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DraftKings

NHL DFS Between the Benches for DraftKings and FanDuel (Feb. 12)

Allan Fabrykant 3 years ago

written by Allan Fabrykant

We’re back with a rare edition of WinDaily’s Between the Benches! So hyped that I get to share my thoughts with you on this great slate! Let’s kick off Super Bowl Weekend with a bang! On tonight’s slate, we have a medium-sized 5-gamer! Keep an eye on any COVID-19 news since it can change the whole outlook of the slate! With that said, let’s get ready for the newest edition of WinDaily’s Between the Benches! For tonight’s 2/12 NHL slate, the slate begins at 7:00 pm ET. Don’t forget to lock your lines and check the discord for any updates! Let’s get into it!

2/12 NHL Stack Report

Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Marner – Matthews – Bunting (FanDuel: $24,700 | DraftKings: $20,100)
– This line has been excellent as of late with both Matthews and Marner scoring at will, with Bunting getting points on the side as a result. This line puts up the craziest stats that it would be hard to encapsulate in just one paragraph but the stat lines for all three of them have simply been insane. Bunting for example has five goals and an assist over his last five games along with 14 shots. Matthews has six goals and five assists over that same time (with a whopping 26 shots) and Marner slightly leads the pack with six goals and six assists over his last five games. (29 shots to boot) It’s safe to say that this line has been performing extremley well and find themselves in a very favourable position for tonight’s slate against a Canucks side who’s lost two of their last three and with one of the highest implied totals of the slate at 3.5. With the best power play in the league, and dangerous players on each side of their top line, it’s clear that the Leafs are the line I will prioritize in my builds tonight.
Ideal Defensive Partner(s): Morgan Rielly (FD: $6,600 | DK: $5,900)
St. Louis Blues 1
Kyrou – O’Reilly – Schenn (FanDuel: $19,300 | DraftKings: $15,800)
– The Blues are an interesting play as they provide a lot of value on a slate where value is as good as gold. Not only do they see top minutes a decent price, but they have been scoring really well as of late and are coming into tonight against an underperforming Blackhawks side. Last game alone, this line comined for two goals and an assist in their barn burner against the New Jersey Devils. If anything, that game cemented Husso’s spot as the Blues top netminder and it has seemed as though the Blues have just played better hockey in front of him this season. All three of the top line see power play time with Schenn and O’Reilly on the first unit and Kyrou on the second. It should come as no surprise that the Blues implied total is coming in around a similar spot as the Leafs at 3.5 as they are benefitting from a solid matchup tonight against a team who has dropped three of their last four games.
Ideal Defensive Partner(s): Torey Krug (FD: $5,400 | DK: $5,300)

Honorable Mentions in order: NSH1 (Forsberg-Granlund-Duchene), CGY1 (Gaudreau-Lindholm-Tkachuk)

2/12 NHL Goalie Tracker

Best (Goalies to Roster)

Ville Husso (FD: $7,900 | DK: $8,300)
Jacob Markstrom (FD: $8,100 | DK: $8,200)
Honorable Mention(s): Petr Mrazek

Worst (Goalies to Target)

Marc-Andre Fleury (FD: $7,000 | DK: $7,100)
Honorable Mention(s): Eric Comrie

2/12 NHL Wild Card Targets

Andrew Mangiapane (FD: $6,600 | DK: $3,300)
– To say Mangiapane has been great as of late would be an understatement. Over his past four games, he’s put together four goals and two assists along with 10 shots on goal and an average of 15-16 minutes of ice time. Mangiapane had cooled a bit from his strong start to the season, which dramatically dropped his price on DraftKings, but he’s now regained his scoring touch and comes into tonight as a strong value piece for a loaded Flames lineup (more so on DK). Mangiapane sees time on Calgary’s second power-play unit and works as a one-off play or in a mini-stack alongside fellow winger Blake Coleman.
Honorable Mention(s): Matt Boldy, Noah Dobson

Core Four: (ALWAYS BE STACKIN’)

Centre – Auston Matthews

Winger – Jordan Kyrou

Defence – Tony DeAngelo (Roman Josi if you have NSH exposure)

Goalie – Ville Husso

2/12 NHL Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Honorable Mention(s): CGY/NYI 2/2 Rapidfire

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3 years ago 0 comments

NFL DFS: Super Bowl Game Breakdown

Adam Strangis 3 years ago

written by Adam Strangis

NFL DFS: Super Bowl Game Breakdown

We’ve come to the final slate of the season and we can’t very well call it a game-by-game breakdown when there is only one, so this article will be set up more like a showdown article since that is the format we have to play. The Rams face the Bengals on Sunday and the builds will be challenging on DraftKings since the best player for fantasy is a crazy amount of money, but that’s what the NFL DFS: Super Bowl Game Breakdown is for!

Rams at Bengals, O/U of 48.5 (Rams -4)

Captain Picks

Cooper Kupp – It’s hard to mount an argument that says Kupp will not have the highest score on the slate, as he averaged 28.2 DK points during the season to this point and nobody is within 5.8 points of that. Kupp has been dominating and consistent, racking up over 2,300 receiving yards in his 20 games and securing 170 receptions. He’s playing around half the snaps in the slot and that is a significant mismatch against Mike Hilton and/or Eli Apple. They both allowed over a 103 passer rating and a catch rate over 69% to go along with 1.65 points per target. Kupp is up to 20 touchdowns on the season and has seen right about 11 targets on average per game. I would not be making a lineup without him on Sunday, be it in the captain spot or just a flex spot.

Tee Higgins – Since they are the underdog, we should expect the Bengals to have a pass-heavy day and Higgins is $4,200 cheaper than Ja’Marr Chase which is a massive saving. After a total whiff in the Wild Card round with just one reception, Higgins has bounced back with a total of 19 targets, 13 receptions, and 199 yards with no scores. He’s only fur targets behind Chase in the playoffs and has a higher air yards share, not to mention two red-zone and end zone targets. He should see less of Jalen Ramsey for the Rams and Ramsey may not be invincible (ask Mike Evans), that’s still a boost in the individual matchup. The only slight knock is the aDOT of 11.2 yards has been the highest of the receivers in the playoffs and the Bengals offensive line is going to likely struggle against the pass rush. The under the radar candidate is Tyler Boyd with a 4.2-yard aDOT but his target share has only been 13.6% so far. You’d be banking on work funneling toward him with likely no C.J. Uzomah in this game. Boyd would only be a captain pick in MME formats in my eyes.

Cam Akers – It hasn’t been the easiest ride for Akers getting back from his torn Achilles this postseason but he’s been getting the volume and that’s what we’re after with a running back this cheap. He’s racked up 13, 24, and 17 carries so far and the low mark came when he hurt his shoulder in the NFC title game. He was back practicing fully on Thursday and the Bengals have been very leaky on the ground this postseason. They’ve allowed 127.3 rush yards per game and in honesty, they may not be here if Kansas City had just stuck with running the ball in the AFC title game. Akers hasn’t cleared 55 rushing yards but the two-week break had to do him some good and under $10,000 is very interesting on DK. If Darrell Henderson does end up being active, the appeal for Akers lessens just a bit with Sony Michel lurking as well. I wouldn’t be interested in a committee if that’s where the Rams are going.

Kendall Blanton – It certainly seems like Tyler Higbee will miss the game so if we’re looking for a cheaper approach to the captain position, Blanton could be it. He stepped in for Higbee when the latter went down after just 14 snaps in the NFC title game. Blanton went 5/52 on five targets and during the regular season, not tight end had more red-zone targets than 20 for Higbee. If Blanton can get that level of work and just add a touchdown this week, you’re looking at over 20 DK from the captain spot for one of the cheapest players that is viable. This slate is difficult because neither team uses a lot of players in their offense. Things are concentrated on just a few players and they’re all expensive, so Blanton makes sense in any MME format. It also allows for a build with both quarterbacks, Kupp, and a Bengals receiver.

Flex Plays

Ja’Marr Chase – There’s nothing wrong with playing him and Ramsey doesn’t scare me off, but it’s tough to fit Kupp and Chase AND quarterbacks. It leaves for a much more narrow path and you would need multiple value picks to hit.

Quarterbacks – I can’t tell you to you shouldn’t play a quarterback but neither Matthew Stafford nor Joe Burrow has the best chance to be on top of the leaderboard as far as fantasy scores go. Both have negligible rushing upside and historical trends point toward running backs and receivers being the more optimal captain plays on DraftKings with the PPR format. You can squeeze both in with different builds but if you only play one, make sure it makes sense with the receivers you play. You’re fading a quarterback so you’ll need to make the most out of the stack you do play. Stafford will naturally be a little more popular with Kupp and he’s played a little better than Burrow so far.

Odell Beckham Jr. – He’s certainly not washed up and he’s just gotten better as the playoffs have gone, earning four, eight, and then 11 targets. If you do not play Kupp, OBJ is practically a requirement but I don’t know if I have the stomach for that. I’m more likely to play him in a build where I go Rams onslaught WITH Kupp and Stafford.

Joe Mixon – He’s one player I’m having a tougher time getting to just because of the salary and the Rams have shut down the opposing running game so far. They were fifth in DVOA against the run in the regular season and backed it up by allowing under 60 yards rushing per game in the playoffs. He’ll be involved in the passing game with 12 targets through the playoffs but I’m not sure that’s enough to make me pay the salary. I really love the passing games more than the run games for the most part.

Kickers-D/ST – I would be willing to play one of each in any one lineup, such as Evan McPherson or Matt Gay. The Bengals defense has been an underrated story in the playoffs with a total of eight sacks and seven turnovers forced while not allowing more than 24 points. The Rams have been strong as well with five turnovers forced and five sacks but they have the much better matchup against the Bengals offensive line that allowed the most sacks in football.

Thank you for reading my NFL DFS: Super Bowl Game Breakdown and make sure you follow me on Twitter at @bucn4life! Be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport.

3 years ago 0 comments

NBA Premium

NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 02/12

Adam Strangis 3 years ago

written by Adam Strangis

NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 02/12

We get 10 games tonight and one of the first aspects that jump out is the top end of the pricing grid is absolutely loaded. It’s going to be a tough call about which stud to choose from and hopefully, we get some strong value to snag two of them. We’ll see what comes along during the day in the NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 02/12 but we can start highlighting some spots we love now!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Grizzlies at Hornets

Grizzlies – If you don’t want to play Ja Morant against the Hornets, I’m not sure exactly what else to tell you at this point of the season. Yes, the choice of expensive players is plentiful tonight but Morant inherits one of the best spots possible and has 1.41 FPPM when Dillon Brooks is off the floor. Charlotte is 29th in points allowed in the paint this season and Morant is still leading the league in points off drives to the hoop at 14.7 points. For context, Deandre Ayton of the Suns (a strong play himself tonight) leads the league in points scored from paint touches at 12.8. Morant is scoring more than the highest-scoring big man in the paint, which will never cease to amaze me. These teams are top seven in pace this season and the total is already 234, so if you don’t go with Morant there are plenty of other options. I’m not terribly opposed to Jaren Jackson or Desmond Bane at their salaries but Steven Adams and Brandon Clarke are not expensive enough. Big men torment the Hornets and both big guys in this lineup can post massive scores in under 25 minutes. They are both over a point-per-minute player and we know that the Hornets don’t know how to defend any big guy (or anyone, really). Clarke is very interesting because he would be a little better suited if Memphis plays small with the Hornets.

Hornets – We saw a bit of an aberration last night when both LaMelo Ball and Terry Rozier scored nearly 70 DK points each, but the Hornets also put up over 140 real points but they also shot a combined 19-32 and Rozier came out of nowhere for just his second triple-double ever. I would caution against thinking those outcomes are the norm and preach that if you want exposure to this game, it’s Ball and nobody else or you go with 1-2 other players (Rozier, Miles Bridges, Kelly Oubre) and hope Ball is underwhelming. Both P.J. Washington and Montrezl Harrell make sense at their salaries and both played at least 22 minutes last night. Washington held the edge at 29 minutes and until Gordon Hayward is back, there are minutes to go around.

Kings at Wizards

Kings – It’s still weird to write about Domantas Sabonis in the Kings section, but our man hopped on a plane, got to Sacramento, and dropped a casual 22/14/5 in 33 minutes for his Kings debut. Not only did he log 33 minutes but he had a 30.1% usage rate, wildly encouraging in his first game with De’Aaron Fox. In that game, Sabonis had 16 paint touches and scored 14 of his 22 points in the paint while Washington sits 25th in points allowed in the paint. It’s pretty nice to not have to try and figure out if it’s a Sabonis Game or Myles Turner game anymore and Sabonis is well worth an investment here. If we can’t swing two studs over $10,000, perhaps the path is one and a player like Sabonis to save a few hundred in salary. Fox himself is a strong play as well and the early returns saw them share the court for 28 minutes and Fox was at 1.21 FPPM with Sabonis at 1.52. Harrison Barnes is not a wrong option but at nearly $7,000, that might be a little too rich for my blood.

Wizards – It appears that the knee for Kristaps Porzingis got healthy quickly but I’m not terribly interested at this juncture and will likely be using the Wizards for value plays. Raul Neto is still way too cheap and the Wizards will be giving him a significant run at point guard with Bradley Beal and Spencer Dinwiddie not active for the rest of the year or simply not on the team. He played 30 minutes and Ish Smith is not likely to walk into a starting role over him, although I suppose they could surprise us. We’ll see what the model does with Thomas Bryant, Rui Hachimura, and Deni Avdija but the bottom line is a lot of Washington is still far too cheap even with the addition of KP, Smith, and Kyle Kuzma now being the highest-usage player. It also does not hurt they face the Kings, who are a top 10 team in pace and bottom 10 in defensive rating.

Lakers at Warriors

Lakers – The Lakers reportedly are reinvigorated now that they know their team moving forward (sure, the trade deadline was what’s wrong with this team) but the duo of LeBron James and Anthony Davis remains very appealing. James is still under $11,000 and we know that he has the dramatic gene and will be up for a game against the Warriors on ABC. This isn’t a game against the Blazers and further, the Lakers better start stacking some wins. Davis can be a bit more flighty but man the matchup is good. With Draymond Green being out for the Warriors, they really should have a tough time defending him. Credit to Kevon Looney for his play lately but he shouldn’t be able to hold a candle to Davis. Those would be the only two Lakers I would be focused on.

Warriors – I’m not too enticed to play Steph Curry but that just means the man is going to go nuclear for 40+ real points because he has not been my friend this year. Anytime I’ve put my money on him, he takes a night off but this game should be fast with the Lakers sitting fourth in pace. I would never argue the upside but Morant against the Hornets is more appealing to me. Klay Thompson is certainly the easier way to get access to the Warriors side of the ball (and as the Lakers, there are only two players here for me) and his minutes are up to 30. His shot isn’t all the way back yet as he’s just shooting 37.4% from deep but his usage rate of 29.5% is super appealing and he’s going to have a game sooner or later where everything falls. The Lakers sitting at 17th in defensive rating could be that game where Klay goes for 30+ raw points for the first time this season and he will always be a great mid-range target in GPP.

Honorable Mention

Clippers vs. Mavericks (Luka especially)

Spurs vs. Pelicans

You can find us on Twitter @DFS_Ghost and @Bucn4life

3 years ago 0 comments

English Premiere League

Saturday 2/12 EPL DFS Cheat Sheet

Richard Masana 3 years ago

written by Richard Masana

This article focuses on 2/12 EPL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format. The goal is to gain an edge on the field at large.

Saturday 2/12 EPL Slate and DFS Gameplan

Welcome back as we return for Matchweek Twenty-Three/Thirty-Eight of the EPL season “although for some teams Matchweek 24 or 25”!

Match Odds

Crystal Palace (+200) at Brentford (+165)

Leeds United (+215) at Everton (+125)

Brighton (+115) at Watford (+270)

Manchester City (-575) at Norwich (+1800) – LATE GAME “FanDuel Only”

2/12 EPL FanDuel Rankings “Set pieces less important on FanDuel”

Forward/Midfield

Phil Foden – Manchester City – $19 “Split Set Pieces”
Raphinha – Leeds United – $19 “Set Pieces”
Alexis Mac Allister – Brighton – $14 “Majority Share Set Pieces”
Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $21 “Split Set Pieces”
Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $19
Jack Grealish – Manchester City – $17
Bernando Silva – Manchester City – $18
Conor Gallagher – Crystal Palace – $19 “Set Pieces”
Neal Maupay – Brighton – $17
Dominic Calvert-Lewin – Everton – $20

Defense

Nathan Patterson – Everton – $5
Hassane Kamara – Watford – $13 “Set Pieces”
Joao Cancelo – Manchester City – $15
Pierre Struijk – Leeds United – $8
Seamus Coleman – Everton – $9

Goalies

Ederson – Manchester City – $14
Jonas Lossl/David Raya – Brentford – $10

EPL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

Raphinha – Leeds United – $9,900 “Set Pieces”
Dominic Calvert-Lewin – Everton – $6,700
Andros Townsend – Everton – $7,700 “Set Pieces” Probably won’t start but listed just in case
Bryan Mbuemo – Brentford – $6,500 “Set Pieces”
Neal Maupay – Brighton – $7,400

Midfield

Raphinha – Leeds United – $9,900 “Set Pieces”
Andros Townsend – Everton – $7,700 “Set Pieces” Probably won’t start but listed just in case
Bryan Mbuemo – Brentford – $6,500 “Set Pieces”
Alexis Mac Allister – Brighton – $8,400 “At least a Share if not all Set Pieces”
Conor Gallagher – Crystal Palace – $7,600 “Set Pieces”

Defense

Hassane Kamara – Watford – $5,100
Marc Cucurella – Brighton – $4,900
Sergi Canos – Brentford – $4,600
Nathan Patterson – Everton – $4,500
Luke Ayling – Leeds United – $4,100

Goalies

Jonas Lossl/David Raya – Brentford – $4,800
Vicente Guaita – Crystal Palace – $4,600

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-soccer/

3 years ago 0 comments

NHL

NHL DFS Friday Night Forecheck for DraftKings and FanDuel (Feb. 11)

allenjesse24@yahoo.com 3 years ago

written by allenjesse24@yahoo.com

Friday 2/11 NHL Breakdown

Welcome back for another installment of the Friday Night Forecheck here at Win Daily Sports. Tonight, we get a four game slate that starts at 8:30pm Eastern. This one looks a little ugly at first glance, but let’s see where we can go with it. Good luck!

Goalies

John Gibson – Anaheim Ducks: The Ducks host the Kraken tonight, in what should be a win for them. The Kraken have been struggling to score on the road, converting just 6.2% of their shots over their last five road games. Gibson is a solid goaltender, especially on home ice, and he should be a top point per dollar play tonight.

Brian Elliott – Tampa Bay Lightning: The Lightning are on a traveling back to back, and Vasilevskiy played last night, so the assumption is that Elliott will likely get the start tonight. Should Vasilevskiy get the start again tonight, he is an even better play. Elliott does carry some risk, since he doesn’t play all that much, but it’s the Coyotes, who have played a good bit recently, so this is feels like a safe play.

Bonus GPP Goalie Pick – Stuart Skinner – Edmonton Oilers: The Oilers….wow. What happened to this team? They were absolutely dominating in the first part of the season. Fast forward to February, and they fired their head coach. What a free-fall they have been on. We have to be careful with the Oilers tonight because new coach = most likely new approach, new lines, and new matching schemes, and even growing pains as the team adapts. Anyway, Skinner has been a bit up and down, but arguably the better goalie for the Oilers, especially recently. In a home matchup, against the visiting Islanders, this should be a decent play that carries some risk and upside. On the other side of this game, Ilya Sorokin (Islanders) can also be considered for a risky GPP upside play.

Lines to Build Around

These lines are considered top plays for the night and can be considered the focal point of your builds. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).

Tampa Bay Lightning Power Play – Brayden Point/Alex Killorn/Steven Stamkos/Nikita Kucherov/Victor Hedman: The Lightning are far and away the best play on the board tonight. Even though they played last night, they are a far superior team to the Coyotes. On top of that, the Coyotes have played quite a bit over the last few days, so the Lightning should be able to skate through them all night long. Tired or not, the Coyotes don’t pose much of a defensive threat, and their 31st ranked penalty kill should be no match for this unit.

Dallas Stars 1 – Roope Hintz/Jason Robertson/Joe Pavelski/John Klingberg: The Stars host the Jets tonight, and Dallas is a much better team on home ice. Hellebuyck has been struggling of late, posting a 3.06 GAA over his last five games, which is second highest on the slate behind Vejmelka for Arizona. This line is the primary scoring line for the Stars and should be able to shine at home tonight.

High Risk Lines

These are plays that carry significantly more risk, but could pay off at low ownership. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).

Anaheim Ducks Power Play – Ryan Gezlaf/Trevor Zegras/Rickard Rakell/Maxime Comtois/Jamie Drysdale: The Ducks’ 7th ranked power play unit will take on the Kraken’s 25th ranked penalty killing unit tonight. Since the Kraken are fairly disciplined, this play is not so much about the power play matchup as it is about getting access to the top two lines for the Ducks. Anaheim tends to match the Lundestrom line to the opposing top line, which will open up the matchups for the top two lines against the depth of the Kraken. Playing the power play unit gets you a mix of top and second line guys who are all in good spots. This game feels like it hits the under, which is why they are high risk, but the Ducks carry some nice upside tonight.

Winnipeg Jets 2 – Andrew Copp/Kyle Connor/Cole Perfetti: This second line for the Jets has a nice matchup tonight against the second/third line for the Stars. It feels like this game is going to be the key to the slate, so getting either Winnipeg and/or Dallas right could be the path to success. Josh Morrissey is a good defenseman to correlate with this line.

Edmonton Oilers 2 – Leon Draisaitl/Ryan McLeod/Zack Kassian: As mentioned above, the Oilers are going through a lot of changes, which is why this line is a high risk line tonight. They used to loosely match this line against the opposing second, but we don’t know if that will continue. If they do, this is a good spot for the Draisaitl line, who has been much better of late than the McDavid line.

Honorable Mentions: SEA1, TBL3, WPG1, NYI1, EDM1

Value Options – DraftKings

Center: Anthony Cirelli ($4000) – Tampa Bay Lightning

Wing: Cole Perfetti ($3000) – Winnipeg Jets

Defense: Ryan McDonagh ($3300) – Tampa Bay Lightning

Value Options – FanDuel

Center: Cole Perfetti ($3900) – Winnipeg Jets

Wing: Kailer Yamamoto ($3700) – Edmonton Oilers

Defense: Jamie Drysdale ($4000) – Anaheim Ducks

Cash Considerations – DraftKings

Center: Roope Hintz – Dallas Stars

Wing: Nikita Kucherov – Tampa Bay Lightning

Defense: Evan Bouchard – Edmonton Oilers

Goalie: Brian Elliott – Tampa Bay Lightning

Cash Considerations – FanDuel

Center: Roope Hintz – Dallas Stars

Wing: Nikita Kucherov – Tampa Bay Lightning

Defense: Evan Bouchard – Edmonton Oilers

Goalie: Brian Elliott – Tampa Bay Lightning

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Jon and the NHL team will be there answering questions right up until lock! Be sure to be on the look out for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

All line combinations are courtesy of www.dailyfaceoff.com, and the advanced rates referenced in the above article are pulled from www.naturalstattrick.com.

3 years ago 0 comments

NBA Premium

NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 02/11

DFSGhost 3 years ago

written by DFSGhost

After the madness that was the NBA Trade Deadline yesterday, we’re looking at some rotations with fresh looks while others await to make their debuts with their new teams. It’s a Fajita Friday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

San Antonio Spurs @ Atlanta Hawks (-8)

With the Spurs surprisingly traded Derrick White at the deadline, if you weren’t all in on Dejounte Murray beforehand, you will be now. In his sixth season as a pro, Murray has been taking the NBA by storm, sporting a 26.6% usage rate on the year and having posted a 19.5/8.4/9.2 scoring line on 45.3% shooting. I constantly preach to play primary ball handlers versus the Atlanta Hawks, and most notably, against Trae Young, who has an abysmal 116.7 net defensive rating. Not only do the Hawks rank 27th in the NBA in defensive rating as a team, but they also give up the second-most assists per game to opposing primary ball handlers.

On the flip side of this game, you can double down with two of the NBA’s best point guards by playing Trae Young, but I’ll never attack Murrray’s elite defense. Thus, if you want to get a piece of the Hawks offense, look to the wings in De’Andre Hunter and/or Kevin Huerter, while John Collins, who is my preferred target in Young’s pick-and-roll offense, makes for an elite play: Collins leads the NBA as the roll man with 1.47 points per possession (PPP) while the Spurs rank 24th in pick-and-roll defense to opposing roll men, allowing 1.16 PPP.

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Chicago Bulls (-4.5)

This contest is far and away the best game environment in my model and I will have at least one, if not multiple pieces from it. The Timberwolves have a whopping six rotation players tagged as questionable for this one, including Anthony Edwards and D’Angelo Russell, meaning we’ll monitor it throughout the day before making our decision. Should one of the two be out, Karl-Anthony Towns catapults in the priority list for tonight’s NBA slate, while a potential absence of someone like Patrick Beverley (ankle) could get us more value off the bench.

I will have at least one of the Bulls’ Big 3 in my NBA lineups tonight, but we also need confirmation on the status of Ayo Dosunmu (concussion) before deciding, since he was acting as the primary ball handler in the absence of Lonzo Ball, and this offense shifts considerably with him off the court and Coby White on it. Ultimately, should Dosunmu be ruled out, I’d consider both Zach Lavine and DeMar DeRozan, but the latter grades out ridiculously well for me tonight, and there’s no surprise to why: DeRozan comes into tonight’s contest with 30+ points in his last four games, sporting an absurd 40.1% usage rate while averaging 37.5/6/5.5. With the Timberwolves ranking in the bottom 10 in points per game allowed, rebounds per game allowed, and assists per game allowed to combo wings, DeRozan is my guy tonight.

Honorable Mentions:

Charlotte Hornets (high rostered for cash games)
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Indiana Pacers (+7)

You can find us on Twitter @DFS_Ghost and @Bucn4life

3 years ago 0 comments

NHL

NHL DFS Hot Shot for DraftKings and FanDuel (Feb. 10)

Richard Masana 3 years ago

written by Richard Masana

This article focuses on 2/10 NHL Picks for both DraftKings Sportsbook and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We analyze tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so that we can gain an edge on the field at large. Full rankings for each position for both sites are available below.

Thursday 2/10 NHL Slate and DFS Gameplan

Welcome back to the Hot Shot for a seven-game Thursday slate!

Full Game Odds/Totals and DraftKings Rankings can be found below as well as cash game considerations for each site.

Three Favorite Lines Per Dollar

Columbus One “Patrik Laine, Gustav Nyquist, Boone Jenner”, Buffalo One “Alex Tuch, Jeff Skinner, Tage Thompson”

The first very thing that jumped out at me on this slate when digging through pricing was how ridiculously cheap skaters from this game are. I get it, these are two bad teams. However, this should be a high-scoring game as the 6.5 total indicates. Furthermore, Patrik Laine is only $4,500 despite coming off three straight two-goal games. Perhaps DraftKings decided that they’ll only raise his price if he bags a hat trick. On the flip side, Alex Tuch stands out to me as a particularly great value individually and he has been on fire as well. If looking to use a full line and only pick one, I would side with Columbus’ top unit with six full lines goals off of 57 SATF across their last ten games, placing them just outside the NHL’s top ten lines.

Washington One Two Man “Evgeny Kuznetsov, Conor Sheary”

Alex Ovechkin has been ruled out for this game as of the time of writing. Nevertheless, no matter who joins these two skaters on the top line, we can count on them having some opportunities. The Capitals will be -210 favorites on the money line tonight in a 6.5 total game against a flailing Montreal team that is really struggling and missing their starting goalies in particular. There is not much of sample size on these two but consider it more a combination of price and matchup putting them in play.

St. Louis Two “Vladimir Tarasenko, Robert Thomas, Jordan Kyrou”

Despite a few mismatches on paper earlier on in the slate, the Blues are the heaviest favorite at -275 against a Devils team that has been going through hell, so to speak. Of the options, I prefer the second line featuring Vladimir Tarasenko and Jordan Kyrou but the way the St. Louis lines are dispersed, you can really opt for any one of the three, depending on your budget. This line with Saad as opposed to Tarasenko has five full lines goals over their last ten games, the by-product of 48 SATF and an unlucky .968 save performance against, so due for positive regression.

2/10 NHL Game Odds and Totals

Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

Columbus Blue Jackets (-110) at Buffalo Sabres (-110) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Washington Capitals (-210) at Montreal Canadiens (+170) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Pittsburgh Penguins (-210) at Ottawa Senators (+170) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Carolina Hurricanes (+100) at Boston Bruins (-120) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Toronto Maple Leafs (-120) at Calgary Flames (+100) – 6 Projected Goal Total

New Jersey Devils (+220) at St. Louis Blues (-275) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Tampa Bay Lightning (+100) at Colorado Avalanche (-120) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

2/10 NHL DraftKings Individual Rankings

Centers

Auston Matthews – Toronto – $9,700
Sidney Crosby – Pittsburgh – $7,000
Brayden Point – Tampa Bay – $6,200
Jeff Carter – Pittsburgh – $4,400
Evgeny Kuznetsov – Washington – $6,500

Wingers

Patrik Laine – Columbus – $4,500
Alex Tuch – Buffalo – $5,100
Bryan Rust – Pittsburgh – $7,100
Steven Stamkos – Tampa Bay – $6,500
Gustav Nyquist – Columbus – $3,300

Defense

Rasmus Dahlin – Buffalo – $4,700
Dmitry Orlov – Washington – $3,500
Mike Matheson – Pittsburgh – $3,300
John Carlson – Washington – $6,500
Thomas Chabot – Ottawa – $5,900

Goalies

Ville Husso – St. Louis – $8,300
Ilya Samsonov – Washington – $8,100

Cash Considerations

Patrik Laine, Alex Tuch, Rasmus Dahlin, Auston Matthews, Ville Husso

3 years ago 0 comments

NHL

NHL DFS Between the Benches for DraftKings and FanDuel (Feb. 9)

Allan Fabrykant 3 years ago

written by Allan Fabrykant

We’re back with another Wednesday Night Win Daily NHL Article! We’ve been on an excellent run as of late here at WinDaily. Let’s make some more money tonight! On tonight’s slate, we have a medium-sized 6-gamer! Keep an eye on any COVID-19 news since it can change the whole outlook of the slate! With that said, let’s get ready for the newest edition of WinDaily’s Between the Benches! For tonight’s 2/9 NHL slate, the slate begins at 7:00 pm ET. Don’t forget to lock your lines and check the discord for any updates! Let’s get into it!

2/9 NHL Stack Report

Seattle Kraken 1
Eberle – McCann – Johansson (FanDuel: $15,900 | DraftKings: $15,300)
– I never thought we’d see the day this season but here we are. Seattle is our top team of the slate. It has less to do with how well they’ve been playing (even though their top line has been quite good) but it’s more so about how bad their opponents are. Other than Montreal, it’s hard to find a team who has been playing worse than the Arizona Coyotes, and on top of that they’re on the second half of a back to back, where they got shelled en route to a 5-1 loss to the Vancouver Canucks. Every player on the Kraken’s top line sees good minutes and is reasonably affordable and on top of that they have all be playing great hockey as of late as they come into tonight with the best odds and the second highest implied total.
Ideal Defensive Partner(s): Mark Giordano (FD: $5,600 | DK: $6,100)
Calgary Flames 1
Tkachuk – Lindholm – Gaudreau (FanDuel: $24,000 | DraftKings: $22,800)
– It should come as no surprise that we’re going with the Flames here tonight. Each member of their top line has consistently been meeting their standard game in and game out. Johnny Gaudreau for example has 10 points over his last 6 games and has had four 3+ point games since the start of the new year. Calgary’s top line has been scoring at an extremely high rate and tonight, they’ll be up against a tired Vegas team who is coming into Calgary after a win late last night in Edmonton. With Calgary coming into tonight with the fresher lineup accompanied by a 3.3 implied goal total. I would recommend having some exposure to Calgary’s top line tonight.
Ideal Defensive Partner(s): Rasmus Andersson (FD: $5,300 | DK: $5,200)

Honorable Mentions in order: EDM1 (Kane-McDavid-Yamamoto), DET2 (Bertuzzi-Suter-Fabbri), DAL1 (Pavelski-Hintz-Robertson)

2/9 NHL Goalie Tracker

Best (Goalies to Roster)

Jacob Markstrom (FD: $7,900 | DK: $7,900)
Phillip Grubauer (FD: $8,200 | DK: $8,200)
Honorable Mention(s): Ilya Sorokin, Jake Oettinger, (DEEP GPP – Robin Lehner)

Worst (Goalies to Target)

Scott Wedgewood (FD: $6,700 | DK: $7,200)
Honorable Mention(s): Alex Nedeljkovic

2/9 NHL Wild Card Targets

Blake Coleman (FD: $5,100 | DK: $4,100)
– We already know why we’re so high on Calgary as a team tonight, but even though I recommend prioritizing the top line, it’s worth noting how good Blake Coleman has been as of late. He’s been an absolute stud and he popped off in his last game for two goals and one assist. He’s still modestly priced on both sites after a performance like that. So, if you’re interested in having some exposure to Calgary but cant fit in their top line guys, I’d highly recommend going with Blake Coleman as either a one off play or alongside defenseman Oliver Kylington.
Honorable Mention(s): Robbie Fabbri, Calle Jarnkrok, Derick Brassard, Anthony Beauvilier-Noah Dobson

Core Four: (ALWAYS BE STACKIN’)

Centre – Jared McCann

Winger – Johnny Gaudreau

Defence – Mark Giordano

Goalie – Jacob Markstrom

2/9 NHL Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Honorable Mention(s): Rapidfire 2/2

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3 years ago 0 comments

PGA Premium

Tee 2 Green PGA DFS Picks: Waste Management Phoenix Open

brucegray19722@gmail.com 3 years ago

written by brucegray19722@gmail.com

Hello everybody, and welcome back to ‘Tee 2 Green,’ a new article that I will be producing for Win Daily Sports weekly to give some extra insight into the DFS world of golf. My focus will be to discuss, decipher and dissect some of my preferred targets throughout the various price ranges, and I will always provide my opinion with a data-intensive outlook that you can see first-hand if you use the weekly model that I provide free of charge. You can find that here.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Jon Rahm ($11,600) – I mentioned it on the Win DAYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYly show tonight, which has a name, but doesn’t have a name yet, that until Jon Rahm is priced in the $12,000 range, it is going to continue to be chalky Rahm weeks. There is nothing negative to say about the Spaniard in Arizona, although I will comment on handing Joel a small gift during our draft tonight by taking Scottie Scheffler first overall. Consider it a present because of the birth of his daughter a few days ago. I am a very generous friend.

Patrick Cantlay ($10,700) – Patrick Cantlay looks like he will be the forgotten man in the $10,000 section, but I would be cautious in overlooking his name when making a build. Cantlay will open up a great deal of leverage for those willing to take a chance on the American, and I do want to stress that no course history isn’t the same as bad course history. We have seen plenty of golfers find success here during their first trip.

Hideki Matsuyama ($10,400) – We should have just renamed the ‘Waste Management Open’ the ‘Hideki Matsuyama Open’ a few years back. No player in this field has found as much success out at TPC Scottsdale as Matsuyama, who is entering the week with form after winning two of his past four starts.

Other Consideration – I will be underweight towards most of the rest of the group.

$9,000 Range

Daniel Berger ($9,200) – The fear around Daniel Berger pulling out of the Pebble Beach Pro-Am has caused a massive reduction in ownership for the American this weekend at TPC Scottsdale. I would keep a close eye on his status as we near Thursday, but there is a contrarian discount looming for someone grading sixth in my model and second for my partner Nick Bretwisch of the ‘Bettor Golf Podcast.’

Scottie Scheffler ($9,100) – Did I jump the gun on Scottie Scheffler during the draft? Perhaps. But I wanted to make sure I locked in a golfer that is extremely simple to build practically any lineup you wish around. Scheffler grades seventh in par-five scoring and is third in total driving – two categories I find to be extremely important for finding success.

Other Targets: Xander Schauffele ($9,700), Bubba Watson ($9,000) – I have some trepidation around Xander this week, but it is hard to argue his four top-17 finishes at the track. As for Watson, this is a Bubba track, and we all know how Bubba loves to Bubba at a Bubba track.

$8,000 Range

Louis Oosthuizen ($8,800) – We haven’t seen Louis Oosthuizen in action since pulling out of the RSM Classic. I have no real concerns about a lingering injury, but I wish we could have gotten some form out of him before having to lock the South African in at 15 percent ownership. All in all, I think Louis makes for a safe addition to a squad, but his winning upside could be capped because of the lack of golf.

Matthew Fitzpatrick ($8,700) -Is Matthew Fitzpatrick a perfect DFS target this week? No. But he does provide an insanely good discount in popularity for those that need to find a way to stray away from the masses. The Englishman ranks top-10 in my model for both weighted tee-to-green and strokes gained on a fast surface.

Other Thoughts: I am generally fading this range.

$7,000 Range

I am going to rapid-fire through some $7,000 golfers to present a handful of choices for everyone reading.

Billy Horschel ($7,900) – I really like Billy Horschel this week, and he should have been mine in the draft. All blame goes to Sia, even though the audience inevitably landed him. Billy Horschel=good. Sia=bad.

Talor Gooch ($7,800) – Talor Gooch is -180 at a credible offshore book in a head-to-head matchup against Abraham Ancer. I hate using that as my reasoning, but Gooch is a top-15 golfer in this field if we remove his spotty course history – something I am willing to ignore because of his improvement in 2022.

Luke List ($7,700) – List is playing some of the best golf of his career. Despite the popularity he possesses, the American is in play in most game types.

Keith Mitchell ($7,500) – Keith Mitchell is volatile, but he is one of the biggest climbers in my model when I condense the data down over the past 24 rounds. It doesn’t hurt matters that we have seen him gain off the tee in 13 consecutive starts.

K.H. Lee ($7,300) – The game is trending in a good spot for a golfer that finished second at the venue last year.

Cameron Davis ($7,200) – I think Cameron Davis is one of the most mispriced players on the board in any market you want to look at. The Aussie grades inside the top-25 of this field in total driving, par-five birdie or better percentage and overall aggression, which is is pretty much the exact blueprint I am trying to find this week on my golfers.

Additional Thoughts: Kevin Streelman ($7,100) is a fun GPP target at one percent ownership

$6,000 Range

Martin Laird ($6,800) – Martin Laird has quietly been better than his results, gaining with his irons in 10 of 11 starts and off the tee in 9 of 11. Add to that his four top-nine finishes at Scottsdale in 12 tries, and we start to get a good sleeper option on a golfer that has gained with his flat stick in 7 of 12 appearances at the track.

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: Adam Hadwin ($6,900), Matthew NeSmith ($6,600), Matt Wallace ($6,500)

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3 years ago 0 comments

NBA Premium

NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 2/9

Adam Strangis 3 years ago

written by Adam Strangis

NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 2/9

It’s been a little while since the NBA has had a small slate and tonight is not that different as we have six games in front of us. On the surface, this is somewhat of an easy slate because we have a lot of teams on a back-to-back and that includes teams that made trades yesterday. Let’s get into that and more in the NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 2/9 and carve our paths to green screens again!

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Lakers at Blazers

Lakers – I wouldn’t be overly shocked to see LeBron James or Anthony Davis sit tonight, but the flip side of that coin is the Lakers sit ninth in the West before the action started Tuesday night. They were only five games ahead of the Blazers for 11th and 4.5 games ahead of the Pelicans, who think they can make a run. Even if LeBron and AD both play, I’m more inclined to play either since they are under $11,000 and Russell Westbrook is an afterthought. Both Bron and AD can hit 60 DK points in the same game at any juncture right now and Davis has really been playing some strong basketball since he’s come back from injury. Portland should still be short-handed tonight and was already in the bottom five in defensive rating while the Lakers are a top-five team in pace and AD and Bron are over 1.31 FPPM on the season. There is potential to just double-up and play both but there are other players at the high end of the pricing grid that have my interest to be sure.

Blazers – This is being written before the Blazers play Tuesday but we do know that their starting lineup was Anfernee Simons, Jusuf Nurkic, Justise Winslow, Ben McLemore, and CJ Elleby. While DK technically did raise the prices of the cheap guys, it’s not likely to be enough as the Lakers are still a bottom 10 team in defensive rating. On top of that, they may have just eight or 10 players again tonight so they will be the main source of value and I’m likely to follow the same formula of having at least 2-3 Blazers in every lineup tonight.

Wolves at Kings

This game should look familiar because they just played last night and the Kings are going to be my main focus. As things stand, the big three for Minnesota are all active in Karl-Anthony Towns, D’Angelo Russell, and Anthony Edwards, and when that is the case, I typically lean toward the cheapest player and that’s D’Lo tonight. The $7,000 salary is incredibly interesting against the Kings for a player that has the highest assist rate on the team at 32.4% and has a higher FPPM than Edwards by 0.05.

The Kings side is more interesting since they should be without their new teammates tonight and that’s likely going to leave De’Aaron Fox and Davion Mitchell with a ton of usage to eat up. It hasn’t been a large sample but when Buddy Hield and Tyrese Haliburton have been off the floor, Fox has a 29.3% usage rate and 1.22 FPPm and the man is under $8,000. Mitchell is only at 0.69 but he’s also sporting a 36.2% true shooting rate in that sample and that’s not where his talent level is. Both teams are in the top eight of pace this year and since they faced each other the night before, defense might be optional. My goal is to have at least 2-3 players from this game and the Blazers game as things stand right now.

Honorable Mention – Bulls at Hornets

Teams To Monitor

Warriors – Klay Thompson is sitting this one out so Steph Curry is absolutely a strong option at his salary and is in the running for one of the best on the slate. He’s barely over $10,000 but the shot has been iffy at best lately and the floor is absolutely there. Andrew Wiggins and Jordan Poole are much more intriguing than normal tonight and if Kevon Looney sits out as well, the opposing big man could be of interest.

Jazz – Rudy Gobert is still out and I’ll be interested to see if Udoka Azubuike draws a start again even with Hassan Whiteside active. Azubuike is still very cheap and put up 30 DK in 27 minutes played last game and if Looney is out along with Draymond Green still being out, the interior for the Warriors is dicey at best. Oh, and Donovan Mitchell popped off for nearly 60 DK and somehow is still just $8,600 if you’re into that sort of thing.

You can find us on Twitter @DFS_Ghost and @Bucn4life

3 years ago 0 comments

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Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

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2/9 NHL Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Other Consideration – I will be underweight towards most of the rest of the group.

$9,000 Range

Other Targets: Xander Schauffele ($9,700), Bubba Watson ($9,000) – I have some trepidation around Xander this week, but it is hard to argue his four top-17 finishes at the track. As for Watson, this is a Bubba track, and we all know how Bubba loves to Bubba at a Bubba track.

$8,000 Range

Other Thoughts: I am generally fading this range.

$7,000 Range

Additional Thoughts: Kevin Streelman ($7,100) is a fun GPP target at one percent ownership

$6,000 Range

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: Adam Hadwin ($6,900), Matthew NeSmith ($6,600), Matt Wallace ($6,500)

NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 2/9

Lakers at Blazers

Wolves at Kings

Teams To Monitor

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