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NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 02/26

There may only be six games tonight for the NBA slate but man they are some good ones on paper. We do have four teams on back-to-back situations but that’s not a major concern past possibly San Antonio coming off a double-overtime game. Let’s dig into that spot and much more in the NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 02/26 and start carving out our paths to green again tonight! 

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Raptors at Hawks 

Raptors – Toronto may have gotten their doors blown off last night but we have short memories and these guys are going to be fresh. The only player that came through for us was Scottie Barnes and I’m going right back to him as his salary fell by $200. The Hawks are in the bottom five in defensive rating and the main guys in the rotation play near 40 minutes per game when it is actually competitive. With OG Anunoby out for the next little while, Barnes has more secure minutes than ever. 

It’s not the same style of matchup but Pascal Siakam also can’t play any worse than yesterday and no John Collins is going to help as well. I’m not likely to spend up here on Siakam as Fred VanVleet would be my preferred player. FVV still is right around the lead behind Siakam for usage (24.5%) and FPPM (1.11) and with the matchup on the perimeter against Trae Young, I would take the savings over Siakam. 

Hawks – Ghost says it a lot that we want shooters against the zone from the Raptors defense and hello Young and Bogdan Bogdanovic. Young came out of the break and shot 3-17 last game and managed to score 32 DK even with just 14 real points. His price isn’t going to get a lot lower than $9,500 and Toronto is in the bottom 10 in points allowed in the paint. Young can get to the rim and he’s scoring 9.8 points per game in the paint and shooting 37.9% from distance. This is a game that Young can go 35/10 pretty easily. 

I’m also going right back to Bog Bog because he’s still not pricey enough. He finally seems to have found his groove and he’s scored at least 31 DK in five straight while taking at least 14 shots in three of the five. With Collins out, he needs to be more active in the offense and he took 12 3-pointers in the last game. That’s not likely to happen again but the Raptors are in the bottom 12 in 3-point frequency allowed and FG% allowed. He can shoot and I want one of these two tonight, depending on the build. I’m a little shaky on Clint Capela because once again he was under 30 minutes (29 is still under 30) and the Raptors don’t have to play a center like Chicago did. Onyeka Okongwu could be an elite GPP play in just 18-20 minutes under $4,000 and he might be a slightly better fit against Toronto. 

Grizzlies vs Bulls 

Grizzlies – The name of the game tonight is “bounce-back game” and Ja Morant has no business being under $10,00 against a team that is missing two defenders on the perimeter and sits 27th in points allowed in the paint. Morant is leading the league in points off drives to the basket at 14.7 and won’t shoot 7-25 again as he did in the last game. Morant is a dark horse MVP candidate (he won’t win) but he’s put Memphis on his back through most of the season and tonight will be no different with 1.50 FPPM since Dillon Brooks is out. The same could be said for Desmond Bane since he shot 5-15 and the Bulls have allowed the sixth-highest FG% from deep this year. Steven Adams is a nice mid-range center play as the Bulls are weaker in the paint and they’ll likely want him to mirror Nikola Vucevic for a good chunk of the game but Ja is my priority right now and fits with Bogdanovic from Atlanta nicely. 

Bulls – This is definitely a spot where I don’t need a run back because the only salary that is palatable is Zach LaVine. Everyone “disappointed” to some extent on their salary and I include DeMar DeRozan in that. The guy is an absolute wizard in the mid-range shooting but he scored 37 real points and 51 DK points. I’m not saying 51 DK is bad but when a player has to score 37 to get there, that’s nerve-wracking. LaVine and Vuc were both under 40 DK but LaVine was also just 7-17 and didn’t do much outside of his scoring either. Both teams are in the top 13 in pace so I won’t fight you with a run-back, but Memphis is ninth in defensive rating. They aren’t my main focus on the slate. 

Teams To Monitor 

Cavaliers – They are down Darius Garland, Rajon Rondo, and Caris LeVert tonight so Brandon Goodwin will be one of the premier value players of the night at $4,200. I don’t mind Lauri Markkanen either as he played 28 minutes in his return and there are a lot of shot attempts that have opened up. 

Nets – This game is in Milwaukee so Kyrie Irving can play, which is more than can be said for a player like Ben Simmons who appears not that close to getting back. Gotta be careful from all that sitting out, I guess. I’m not saying Simmons should be expected for 35 minutes but the Nets are getting smashed routinely and could use any type of reinforcements. They are 10 point underdogs tonight and Kyrie is alright but I prefer Morant or Young. On another note, if this game could stay close Giannis Antetokounmpo could lead the slate in DK points. 

Kings/Nuggets – All I have to say is Domantas Sabonis and Nikola Jokić.

You can find us on Twitter @DFS_Ghost and @Bucn4life

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This article focuses on 2/26 EPL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format. The goal is to gain an edge on the field at large.

Saturday 2/26 EPL Slate and DFS Gameplan

Welcome back as we return for Matchweek Twenty-Five/Thirty-Eight of the EPL season.

Match Odds

Newcastle (+210) at Brentford (+155)

Watford (+800) at Manchester United (-295)

Aston Villa (+235) at Brighton (+125)

Burnley (+320) at Crystal Palace (-105)

Manchester City (-360) at Everton (+1000)LATE GAME “FanDuel Only”

DraftKings Forward

Neal Maupay – Brighton – On DraftKings, I think Neal Maupay makes the most sense as a starting point. He is affordable, priced under $7,000. While Aston Villa has been better overall as of late, their defense could still use some improvement.

FanDuel Forward

Alexis Mac Allister – Brighton – At only $13 with control over set pieces for Brighton in the aforementioned matchup, Mac Allister provides value to build around.

DraftKings Defender

Lucas Digne – Aston Villa – With a monopoly of set pieces for Villa and a very appealing price of $5,600, the former Everton defender stands out here.

FanDuel Defender

Tariq Lamptey – Brighton – Extremely cheap, a punt price at $8 and playing more as a winger than a wing defender and it shows over his last few games.

Goalie – Both Sites

Nick Pope – Burnley – Pope is one of the lowest-priced goalies on the slate and has upped his play considerably during Burnley’s hot streak of sorts. This road matchup with Crystal Palace is certainly far from overwhelming.

2/26 EPL FanDuel Rankings “Set pieces less important on FanDuel”

Forward/Midfield

  1. Alexis Mac Allister – Brighton – $13 “Set Pieces”
  2. Bruno Fernandes – Manchester United – $20 “Split Set Pieces”
  3. Cristiano Ronaldo – Manchester United – $21
  4. Phil Foden – Manchester City – $18 “Split Set Pieces”
  5. Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $20 “Split Set Pieces”
  6. Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $19
  7. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $19
  8. Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $18
  9. Wilfried Zaha – Crystal Palace – $16
  10. Neal Maupay – Brighton – $16

Defense

  1. Tariq Lamptey – Brighton – $8
  2. Luke Shaw – Manchester United – $11 “Split Set Pieces”
  3. Lucas Digne – Aston Villa – $12 “Set Pieces”
  4. Matt Targett – Newcastle – $11
  5. Victor Lindelof – Manchester United – $8

Goalies

  1. Nick Pope – Burnley – $8
  2. David Raya – Brentford – $10

EPL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

  1. Neal Maupay – Brighton – $6,900
  2. Cristiano Ronaldo – Manchester United – $9,100
  3. Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $8,200
  4. Jadon Sancho – Manchester United – $7,600
  5. Wilfried Zaha – Crystal Palace – $9,600

Midfield

  1. Bruno Fernandes – Manchester United – $10,000 “Split Set Pieces”
  2. Alexis Mac Allister – Brighton – $7,500 “Set Pieces”
  3. Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $8,200
  4. Conor Gallagher – Crystal Palace “At least a Split Set Pieces”
  5. Jadon Sancho – Manchester United – $7,600

Defense

  1. Lucas Digne – Aston Villa – $5,600 “Set Pieces”
  2. Luke Shaw – Manchester United “Split Set Pieces” – $6,400
  3. Ryan Fraser – Newcastle – $6,000
  4. Matt Targett – Newcastle – $5,700
  5. Marc Cucurella – Brighton – $5,200

Goalies

  1. Nick Pope – Burnley – $4,200
  2. Martin Dubravka – Newcastle – $4,600

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-soccer/

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Friday 2/25 NHL Breakdown

Welcome back for another installment of the Friday Night Forecheck here at Win Daily Sports. This Friday gives us a decent six game slate with a lot of places to go. It should be a fun one. Good luck!

Goalies

Ville Husso – St. Louis Blues: The Blues host the Sabres tonight, and they are heavy favorites. Husso has some of the best numbers on the slate, and the Sabres have been struggling mightily on the road over their last five. This is a great spot for Husso, and probably the safest on the board tonight.

Laurent Brossoit – Vegas Golden Knights: The Knights head to the desert tonight to face the Coyotes, where they should be able to control the game. Vegas has also been struggling to score on the road over their last five, so Broissoit may be called on to keep them in the game tonight, which is kind of wild when you consider how bad Arizona is overall.

Darcy Kuemper – Colorado Avalanche: The Avalanche host the Jets tonight, and this is a bit of a riskier play than Husso and Brossoit. Kuemper has had an up and down season for sure, but his recent numbers definitely look good. The Jets have been struggling over their last five road games, and this looks like a really good spot for the Avs, so hopefully, Darcy can put in a good performance tonight.

GPP Goalie Pick – Marc-Andre Fleury – Chicago Blackhawks: The Hawks host the Devils tonight, who are in the second leg of a traveling back to back. Fleury is always a risk in net, but he has these games where he just shows up, and the Devils should be tired tonight. He should be a solid play, and with others on the board, he should go under the radar from an ownership standpoint.

Lines to Build Around

These lines are considered top plays for the night and can be considered the focal point of your builds. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).

Vegas Golden Knights 1 – Jack Eichel/Max Pacioretty/Chandler Stephenson/Shea Theodore: As mentioned above, the Knights head to Arizona tonight in what should be a very good spot for them. This top line should see the Galchenyuk line for more of the night, and when they don’t, it’ll be the Boyd line. Both of these matchups should give this line plenty of opportunity to produce tonight. Feel free to drop Stephenson for a three-man.

Carolina Hurricanes 1 – Sebastian Aho/Andrei Svechnikov/Teuvo Teravainen/Jaccob Slavin: The Hurricanes’ top line should be matched up with the Blue Jackets’ top line tonight, and what a matchup that is for them. This line has a great chance to break the slate tonight, especially considering that they are up against J.F. Berube in net.

Colorado Avalanche 1 – Mikko Rantanen/Gabriel Landeskog/Andre Burakovsky/Cale Makar: Without MacKinnon, this line is just a little cheaper, and in their line matching, they should see the likes of the 4th line for the Jets for most of the night. What a matchup this is. Hellebuyck for the Jets has been up and down, so this game in theory could go either way, but look for this line to do some big damage tonight against the Jets’ depth. Feeling frisky? Andre Burakovsky as an anytime scorer prop is at +195 early in the day on DraftKings Sportsbook, and is definitely worth a look.

High Risk Lines

These are plays that carry significantly more risk, but could pay off at low ownership. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).

St. Louis Blues 2 – Robert Thomas/Pavel Buchnevich/Vladimir Tarasenko/Torey Krug: Truthfully, the Blues’ second line is interchangeable with the Vegas top line, and this play borders on one to build around. These guys should see the likes of Buffalo 2 for a good portion of the night, setting them up for a really nice opportunity. Craig Anderson in net for the Sabres is the cherry on top, and this line may just fly under the radar. As long as Anderson gets the start for the Sabres, a team total over 3.5 bet is worth a look at -125 on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Los Angeles Kings 2 – Phillip Danault/Trevor Moore/Viktor Arvidsson/Mikey Anderson: The Kings head to Anaheim to take on the Ducks tonight, and the line matching trends suggest that this line is in for yet another good night. They have been the hot hand recently, and they could very well fly way under the radar tonight as a late night hammer. Gibson for Anaheim is decent, but he has not quite been himself recently, so this is an interesting, yet risky look.

Chicago Blackhawks 1 – Dylan Strome/Alex Debrincat/Patrick Kane/Seth Jones: On paper, this line looks like a fantastic spot tonight, especially going up against the Devils, who are on the back end of a traveling back to back. They are the Hawks, though, and they have been very inconsistent, even bad most of the time, throughout the season. The risk is there, but if there is a possibility that this line could dominate the game tonight against Jersey.

Winnipeg Jets 1 – Mark Scheifele/Blake Wheeler/Paul Stastny/Josh Morrissey: This is a contrarian play that is big opportunity at what should be very low ownership. The top line should see the third and fourth lines for the Avalanche tonight, creating a very nice plus matchup for them. If Kuemper has one of his off nights, this could be a line that makes a big difference on the slate. They may not break it, but they could very well combine for multiple goals. This one is reserved for deeper GPPs to be super contrarian.

Honorable Mentions: ANH2, VGK2, NJD1, CBJ1

Value Options – DraftKings

Center: Kirby Dach ($3300) – Chicago Blackhawks – not a part of the stacks above, but can be used as a one-off, as he should see extended ice time against the top line for the Devils

Wing: Paul Stastny ($3200) – Winnipeg Jets

Defense: Mikey Anderson ($2500) – Los Angeles Kings

Value Options – FanDuel

Center: Chandler Stephenson ($5100) – Vegas Golden Knights

Wing: Trevor Moore ($5000) – Los Angeles Kings

Defense: Mikey Anderson ($3800) – Los Angeles Kings

Cash Considerations – DraftKings

Center: Sebastian Aho – Carolina Hurricanes

Wing: Andre Burakovsky – Colorado Avalanche

Defense: Shea Theodore – Vegas Golden Knights

Goalie: Ville Husso – St. Louis Blues

Cash Considerations – FanDuel

Center: Sebastian Aho – Carolina Hurricanes

Wing: Andre Burakovsky – Colorado Avalanche

Defense: Shea Theodore – Vegas Golden Knights

Goalie: Ville Husso – St. Louis Blues

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Jon and the NHL team will be there answering questions right up until lock! Be sure to be on the look out for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

All line combinations are courtesy of www.dailyfaceoff.com, and any advanced rates referenced in the above article are pulled from www.naturalstattrick.com.

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The second NBA slate following the All-Star break is certainly filled with interesting storylines: James Harden makes his Philadelphia debut, Devin Booker leading the Suns after last night’s victory, and the battle of LA all will be of interest tonight. It’s a Fajita Friday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Toronto Raptors @ Charlotte Hornets (+2.5)

If you did not know this one was coming, now you do – the other two times the Raptors and Hornets have faced off this season, it was the game I wanted the most exposure to, and tonight is certainly no different. With the Hornets ranking 2nd in pace and 23rd in defensive rating, their games are always elite targets on any NBA DFS slate, and the Raptors’ tight rotation only makes things more interesting.

Sporting a 25.1% usage rate on the season, Pascal Siakam will be the first player in any NBA lineup for me tonight. He has posted a 21.9/8.7/5.2 scoring line on the year on 49.5% shooting, and gets the best matchup of the Raptors versus a Hornets front court that ranks 27th in the NBA. In two previous meeting versus the Hornets this season, Siakam has averaged a 24/10/10 triple-double through a 22.7% usage rate.

The return of Cody Martin to the Hornets lineup does not impact touches, but he will log a heavy dose of minutes, pending any news of a restriction in his first game back. With Gordan Hayward (ankle) still out for the Hornets, look for LaMelo Ball, Terry Rozier, and Miles Bridges to round out the bulk of the minutes tonight, with the trio of PJ Washington, Montrezl Harrell, and Kelly Oubre Jr. logging decent time off the bench. Against Toronto’s zone defense, Terry Rozier and Kelly Oubre Jr. remain my preferred targets over someone like LaMelo Ball.

LA Clippers @ LA Lakers (-1)

The battle of LA is one to keep on our shortlist tonight, not only because Anthony Davis (ankle) remains sidelined, but because we have an underpriced LeBron James coming out of the All-Star game. In 20 games without Davis this season, LeBron carries a 33.6% usage rate, which is a 2.2% increase on his season average, whereby James has posted a 32.7/9/6 scoring line on 53.6% shooting. Whether he plays the ‘5’ versus a small Clippers lineup, or mans the point, LeBron is an anchor for my NBA lineups tonight.

The Clippers will be an interesting team to target in the last fourth of the NBA season given the injuries to both Kawhi Leonard and Paul George. Rather than going in the mid range of the pricing grid with Reggie Jackson or Marcus Morris, I prefer the combination of Terance Mann and Luke Kennard, both of which will get extended run versus any combination of Lakers lineup, considering the favorites are likely going to roll out smaller lineups rather than a combination of Dwight Howard and/or DeAndre Jordan in the absence of Anthony Davis.

Honorable Mentions:

  • San Antonio Spurs @ Washington Wizards (+3)
  • New Orleans Pelicans @ Phoenix Suns (-7.5)

You can find us on Twitter @DFS_Ghost and @Bucn4life

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This article focuses on 2/24 NHL Picks for both DraftKings Sportsbook and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We analyze tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so that we can gain an edge on the field at large. Full rankings for each position for both sites are available below.

NHL Slate and DFS Gameplan

Welcome back to the Hot Shot for an eight-game Thursday slate!

Full Game Odds/Totals and DraftKings Rankings can be found below as well as cash game considerations for each site.

2/24 NHL Favorite Lines Per Dollar

Top Line – Pittsburgh One “Sidney Crosby, Jake Guentzel, Bryan Rust”

They will be the chalk de jour of the night. but popularity be damned, this line is certainly necessary to mention all things considered. Pittsburgh stands out along with the Panthers as the slates’ biggest favorites by a wide margin. The Pens host the Devils and as of the time of writing are -330 money line favorites and this is one of three 6.5 total games on the night. This line is tied for fifth in the NHL over the span of the last ten games with 135 shot attempts for “SATF”, which includes all shot attempts, and six goals tying them for tenth among all lines. Jon Gillies should start in net for the Devils and his .893 save % and 3.50 GAA are worth targeting. As far as each skater individually, Sidney Crosby looks like a “Kid” again, has been the most consistent of the three, and fills a center spot; so he would be my choice at the moment of the three.

Secondary Line – Florida Three “Mason Marchment, Anton Lundell, Sam Reinhart”

It is rare that I write up a team’s third line but there are certainly exceptions to the rule. Florida, much like Pittsburgh above, is a huge home favorite (-370) in one of the three 6.5 total games. The Panther’s third line has been on fire recently to the tune of eleven full-line goals over their last ten games, good for a three-way tie for second-best in the NHL “tied with two lines mentioned below” over that sample size. Now keep in mind they have been doing some exceptional shooting, as their 51 SATF is super low and feels more indicative of what you might normally see from a third line. However, neither of Florida’s top two lines falls anywhere on the top 30, so the assumption is this is the line that will somehow find a way to do some damage. Given the paltry SATF and lack of top power-play time aside from Sam Reinhart’s exposure, I’d normally fade, but here between price and matchup, I think you hope that the hot shooting continues.

Honorable Mention: Calgary One “Elias Lindholm, Johnny Gaudreau, Matthew Tkachuk”

Tonight’s matchup for the Flames in Vancouver is not optimal with Thatcher Demko set up to man the opposing net and the low 5.5 total as of the time of writing reflects. However, this line has been nothing short of fire with a league-high “by a wide margin” 200 SATF over their last ten games “as well as the league’s best SATF for any line over this entire season”. Right now, it is Elias Lindholm with the hottest hand of the bunch with goals in a whopping eight straight games over Calgary’s ten-game win streak. The Flames’ second line is certainly a viable option as well as their 11 goals over their last ten games ties the top line and the Panthers’ third line mentioned above, for the second-best in the NHL within this timeframe. These are more contrarian picks but can certainly pay off if the earlier games bust.

2/24 NHL Game Odds and Totals

Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

Washington Capitals (+105) at New York Rangers (-125) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Columbus Blue Jackets (+285) at Florida Panthers (-370) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Minnesota Wild (+135) at Toronto Maple Leafs (-155) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

New Jersey Devils (+260) at Pittsburgh Penguins (-330) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Dallas Stars (+130) at Nashville Predators (-150) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Calgary Flames (-170) at Vancouver Canucks (+150) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Boston Bruins (-230) at Seattle Kraken (+185) – 6 Projected Goal Total

New York Islanders (-120) at San Jose Sharks (+100) 5.5 Projected Goal Total

2/24 NHL DraftKings Individual Rankings

Centers

  1. Auston Matthews – Toronto – $9,300
  2. Aleksander Barkov – Florida – $8,100
  3. Sidney Crosby – Pittsburgh – $7,500
  4. Elias Lindholm – Calgary – $6,900
  5. Sam Bennett – Florida – $5,200

Wingers

  1. Sam Reinhart – Florida – $5,000
  2. David Pastrnak – Boston – $8,400
  3. Jonathan Huberdeau – Florida – $7,200
  4. Filip Forsberg – Nashville – $6,500
  5. Patrik Laine – Columbus – $6,200

Defense

  1. Aaron Ekblad – Florida – $6,800
  2. Brandon Montour – Florida – $2,800
  3. Roman Josi – Nashville – $7,500
  4. Alexandre Carrier – Nashville – $3,500
  5. Zach Werenski – Columbus – $6,900

Goalies

  1. Ilya Sorokin – New York Islanders – $7,300
  2. Jacob Markstrom – Calgary – $8,200

Cash Considerations

Auston Matthews, Sam Reinhart, Sam Bennett, David Pastrnak, Brandon Montour, Ilya Sorokin

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

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NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 02/24

We are back for a seven-game slate chock full of NBA action and there are some really strong games to pick from tonight! For the purposes of this article, we’re treating it as though every player that was involved in the All-Star Break will be fully active tonight unless we get news otherwise. Plenty of teams don’t have the luxury of sitting players so let’s dive into the NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 02/24 and carve paths to green! 

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Grizzlies at Wolves

Grizzlies – I have zero concern with Ja Morant coming out of the break since he played 38 minutes prior to the ASB and participated in the activities for the weekend. This game has the highest total on the board by a lot at 239 and the spread is under three points as of Wednesday afternoon and Dillon Brooks remains out for the Grizzlies. With Brooks off the floor this season, Morant has 1.42 points per minute with a 34.2% usage art and 34.1% assist rate to back that up. Both teams are in the top eight in pace this season as well so this is a game we need some exposure to all the way around. 

Now, we have some guards that are going to be popular in a later game so Morant could be a little more tricky to fit. If that’s the case in your build, Desmond Bane, Steven Adams, and Jaren Jackson Jr. are always on the board for GPP options. Minnesota is allowing the fifth-highest frequency of 3-point shots allowed (42.8%) and that is always interesting for Bane. He’s shooting just a hair under 42% from deep this year and is at 1.03 points per minute himself. JJJ is capable of monster games with 1.13 FPPM and has the second-highest usage rate at 26.4% and they will need his size with the Wolves lineup on the other side. The same can be said for Adams and Minnesota is bottom 12 in points and rebounds allowed in the paint, directly in the wheelhouse for Adams. 

Wolves – The conundrum of who to play from Minnesota continues as the trio of Karl-Anthony Towns, Anthony Edwards, and D’Angelo Russell all are affordable but all three are volatile. The usage is all similar but KAT does have an advantage in FPPM at 1.34 to 1.14 for D’Lo and 1.09 for Edwards. Having said that, Edwards could have the highest ceiling because he is leading the trio in attempts at 953 while KAT is at 867. That’s a big time gap and D’Lo has the assists and ball distribution behind him with a 32.3% assist rate. 

The biggest issue with D’Lo is you can be at the mercy of the 3-point shot because 385 of his 714 attempts have been behind the arc and that can come and go for a player that’s shooting 35.1% from that range. With Ant being the cheapest, he would be my choice but I’m not exactly forcing one of these guys into the lineup, and choosing the wrong player is pretty easy to do. You could roll with Patrick Beverly who is a one point per minute, but Memphis is first in rebounding and Beverly might have a harder time getting the periphery stats he needs to pay off. 

Hawks at Bulls 

Hawks – We’re still unsure of the status of John Collins leading into this game, but Trae Young should not be under $10,000. It appears that DK read the box score of 38 DK points in the last game but he played just 25 minutes as the Hawks killed the Magic. Chicago has fallen to 20th in defensive rating on the season and they are still without Lonzo Ball and

Alex Caruso, a big boost for Young. If Collins remains off the floor, Clint Capela could be chalky for the third straight slate. He has played at least 31 minutes in two of the past three games before the break and they would need him to counter Nikola Vucevic for the Bulls. He’s still too cheap for his potential and Chicago is 27th in points per game allowed in the paint. However, the main player that is underpriced might just be Bogdan Bogdanovic as he’s rattled off four straight games of 31 DK points or more and is still under $5,500. Let’s see what happens with Collins but no matter what, Young and Bogdanovic are primary targets. 

Bulls – Running back any Hawks options with a Bulls player is a little tough to get behind with the salary involved with the exception of one player. Vuc and DeMar DeRozan are really pricey (especially DDR) but Zach LaVine could hold the key to the runback. I would expect him to play full minutes as he played 11 at the ASG. A player who has any issues with the knee wouldn’t play any minutes and if he comes into this game still nursing any injury, Bulls fans should be really ticked. He’s not on the injury report at all, he’s under $9,000, and he has a 29.5% usage rate and 1.18 FPPM without the players they are missing. With the Hawks sitting 27th in defensive rating, this is a prime spot for a bounce-back game for LaVine. Provided he plays, everyone else is a little too much for my blood. 

Suns at Thunder 

Suns – It appeared that Cam Payne was going to be the chalk of the slate but he was surprisingly ruled out on Wednesday, so the spotlight turns to Elf Payton. He likely (Aaron Holiday could start I suppose) starts this game and without Payne and Chris Paul on the floor, Payton has 1.01 FPPM on just a 48% true shooting rate. At $3,400, he should play toward 30 minutes and it’s extremely hard to turn away from that salary. Additionally, Devin Booker under $9,000 is hard to pass as he sports a 34.1% usage and 1.30 FPPM. It doesn’t hurt that the Thunder are without Lu Dort either and it’s not that he’s the best defender ever, but he can be a pain to primary scoring options. It just makes the path that much easier. The big question with the Suns is can I play three together (Elf and Booker work perfectly well) because Deandre Ayton is under $7,000. His situation is interesting because he does lose his pick-and-roll distributor in CP3 but the Thunder are 17th in points and 30th in rebounds allowed in the paint. Elf does have a 38.5% frequency as the ball-handler in the pick-and-roll so he can do it, but there’s zero debate that it’s not the same quality of play. I lean toward playing Payton with just one of Booker or Ayton tonight with the number of strong spots there are on the board. 

Thunder – Tonight sees Shai Gilgeous-Alexander make his return to the lineup after not playing since the 28th of January but I’m not sure I have to have anyone from the Thunder tonight. Getting SGA at $8,900 is fair but he hasn’t played in a month and I could see some rust being there. He needs his shot to be working to pay off this salary but it also hurts the upside of Josh Giddey. He started to scratch the surface on just how much of a fantasy monster he could be ahead of the ASB with three straight triple-double but the salary reflects that and he’s not the focal point any longer. With Dort, Kenrich Williams, and Ty Jerome missing tonight, Aleksej Pokusevski could still get some serious run in this rotation. The minutes can be hard to predict for him but when he’s played 30 minutes, he’s paid off this price tag. He does a little bit of everything and has .90 FPPM with a pathetic 37.1% true shooting rate with that trio out. Poku is still very affordable and could go totally overlooked. 

Honorable Mention 

Nuggets at Kings 

Warriors at Blazers (this game could go very small since Jusuf Nurkic is out with an injury)

Teams To Monitor 

Cavaliers – Both Caris LeVert and Darius Garland are out tonight (Garland playing at all in the ASG looks bad right now) and that could lead to a player like Brian Goodwin or Rajon Rondo being very popular. With super-cheap guards in play, Nikola Jokić against the Kings could be very popular and needed in cash games tonight but we’ll see how the day evolves. 

Nets – They are still without their three main guys tonight so Seth Curry, Cam Thomas, Patty Mills, and Andre Drummond are in play to varying degrees. Drum continues to taunt me as he hasn’t gotten solid minutes yet but Robert Williams is on track to play for Boston. They need the size to help with him but I wouldn’t go overboard here as the Celtics are 0.3 points away from leading the league in defensive rating. We have other much cheaper avenues for value so possibly just one Net is the answer. 

Bet Of The Night 

In addition to liking Zach LaVine for DFS, I’m targeting his assist prop on DK tonight. They have him listed at Over 4.5 Assists for -105 and LaVine already averages 4.5 assists per game overall. When Ball and Caruso are off the floor, his assist rate is 21.1% to go along with that usage rate of nearly 30%. Since we talked about the Hawks sitting 27th in defensive rating, LaVine will have plenty of chances to dish the rock tonight. 

You can find us on Twitter @DFS_Ghost and @Bucn4life

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We’re back with another Wednesday Night Win Daily NHL Article! We’ve been on an excellent run as of late here at WinDaily. Let’s make some more money tonight! On tonight’s slate, we have a small 5-gamer! Keep an eye on any COVID-19 news since it can change the whole outlook of the slate! With that said, let’s get ready for the newest edition of WinDaily’s Between the Benches! For tonight’s 2/23 NHL slate, the slate begins at 7:30 pm ET. Don’t forget to lock your lines and check the discord for any updates! Let’s get into it!

2/23 NHL Stack Report

1. Colorado Avalanche 1
Rantanen – MacKinnon – Landeskog (FanDuel: $27,700 | DraftKings: $21,900)
On this slate, there are three top teams that are in play tonight, Tampa, Edmonton and Colorado. Of the three, Colorado has been the most consistent and is facing the worse defensive team in the three, mainly because Tampa and Edmonton are actually going up against each other. The Avalanche currently sit in first place in the NHL and have three players in the top 20 in points. MacKinnon would be there but he spent a good chunk of the season injured which allowed Kadri to benefit off his absence point-wise. With MacKinnon back, this line is now at full strength and is as dangerous as ever. Especially, against a Detroit side who coughs up an average of 3.43 goals per game and 32.8 shots against per game. Those are dangerous numbers against the second highest scoring offence in the league. (only behind the Florida Panthers who don’t play tonight) It is hard to stack this trio on FanDuel so I would recommend going with your favourite forward and pairing him alongside their ideal defensive partner (Cale Makar) so you can still stack this top line, this is much less of an issue on Draft Kings. Either way, I would strongly recommend having some exposure to Colorado’s top line in your builds tonight.
Ideal Defensive Partner(s): Cale Makar (FD: $7,000 | DK: $6,600)

2. Los Angeles Kings 1
Iafallo-Kopitar-Kempe (FanDuel: $18,200 | DraftKings: $16,800)
The Kings are an insanely good play tonight. Not only has their top line been performing excellently as of late but they are up against the Yotes who have objectively one of the worst defenses in the NHL, sitting at or near the bottom of most defensive stat categories. On top of that they’re very reasonably priced and all see a lot of ice time, including time together on the Kings top power play unit. Despite the game being in Arizona, the Kings top line should have no trouble cracking into the Yotes at home as Arizona has gone 1-5-0 over their last 6 home games.
Ideal Defensive Partner(s): Drew Doughty (FD: $6,900 | DK: $6,300)

Honorable Mentions in order: EDM1 (Hyman-McDavid-Yamamoto), DAL1 (Robertson-Hintz-Pavelski), TBL1 (Kucherov-Point-Palat)

2/23 NHL Goalie Tracker

Best (Goalies to Roster)

  1. Darcy Kuemper (FD: $8,600 | DK: $8,500)
  2. Jonathan Quick (FD: $8,200 | DK: $8,300)
    Honorable Mention(s): Sam Montembault

Worst (Goalies to Target)

  1. Craig Anderson (FD: $7,000 | DK: $7,800)
    Honorable Mention(s): Alex Nedeljkovic

2/23 NHL Wild Card Targets

Cole Caufield (FD: $4,700 | DK: $3,700) 
Although I am not on Montreal as a team tonight, there is something to be said about Cole Caufield. He’s a young winger with a clear chip on his shoulder and as of late he has been producing at a very high level with three goals and three assists over his last three games. (Three games in which he helped Montreal win) It’s by no means a sustainable pace but it is indicative of the fact that he is gaining some trust back in this lineup and is seeing around 20 minutes of ice time per game… that always helps. Although Anderson works as a GPP goalie, he has by no means has a good season and Caufield will definitely have opportunities to score tonight. He pairs well alongside winger Josh Anderson but can also pair alongside Centre Nick Suzuki.
Honorable Mention(s): Victor Arvidsson-Philip Danault, Robbie Fabbri, Phil Kessel, Tage Thompson

Core Four: (ALWAYS BE STACKIN’)

Centre Nathan MacKinnon

Winger Adrian Kempe

Defence Drew Doughty

Goalie Darcy Kuemper

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Main Slate Putting up Points

Main Slate Rapidfire 2/2

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Hello everybody, and welcome back to ‘Tee 2 Green,’ a new article that I will be producing for Win Daily Sports weekly to give some extra insight into the DFS world of golf. My focus will be to discuss, decipher and dissect some of my preferred targets throughout the various price ranges, and I will always provide my opinion with a data-intensive outlook that you can see first-hand if you use the weekly model that I provide free of charge. You can find that here.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Daniel Berger ($10,400) –This week, there is a fine line between trying to get contrarian and still taking the choices you want. I feel like DraftKings did an excellent job pricing all the golfers, and ownership continues to flock to the same areas for users. And we some of those points come to fruition when we dive into my upside model, which places every $10,000 golfer inside the top-six for the Honda Classic. There is no point in me taking a bold stance against anyone near the top. I believe you could go any route and still put together a perfectly acceptable build, but I am going to try and jump the gun on Daniel Berger and hope that his back is healthy and ready to fire at PGA National.

Other Consideration – I am not going to talk anyone out of whoever they like for the week.

$9,000 Range

Billy Horschel ($9,600) – Unfortunately, YOUUUUUUU (yes, you reading this article right now) changed some of my plans during the PGA DraftCast show that we did with Jason Sobel when you guys decided to take both of my favorite targets in this $9,000 range. From a roster construction standpoint, I am proud of the group because the selections are sharp, but it did cause a massive deviation to take place for me that I was hoping to avoid. Horschel is the number one golfer in this field at short Par 70 tracks and also grades fourth for me from a safety perspective.

Shane Lowry ($9,400) – Shane Lowry ranks 11th in my recalculated tee-to-green metric to mimic PGA National and is also fourth in strokes gained approach over his past 24 rounds. Maybe you can try to pick a bone about his bunker play historically, but I do believe the Irishman is one of the safer targets on the slate.

Other Targets: Alex Noren ($9,300), Tommy Fleetwood ($9,900) – I would rather get up to Daniel Berger or down to Billy Horschel and Shane Lowry, but I wouldn’t be excluding the two in MME builds.

$8,000 Range

Brian Harman ($8,700) – Sharp money has been pouring in all week on Brian Harman, and it is easy to understand why when you look at his profile. Harman ranks inside the top-20 on fast Bermuda, difficult courses, wind, bogey avoidance and sand save percentage, and I thought was the top target on the board that went undrafted.

Jhonattan Vegas ($8,500) – There are some issues Jhonattan Vegas possesses both ATG and out of bunkers, but I love the ball-striking upside. Vegas has averaged 4.08 strokes tee-to-green over his past 13 starts. I took him first overall in the draft because of the safety that I believe he provides, but I also have an outright ticket on him because the ball-striking can shine at PGA National.

Aaron Wise ($8,400) – I’d be lying if I said I didn’t have my reservations, but Aaron Wise has been a coastal specialist throughout his career, and the improvement with his flat stick might be enough for him to reach the next level at PGA National. I am going to take the positives that Wise gained 2.8 shots ball-striking at the Genesis and hope he can continue that improved form at a venue he has averaged 5.46 shots tee-to-green in his career.

Other Thoughts: Gary Woodland ($8,200), Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($8,000) – I will consider Woodland/ Bezuidenhout and include both into my player pool.

$7,000 Range

I am going to rapid-fire through some $7,000 golfers to present a handful of choices for everyone reading.

Ryan Palmer ($7,900) – The takeaway from everyone will be that Ryan Palmer has put more balls in the water during the ‘Bear Trap’ than any other golfer, but two top-17 finishes in his past two trips makes this more than a doom-and-gloom situation.

C.T. Pan ($7,700) – I don’t think I have ever backed C.T. Pan before in any market, but he was one of my most prominent climbers when I condensed the data down to certain areas. Top-15 in weighted tee-to-green. A third-place finish at this venue in 2021 and a top-10 in his last start at the Genesis.

Rickie Fowler ($7,600) -There is a ton of volatility around Rickie Fowler, but the good portions of his portfolio make him worth a shot in GPP contests. Fowler has come inside the top-two at PGA National twice since 2017, and he ranks third in my reweighted tee-to-green data.

Chris Kirk ($7,500) – I love where Chris Kirk’s game has been trending over the past few starts. The American has gained tee-to-green in his last eight, and he has also averaged +1.04 around the green and +1.56 off the tee. Kirk is a positive putter on Bermuda and always excels on these bogey avoidance-type tracks. The 36-year-old is second in my recalculated tee-to-green category that is specific for PGA National, and he is one of only five players to grade inside the top-33 in all categories I looked at for the week — Daniel Berger, Brooks Koepka, Brian Harman and Sungjae Im are the other four.

Michael Thompson ($7,500) – Three top-24 finishes at this course for Michael Thompson in his last four attempts. The recent form provides some trepidation, but Thompson is a golfer that outperforms his price tag quite often.

Sepp Straka ($7,400) – The weighted proximity numbers are great, and the course history has been solid with back-to-back top-33 finishes.

Additional Thoughts: K.H. Lee ($7,700), Brendon Todd ($7,500), Lucas Glover ($7,400), Sam Ryder ($7,200), Stewart Cink ($7,100)

$6,000 Range

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: Mark Hubbard ($6,900), Ryan Armour ($6,600), Satoshi Kodaira ($6,600), Luke Donald ($6,400).

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Welcome, everyone! We’re back with a brand new Sunday Night Win Daily NHL Article! After no article last Sunday we’re back with a nice 5-gamer. So, let’s keep up the momentum and let’s get some takedowns tonight! Get ready for the newest edition of WinDaily’s Between the Benches! For tonight’s 2/20 NHL slate, as mentioned, we have a smaller five gamer and the slate begins at 5:00 pm ET (1:00 pm ET on DK). Don’t forget to lock your lines and check the discord for any updates! Let’s get right into it!

2/20 NHL Stack Report

1. Dallas Stars 1
Robertson – Hintz – Pavelski (FanDuel: $23,000 | DraftKings: $21,600)
Hard to ignore the Dallas Stars tonight as they are going up against one of the worst teams in the league in the Arizona Coyotes. After a 1-0 shootout win in their last game, this Stars line will be hungry and ready to capitalize in their stellar matchup tonight. Outside of their last game, Dallas’ top line has consistently been solid and throughout the season we’ve seen strong performances from each member of this top line. Unsurprisingly, they’re coming into tonight with the second-highest implied total of the slate and they are a very viable option for your fantasy lines tonight. Dallas’ second line can also work as a value play but I expect the top line to see the majority of the action tonight.
Ideal Defensive Partner(s): Miro Heiskanen (Ryan Suter works as a salary saver) (FD: $5,000 | DK: $4,500)

2. Edmonton Oilers 1
Hyman – McDavid – Yamamoto (FanDuel: $19,900 | DraftKings: $16,000)
This game has a line set at 6.5 for good reason. Both teams are very offensively gifted and leave something to be desired on the defensive end of the ice. Usually, that would be a good combo for a team like Minnesota, however, against the likes of McDavid and Draisaitl, being weak defensively is playing with fire. Not to mention, the Oilers are coming into this one hot after winning their last five, while the Wild have dropped their last two. McDavid alone is on a six-game point streak where he has posted 3 goals and 8 assists for 11 points over those six games. If you look over his last five, he’s a two-point per game player. Just an insane pace, even for McDavid. Minnesota’s main defensive concern is the amount of shots they allow per game which is North of 32 and as we know, when you give McDavid the opportunity he will usually rise to the occasion. His linemates are optimal as they are not too expensive but get a huge boost in value playing alongside McDavid. Edmonton’s second line is also playable but I prefer the top line.
Ideal Defensive Partner(s): Darnell Nurse (FD: $6,000 | DK: $6,100)

Honorable Mention(s): MIN1 (Zuccarello-Hartman-Kaprizov), CBJ1 (Laine-Jenner-Voracek), BUF1 (Skinner-Thompson-Tuch), DAL2 (Benn-Seguin-Gurianov)

2/20 NHL Goalie Tracker

Best (Goalies to Roster)

  1. Jake Oettinger (FD: $8,200 | DK: $8,400)
  2. Igor Shesterkin (FD: $8,400 | DK: $8,200)
    Honorable Mention(s): Craig Anderson

Worst (Goalies to Target)

  1. Karel Vejmelka (FD: $6,700 | DK: $7,000)
    Honorable Mention(s): Filip Gustavsson

2/20 NHL Wild Card Targets

Jack Eichel (FD: $5,500 | DK: $7,000) 
– I’m recommending Eichel for the same reason I recommended him the last time, he is way too cheap at his current price and we need to take advantage of that while he’s still available. Eichel just recorded his first point as a Golden Knight in his last game with a slick feed to Pacioretty. Eichel will still be seeing time on the Knights’ top power-play unit and will gear up alongside Patches for the majority of the game. Although his first two games have been a little slow, it’s only a matter of time before a bonafide talent like Eichel breaks a slate and at his current price, it’s definitely worth giving him a go.
Honorable Mention(s): Jeff Skinner, Matt Boldy, Joel Eriksson Ek, Tim Stuezle, Rudolfs Balcers

Core Four: (ALWAYS BE STACKIN’)

Center Jack Eichel

Winger Jason Robertson

Defenseman – Zach Werenski

Goalie Jake Oettinger

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Honorable Mention(s): Rapidfire 2/2

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This article focuses on 2/19 EPL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format. The goal is to gain an edge on the field at large.

Saturday 2/19 EPL Slate and DFS Gameplan

Welcome back as we return for Matchweek Twenty-Four/Thirty-Eight of the EPL season.

This is the biggest EPL slate I have seen in a while and rather than prioritize set pieces and play cash games, I’d recommend more of a tournament focus.

Match Odds

Brentford (+700) at Arsenal (-235)

Watford (+475) at Aston Villa (-165)

Burnley (+450) at Brighton (-150)

Chelsea (-155) at Crystal Palace (+450)

Norwich (+2500) at Liverpool (-800)

Everton (+255) at Southampton (+110)

Tottenham (+1000) at Manchester City (-360)LATE GAME “FanDuel Only”

2/19 EPL FanDuel Rankings “Set pieces less important on FanDuel”

Forward/Midfield

  1. Mohammed Salah – Liverpool – $21
  2. Bukayo Saka – Arsenal – $17
  3. Phil Foden – Manchester City – $18 “Split Set Pieces”
  4. Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $20 “Split Set Pieces”
  5. Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $19
  6. Sadio Mane – Liverpool – $18
  7. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $19
  8. Hakim Ziyech – Chelsea – $17
  9. Romelu Lukaku – Chelsea – $17
  10. Phillippe Coutinho – Aston Villa – $20

Defense

  1. Trent Alexander-Arnold – Liverpool – $15 “Set Pieces”
  2. Andy Robertson – Liverpool – $14
  3. Cedric Soares – Arsenal – $8
  4. Oliver Zinchenko – Manchester City – $9
  5. Lucas Digne – Aston Villa – $13 “Set Pieces”

Goalies

  1. Alisson – Liverpool – $15
  2. Emiliano Martinez – Aston Villa – $12

EPL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

  1. Mohammed Salah – Liverpool – $10,200
  2. Bukayo Saka – Arsenal – $9,900
  3. Sadio Mane – Liverpool – $8,400
  4. Romelu Lukaku – Chelsea – $7,000
  5. Dominic Calvert-Lewin – Everton – $6,300
  6. Phil Coutinho – Aston Villa – $8,900
  7. Alexandre Lacazette – Arsenal – $8,200
  8. Roberto Firmino – Liverpool – $7,100
  9. Ollie Watkins – Aston Villa – $6,500
  10. Kai Havertz – Chelsea – $6,700

Midfield

  1. Mohammed Salah – Liverpool – $10,200
  2. Bukayo Saka – Arsenal – $9,900
  3. Sadio Mane – Liverpool – $8,400
  4. Phil Coutinho – Aston Villa – $8,900
  5. Martin Odegaard – Arsenal – $7,500
  6. Roberto Firmino – Liverpool – $7,100
  7. Ollie Watkins – Aston Villa – $6,500
  8. Kai Havertz – Chelsea – $6,700
  9. Emile Smith Rowe – Arsenal – $8,200
  10. Hakim Ziyech – Chelsea – $9,500

Defense

  1. Trent Alexander-Arnold – Liverpool – $9,200 “Set Pieces”
  2. Andrew Robertson – Liverpool – $7,700
  3. Lucas Digne – Aston Villa – $6,200 “Set Pieces”
  4. Marcos Alonso – Chelsea – $7,500 “Set Pieces”
  5. Kieran Tierney – Arsenal – $5,900

Goalies

  1. Alisson – Liverpool – $5,900
  2. Robert Sanchez – Brighton – $5,300

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-soccer/

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