draftkings mlb dfs picks

Welcome to the Tuesday, May 25th edition of MLB DFS Picks and Pivots where we dive into the top fantasy baseball plays and slate strategy to help you take down tournaments all season long at Win Daily Sports!

If you are new to MLB DFS Picks and Pivots, the goal of this article is not simply to list out the “best plays” but rather walk through the context of the slate and help you identify the best arms and stacks to build around for MLB DFS tournament play. We will use DraftKings pricing as our anchor and help you get a head start on your winning builds!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Main Slate Breakdown

Happy Tuesday and welcome in to a monster 13 game MLB DFS slate where we are absolutely LOADED with top-end arms – some that are priced as such and others that seemingly got an unwarranted discount.

The overarching theme for me tonight is – we cannot get cute at pitcher because the opportunity cost is far too high to miss. You are going to need to nail both arms tonight because we have so many good options and so many high strikeout options that some combination/duo is going to hit for ceiling and we need to anchor to that mentality.

Tonight we have six arms with 30% + K rates and 8 arms with 13% or higher swinging strike rates since the start of 2020 so we know right off the bat that we have multiple arms with 30+ DK point potential and that swing and miss ability is going to be A) what we want to build around and B) will make finding stacks we want to attack that much harder.

In my mind, there is a tier of three elite arms up top with Jacob deGrom, Max Scherzer, and Corbin Burnes that from every and all metrics perspective stands out as anchor arms with their swing and miss ability, and what is fascinating to me on DraftKings is how the pricing is spread out. With deGrom at nearly $12K, Mad Max at $10.7K, and Burnes at a nice $9.1K discount – you have a path to mix and match these stud arms with totally different stacks & price points of hitters.

deGrom is the best pitcher on the planet and the only real “knock” on him tonight is the potential for a pitch count against the Rockies. Burnes meanwhile has a tough on paper match-up against the Padres but considering he struck out 10 “San Diego-ans” or maybe it is San Diegons – in his last start against the Padres, the concern may not be warranted.

The in between them is good ole Mad Max – kind of a forgotten ace in MLB DFS because hes not a new and sexy play like Burnes us to many and hes not putting up video game numbers like deGOAT which may leave him under-owned tonight.

The fact is, his 35.7% K rate and 16% SS rate remain elite marks and his 37.4% K rate against right-handed hitters stands out when you consider he will likely face a Reds lineup with just 3 left-handed bats.

Tonight is the perfect night in my mind to take a “double aces” approach with the key being that we can still get the high upside stacks around them – and well, I was shocked to find just how easy it all was!

The offense that immediately jumped off the page to me today was the New York Yankees against LHP Steven Matz. If you have been around Picks and Pivots this season, you know I have been beating the regression drum on Mr. Matz and this match-up is basically a nightmare spot for him.

Since his hot start to the year, Matz has fallen back to Earth HARD with a near 7 ERA over his last 6 starts with a 2.73 HR/9 rate and a single digit swinging strike rate with his biggest issues coming against RHB which could be a bit of an issue when you consider the Yankees will have 9 right-handed batters waiting for him in the Bronx.

Matz is relying nearly 45% of the time on his sinker to righties but this Yankee team profiles so well on this pitch type, that he may be in serious trouble. 6 of the 9 Yankee RHB have .200+ ISO marks against that pitch type including DJ, Voit, Judge, Gleyber, Sanchez and Higashioka.

His secondary offering, the change-up, which he throws 30% of the time has similar profile troubles as 5 of the Yankee righties have .200+ ISO marks against that pitch type with DJ, Judge, Urshela, Frazier, and Higashioka doing the damage.

The fact that the majority of the New York line-up can hammer 75% of the pitch repertoire of Matz spells disaster for him in this spot and my goal is to stack 5 Yankees here tonight at the core of my builds.

Now you may be sitting there and wondering how can you stack the Yankees offense, the one with the highest Vegas total on the slate, and still get two aces? Well, frankly its not hard.

You can lock in BOTH deGrom and Mad Max and stack the heart of the Yankee order with Aaron Judge, Gio Ursehla, Gleyber Torres, and Gary Sanchez with either Frazier or Andujar in the OF and you still have $2.3-$2.4K for a cheap mini stack around them.

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap-Up

When you step back and think about this slate – you want to anchor to two key concepts. First and foremost is getting ceiling games from your arms but you want to do that in concert with the second principle which is anchoring to a 5 man stack that can win you a slate with power.

The pricing on the Yankee bats outside of Aaron Judge is laughably low and the fact you can live in this mid-range with guys like Urshela, Gleyber and/or Frazier/Andujar allows you the ability to not compromise – get your aces and the top stack all in the same build.

Finding that cheap three-man stack to build around these teams is going to be key but the one team at first glance that makes this work is the Cleveland Indians against LHP Tarik Skubal and the putrid Tigers pen. Skybal is giving up a .355 ISO to RHB this season and this Indians line-up have pop and value especially with $2K Owen Miller (2B) now in the line-up. Miller is one of the Indians top prospects acquired in the Mike Clevinger deal and was batting well over .400 at AAA before his call-up this week.

Locking in two of the top K arms in deGrom, Max or Corbin, and pairing them with a high-powered Yankee stack and the Indians value is a recipe for GPP success on this massive slate!

Good luck tonight all! Let’s keep that hot streak rolling! Come join the Win Daily Sports Team – grab a Gold Membership and take advantage of all the tools, articles, and expert coaching we can give you to make you a consistent winner in DFS.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @2LockSports and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

Welcome to the Monday, May 24th edition of MLB DFS Picks and Pivots where we dive into the top fantasy baseball plays and slate strategy to help you take down tournaments all season long at Win Daily Sports!

If you are new to MLB DFS Picks and Pivots, the goal of this article is not simply to list out the “best plays” but rather walk through the context of the slate and help you identify the best arms and stacks to build around for MLB DFS tournament play. We will use DraftKings pricing as our anchor and help you get a head start on your winning builds!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Main Slate Pitching

Welcome into a six-game MLB DFS slate here on Monday where it looks like we have a clear weather slate with one exception as you can see below, some solid pitching paths and come elite stacks that are priced affordably to anchor our MLB DFS picks to!

From a pitching perspective, we have four “ace level” arms in terms of name value/pricing but I question whether I need to pay the premium for any of them here tonight.

Brandon Woodruff ($10.6K) is the clear SP1 choice and likely cash game anchor with the K metrics to support it – as his 30.5% K rate and 13.2% SS rate give you the ceiling that no other arm tonight really offers. The issue is that the San Diego Padres line-up he faced tonight is a low strikeout lineup, with just an 18% K rate against right-handed pitching in their projected line-up.

Woodruff however faced this San Diego team back in April, striking out 7 on his way to 27 DK points, and depending on if Manny Machado is able to return to the lineup tonight due to injury, would end up facing likely that same starting 8 here tonight so the path is very clear and in cash games, he becomes a likely core play.

Blake Snell ($8.9K) on the other side of this game offers similar K heavy metrics- with a 33% K rate and 13% SS rate and gets arguably the better match-up against a Milwaukee team with a 25%+ K rate in the projected line-up and overall strikes out at a near 28% rate against LHP this season.

Snell has struggled with command this season but the last two games he has seemingly turned a corner with a 41% K rate compared to just a 9% walk rate and if you look at his pitch mix, there could be a reason for the turn around.

Last game in particular, Snell made a serious change in his pitch mix even from the game before against the same Rockies team, throwing just 13% sliders which was a massive drop from the 33% the previous game.

Snell has made the decision multiple times this year to lean far less on the slider and increase his curve and change-up use. In fact Snell has now had 4 games in which he threw the slider under 20% and in those games his K:BB ratios have been 11:1, 7:2, 7:2 and 8:2.

The pitch is an obvious high swing and miss weapon for Snell with a 50% whiff rate but he seems to have over used it at times and lacked the feel/command for it. If Snell can continue to pound the zone and limit the walks – we are now seeing an ace level arm ‘ pitch count was up to 97 last game and was able to make it through 6 innings.

If you look down in the SP2 range tonight, the name that jumps out to me is Frankie Montas ($6.2K) in Oakland against the Seattle Mariners. The Mariners are a high K team we can attack with right-handed pitching as they strike out at a 26% clip with is the 7th highest mark in baseball this year.

The projected line-up tonight for Seattle has a whopping 5 batters with 30% or higher K rates against RHP since the start of last season and this is a spot where I think the floor/ceiling combination for Montas relative to his price is a no-brainer.

Montas is at by far his lowest price of the season, a full $1,000 drop from his last three starts where he averaged 18 DK points per game, going 5-6 innings each time out and put up over 5 K’s per outing.

The one other “cheap” arm tonight that I think is in play either as a pivot off Montas or a possible “double punt” with Frankie is LHP David Peterson of the Mets at home against the visiting Rockies.

This is more of a match-up play than anything as the Rockies on the road are a DFS sticking point. On the season the Rockies are the third highest K team, 2nd lowest hard contact team and lowest ISO mark of any road team hitting wise.

Now you get them flying out of Coors into New York after playing on Sunday and I think this is a spot where Peterson pays off his too cheap price tag. Peterson has flashed his ceiling multiple times this year with 8, 9 and 10 K outings against Philly (twice) and Tampa Bay just two games ago and he gets arguably the weakest hitting road team in the sport now tonight in his home park.

My pitching pool tonight is likely limited to Woodruff, Snell, Peterson and Montas and I think mixing and matching any of those four is ideal for cash and GPP!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – Stack The Bats

There are some simple team flow charts when it comes to MLB DFS hitting and the White Sox are one of the teams where the opposing arm makes all the difference. When the Chicago White Sox face a left-hander – you stack them up and down and twice on Sundays.

LHP Kwang Hyun Kim has been solid for St. Louis but this is still a lefty with minimal swing and miss stuff and one who has surrendered a 42% hard contact rate to RHB this season.

Since the start of last season, the White Sox have a core group of bats that simply hammer LHP with Tim Anderson (.333 ISO), Jose Abreu (.345), and Yermin Mercedes (.222) & Andrew Vaughn (.267) who have stepped up this year.

Kim relies on his slider to RHB and well, the Chicago bats would be happy to see him throw it as all 4 bats noted above have .250+ ISO marks against that pitch type from lefties.

The White Sox are a team I expect becomes a popular stack, so we want to find a contrarian mini-stack that correlates well with them and I think we can find that with the Oakland A’s against LHP Yusei Kikuchi.

Kikuchi is a solid pitcher but one who has given up power this year with a .200 ISO mark to RHB and much like the White Sox, this Oakland team up and down hammers LHP.

This season, the top 5 in this A’s lineup is just crushing southpaws with Chad Pinder (.625 ISO), Matt Olson (.322), Ramon Laureano (.296), Matt Chapman (.237) and Mark Canha (.237).

Kikuchi throws his cutter over a third of the time to righties – and well, the metrics say he probably should not. All of Chapman, Canha, Pinder and Stephen Piscotty have .250+ ISO marks against that pitch type!

Now add in the fact Kikuchi was bumped a day due to illness and is there the chance he simply does not have it tonight and the A’s can jump on him as the low owned late night hammer? Stack it up my friends!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap-Up

This six game MLB DFS slate tonight looks like a strong one and I think we will end up with multiple viable GPP paths as a result of a deep short slate pitching pool.

The key in my opinion is building around high upside power stacks like the White Sox and Athletics while still being able to capture high K upside in our arms and I think that path exists with some of the match-ups we have specifically for Snell, Peterson and Montas tonight!

Good luck tonight all! Let’s keep that hot streak rolling! Come join the Win Daily Sports Team – grab a Gold Membership and take advantage of all the tools, articles, and expert coaching we can give you to make you a consistent winner in DFS.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @2LockSports and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

Welcome to the Saturday, May 22nd edition of MLB DFS Picks and Pivots where we dive into the top fantasy baseball plays and slate strategy to help you take down tournaments all season long at Win Daily Sports!

If you are new to MLB DFS Picks and Pivots, the goal of this article is not simply to list out the “best plays” but rather walk through the context of the slate and help you identify the best arms and stacks to build around for MLB DFS tournament play. We will use DraftKings pricing as our anchor and help you get a head start on your winning builds!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Early Slate Breakdown

We have ourselves a nice split slate MLB DFS Saturday and one with some interesting GPP’s on DraftKings that I think we can make some serious noise in today!

The early slate has 7 games on tap and the first step is locking in the ace in Shane Bieber ($11.2K). Bieber is the clear top K arm on this slate and with Minnesota banged up, he could get the benefit of attacking a Twins line-up that would be without both Nelson Cruz and Jorge Polanco.

The tricky part on this slate is that the bats are all pricey and in great spots, so my goal is to figure out a way to get Bieber and two high upside stacks. Well that is where Jordan Yamamoto ($4K) can unlock a ton for us!

Now the Mets have not officially named him the starter for Saturday so we need to watch the news but it is expected he will start either Saturday or Sunday against his old Marlins squad in Miami.

Yamamoto has shown swing and miss ability in his career with a 25% K rate and he has flashed the same ability in the minors this season but let’s be real this is a simple price and match-up play. The Marlins have the third highest K rate in baseball overall and are 2nd in baseball with a 27.2% K rate against right-handed pitching.

Over the last two weeks, no team in baseball has struck out more than Miami – at a massive 30.7% clip – so with all due respect to Jordan, I would argue any pitcher at $4K on DK facing Miami is in play – add in the REVENGE narrative and we are off and running!

The bats are what is going to win you this slate and frankly, we have a ton to choose from. However this Nationals and Orioles game jumps out to me with our boy Jon Lester and LHP Bruce Zimmerman on the mound.

We have two arms with 5+ xFIP marks, sub 20% K rates and ideal hitting conditions in Washington which makes this a game stack that could pay off in a huge way.

Listen, we know the deal with Lester – the regression is coming and when it does it will come from the right-handed power bats. Trey Mancini, Austin Hays and Anthony Santander make for a high upside mini-stack in the heart of the Orioles order with the splits advantage and the power against LHP to make them pay off.

Mancini in particular jumps out like crazy – with a .356 ISO and 55% HC rate against LHP this season and some crazy pitch type data. Lester relies heavily on his cutter and Mancini has a .480 ISO and 50% HC rate against that pitch type!

On the other side of this game – the Nationals stack is pricey against LHP Bruce Zimmerman but considering that he has surrendered a .200+ ISO mark to hitters from both sides of the plate with 40%+ hard contact, they could easily pay off their price tags.

Any Nationals stack starts with Juan Soto and Trea Turner and frankly, adding them is the reason we need to pay down to a guy like Yamamoto as our SP2. My favorite way to make this stack different though is to work a wrap-around with Josh Harrison, Yan Gomes and Jordy Mercer at the bottom before you wrap around to Soto/Trea at the top of the line-up.

Going with a Bieber SP1 line-up and a Baltimore/Washington game stack gives you the ideal GPP upside path in that you have a 30+ DK point arm and two offenses facing wildly hittable left-handed contact arms.

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Main Slate Breakdown

The six-game MLB DFS Main Slate has a similar look and feel in that we have Walker Buehler as a seemingly must have SP1 and while we have some $4K SP2’s – I am not going to play Scott Kazmir in the year 2021 (even though part of me REALLY wants to.

Instead – I think living in the Adbert Azolay range as an SP2 makes sense and we have enough value in a game stack I love to make it all work – and that game is Toronto and Tampa Bay.

We have Shane McClanahan and Robbie Ray on the mound – literally, the carbon copy story – huge K upside and huge power allowed to RHB. That is why this game stack is so appealing to me – they either strike out a ton or give up a HR derby in Dunedin – GPP perfection if you ask me.

All the obvious stars on both sides are in play with Vlad & Bichette the clear top dogs on the Toronto side and on the Tampa side we have a loaded $3K range of hitters with guys like Yandy, Brosseau, Zunino and Margot which makes this a cost-effective stack to build.

The key could be some of the punts with $2K Taylor Walls and/or $2.3K Jonathan Davis that opens up a path to jamming in the big bats and taking the “clear path” with our arms.

With the Jays moving to their AAA stadium in Buffalo on June 1st, this may be one of our last chances to take advantage of a Dunedin game stack with warm temperatures expected and two pitchers that can serve up power – giddy up!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap-Up

I love these split slate Saturday’s for MLB DFS as we can really get creative in how we build.

Today these slates offer clear SP1 aces that feel like must haves but it comes with high dollar offenses that are going to be priority and as such it will mean getting creative with cheap SP2’s and/or finding value within our preferred game stacks!

Good luck tonight all! Let’s keep that hot streak rolling! Come join the Win Daily Sports Team – grab a Gold Membership and take advantage of all the tools, articles, and expert coaching we can give you to make you a consistent winner in DFS.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @2LockSports and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

Welcome to the Friday, May 21st edition of MLB DFS Picks and Pivots where we dive into the top fantasy baseball plays and slate strategy to help you take down tournaments all season long at Win Daily Sports!

If you are new to MLB DFS Picks and Pivots, the goal of this article is not simply to list out the “best plays” but rather walk through the context of the slate and help you identify the best arms and stacks to build around for MLB DFS tournament play. We will use DraftKings pricing as our anchor and help you get a head start on your winning builds!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Main Slate Breakdown

Happy Friday my MLB DFS friends and family – we have ourselves a monster 15 game slate here this evening and the best part is that the weather looks all clear so we can hopefully play this all straight up.

As my man Adam Strangis laid out in Starting Rotation today, this is a really strong pitching slate and it starts up top with a pair of aces that I think will determine our builds. Trevor Bauer ($11.9K) and Tyler Glasnow ($11.2K) are the clear top dogs on this slate, both ranking among the top 10 K arms in baseball this season as Glasnow’s 38.6% K rate ranks 4th and Bauer’s 35.5% rate ranks 7th.

The simple difference in opponent today is what makes this interesting as Bauer gets a road start in the cavernous park in San Francisco while Glasnow heads to Dunedin to face the loaded Blue Jays lineup.

That is it – that is really the only difference – but that opposing lineup is what is going to make Bauer the SP1 chalk and Glasnow an SP1 pivot.

If you have read Picks and Pivots before you know where this is going – so, I will ask – why not just use both?

Glasnow is the best pure K arm on this slate, with the 4th highest K rate and swinging strike rate in all of baseball and the 2nd highest CSW rate in the bigs.

The match-up may seem daunting but there is a path to success here for Glasnow, and one that frankly has been there for a while. As this view from Statmuse shows, there has been a relatively consistent 15-20 DK point output from RHP’s against the Jays in the last few weeks and when you look at the arms, they are far less talented than Mr. Glasnow.

If we opt to utilize a “double ace” approach, it still leaves us with $3.3K per batter for the rest of our build and there are some really strong mid-range stacks that I think make this path viable.

Note – there is a sneaky SP2 target I like for MME GPP play tonight we are talking about in Discord. Join us and get in on the fun!

The first is the Chicago White Sox against LHP Jordan Montgomery in Yankee stadium. Montgomery biggest struggles are with right-handed bats and the White Sox are best deployed as a stack against left-handed pitching which makes this the perfect marriage.

Montgomery on the season is allowing a .225 ISO and 43% HC rate to RHB with just under 2 HR/9 allowed and that power upside is what you are chasing with the White Sox hitters tonight.

Since the start of last season, the numbers against LHP for the key bats in this line-up are off the charts with Tim Anderson (.351 ISO), Andrew Vaughn (.308 ISO), Yermin Mercedes (.242 ISO), and Yasmani Grandal (.225 ISO) all with strong power numbers.

The power numbers may not stand out for Yoan Moncada, but the pitch profile most certainly does as he has a .316 ISO against the change-up and a .444 ISO against the cutter which is 50% of the pitch mix that Montgomery will throw to right-handed batters.

Now stacking the White Sox is going to be costly as you will need to invest the majority of your remaining salary cap in their infield bats and it will require some cheap OF stacks to make it all work.

Well, this is where the New York Mets OF comes into play. Now, nobody wakes up and says – I cannot wait to stack Cameron Maybin, Khalil Lee and Johneshwy Fargas – but attacking Jordan Holloway tonight is a path to success in my mind.

Of all the starting pitchers on this slate, Holloway ranks 2nd to last in SIERA at 5.55 which is a full THREE runs higher than his ERA which tells you regression is coming! His near 6 xFIP, anf 40%+ fly ball rate and hard contact rate also tell you this is an arm to attack and behind him is a Miami bullpen that ranks bottom 10 in baseball the last 7 games with a 5.5 ERA.

Being able to grab a full OF stack for near minimum price is a unique way to correlate with a double ace/ 5 man White Sox stack this evening!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap-Up

On a 15 game MLB DFS slate with Coors Field on it, we have a seemingly endless number of paths to explore when making our MLB DFS picks.

However, any time we can get two of the best strikeout arms in baseball and pair them together in our lineups while still anchoring to a high powered offense, well you know where my GPP mindset goes!

Good luck tonight all! Let’s keep that hot streak rolling! Come join the Win Daily Sports Team – grab a Gold Membership and take advantage of all the tools, articles, and expert coaching we can give you to make you a consistent winner in DFS.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @2LockSports and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

Welcome to the Thursday, May 20th edition of MLB DFS Picks and Pivots where we dive into the top fantasy baseball plays and slate strategy to help you take down tournaments all season long at Win Daily Sports!

If you are new to MLB DFS Picks and Pivots, the goal of this article is not simply to list out the “best plays” but rather walk through the context of the slate and help you identify the best arms and stacks to build around for MLB DFS tournament play. We will use DraftKings pricing as our anchor and help you get a head start on your winning builds!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Early Slate

Welcome in my MLB DFS friends to a split slate Thursday where we get 4 games on the early slate which kicks off at 12:35 PM EST. This slate is tricky because we have mediocre pitching options and seemingly endless hitting spots including what it appears to be a wind game in Wrigley Field with 17 MPH winds blowing out.

The “safest” route would be to go with a Tyler Mahle/Rich Hill duo or you can even slide down to Domingo German against the K happy Rangers however I think there are some other routes we can take in GPP’s understanding the risk.

Joe Ross ($7.1K) may have to deal with a windy Wrigley which is concern but the match-up against the Cubs is one that I think he can handle. The Cubs strike out at a 26% rate against RHP this season which is 7th most in baseball and the projected line-up without Anthony Rizzo in it, has a 27.3% K rate against righties this season.

Ross is a sinker ball pitcher, generating nearly 45% ground balls so the profile is there to pitch well in a windy environment with an added K boost. Now, Ross has also had two complete blow-up outings this year in Arizona and against St. Louis where he gave up 18 ER and 5 HR’s combined but outside of those outings he has been quite solid with 17.5 DK points per game in his other five outings.

Now if you thought Ross was risky – wait until you play Dane Dunning ($6.5K) against the New York Yankees. Take the names/teams out of it for a second and look at it this way:

Player A: 25.8% K rate this season, 3.43 xFIP against a projected line-up with a 23.6% K rate and .145 ISO.

Player B: 24.2% K rate this season, 4.27 xFIP against a projected line-up with a 24.5% K rate and .204 ISO.

Player A is Dane Dunning and player B is Domingo German who will likely draw considerably more ownership with his match-up and what Corey Kluber just did.

The risk for Dunning is obvious but this is an arm with a 56% ground ball rate overall, that jumps to a 64% GB rate against RHB which sets up well against a Yankees team that will likely only have two LHB.

Dunning outside of one really bad outing against the White Sox, has averaged 19 DK points per game in his other six starts which even includes a 1 point dud his last time out.

While Mahle and Rich Hill are the “safe routes” I also do not see them as must plays on this slate and I think prioritizing bats and taking some calculated risk at pitcher is the way to go!

The easier part with having such bad pitching is that finding the stacks is that much more transparent and with the Tampa Bay Rays in Camden Yards against Dean Kremer – we can go right back to one of our favorite spots!

Kremer this season has given up a 49% HC rate with 2.3 HR/9 and now has to face one of the most powerful lineups in baseball. The top of the order with Arozarena, Meadows, Choi and Lowe is stacked with pop but the bottom of the order with Wendle, Zunino and Kiermaier offers you the opportunity for a bottom of the order stack that will be far lower owned. No matter which way you go – this stack is at the core of my early builds.

The Reds are the other team on my radar early in Great American Ballpark against Johnny Cueto. The book on Cueto is a long one, but the story has always been the same and that has been we can attack him with left-handed power bats especially outside of San Francisco.

The Reds are loaded with left-handed pop – Jesse Winker, Tyler Naquin, Mike Moustakas and Tucker Barnhart all offer the splits advantage and guys like Winker (.327), Naquin (.275) and Moustakas (.225) all have huge ISO marks this year against RHP.

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Main Slate

If you thought the four-game early slate pitching was rough, well the main slate might actually be worse! Zero chance I am paying a premium for Nick Pivetta or Steven Matz against Toronto and Boston’s offenses. Honestly, the arm I feel best about when we consider pricing is likely Vincent Velasquez ($7.5K) against the Marlins.

I normally would not go this route, but I do think the Dodgers bullpen game could be an interesting true punt option on this slate if Edwin Uceta gets the opening nod.

Uceta has operated as a long man out of the pen, throwing 54 pitches and 3 innings in his last outing and if we get confirmation that he is the “starter” today, I think he offers serious upside at $4K as he would operate as a multi-inning arm versus a true “opener.”

Much like the early slate, the main slate is all about offense and I am going right back to the match-up I highlighted yesterday with the Dodgers against RHP Merrill Kelly who got bumped back a day. Kelly is giving up a 51% HC rate this year with a 5+ xFIP and that hard contact and power is given up equally to both sides of the plate.

So let’s go right back to the well with Mookie, Muncy and Turner and if we get a cheap punt like Tsutsugo in the heart of the line-up like he was last night, it opens up a world of flexibility in our builds.

If you have followed Picks and Pivots this season, you know I have been on the Steven Matz regression train for weeks. Listen, Matz can be a solid arm when the match-up aligns but against a right-handed power team, he can be a batting practice arm – and well, the Red Sox are arguably one of the worst spots he could ask for.

With Enrique Hernandez, JD Martinez, Xander Boegarts, Christian Vazquez and Hunter Renfroe in the heart of this order you have .200+ ISO bats staring at you in every turn and Matz is an arm that has given up nearly a .300 ISO mark to RHB since the start of last year.

Pitching in Dunedin today against this line-up – yikes, good luck my friend.

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap Up

To summarize these two four game slates – well, pitching is gross and you are going to want all the bats. Easy enough?

Honestly, I love slates like this because we all are dealt the same hand and picking from the same player pool. These are the ideal slates to take shots on arms in my opinion and fade the “safe” picks that lack slate-breaking upside and instead absorb risk for arms to build around the big bats!

Good luck tonight all! Let’s keep that hot streak rolling! Come join the Win Daily Sports Team – grab a Gold Membership and take advantage of all the tools, articles, and expert coaching we can give you to make you a consistent winner in DFS.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @2LockSports and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

Welcome to the Wednesday, May 19th edition of MLB DFS Picks and Pivots where we dive into the top fantasy baseball plays and slate strategy to help you take down tournaments all season long at Win Daily Sports!

If you are new to MLB DFS Picks and Pivots, the goal of this article is not simply to list out the “best plays” but rather walk through the context of the slate and help you identify the best arms and stacks to build around for MLB DFS tournament play. We will use DraftKings pricing as our anchor and help you get a head start on your winning builds!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Main Slate Breakdown

Well hello, there my friends and welcome back to a 12 game MLB DFS Picks and Pivots for Wednesday Night where we are LOADED with aces and one trouble weather spot in KC which could take Corbin Burnes out of play.

On any normal slate, losing an arm like Burnes would change the slate dynamic but tonight with Kershaw/Scherzer as easy pivots in the $10K price range, it frankly does not change all that much.

It is not often we have four arms with 30%+ K rates on a slate but that is exactly what we have tonight with Corbin Burnes, Max Scherzer, Trevor Rogers and Shohei Ohtani. As Adam Strangis broke down in our Starting Rotation, the top end of the pitching pool is simply LOADED and I am not sure there is a reason to stray from the path he laid out.

Pricing matters in MLB DFS and the fact we can get Shohei Ohtani at $7.4K is laughable. We are getting one of the best arms in baseball and highest K DFS plays as a cheap SP2 and for that reason – I am going to argue strongly to take the path tonight in GPP’s of pairing him with one of the $10K aces because the salary constraints are not all that limiting.

The other option would be to treat Ohtani like an SP1 – which frankly all metrics would support and take the path of getting a $10K skillset for just $7K and then going cheaper with your SP2!

One SP2 in that scenario is Ryan Yarbrough ($6.6K) who is going to operate as a traditional starter for the Rays against the Orioles in Camden Yards. Yarbrough has primarily been a bulk reliever for Tampa but tonight he is working as a traditional starter and the last time he did that he threw 103 pitches in 6 innings against the Astros.

Since the start of last season, Yarbrough has allowed just a 25% hard contact which is one of the lowest marks on this slate, and in baseball and his 12.2% swinging-strike rate is almost identical to that of Mr. Ohtani. Yarbrough has the ability to limit the damage and still rack up swings and misses against an Orioles team with a 22-23% K rate against LHP this season.

The other cheap option we cannot overlook tonight is RHP Logan Gilbert ($4.7K), one of the best minor league arms in baseball who gets his second start against the Detroit Tigers. Gilbert showed you his talent against the Indians with a 28% K rate and 14% SS rate and I would argue, there may not be a better match-up for him tonight against Detroit.

On the season, the Tigers rank second in baseball with a 27.5% K rate against RHP – we just saw Justin Dunn (23 DK) and Kyle Hendricks (31 DK) put up strong scores against this same team and Gilbert has a pedigree that neither of those arms have. Imagine the damage you can do with your bats if you use him as your SP2!

Now going a path with Ohtani as your SP1 is going to mean you have insane money left to stack and well, if you pair him with Gilbert – you have nearly $5K per batter! Yeah – that will work!

The first stack that we come across is the New York Yankees against LHP Hyeong-Jan Yang who has given up a .239 ISO and 43% HC rate to RHB this season and here come the right-handed heavy Yankees bats!

The Yankees are expected to get Gleyber Torres back in the line-up tonight which means we likely have 9 right-handed batters in the Yankee starting line-up this evening. Aaron Judge is the clear top dog in any Yankee stack with his .382 ISO versus LHP this season but when you look into the pitch types, you find some interesting plays to use around him.

Gio Urshela has a .225 ISO and nearly 310 average distance traveled with a 41% HC rate against the change-up from lefties which is what Yang throws nearly a third of the time.

If Gary Sanchez is able to return to the lineup after leaving with cramps he also profiles well against both the change-up and slider from lefties but if we end up needing to pivot to Kyle Higashioka, remember this is a bat with a .350 ISO mark and 60% fly-ball rate against LHP so he could pay off with one swing.

The other stack that catches my eye tonight is the LA Dodgers as they take on RHP Merril Kelly and the DBacks. There is no pitcher on the slate that has given up a higher hard contact rate (41%) since the start of last season than Kelly. This year he is giving up a 50% HC rate to hitters from both sides of the plate with a .200 ISO to LHB.

The nice part about the Dodgers is they are priced quite nicely where you have the obvious elite bats in Mookie Betts ($6K), Max Muncy ($5.3K) and Justin Turner ($5.2K) but after that, you will find a ton of value with guys like Gavin Lux ($3.3K) and Matt Beaty ($3.4K) hitting in the heart of the order behind them.

Tonight – I love the GPP appeal of going Ohtani/Gilbert and then stacking the big Yankees/Dodgers bats in what could provide a MASSIVE MLB DFS ceiling!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap Up

This slate looks like a ton of fun as we have so many elite arms to choose from and big dollar stacks. The Shoehei Ohtani mis-pricing is going to define this slate but it really is what you do from there that will make or break your night.

You have every ability to pay for a $10K arm with Ohtani or you can use Ohtani as a discount SP1, pay down for Logan Gilbert in an elite match-up against the Tigers and use that salary to stack the Dodgers and Yankees together!

Good luck tonight all! Let’s keep that hot streak rolling! Come join the Win Daily Sports Team – grab a Gold Membership and take advantage of all the tools, articles, and expert coaching we can give you to make you a consistent winner in DFS.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @2LockSports and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

Welcome to the Tuesday, May 18th edition of MLB DFS Picks and Pivots where we dive into the top fantasy baseball plays and slate strategy to help you take down tournaments all season long at Win Daily Sports!

If you are new to MLB DFS Picks and Pivots, the goal of this article is not simply to list out the “best plays” but rather walk through the context of the slate and help you identify the best arms and stacks to build around for MLB DFS tournament play. We will use DraftKings pricing as our anchor and help you get a head start on your winning builds!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Main Slate Breakdown

Well hello, there my MLB DFS friends, and welcome into a monster 14 game slate here on Tuesday Night where we have some rain concerns at first glance in MIL/KC, PIT/STL, WAS/CHC and CWS/MIN.

We have a ton of arms on the hill but frankly not many we are clamoring to use and that likely means far more stacks we like than pitchers we feel like we need to have. Are you ready to dive in?

As a GPP player, I love slates like this where there are no “obvious” plays – we do not have a deGrom on the hill and there is no game in Coors Field. In fact, as of this writing, we have just one team with an IRT over 5 so this could be the kind of slate where ownership is wildly spread out or it could inflate a few players/spots as groupthink and optimizers drive MLB DFS lineup builds.

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Arms

As Adam laid out in Starting Rotation, I think this is the kind of day to live up top with your arms – more for safety/floor than “true ace ceiling” and the fact that our preferred stacks are on the cheaper side and allow us the ability to spend up on arms.

Rather than simply echo what our pitching GOAT Adam wrote up, I want to take a different spin on the top end of the range and how I think we can attack it.

First and foremost, I do not think any of the arms are “must haves” – not Woodruff, Wheeler, etc – so rather than build with pitchers first, work backwards in your builds today and build the stacks you want and see what arms fit into your build at the end.

Adam made strong cases for most of the guys at the top – but the one guy I wanted to dive into was Julio Urias ($9.6K) against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Urias is the 4th highest priced arm on this slate which when you consider some of his advanced metrics, makes him quite the steal. The Dodgers LHP ranks top 10 in baseball in CSW% (called + swinging strike rate) and CSTR% (called strike rate) and ranks top 25 in K% among all qualified arms.

Much of this is driven by a 77.7% first strike rate, by far the highest in baseball and a key driving force in Urias success as he is able to get ahead of hitters and then use his absolutely nasty curve ball as a put away pitch.

If you look at pitch type values, the curve from Urias sits among the top in all of baseball, sitting only behind Brandon Woodruff, Lance McCullers Jr., and Yu Darvish. Urias has anchored to this curve more and more, throwing it 25% last season, and now this year he is leaning on it nearly a third of the time.

Not only does Urias have demonstrated K upside, but he also has the ability to limit the damage as his 24.2% soft contact rate ranks second in all of baseball this season. Even better – Urias ranks among the top 5 in all of baseball with just a 3.6% walk rate. So a pitcher who attacks the strike zone does not walk batters and then either gets you to whiff or make weak contact.

All this sounds pretty darn good to me!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – Time to Stack

Now the fact that we do not have a ton of must-have arms on tonight’s slate means we will have our pick of big-time bats and my favorite tonight is the Tampa Bay Rays against Matt Harvey.

Harvey is coming off his worst outing against the Mets his last time to the mound where he gave up 7 runs in just 4 innings of work and his pitch to contact approach/lack of swing and miss stuff finally came back to bite him in 2021.

The Rays are the type of line-up that I think could make this a trend as they are able to get very lefty-heavy with Ji-Man Choi and Francisco Mejia back in the line-up and that could spell serious trouble in Camden Yards for a pitcher like Harvey who has been fly ball heavy to lefties this season.

The Rays lefties like Austin Meadows (.307 ISO), Brandon Lowe (.258 ISO) and Joey Wendle (.209 ISO) all have demonstrated power and Meadows to me is the one player that jumps off the page and anchors this stack.

Harvey is relying on his fastball/sinker to get ground ball outs, but where he has had trouble is against left-handed batters who can get the ball in the air to counter act that – enter Meadows who has a team leading 58% fly ball rate against RHP this season.

The way to beat the Rays is with strikeout arms that can take advantage of their high swing and miss rates – and the issue is, Harvey simply is not that guy. The top of this Rays line-up is just loaded with power – as you have Randy Arozarena at the top, followed by a parade of lefty power.

Now the last time we stacked the Rays was Thursday against Jameson Taillon and we had ourselves a little GPP takedown. Tonight, Taillon goes back to the mound in Texas against the Rangers and this is the mini-stack I want to load up around my Rays bats tonight!

We talked about this with the Rays that night, but Taillon right now is struggling mightily keep the ball on the ground and is especially struggling with left-handed power – to the tune of a 50% FB rate and .305 ISO mark.

So – a pitcher who is struggled with left-handed power and fly ball issues heads to Texas and faces Joey Gallo. I think you know how this ends.

Gallo is arguably one of my favorite plays on the slate as he is by far the most fly ball heavy bat in this Texas line-up, with a near 50% FB rate against RHP since 2019 and has a .300+ ISO mark against the fastball/curveball which are Taillon’s main weapons to LHB this season.

The other bat I love here is Nate Lowe who has been mashing RHP this season to the tune of a .256 ISO and matches up quite well against Taillon’s pitch types with a .522 ISO against his fastball velocity and has a 50% hard contact rate against the curveball.

If you look at the stacks I mentioned here in the Rays and Rangers – I think they get you DFS ceilings but in two different ways. The Rays are going to be by stringing hits and runs together – which means you want to go 4-5 deep with them to maximize your DFS output. The Rangers on the other hand is more home run hunting – so mini-stacking with Gallo/Lowe gets you the ceiling in what you hope pays off with just a few swings of the bat!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap Up

The more I dig into this MLB DFS slate on Tuesday the more I really like it for GPP’s as we have so many tournament routes and comfortable pivots off chalk if it ends up materializing.

While pitching may not be the best, I would argue the player pool is incredibly condensed and it is largely top heavy. I am not getting cute tonight and picking on cheap arms to get bats – especially not when I can pay up and still get elite stacks like Tampa and Texas that give me upside and salary relief.

On a slate like this, I want to anchor to top tier strikeout arms and build around power stacks like Tampa and Texas that can take advantage of the opposing arm’s weakness for what should be big time DFS outputs!

Good luck tonight all! Let’s keep that hot streak rolling! Come join the Win Daily Sports Team – grab a Gold Membership and take advantage of all the tools, articles, and expert coaching we can give you to make you a consistent winner in DFS.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @2LockSports and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

Welcome to the Monday, May 17th edition of MLB DFS Picks and Pivots where we dive into the top fantasy baseball plays and slate strategy to help you take down tournaments all season long at Win Daily Sports!

If you are new to MLB DFS Picks and Pivots, the goal of this article is not simply to list out the “best plays” but rather walk through the context of the slate and help you identify the best arms and stacks to build around for MLB DFS tournament play. We will use DraftKings pricing as our anchor and help you get a head start on your winning builds!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Main Slate Breakdown

Happy Monday my MLB DFS friends – after a big weekend of winning here at Win Daily Sports, we are back to kick off this week with a strong 8 game slate on Monday Night!

What stands out to me on this short slate is just how top-heavy the pitching is and anytime we have such highly concentrated ace level arms available to us, my first reaction is to see if we can anchor to double-ace type builds.

With Gerrit Cole, Yu Darvish and Walker Buehler all sitting over $10K on DraftKings, I think we have to outline the potential path in our MLB DFS picks to anchor to two of these high K arms with Cole and Darvish being the primary pairing.

As Adam outlined in Starting Rotation, the path to ceiling is just massive here for Cole against a K-heavy Texas team and Darvish taking on the Rockies outside of Coors Field. Anchoring to both SP1’s will leave you with $3.6K per batter for the rest of your roster and frankly, I think with the insane amount of punt hitter value tonight, there is every reason to start your day with this build in mind.

Even with two aces at pitcher, the reality is that on this slate we have high upside power stacks with strong value within them and my favorite tonight is the LAA Angels against LHP Sam Hentges.

Hentges is an arm that the advanced metrics will tell you is due for some serious regression as his 3.29 ERA is well below his xERA of 5.8 and with a 98% left on base rate, he is walking a dangerous tight rope.

Hentges has struggled this year with right-handed bats to the tune of a .317 ISO with a 42% hard contact rate and 4 HR/9 rate allowed. Well, with Anthony Rendon back in the heart of this Angels line-up, this becomes a nightmare spot for Hentges.

Not only will he have to navigate Rendon-Ohtani-Trout in the middle of this Angels order but he will likely have a total line-up of 7 right-handed batters to make this splits disadvantage even worse. While the “Big 3” are expensive, the Angels do offer value with Taylor Ward and Justin Upton sitting in the mid $2K range on DraftKings which allows ut o easily stack the Angels big bats and work value around there for a full-on 5 man stack!

Hentges pitch type looks like trouble here as well as he relies nearly a third of a time on his curveball and all of Ward, Upton and Trout have .500+ ISO marks against that pitch type while Rendon leads the team with a average distance traveled of 358 feet on a .316 ISO mark of his own.

Going with a Cole/Darvish 1-2 punch and a 5 man Angels stack, will leave you with $2.6K for the last 3 spots in your build – more than enough wiggle room considering the amount of near $2K punts available throughout projected lineups on Monday!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap Up

In stepping back and looking at this slate, there are some key priority build paths that I see tonight and the most important is anchoring to two aces. Listen, we have two arms up top in Cole/Darvish that have league leading swing and miss stuff and they both have advantageous match-ups this evening. Now combine that with the lack of appealing value arms and I am going to take the path of least resistance with my arms tonight.

That means we have to find ways to save salary with our bats without sacrificing power and upside. That my friends is where the Angels bats come into play as we can stack the big three of Trout-Rendon-Ohtani and do so by using the value around them in Ward/Upton for a high upside and balanced cost stack against the Indians!

Good luck tonight all! Let’s keep that hot streak rolling! Come join the Win Daily Sports Team – grab a Gold Membership and take advantage of all the tools, articles, and expert coaching we can give you to make you a consistent winner in DFS.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @2LockSports and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

Welcome to the Thursday, May 13th edition of MLB DFS Picks and Pivots where we dive into the top fantasy baseball plays and slate strategy to help you take down tournaments all season long at Win Daily Sports!

If you are new to MLB DFS Picks and Pivots, the goal of this article is not simply to list out the “best plays” but rather walk through the context of the slate and help you identify the best arms and stacks to build around for MLB DFS tournament play. We will use DraftKings pricing as our anchor and help you get a head start on your winning builds!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Early Game Slate

Another day of MLB DFS split slate action for us on Thursday and it begins with a five game slate at 12:20 PM EST.

First and foremost, we have a slate-breaking ace in Corbin Burnes on this slate who possesses a massive 45.4% K rate this season and 20% swinging-strike rate and has put up 30+ DK points in 4 of his first 5 starts of the young season including a 9 K 30 point outing against the same St. Louis team he faces today.

The only real “concern” with Burnes is that he is coming off the COVID list after testing positive, however Burnes was asymptomatic during his quarantine. Unless we hear about some definitive pitch count prior to the game, I am simply locking him in as a core play on this slate.

The SP2 question is far tougher and while I do think there is a path to going double-aces with Jack Flaherty, the pricing on the bats dictates that I likely need to go cheaper and that leads me to two arms – Michael Pineda and Daniel Lynch.

As he always does – Adam Strangis laid out the path for both of these arms in his starting rotation where I think there are strong arguments to be made for both here today but there is risk in using either. Personally, I am with Adam though that the risk on Lynch is largely priced in at $5.7K and the season-long metrics would tell us we can attack Detroit with LHP this season.

Listen, Lynch got his teeth kicked in against the White Sox but a lefty struggling against the White Sox is not something I am going to be surprised by and Mike Matheny said after the game that Lynch was tipping pitches and they went to work to address it.

The reality is, Lynch has NASTY stuff and it all starts with the slider he threw nearly 40% of the time in his first start to the Indians.

The Tigers projected line-up has one batter in Robbie Grossman who profiles well against that pitch type, but otherwise the rest of the lineup all has 35% or higher whiff rates against that pitch type so there is some serious K upside here for Lynch with his pedigree.

One of the major arguments for Lynch on DraftKings as an SP2 is that he allows you a path to big bats while still being able to pay up for Corbin Burnes and that is one of the main strategy foundations for me on this five gamer – because I want to make sure I have big time pieces to the Braves/Blue Jays bats.

The Braves get Ross Stripling, a pitcher that has struggled mightily early in the year especially to right-handed batters with a near 3 HR/9 on the back of a .306 ISO and a walk rate at 11% that is equal to his K rate (fyi – that is not a good thing).

Stripling struggles with right-handed power is well, in for a real treat when you consider the right-handed power the Braves posses and the even scarier part is that they profile well against his pitch types.

Stripling has significantly upped his slider usage this season, a near 10% jump from the prior two years and is using it nearly 30% of the time to right-handed batters. The problem is he is giving up a .417 ISO and 42% HC rate with that pitch and in comes Ronald Acuna Jr. who has a .301 ISO and 52% hard contact rate against that pitch type. If Stripling goes to the curve, which he throws 20% of the time instead – well Acuna has a .311 ISO and 48% HC rate against that pitch type.

When Acuna hits a bomb in the first at-bat and you vault up the early leaderboards, you can smile and know we called it. Acuna double-dong day is coming – and I am here for it.

While Acuna profiles well, so too does Marcell Ozuna with a .246 ISO against the curve and a .330 ISO against the low 90’s velocity fastball. Now this stack can get expensive if you want to roll out Freddie Freeman and/or Ozzie Albies as well but you may get some true punt value you can use to offset that with Christian Pache ($2k) and Jeff Mathis ($2K) who could draw the start in a day game after William Contreras caught the last two games.

The Blue Jays will take on RHP Charlie Morton, who has surrendered 15 runs in his last three starts, spanning just 11 innings and one of those starts came against the same Jays team he faces today. Morton relies heavily on his curve to RHB, nearly a third of the time, and oh well – Vladdy Jr. and Bo Bichette both happen to hit said pitch to the tune of .250+ ISO marks and 45% hard contact.

For me in a roster build today – my goal will be to go 5-3 with the Braves being the priority, while a go power and home run hunting more on the Jays side all while locking in Corbin Burnes as my SP1.

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Main Slate

The six-game Main Slate has a contest in Coors Field with an 11 IRT, a $2K Jared Kelenic making his MLB debut for the Mariners (thanks to Brodie Van Wagenen), and pitching options that well, are quite limited.

As Adam outlined in Starting Rotation – the pitching pool is SUPER dicey tonight and I think it leads me to either a path where I go double-aces with Christian Javier and Trevor Rogers or pair one with a dirt-cheap Logan Gilbert at $4K as a way to get Coors Field exposure.

Javier and Rogers have the kind of elite K stuff I want to anchor to in my MLB DFS picks with 30% and 33% K rates respectively this season and having two pitchers with demonstrated 30+ DK point ceiling on a slate where everyone tries to jam in Coors bats could give us massive leverage on the field.

The truth is, getting these two arms is not going to preclude you from missing out on big bats and I think there is a really sneaky stack tonight in the Tampa Bay Rays that offer us massive upside at likely no ownership and price points that make it easy to pay for the two big arms.

The Rays take on RHP Jameson Taillon in Tampa tonight and while the name value may keep you from picking on him, the metrics should not. Taillon has massive red flags – giving up .200+ ISO marks to both sides of the plate with 50% + fly ball rates.

The Rays order has 4 hitters in the heart of it with .220+ ISO marks against RHP since the start of last season with Randy Arozerena, Austin Meadows, Brandon Lowe and Mike Zunino. Additionally, Meadows and Zunino have 55%+ fly ball rates against right-handed pitching which sets them up for a batted ball profile that aligns with Taillon’s red flags.

The Rays are the kind of team on a short slate like this that has the demonstrated power to rival any other team and I think the combination of Coors Field and the lofty pricing on some of the Rays will make them virtually ignored. However just a quick glance at this slate and you will see we have multiple $2K type hitting punts – some even in Coors Field with Connor Joe and Josh Fuentes ($2K and $2.3K) respectively that allows you a path to go 5 man Rays with 3 man Rockies using the punt 1B/3B duo from the Rockies!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap Up

We have two slates today that play somewhat similarly in that we have limited pitching options while also having clear big bats we want to anchor to. On slates like these, prioritize pitching FIRST and work your way into builds where we can still get the big bats. The day games are almost guaranteed to get some punts on a day game after a night game and the Main Slate has multiple hitters at minimum price that allow you to stack big bats and still get the arms you need!

Good luck tonight all! Let’s keep that hot streak rolling!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @2LockSports and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!