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DraftKings Showdown

So far, there has been no shortage of entertaining football in the Wild Card round. We saw big favorites Buffalo and Cincinnati pull out close wins against backup QBs. We saw the Jaguars pull off one of the best comebacks in NFL postseason history. Here’s hoping that the Dallas vs Tampa Bay showdown closes out the opening weekend with some fireworks. Dallas is listed as a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 45.5 points. Let’s make some cash!

Captain/MVP Plays

Tom Brady, Tampa Bay ($15,000 DraftKings, $15,000 FanDuel)

Betting against Brady is generally a losing proposition in the postseason. Talent-wise, the Cowboys should win this game, and they may very well do that. Regardless, the Bucs go as Brady goes. They have been scoring at a pathetic pace of late, but the Cowboys are serving up yards and points in bunches.

Brady put up his best performance of the season in his last full game, firing off 432 passing yards and four scores (one rushing). He also threw a trio of TD passes a few weeks prior against the Bengals. Brady may just be a lock in lineups for tonight. Win or lose, he will go out swinging.

CeeDee Lamb, Dallas ($15,900 DraftKings, $14,000 FanDuel)

Lamb has been scorching hot over the last month, totaling 22.7, 37, 24, and 16.2 DraftKings points. The Cowboys will need to be at their best if they are going to take down Brady in his own backyard. Lamb has been the most consistent member of the passing game, and I expect Dak to look his way early and often.

Tony Pollard, Dallas ($12,000 DraftKings, $12,500 FanDuel)

It’s Tony Pollard season, and I’m hoping it continues past tonight. The entire offense was pathetic at best last week against Washington, and I’m writing that one off completely. Prior to that, Pollard had shown consistency and upside all in one.

The three previous games, Pollard averaged 13 carries and six targets per contest. He parlayed those opportunites into nearly 250 yards and a pair of scores. Sure, Zeke will still command a good amount of touches, but Pollard’s involvement in the passing game puts him atop the list for me.

FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays

Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay ($7,200 DraftKings, $10,500 FanDuel)

It’s playoff Lenny time! Rachaad White has carved out a nice role in this offense, but I’m riding the Fournette train tonight. The Cowboys have been serving up points in bunches of late, and Fournette is primed to take advantage.

He has massive upside here as well, as shown by his participation in the run and pass game. He is elite at the goalline as well, and if this game plays into Tampa Bay’s hands, he could see 20+ touches. Fire him up!

Dalton Schultz, Dallas ($6,400 DraftKings, $9,500 FanDuel)

Every QB needs a nice safety blanket, and Schultz has carved out that role with the Cowboys. Even in a week where the offense struggled, Schultz saw nine targets against Washington. In fact, he has nine or more targets in three of his last five games.

Dak Prescott needs to find a rhythm in this one and not force the ball into too many tight spots. Schultz should be a popular target tonight.

Other Options

If I have to choose a defense here, it’s the Bucs. Prescott has been wild since his return, and if he plays at all like he did in Week 18, the Cowboys are in trouble. I’m not prioritizing them, but they are in play. I think this one is fairly high scoring.

Mike Evans has a massive ceiling as usual, but I do expect his ownership to be high here. Pairing him with Brady could be an elite combo. From a strategy perspective, I think Chris Godwin is the move for the showdown slate.

Brett Maher hasn’t missed a FG since Week 12. He did miss an XP last week, but he is a solid option here in what should be a high scoring affair. I lean his way over Ryan Succop in this one.

Michael Gallup has 17 targets over the last three weeks, but the erratic Prescott has completed just seven of those attempts. He is a fine option for cheap.

I’m not going to talk anyone out of playing Dak Prescott by any means. If I’m playing one QB though, it’s Brady for me.

Good luck in the showdown slate, and we will see you at the top of the leaderboards!

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Monday Night Football in Week 17 brings us arguably the best MNF matchup the world has ever seen. The 11-4 Bengals host the 12-3 Bills. Cincinnati is inexplicably a 1.5-point underdog, despite playing at home and having not lost since October. As Joe Mixon said “we the big dogs of the AFC”, and the man ain’t wrong. You want to be the champs, you better beat the champs. Enough of my Bengal rambling. This is setting up to be one hell of a game. Let’s find some ways to cash in here!

DraftKings and FanDuel each have a slightly different setup for Showdown slates, with DraftKings using a “Captain” spot. Captain earns you 1.5X points, BUT also costs you 1.5X in salary. FanDuel uses an “MVP”, which is ALSO 1.5X points, but salaries are the same, regardless of position. DraftKings uses 5 FLEX spots, and FanDuel uses 4 “AnyFLEX” spots to fill out your roster.

Captain/MVP Plays

Tee Higgins, Bengals ($14,700 DraftKings, $11,500 FanDuel)

While the masses will flock to JaMarr Chase at the captain spot, I’m on the former Clemson Tiger. Aside from the donut performance against the Browns where he missed nearly the entire game, Higgins has been a monster of late. He has at least 114 and/or a touchdown in every other game since Week NINE.

I’m expecting him to see volume and some shots down the field as Chase draws more attention from the Bills. His consistency and elite role in this offense is often overshadowed by Chase and his brilliance. Don’t forget to get your Tee shares for MNF.

Stefon Diggs, Bills ($15,600 DraftKings, $13,000 FanDuel)

Diggs has been the opposite of Higgins of late. He has totaled just 10 catches for 123 yards and no scores over the last three weeks. Good news for him is the Bengals CB room is depleted. Awuzie is out for the season. Talk all you want about Eli Apple since it’s the popular thing to do for people who just read box scores and don’t watch him play. He has actually been very good this season. He will have his hands full against Diggs.

Cam Taylor-Britt and Mike Hilton will have a word, but Diggs knows how big this moment is for Buffalo. Running against DJ Reader and company isn’t likely a winning scenario quite as much. I’m banking on Diggs having a big game at Paycor Stadium (in a loss, of course).

Joe Mixon, Bengals ($13,500 DraftKings, $12,000 FanDuel)

If you can’t back it up, you better not run your mouth. Joe called out the Bills LBs, saying they “ain’t the Ravens”, then continued with his “big dogs” comment. Well Joe, its time to put your money where your mouth is. The NFL world will never forget is Mixon doesn’t show up for this one. Fortunately for everyone outside of Buffalo, Joedin will be ready.

His volume remains elite, averaging just over 20 opportunities per game over the last two weeks. The Bills have been a middling defense in terms of fantasy points allowed to RB. Their LBs also rank among the worst in the NFL in tackling, per PFF. Joe may just steal the show and win you all the money on MNF. Don’t sleep on him.

FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays

Josh Allen is always an elite play, and I certainly won’t talk you out of him in this monster spot. He has a ceiling that is second to none. His salary is particularly prohibiting though, and I’m trying to jam in as many upside plays as I can for Showdown. Get your shares here, but I’m not forcing him into the bonus spot myself.

Joe Burrow has been the best QB in the NFL recently, and if you disagree, you’re just wrong. I feel similarly with him as I do with Allen here. If you’re playing him, he is best reserved for the FLEX spot, especially on DraftKings where that extra salary can go a long way.

Dawson Knox has been solid recently with 13 catches for 177 yards and three scores in his last three games. The Bengals have been middle of the pack against TE, and Knox could be a difference maker both on the field and in your lineups.

I’m thinking Gabe Davis hauls in a long one here. If that happens, he could change the complexion of the slate immediately. He is reasonably priced, and I’m on him here. I mentioned the Bengals’ issues at CB at times this season, and he could get loose here.

Trenton Irwin may be a name you don’t hear enough for this game. He has found the end zone three times in the last three weeks, and is very cheap. He has earned Burrow’s trust in key spots, and could pay off as the Bills focus on Higgins and Chase.

JaMarr Chase has receiving upside that is second to none in the NFL. By highlighting Higgins above, I absolutely was not telling you to fade Chase. I just think Tee is much lower owned in the bonus spot. Fade JaMarr at your own risk.

Evan McPherson is still a damn fine kicker. He has had a few hiccups this season, but that may just scare some people off here. If these defenses can hold strong on their side of the field, his upside could be 15+ points. Tyler Bass is a fine option as well. He missed a few kicks last week, but much like McPherson, he is a lot better than that performance indicates.

Hayden Hurst is back for this one for the Bengals, but there is only so much that can go around, especially in a tough matchup against the Bills.

All that said, gimme the Bengals by 10. Trying to take off my orange and black glasses for a second…but the bigger dog usually wins the fight, right?

Make sure to join our Discord to jump into our conversations with the team and share your successes (I am “Myrtle Beach Mermen”, if you understand the reference, we will get along right away! We have a TON of great tools for you to check out, make sure you’re taking advantage! You can find projections here and try out the optimizer here.

Good luck on Monday Night, and good luck to the Bengals! Make sure to follow me on Twitter if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

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On the surface, this game looks like a boring one. While that may be true, there is a ton of playoff implication from the result on Sunday Night. The Ravens have clinched a playoff spot, but still have a chance to win the AFC North, contingent on the results this week and next. The Steelers aren’t quite eliminated yet, but there is a non-zero chance they make the playoffs. Mike Tomlin has never had a losing record with Pittsburgh, and he certainly doesn’t want to start now. Let’s dive in!

DraftKings and FanDuel each have a slightly different setup for Showdown slates, with DraftKings using a “Captain” spot. Captain earns you 1.5X points, BUT also costs you 1.5X in salary. FanDuel uses an “MVP”, which is ALSO 1.5X points, but salaries are the same, regardless of position. DraftKings uses 5 FLEX spots, and FanDuel uses 4 “AnyFLEX” spots to fill out your roster.

Captain/MVP Plays

JK Dobbins, Ravens ($15,000 DraftKings, $12,000 FanDuel)

Dobbins has been the lone bright spot in this offense of late, and had plenty of success in the first meeting. He went for 15/120/1 against the Steelers last time out, and he will be relied on heavily once again on Sunday night. The Ravens go as their running game goes, especially with Tyler Huntley under center.

They haven’t been able to find any success consistently through the air. Dobbins should see a huge workload again here, even with Gus Edwards playing well. There aren’t a ton of “safe” plays here, and there may not be a ton of upside either. Regardless, Dobbins is my favorite option on either side.

Pat Freiermuth, Steelers ($10,800 DraftKings, $11,000 FanDuel)

Pat has been the most consistent part of this Steeler offense all season. He has still only found the end zone twice in 2022, but he will be targeted heavily here once again in this matchup. The Ravens have been solid against TE, but I need some shares of “Muth” here.

He went for 3/33/1 on six targets in the first matchup. Fire him up here.

Steelers D/ST ($6,900 DraftKings, $9,000 FanDuel)

The Ravens offense is offensive. We all know this. We remove Lamar Jackson from the equation, and it gets even worse. The Steelers haven’t allowed more than 17 points since week 11 against the Bengals. Tyler Huntley has thrown for one touchdown to two interceptions in four starts. That is…not good. He has also fumbled three times, although Baltimore has recovered each one. I’m all over the 2022 version of the “steel curtain” here.

Other Options

I’m a bit pressed for time, but wanted to make sure I got out a solid article for you all. Here’s a quick breakdown of some guys I’m targeting for SNF showdown.

Najee Harris is finally seeing volume in this offense. The matchup isn’t ideal, but he did find the end zone in their first matchup. Don’t expect a huge yardage performance, and the Steelers still refuse to use him enough in the passing game. That said, a multiple score game isn’t out of the question at all.

Mark Andrews still doesn’t look like he is truly healthy. He is a fine option at a discounted price tag. If you’re looking for a deep play, consider Isaiah Likely. The Steelers will be focusing on the run and Mark Andrews. He could pay off here for dirt cheap, although his floor is true zero.

I’m not interested in Tyler Huntley (see above), but Kenny Pickett could be a decent play. I still hate to pay up for a QB in a game like this (especially one with a 5/9 TD/INT). That said, if he finds paydirt a few times, he could be one of the highest scorers by default in a game that should be low scoring.

Justin Tucker is still one of, if not THE best kickers in the NFL. You always need to have him on your radar, especially in a game that is expected to be a defensive battle.

George Pickens is an idiot, but he has controlled himself of late. His upside would be massive with a competent QB under center. Unfortunately for him, Kenny Pickett is what he’s stuck with. He is a low floor/high ceiling option.

If you absolutely have to have a Baltimore WR, DeMarcus Robinson is the only one I’m interested in here. DeSean Jackson is very cheap, but you’re praying for a deep shot at best in this offense in this matchup.

The Ravens defense could and maybe SHOULD be paired with the Steelers defense here. Both offenses are anemic, and this game could easily be a 13-10 battle. If that’s the case, not having exposure to both defenses would be an enormous mistake.

Make sure to join our Discord to jump into our conversations with the team and share your successes (I am “Myrtle Beach Mermen”, if you understand the reference, we will get along right away! We have a TON of great tools for you to check out, make sure you’re taking advantage! You can find projections here and try out the optimizer here.

Good luck on Sunday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter @BigItaly42 if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

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Thursday night brings us a matchup that actually matters! The Cowboys are traveling to Nashville to take on the coldest team in the NFL. The Titans have been embarrassingly bad over the last month, and now trail Jacksonville in the AFC South. Rumors are circling that Derrick Henry may be limited, but we will assess that soon. Dallas is favored by 10.5 in this one with a total of just 40.5 points. Strap up. The winning lineup here will undoubtedly be unique.

DraftKings and FanDuel each have a slightly different setup for Showdown slates, with DraftKings using a “Captain” spot. Captain earns you 1.5X points, BUT also costs you 1.5X in salary. FanDuel uses an “MVP”, which is ALSO 1.5X points, but salaries are the same, regardless of position. DraftKings uses 5 FLEX spots, and FanDuel uses 4 “AnyFLEX” spots to fill out your roster.

Captain/MVP Plays

Ezekiel Elliott, Cowboys ($13,200 DraftKings, $13,000 FanDuel)

Trivia question…when was the last game Zeke played where he didn’t score a touchdown? The answer is October 9th. Yes, almost 90 days ago. The Titans have been stout against the run, but they seem to be tanking for this one. Tony Pollard is one of my favorite players in the NFL, but he is banged-up coming into this one at best.

Zeke will likely see close to 20 opportunities in this one as the Cowboys fight for playoff positioning. Zeke certainly isn’t efficient, but volume is king. Expect him to carry the backfield in an easy win as the Cowboys roll over the Titans.

Hassan Haskins, Titans ($4,500 DraftKings, $6,000 FanDuel)

Hear me out on this one. Yes, Derrick Henry will still play in this one. The Titans also have very little to play for here, as their likelihood of making the playoffs changes very little on TNF. Dontrell Hilliard is on IR, which leaves Haskins as the next man standing.

Malik Willis hasn’t shown the ability to make ANY plays down the field. In the three games where he saw 10+ pass attempts…his TOTAL output is embarrasing.

25/49 for 235 yards, 0 TD and 3 INT. Whether they want to or not, the Titans will be prioritizing running the ball. If the rumors are true that Henry will be limited…Haskins could be the best play on the board. The Cowboys have been among the best against the run in 2022…but that doesn’t matter here. Did I mention potential volume? This whole showdown is a big risk…but Haskins is my favorite one to take a shot on for TNF.

CeeDee Lamb, Cowboys ($17,100 DraftKings, $15,000 FanDuel)

Listen, there is a non-zero chance that this game is competitive. If that happens (I don’t think it will), then Lamb needs to be one of your first clicks. He has been one of the most underrated players in the NFL this season, totaling 91-1207-8 on the season.

The Titans have been one of the worst in the NFL against the pass. Lamb could find a way to hit value on just a few series.

FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays

Derrick Henry, Titans ($10,800 DraftKings, $16,000 FanDuel)

I’ll be honest with you. This showdown slate is one that I absolutely hate. I’d advise you either invest small, or if you think you have an edge, take advantage. Henry would easily be one of the top options in this one during normal circumstances. I still believe he will see a decent amount of work, but if this game isn’t close, he will be the first one off the field.

There is some game theory to fading him completely, but that one is tough for me. The Titans are truly incapable of making plays down the field in the passing game. Malik Willis does NOT look capable of running an NFL offense. The Cowboys are a longshot to make significant moves in the playoff race, but there is a chance. Henry could break the slate with one long run…or a fade could give you an edge over a majority of the field.

Cowboys D/ST ($5,800 DraftKings, $10,000 FanDuel)

The Cowboys defense is the easiest play of the entire showdown slate. If you’re playing MME, you need some captain exposure. I am 100% aboard the Cowboys train here. Even if Malik Willis tries to make plays down the field, he won’t find success.

Micah Parsons and company are going to dominate this offense, and if the Titans get aggressive? The Cowboys D/ST may the the stone cold nuts of the slate.

Chig Okonkwo, Titans ($4,800 DraftKings, $7,500 FanDuel)

I’ve already said it, but I will say it again. There might not be a QB in the league LESS ready to face the Cowboys defense than Malik Willis. He looks truly overmatched on the field. He will be looking to complete short passes, and I would be stunned to see Chig not hit value here. I expect him to be busy in the short passing game, but be prepared for the ‘Boys to jump a route and take one to the house.

Other Options

Kickers are always in play, but especially on a slate like this one. I truly don’t believe the Titans are willing (or capable) of keeping this one competitive. As a Bengals fan, I know how much Randy Bullock sucks in the clutch. Fortunately, there won’t be any clutch time here. Brett Maher looks like a very solid play here.

If I’m Malik Willis, I’m taking as many shots as I can in this one. Treylon Burks is still the most talented WR on this roster, and needs to be on your radar for cheap. I’m not a fan of this Titans offense ever, and especially now. That said, someone will have to score a few points. He could break one.

Call me crazy, but I don’t think the Cowboys need to do much in this one to win. Dalton Schultz has been a key part of this offense when healthy. Jake Ferguson has shown some flashes, and I think he is a viable punt option here. We may see some Cooper Rush late in this game. I can’t fathom a game that isn’t a blowout here.

My main advice here is to get creative. I truly think we see a game that ends around 35-9 for this one. The Titans are fighting a losing battle that has no prize this week.

You all know I love Tony Pollard. He was the first player I wanted to write up here. I just think the Cowboys take it easy on him here. He is a fine play, but has been limited at best all week in practice. Tread lightly.

Make sure to join our Discord to jump into our conversations with the team and share your successes (I am “Myrtle Beach Mermen”, if you understand the reference, we will get along right away! We have a TON of great tools for you to check out, make sure you’re taking advantage! You can find projections here and try out the optimizer here.

Good luck on Thursday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

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Monday brings us an opportunity to see Justin Herbert clinch a playoff spot, and I’m here for it. Not only does he have the best first name available, but he has had a fantastic season. Tua spent Sunday ruining his reputation against the 6-8 Packers, and now it’s Herbert time. The gap between the two is significant in my book, but my book doesn’t matter. The Chargers should take care of business, but there is plenty for everyone to enjoy here. Let’s make some cash.

DraftKings and FanDuel each have a slightly different setup for Showdown slates, with DraftKings using a “Captain” spot. Captain earns you 1.5X points, BUT also costs you 1.5X in salary. FanDuel uses an “MVP”, which is ALSO 1.5X points, but salaries are the same, regardless of position. DraftKings uses 5 FLEX spots, and FanDuel uses 4 “AnyFLEX” spots to fill out your roster.

Captain/MVP Plays

Justin Herbert, Chargers ($15,600 DraftKings, $16,000 FanDuel)

I’m sure you are absolutely stunned to see Herbert as the first write-up here. The guy has been fantastic all season, although he is coming off his worst game of the season. He threw for 313 yards against the Titans, but posted a 0/2 TD/INT. This week, with so much on the line, I’m expecting big things from Justin.

The Colts are 22nd in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to opposing QB, but have been a disaster of late. They got embarrassed by Kirk Cousins and company in the midst of a 33-point comeback in Week 15, and this matchup doesn’t inspire confidence. Herbert and company have a lot to play for in this one.

Herbert has hit the 300+ yards bonus in three straight games on DraftKings, and could do the same on MNF. Fire him up and enjoy him clinching a playoff spot for the first time in his young career.

Austin Ekeler, Chargers ($16,500 DraftKings, $16,500 FanDuel)

Ekeler is yet another Charger in a great spot in this one. The Colts have allowed over 26 fantasy points per game to opposing RB this season. While Ekeler isn’t a traditional back, his success in the passing game is second to none. Last week was not one of his finer performances, turning 14 touches on 15 opportunities into 70 yards and a score.

For all the issues the Titans have, they have been elite against opposing RB in 2022. This is not the same situation. Ekeler could (and should) feast against this very vulnerable defense. I know I wrote up Herbert first here, but Ekeler is my favorite play on the showdown slate. His upside here is 30+, and that may be conservative.

Zack Moss and Deon Jackson, Colts

The Chargers have been very vulnerable against the run this season, but I think you already knew that. They are serving up just under 26 fantasy points per game, and 16 touchdowns on the season to opposing RB. The bulk of the damage has come on the ground (1,795 yards…2nd most in the NFL…and 12 touchdowns), which makes me lean toward Moss.

He was admirable, although not slate-breaking last week in Jonathan Taylor’s stead. He rushed 24 times for 81 yards, and failed to catch his only target. With Nick Foles making his first start of the season, I’m expecting the Colts to go run-heavy.

Jackson is more of a pass-catching target, but also saw 13 carries last week against Minnesota. If game script dictates a big Charger lead, then Jackson is the move with upside. I’m confident that Moss will dominate the goal-line work. I lean that way if choosing one, but playing both makes a LOT of sense in this one.

FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays

Keenan Allen, Chargers ($9,800 DraftKings, $13,500 FanDuel)

No matter what, Keenan Allen just GETS HIS. He has continued to be a target hog, and his floor is arguably the best in this game. Since his return in Week 11, he has seen 8, 7, 14, 14, and 9 targets, amassing at least 86 yards in each contest.

I don’t know that he has the upside I want in a bonus spot here, but he is an absolute lock for me in the FLEX spot. He should see 8-10 targets, and if this game is close…maybe even more.

Michael Pittman, Jr., Colts ($8,200 DraftKings, $13,000 FanDuel)

Love him or hate him, Nick Foles has made a name for himself in the NFL. Last time I checked, Napoleon Dynamite still beat Tom Brady in the Super Bowl. I did mention that the Colts should go run-heavy in this one, but Foles will still need to make plays in the passing game.

Pittman has averaged almost 10 targets per game over his last three, and is the clear top option in this offense. I personally believe that he will do very well with Foles under center.

Other Options

Alec Pierce was dominated last week against the Vikings. The Chargers are a much more vulnerable defense, and I’m back in on him at a very cheap tag, especially on DK.

Gerald Everett has continued to have an important role in this offense with 20 targets over the last three weeks. The Colts are middle of the pack against TE, but you all are aware of my affinity toward Everett.

Once again, “Dicker the Kicker” is in play. He has been fantastic for the Chargers this season in relief, missing just one of 17 FG attempts.

Jelani Woods is still very cheap, and it is hard to say how much Nick Foles will be looking his way. That said, he has still totaled 162 yards in his last three contests.

Joshua Kelley scored a touchdown last time out, and needs to be on your radar here. Austin Ekeler still dominates the backfield touches, but he has seen valuable work of late.

Parris Campbell is always on the radar in the passing game. Give him a shot if you are going the MME route, although I’m not particularly high on him here in SE.

Make sure to join our Discord to jump into our conversations with the team and share your successes (I am “Myrtle Beach Mermen”, if you understand the reference, we will get along right away! We have a TON of great tools for you to check out, make sure you’re taking advantage! You can find projections here and try out the optimizer here.

Good luck on Monday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

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If anyone had told you at the beginning of the season that the Jets/Jaguars showdown Week 16 had playoff implications, you would have called them crazy. Well that thought has become a reality. The 6-8 Jaguars are just a game out of 1st in the AFC South, while the 7-7 Jets are fighting for a wild card spot. New York (New Jersey though, am I right?) is favored by one point with a total of just 36 points. Let’s keep the hot streak on showdowns rolling!

DraftKings and FanDuel each have a slightly different setup for Showdown slates, with DraftKings using a “Captain” spot. Captain earns you 1.5X points, BUT also costs you 1.5X in salary. FanDuel uses an “MVP”, which is ALSO 1.5X points, but salaries are the same, regardless of position. DraftKings uses 5 FLEX spots, and FanDuel uses 4 “AnyFLEX” spots to fill out your roster.

Captain/MVP Plays

Trevor Lawrence, Jaguars ($17,100 DraftKings, $16,500 FanDuel)

Aside from a small bump in the road against Detroit, T-Law may be the hottest QB in the NFL over the last month. He has thrown for 11 touchdowns to just one interception, and has at least 318 yards in three of his last four. The Jets have been one of the best defenses in football, but there’s no way I’m fading T-Law right now.

The Jets have surrendered just 13 touchdown passes allowed this entire season. Something has to give, and I’m banking on the suddenly hot Jaguars to keep it going. Not only has Lawrence been on fire, but he is throwing the ball a LOT. He has attempted 40, 37, 31, 42, and 42 passes in his last five games. Volume alone will keep him in play in this one, and I’m all aboard the Jaguars bandwagon right now. DUVALLLLLL!

Garrett Wilson, Jets ($13,500 DraftKings, $13,500 FanDuel)

Wilson has found a way over the last month regardless of who has been under center. He has posted 26.4, 27.2, 13.8, and 13.8 points in his last four games. The Jags have been a solid defensive unit for much of the season. They have still served up over 35 fantasy points per game to opposing WR, and Wilson has been the Jets’ rock.

Having Zach Wilson under center isn’t a good thing for anyone but Zach Wilson. That said, he was competent last week. His accuracy is still embarrassingly bad for a professional QB, but Wilson will remain the top target. Garrett is quickly approaching the 1,000 yard mark, and will likely hit it on Thursday night. He is averaging almost 10 targets per game over his last four (highlighted by 15 against Minnesota). If you want upside on the Jets offense, your first glance needs to be at their stud rookie.

Christian Kirk, Jaguars ($15,300 DraftKings, $13,000 FanDuel)

While the masses flock to Zay Jones here, I’m pivoting to Kirk to be different. Not only is he more expensive, but he will undoubtedly be lower owned. Jones has totaled 14-186-4 over his last two games, and has been a top-7 WR in fantasy in both weeks. He may be getting some extra attention from Mr. Sauce Gardner in this one, and that’s what I’m hoping.

Now let’s get back to Kirk. Despite the monster performances of late for Jones, Kirk has still had plenty of value. His last six games look like this (DraftKings points):

21.6

34.5

8.1

19.4

9.5

15.2

Not too shabby. Against the Lions a few weeks back, Jones struggled to the tune of just 2-16 on seven targets. What did Kirk do? Be the #1 WR he is being paid to be. He picked up the slack with a 6-104 line on eight targets. Jones has asserted himself, but in my mind, Kirk is still the top dawg. If we can get him at a fraction of the ownership, even better.

FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays

Zonovan Knight, Jets ($7,000 DraftKings, $12,500 FanDuel)

Another option I’m looking at that could come in lower owned than he should is Knight. Yet another rookie (and a UDFA at that) who is making waves. He is coming off a weak game with just 13 carries for 23 yards. That also occurred against the Cowboys, who we all know are one of the top units in the league. Well, good news for us…the Jaguars are not the Cowboys.

Jacksonville ranks 23rd in the NFL, allowing nearly 25 fantasy points per game to opposing RB. Michael Carter will see some work in this one, but it still looks like Knight’s job to lose while Breece Hall is on IR until next year. James Robinson could be a threat to take some work also, but I’m still holding steady on the Knight train myself.

Evan Engram, Jaguars ($7,600 DraftKings, $11,000 FanDuel)

Speaking of hot players, Engram continues to roll. He has totaled 70.4 DraftKings points over the last three, directly coinciding with the Trevor Lawrence breakout. He has at least 14 DK points in each of those games (and 42.2 against the Titans).

The Jets aren’t a team we would be going out of our way to target heavily on a full slate, but this isn’t a full slate, is it? Engram is actually in a decent spot. The Jets are 22nd in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to opposing TE. Engram has seen thirty-two targets over the last three weeks.

Volume, volume, volume. Three times is enough, right? Volume.

Jaguars D/ST ($3,800 DraftKings, $9,000 FanDuel)

Is the Jaguars defense better than the Jets defense? Absolutely not. But Trevor Lawrence is about 10000x better than Zach Wilson. The MILF-hunter himself has seven scores and seven turnovers in eight games this season. He quite simply has been terrible. Even the Jets don’t want to start him, but Mike White is injured. Consider it a blessing. It will truly be a Christmas miracle if Wilson doesn’t turn the ball over in this one. I’ll call my shot with a defensive score on TNF for Jacksonville…and just imagine the leverage when that happens. I mentioned how I’m high on the Jags, right? This is a plug and play for me.

Other Options

I’m not super high on Elijah Moore here. I much prefer Garrett Wilson and not much else in the Jets passing game.

Chasing CJ Uzomah’s “big” performance seems incredibly foolish. He scored on both of his targets, and now has a whopping 17-178-2 line on the season. Pass. Big Pass. Mega pass. Uber pass.

If you’re absolutely dead set on another member of the Jets’ passing attack, give me Tyler Conklin. He has actually produced at times this season, and volume has been there when playing from behind more often than not.

Marvin Jones is always a threat to find the end zone, and with the Jags’ passing volume, he will see some looks.

Let’s not forget about Travis Etienne, Jr...he faces a tall task against this defense, but his speed and elusiveness could lead to him breaking the slate on a single play. I’m more focused on the passing game, but you absolutely NEED exposure to him. He is arguably the most talented player in the pool for this showdown.

Listen, the Jets’ QB sucks. Have you heard that yet? They will struggle to finish drives, which leads us to Greg “The Leg” Zuerlein. He is a few years removed from being elite, but he still has a massive range. They used to call him “Legatron”, right? Maybe not, but I still like him here.

Riley Patterson is in play here too. The total is very low…Vegas isn’t expecting many touchdowns. Get some legs in your lineups.

Make sure to join our Discord to jump into our conversations with the team and share your successes (I am “Myrtle Beach Mermen”, if you understand the reference, we will get along right away! We have a TON of great tools for you to check out, make sure you’re taking advantage! You can find projections here and try out the optimizer here.

Good luck on Thursday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

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Sunday Night Football brings us a rematch of two teams who are still fighting for their playoff lives in Week 15. The Commanders and Giants tied in their last matchup on December 4th. A loss by either team will dramatically hurt playoff chances, so this game is as big of one as either team will see down the stretch. The Eagles and Cowboys are both well ahead of these two in the NFC East, but the wildcard is in play. Let’s hope for some fireworks in this one.

DraftKings and FanDuel each have a slightly different setup for Showdown slates, with DraftKings using a “Captain” spot. Captain earns you 1.5X points, BUT also costs you 1.5X in salary. FanDuel uses an “MVP”, which is ALSO 1.5X points, but salaries are the same, regardless of position. DraftKings uses 5 FLEX spots, and FanDuel uses 4 “AnyFLEX” spots to fill out your roster.

Captain/MVP Plays

Terry McLaurin, Commanders ($14,700 DraftKings, $14,000 FanDuel)

We saw a monster performance from “Scary Terry” last time out against these same Giants. The former Buckeye is primed to have a big day once again. He hauled in eight of 12 targets for 105 yards and a score, and will be a focal point of the passing attack once again.

The score last game was inexplicably only his third of the season, but I’m banking on him finding paydirt again on SNF. Over the last two weeks, the Giants have allowed a ridiculous 49 fantasy points per game to opposing WR. McLaurin is one of my favorite plays here, but he will undoubtedly be heavily owned.

Saquon Barkley, Giants ($18,300 DraftKings, $16,500 FanDuel)

Saquon continues to be a workhorse for the Giants, and they will need another big performance here to pull off the win. He turned 23 touches into 81 yards and a score in their first matchup. Granted, there was bonus football there, but Saquon is still the focal point of this offense.

The Commanders have been stout against the run, and Chase Young may (or may not, who knows anymore) play in this one. This isn’t an ideal matchup by any means, but a Saquon bet is a bet on talent. The Giants need to get him involved in the passing game, and if they do, the sky is the limit.

Brian Robinson, Jr, Commanders ($12,000 DraftKings, $13,000 FanDuel)

Not only is Brian Robinson’s comeback story a great one, but his ascent to the top of the Commanders backfield has been a great one as well. He is averaging 22 touches per game over the last two weeks, including some passing work (5 catches on 5 targets after seeing zero the previous two weeks).

Volume is king as always, and Robinson has volume on lock. The Giants have been just below average against the run this season. Over the past four weeks, only the Seahawks have served up more fantasy points per game to RB than the Giants. Over that span, the Giants have given up nearly 700 yards of total offense to RB and eight scores. Robinson is an elite play on SNF.

FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays

Daniel Jones, Giants ($10,200 DraftKings, $15,000 FanDuel)

The Giants continue to ask “Danny Dimes” to throw the ball more than they rightfully should, so let’s take advantage of that. With the Commanders’ toughness against the run, the Giants will need to make some plays in the passing game.

You always love the floor that Jones provides rushing the ball, and he has averaged six attempts per game over the last five weeks. He has five rushing scores on the season, and only four interceptions. He takes care of the football, and was solid in the first matchup.

It’s Danny Dimes time on SNF. If the Giants want to make the playoffs, they need Jones to make big plays.

Isaiah Hodgins, Giants ($5,600 DraftKings, $10,000 FanDuel)

Don’t look now, but Hodgins has been a machine over the last two weeks. He has been targeted six times in each game, and totaled 9-82-2. Jones has been looking his way often, and his price tag is very friendly. Surely we aren’t banking on a touchdown every week, but at this price tag, we will be happy with six targets once again. Let him work!

Darius Slayton, Giants ($7,400 DraftKings, $11,500 FanDuel)

I do expect the Giants to throw the ball 30+ times in this one, and Slayton is the default #1. He has only found the end zone twice this season, but has 86+ yards in three of his last five games. I do believe in Jones being able to make plays here, and I’m getting myself some Slayton shares here. I don’t see him as a ceiling play, but he is a solid midrange option.

Other Options

I’m not huge on Taylor Heinicke as a fantasy player ever. He is a fine real-life quarterback, but I don’t expect huge numbers for him ever. He has a ceiling of about 18 points, which is great if you get him there. I just hate to pay QB price tag for a guy who has nine touchdown passes in seven games.

Get yourselves some kickers in this one. I prefer Joey Slye a bit, but Graham Gano is in play here of course.

The Commanders defense is an interesting one. Daniel Jones doesn’t turn the ball over much, but if Chase Young returns, Washington could wreak some havoc on the Giants backfield. If Young is OUT, I’m not much of a fan of the unit on this showdown slate.

I love Jahan Dotson. I’ll be slotting him into plenty of lineups here also. The kid has made some unbelievable plays this season, and his future is bright. Get yourself some shares.

Lawrence Cager is dirt cheap and could pay off here. Daniel Bellinger is questionable, but I don’t mind Cager at $1,400 even if he suits up.

Richie James has at least 13.8 DraftKings points in three of his last four games (the exclusion being five against these Commanders). He is a fine filler as well.

Make sure to join our Discord to jump into our conversations with the team and share your successes (I am “Myrtle Beach Mermen”, if you understand the reference, we will get along right away! We have a TON of great tools for you to check out, make sure you’re taking advantage! You can find projections here and try out the optimizer here.

Good luck on Sunday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter @BigItaly42 if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

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Two teams headed the opposite direction face off this week on Thursday Night Football. The 49ers, winners of six straight, travel to Seattle to take on the reeling Seahawks. The Seahawks have lost three of four since a 6-3 start. They are fighting for their playoff lives, and this one would go a long way toward clinching a postseason spot. San Fransisco is favored by 3.5 in this one, with the total set at 43.5. Let’s get ready to rumble!

DraftKings and FanDuel each have a slightly different setup for Showdown slates, with DraftKings using a “Captain” spot. Captain earns you 1.5X points, BUT also costs you 1.5X in salary. FanDuel uses an “MVP”, which is ALSO 1.5X points, but salaries are the same, regardless of position. DraftKings uses 5 FLEX spots, and FanDuel uses 4 “AnyFLEX” spots to fill out your roster.

Captain/MVP Plays

Christian McCaffrey, 49ers ($17,100 DraftKings, $17,500 FanDuel)

The most obvious play of this showdown slate is CMC. With Deebo Samuel and Elijah Mitchell both OUT for this one, CMC will be relied upon even more. Only the Texans are serving up more fantasy points per game to opposing RB than the Seahawks. This is a match made in heaven for McCaffrey and the 49ers.

CMC only touched the ball 16 times last week (14 carries, 2 catches), but he turned those opportunities into 154 yards and a pair of scores. He is now averaging 30 DraftKings PPG over the last two weeks. This type of production is what you pay for on slates like this. With the new hero in town Brock Purdy banged up also, San Fran will need as much as they can get from their star deadline acquisition.

DK Metcalf, Seahawks ($15,000 DraftKings, $12,000 FanDuel)

If you’re not playing CMC up top, Metcalf makes sense for a few reasons. The Seahawks will have a tough time finding success on the ground against the #1 run defense in the NFL. They are giving up less than 16 fantasy points per game to opposing RB.

Conversely, the 49ers are vulnerable against WR, serving up just over 35 fantasy points per game (23rd in the NFL). Metcalf is a tough cover for anyone, and continues to see elite volume. He has averaged nearly 10 targets per game over his last six. Geno will be looking his way early and often, especially if the running game struggles. If Seattle gets down big, even better. Metcalf is one of my favorite plays in this one.

George Kittle, 49ers ($12,000 DraftKings, $10,500 FanDuel)

Call me crazy here, but I love Kittle in this spot. I know the production hasn’t been there, but with multiple key weapons out, this is a primo spot for the former Hawkeye. Kittle has just nine catches for 76 yards COMBINED over the last three weeks.

Even better. His ownership will hopefully be low due to his recent duds, and I’m here to take advantage. Seattle has been getting cooked by TE all season. You all know how bad the Cardinals have been against TE, and they are still the only team worse than Seattle. Kittle should feast here, regardless of who is under center.

FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays

Brandon Aiyuk, 49ers ($8,800 DraftKings, $13,000 FanDuel)

I already mentioned the injuries that continue to pile up for the 49ers, and Aiyuk is poised to benefit. He can take on some of the Deebo Samuel workload, and has already been productive this season (13.5 DK PPG). He doesn’t need to make big splash plays down the field to find ways to hit value, and I’m expecting him to be busy here.

Tyler Lockett, Seahawks ($10,200 DraftKings, $11,500 FanDuel)

All Tyler Lockett does is score touchdowns. He continues to be one of the most underrated WR in the NFL, and has been the model of consistency. He has scored a touchdown in six consecutive games, and eight overall in his last nine. He has only hit 100 yards once in his last eight games, but if you’re playing him, it isn’t for the yardage. It’s for paydirt.

Jordan Mason, 49ers ($4,800 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel)

If I’m huge on CMC, I have to give a look to Mason as well. He has totaled 19 carries for 107 yards over the last two weeks. If he sees similar volume again in this one, he could be a difference maker on this slate. If he can somehow steal a touchdown, he’s going to be a player you need to have in your lineups at this price.

Other Options

Kickers are both in play here. Robbie Gould hasn’t missed a FG attempt since Week 5, and Jason Myers has only missed one all season. Kickers continue to play big roles in showdown, and I’ll be on both. Slight edge to Myers for me.

Jauan Jennings posted a dud last week, but the 49ers didn’t need to do much in the way of the passing game in the second half. I’ll mention one more time about Deebo being out. Jennings is reasonably priced to take advantage of an increased workload.

Kenneth Walker has slate-breaking upside on a main slate, so he is more than capable here. The 49ers have been the best in the NFL against RB, but Walker is special. My main issue is that the Seahawks could take it easy on his workload here in his first game back from injury. He is a fine play, but not one that I will be prioritizing. His price on DK may be too good to pass up though, so I’ll have some exposure in MME.

I’m not chasing the points with Marquise Goodwin here. He had a huge game last week, but I’m not expecting that here against San Fran. I’ll take DK and Lockett and hope the field chases last week’s big game here.

Noah Fant and Will Dissly could be deep options, I side with Fant, but am not excited about either one here.

Make sure to join our Discord to jump into our conversations with the team and share your successes (I am “Myrtle Beach Mermen”, if you understand the reference, we will get along right away! We have a TON of great tools for you to check out, make sure you’re taking advantage! You can find projections here and try out the optimizer here.

Good luck on Thursday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

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Sunday Night Football was really good to the WDS team. We had a takedown and plenty of green across the board! For Monday, we shift to an non-conference battle between the Patriots and Cardinals. The Patriots are fighting for their playoff lives, and each game is inching closer to a must-win for this 6-6 squad. The Cardinals are in the midst of yet another disappointing season. Let’s find ourselves an edge to make some cash here! New England is favored by 2.5 with a total of 43.5 points.

DraftKings and FanDuel each have a slightly different setup for Showdown slates, with DraftKings using a “Captain” spot. Captain earns you 1.5X points, BUT also costs you 1.5X in salary. FanDuel uses an “MVP”, which is ALSO 1.5X points, but salaries are the same, regardless of position. DraftKings uses 5 FLEX spots, and FanDuel uses 4 “AnyFLEX” spots to fill out your roster.

Captain/MVP Plays

Rhamondre Stevenson, Patriots ($13,200 DraftKings, $14,000 FanDuel)

Rhamondre is always my go-to guy in this lackluster Patriots offense. Arizona allows over 24 fantasy points per game to opposing backs, and Stevenson has been elite. The Cardinals have served up over 1500 total yards and 12 scores (8 rushing, 4 receiving) to opposing backs this season.

Stevenson had a poor outing last week against the Bills, but the entire offense was underwater all night. He still totaled 10 carries and hauled in six of eight targets. The volume and opportunity are there, especially against a vulnerable Arizona defense. I mentioned above how badly the Patriots need wins, and relying on their workhorse is their best chance at success here. Fire him up as an elite option once again, especially as Mac Jones continues to struggle. Did I mention that Damien Harris is DOUBTFUL for this one?

DeAndre Hopkins, Cardinals ($17,400 DraftKings, $14,500 FanDuel)

My sons have recently taken on an obsession with football, and are constantly making lists of their “top” or favorite players at each position. I had to introduce them to D-Hop since they are new to the game. The man just continues to defy odds with some of the plays he makes, and tonight should be more of the same.

New England has been one of the better defenses in the NFL this season, but have shown a vulnerability to opposing WR of late. Over the last four games, they have given up over 37 fantasy points per game to opposing WR. They continue to be stout against the run, so I will be focusing my attention to the passing game here.

Despite seeing only six targets last week, Hopkins still managed a 4-87-1 line. That was his third straight game posting at least 18 DraftKings points. He is still the focal point of this offense, and even a Bill Belichick defense is unlikely to stop him. I’m all over D-Hop here.

Hunter Henry, Patriots ($8,400 DraftKings, $7,500 FanDuel)

I’m going off the wall with my third suggestion for your bonus spot. Henry still doesn’t see a ton of volume, but this is such a prime matchup, he simply cannot be ignored. Arizona is allowing 25% more fantasy points than ANY other team this season to opposing TE.

We have seen what Henry can do, and two weeks ago he posted 15.3 DraftKings points. Mac Jones continues to struggle to make plays down the field, and Henry will be a benefactor on MNF. Jakobi Meyers is also OUT for this one, so there will be a few more looks to go around. Henry is one of my favorite plays in this one.

FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays

Marquise Brown, Cardinals ($7,600 DraftKings, $13,000 FanDuel)

Rondale Moore is OUT for this one, and with D-Hop likely to take the attention down the field, Brown could benefit. Volume could play a big factor here in Brown’s second game back from injury. He caught six of eight targets for 46 yards in his return. A range of 10-15 points is just fine for him here in the midrange of salaries.

Devante Parker, Patriots ($5,800 DraftKings, $7,500 FanDuel)

With Meyers OUT and Damien Harris unlikely to play, we need someone to step up in this Pats offense. Parker has shown some flashes of late, hauling in six of 10 targets over the last two weeks for 96 yards. We will just go ahead and pretend like last week’s disaster against the Bills doesn’t count though, right?

Greg Dortch, Cardinals ($2,200 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel)

A Dortch fade may be one of the craziest on this slate, especially on DK. He is coming off of a monster performance in his last game against the 49ers in Week 11 (9-103 on 10 targets). Yes, his floor is low, but he will see a lot of quick looks from Kyler Murray in the absence of Rondale Moore. He’s a lock for me at this price tag.

Other Options

Nick Folk struggled last week, and was replaced by Tristan Vizcaino. He is back to being the only active kicker on the roster this week, and is a fine play indoors in Arizona. Matt Prater has got to be about 75 years old by now, but keeps making kicks. He is 10-11 on the season. Kickers should be solid value in this one.

Mac Jones is dead to me. I just have such little faith in him posting a big line, so I have a hard time forcing him into my showdown lineups at his price tag. I don’t love the matchup for Kyler Murray, but I’m all over the wideouts, and his rushing floor makes him a viable play.

James Conner has a solid floor due to his ability to catch the ball. I don’t see him producing much on the ground here, but the upside is still there. He is averaging four targets per game over the last month.

Kyler Murray has fumbled six times (2 lost) and thrown four picks over his last five games. The Patriots defense is more than capable of taking advantage of mistakes. I like them as a FLEX play here in this one.

Make sure to join our Discord to jump into our conversations with the team and share your successes (I am “Myrtle Beach Mermen”, if you understand the reference, we will get along right away! We have a TON of great tools for you to check out, make sure you’re taking advantage! You can find projections here and try out the optimizer here.

Good luck on Monday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

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This is what I’m talking about. The Dolphins and Chargers square off on Sunday Night Football. Justin Herbert vs Tua Tagovailoa. A lot will be settled in this one, but this game means exponentially more to the Chargers. They come into this one with a 32% chance of making the playoffs, while the Dolphins sit pretty at 88%. The Dolphins, fresh off a brutal beating by…Brock Purdy…are favored by 3.5 here with a massive total of 54.5. Let’s find some edges here!

DraftKings and FanDuel each have a slightly different setup for Showdown slates, with DraftKings using a “Captain” spot. Captain earns you 1.5X points, BUT also costs you 1.5X in salary. FanDuel uses an “MVP”, which is ALSO 1.5X points, but salaries are the same, regardless of position. DraftKings uses 5 FLEX spots, and FanDuel uses 4 “AnyFLEX” spots to fill out your roster.

Captain/MVP Plays

Justin Herbert, Chargers ($16,200 DraftKings, $16,500 FanDuel)

Listen, just because I list Herbert first doesn’t mean that I think he is better than Tua…or does it? None of that matters here, all that matters are fantasy points. Herbert continues to throw the ball at a massive rate (47 attempts each of the last two weeks), and has 6 TD/1 INT in his last three games.

Mike Williams may not be 100%, but he is expected back for this one, which is a massive boost for Justin. Keenan Allen looks to be back to his old self, and this Chargers offense is as healthy as it has been all season.

Expect Herbert to be aggressive against a Dolphins defense that has allowed the 4th-most fantasy points to opposing QB this season. The Chargers will need to keep their young signal-caller upright if he is going to have success. He has been sacked 16 times over his last four games…and the Dolphins have 14 sacks in their last four.

Herbert may take some hits, but I’m expecting a big performance with the Chargers’ playoff hopes hanging by a thread.

Tyreek Hill, Dolphins ($17,100 DraftKings, $15,500 FanDuel)

He’s one of the easiest players to dislike in the NFL, but damn he is good. Hill is on a historic pace this season, having already amassed 96 catches for 1,379 yards. Inexplicably, he has just five touchdowns, but that’s the only negative you can find in his game.

The Dolphins let their foot off the gas against the Browns and Texans, which led to a dip in production for Hill across a two-week span. He blasted off against the 49ers with a 9/146 line on 14 targets. The Chargers’ main weakness is their run defense, and have actually been above average against WR. Hill ain’t your regular WR. He is very expensive, but his ceiling is simply massive.

Austin Ekeler, Chargers ($16,500 DraftKings, $15,000 FanDuel)

I’m not really interested in paying down for my bonus spot. These three (along with Tua or a sprinkle of Waddle) are my main targets for SNF. I can save salary elsewhere. The upside with this group is simply too high to ignore.

Ekeler has a tremendous floor due to his high volume in the passing game. He has seen 16, 12, 8, 12, 2, 15, and 6 targets in recent games. The return of Allen and now Williams will undoubtedly cut into that, but I’m not overly concerned. In a fast-paced offense that tends to play from behind a lot, Ekeler will continue to be heavily involved.

Over the last two weeks, the Dolphins have been dominated by opposing RB from a fantasy perspective. They have allowed 16 grabs for 111 yards and a pair of scores to RB over that span. Only 139 rushing yards, but Ekeler isn’t a volume runner in the way that he is a pass-catcher. He’s in a good spot here, and the Chargers need all the help they can get.

FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays

Tua Tagovailoa, Dolphins ($10,400 DraftKings, $16,000 FanDuel)

I briefly mentioned Tua above, and I’ll keep this short and sweet. If you remove the 6 TD game, Tua has only been a great fantasy asset in three other games this season. He has totaled 14.8, 11.44, 3.4 (injury), 15.94, 15.96, and 16.8 DraftKings points in his other six games.

He is a fantastic real-life QB, but more often than not, I’m not thrilled about his upside. The Dolphins should (but will they?) rely on the run here quite a bit (more on that in a minute), so I’m not expecting a ceiling game here. That said, Tua could pay off quite nicely. I just prefer the options above at similar price points.

Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson, Jr., Dolphins

Hear me out on this one. Wilson was a ghost last week against the 49ers, while Mostert didn’t exactly set the world on fire either. The Chargers are an elite matchup for opposing RB, allowing over 27 fantasy points per game and 15 touchdowns on the season.

Both are priced in the mid-tier range, and I’m a big fan of rostering both here. Mike McDaniel and company know how to take advantage of a mismatch, and this is a mismatch. The Dolphins remain one of the highest volume passing attacks in the NFL, but would be wise to take what the defense is giving them.

I’ll be throwing this duo into a few lineups together. Wilson looked fantastic over his three games prior to last week. I can’t fathom a scenario where the Dolphins run the ball just eight times here. I lean toward Wilson if choosing one, but if you’re going MME, throwing both in together on a lineup or two looks nice.

Keenan Allen, Chargers ($8,200 DraftKings, $12,000 FanDuel)

I touched briefly on Allen’s production since his return, but let’s take a deeper look. Over three games since his return he has posted the following lines:

5-94 (8 targets) 13.4 DraftKings points

5-49-1 (7) 15.9

6-88-1 (14) 20.8

He is trending up, and Mike Williams being back will have a minor effect, and possibly even a positive one. He is still Herbert’s safety blanket, and it is easy to project him leading the team in targets.

Other Options

Jaylen Waddle may be the lost player who isn’t getting as much attention as he should in this one. He pulled a disappearing act against the 49ers, but don’t expect that again here. He doesn’t have “Cheetah” upside, but he could be a difference maker in this one (he still isn’t as good as Tee Higgins).

“Dicker the Kicker” will always be fun to say, and he is now 12/13 on the season. Both he and Jason Sanders are in play here, but Sanders has been inconsistent. Give me DTK here.

Don’t look now, but Trent Sherfield has actually outscored Waddle over the last three weeks, and it hasn’t been close (36.1 DK vs 26). He is priced nicely and is a solid pivot here.

I still have an unhealthy obsession with Gerald Everett, and like him quite a bit here as well. He is coming off a solid game last week. This matchup is a bit tougher, but he is in play here.

Everyone loves a $200 play on DraftKings. That guy for me this week is Cedrick Wilson. River Cracraft is DOUBTFUL, and Wilson has paid off a few times this year with expanded opportunities. What better time than a 54.5 point total? His floor is the same as yours or mine, but if he can grab 5-8 fantasy points, we would be ecstatic.

Make sure to join our Discord to jump into our conversations with the team and share your successes (I am “Myrtle Beach Mermen”, if you understand the reference, we will get along right away! We have a TON of great tools for you to check out, make sure you’re taking advantage! You can find projections here and try out the optimizer here.

Good luck on Sunday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter @BigItaly42 if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

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