see time alongside Bertuzzi on the Red Wings top power-play unit, so at his price (especially on DraftKings) he is definitely worth a shot and fits the moniker “Wild Card” very well coming into tonight’s slate.
Honorable Mention(s): Michael Bunting, Ilya Mikheyev, Sean Monahan, Alexander Barabanov

Core Four: (ALWAYS BE STACKIN’)

Centre – Auston Matthews (or Pius Suter w/ a DET2 Stack)

Winger – Ilya Mikheyev (Bunting works as a replacement to complete the Matthews stack)

Defence – Rasmus Andersson

Goalie – Jacob Markstrom

1/26 NHL Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Honorable Mention(s): 2/2 Rapidfire

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PGAPremium

Tee 2 Green PGA DFS Picks: Farmers Insurance Open

brucegray19722@gmail.com
written by brucegray19722@gmail.com

Hello everybody, and welcome back to ‘Tee 2 Green,’ a new article that I will be producing for Win Daily Sports weekly to give some extra insight into the DFS world of golf. My focus will be to discuss, decipher and dissect some of my preferred targets throughout the various price ranges, and I will always provide my opinion with a data-intensive outlook that you can see first-hand if you use the weekly model that I provide free of charge. You can find that here.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Justin Thomas ($10,900) – I know we have potential issues around Justin Thomas this week. He hasn’t played the Farmers since 2015 — an event where he missed the cut, but there are reasons to be optimistic about his 19th-place finish during the 2021 U.S. Open. The one-time major winner entered the back-nine that day with a real shot to win his second major, but multiple mistakes at the par-four 10th and par-three 16th sent the American freefalling off the first page of the leaderboard. By my math, Thomas has the second-best win equity in this field but is being treated like one of the forgotten about high-priced stars.

Xander Schauffele ($10.100) – It has been all-or-nothing for Xander Schauffele at Torrey Pines, as we have seen him three top-25 finishes during his last four stops at Torrey to go along with missing four of his first five. Schauffele is more of a boom-or-bust than anyone would care to recognize, but I believe we get the best version of him, which makes him a true threat for the title.

Other Consideration – There is decent leverage here in most spots.

$9,000 Range

Bryson DeChambeau ($9,900) – There is always some downside when you back Bryson DeChambeau on the DFS slate, but the fact that we get him both sub-$10,000 and sub-10 percent is enough for me to find myself not exactly Hulk-smash fit but definitely overweight.

Other Targets: Scottie Scheffler $9,500 (GPPs),Marc Leishman $9,000 (all games). Finau is probably good chalk at $9,100.

$8,000 Range

Talor Gooch ($8,900) – I wouldn’t sweat the missed cut. The Farmers Insurance Open is. better layout for his game, and he has been on a rhythm when we remove last week’s debacle.

Maverick McNealy ($8,300) – We have seen tons of sharp money enter the market on Maverick McNealy. California and Poa are where he shines best.

Other Thoughts: Matthew Wolff $8,500 (GPPs), Max Homa $8,400 (GPPs)

$7,000 Range

Wyndham Clark ($7,200) – There is a potential opening for Wyndham Clark that my model noticed. There has been a change as of late after Clark managed to gain with his irons in four of six starts — highlighted by a 13th place finish during last week’s American Express. The 220th-ranked golfer in the world has two top-40s in his three tries at Torrey Pines, and this is with him averaging nearly three shots worse to the field with his irons in those finishes.

Additional Thoughts: Billy Horschel $7,800 (GPPs), Joaquin Niemann $7,700 (GPPs), Matt Jones $7,200

$6,000 Range

Sepp Straka ($6,300) – Sepp Straka opens up the world if you fit him into a build. Course history looks good. The current form is a positive. There is a ton to like about his potential.

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: I would play down here sparringly.

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.

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NBAPremium

NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 01/25

Adam Strangis
written by Adam Strangis

NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 01/25

We have nine games tonight in the NBA but there is already a focal point in James Harden for the Brooklyn Nets. Of course, with so many games there are going to be other spots to look at and it’s nice to have a larger set of games. Let’s get to work in the NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 01/25 and forge our paths towards green screens again!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Lakers at Nets 

Lakers – I’m guessing we can’t have much exposure to the Lakers tonight unless we have concrete news on Anthony Davis. He’s probable but coach Frank Vogel has said the conditioning may not be there. That would lead us to think the minutes are going to be dialed back and not worth the DK salary of $9,800, but he might play enough to hurt everyone else around him. It’s harder to pay for LeBron James if Davis is in for 25 minutes and everyone else on the roster is nothing more than hoping you get a strong shooting night. Malik Monk is finally back to playable levels salary-wise but his minutes have gone down to around 25. 

Nets – With the team being back at home tonight, that means Kyrie Irving is out and Kevin Durant is still recovering from his knee injury. Lest anyone forget, Harden rattled off four straight games of 70+ DraftKings points when KD was in health protocols in December before Irving came back. The Lakers are still 19th in defensive rating and Davis doesn’t fix all those issues immediately. Both teams are top 10 in pace and Harden is all the way up to third in FTA per game after a slow start in that aspect. LA also allows the eighth-most 3-point attempts per game and that bodes well for Patty Mills with extra scoring to go around and shooting 42.5% from that range. We’ll see what the model says for the secondary Nets and how they shake out but the rotations have been evil to predict from Steve Nash. 

Spurs at Rockets 

Spurs – One of the very few players I would at least consider a fade of Harden in GPP would be Dejounte Murray. I doubt we’ll get enough value to make them both work together but on a nine-game slate, it’s not impossible. We know the drill with Houston now and they continue to rank first in pace and dead last in defensive rating. Murray is producing 1.36 fantasy points per minute and is capable of 60+ DraftKings points and in large-field GPP’s he could be a dynamite play if Harden underwhelms. The easier paths to get exposure are Jakob Poeltl and Derrick White, both of whom are under $6,500. For Poeltl, the matchup in the paint is phenomenal as he’s seventh in paint touches with the 10th most paint points while the Rockets are in the bottom five in points and rebounds allowed in the paint. White is back toward the 32-35 minute per game mark and his 1.02 points per minute and 25.9% assist rate will play extremely well in this environment. 

Rockets – The minutes concern seems to be totally gone for Christian Wood and he’s about the only player I’d consider to run it back with. Kevin Porter Jr. should have to deal with Murray’s defense and Wood leads the team with 1.20 points per minute. The pace should be high in this spot as both teams are in the top 10 (still takes some getting used to from the San Antonio perspective) and this game has a 235 total, almost 10 points higher than any other game. The rotation insecurity leaves me very wary of anyone else unless the model tells us differently. 

Timberwolves at Trail Blazers

Wolves – This total is not up yet but I’m betting it gets close to the Rockets total and we should very much be interested. The difficult portion is trying to figure out where to go on this side of things while the big three of Karl-Anthony Towns, D’Angelo Russell, and Anthony Edwards are active. They bite into each other but my favorite might just be D’Lo. Both Russell and Edwards are in the top-eight of 3-point attempts per game and the Blazers are 0.2% away from leading the league in FG% allowed. Additionally, Russell averages 1.15 points per minute compared to 1.09 for Edwards and D’Lo has a 32.4% assist rate to fall back on as well. He’d look even better if Patrick Beverly gets ruled out and we may not know that until after lock. 

Blazers – I think we’re at the point to deploy C.J. McCollum with confidence as his minutes have gone up to at least 36 minutes in consecutive games. With Damian Lillard off the floor, McCollum is over 1.00 fantasy points per minute and his usage rate is leading the team at 27.7%. Norman Powell is also back tonight for the first time in over two weeks, so I’d approach him with a bit of caution and just find the $700 more to play McCollum in this game. I don’ think Jusuf Nurkic fits my build with the upper echelon that should be targeted, but Minnesota is 21st in points allowed in the paint, and KAT defense is nothing to fear. 

Honorable Mention – Hornets at Raptors

Teams To Monitor 

Sixers – They find themselves without Seth Curry and Shake Milton once again, so Tobias Harris, Tyrese Maxey, and Furkan Korkmaz are all well in play at their salaries against a Pelicans team who played last night. 

Kings – We saw De’Aaron Fox get scratched very late before the last game for Sacramento, and if he is out all systems go for Tyrese Haliburton. When Fox is off the floor, Haliburton has a 38.8% assist rate and 1.05 fantasy points per minute and he put up another 50+ DraftKings in this past game. The price does not reflect anything close to that upside. 

You can find us on Twitter @DFS_Ghost and @Bucn4life

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NBAPremium

NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 01/24

DFSGhost
written by DFSGhost

We’re back with a somewhat normal schedule in the NBA this week, with only tonight and Thursday having fewer than six games in action. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

NY Knicks @ Cleveland Cavaliers

The Knicks will be travelling to Cleveland on the second half of a back-to-back, where Julius Randle and company are fresh off a home victory in yesterday’s afternoon tilt versus the Clippers. There is not much appeal in this one for our NBA lineups tonight, but both teams have suffered recent injuries to rotation players; on the Knicks side of the ball, Kemba Walker remains questionable having missed yesterday’s game with an ankle injury, while Mitchell Robinson left in the first half with an ankle injury of his own in yesterday’s win and did not return for the second half. More importantly than the back court impact that Walker has, it’s important to note that both Julius Randle and Nerlens Noel will benefit, should Robinson miss tonight’s game, while the former sporting a 33.1% usage rate with Robinson out this season, averaging 28.3/12.7/3.7 across 36 MPG in three contests.

On the Cavaliers side of the ball, Lauri Markkanen (ankle) remains out for tonight’s game, leaving Cleveland with an awfully thin rotation. As usual, Darius Garland will lead an offense featuring a star-studded front court duo of Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley, while Isaac Okoro will also log heavy minutes with Kevin Love and Cedi Osman being the main beneficiaries off the bench. The main trio of Cleveland’s offense is priced up, so I side with the value players off the bench in this one, if any at all.

Indiana Pacers @ New Orleans Pelicans

The Indiana Pacers will be without Myles Turner (foot), Domantas Sabonis (ankle), Malcolm Brogdon (achilles), and TJ McConnell (wrist), while Caris LeVert (calf) is a GTD. Meanwhile, the Pelicans will be without Brandon Ingram (ankle), while Devonte’ Graham (ankle) is a GTD. Needless to say, most of our interest on tonight’s NBA slate starts with this game. Beginning with the Pacers, Caris LeVert instantly becomes a priority on this slate, should be active; should he be ruled out once again, the trio of Chris Duarte, Jeremy Lamb, and Goga Bitadze will be strong plays on the mid range. On the Pelicans side of the ball, Jonas Valanciunas has a 24.4% usage rate and an FPPM of 1.23 on the season, but sees both increase to 26.9% and 1.29, respectively, and will get a ton of touches in the paint versus an Indiana defense that struggles mightily with Turner off the floor.

Chicago Bulls @ OKC Thunder

The Bulls will be on the second half of a back-to-back, but there is a ton to like about this offense heading into OKC. With Zach Lavine (knee) and Lonzo Ball (knee) both still out for Chicago, in addition to Alex Caruso (wrist), Javonte Green (groin), and Derrick Jones Jr. (knee), both DeMar DeRozan and Nikola Vucevic will be intriguing at the top of the pricing grid for tonight’s NBA slate. In over 240 minutes of action, DeRozan carries a 36% usage rate with a 1.15 FPPM, while Vucevic has been seeing plenty of volume, but hasn’t been as efficient. Should you want to get exposure to the Bulls without these two, consider both Coby White and/or Ayo Dosunmu.

On the flip side of this game, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been one of the hottest players in the NBA as of late. The fourth-year pro has 20 or more points in six of his last seven, where he’s sported a 33.4% usage rate and has posted a 27.3/5.7/6.9 scoring line on 47.9% shooting. With the Bulls struggling to guard primary ball handlers in the absence of Lonzo Ball, including allowing Darius Garland to go for 20/5/12 just a few days ago, SGA is primed for another big performance tonight.

Utah Jazz @ Phoenix Suns

Either way, I will have a ton of exposure to this game for tonight’s NBA slate, but how much depends on the statuses of Rudy Gobert and Bojan Bogdanovic. While Donovan Mitchell (concussion) has already been ruled out, both Gobert (calf) and Bogdanovic (knee) have been diagnosed with injuries and now find themselves on the second half of a back-to-back; should either one miss, keep an eye on this rotation and looks for updates in Discord, but Joe Ingles, Jordan Clarkson, Rudy Gay, and Hassan Whiteside (conditioning) will all be on my radar.

The Phoenix Suns also hold a ton of intrigue, as Deandre Ayton is doubtful to play in this one. While JaVale McGee continues to start in his absence, it has been Bismack Biyombo that has been more efficient off the bench, and is coming off a 21/13/5/1/2 scoring line against the Pacers in only 29 minutes. In addition, both Jae Crowder (wrist) and Cam Payne (wrist) have been ruled out for this one, making Cameron Johnson and Mikal Bridges strong plays on the wing, while Chris Paul will be a near lock for me in all formats on this NBA slate.

You can find us on Twitter @DFS_Ghost and @Bucn4life

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PGAPremium

Farmers Insurance Open: Initial Picks

Sia
written by Sia

This week the PGA Tour gets an early Wednesday start in San Diego and so I figured I’d get the Initial Picks article out as soon as possible. Pricing for The Farmers Insurance Open is NOT out yet so this article won’t feature that, but it will feature the golfers I have my eyes on as we prepare our lineups. We have two courses (North and South) this week but the South course will be played 3 of 4 days. The South course is by far the more challenging of the two courses and is a 7700 yard Par 72. The South course will test all of ones game including distance, both OTT and with the irons. The short game will certainly come into play here as well, so I’ll definitely be looking for guys that are at least decent in each of the primary metrics. The North course is far easier (and far shorter) and should create some great scoring opportunities.

Be sure to catch our PGA Livestream Tuesday night as we will have an interesting setup for pinpointing golfers and we will have a special guest @ModelManiac.

Jon Rahm – A great course fit everywhere, but especially here.  He’s got the ball striking and the length with the driver and the irons to set himself up nicely for plenty of birdie opportunities.  Course history is great here as well.

Hideki Matsuyama – When he’s got the putter going he’s usually contending on Sunday.  I’m guessing he carries some lower ownership this week with all the talent around him.  His history here is pretty solid and he’s obviously coming off an elite takedown at the Sony.

Sungjae Im – No one would ever accuse me of being a ‘Sungjae guy’ as I rarely roster him, but I can’t deny that he should fit nicely here.  Put simply, there’s nothing he’s bad at and he excels at plenty including OTT, BOB, BS, SG Par 5 and Prox 200+.

Daniel Berger – if you’re looking for accuracy, here is your guy.  He’s also great with the long iron game.  Putter can sometimes hold him back, but I like Berger in this spot unless he ends up being highly owned.

Sam Burns – When you’re hot your hot and this guy is one of the hottest guys on tour.  If I were to pick an issue with Burns it would be that his long iron play isn’t elite, but he really does check every other box. 

Marc Leishman – An outstanding history at The Farmers which includes a win in 2020.  Leishman is playing good golf and is very clearly comfortable at this venue. 

Maverick McNealy – His recent form has been good and his course history here is MC, 15th and 29th.  Mav doesn’t do anything in particular at an elite level, but he’s a relatively good ball striker, is solid with the long irons and can score on Par 5s.

Aaron Wise –  I am, in fact, a WiseGuy and I like that I may be getting a player on the rise who has been relatively absent since the swing season.   Wise is a guy who can flat out score and while he certainly carries some volatility, he’s got the type of upside I’m looking for. 

Ryan Palmer – Well apparently Palmer likes the Farmers as his last four finishes have been 2nd, 21st, 13th and 2nd.  Pretty impressive stretch from a guy who hasn’t been in many Draftkings lineups lately.  Recent history for Palmer hasn’t been great, however it’s started to pick up lately.    

Tom Hoge – He’s in good form and has a good history at the Farmers which includes a 12th and  a 5th place finish (he also has 2 MC’s).  An up and down player who can certainly get hot with the ball striking.

Joel Dahmen – The ball striking has been very good lately, but the short game has been getting him in trouble.  He does have the ability to pop in the short game department so I’m hoping for some positive regression there.  History isn’t too bad at this venue, but certainly has MC equity.

Secret Weapon – Now 47-14 after C.T. Pan’s missed cut.

Be sure to get in our Discord, watch our show and sign up for all things Win Daily as we are bringing you all the DFS for all the sports you can imagine. Further, make sure you check out Sharp as the bets continue to roll through.

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