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Tonight’s NBA slate will surely look different as we approach lock, with multiple teams on the second half of a back-to-back while others have unclear injury reports at the time of writing. For now, let’s dive into our preview; it’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

New Orleans Pelicans @ Charlotte Hornets (-7)

Two teams battling for positioning in the Play-In picture of the NBA playoffs, the Pelicans and Hornets both desperately need this win tonight. Despite Brandon Ingram (hamstring) being listed as questionable tonight, he did not travel with the team to San Antonio, meaning the offense will likely be up to CJ McCollum and Jonas Valanciunas tonight. In addition, Devonte’ Graham (hip) sat out yesterday’s game, and even if he makes his return to the lineup on the second half of a back-to-back, I have interest in both McCollum and Valanciunas in their respective individual matchups.

McCollum has now posted 20 or more points in seven straight for the Pelicans, sporting a 30.4% usage rate and has posted a 25.4/4.7/7.6 scoring line on 49% shooting. Despite the foul trouble against the Spurs, Valanciunas turned in a 26/12/4 performance against Clint Capela yesterday, and if he’s able to stay out of foul trouble against Mason Plumlee, he’ll be in for a big night against a Hornets frontcourt that ranks 26th and 24th in the NBA in scoring and rebounding, respectively, to opposing skilled big men.

The Hornets are fairly priced tonight, so I’m not forcing a run back in this game. However, the trio of LaMelo Ball, Terry Rozier, and Miles Bridges will all be in for big minutes, if you can stomach paying north of 8K for one of the three. On such a big NBA slate, Montrezl Harrell will go virtually unrostered, and if you think Plumlee gets into trouble early on versus Valanciunas, Harrell will benefit versus a Pelicans frontcourt that sits 24th in the NBA in scoring to opposing skilled big men.

Miami Heat @ Philadelphia 76ers (+1.5)

We can’t truly identify the elite targets in this game before final injury reports are released, but the game environment itself screams playoff atmosphere between two of the Eastern Conference’s best. Miami has listed Jimmy Butler (ankle) as questionable, while Philadelphia may rest one of Embiid or Harden on the second half of a back-to-back.

Should Butler sit this one out, Herro becomes an interesting tournament play. On such a large NBA slate, most will shy away from the lofty price tag, but the favorite for 6MOY has simply been electric off the bench this season. Having scored 20 or more points in 11 of his last 12 games, Herro sports a ridiculous 29.2% usage rate off the bench during that span, posting a 25.4/4.8/3.5 scoring line along the way.

Miami’s defense is as good as it gets in the NBA, both on the perimeter and on the inside, but the duo of Harden and Embiid are two of the best offensive players the league has to offer. With Embiid off the court, Harden’s splits are outright ridiculous: his usage rate jumps from 25.5% to 37.8%, while his FPPM jumps from 1.31 to 1.67. Despite Miami’s elite defense, Harden at $10,000 makes no sense, should Embiid sit this one out. Wait for the news (if any) and act accordingly.

Honorable Mentions:

  • LA Lakers @ Cleveland Cavaliers (-6.5)
  • Toronto Raptors @ Chicago Bulls (-4.5)

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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Tonight’s NBA slate will surely look different as we approach lock, with multiple teams on the second half of a back-to-back while others have unclear injury reports at the time of writing. For now, let’s dive into our preview; it’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

New Orleans Pelicans @ Charlotte Hornets (-7)

Two teams battling for positioning in the Play-In picture of the NBA playoffs, the Pelicans and Hornets both desperately need this win tonight. Despite Brandon Ingram (hamstring) being listed as questionable tonight, he did not travel with the team to San Antonio, meaning the offense will likely be up to CJ McCollum and Jonas Valanciunas tonight. In addition, Devonte’ Graham (hip) sat out yesterday’s game, and even if he makes his return to the lineup on the second half of a back-to-back, I have interest in both McCollum and Valanciunas in their respective individual matchups.

McCollum has now posted 20 or more points in seven straight for the Pelicans, sporting a 30.4% usage rate and has posted a 25.4/4.7/7.6 scoring line on 49% shooting. Despite the foul trouble against the Spurs, Valanciunas turned in a 26/12/4 performance against Clint Capela yesterday, and if he’s able to stay out of foul trouble against Mason Plumlee, he’ll be in for a big night against a Hornets frontcourt that ranks 26th and 24th in the NBA in scoring and rebounding, respectively, to opposing skilled big men.

The Hornets are fairly priced tonight, so I’m not forcing a run back in this game. However, the trio of LaMelo Ball, Terry Rozier, and Miles Bridges will all be in for big minutes, if you can stomach paying north of 8K for one of the three. On such a big NBA slate, Montrezl Harrell will go virtually unrostered, and if you think Plumlee gets into trouble early on versus Valanciunas, Harrell will benefit versus a Pelicans frontcourt that sits 24th in the NBA in scoring to opposing skilled big men.

Miami Heat @ Philadelphia 76ers (+1.5)

We can’t truly identify the elite targets in this game before final injury reports are released, but the game environment itself screams playoff atmosphere between two of the Eastern Conference’s best. Miami has listed Jimmy Butler (ankle) as questionable, while Philadelphia may rest one of Embiid or Harden on the second half of a back-to-back.

Should Butler sit this one out, Herro becomes an interesting tournament play. On such a large NBA slate, most will shy away from the lofty price tag, but the favorite for 6MOY has simply been electric off the bench this season. Having scored 20 or more points in 11 of his last 12 games, Herro sports a ridiculous 29.2% usage rate off the bench during that span, posting a 25.4/4.8/3.5 scoring line along the way.

Miami’s defense is as good as it gets in the NBA, both on the perimeter and on the inside, but the duo of Harden and Embiid are two of the best offensive players the league has to offer. With Embiid off the court, Harden’s splits are outright ridiculous: his usage rate jumps from 25.5% to 37.8%, while his FPPM jumps from 1.31 to 1.67. Despite Miami’s elite defense, Harden at $10,000 makes no sense, should Embiid sit this one out. Wait for the news (if any) and act accordingly.

Honorable Mentions:

  • LA Lakers @ Cleveland Cavaliers (-6.5)
  • Toronto Raptors @ Chicago Bulls (-4.5)

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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Welcome, everyone! What a week of NHL we’ve had! We are finally back with another wild slate to end your weekend! Get ready for the newest edition of WinDaily’s Between the Benches! For tonight’s 3/20 NHL slate, as mentioned, we have a smaller five gamer and the slate begins at 6:00 pm ET (5:00 pm ET on DraftKings). Don’t forget to lock your lines and check the discord for any updates! Let’s get right into it!

3/20 NHL Stack Report

1. Carolina Hurricanes 1
Trocheck – Aho – Teravainen (FanDuel: $21,500 | DraftKings: $19,700)
We’re starting off tonight’s article with a common favourite in NHL builds this season, the Carolina Hurricanes as they play host to the New York Rangers. The Canes have lost their last few contests but have shaken up their top line making them more affordable for tonight’s matchup. Trocheck and Aho in particular have been really lighting the lamp as of late as Aho has three goals over his last five games and Trocheck is currently on a four-game point streak. All three members of Carolina’s top line appear on their top power-play unit and see on average around 18 to 20 minutes of ice time each, per game. Carolina also holds notable advantages in both goals for and goals allowed statistics and holds an extremely significant advantage in shots allowed as Carolina sits around 29 whereas the Rangers sit at around 32 shots allowed per game. Carolina is rightly favoured in this matchup and have a strong implied goal total of 3.6 making them one of the highest on the slate. I would really recommend using Bear on DraftKings in particular at his price as he has been getting some exposure with the top line and it has been paying off on his stat sheet. Carolina’s top line is definitely a solid option to think about on tonight’s smaller slate.
Ideal Defensive Partner(s): Ethan Bear (FD: $4,200 | DK: $2,600)

2. San Jose Sharks 1
Dahlen – Hertl – Meier (FanDuel: $19,100 | DraftKings: $15,300)
It’s really hard to imagine not seriously considering San Jose’s top line in tonight’s matchup. On top of the fact that they have the highest implied total on the slate at 3.7 and are set to face off against one of the worst defensive teams in hockey in the Arizona Coyotes who give up 3.53 goals against per game, they are also a very affordable top line. Especially with C/W Jonathan Dahlen who stacks really well alongside his two talented linemates. All three members of the top line see power-play time with Hertl and Meier on the top unit and Dahlen on the second unit. Dahlen has been able to register some points as of late thanks to his linemates with two points over his last five games. Heading into tonight’s smaller slate I really don’t see a goalie worse than Karel Vejmelka and I would highly recommend having some exposure to the San Jose Sharks to target him tonight.
Ideal Defensive Partner(s): Brent Burns (FD: $5,800 | DK: $5,800)

Honorable Mention(s): WPG2 (Connor-Dubois-Ehlers), DAL1 (Robertson-Hintz-Pavelski) (DK Only)

3/20 NHL Goalie Tracker

Best (Goalies to Roster)

  1. Connor Hellebuyck (FD: $7,400 | DK: $7,800)
  2. James Reimer (FD: $7,600 | DK: $8,400)
    Honorable Mention(s): Jaroslav Halak, Frederik Andersen

Worst (Goalies to Target)

  1. Karel Vejmelka (FD: $6,900 | DK: $7,000)
    Honorable Mention(s): Adam Scheel (DK Only)

3/20 NHL Wild Card Targets

Quinn Hughes (FD: $5,800 | DK: $5,700) 
– Quinn has been a bright spot on an otherwise lacklustre Vancouver team. Despite being a defenseman he is one of the best offensive producers on the team as he currently sits at second on his team in points. Hughes has especially turned it on as of late with a goal and seven assists over his last seven games. On top of that Hughes regularly sees anywhere from 23 to 27 minutes a game and is a mainstay on Vancouver’s top power-play unit. The main draw for me, however, is that the Canucks are coming into tonight with one of the highest implied totals on the slate at 3.7 and Hughes is an excellent way to get comfortable exposure targeting Buffalo’s weak defensive core without relying too heavily on Vancouver’s often unreliable offence.
Honorable Mention(s): Nick Schmaltz, Tanner Pearson, Conor Sheary (DK Only)

Core Four: (ALWAYS BE STACKIN’)

Center Vincent Trocheck

Winger Timo Meier

Defenseman – Ethan Bear

Goalie Connor Hellebuyck

3/20 NHL Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Putting Up Points

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Welcome to the first edition of Formula 1 DFS: Race Week!! My name is Theodore or tcuz86 in the discord chat and it is my pleasure to introduce you to the wonderful world of Formula 1. I would like to extend my gratitude to Jason, @Windaily, and Matt Vecchio @Vecchio for giving me the opportunity to express my thoughts and opinions on Formula 1 for the Win Daily Sports community. 

With that out of the way, Ladies and Gentleman, it’s Race Week 1: Bahrain March 20th, and I’m freaking excited!

We kick off the season going 57, 3.3-mile laps in the country of Bahrain, in the Middle East. In this article, I will help introduce you to the drivers, teams, and help you set your daily fantasy lineups.

DK Scoring

The DraftKings Format is just like a showdown event, you’d select 5 drivers, including 1 captain, with the captain gaining 1.5x points, 4 other drivers, and a constructor.

DraftKings scoring for the drivers.

The better your finishing position the higher you will score. P1 gives 25 pts, P2 18 pts, P3 15 pts; all the way to P10, giving 1 point. Bonus points are given for the fastest lap of the race +3 points, laps led +.1 points and beating your teammate +5 points. There are points for place differential (+3 spots, 2 points; +5 spots, 3 points; +10 spots, 5 points) and negative points for losing spots, just like in NASCAR. 

DraftKings scoring for the Constructors

Since there are 2 cars per team DK gives out points for both cars’ finishing positions as long as they are in the top 10 spots. As a result, if both Mercedes’ race cars finish P2 and P6 then the Mercedes constructor points would be 26 points (P2 18 points + P6 8 points = 26 points.) Moreover, if both racecars finished on the Podium (positions 1-3) then bonus points would be rewarded.

Therefore, let’s just focus on finishing position more so than place differential. So let’s get to the plays.

Formula 1 DFS: Top Captain Options

  1. Charles Leclerc $16,200. Ferrari. There’s going to be a recurring theme in this First edition of Formula 1 Race Week, and that’s Ferrari is back! Throughout preseason testing, practices, and qualifying, the talk of the paddock has been the resurgence of Scuderia Ferrari. The top driver at Ferrari is Charles Leclerc. Charles has been dominant since teams arrived in Bahrain. As a result, he was P2 in all three practices which mean as teams have been practicing in qualifying and long-run race trim he and his Ferrari were consistently in the top 3 positions. Consequently, he put it all together in qualifying as he qualified P1 for Sunday’s race and he will be my heaviest used top captain option.
  1. Max Verstappen $18,000. Red Bull Racing. Max is the defending 2021 Formula 1 Driver’s Champion after beating Mercedes’ Lewis Hamilton in the final race last year. Therefore, He and his #1 Red Bull Racecar are set to defend his championship as the Red Bull looks strong again. He qualified P2 after averaging P2.3 over all three practices. As a result, Max will definitely be cycled through in my multiple lineups for the captain position.
  1. Carlos Sainz $15,300 Ferrari. Carlos is Charles Leclerc’s teammate and will be piloting the sister Ferrari on Sunday. Likewise, he had an average position of P3 during practices and qualified in the same position for Sunday’s race. I don’t see him outperforming his teammate but he will definitely be used in my rosters for Sunday.

Secondary Captain options

  1. Lewis Hamilton $17,400 Mercedes. Lewis is a 7x Formula 1 Driver Champion, tied with the great Michael Schumacher. Lewis and his teammate George Russell are having issues early on in the season with the design of the new 2022 Mercedes. However, he was still able to qualify P5 with an average practice position of 7th. He will be a part of my rotation for the captain spot.
  1. Sergio Perez $13,200 Red Bull Racing. Sergio “Checo” Perez will be piloting the other Red Bull Racing car. Sergio qualified P4 with a 6.7 average practice position. As a result he be rotated through my lineups as a captain. 

Formula 1 DFS: Mid Tier Options

  1. George Russell $9600 Mercedes. George will be piloting the other Silver Arrow Mercedes Racing car. George has been waiting to get into this seat for years and is seen as the eventual replacement for Hamilton whenever he decides to retire. George averaged the 4th best practice position and had an issue in qualifying putting him in P9 to start the race, I expect him to gain some positions.
  1. Fernando Alonso $6600 Alpine. Fernando, a 2x F1 driver champ, will be in the Alpine, the former Renault race car. Renault is the parent company to Infiniti, Nissan, Mitsubishi, Alpine, and others. Fernando qualified P8 and had an average practice position of 9.6.
  1. Pierre Gasly $7600 Alpha Tauri. Pierre is the former teammate to Max Verstappen. After being overshadowed and outperformed by Max, Red Bull sent Pierre down to the “junior” sister Alpha Tauri team. Pierre has thrived in the secondary team and the start of the 2022 season has been no different. Pierre qualified P9 and had the same average practice position. He should be a fine mid-tier play in your DK lines.
  1. Esteban Ocon $6200 Alpine. Esteban will be piloting the other Alpine race car. Esteban had an average practice position of P14 and qualified P11. 
  1. Nico Hulkenberg $5600 Aston Martin Racing. Nico Makes his return to Formula 1, filling in for former champion Sebastian Vettel who will be back as soon as he clears Covid-19 protocols. Nico slightly underqualified, consequently I expect him to move up some positions. He had an average practice position of 14.3 and qualified P17. 

Formula 1 DFS: Top Value drivers and constructor plays

  1. The HAAS drivers, Kevin Magnussen and Mick Schumacher. HAAS uses Ferrari engines, and just like their engine supplier, they have what appears to be a return to competitive form. The HAAS, which is owned by Gene Haas who also co-owns the Stewart-Haas NASCAR racing team, sacrificed the 2021 season in order to assimilate to the 2022 regulations better. Because of the sacrifice it has appeared to have paid off. Since they were so bad last year the drivers are cheap and make for good values as they are $3800 and $3200 respectively. As a result of HAAS’ 2021 performance they can be used as a value constructor.
  1. Ferrari-powered cars are in play early in the 2022 season. Subsequently, this includes the other Ferrari-powered race team, Alfa Romeo, and their drivers Valtteri Bottas and newcomer to F1 Guanyu Zhou, $4600 and $2400. Valtteri used to race with Mercedes last year but is now the top driver on an up-and-coming race team. In the Ferrari powered Alfa Romeo he has shown some quick speeds qualifying in the top 10, P6. However, the Alfa Romeo has had some reliability issues so I would use him and his teammate sparingly. 
  1. The other top constructors are the Ferrari, Red Bull, Mercedes. 

Formula 1 DFS: Final Thoughts

Salary and construction-wise you cant use both drivers and the team in your rosters. Therefore, you would have to use a combination of either both drivers and a different constructor in your DFS lineups, or one driver and the constructor. For example Charles Leclerc and Ferrari and if I can fit in Max Verstappen I will. I’ll be trying to rotate in both Ferrari drivers and Ferrari in the constructor spot, same with Red Bull drivers and Red Bull Racing in the constructor spot.

If you’d like help with rosters, or have questions, @ me in the discord chat @tcuz86, and if there are any updates I can be reached there.

It’s my honor to bring to you Formula 1: Race Week Bahrain on March 20th and I’m looking forward to sharing my insight with all. 

Theodore 

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NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/20

For a seven-game slate, there are an awful lot of injuries and this is something to brace for toward the end of the season. The playoff teams will likely keep playing the starters big minutes but they can also rest important players and the teams not in the playoffs are trying to raise their odds in the draft lottery. It can be a crazy mix and you have to be around through the last game locking in NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/20!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Pelicans at Hawks 

Pelicans – One of the best game environments on the slate is none other than the Pelicans visiting the Hawks as the game has a 232.5 point total and a spread under four points. On the New Orleans side, we can continue to target CJ McCollum and Jonas Valanciunas since Brandon Ingram remains out. McCollum has boasted a 33.1% usage rate and even though the 1.44 FPPM will come down a touch since his true shooting rate is 61%, that doesn’t mean it has to happen here. He also has an assist rate of just under 38% so the scoring doesn’t have to be the only thing that carries him, even though the Hawks are in the bottom five in defensive rating. 

JoVal doesn’t have the easiest matchup on paper since Atlanta is fifth in rebounds allowed in the paint but they are 19th in points allowed in the paint. If the Hawks try to run Onyeka Okongwu for 20+ minutes, it may not end well against the big veteran. His 1.27 FPPm without Ingram speaks for itself as well. Herbert Jones and Jaxson Hayes would be secondary targets from this game that fit the mold of needing a forward in a strong environment, but they aren’t priorities. 

Hawks – I wouldn’t normally be worried about Trae Young sitting out but he was a surprising inactive in the last game. We know where to go if he sits again in Delon Wright and Bogdan Bogdanovic being the prime targets. They both went off in the last game and don’t worry about Bogdanovic not starting. He’s going to play a boatload of minutes but if Young plays, he’s super affordable for a matchup with McCollum’s defense. Sure, Young was rough in his last game but a player of his offensive capability isn’t scoring nine real points super often. His availability dictates a large portion of this slate, but at least this game is in the early block so we’ll know what the situation is. 

Spurs at Warriors 

Spurs – I don’t expect the Spurs to be down 40 points in this game and Dejounte Murray is in line for a bounce-back game. I will say I’m not exactly looking to force him at the expense of my entire build, but any time he’s under $11,000 there is merit to playing him. The Warriors defense has struggled a bit without Draymond Green and while he’s back playing, he’s far from full speed yet. A significant piece of news for the Spurs is Lonnie Walker is out and with Derrick White in Boston, Murray has 1.54 FPPM, a 43.7% assist rate, and a 28.6% usage rate. Devin Vassell and Keldon Johnson are going to have to pick up some slack in the scoring department as well so in lineups that don’t have Murray, they can be utilized. Vassell playing 30 minutes is very interesting. As far as Jakob Poeltl goes, it’s not the worst spot ever since the Warriors are just 13th in points allowed in the paint. He’s back under $7,000 which is a bit more comfortable than the salary has been lately. 

Warriors – I’m happy that DraftKings priced the Warriors correctly tonight because the last time Steph Curry was out, it was a chalk-fest. Now you have to think about playing Jordan Poole, Andrew Wiggins, and Klay Thompson although Poole would still be my favorite. When Curry is off the floor, he has a 30.7% usage rate, and even with a tough assignment facing Dejounte Murray, Poole is finding his game this season and he fears nothing, Klay and Wiggins feel a little expensive, especially since Wiggins is under 0.90 FPPM when Curry is off the floor.

I will give Klay the edge here because of the 1.23 FPPM, and he’s going to get plenty of opportunities. If Poole does struggle with Murray, Thompson could approach 25 shots and he’s much more involved with the offense overall. The shot has been hard to predict but if it’s on, I will look silly for calling Klay expensive. Lastly, Kevon Looney is a cheap way to get access to this side and he’ll have to match Poeltl for most of the minutes. San Antonio has been crushed in the paint, ranking in the bottom 10 in both rebounds and points allowed. He and Jonathan Kuminga are both fine lineup fillers with 35 DK upside. 

Teams To Monitor 

Jazz – With the news that Bojan Bogdanovic and Mike Conley are already ruled out, it makes zero sense to see Donovan Mitchell under $9,000. He’s sporting a 36% usage rate and 1.47 FPPM in that scenario. If you want a narrative, he’s rumored to be linked to the Knicks if he wants out of Utah. Putting on a show in the Garden is well within the realm of possibility and even though I may not want to stack this game, Mitchell is among my favorite plays on the entire slate. Jordan Clarkson is in play and should log another 30+ minutes and Nickell Alexander-Walker could be played with either option if he starts. 

Suns – If Jae Crowder remains out, Torrey Craig is still far too cheap for 30+ minutes against the Kings. On the flip side, if De’Aaron Fox is ruled out, I’ll be more inclined to play Davion Mitchell since he’s not going against the Boston Celtics defense tonight. 

76ers – Joel Embiid is questionable but it could be an issue that this game locks 2.5 hours after the rest of the slate. If he’s out early, James Harden is going to be one of the more popular plays on the slate and he should be.

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/20

For a seven-game slate, there are an awful lot of injuries and this is something to brace for toward the end of the season. The playoff teams will likely keep playing the starters big minutes but they can also rest important players and the teams not in the playoffs are trying to raise their odds in the draft lottery. It can be a crazy mix and you have to be around through the last game locking in NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/20!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Pelicans at Hawks 

Pelicans – One of the best game environments on the slate is none other than the Pelicans visiting the Hawks as the game has a 232.5 point total and a spread under four points. On the New Orleans side, we can continue to target CJ McCollum and Jonas Valanciunas since Brandon Ingram remains out. McCollum has boasted a 33.1% usage rate and even though the 1.44 FPPM will come down a touch since his true shooting rate is 61%, that doesn’t mean it has to happen here. He also has an assist rate of just under 38% so the scoring doesn’t have to be the only thing that carries him, even though the Hawks are in the bottom five in defensive rating. 

JoVal doesn’t have the easiest matchup on paper since Atlanta is fifth in rebounds allowed in the paint but they are 19th in points allowed in the paint. If the Hawks try to run Onyeka Okongwu for 20+ minutes, it may not end well against the big veteran. His 1.27 FPPm without Ingram speaks for itself as well. Herbert Jones and Jaxson Hayes would be secondary targets from this game that fit the mold of needing a forward in a strong environment, but they aren’t priorities. 

Hawks – I wouldn’t normally be worried about Trae Young sitting out but he was a surprising inactive in the last game. We know where to go if he sits again in Delon Wright and Bogdan Bogdanovic being the prime targets. They both went off in the last game and don’t worry about Bogdanovic not starting. He’s going to play a boatload of minutes but if Young plays, he’s super affordable for a matchup with McCollum’s defense. Sure, Young was rough in his last game but a player of his offensive capability isn’t scoring nine real points super often. His availability dictates a large portion of this slate, but at least this game is in the early block so we’ll know what the situation is. 

Spurs at Warriors 

Spurs – I don’t expect the Spurs to be down 40 points in this game and Dejounte Murray is in line for a bounce-back game. I will say I’m not exactly looking to force him at the expense of my entire build, but any time he’s under $11,000 there is merit to playing him. The Warriors defense has struggled a bit without Draymond Green and while he’s back playing, he’s far from full speed yet. A significant piece of news for the Spurs is Lonnie Walker is out and with Derrick White in Boston, Murray has 1.54 FPPM, a 43.7% assist rate, and a 28.6% usage rate. Devin Vassell and Keldon Johnson are going to have to pick up some slack in the scoring department as well so in lineups that don’t have Murray, they can be utilized. Vassell playing 30 minutes is very interesting. As far as Jakob Poeltl goes, it’s not the worst spot ever since the Warriors are just 13th in points allowed in the paint. He’s back under $7,000 which is a bit more comfortable than the salary has been lately. 

Warriors – I’m happy that DraftKings priced the Warriors correctly tonight because the last time Steph Curry was out, it was a chalk-fest. Now you have to think about playing Jordan Poole, Andrew Wiggins, and Klay Thompson although Poole would still be my favorite. When Curry is off the floor, he has a 30.7% usage rate, and even with a tough assignment facing Dejounte Murray, Poole is finding his game this season and he fears nothing, Klay and Wiggins feel a little expensive, especially since Wiggins is under 0.90 FPPM when Curry is off the floor.

I will give Klay the edge here because of the 1.23 FPPM, and he’s going to get plenty of opportunities. If Poole does struggle with Murray, Thompson could approach 25 shots and he’s much more involved with the offense overall. The shot has been hard to predict but if it’s on, I will look silly for calling Klay expensive. Lastly, Kevon Looney is a cheap way to get access to this side and he’ll have to match Poeltl for most of the minutes. San Antonio has been crushed in the paint, ranking in the bottom 10 in both rebounds and points allowed. He and Jonathan Kuminga are both fine lineup fillers with 35 DK upside. 

Teams To Monitor 

Jazz – With the news that Bojan Bogdanovic and Mike Conley are already ruled out, it makes zero sense to see Donovan Mitchell under $9,000. He’s sporting a 36% usage rate and 1.47 FPPM in that scenario. If you want a narrative, he’s rumored to be linked to the Knicks if he wants out of Utah. Putting on a show in the Garden is well within the realm of possibility and even though I may not want to stack this game, Mitchell is among my favorite plays on the entire slate. Jordan Clarkson is in play and should log another 30+ minutes and Nickell Alexander-Walker could be played with either option if he starts. 

Suns – If Jae Crowder remains out, Torrey Craig is still far too cheap for 30+ minutes against the Kings. On the flip side, if De’Aaron Fox is ruled out, I’ll be more inclined to play Davion Mitchell since he’s not going against the Boston Celtics defense tonight. 

76ers – Joel Embiid is questionable but it could be an issue that this game locks 2.5 hours after the rest of the slate. If he’s out early, James Harden is going to be one of the more popular plays on the slate and he should be.

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/20

For a seven-game slate, there are an awful lot of injuries and this is something to brace for toward the end of the season. The playoff teams will likely keep playing the starters big minutes but they can also rest important players and the teams not in the playoffs are trying to raise their odds in the draft lottery. It can be a crazy mix and you have to be around through the last game locking in NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/20!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Pelicans at Hawks 

Pelicans – One of the best game environments on the slate is none other than the Pelicans visiting the Hawks as the game has a 232.5 point total and a spread under four points. On the New Orleans side, we can continue to target CJ McCollum and Jonas Valanciunas since Brandon Ingram remains out. McCollum has boasted a 33.1% usage rate and even though the 1.44 FPPM will come down a touch since his true shooting rate is 61%, that doesn’t mean it has to happen here. He also has an assist rate of just under 38% so the scoring doesn’t have to be the only thing that carries him, even though the Hawks are in the bottom five in defensive rating. 

JoVal doesn’t have the easiest matchup on paper since Atlanta is fifth in rebounds allowed in the paint but they are 19th in points allowed in the paint. If the Hawks try to run Onyeka Okongwu for 20+ minutes, it may not end well against the big veteran. His 1.27 FPPm without Ingram speaks for itself as well. Herbert Jones and Jaxson Hayes would be secondary targets from this game that fit the mold of needing a forward in a strong environment, but they aren’t priorities. 

Hawks – I wouldn’t normally be worried about Trae Young sitting out but he was a surprising inactive in the last game. We know where to go if he sits again in Delon Wright and Bogdan Bogdanovic being the prime targets. They both went off in the last game and don’t worry about Bogdanovic not starting. He’s going to play a boatload of minutes but if Young plays, he’s super affordable for a matchup with McCollum’s defense. Sure, Young was rough in his last game but a player of his offensive capability isn’t scoring nine real points super often. His availability dictates a large portion of this slate, but at least this game is in the early block so we’ll know what the situation is. 

Spurs at Warriors 

Spurs – I don’t expect the Spurs to be down 40 points in this game and Dejounte Murray is in line for a bounce-back game. I will say I’m not exactly looking to force him at the expense of my entire build, but any time he’s under $11,000 there is merit to playing him. The Warriors defense has struggled a bit without Draymond Green and while he’s back playing, he’s far from full speed yet. A significant piece of news for the Spurs is Lonnie Walker is out and with Derrick White in Boston, Murray has 1.54 FPPM, a 43.7% assist rate, and a 28.6% usage rate. Devin Vassell and Keldon Johnson are going to have to pick up some slack in the scoring department as well so in lineups that don’t have Murray, they can be utilized. Vassell playing 30 minutes is very interesting. As far as Jakob Poeltl goes, it’s not the worst spot ever since the Warriors are just 13th in points allowed in the paint. He’s back under $7,000 which is a bit more comfortable than the salary has been lately. 

Warriors – I’m happy that DraftKings priced the Warriors correctly tonight because the last time Steph Curry was out, it was a chalk-fest. Now you have to think about playing Jordan Poole, Andrew Wiggins, and Klay Thompson although Poole would still be my favorite. When Curry is off the floor, he has a 30.7% usage rate, and even with a tough assignment facing Dejounte Murray, Poole is finding his game this season and he fears nothing, Klay and Wiggins feel a little expensive, especially since Wiggins is under 0.90 FPPM when Curry is off the floor.

I will give Klay the edge here because of the 1.23 FPPM, and he’s going to get plenty of opportunities. If Poole does struggle with Murray, Thompson could approach 25 shots and he’s much more involved with the offense overall. The shot has been hard to predict but if it’s on, I will look silly for calling Klay expensive. Lastly, Kevon Looney is a cheap way to get access to this side and he’ll have to match Poeltl for most of the minutes. San Antonio has been crushed in the paint, ranking in the bottom 10 in both rebounds and points allowed. He and Jonathan Kuminga are both fine lineup fillers with 35 DK upside. 

Teams To Monitor 

Jazz – With the news that Bojan Bogdanovic and Mike Conley are already ruled out, it makes zero sense to see Donovan Mitchell under $9,000. He’s sporting a 36% usage rate and 1.47 FPPM in that scenario. If you want a narrative, he’s rumored to be linked to the Knicks if he wants out of Utah. Putting on a show in the Garden is well within the realm of possibility and even though I may not want to stack this game, Mitchell is among my favorite plays on the entire slate. Jordan Clarkson is in play and should log another 30+ minutes and Nickell Alexander-Walker could be played with either option if he starts. 

Suns – If Jae Crowder remains out, Torrey Craig is still far too cheap for 30+ minutes against the Kings. On the flip side, if De’Aaron Fox is ruled out, I’ll be more inclined to play Davion Mitchell since he’s not going against the Boston Celtics defense tonight. 

76ers – Joel Embiid is questionable but it could be an issue that this game locks 2.5 hours after the rest of the slate. If he’s out early, James Harden is going to be one of the more popular plays on the slate and he should be.

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/19

After a monster slate last night with more value than you could shake a stick at, tonight’s slate boasts just three games and almost no value early in the morning. If nothing changes, it could be a puzzle of a slate but this could be a news-packed slate for just three contests. Let’s go through the NBA Roundtable and talk about who we like in the NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/19 to find green screens!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Question 1: “Which approach are you taking when building a single lineup? Stars & Scrubs, Balanced, Game stack, etc.?”

Ghost: Balanced unless players get ruled out on the second half of a back-to-back.

Adam: I’ll be looking to make lineups around one stud and balanced after that as things stand in the morning. However, this slate dictates staying tuned to the Discord because four of the six teams played last night. This slate could change dramatically and we could have a stars and scrubs approach handed to us if players sit out. 

Question 2: “Which stud is a lock for you on this slate?”

Ghost: Luka Doncic.

Adam: Provided he plays, It’s Luka Doncic. I have more faith in him in a back-to-back scenario than I do with LeBron James and we’ve attacked the Charlotte Hornets all season long with great results. There are zero reasons to stop doing that now. Doncic is coming off a rough game last night as far as fantasy points, but I’ll confidently say the odds are he will not shoot 5-20 from the floor once again. The pace the Hornets play at is perfect for Doncic to flirt with a 30-point triple-double tonight. 

Question 3: “Which stud are you most likely to fade in a single-entry contest or be underweight on in 150-max?”

Ghost: Darius Garland.

Adam: It will Be LeBron, just by default. I’d be surprised if we could afford both Doncic and LeBron in the same lineups and James played 45 minutes last night. Due respect to one of the greatest players we’ve ever seen, the mileage on his body has to be piling up from this season and many others at this point. It’s a rough turnaround with travel so even though Washington is a strong matchup, I’ll take the young legs and Doncic. 

Question 4: “If you had to pick one star and one value play to be in the winning lineup, who would they be and why?”

Ghost: Luka Doncic and Hachimura (Gafford is Porzingis sits out).

Adam: I’m sticking with Dallas and rolling Dwight Powell with Doncic. Powell has been playing at least 22 minutes as of late and is pushing 30 minutes or more most nights. Every now and again he can go off for a huge game (like he did against Houston)and Charlotte is in the bottom-five in rebounds and points in the paint. This duo can rip up the Hornets in the pick-and-roll game as Powell is the roll man at a 28.7% frequency. He’s scoring 2.5 points per game but we can expect more than that tonight. With Spencer Dinwiddie ruled out, the three-man stack of Doncic, Powell, and Jalen Brunson is very appealing. 

Question 5: “Give us a hot take for tonight’s slate.”

Ghost: Dallas beats Charlotte by 10+ behind Doncic’s 30-point effort.

Adam: Luka Doncic outscores every player on the slate by at least 12 fantasy points and no player over $8,500 other than Luka is in the winning lineup. 

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/19

After a monster slate last night with more value than you could shake a stick at, tonight’s slate boasts just three games and almost no value early in the morning. If nothing changes, it could be a puzzle of a slate but this could be a news-packed slate for just three contests. Let’s go through the NBA Roundtable and talk about who we like in the NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/19 to find green screens!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Question 1: “Which approach are you taking when building a single lineup? Stars & Scrubs, Balanced, Game stack, etc.?”

Ghost: Balanced unless players get ruled out on the second half of a back-to-back.

Adam: I’ll be looking to make lineups around one stud and balanced after that as things stand in the morning. However, this slate dictates staying tuned to the Discord because four of the six teams played last night. This slate could change dramatically and we could have a stars and scrubs approach handed to us if players sit out. 

Question 2: “Which stud is a lock for you on this slate?”

Ghost: Luka Doncic.

Adam: Provided he plays, It’s Luka Doncic. I have more faith in him in a back-to-back scenario than I do with LeBron James and we’ve attacked the Charlotte Hornets all season long with great results. There are zero reasons to stop doing that now. Doncic is coming off a rough game last night as far as fantasy points, but I’ll confidently say the odds are he will not shoot 5-20 from the floor once again. The pace the Hornets play at is perfect for Doncic to flirt with a 30-point triple-double tonight. 

Question 3: “Which stud are you most likely to fade in a single-entry contest or be underweight on in 150-max?”

Ghost: Darius Garland.

Adam: It will Be LeBron, just by default. I’d be surprised if we could afford both Doncic and LeBron in the same lineups and James played 45 minutes last night. Due respect to one of the greatest players we’ve ever seen, the mileage on his body has to be piling up from this season and many others at this point. It’s a rough turnaround with travel so even though Washington is a strong matchup, I’ll take the young legs and Doncic. 

Question 4: “If you had to pick one star and one value play to be in the winning lineup, who would they be and why?”

Ghost: Luka Doncic and Hachimura (Gafford is Porzingis sits out).

Adam: I’m sticking with Dallas and rolling Dwight Powell with Doncic. Powell has been playing at least 22 minutes as of late and is pushing 30 minutes or more most nights. Every now and again he can go off for a huge game (like he did against Houston)and Charlotte is in the bottom-five in rebounds and points in the paint. This duo can rip up the Hornets in the pick-and-roll game as Powell is the roll man at a 28.7% frequency. He’s scoring 2.5 points per game but we can expect more than that tonight. With Spencer Dinwiddie ruled out, the three-man stack of Doncic, Powell, and Jalen Brunson is very appealing. 

Question 5: “Give us a hot take for tonight’s slate.”

Ghost: Dallas beats Charlotte by 10+ behind Doncic’s 30-point effort.

Adam: Luka Doncic outscores every player on the slate by at least 12 fantasy points and no player over $8,500 other than Luka is in the winning lineup. 

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/19

After a monster slate last night with more value than you could shake a stick at, tonight’s slate boasts just three games and almost no value early in the morning. If nothing changes, it could be a puzzle of a slate but this could be a news-packed slate for just three contests. Let’s go through the NBA Roundtable and talk about who we like in the NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/19 to find green screens!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Question 1: “Which approach are you taking when building a single lineup? Stars & Scrubs, Balanced, Game stack, etc.?”

Ghost: Balanced unless players get ruled out on the second half of a back-to-back.

Adam: I’ll be looking to make lineups around one stud and balanced after that as things stand in the morning. However, this slate dictates staying tuned to the Discord because four of the six teams played last night. This slate could change dramatically and we could have a stars and scrubs approach handed to us if players sit out. 

Question 2: “Which stud is a lock for you on this slate?”

Ghost: Luka Doncic.

Adam: Provided he plays, It’s Luka Doncic. I have more faith in him in a back-to-back scenario than I do with LeBron James and we’ve attacked the Charlotte Hornets all season long with great results. There are zero reasons to stop doing that now. Doncic is coming off a rough game last night as far as fantasy points, but I’ll confidently say the odds are he will not shoot 5-20 from the floor once again. The pace the Hornets play at is perfect for Doncic to flirt with a 30-point triple-double tonight. 

Question 3: “Which stud are you most likely to fade in a single-entry contest or be underweight on in 150-max?”

Ghost: Darius Garland.

Adam: It will Be LeBron, just by default. I’d be surprised if we could afford both Doncic and LeBron in the same lineups and James played 45 minutes last night. Due respect to one of the greatest players we’ve ever seen, the mileage on his body has to be piling up from this season and many others at this point. It’s a rough turnaround with travel so even though Washington is a strong matchup, I’ll take the young legs and Doncic. 

Question 4: “If you had to pick one star and one value play to be in the winning lineup, who would they be and why?”

Ghost: Luka Doncic and Hachimura (Gafford is Porzingis sits out).

Adam: I’m sticking with Dallas and rolling Dwight Powell with Doncic. Powell has been playing at least 22 minutes as of late and is pushing 30 minutes or more most nights. Every now and again he can go off for a huge game (like he did against Houston)and Charlotte is in the bottom-five in rebounds and points in the paint. This duo can rip up the Hornets in the pick-and-roll game as Powell is the roll man at a 28.7% frequency. He’s scoring 2.5 points per game but we can expect more than that tonight. With Spencer Dinwiddie ruled out, the three-man stack of Doncic, Powell, and Jalen Brunson is very appealing. 

Question 5: “Give us a hot take for tonight’s slate.”

Ghost: Dallas beats Charlotte by 10+ behind Doncic’s 30-point effort.

Adam: Luka Doncic outscores every player on the slate by at least 12 fantasy points and no player over $8,500 other than Luka is in the winning lineup. 

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

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