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NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/6

We have another five-game slate tonight and this one has some very average game environments. There isn’t a Charlotte/San Antonio game tonight but there is one diamond in the rough that most of the field will flock to this evening. Let’s go over that game and then other spots to exploit in the NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/6!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Grizzlies at Rockets

Grizzlies – Memphis played last night but is fighting for the highest seed they can get in the playoffs so I wouldn’t suspect them to sit anyone for rest. It’s a mismatch on paper but Ja Morant is at the head of the group tonight and he’s still sitting at 1.43 FPPM with a 34.7% usage rate on the season. Where he really could stand out tonight is he’s still leading the league in points scored from driving to the basket and Houston is dead last in points allowed in the paint, just as defensive rating. The price makes me a little uncomfortable but Steven Adams could flirt with 40 DK points if he got the minutes. This would check the box as a double-double spot but there is risk with him being over $6,000. The secondary targets as always are Desmond Bane and Jaren Jackson Jr. and the Rockets re in the bottom 10 in 3-point frequency and field goal percentage allowed. Lastly, Brandon Clarke could be a strong value option if Adams can’t keep up with the pace here since both teams are in the top eight in pace this season. Clarke is sitting at 1.13 FPPM and if he flirts with 24 minutes, he could be in business at $4,300.

Rockets – Normally Christian Wood is the main target bt there are other players. Wood is fine at $8,000 but if Dennis Schroder can’t go again, Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green are more interesting. Green especially has been playing better as of late and when players are so young, sometimes it can take time to click in the NBA. He’s shooting better in his last five games especially at 47.1% compared to 39.8% for the season so there is a risk to playing him. Still, with the pace in this game the opportunity is certainly going to be there. Wood has a tougher spot on paper as Memphis is the best team in rebounding overall (by three rebounds per game at that) and they are 12th in points allowed in the paint as well. Alperen Sengun is always worth some exposure to in GPP as well since he can exceed 30 DK points in just 20-22 minutes. He can also land under 15 so the range of outcomes is wide for him.

Teams To Monitor

Jazz – With Mike Conley already being ruled out, Donovan Mitchell sees his usage and FPPM rise and is a prime target in his range. Outside of the $10,000 Ange, Mitchell may well be my favorite of the slate against the show-handed Thunder. I’ll be interested to see if Jordan Clarkson slides into the starting lineup because this used to be a Joe Ingles spot, but he’s now in Portland.

Thunder – They are still in the same situation they have been all week so Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Tre Mann, and Alexsej Pokusevski are all still ver viable options. Isaiah Roby has been a monster during the week but facing Rudy Gobert is not ideal and the $5,400 salary could backfire.

Raptors – The status of Fred VanVleet and Malachi Flynn will dictate how interested we are in the Raptors. The Cleveland defense is tough (fourth in defensive rating) but if they’re short once again, Scottie Barnes, Pascal Saikam, and Gary Trent would all be looking at 40 minutes.

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/6

We have another five-game slate tonight and this one has some very average game environments. There isn’t a Charlotte/San Antonio game tonight but there is one diamond in the rough that most of the field will flock to this evening. Let’s go over that game and then other spots to exploit in the NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/6!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Grizzlies at Rockets

Grizzlies – Memphis played last night but is fighting for the highest seed they can get in the playoffs so I wouldn’t suspect them to sit anyone for rest. It’s a mismatch on paper but Ja Morant is at the head of the group tonight and he’s still sitting at 1.43 FPPM with a 34.7% usage rate on the season. Where he really could stand out tonight is he’s still leading the league in points scored from driving to the basket and Houston is dead last in points allowed in the paint, just as defensive rating. The price makes me a little uncomfortable but Steven Adams could flirt with 40 DK points if he got the minutes. This would check the box as a double-double spot but there is risk with him being over $6,000. The secondary targets as always are Desmond Bane and Jaren Jackson Jr. and the Rockets re in the bottom 10 in 3-point frequency and field goal percentage allowed. Lastly, Brandon Clarke could be a strong value option if Adams can’t keep up with the pace here since both teams are in the top eight in pace this season. Clarke is sitting at 1.13 FPPM and if he flirts with 24 minutes, he could be in business at $4,300.

Rockets – Normally Christian Wood is the main target bt there are other players. Wood is fine at $8,000 but if Dennis Schroder can’t go again, Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green are more interesting. Green especially has been playing better as of late and when players are so young, sometimes it can take time to click in the NBA. He’s shooting better in his last five games especially at 47.1% compared to 39.8% for the season so there is a risk to playing him. Still, with the pace in this game the opportunity is certainly going to be there. Wood has a tougher spot on paper as Memphis is the best team in rebounding overall (by three rebounds per game at that) and they are 12th in points allowed in the paint as well. Alperen Sengun is always worth some exposure to in GPP as well since he can exceed 30 DK points in just 20-22 minutes. He can also land under 15 so the range of outcomes is wide for him.

Teams To Monitor

Jazz – With Mike Conley already being ruled out, Donovan Mitchell sees his usage and FPPM rise and is a prime target in his range. Outside of the $10,000 Ange, Mitchell may well be my favorite of the slate against the show-handed Thunder. I’ll be interested to see if Jordan Clarkson slides into the starting lineup because this used to be a Joe Ingles spot, but he’s now in Portland.

Thunder – They are still in the same situation they have been all week so Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Tre Mann, and Alexsej Pokusevski are all still ver viable options. Isaiah Roby has been a monster during the week but facing Rudy Gobert is not ideal and the $5,400 salary could backfire.

Raptors – The status of Fred VanVleet and Malachi Flynn will dictate how interested we are in the Raptors. The Cleveland defense is tough (fourth in defensive rating) but if they’re short once again, Scottie Barnes, Pascal Saikam, and Gary Trent would all be looking at 40 minutes.

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/6

We have another five-game slate tonight and this one has some very average game environments. There isn’t a Charlotte/San Antonio game tonight but there is one diamond in the rough that most of the field will flock to this evening. Let’s go over that game and then other spots to exploit in the NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/6!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Grizzlies at Rockets

Grizzlies – Memphis played last night but is fighting for the highest seed they can get in the playoffs so I wouldn’t suspect them to sit anyone for rest. It’s a mismatch on paper but Ja Morant is at the head of the group tonight and he’s still sitting at 1.43 FPPM with a 34.7% usage rate on the season. Where he really could stand out tonight is he’s still leading the league in points scored from driving to the basket and Houston is dead last in points allowed in the paint, just as defensive rating. The price makes me a little uncomfortable but Steven Adams could flirt with 40 DK points if he got the minutes. This would check the box as a double-double spot but there is risk with him being over $6,000. The secondary targets as always are Desmond Bane and Jaren Jackson Jr. and the Rockets re in the bottom 10 in 3-point frequency and field goal percentage allowed. Lastly, Brandon Clarke could be a strong value option if Adams can’t keep up with the pace here since both teams are in the top eight in pace this season. Clarke is sitting at 1.13 FPPM and if he flirts with 24 minutes, he could be in business at $4,300.

Rockets – Normally Christian Wood is the main target bt there are other players. Wood is fine at $8,000 but if Dennis Schroder can’t go again, Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green are more interesting. Green especially has been playing better as of late and when players are so young, sometimes it can take time to click in the NBA. He’s shooting better in his last five games especially at 47.1% compared to 39.8% for the season so there is a risk to playing him. Still, with the pace in this game the opportunity is certainly going to be there. Wood has a tougher spot on paper as Memphis is the best team in rebounding overall (by three rebounds per game at that) and they are 12th in points allowed in the paint as well. Alperen Sengun is always worth some exposure to in GPP as well since he can exceed 30 DK points in just 20-22 minutes. He can also land under 15 so the range of outcomes is wide for him.

Teams To Monitor

Jazz – With Mike Conley already being ruled out, Donovan Mitchell sees his usage and FPPM rise and is a prime target in his range. Outside of the $10,000 Ange, Mitchell may well be my favorite of the slate against the show-handed Thunder. I’ll be interested to see if Jordan Clarkson slides into the starting lineup because this used to be a Joe Ingles spot, but he’s now in Portland.

Thunder – They are still in the same situation they have been all week so Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Tre Mann, and Alexsej Pokusevski are all still ver viable options. Isaiah Roby has been a monster during the week but facing Rudy Gobert is not ideal and the $5,400 salary could backfire.

Raptors – The status of Fred VanVleet and Malachi Flynn will dictate how interested we are in the Raptors. The Cleveland defense is tough (fourth in defensive rating) but if they’re short once again, Scottie Barnes, Pascal Saikam, and Gary Trent would all be looking at 40 minutes.

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/5

We get a five game slate tonight and there are some very strong spots with the San Antonio Spurs facing the Charlotte Hornets leading the charge. There is also a late-night hammer that will draw plenty of attention so let’s get to work in the NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/5!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Spurs at Hornets

Spurs – I mean, how could we start with anything but this game? Sure, myself, Tony, and Ghost LOVE Dejounte Murray but this spot simply can’t get much better. Both of these teams are in the top four in pace and the bottom 10 in defensive rating. The Spurs are one of the teams that will run with the Hornets and Murray has a massive 1.53 FPPM when Derrick White is off the floor. The upside here is 70-75 DK with a triple-double and he should have had one in the last game. Murray only had seven assists but a whopping 21 potential assists in that game. This environment is really no different and the salary is totally justified. Speaking of salaries, what does Lonnie Walker have to do to get a jump here? It almost feels like a trap but he’s coming off 39.5 DK points and that is the sixth straight game he’s eclipsed 27 DK. Granted, his shot needs to be on to blow up but it is the Hornets. Walker’s usage without White is also encouraging at 29.1%, right next to Murray on the season. Jakob Poeltl and Keldon Johnson are also strong options, and the questionable players could change this team drastically ahead of lock.

Hornets – This side of the ball gets a bit trickier and even with Murray facing off defensively against him, LaMelo Ball has far more upside than a normal $8,500 player. I can confidently say that his downside is not going to be seven minutes played for 11.5 DK points again, but I don’t think I get a lot of credit for that call. He had a nightmare game and that happens with younger players but Ball still leads the Hornets with a 1.33 FPPM. I don’t mind Miles Bridges in this spot but he’s not a priority on the wing. Terry Rozier is another volatile option and that sums up the whole team. Rozier has games where he’s flirting with 50 DK points but it’s not easy to get it right and he is far from cheap at this juncture. Even in the last four weeks, his 1.10 FPPM is still behind Ball at 1.20 and the usage is still Ball’s at 28.3%. If you’re swinging for the fences, Montrezl Harrell should be on the radar as well since San Antonio is in the bottom 12 in both points and rebounds allowed in the paint.

Warriors at Lakers

Warriors – Both of these teams are really scuffling right now although at least the Warriors have good record to fall back on. I think myself or Ghost could knock down a shot against the Lakers right now (provided LeBron James is off the floor) and their defensive rating once the break is 118.6. Houston is 116.1 right now after a full season so to say the Lakers can’t defend anyone is not an exaggeration. I think Steph Curry s going to be out to make a statement after he didn’t attempt a shot in the fourth quarter of the last game as the Warriors lost to the Mavericks. Seeing as how someone like Reggie Jackson of the Clippers can score 39 real points on the Lakers, we don’t need to say much about Curry in this spot. Klay Thompson had his best game against these Lakers and is always capable of doing that again so if you can’t get to Curry, Klay works as well. He is slightly expensive for a shooter but if he gets hot he can shatter this salary. Andrew Wiggins is solid even though he’s never a favorite and Jordan Poole could take advantage of Gary Payton being out. Poole likely doesn’t start but scoring off the bench can be hard to come by for Golden State at times. Lastly, Kevon Looney is a strong option as a cheap center with 30 DK upside in this spot. Los Angeles is vulnerable to every position on the floor so I want at least one Warrior in every lineup.

Lakers – Quite simply, if your name isn’t LeBron James or Malik Monk… I’m not interested. LeBron is chasing the points record and Golden State has a weakness in the interior if Bron has a mind to get there. Monk is cheap and can hit from distance, being about the only Laker that can shoot. Past that, there is not much to like and this team looks dead in the water.

Teams To Monitor

Magic/Sixers/Wolves – These teams played last night so just be aware that someone could sit (I have a feeling Embiid is possible, but the matchup against the Heat does matter so I could be wrong).

Heat – This and one other team hold the keys to the slate in reality, at least as far as who we can afford. Last game saw them missing a ton of guys and players like Max Strus, Caleb Martin, and Gabe Vincent could be far too cheap for their situation. On the higher end, Tyler Herro would be the preferred target ahead of Bam Adebayo unless Joel Embiid sits for Philly. We’ll just have to see who is available for the Heat before venturing into who to play.

Blazers – Not to be outdone, Portland is a very important team because they have a ton of value options. Drew Eubanks, Trendon Watford, C.J. Elleby, and Greg Brown are all interesting under $5,000 with Josh Hart out. The Blazers are tanking hard so there is volatility in the minutes allotted outside of Anfernee Simons but we have the best model in the business from our main man Ghost. I’ll be relying on that to make my decisions on the Portland value.

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/5

We get a five game slate tonight and there are some very strong spots with the San Antonio Spurs facing the Charlotte Hornets leading the charge. There is also a late-night hammer that will draw plenty of attention so let’s get to work in the NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/5!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Spurs at Hornets

Spurs – I mean, how could we start with anything but this game? Sure, myself, Tony, and Ghost LOVE Dejounte Murray but this spot simply can’t get much better. Both of these teams are in the top four in pace and the bottom 10 in defensive rating. The Spurs are one of the teams that will run with the Hornets and Murray has a massive 1.53 FPPM when Derrick White is off the floor. The upside here is 70-75 DK with a triple-double and he should have had one in the last game. Murray only had seven assists but a whopping 21 potential assists in that game. This environment is really no different and the salary is totally justified. Speaking of salaries, what does Lonnie Walker have to do to get a jump here? It almost feels like a trap but he’s coming off 39.5 DK points and that is the sixth straight game he’s eclipsed 27 DK. Granted, his shot needs to be on to blow up but it is the Hornets. Walker’s usage without White is also encouraging at 29.1%, right next to Murray on the season. Jakob Poeltl and Keldon Johnson are also strong options, and the questionable players could change this team drastically ahead of lock.

Hornets – This side of the ball gets a bit trickier and even with Murray facing off defensively against him, LaMelo Ball has far more upside than a normal $8,500 player. I can confidently say that his downside is not going to be seven minutes played for 11.5 DK points again, but I don’t think I get a lot of credit for that call. He had a nightmare game and that happens with younger players but Ball still leads the Hornets with a 1.33 FPPM. I don’t mind Miles Bridges in this spot but he’s not a priority on the wing. Terry Rozier is another volatile option and that sums up the whole team. Rozier has games where he’s flirting with 50 DK points but it’s not easy to get it right and he is far from cheap at this juncture. Even in the last four weeks, his 1.10 FPPM is still behind Ball at 1.20 and the usage is still Ball’s at 28.3%. If you’re swinging for the fences, Montrezl Harrell should be on the radar as well since San Antonio is in the bottom 12 in both points and rebounds allowed in the paint.

Warriors at Lakers

Warriors – Both of these teams are really scuffling right now although at least the Warriors have good record to fall back on. I think myself or Ghost could knock down a shot against the Lakers right now (provided LeBron James is off the floor) and their defensive rating once the break is 118.6. Houston is 116.1 right now after a full season so to say the Lakers can’t defend anyone is not an exaggeration. I think Steph Curry s going to be out to make a statement after he didn’t attempt a shot in the fourth quarter of the last game as the Warriors lost to the Mavericks. Seeing as how someone like Reggie Jackson of the Clippers can score 39 real points on the Lakers, we don’t need to say much about Curry in this spot. Klay Thompson had his best game against these Lakers and is always capable of doing that again so if you can’t get to Curry, Klay works as well. He is slightly expensive for a shooter but if he gets hot he can shatter this salary. Andrew Wiggins is solid even though he’s never a favorite and Jordan Poole could take advantage of Gary Payton being out. Poole likely doesn’t start but scoring off the bench can be hard to come by for Golden State at times. Lastly, Kevon Looney is a strong option as a cheap center with 30 DK upside in this spot. Los Angeles is vulnerable to every position on the floor so I want at least one Warrior in every lineup.

Lakers – Quite simply, if your name isn’t LeBron James or Malik Monk… I’m not interested. LeBron is chasing the points record and Golden State has a weakness in the interior if Bron has a mind to get there. Monk is cheap and can hit from distance, being about the only Laker that can shoot. Past that, there is not much to like and this team looks dead in the water.

Teams To Monitor

Magic/Sixers/Wolves – These teams played last night so just be aware that someone could sit (I have a feeling Embiid is possible, but the matchup against the Heat does matter so I could be wrong).

Heat – This and one other team hold the keys to the slate in reality, at least as far as who we can afford. Last game saw them missing a ton of guys and players like Max Strus, Caleb Martin, and Gabe Vincent could be far too cheap for their situation. On the higher end, Tyler Herro would be the preferred target ahead of Bam Adebayo unless Joel Embiid sits for Philly. We’ll just have to see who is available for the Heat before venturing into who to play.

Blazers – Not to be outdone, Portland is a very important team because they have a ton of value options. Drew Eubanks, Trendon Watford, C.J. Elleby, and Greg Brown are all interesting under $5,000 with Josh Hart out. The Blazers are tanking hard so there is volatility in the minutes allotted outside of Anfernee Simons but we have the best model in the business from our main man Ghost. I’ll be relying on that to make my decisions on the Portland value.

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/5

We get a five game slate tonight and there are some very strong spots with the San Antonio Spurs facing the Charlotte Hornets leading the charge. There is also a late-night hammer that will draw plenty of attention so let’s get to work in the NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/5!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Spurs at Hornets

Spurs – I mean, how could we start with anything but this game? Sure, myself, Tony, and Ghost LOVE Dejounte Murray but this spot simply can’t get much better. Both of these teams are in the top four in pace and the bottom 10 in defensive rating. The Spurs are one of the teams that will run with the Hornets and Murray has a massive 1.53 FPPM when Derrick White is off the floor. The upside here is 70-75 DK with a triple-double and he should have had one in the last game. Murray only had seven assists but a whopping 21 potential assists in that game. This environment is really no different and the salary is totally justified. Speaking of salaries, what does Lonnie Walker have to do to get a jump here? It almost feels like a trap but he’s coming off 39.5 DK points and that is the sixth straight game he’s eclipsed 27 DK. Granted, his shot needs to be on to blow up but it is the Hornets. Walker’s usage without White is also encouraging at 29.1%, right next to Murray on the season. Jakob Poeltl and Keldon Johnson are also strong options, and the questionable players could change this team drastically ahead of lock.

Hornets – This side of the ball gets a bit trickier and even with Murray facing off defensively against him, LaMelo Ball has far more upside than a normal $8,500 player. I can confidently say that his downside is not going to be seven minutes played for 11.5 DK points again, but I don’t think I get a lot of credit for that call. He had a nightmare game and that happens with younger players but Ball still leads the Hornets with a 1.33 FPPM. I don’t mind Miles Bridges in this spot but he’s not a priority on the wing. Terry Rozier is another volatile option and that sums up the whole team. Rozier has games where he’s flirting with 50 DK points but it’s not easy to get it right and he is far from cheap at this juncture. Even in the last four weeks, his 1.10 FPPM is still behind Ball at 1.20 and the usage is still Ball’s at 28.3%. If you’re swinging for the fences, Montrezl Harrell should be on the radar as well since San Antonio is in the bottom 12 in both points and rebounds allowed in the paint.

Warriors at Lakers

Warriors – Both of these teams are really scuffling right now although at least the Warriors have good record to fall back on. I think myself or Ghost could knock down a shot against the Lakers right now (provided LeBron James is off the floor) and their defensive rating once the break is 118.6. Houston is 116.1 right now after a full season so to say the Lakers can’t defend anyone is not an exaggeration. I think Steph Curry s going to be out to make a statement after he didn’t attempt a shot in the fourth quarter of the last game as the Warriors lost to the Mavericks. Seeing as how someone like Reggie Jackson of the Clippers can score 39 real points on the Lakers, we don’t need to say much about Curry in this spot. Klay Thompson had his best game against these Lakers and is always capable of doing that again so if you can’t get to Curry, Klay works as well. He is slightly expensive for a shooter but if he gets hot he can shatter this salary. Andrew Wiggins is solid even though he’s never a favorite and Jordan Poole could take advantage of Gary Payton being out. Poole likely doesn’t start but scoring off the bench can be hard to come by for Golden State at times. Lastly, Kevon Looney is a strong option as a cheap center with 30 DK upside in this spot. Los Angeles is vulnerable to every position on the floor so I want at least one Warrior in every lineup.

Lakers – Quite simply, if your name isn’t LeBron James or Malik Monk… I’m not interested. LeBron is chasing the points record and Golden State has a weakness in the interior if Bron has a mind to get there. Monk is cheap and can hit from distance, being about the only Laker that can shoot. Past that, there is not much to like and this team looks dead in the water.

Teams To Monitor

Magic/Sixers/Wolves – These teams played last night so just be aware that someone could sit (I have a feeling Embiid is possible, but the matchup against the Heat does matter so I could be wrong).

Heat – This and one other team hold the keys to the slate in reality, at least as far as who we can afford. Last game saw them missing a ton of guys and players like Max Strus, Caleb Martin, and Gabe Vincent could be far too cheap for their situation. On the higher end, Tyler Herro would be the preferred target ahead of Bam Adebayo unless Joel Embiid sits for Philly. We’ll just have to see who is available for the Heat before venturing into who to play.

Blazers – Not to be outdone, Portland is a very important team because they have a ton of value options. Drew Eubanks, Trendon Watford, C.J. Elleby, and Greg Brown are all interesting under $5,000 with Josh Hart out. The Blazers are tanking hard so there is volatility in the minutes allotted outside of Anfernee Simons but we have the best model in the business from our main man Ghost. I’ll be relying on that to make my decisions on the Portland value.

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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Saturday 3/5 EPL

There is a six game slate on tap below and we have everything to get you prepared.

Match Odds

Brighton (+175) at Newcastle (+180)

Chelsea (-210) at Burnley (+700)

Southampton (+215) at Aston Villa (+135)

Brentford (+165) at Norwich City (+200)

Crystal Palace (+235) at Wolverhampton (+140)

West Ham (+950) at Liverpool (-340)LATE GAME “FanDuel Only”

3/5 EPL Top Plays

DraftKings Forward

Milot Rashica – Norwich $7,300 – In terms of a building block at the forward position, Rashica isn’t very sexy, but is the practical pick. His split on set pieces with Billy Gilmour gives us a floor and he is likely due for some positive regression in the scoring department given his role in open play. This home matchup against Brentford will be one of the easier for Norwich the rest of the way so an opportunity for a solid game for Rashica.

FanDuel Forward/Midfielders

Mohammed Salah – Liverpool – $22 – Not an option over DraftKing with the late game’s inclusion Salah should be heavy chalk. He is coming off of 60 and 49.3 FanDuel point games and Liverpool is far and away the largest favorite on the slate.

Alexis Mac Allister – Brighton – $12 – It’s been a disappointing past two games for Mac Allister but he still comes in here at a punt price that can enable you to stack up the other attack spots. Brighton’s pick ’em matchup with Newcastle is the perfect opportunity for him to bounce back.

DraftKings Midfielder

Mason Mount – Chelsea – $9,900 – Back in his old role dominating set pieces, Mount provides us with a solid combination of consistency and upside. Chelsea is the largest favorite on the DraftKings slate and even if they do not light up the scoreboard should control most of the ball here.

DraftKings Defender

Lucas Digne – Aston Villa $5,700 – He didn’t have his best game against Brighton but at $5,700 offers us a solid floor with his role on set pieces. Reece James should also be popular at $7,900. However, that is a huge price to pay for a defender, particularly considering he may only play 2/3 of the game progressing back from injury.

FanDuel Defender

Tariq Lamptey – Brighton – $8 – Much like for Mac Allister above, Lamptey’s last effort was certainly not his best as the entire Seagulls team had been stifled. However, this is a great price for his offensive upside as compared to most players

DraftKings Goalie

Angus Gunn – Norwich – $4,500 – Not directly related to either of the old Smoking Gunns of wrestling fame, he has taken a chokehold grasp of the job in net in Tim Krul’s absence. After a heroic seven save game “7/9” he should get the start here. The prior start Tim Krul returned midweek and started in FA Cup play. If Krul starts, I think you just go down further to Nick Pope.

FanDuel Goalie

Jose Sa – Wolves – $12 – This is a solid low total matchup for Sa to put up one of the exemplary performances we’ve seen him often put since arriving in England.

EPL Best Bet

Norwich City/Brentford – Under 2.5 – (-155) – DraftKings Sportsbook – This has hit in 5/7 of their last meetings and Norwich has the worst home scoring record. For the Canaries, they will hope their spirited defensive play keeps up as noted above indirectly in regards to Angus Gunn. The presence of Christian Eriksen should help the Bees’ offense. However, they have struggled mightily on the road this season. Most of the books put this around a -165 but we get a slight discount on DraftKings.

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-soccer/

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Friday 3/4 NHL Breakdown

Welcome back for another installment of the Friday Night Forecheck here at Win Daily Sports! March already?! This season is flying by, and we will soon be talking about the playoffs. Tonight’s slate is a bigger-than-normal-for-a-Friday slate, with seven games going. It also features an unusual number of teams playing on back to back nights (CAR, PIT, MIN, TBL, and VGK). With that many back-to-back scenarios, it makes the goaltending pretty dicey. Let’s dive into the plays. Good luck and be sure to keep up on news through the day and during warmups!

Goalies

John Gibson – Anaheim Ducks: There is no doubt that Gibson has been struggling recently, but he is still a very solid goalie. With the matchup against Vegas tonight, he should see plenty of shot volume. The good thing is that the Knights have only been scoring 2.2 goals per game over their last five road games. This is a good spot for Gibby to be himself and steal the Ducks a win.

Connor Hellebuyck – Winnipeg Jets: Helle, what have you been doing to us? He seems to show up in bad spots and blow up in good spots. Tonight is an interesting matchup against the visiting Dallas Stars. The Stars have been struggling on the road recently, so this spot looks good for Helle and the Jets.

Igor Shesterkin – New York Rangers: Igor and the Rangers host the Devils tonight, and admittedly, this play is a little bit riskier than we would hope. Igor’s numbers have been very good this year, and even recently, so this is a good chance for him to stifle the Devils who have been scoring quite a bit recently.

GPP Goalie Pick – Antti Raanta – Carolina Hurricanes: The Canes host the Penguins tonight in what should be a high event game. If Raanta does in fact get the nod, then he should be peppered with shots. Since the Pens played last night, and dominated, we are going to hope they are a little tired and maybe lose some steam here tonight. The shot volume should keep Antti relevant, we just need him to not give up 5.

Lines to Build Around

These lines are considered top plays for the night and can be considered the focal point of your builds. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).

New York Rangers Power Play – Mika Zibanejad/Ryan Strome/Chris Kreider/Artemi Panarin/Adam Fox: The Rangers, as mentioned above, are playing a Devils team that has been scoring recently, but they have also been giving up goals at a whopping 4.2 goals allowed over their last five games. The Devils also give up quite a bit of shots per game, and their goalie situation is not ideal. This is a very good spot for this power play unit that has proven to be lethal at times this season.

Tampa Bay Lightning 1 – Brayden Point/Nikita Kucherov/Ondrej Palat/Victor Hedman: The Lightning put up an absolute dud last night against the Penguins at home, and tonight have a chance to make up for it when they host the Red Wings. The main thing about this play is the goalie matchup. Nedeljkovic has the worst numbers on the slate over his last five starts, posting a whopping 4.89 GAA. This will likely be a chalky play, but their lack of production last night could (hopefully) pull some ownership off of them tonight.

Winnipeg Jets 2 – Pierre-Luc Dubois/Kyle Connor/Evgeny Svechnikov/Josh Morrissey: Keep an eye on the line combos here tonight, as it looks like Ehlers might be set to return. If he does, he very well could slot into this line to replace Svechnikov. Hopefully, this line stays intact, though, because they have a fantastic even strength matchup with Dallas 2 tonight. Don’t be afraid to play Svechnikov, because not many people play him, and he has been playing really well recently with this line.

High Risk Lines

These are plays that carry significantly more risk, but could pay off at low ownership. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).

Carolina Hurricanes 1 – Sebastian Aho/Andrei Svechnikov/Teuvo Teravainen/Jaccob Slavin: The matchup tonight for this line is a decent one, and they should definitely see their chances. The other good thing about this play is that they get to face Desmith, who is the worse of the goalies for the Penguins. This line has a chance to put multiple tallies on the board, and they are a borderline top play. The Penguins have been playing well recently, so this very well could be a tight game, which is the only reason they didn’t make it up there.

Buffalo Sabres 2 – Dylan Cozens/Casey Mittelstadt/Kyle Okposo: The numbers in the matchup for this line look very, very good tonight, and they will be up against Kaapo Kahkonen, who has been shaky of late. This line will be way under the radar, and should see a surprising number of chances tonight.

Los Angeles Kings 2 – Phillip Danault/Trevor Moore/Viktor Arvidsson/Drew Doughty: Lately, this line has seemed like a constantly good play, and they have a very nice matchup tonight against the Blue Jackets. They become high risk because Merzlikins actually has decent numbers recently, but it is very hard to trust him. This line could make a splash tonight.

Detroit Red Wings Power Play – Dylan Larkin/Lucas Raymond/Tyler Bertuzzi/Robby Fabbri/Moritz Seider: The Lightning gave up 5 goals to the Pens last night on home ice with Vasilevskiy in net. Now, the Red Wings are not the Penguins. However, the Lightning will have Elliott in net, who only plays when there are back-to-back situations. This power play unit gives you direct access to the top two lines for Detroit, who are in a spot where they could fly under the radar with high upside.

Honorable Mentions: ANH1, MIN1, PIT1, DAL1, TBL3, NJD2, CBJ1, VGK2

Value Options – DraftKings

Center: Dylan Cozens ($3400) – Buffalo Sabres

Wing: Evgeny Svechnikov ($2600) – Winnipeg Jets

Defense: Dean Kukan ($3100) – Columbus Blue Jackets

Value Options – FanDuel

Center: Vladislav Namestnikov ($3900) – Detroit Red Wings

Wing: Evgeny Svechnikov ($3900) – Winnipeg Jets

Defense: Brian Dumoulin ($3900) – Pittsburgh Penguins

Cash Considerations – DraftKings

Center: Sebastian Aho – Carolina Hurricanes

Wing: Artemi Panarin or Chris Kreider – New York Rangers

Defense: Victor Hedman – Tampa Bay Lightning

Goalie: Igor Shesterkin – New York Rangers

Cash Considerations – FanDuel

Center: Sebastian Aho – Carolina Hurricanes

Wing: Artemi Panarin or Chris Kreider – New York Rangers

Defense: Victor Hedman – Tampa Bay Lightning

Goalie: Igor Shesterkin – New York Rangers

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Jon and the NHL team will be there answering questions right up until lock! Be sure to be on the look out for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

All line combinations are courtesy of www.dailyfaceoff.com, and any advanced rates referenced in the above article are pulled from www.naturalstattrick.com.

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Success in NBA DFS is contingent on your willingness to adapt to the news as it rolls in. Yesterday, we saw Jimmy Butler be ruled out for the Miami Heat, resulting in increased exposure to the likes of Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, and Bam Adebayo. While we will certainly see more of the same tonight, as we do on every NBA slate, there are already teams with players missing in action. It’s a Fajita Friday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Philadelphia 76ers (-7)

One of two marquee matchups between Eastern Conference heavyweights on tonight’s NBA schedule, the Cavaliers travel to Philadelphia to face James Harden, Joel Embiid, and the Philadelphia 76ers. Sitting 27th in pace for the duration of the NBA season, the new-look 76ers are tied for 9th in pace over their last three games since James Harden made his debut alongside Joel Embiid. This team is no longer milking the shot clock with Joel Embiid in the post; rather, James Harden has taken over this offense, similarly to what he wanted to do in Brooklyn before his departure. Facing a Cavaliers team that carries the fourth-most efficient defense in the league doesn’t exactly scream “dream matchup”, but Harden and Embiid are sporting 24.5% and 36.3% usage rates in their first three games together, respectively, while averaging 1.71 FPPM and 1.67 FPPM, respectively. The duo is simply outright dominant, and one will certainly be in all of my NBA lineups today.

On the flip side of the ball, the combination of Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley will certainly have their hands full with Embiid in the post. However, it’s Darius Garland that gets a tremendous individual matchup versus a lackluster defender in James Harden. Sporting a 27.3% usage rate on the season, Garland is averaging a career-high 20.5/3.3/7.9 scoring line on 48% shooting, where he posted 33/3/4 in his lone game since the All-Star break following a two-game absence. While he is priced near his ceiling, Garland makes for a great tournament play on this NBA slate with legitimate 50-point upside.

Minnesota Timberwolves @ OKC Thunder (+8.5)

With numerous studs on this NBA slate, the firepower between two rebuilding teams may go overlooked. In the absence of Anthony Edwards (knee), Karl-Anthony Towns sees an increase in usage rate from 27.6% to 33%, including a lofty increase in FPPM, from 1.34 to 1.48. Additionally, in four games without Edwards this season, Towns has posted a 29.3/10/4.5 scoring line on 56.3% shooting, and now faces an OKC front court that ranks 27th versus true big men, including ranking 25th in rebounding, ranking last in both blocks per game allowed and rebounds allowed per game to opposing centers.

Should Josh Giddey (hip) sit this one out for OKC, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes for an intriguing tournament play on this NBA slate. Is he a 10.3K player? No, absolutely not. Is his sheer volume worthy of the tag? Absolutely. In the last three games with both Giddey and Dort out for the Thunder, SGA has posted a 34/7.3/6.7 scoring line on 55.6% shooting through a whopping 38.7% usage rate. Taking over 20 FGA per game in that span, the efficiency may dwindle down, but there’s no denying the fact that the volume that SGA will have tonight will contend for one of, if not the highest on the slate.

Honorable Mentions:

  • Atlanta Hawks @ Washington Wizards (+4.5)
  • Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans (+4.5)

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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Success in NBA DFS is contingent on your willingness to adapt to the news as it rolls in. Yesterday, we saw Jimmy Butler be ruled out for the Miami Heat, resulting in increased exposure to the likes of Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, and Bam Adebayo. While we will certainly see more of the same tonight, as we do on every NBA slate, there are already teams with players missing in action. It’s a Fajita Friday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Philadelphia 76ers (-7)

One of two marquee matchups between Eastern Conference heavyweights on tonight’s NBA schedule, the Cavaliers travel to Philadelphia to face James Harden, Joel Embiid, and the Philadelphia 76ers. Sitting 27th in pace for the duration of the NBA season, the new-look 76ers are tied for 9th in pace over their last three games since James Harden made his debut alongside Joel Embiid. This team is no longer milking the shot clock with Joel Embiid in the post; rather, James Harden has taken over this offense, similarly to what he wanted to do in Brooklyn before his departure. Facing a Cavaliers team that carries the fourth-most efficient defense in the league doesn’t exactly scream “dream matchup”, but Harden and Embiid are sporting 24.5% and 36.3% usage rates in their first three games together, respectively, while averaging 1.71 FPPM and 1.67 FPPM, respectively. The duo is simply outright dominant, and one will certainly be in all of my NBA lineups today.

On the flip side of the ball, the combination of Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley will certainly have their hands full with Embiid in the post. However, it’s Darius Garland that gets a tremendous individual matchup versus a lackluster defender in James Harden. Sporting a 27.3% usage rate on the season, Garland is averaging a career-high 20.5/3.3/7.9 scoring line on 48% shooting, where he posted 33/3/4 in his lone game since the All-Star break following a two-game absence. While he is priced near his ceiling, Garland makes for a great tournament play on this NBA slate with legitimate 50-point upside.

Minnesota Timberwolves @ OKC Thunder (+8.5)

With numerous studs on this NBA slate, the firepower between two rebuilding teams may go overlooked. In the absence of Anthony Edwards (knee), Karl-Anthony Towns sees an increase in usage rate from 27.6% to 33%, including a lofty increase in FPPM, from 1.34 to 1.48. Additionally, in four games without Edwards this season, Towns has posted a 29.3/10/4.5 scoring line on 56.3% shooting, and now faces an OKC front court that ranks 27th versus true big men, including ranking 25th in rebounding, ranking last in both blocks per game allowed and rebounds allowed per game to opposing centers.

Should Josh Giddey (hip) sit this one out for OKC, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes for an intriguing tournament play on this NBA slate. Is he a 10.3K player? No, absolutely not. Is his sheer volume worthy of the tag? Absolutely. In the last three games with both Giddey and Dort out for the Thunder, SGA has posted a 34/7.3/6.7 scoring line on 55.6% shooting through a whopping 38.7% usage rate. Taking over 20 FGA per game in that span, the efficiency may dwindle down, but there’s no denying the fact that the volume that SGA will have tonight will contend for one of, if not the highest on the slate.

Honorable Mentions:

  • Atlanta Hawks @ Washington Wizards (+4.5)
  • Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans (+4.5)

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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