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NFL DFS Cash Games – Week 13 Checkdown

StixPicks 5 years ago

written by StixPicks

Week 13! Likely the last week in your season-long league before the playoffs, but we still have plenty of time left to make some money with NFL DFS Cash Games. We’ve had an incredible season so far here at Win Daily and welcome you all in for another week of cashing. We hope all of you enjoy the article and have a wonderful week of Thanksgiving with your loved ones!

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My articles will be mainly meant for DraftKings, but you can certainly use this information for other DFS websites. Please check back in on Saturday/Sunday morning for potential NFL DFS Cash Games updates!

If you have any questions and would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter. I’m always available to help NFL DFS players make the most of their investments.

Some notes on what I believe to be the “optimal” roster build for NFL DFS Cash Games. I’ll include this in all the Checkdown articles moving forward. For Week 13, please see below for my notes on roster construction:

We don’t have to worry about paying ~$10K for Michael Thomas this week as he is off the slate. Lock in a stud at WR1 and then enjoy the value in the mid-tier.
My cash build for Week 13 will probably start with Christian McCaffrey. How can you not play him? If you don’t, make sure you have 3 RBs that are going to have a lot of volume and touchdown equity.
Plenty of value and positive game-scripts for the cheaper QBs. You can’t go wrong with Mahomes, but you probably don’t need him.
Just because a player is not mentioned in this article, does not mean they are not cash viable.

NFL DFS Cash Games Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes ($7,400) – Pretty simple here. If you can afford Mahomes, use him. I likely will not be able to afford him in my optimal cash build, but he is 100% the best play on the board for cash if you aren’t considering salary.
Lamar Jackson ($7,000) – How is he not $8k?
Aaron Rodgers ($6,400) – Rodgers has disappointed fantasy players and Packers’ fans as a whole over the last month. This matchup against the Giants is one Rodgers will feast in. Mitch Trubisky was a part of my “Sexy-Six” last weekend simply because he was going up against the Giants (28th in pass DVOA).

Trubisky paid off in Week 12 – imagine what Rodgers will do.
Carson Wentz ($5,800) – Wentz has been incredibly disappointing in 2019… there’s no way of sugarcoating it. At this price, against the 32nd ranked team in the NFL in pass DVOA, you can fire up Wentz with confidence. This is a perfect “get-right” matchup for Wentz who should finally have a somewhat healthy receiving core.
Andy Dalton ($4,700) – Welcome back, Andy Dalton. Dalton was recently named the starter once again for the Cincinnati Bengals after they saw how inept Ryan Finley is. If you need some more salary relief, I’m fine with you using Dalton in cash as he should be fired up to prove himself against a Jets’ defense who usually gets torched via the pass.

NFL DFS Cash Games Running Backs

Christian McCaffrey ($10,500) – Do we need to say anything about Christian McCaffrey? Just lock him in this week.
Saquon Barkley ($7,400) – It looks like the days of locking in Barkley and knowing you’re going to get 15+ points are over (for the time being). I’m not sure I want to play him in cash, but if there’s any matchup to right the ship, it should be this Sunday against the Packers’ run defense who ranks 28th in run DVOA.
Le’Veon Bell ($7,200) – Bell hasn’t been anything special this season but he has been a model of consistency. Bell has produced double-digit DraftKings’ points in each of his past four games and should be primed up to do that again against this Cincinnati Bengals’ defense.

The Bengals have given up an average of over 28 DraftKings’ points per game to opposing running backs this season and just allowed the Steelers’ third-string running back to run for over 90-yards. Bell will probably be a staple in my cash lineups this week.
Miles Sanders ($5,400) / ~~Jordan Howard ($4,700)~~ – I’m more interested in rostering Jordan Howard at the discount if he comes into this game 100% healthy. If Howard is ruled out, I think you can get away with using Miles Sanders, but he clearly hasn’t stood out as someone who is going to put up 15+ DraftKings’ points. If there’s any matchup for a blowup game, it’s on Sunday against Miami.
Jonathan Williams ($5,300) – Marlon Mack is out for Week 13, so fire up Johnathan Williams at a discount. Williams was on the field for over 65% of the Colts’ offensive snaps last week and appears to be capable of handling the duties of a three-down workhorse. The Titans’ have been giving up an average of ~33 DraftKings’ points per game over the past month – Williams should be a lock to hit 2.5X value if he gets 60% or more of the snaps.
Ronald Jones ($5,100) – Jacksonville ranks 30th in run DVOA and have been giving up over 40 DraftKings’ points per game to opposing running backs over the last four games… Yikes. Ronald Jones never plays more than 50% of the Bucs’ offensive snaps, but he should get the opportunity to run away with the RB1 job in Tampa Bay this weekend. It’s risky, but the matchup is perfect and the price is right.

Wide Receivers

Davante Adams ($7,000) – At this price, I’m locking in Davante Adams into my cash lineup to ensure I have a strong piece of this Packers’ passing attack versus this Giants’ secondary. Adams is going to see a lot of DeAndre Baker and that is something I want to invest in. I loved Allen Robinson last week for this exact reason and he went off.

I fully expect Rodgers and Adams to put up season-high numbers on this secondary. If Trubisky and Robinson can do it, Rodgers and Adams will have no problems.
D.J. Chark ($6,600) / Dede Westbrook ($5,000) / Chris Conley ($4,500) – No secrets here, just pick one of these Jacksonville receivers going up against these outside corners in Tampa Bay. Price has me leaning towards Conley or Westbrook, but Chark is a stud, so I have no problems with you going there.
Keenan Allen ($6,500) – Keenan Allen will have the best matchup on the field against a solid Denver secondary. We never want to pick on Chris Harris, but Allen gets the softer end of the secondary in the slot against Duke Dawson. Advantage Keenan. I do have some concerns with the pace of this game, but I have Allen projected for six catches for 99 yards. If he can get in the box, he will have a monster day.
DeVante Parker ($5,700) – Parker has gone for double-digit DraftKings’ points in EIGHT straight games. Low-key, this guy is finally breaking out and having a fantasy season to remember. Parker has seen 31 targets over the last three games and should continue to be peppered with targets as the Dolphins play from behind in virtually every game they play.
Sterling Shepard ($4,900) – The Giants are likely going to be chasing points in this game from the get go. Golden Tate is out. Evan Engram is out. Load up Shepard.
Auden Tate ($3,800) – Bottom of the barrel type of play but the volume should be there and Tate has some solid upside in a matchup against this Jets’ secondary.

Tight Ends

Travis Kelce ($7,200) – Kelce is the McCaffrey at the tight-end position. If you can afford him, you play him. No other tight-end on the slate has the floor Kelce does.
Darren Waller ($5,500) – Waller has been a disappointment for fantasy players recently but this is the matchup to play him, and play a lot of him. Assuming the Chiefs can get out to an early lead, Waller is going to heavily targeted in a pass-heavy game script Oakland is forced to turn to.
Jack Doyle ($3,300) – Ebron is now on the IR and Mo Alie-Cox is currently questionable for this game which essentially gives Doyle all of the offensive snaps at tight-end for the Colts.
Tyler Higbee ($2,500) – Absolutely love this price and the matchup against the Cardinals. Realistically, if we use Higbee’s salary relief, the rest of our lineup should have plenty of upside to get us across the pay-line.

Defense/Special Teams

Carolina Panthers ($3,800)
Philadelphia Eagles ($3,600)
Pittsburgh Steelers ($3,500)
Indianapolis Colts ($3,200)
Baltimore Ravens ($2,800)

NFL DFS Cash Games Sample Lineup

QB: Andy Dalton
RB: Christian McCaffrey
RB: Le’Veon Bell
WR: Davante Adams
WR: Sterling Shephard
WR: Dede Westbrook
TE: Tyler Higbee
FLEX: Miles Sanders
DST: Baltimore Ravens

5 years ago 0 comments

11/26 DFS Diamonds: Week 13 NFL on Thanksgiving

Coby Williams 5 years ago

written by Coby Williams

Happy Tuesday! This is a special Thanksgiving article for the 3 game NFL slate. My goal is to do a deep dive into 11/26 Week 13 NFL Thanksgiving special to assist you in winning all the money this weekend. I’ll go game by game and go through my targets for each. Please enjoy this 11/26 DFS article and have a great weekend!

Please message me with any questionson our premium discord channel or Twitter. Happy reading! You can find me onTwitter @Javi_Prellezo.

NFL Week 13 Thanksgiving

Bears vs. Lions

The main question is whether we should trust Mitch Trubisky? He’s been so bad all year, but he’s in a great matchup versus the crappy Lions. I think we shouldn’t trust him, but I wouldn’t mind him in GPPs. I believe the cash plays are Matt Ryan or Drew Brees for this slate, but Trubisky is a solid play to pair up with Allen Robinson. Taylor Gabriel might be out so Anthony Miller might be a good salary saver even if we don’t like Trubisky. As for the Lions, I’m not on anyone from this site except for GPPs. Nothing is sneaky on a 3 game slate, but large GPPs should have some Lions stacks. David Montgomery is so cheap considering his matchup against a weak Lions run defense.

Core Plays – 11/26 DFS

Mitch Trubisky, QB, CHI
David Montgomery, RB, CHI
Allen Robinson, WR, CHI
Tarik Cohen, RB, CHI – DK Only

Value Plays – 11/26 DFS

David Montgomery, RB, CHI
Bo Scarbrough, RB, DET
J.D. McKissic, RB, DET – DK Only

Cowboys vs. Bills

Another one we can target for GPPs.This game doesn’t have as many sneaky plays, but Ezekiel Elliott might be thetop RB of the slate. I actually don’t like the matchup against a solid Billsdefense. I also do like Josh Allen as a solid option at QB. The chalk will beRyan and Brees, but Josh Allen could be a very solid play with his runningability. Devin Singletary could also besneaky as there aren’t many options at RB that we like.

Core Plays – 11/26 DFS

Josh Allen, QB, BUF
Dak Prescott, QB, DAL
Ezekiel Elliott, RB, DAL

Value Plays – 11/26 DFS

Devin Singletary, RB, BUF
Cole Beasley, WR, BUF

Falcons vs. Saints

This is going to be the cash game of this slate. The issue is Matt Ryan is garbage this year and the Saints might play like they did the last time against the Falcons. This could be a cash game trap, but I like Michael Thomas as my top spend of this slate. As for the Saints RB situation, it scares me. What’s scarier than the Saints running game? It’s the Falcons running game. I think you need a Julio or Ridley in your lineup as well, but I think I lean Josh Allen over Ryan and Brees.

Core Plays – 11/26 DFS

Michael Thomas, WR, NO
Drew Brees, QB, NO
Matt Ryan, QB, ATL
Jared Cook, TE, NO

Favorite QBs – Cash

Drew Brees
Matt Ryan
Mitch Trubisky
Josh Allen
Dak Prescott

Favorite QBs – GPP

Josh Allen
Mitch Trubisky
Dak Prescott
Drew Brees
Matt Ryan

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5 years ago 0 comments

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

NFL DFS Week 12 Podcast with DFS Pro Javi & Sticks

Javier Prellezo 5 years ago

written by Javier Prellezo

The NFL DFS Week 12 Podcast with DFS Pro Javi & Sticks focuses on WR and TE plays. The two also embark upon being the second wave to attack what will be a brutal Week 12 main slate.

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Week 12 NFL DFS With DFS Pro Javi & Sticks – WR and TE

Among the other topics DFS Pro Javi & Sticks discuss in the Week 12 Podcast is the favorite plays at WR and TE. Sticks and Javi are at a crossroads this week , but have some similar likes.

The duo also looks at the spots that could be DFS gold and the challenge that will come from finding good plays in a schedule lacking in quality DFS matchups.

In this Week 12 NFL DFS podcast, Sticks and Javi have have a discussion on where they see themselves focusing on. Javi seems to have a heavy focus on the Raiders and Jets game while Sticks is all in on some Lions, Tim Patrick, and other random plays that seem to work. There is a method to their madness as they continuously win each week.

Thank you for listening to the NFL DFS Podcast. Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily Sports has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms.

5 years ago 0 comments

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11/15 DFS Diamonds: DFS Pro J.P. on Week 11 NFL

Coby Williams 5 years ago

written by Coby Williams

Happy Friday! My goal is to do a deep dive into Week 11 NFL to assist you in winning all the money this weekend. I’ll go game by game and go through my targets for each. Please enjoy this 11/15 DFS article and have a great weekend!

Pleasemessage me with any questions on our premium discord channel or Twitter. Happyreading!

NFLWeek 11

Falconsvs. Panthers

Ifyou continue to avoid Christian McCaffrey then you continue to lose money mostlikely! CMC is a workhorse and he’s facing off against one of the worstdefenses in the league. He will score two or three times this week and shouldbe a lock. One of my favorite plays of the week is Kyle Allen. He’s too cheapand he’s starting to get better and better every week. DJ Moore is his numberone target so I’ll stack him with Kyle Allen and have some shares of CurtisSamuel. It’s safe to say that I love an Allen-CMC-Moore with Panthers Defensestack this week. I’ll have TEN tournament lineups this week on FD and DK and I’llbe using these four plays in more than half of them. On the other side, I likeme some Calvin Ridley, Julio Jones, and Brian Hill as well. Of the three, BrianHill is my favorite and I love the price on Ridley. I’ll have some Julio, butnot as much. I love, love, love this game!

CorePlays – 11/15 DFS

Christian McCaffrey, RB, CAR
Kyle Allen, QB, CAR
DJ Moore, WR, CAR
Brian Hill, RB, ATL
Panthers DST

Value Plays – 11/15 DFS

Kyle Allen, QB, CAR
Brian Hill, RB, ATL
Panthers DST

Saintsvs. Bucs

Here’sanother game I like this week, but I like it more on the passing and WR side.Both run defenses are tough and the best in the league so I’m avoiding the RBsfrom both teams, but give me some Drew Brees with Michael T homas stacks! Also, give me some Winston withEvans OR Godwin stacks in what should be a shootout of a game. Drew BreesBETTER throw a TD this week.

Core Plays – 11/15 DFS

Michael Thomas, WR, NO
Mike Evans OR Chris Godwin, WR, TB

Ravensvs. Texans

Thisis another one of those games that could be very interesting for DFS. Withpaying up for CMC and Michael Thomas, it will be tough to get Lamar Jackson,who is the top QB on the slate once again. Lamar Jackson with Marquise Brown or Mark Andrews could work, but the Texansdefend the TE pretty well so I’ll take Brown’s discounted price over Andrews. Asfor the Texans side, I’m pretty much off them, but I’ll throw a Watson-Hopkinsstack most likely since they are really good. Like really, really good.

Core Plays – 11/15 DFS

Lamar Jackson, QB, BAL

Value Plays – 11/15 DFS

Marquise Brown, WR, BAL

Vikingsvs. Broncos

Ihonestly don’t know how I feel about this game. The question begins on whetheryou want to pay up for your second RB to be Dalvin Cook, Zeke, or Josh Jacobs.For me, I lean Jacobs right now because he’s cheap, but I don’t hate it if yougo Dalvin Cook this week over Zeke and Jacobs. This is the only target for methis game as it should be a lower scoring game this week.

Core Plays – 11/15 DFS

Dalvin Cook, RB, MIN

Cowboysvs. Lions

Wehave news that Stafford is out this week so I like the Cowboys DST a lot thisweek against a terrible Jeff Driskel. I lean a little to J.D. McKissic as apivot off Brian Hill, but it will only be on DK with a full point PPR scoringsystem. By all means, do not use McKissic over Hill in cash, but maybe in someGPP’s. I like Zeke the most for this game, but I don’t hate the Dak Prescottstack with Amari Cooper this week. Again , it’ll be tough to fit if you’regoing CMC, but use it for GPP. Lionscannot defend against the run!

Core Plays – 11/15 DFS

Ezekiel Elliott, RB, DAL
Cowboys DST

Value Plays – 11/15 DFS

Cowboys DST
J.D. McKissic, RB, DET

Billsvs. Dolphins

Thisgame is interesting from a DFS perspective. The reason because it’s interestingis because it is one of the lower projected games on the slate. I do side withthe Bills more than the Dolphins side, but I do have a sneaky play and it’sAllen Hurns. He played in more than 70% of the snaps and is locked in as thenumber two WR with the Dolphins. My main man Devin Singletary from the greatestcollege alive let us down this past week, but I love the price tag and I thinkhe has the potential for a big game versus the hot streaking Miami Dolphins.

Core Plays – 11/15 DFS

Josh Allen, QB, BUF
John Brown , WR, BUF

Value Plays – 11/15 DFS

Allen Hurns, WR, MIA
Kalen Ballage, RB, MIA
Devin Singletary, RB, BUF

Jagsvs. Colts

Thisgame is another one that is very interesting. The issue is I’m not targetingthis game at all except for the cheap, cheap, cheap price tag of Nick Foles andstacking him with Chark or Westbrook. Other than that, I’m not really on thisgame

Value Plays – 11/15 DFS

Nick Foles, QB, JAX
Dede Westbrook, WR, JAX

Jetsvs. Redskins

Doyou believe in a revenge narrative? If so, lock in some Jamison Crowder thisweek. As bad as Darnold has been this year, I don’t hate a stack with him andCrowder. This is the only target I have from this game

Value Plays – 11/15 DFS

Sam Darnold, QB, NYJ
Jamison Crowder, WR, NYJ

Cardinalsvs. 49ers

I’mpretty off the Cardinals for this game. I think Kyler’s game against them was afluke and it won’t happen again. As for the 49ers, I do like Tevin Coleman andsome Ross Dwelley this week against a bad defense in the Cardinals. I’ll have aton of Dwelley given his salary and he’s a TE against the Cardinals.

Core Plays – 11/15 DFS

Tevin Coleman, RB, SF

Value Plays – 11/15 DFS

Ross Dwelley, TE, SF

Bengalsvs. Raiders

Everyonekeeps talking Boyd, but I’m all about locking in Derek Carr, Darren Waller, andJosh Jacobs. I love the matchup against one of the worst defenses and I thinkTyrell Williams can also be sneaky. After his first bad week in a long time,Tyrell Williams could go off this week.

Core Plays – 11/15 DFS

Josh Jacobs, RB, OAK
Derek Carr, QB, OAK
Darren Waller, TE, OAK

Patriotsvs. Eagles

Thisgame is a lot more interesting than experts are leading on, but the projectedtotal is slowly creeping up. Edelman, Sanu, and Miles Sanders are my maintargets. This game could be sneaky, but I’m not on this game as much. I willhave some shares of the three above, but that’s all.

Core Plays – 11/15 DFS

Julian Edelman, WR, NE

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5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL Premium

11/1 DFS Diamonds: DFS Pro J.P. on Week 9 NFL

Coby Williams 5 years ago

written by Coby Williams

My goal is to do a 11/1 DFS deep dive into Week 9 NFL to assist you in winning all the money this weekend. I’ll go game by game and go through my targets for each.

Let’s win some money!

Please message me with any questions on our premium slack channel or Twitter. Happy reading!

Week 9 NFL DFS Podcast with The King and Javi

NFLWeek 9

Titansvs. Panthers – Sneaky Game of the Week (One side of it)

Ican’t believe I’m calling this game sneaky, but my favorite salary savers forthis slate comes from Carolina. D.J. Moore and Curtis Samuel are big timesalary savers and Derrick Henry is beyond cheap. Target this game for valuemore than anything else. I would not game stack this. Christian McCaffrey is mytop running back on the slate. He isn’t a salary saver, but he’s the MVP of thefirst half.

CorePlays – 11/1 DFS

FanDuel
- Christian McCaffrey, RB, CAR – $9,700
- Derrick Henry, RB, TEN – $6,800
- Curtis Samuel, WR, CAR – $5,600
- D.J. Moore, WR, CAR – $5,400
DraftKings
- Christian McCaffrey, RB, CAR – $10,000
- Derrick Henry, RB, TEN – $5,700
- Curtis Samuel, WR, CAR – $5,600
- D.J. Moore, WR, CAR – $4,800

ValuePlays – 11/1 DFS

FanDuel
- Curtis Samuel, WR, CAR – $5,600
- D.J. Moore, WR, CAR – $5,400
DraftKings
- Curtis Samuel, WR, CAR – $4,300
- D.J. Moore, WR, CAR – $4,800

Vikingsvs. Chiefs

I’mindifferent on this game from the Chiefs side except for Travis Kelce as heshowed some rapport with Matt Moore. The more enticing side is the Vikingsfacing off against a terrible defense in Kansas City. Adam Thielen on FD is amust play because of his pricing. I’m nervous about his hamstring, but he’s toocheap on FD. He’s a fade on DK. My favorite running back besides McCaffrey is DalvinCook. I’ve done crazier things before, but maybe I can try to fit them both ina GPP. I don’t recommend it for cash.

CorePlays – 11/1 DFS

FanDuel
- Adam Thielen, WR, MIN – $7,100
- Dalvin Cook, RB, MIN – $9,000
- Travis Kelce, TE, KC – $6,700
DraftKings
- Dalvin Cook, RB, MIN – $9,500
- Travis Kelce, TE, KC – $6,900

Billsvs. Redskins

Let’sstart off and say I’m off the Redskins, but the salary savings in a JoshAllen-John Brown stack is great on both sites. I’m ignoring everything elseexcept for these two together in a GPP.

CorePlays – 11/1 DFS

FanDuel
- Josh Allen, QB, BUF – $7,700
- John Brown, WR, BUF – $6,200
DraftKings
- Josh Allen, QB, BUF – $6,500
- John Brown, WR, BUF – $6,100

ValuePlays – 11/1 DFS

FanDuel
- John Brown, WR, BUF – $6,200
DraftKings
- John Brown, WR, BUF – $6,100

Coltsvs. Steelers

Oneof the top plays of the slate depend on one injury from this game. If JamesConner is out, load up Jaylen Samuels in all your lineups. Yes, Mason Rudolphis bad, but the amount of check downs thrown to the RB and the cheap price ofJaylen Samuels, it all depends on James Conner’s availability. As for the Colts, T.Y. Hilton seems banged upand may not suit up, but this Jacoby Brissett price is too cheap to pass on andI’ll have a few GPP stacks with Brissett and whoever the number one wideout isprojected to be, but not as high on the Colts this week if Hilton sits. I mightbe interested in Marlon Mack for a tournament lineup or two, but I like otherRBs much more.

CorePlays – 11/1 DFS

FanDuel
- Jaylen Samuels (If Conner is OUT) – $5,000
DraftKings
- Jaylen Samuels (If Conner is OUT) – $5,000

Bearsvs. Eagles

Herecomes the million dollar question, do we trust Mitch Trubisky or Carson Wentzto win us a million dollar this weekends? The answer for me is the Milly winneris coming from one of these two sides. You saw it here first! Although I cansee a million dollars being one with one of these two stacks, I’m not targetingit in cash and I’ll be using a few of these guys for stacks only in GPPs.

CorePlays – 11/1 DFS

FanDuel
- Allen Robinson, WR, CHI – $7,200
DraftKings
- Allen Robinson, WR, CHI – $6,800

ValuePlays – 11/1 DFS

FanDuel
- Mitchell Trubisky, QB, CHI – $6,500
DraftKings
- Mitchell Trubisky, QB, CHI – $5,000

Jetsvs. Dolphins

Iactually like a Miami Dolphin this week. I know it’s a shot in the dark, right?Wrong. Mark Walton is the main guy and he faces a less than thrilling Jetsteam. He’s too cheap on both sites and I’m locking him in this week in morethan 50% of my lineups. I have ten lineups for tournaments that range from 50 –250 people and I’ll do 150 lineups by hand. Mark Walton will be in five ofthose ten tournament lineups. This is subject to change, but I have it fornow. As for the Jets, I’ll throw a fewGPP lineups for Sam Darnold with Robby Anderson and Jamison Crowder along withsome with Demaryius Thomas, but I’m only on Le’Veon Bell this week from the Jetsside for my tournaments. Dolphins defense is thee worst and Le’Veon Bell isdue!

CorePlays – 11/1 DFS

FanDuel
- Le’Veon Bell, RB, NYJ – $7,000
- Mark Walton, RB, MIA – $5,700
- Robby Anderson, WR, NYJ – $6,200
- Jamison Crowder, WR, NYJ – $5,800
DraftKings
- Le’Veon Bell, RB, NYJ – $7,700
- Mark Walton, RB, MIA- $4,500
- Robby Anderson, WR, NYJ – $5,500
- Jamison Crowder, WR, NYJ – $5,300

ValuePlays – 11/1 DFS

FanDuel
- Preston Williams, WR, MIA – $5,500
- Mark Walton, RB, MIA – $5,700
- Robby Anderson, WR, NYJ – $6,200
- Jamison Crowder, WR, NYJ – $5,800
DraftKings
- Preston Williams, WR, MIA – $5,500
- Mark Walton, RB, MIA- $4,500
- Robby Anderson, WR, NYJ – $5,500
- Jamison Crowder, WR, NYJ – $5,300

Broncosvs. Browns

Thisgame is a fade for me. There is always one game I like to avoid and this is thatgame. I might throw a few Browns DST in DFS because Brandon Allen might behorrendous. I’ll also throw two of 150 lineups with Brandon Allen stacks togive it a shot. Why not? For the Browns, Nick Chubb might be okay, but I’m not onit as much as others are.

ValuePlays – 11/1 DFS

FanDuel
- Brandon Allen, QB, DEN – $6,000
DraftKings
- Brandon Allen, QB, DEN – $4,100

Packersvs. Chargers

I honestly haven’t decided what I think of this game. On one side, the Chargers fired their Offensive Coordinator this week so do Hunter Henry, Melvin Gordon, Keenan Allen, etc. benefit from this? My initial thought is yes, but I want to wait and see on one week to see how the Chargers do with a new sheriff in town. That being said, Melvin Gordon is too cheap and I’ll use him as a salary saver plus I’ll throw a few Milly lineups for the Chargers. My only thing is I don’t trust any Packers WR to stack Rodgers with. This game is a confusing one for me thus far.

CorePlays – 11/1 DFS

FanDuel
- Jamaal Williams, RB, GB – $5,400 (If Aaron Jones is OUT)
- Melvin Gordon, RB, LAC – $6,300
- Hunter Henry, TE, LAC – $6,400
DraftKings
- Jamaal Williams, RB, GB – $5,900 (If Aaron Jones is OUT)
- Melvin Gordon, RB, LAC – $5,000
- Hunter Henry, TE, LAC – $6,000

ValuePlays – 11/1 DFS

FanDuel
- Jamaal Williams, RB, GB – $5,400 (If Aaron Jones is OUT)
- Melvin Gordon, RB, LAC – $6,300
DraftKings
- Jamaal Williams, RB, GB – $5,900 (If Aaron Jones is OUT)
- Melvin Gordon, RB, LAC – $5,000

Lionsvs. Raiders – Game Stack of the Week #1

Unfortunatelywe have no Atlanta Falcons defense to pick on this week , but I like picking onthe Raiders pass defense as well. On topof all that, I like attacking the beat up secondary of the Lions as well. Withthe bad secondaries and terrible pass defenses, sign me up for this shootout ofa game. This game will probably garner a lot of ownership, but have no fear becauseI have a second game stack of the week for you all.

CorePlays – 11/1 DFS

FanDuel
- Derek Carr, QB, OAK – $7,300
- Matthew Stafford, QB, DET – $7,900
- Marvin Jones, WR, DET – $5,700
- Kenny Golladay, WR, DET – $7,600
- Josh Jacobs , RB, OAK – $7,200
- Darren Waller, TE, OAK – $6,800
- Tyrell Williams, WR, OAK – $6,300
DraftKings
- Derek Carr, QB, OAK – $5,500
- Matthew Stafford, QB, DET – $6,800
- Marvin Jones, WR, DET – $6,000
- Kenny Golladay, WR, DET – $7,700
- Josh Jacobs , RB, OAK – $6,500
- Darren Waller, TE, OAK – $6,300
- Tyrell Williams, WR, OAK – $5,900

ValuePlays – 11/1 DFS

FanDuel
- Marvin Jones, WR, DET – $5,700
- TJ Hockenson , TE , DET – $5,000
DraftKings
- Marvin Jones, WR, DET – $6,000
- TJ Hockenson , TE , DET – $3,700

Seahawksvs. Bucs – Second Game Stack of the Week

Thisis the second shootout game of the week. Seahawks got thrown all around by MattSchaub and the secondary is not very good. Both pass defenses are weak and both run defenses are actually not bad.Target the passing game!

CorePlays – 11/1 DFS

FanDuel
- Jameis Winston, QB, TB – $7,500
- Russell Wilson, QB, SEA – $8,600
- Tyler Lockett, WR, SEA – $7,500
- Chris Godwin, WR, TB – $8,200
- Mike Evans, WR, TB – $8,100
DraftKings
- Jameis Winston, QB, TB – $6,100
- Russell Wilson, QB, SEA – $7,100
- Tyler Lockett, WR, SEA – $7,500
- Chris Godwin, WR, TB – $7,300
- Mike Evans, WR, TB – $7,200

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

NFL Week 8 DFS: Main Slate Preview

adam.sardinha1@gmail.com 5 years ago

written by adam.sardinha1@gmail.com

Are you excited for NFL Week 8 DFS? I cannot believe it has gone by this quickly. The regular season is basically half-way over. But here we are back at it to win some money on DraftKings! We will go through each matchup game-by-game in the main slate, and I will give my best buys via DraftKings prices.

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Early Games

Cardinals at Saints

Interestingly enough the Cardinals rank last in the NFL in giveaways per game at 0.6 which I think limits the upside of the Saints DST ($3,500). At running back if Alvin Kamara ($7,600) is out again Latavius Murray ($5,800) will once again be in play. His heavy involvement in both the passing and running game makes him an extremely enticing cash play for Week 8. Jared Cook definitely ($4,000) needs to be considered as well because we all know the flow chart narrative of the Arizona Cardinals’ defense. In the three games prior to missing last week, Cook had seen 15 targets and scored two touchdowns.

The Cardinals defense looked better last week with Patrick Peterson, and if he locks down Michael Thomas that could really hurt the upside for Teddy Bridgewater ($5,900). Ted Ginn Jr.($3,700) is also a very interesting GPP punt play. He has 11 targets over the past two games and is back in the dome where he has scored or gone over 100 yards in two of his home games this season. When Ginn plays at home in New Orleans you need some exposure in GPPs. The Cardinals have allowed the tenth-most fantasy points to the wide receiver position this season.

For Kyler Murray ($6,200) I absolutely love him in GPPs. He busted hard last week, but the weather and the game flow played a huge role in it. Murray should be getting back a cheap Christian Kirk ($4,700) so with another receiver added I think Murray can cruise in Week 8. Two of the rushing quarterbacks that the Saints played this year (Wilson and Watson), combined for 90 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns.

Bengals at Rams (London)

For the second week in a row, the Rams have the highest implied team total (30.5) on the main slate. This makes sense as the Bengals defense has been absolute trash this year, allowing the fifth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks and most fantasy points to running backs through the first seven weeks of the season. That sets the stage for Todd Gurley ($7,400) to be in a blow-up spot. Gurley saw 18 rushing attempts in Week 7, with nine of those attempts coming in the red zone. Gurley currently ranks sixth overall in the NFL in red zone carries (21) despite playing in just six games. Any running back that has seen 11 touches has scored double-digit fantasy points versus the Bengals. Gurley is averaging 16 touches per game. It’s tough to get behind Jared Goff ($6,800) at his price with slightly better options higher priced than him. The Rams DST ($3,800) is also in a smash spot for Week 8.

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As for the Bengals, Tyler Boyd ($5,100) is absurdly too cheap in this game. Boyd ranks third in the NFL in total targets (74) and is most likely not going to be getting coverage from Jalen Ramsey. Ramsey played 86% of his snaps from the outside in Week 7 and just had five snaps coming from the slot. Boyd also is not even a 100% slot wide receiver; this season he has played in the slot approximately 60% of the time. Boyd is the perfect one-off receiver play in both GPPs and cash games. Alex Erickson ($3,700) is also an interesting option. He saw a career-high in snaps (74) and the Rams have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to the wide receiver position over the last four weeks.

Broncos at Colts

Emmanuel Sanders has been traded to the 49ers, opening up 19% of the target share for other receivers. The key receiver to play here in cash games is DaeSean Hamilton ($3,300). In the last four games of last season once Sanders was out of the lineup due to injury, Hamilton averaged 6.25 receptions, 9.5 targets, and 45.5 receiving yards. He is the low-priced wide receiver you want to unlock the rest of your lineups. The Colts over the last four weeks have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to the wide receiver position. Courtland Sutton ($5,300) also becomes very chalky but is great value in the plus matchup.

For the Colts, this could be a great spot for their running back Marlon Mack ($6,100). He is back at home and is facing off versus the Denver defense that has allowed the eighth-most rushing attempts, eighth-most rushing yards, second-most receptions, most targets, and six-most red-zone targets to the running back position over the last four weeks. Mack has six targets over his last two games. T.Y. Hilton ($6,100) is an easy fade this week after being super chalky last week. In his history versus the Broncos, Hilton has zero career touchdowns and has surpassed just 41 yards once in five games played. Colts DST ($2,900) is still in play as the Broncos have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to defenses over the past four weeks. Denver is allowing an average of four sacks per game in road contests this season.

Chargers at Bears

Allen Robinson ($6,000) continues to be underpriced and underappreciated on DraftKings. Robinson is the only player that is seeing at least 40% of his team’s total air yards and 25% of his team’s total target market share. He is a great GPP play with the perception of a tough matchup with cornerback Casey Hayward. David Montgomery ($4,400) is also extremely cheap for a starting running back in which he is at home and is on the favored team to win the game. Head coach Matt Nagy has seen some heat from the media from not running the ball enough, so there is not a better spot to get back to the run game than versus the Chargers. Los Angeles has allowed the fifth-most rushing yards and seventh-most attempts to running backs over the past four weeks. Anthony Miller ($3,500) is a nice punt play for receivers with a total of 16 targets over the last two weeks.

As for the Chargers, they are filled with GPP plays because of how badly they have played recently. Mike Williams ($4,000) ranks fourth in the NFL in air yards over the last five weeks. Additionally, Keenan Allen ($6,400) is the cheapest he has been all season and ranks third in the NFL in air yards over the last five weeks. With Philip Rivers ($5,300) throwing multiple touchdowns in five of seven games this season it is just a matter of time before Williams or Allen finds the end zone again. Austin Ekeler ($5,900) also needs to be in play because the Bears have been dreadful versus running backs as of late. Over the last four weeks, they have allowed the most fantasy points to the running back position. Specifically through the passing game. They have allowed the fifth-most receptions and fourth-most targets.

Giants at Lions

The Lions DST ($2,800) might be the best value at defense on the slate. The Giants on the road this season have averaged 2.7 turnovers per game, and over the last four weeks, the Giants have allowed the second-most fantasy points allowed to opposing defenses.

It’s also time for Matthew Stafford ($6,100)to smash Week 8! The Giants’ defense has been bad especially on the road. There allowed average yards per attempt to quarterbacks is 9.8 which is second-highest in the NFL. With the loss of Kerryon Johnson, the Lions could lean on the pass more. They already are averaging 36.3 pass attempts per game at 7.9 yards per attempt. The Lions are also averaging three passing touchdowns per game at home this season. Kenny Golladay ($6,400) is almost guaranteed to bounce back. You can also then add in presumed starting running back Ty Johnson ($4,900) who is also at a great value. It’s Lions week for GPP stacking. Marvin Hall ($3,000) can help round out the lineup as well. He has now hauled in a pass of at least 34 yards in three consecutive games. The last time Hall played the Giants he scored. Hall averages 22.56 yards per catch in his career.

Saquon Barkley ($8,900) is also in play in cash games. The Lions have allowed the second-most fantasy points to the running back position over the past four weeks.

https://twitter.com/PFF/status/1054541025597931521

Jets at Jaguars

It was Leonard Fournette ($7,800) week last week, and it looks like that could be happening once again. Except for this time Fournette should find the end zone. No team has allowed more rushing touchdowns this season to running backs than the New York Jets. Over the past four weeks running backs are averaging 7.5 red zone touches per game. Considering he is averaging 24.5 touches per game he has to be locked into your cash lineups. Fournette is second in the NFL in red zone carries (27). The Jets could also be without linebacker C.J. Mosley who is dealing with a nagging groin injury.

Eagles at Bills

The Eagles are allowing the third-most fantasy points to wide receivers over the past four weeks. That means Josh Allen ($6,500) and John Brown ($5,900) are always in play. If you are looking to go cheaper at receiver Cole Beasley ($4,200) is a great value.

Zach Ertz ($5,100) is a strong fade even at his price because the matchup is very tough. Bills have allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to the tight end position. If anything I would suggest playing Dallas Goedert ($2,800) who is too cheap for a tight end that has scored 25.7 DraftKings points over the last two weeks.

Seahawks at Falcons

Russell Wilson ($7,200) is definitely in consideration for cash games this week. Wilson is facing the worst defense in the league against the quarterback position. Though you like him much more if Matt Ryan is there to put pressure on Wilson to score points in this game. The best play in this game might be either Chris Carson ($7,000) or DK Metcalf ($5,000). Falcons have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to wide receivers and have allowed the third-most passing plays over 20 yards (28). Carson is averaging 23 touches per game making him an easy cash play versus arguably the league’s worst defense.

Buccaneers at Titans

I was talking up Ryan Tannehill last week and he delivered in a big way. He scored 23.18 DraftKings fantasy points last week and gets an even better matchup versus the Buccaneers at just $5,100. Corey Davis ($4,400) is a massive chalk wide receiver play because of his price and the matchup. The Buccaneers have allowed the most fantasy points to wide receivers over the last four weeks. Also when Corey Davis has had at least five receptions this season he has scored at least 20 DraftKings points. A.J. Brown ($4,100) is also a great cheap wide receiver to target coming off a career-high eight targets in Week 7.

Both Mike Evans ($6,600), Chris Godwin ($7,100) and Jameis Winston ($5,900) are all in play for GPPs because of the middling matchup.

Late Games

Panthers at 49ers

Tevin Coleman ($5,000) is probably in the best spot out of all the 49ers’ running backs. As the main rusher, he will benefit from the Panthers allowing 4.7 yards per attempt and 1.2 rushing touchdowns per game.

Christian McCaffrey ($9,200) will come in at lower ownership because of his tough matchup, making him an excellent GPP play. I still think you can play him in cash though. CMC has produced in tough matchups already this year and with 27 touches per game, he should still hit value. Besides the 49ers have rarely been tested this year versus running backs. The best back they have faced (Nick Chubb) rushed for 87 yards and they allowed 81 rushing yards to Adrian Peterson. Don’t overweight the matchup. Last year also when McCaffrey faced the number one rush defense in the Baltimore Ravens he scored 19.60 fantasy points.

Browns at Patriots

Tom Brady ($6,600) is in play and a perfect player to pair him with is James White ($5,100). The Browns have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks over the past four weeks. White has been running extremely bad when it comes to touchdowns. He has 11 targets in the red zone, but just one touchdown.

https://twitter.com/HaydenWinks/status/1187034223129042946

Raiders at Texans

It is Kenny Stills ($4,700) chalk week folks. With Will Fuller on the sideline, Stills is entrenched to that deep threat role on the Texans. This comes at a perfect time versus the Raiders who have allowed the most passing plays of 20 yards or more (32), and rank fifth-worst in sacks on the quarterback. Deshaun Watson ($7,100) is locked in for a productive outing for both cash and GPP formats.

The matchup to expose here is rookie Lonnie Johnson Jr. on the Houston Texans because they are so banged up in their secondary. Johnson has lined up at right cornerback the majority of this season making his matchup most likely versus Tyrell Williams ($5,500) or Keelan Doss ($3,300). Johnson Jr. allowed four touchdowns in coverage last week on nine targets.

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL NBA Premium

10/23 DFS Diamonds: DFS Pro J.P. on Week 8 NFL, NBA, and Props

Coby Williams 5 years ago

written by Coby Williams

Most DFS sites, pros, players, etc. don’t focus on the next week until later on in the week. But I want to provide an early look into Week 8 in the 10/23 DFS Report. I want to focus on the Top 3 games that I’m currently leaning towards for Week 8.

Cash/GPP Plays for NFL Week 8

Seahawksvs. Falcons

Sign me up for any team facing the Falcons. It’s safe to say that the Falcons are one of the worst defense and teams in the NFL. Even though Russell Wilson is the most expensive QB this week, I’ll have a bunch of Wilson lineups with Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf stacks. I might even double up on WR for the Seahawks in most of my lineups. With Dissly out, Wilson needs to throw it to someone. As for the Falcons, let’s wait and see on Matt Ryan’s status throughout the week as I do like the Atlanta side as well with the Seahawks having a pretty weak secondary.

Core Plays – 10/23 DFS

FanDuel
- Russell Wilson, QB, SEA – $8,600
- Chris Carson, RB, SEA – $8,000
- Tyler Lockett, WR, SEA – $7,200
- DK Metcalf, WR, SEA – $6,600
- Julio Jones, WR, ATL – $7,800 (If Ryan play)
DraftKings
- Russell Wilson, QB, SEA – $7,200
- Chris Carson, RB, SEA – $7,000
- Tyler Lockett, WR, SEA – $7,000
- D.K. Metcalf, WR, SEA – $5,000
- Julio Jones, WR, ATL – $7,700 (If Ryan play)

ValuePlays

FanDuel
- Jaron Brown, WR, SEA – $5,100
- Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,400
DraftKings
- Jaron Brown, WR, SEA – $4,000
- Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,600
- Matt Ryan, QB, ATL – $6,000 (If heplays)

Texansvs. Raiders

This is the shootout game of the week. Both defenses are middle to lower tier and both have some above average offenses. I expect a lot of points in this game and a lot of Deshaun Watson with Kenny Stills and DeAndre Hopkins in my GPPs. I believe Watson paired with Hopkins might be one of the higher owned QB-WR stacks this week, especially with Fuller gone. I also like Derek Carr with Darren Waller as it seems they have a great thing going right now. The only thing is they finally fixed Waller’s price so it’s not as low as it has been the past few weeks. Josh Jacobs pricing on DraftKings is broken. He will most likely be in a ton of my lineups.

Core Plays – 10/23 DFS

FanDuel
- DeAndre Hopkins, WR, HOU – $8,200
- Deshaun Watson, QB, HOU – $8,400
- Josh Jacobs, RB, OAK – $7,200
DraftKings
- DeAndre Hopkins, WR, HOU – $8,100
- Deshaun Watson, QB, HOU – $7,100
- Josh Jacobs, RB, OAK – $5,800

ValuePlays

FanDuel
- Derek Carr, QB, OAK – $6,900
- Kenny Stills, WR, HOU – $5,700
DraftKings
- Derek Carr, QB, OAK – $5,000
- Kenny Stills, WR, HOU – $4,700
- Josh Jacobs, RB, OAK – $5,800

GPP Gameof the Week:

Lionsvs. Giants

I’m not too sure how sneaky this game will be, but I’m loading up on both sides this week. The Lions rank towards the bottom in run defense and the Giants just have one of the worst defenses as a whole. I expect a shootout, but the question is whether Daniel Jones can pick it back up after some back to back poor performances.

Core Plays – 10/23 DFS

FanDuel
- Matthew Stafford, QB, DET – $7,700
- Saquon Barkley, RB, NYG – $8,600
- Kenny Golladay, WR, DET – $6,700
DraftKings
- Matthew Stafford, QB, DET – $6,100
- Saquon Barkley, RB, NYG – $8,900
- Kenny Golladay, WR, DET – $6,400

ValuePlays

FanDuel
- Marvin Jones, WR, DET – $6,300
DraftKings
- Marvin Jones, WR, DET – $5,800
- Matthew Stafford, QB, DET – $6,100

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NBA – 10/23 DFS

NBA is back! As I mentioned in my podcast yesterday, I started my full time DFS career with NBA so it’s near and dear to my heart. I’m excited for my Miami Heat to win the Eastern Conference and I’m excited to dive into this slate. I’m also going for another live final ticket! That being said, I’ll be focusing on my core and GPP plays for today along with my favorite game for DFS. I did mention that I like to wait and see two weeks before I go heavy into my bankroll for NBA to see what offenses to target against bad defenses. For example, the Clippers were one of the worst defenses last year, but with some big upgrades this season, I see them as a Top 10 defense now. This is why I like the wait and see approach for the first few weeks of the season.

We mentionedthis in our Premium Slack Channel yesterday, but with NBA DFS, you need to staylocked in between the final hour before lock until lock. If you can’t be engagedduring that hour, we recommend avoiding the NBA slate. Starting lineups andother news is vital to being successful in NBA DFS. I will still be playing agood chunk for the first few weeks so let’s win some money and dive in.

Teams I’m interested in:

Spurs vs. Knicks – The Knicks tried toupgrade this past offseason and I believe they are a better team, but I thinkthis is still going to be one of the worst teams in the NBA. I’m a fan of thematchup for the Spurs and I’ll have a good share of DeMar DeRozan and LaMarcusAldridge versus a team that ranked as one of the worst defensively last season.Again, we can expect a better team and defense, but I’ll take my chances withthe Spurs.
- Spurs – Core Plays
  - LaMarcus Aldridge , PF, SAS – FD: $8,500 ; DK- $7,300
  - DeMar DeRozan, SG, SAS – FD : $8,200 ;DK – $7,200

Jazz vs. Thunder – Let’s start off with aquestion. Who do the Thunder still have? Chris Paul is old and Steven Adams can’tcarry this team on his back. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will be enticing to see allseason as I feel he will carry this team. I’m targeting the Jazz side of thisgame.
- Jazz
  - Mike Conley, PG, UTA– FD: $7,800; DK – $7,500
  - Donovan Mitchell, SG, UTA – FD : $8,400; DK -$7,800
- Thunder
  - ShaiGilgeous-Alexander, PG, OKC – FD : $6,400; DK – $6,100

Kings vs. Suns – The Suns were one of the worst teams and worst defensive teams. I expect a high paced game and a very high scoring game so I’ll be on both teams, but I like the Kings forwards and center for this game more than anything. The Suns couldn’t defend the big man last year and I expect this to continue
- Kings – I’d choose of the four to start your lineup
  - Dewayne Dedmon , C, SAC – FD : $5,300; DK – $5,100 (Value)
  - De’Aaron Fox, PG, SAC – FD : $8,600; DK – $7,700
  - Buddy Hield, SG, SAC – FD : $7,000; DK – $7,000
  - Marvin Bagley, PF, SAC – FD: $8,000 ; DK – $7,200
- Suns
  - Ricky Rubio, PG, PHX – FD: $6,900; DK – $5,800
  - Devin Booker, SG, PHX – $9,000; DK – $8,700

Other Core Plays
- Karl-Anthony Towns, C, MIN – FD: $11,000; DK – $10,100
  - My big spend of the night. I love the matchup and he’s facing a Brooklyn team that couldn’t defend the PF/C last year.
- Luka Doncic, PG, DAL – FD: $9,900; DK – $9,400
  - Washington is in tank mode this season. Luka should feast against this bad team.
- Kristaps Porzingis, PF, DAL – FD: $7,700; DK – $ 8,200
  - This is a more skeptical core play as we don’t know what to expect from Porzingis after missing all last year. He faces Washington, who once again is in tank mode and should be terrible on all ends
- Bam Adebayo, PF, MIA – FD: $6,900; DK – $7,000
  - Bam is the big man in town. With Whiteside gone, it’s the Bam show and he faces against a Memphis team that struggled mightily against the C last year after shipping off Marc Gasol at the deadline. Load him up!

Other 10/23 DFS Value Plays
- Tyler Herro, SG, MIA – FD: $3,600; DK – $4,800
- Dwayne Bacon, SG, CHA – FD: $3,600; DK – $5,300
- PJ Washington, PF, CHA – FD: $3,800; DK – $5,500

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My two plays for the day are focusing on the Phoenix Suns vs. Sacramento Kings game. Both teams are coming off a season that had them as twoof the higher paced teams, but also two of the worst defenses in the NBA. Buddy Hield is the second scorer on this squad and I think he’ll hit the over on 20.5 easily while Devin Booker is the number one on one of the worst teams in the NBA and should easily score 30 points tomorrow.

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL

NFL DFS: Week Seven MNF Showdown Guide, Prop Picks and Podcast

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide plays for the Week Seven NFL DFS Monday Night Football slate. I will break down the top fantasy players to consider and also include my favorite prop bets on Monkey Knife Fight.

New England Patriots vs. New York Jets

O/U: 43.5 (NE -9.5)

NFL DFS: New England Patriots

The undefeated Patriots head to the Meadowlands to take on the rejuvenated New York Jets. The Patriots have been lights out on defense, logging 25 sacks and maintaining the second highest adjusted sack rate in the league (10%). They have also been very stingy on the ground, allowing just over 3.4 yards per carry. The one thing everyone is talking about is the inconsistencies in the NE offense. They aren’t great in the run game, they average just over three YPC. They also haven’t been stellar in pass protection, allowing a 5.8% adjusted sack rate. Not the worst in the league, but enough to cause concern against a very underrated Jets defense. To make matters worse, WR Josh Gordon, TE Ryan Izzo, and TE Matt LaCosse have already been ruled out. Julian Edelman, Phillip Dorsett, Patrick Chung, and Rex Burkhead are all listed as questionable to play.

NFL DFS: New York Jets

The savior of the New York Jets returned last week and put on quite a show against the Cowboys. There aren’t any stats for me to bolster for the Jets, who rank second to last in pass protection (25 sacks allowed) and average just over three YPC. I’m going to say the same thing I said last week when I wrote up the Jets offense, forget everything you think you know about this team. They had Luke Falk under center, who quite frankly doesn’t have the intangibles to even be an NFL QB, but they made due with what they had and that is reflected through the stats. It is easy to defend an offense with a QB that can’t throw outside the numbers, so you can just stack the box and defend their All-Pro running back.

It is worth noting the Jets are missing two starting offensive linemen (Kelechi Osemele, Kelvin Beachum). Sam Darnold will also be without 2018 standout TE Chris Herndon, who is still dealing with a hamstring injury. I feel like the Jets offense is going to be effective tonight. The Patriots have had a vanilla schedule for six weeks and now they get a division opponent with their starting QB back and some great weapons at his disposal.

NFL DFS: DraftKings Approach

NFL DFS Captain:

Preferred (in order of preference): Sam Darnold ($13,500), Julian Edelman ($16,800), Robby Anderson ($10,200), Patriots DST (10,800).

NFL DFS Flex:

(Whoever you do not use in Captain is also great in the flex): Tom Brady ($11,600), Phillip Dorsett ($6,600), James White ($7,400) Ben Watson ($4,400), Ryan Griffin ($2,100), Brandon Bolden ($4,800), Jameson Crowder ($7,000) Sam Ficken ($3,600). Not crazy about Le’Veon Bell tonight, but his volume can’t be ignored. Le’Veon Bell ($9,200)

NFL DFS: FanDuel Approach

NFL DFS MVP:

Tom Brady (cash) ($15,500), Sam Darnold ($14,500), Julian Edelman (14,000), Phillip Dorsett ($8,500)

NFL DFS: Monkey Knife Fight Prop Picks of the Day – Click Here to Play and Get 100 Percent Matching Bonus!

NFL DFS Prop Picks:

Julian Edelman – Edelman averages nearly seven receptions for game and should see an uptick with Josh Gordon already confirmed out for tonight’s game.

Le’Veon Bell – Bell averages nearly six receptions per game and should continue to see targets out of the backfield, one of the reasons he was brought to New York.

Jamison Crowder – I had to make a decision between Crowder and Robby Anderson, but Crowder will see me volume just based on where he lines up (slot). Crowder averages nearly six receptions per game.

The safest play will be for 2x your bet, but you can certainly make a case for the three of these guys to combine for over 20 receptions in this game.

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5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL NHL Premium

DFS Diamonds for 10/18: DFS Pro J.P. on Week 8 NFL and Friday NHL

Coby Williams 5 years ago

written by Coby Williams

To those of you that don’t recognize me, I go by JPrellezo on FanDuel and DraftKings, but you can call me Javi. My goal is to assist you in becoming more successful and profitable with some DFS Diamonds. I’ll go through what works for me and I hope I can guide you to the Promised Land in 10/18 DFS!

I want to start off with a huge shout out to Win Daily’s Allan Fabrykant and Dan Wehr as they helped me while I was busy at a golf tournament with my one entry and my one contest, which was a qualification for the NHL Live Final in Nashville for DraftKings. I took it down! It was the second qualifier of 40 qualifiers. Once again, Allan and Dan helped as this was a team effort. I can’t take all the credit. You can get regular DFS NHL advice from them in our Premium Gold slack chat.

Ok.Now moving on to why you’re reading. Let’s get into football and some NHL.

10/18 DFS Deeper Dive – Core/Value Plays

Vikingsvs. Lions

This is a tough game for DFS for Week 7 except for one key player who can be used in both GPPs and cash games. That is none other than Dalvin Cook. Although he hasn’t been like the Cook of Weeks 1-4, he is still in a killer matchup. The Packers RBs went off against the Lions defense last week and I expect Cook to do the same. I’m not on anyone else this game.

10/18 DFS Core Plays

FanDuel
- Dalvin Cook, RB, MIN – $8,300
DraftKings
- Dalvin Cook, RB, MIN – $8,000

10/18 DFS Value Plays

FanDuel
- Marvin Jones, WR, DET – $5,600
DraftKings
- Kerryon Johnson, RB, DET – $5,100
- Marvin Jones, WR, DET – $5,000

Texansvs. Colts

This is another game that should gain some ownership, but I’m not high on at all. I believe the Colts have a sneaky good defense and a suspect offense. The Texans, on the other hand, have a great offense, but suspect defense. This has the makings of either a shootout or a 13-10 final score. I’ll throw in DeAndre Hopkins in some GPPs, but I’m not high on this game in general. As for T.Y. Hilton, I’m not a fan at all, but on DK, he is way too cheap. He will a big, value play for me on DK.

10/18 DFS Core Plays

FanDuel
- DeAndre Hopkins, WR, HOU – $8,000
DraftKings
- T.Y. Hilton, WR, IND – $5,900
- DeAndre Hopkins, WR, HOU – $7,800

10/18 DFS Value Plays

FanDuel
- Carlos Hyde, RB, HOU – $6,300
DraftKings
- T.Y. Hilton, WR, IND – $5,900
- Carlos Hyde, RB, HOU – $4,700
- Jacoby Brissett, QB, IND – $5,600

Raidersvs. Packers

The biggest question going into this game are the WRs for the Packers. The only healthy and somewhat relevant WR is Marquez Valdes-Scantling, but Allen Lazard is about to step in as the second WR and is $3,000 on DK. I don’t think he will get any ownership , but he is a key GPP and value play. As for the Raiders, I’m seeing Josh Jacobs as a value play, but Green Bay has been tough against the run ever since a slow start. Darren Waller is also going to be the only person I target in the passing game for the Raiders.

10/18 DFS Core Plays

FanDuel
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling, WR, GB – $6,300
DraftKings
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling, WR, GB – $5,200

10/18 DFS Value Plays

FanDuel
- Jamaal Williams, RB, GB – $5,400
- Allen Lazard, WR, GB – $4,500
DraftKings
- Josh Jacobs, RB, OAK – 5,000
- Jamaal Williams, RB, GB – $4,900
- Allen Lazard, WR, GB – $3,000

49ersvs. Redskins

Once again, another game I’m not high on except for a couple of players. I’m only targeting a handful from the 49ers and zero from the Redskins. 49ers are mainly value plays. None are core plays. Tevin Coleman is the clear goal line back and seems to be the primary RB. If you’re going to use one of the 49ers WRs, I’d do three different lineups and have one of the below value WRs in each lineup. Do not use multiple 49ers WRs in any lineup and hedge it by using one for each of your three lineups. Also, 49ers DST is a core play and should be the only defense you use in DFS besides the Bills.

10/18 DFS Value Plays

FanDuel

Tevin Coleman, RB, SF – $6,200
Deebo Samuel, WR, SF – $5,300
Marquise Goodwin, WR, SF – $5,000
Dante Pettis, WR, SF – $5,100

DraftKings
- Tevin Coleman, RB, SF – $5,600
- Deebo Samuel, WR, SF – $4,500
- Marquise Goodwin, WR, SF – $4,800
- Dante Pettis, WR, SF – $4,100

Dolphinsvs. Bills

Another game I’m targeting on one side and not the other. To start off, load up on the Bills DST in your defense slot for seasonal and DFS and try building lineups around them. Monitor John Brown’s status because he’s missed some practice. If he plays, stack up Josh Allen with Brown. If Brown is out, put in some Dawson Knox, Duke Williams, and Cole Beasley. Devin Singletary should be back, but I’m avoiding the Bills RB situation for one more week.

10/18 DFS Core Plays

FanDuel
- John Brown, WR, BUF – $5,900
DraftKings
- John Brown, WR, BUF – $5,500
- Josh Allen, QB, BUF – $6,500

10/18 DFS Value Plays

FanDuel

Cole Beasley, WR, BUF – $5,600
Duke Williams, WR, BUF – $4,700
Dawson Knox, TE, BUF – $4,800

DraftKings
- Cole Beasley, WR, BUF – $4,700
- Duke Williams, WR, BUF – $4,100
- Dawson Knox, TE, BUF – $3,300

Chargersvs. Titans

Marcus Mariota is out and Ryan Tannehill is in. The problem with Tannehill is I watched him in Miami for years and he’s terrible. I don’t know how he will do with the Titans, but he didn’t look good in his relief appearance last week. I’m a clear fade on the Titans except for Derrick Henry. As for the Chargers, I’m on Hunter Henry on DK and GPPs and on Keenan Allen for a bounce-back game. Allen would be a pure GPP play versus a good Titans secondary.

10/18 DFS Core Plays

FanDuel
- Hunter Henry, TE, LAC – $5,700
- Derrick Henry, RB, TEN – $6,500
DraftKings
- Hunter Henry, TE, LAC – $4,000
- Derrick Henry, RB, TEN – $5,800

10/18 DFS Value Plays

DraftKings
- Hunter Henry, TE, LAC – $4,000

Saintsvs. Bears

This is the fade of the week for me. With Alvin Kamara banged up and Marshon Lattimore on Allen Robinson, I’m just going to fade this game. I might throw some Bears DST out there in DFS, but I just don’t like this game. The Bears defense is one of the best and the Saints defense is sneaky good.

10/18 DFS Value Plays

FanDuel
- Bears DST – $4,500
DraftKings
- Bears DST – $3,000

Seahawksvs. Ravens

I’m still torn on this game and what to do. On the one side, both secondaries aren’t very good. On the other side, both QBs are very good even with Lamar Jackson struggling the last few weeks. I lean more on the Seahawks side of thing. Tyler Lockett is still too cheap and with Will Dissly out for the season, more targets are going to Lockett and DK Metcalf. Chris Carson is probably my second-favorite running back behind Leonard Fournette. Metcalf is one of my favorite value plays on DK. As for the Ravens, I’ll have a GPP lineup with Jackson and Mark Andrews. If Brown plays, I’ll also have a stack with him and Jackson as well. Again, I’ll have more than 50% of my lineups with Tyler Lockett on FD.

CorePlays

FanDuel
- Chris Carson, RB, SEA – $7,600
- Tyler Lockett, WR, SEA – $6,500
DraftKings
- Chris Carson, RB, SEA – $6,500
- Tyler Lockett, WR, SEA – $6,600
- DK Metcalf, WR, SEA – $4,800

ValuePlays

DraftKings
- DK Metcalf, WR, SEA – $4,800

Cardinalsvs. Giants

The battle of two bad defenses. Although the Giants have been more solid on defense, they are still a weaker unit. Kyler Murray seems to be living up to the hype as the #1 overall pick, but he needs to continue to capitalize with touchdowns in the red zone. I’m going to be more on the Cardinals side for this game, but if Saquon Barkley is not limited, I’ll be over him this week. The only problem with Barkley on FanDuel and DraftKings is he is the highest-priced RB so I might be off him this week. As for David Johnson, he has scored over 15 FanDuel points in 5 of his first 6 games this season. I believe this game goes overlooked and could be a GPP gold mine. Load up on this game.

DFSCore Plays

FanDuel
- Kyler Murray, QB, ARI – $7,700
- David Johnson, RB, ARI – $7,400
- Evan Engram, TE, NYG – $6,800
DraftKings
- David Johnson, RB, ARI – $7,800
- Evan Engram, TE, NYG – $6,500

ValuePlays

FanDuel
- Daniel Jones, QB, NYG – $7,200
- Golden Tate, WR, NYG – $6,100
DraftKings
- Daniel Jones, QB, NYG – $6,100
- Golden Tate, WR, NYG – $5,800 (especially if Sterling Shepard is out)
- Christian Kirk, WR, ARI – $5,000 (if active)

Ramsvs. Falcons

It’s safe to say that the Rams defense is very overrated. As for the Falcons defense, they are one of the worst in the league. I think that this game is the shootout of the week and I’ll have a mix of Robert Woods with Cooper Kupp with a combination of both in GPP lineups. I’m also high on the Falcons and think Julio Jones is due for a breakout game and this could finally be the week. Devonta Freeman is a lock for me on DraftKings because he is severely underpriced. Austin Hooper is also underpriced on DraftKings. Again, this is my Game Stack of the Week.

CorePlays

FanDuel
- Devonta Freeman, RB, ATL – $6,400
- Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,500
- Austin Hooper, TE, ATL – $6,600
- Robert Woods, WR, LAR – $7,300
DraftKings
- Matt Ryan, QB, ATL – $6,300
- Devonta Freeman, RB, ATL – $5,400
- Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,300
- Austin Hooper, TE, ATL – $5,300

ValuePlays

FanDuel
- Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,500
Devonta Freeman, RB, ATL – $6,400
DraftKings
- Devonta Freeman, RB, ATL – $5,400
- Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,300
- Austin Hooper, TE, ATL – $5,300

GPPGame(s) of the Week:

Jaguarsvs. Bengals

I still believe in Minshew Mania. Besides having the greatest mustache, I still think he had a bad game because he faced off against an underrated defense. I will side more with the Jaguars on this one, but Joe Mixon is so cheap, especially on DraftKings. DK pricing seems to continue to be broken with Leonard Fournette as the sixth highest priced RB for the slate when he should easily be priced at a higher tag. The Bengals have a lot of value plays for this week against a Jacksonville defense that is a shell of its former self.

ValuePlays

FanDuel
- Gardner Minshew, QB, JAX – $6,900
- Joe Mixon, RB, CIN – $6,100
- D.J. Chark, WR, JAX – $6,600
- Tyler Boyd, WR, CIN – $5,600
- Auden Tate, WR, CIN – $5,900
DraftKings
- Joe Mixon, RB, CIN – $5,000
- Tyler Boyd, WR, CIN – $5,600
- Auden Tate, WR, CIN – $4,500
- Leonard Fournette, RB, JAX – $7,000
- Gardner Minshew, QB, JAX – $5,400

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NHL DFS – 10/18 DFS

I’m going to focus on my Top three games. I’m still riding high from the live final qualification and I’m going for a second ticket tomorrow. Up to this point, here are my favorite games for this slate.

Florida Panthers vs. Colorado Avalanche

This game features one of the highest scoring totals on the slate with both projecting to score over three goals each. The Blackhawks and Blue Jackets also have a similar total, but I prefer this game stack. Before you ask, it isn’t because I’m a diehard Florida Panthers fan (true story), but because both teams aren’t the best defensively and both teams shoot the puck a lot. I think the two top power play lines will be top plays, but you can save salary with the Panthers second power play line. Barkov is way too cheap on DK. I’ll have him in more than 50% of my lineups.

Core Players

Nathan MacKinnon (C, COL) – (FD- $8,600 / DK – $7,700)
Mikko Rantanen (W,COL) – (FD- $7,900 / DK – $7,200)
Gabriel Landeskog (W, COL) – (FD- $7,100 / DK -$6,900)
Nazem Kadri (C,COL) – (FD- $5,000 / DK – $4,800)
Aleksander Barkov (C, FLA) – (FD- $7,500 / DK -$5,800)
Mike Hoffman (W, FLA) – (FD- $6,900 / DK -$6,300)
Evgenii Dadonov (W, FLA) – (FD- $6,500 / DK -$6,600)
Jonathan Huberdeau (W, FLA) – (FD- $7,100 / DK -$6,000)

Value Plays

Vincent Trochek – (C, FLA) – (FD- $6,400V/ DK -$5,500)
Keith Yandle – (W, FLA) – (FD- $5,400 / DK -$5,300)
Frank Vatrano – (W, FLA) – (FD- $3,300 / DK -$3,900)
Aaron Ekblad – (D, FLA) – (FD- $4,700 / DK – $5,500)
Brett Connolly – (W, FLA) – (FD- $4,300 / DK -$3,400)
Tyson Jost – (W, COL) – (FD- $3,900 / DK -$2,900)
Sam Girard – (FD- $4,000 / DK – $3,500)
Nazem Kadri (C,COL) – (FD- $5,000 / DK – $4,800)

Capitals vs. Rangers

This is the second night of a back-to-back for the Rangers and they are coming off a poor game against a winless Devils team. Given how bad the Capitals defense is and the two high powered offenses facing each other, I expect a high scoring affair. I like the Capitals side more than the Rangers side since this is the second night of a back to back for the Rangers.

Core Plays

Alex Ovechkin (W, WAS) – (FD- $8,500 / DK -$7,800)
John Carlson (D, WAS) – (FD- $6,700 / DK -$6,700)
Nicklas Backstrom (C, WAS) – (FD- $6,300 / DK -$5,900)
T.J. Oshie (W, WAS) – (FD- $6,400 / DK – $5,500)
Mike Zibanejad (C, NYR) – (FD- $7,600 / DK -$6,800)
Artemi Panarin (W, NYR) – (FD- $7,800 / DK -$6,200)
Jacob Trouba (D, NYR) – (FD- $5,800 / DK -$5,600)
Chris Kreider (W, NYR) – (FD- $5,400 / DK -$4,000)

Value Plays

Tom Wilson (W, WAS) – (FD- $4,500 / DK – $4,700)
Jakub Vrana (w, WAS) – (FD- $4,800 / DK -$4,300)
Lars Eller (C, WAS) – (FD- $4,500 / DK -$4,200)
Dmitry Orlov (D, WAS) – (FD- $4,000 / DK -$3,700)
Kaapo Kakko (W, NYR) – (FD – $5,100 / DK –$4,600)
Chris Kreider (W, NYR) – (FD- $5,400 / DK -$4,000)

Oilers vs. Red Wings

This game is more of a one-sided target for me. The Oilers are hot and I’m riding the streak. Give me all the PP1 and PP2 for the Oilers.

Core Plays

Connor McDavid (C, EDM) – (FD- $9,400 / DK -$8,100)
Leon Draisaitl (C, EDM) – (FD- $8,700 / DK -$7,900)
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (C, EDM) – (FD- $6,000 / DK- $5,200)
Oscar Klefbom (C, EDM) – (FD- $5,600 / DK – $6,100)
James Neal (C, EDM) – (FD- $5,600 / DK – $6,100)

Value Plays

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (C, EDM) – (FD- $6,000 / DK- $5,200)
Oscar Klefbom (C, EDM) – (FD- $5,600 / DK – $6,100)
James Neal (C, EDM) – (FD- $5,600 / DK – $6,100)
Darnell Nurse (D, EDM) – (FD- $4,900 / DK -$5,400)
Zack Kassian (C, COL) – (FD- $4,400 / DK -$4,200)
Ethan Bear (C, COL) – (FD- $3,500 / DK – $3,500)

Favorite Goalies

Mike Smith or Mikko Koskinen – Oilers – Clear number 1
Corey Crawford – high total against, but I think it’ll hit the under with lots of shots.
Joonas Korpisalo – Same as Crawford

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5 years ago 0 comments

NFL

NFL DFS: Week Six MNF Showdown Guide and Podcast

Daniel Wehr 5 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

This report will provide plays for the Week-Six NFL DFS Monday Night Football slate. I will break down the top fantasy players to consider.

Week Six MNF Podcast with Anthony D’Arcangelis and Dan Wehr

Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers

O/U: 45 (GB -3.5)

NFL DFS: Green Bay Packers

The Packers started out a bit stagnant on offense the first two weeks, but have found their groove, putting up 27 points or more over their last three games. Their offensive line hasn’t been doing enough for the RB’s, they are averaging just over 3.50 yards per carry. Despite this, they still hold the sixth best output in terms of FPTS per game (33) and will face a Lions defense who is giving up over 120 yards per game on the ground. They also allow opposing RB’s to average nearly 32 FPTS per game. Aaron Rodgers hasn’t exactly been outstanding, but I suppose he is to be considered. He is currently averaging just 16 FPTS per game, and in a game where the Packers should play from ahead, I can see Matthew Stafford serving as a better option at QB just due to the weapons around him and his overall consistency from a fantasy standpoint.

NFL DFS: Detroit Lions

On the Detroit side I am also a big fan of the running game. They average nearly four yards per carry and 120 yards per game on the ground. Green Bay is giving up a league worst 5.44 yards per carry. They are the worst in third and short situations, as well as goal line situations. Kerryon Johnson should have a very nice day on the ground. Detroit has a top offensive line against the pass rush, they have only allowed seven sacks but face a GB defensive line who ranks in the top ten in getting to the QB. My take is the Lions are able to stave off the Packers pass rush by establishing an effective run game. This, in turn, should create a good offensive balance and Stafford should have ample opportunity to throw the ball.