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Daily Fantasy Hockey

NHL DFS Man Advantage for DraftKings and FanDuel (Feb. 1)

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NHL DFS Man Advantage for Monday night February 1st and we have a 5 game slate on tap!

Tonight should be another high scoring night in the NHL with 7 of the 10 teams projected to score over 3 goals. Only Vancouver, Washington, and Nashville to score under 3 but with both Washington and Vancouver ranked 1st and 4th respectively in goals for this season I don’t have a problem looking at them for my lineups tonight as well.

Montreal vs Vancouver and NY Rangers vs Pittsburgh seem to be the spots that will have the highest goal totals tonight and where I want to focus on first when building lineups tonight. Winnipeg vs Calgary is another game with a high projected goal total, but both teams ranked towards the top of the league in goals against, but Winnipeg does rank tenth in the league in goals for.

NHL DFS: Goaltenders

Connor Hellebuyck ($7,900/$8,400)

Like I mentioned in the open this game has a projected goal total over 6 tonight but I think this game goes under tonight and Hellebuyck is a good reason why. Helley is one of the league’s best goalies and the matchup with the Flames is a good one tonight. Calgary is one of the worst 5 of 5 teams in the NHL with a 4.7% shot percentage at even strength and the Jets do not take penalties. Winnipeg averages less than 3 penalties a game, so Calgary should have a tough time scoring tonight against Hellebuyck and the Jets.

Other Options: Vasilevskiy (TB), Vanecek (WAS), Markstrom (CGY), Price (MTL)

NHL DFS: Forwards

Top Overall Center:

Patrice Bergeron ($7,800 on both sites)

I know, I know this is a really tough pick to say one of the best overall centers in the game is a top play today but the new B’s captain has been on fire of late and it should continue tonight. Bergeron has 4 goals and 4 assists in his last four games with all of those games being multi-point games. Along with putting up points, Bergeron is averaging 4 shots on goal per game and is averaging huge FPPG (23.1 on DK and 27.7 on FD). Boston also got David Pastrnak ($7,800/$7,500) back last game to complete one of hockey’s best lines along with Brad Marchand ($7,700/$8,200) making them also my favorite overall line stack tonight.

Other Options: Point (TB), Scheifele (WPG), Zibanejad (NYR), Crosby (PIT), Backstrom (WAS), Pettersson (VAN), Suzuki (MTL), Horvat (VAN), Malkin (PIT)

Top Value Centers:

DraftKings Value Center: Ryan Strome (NYR) – $4,000

FanDuel Value Center: Adam Lowry (WPG) – $4,200

Other Options: Kotkaniemi (MTL), Blueger (PIT), Danault (MTL), Backlund (CGY), Coyle (BOS)

Top Overall Winger:

Andrew Copp ($5,500/$4,700)

There are plenty of other great plays at this position tonight, but I wanted to put a spotlight on Copp because of how well he has been performing of late. In the Jets last 5 games, Copp has been averaging over a point P/game (2 goals, 4 assists), 5 shots on goal per game, and playing near 20 minutes per game while not playing on the power play. Copp was moved up to the Jets top line today with Mark Scheifele ($7,200/$7,600) and Nikolaj Ehlers ($6,100/$6,600) which is a good contrarian stack on a small slate tonight

Other Options: Boeser (VAN) Arvidsson (NSH), Stamkos (TB), Forsberg (NSH), Ovechkin (WAS), Connor (WPG), Toffoli (MTL), Panarin (NYR), Miller (VAN), Gaudreau (CGY), Gallagher (MTL), Rust (PIT)

Top Value Wingers:

DraftKings Value Winger: Kasperi Kapanen & Jason Zucker (PIT) – $3,100/$3,300

FanDuel Value Winger: Nils Hoglander (VAN) – $3,900

Other Options: Lucic (CGY), Coleman (TB), Smith (BOS), Panik (WAS), Granlund (NSH), Ritchie (BOS)

NHL DFS: Defensemen Rankings

Top Defensemen

Roman Jose (NSH)
Victor Hedman (TB)
John Carlson (WAS)
Adam Fox (NYR)
Ryan Ellis (NSH)
Charlie McAvoy (BOS)
Rasmus Andersson (CGY)
Alex Edler (VAN)
Jeff Petry (MTL)
Shea Weber (MTL)

Top Value Defensemen

Juuso Valimaki (CGY)
K’Andre Miller (NYR)
Joel Edmundson (MTL)
Christopher Tanev (CGY)
P.O. Joseph (PIT)
Zdeno Chara (WAS)
Jacon Trouba (NYR)
Ryan McDonagh (TB)
Brandon Carlo (BOS)
Callen Foote (TB)

NHL DFS: Line Stacks

Top Line Stack:

Vancouver Canucks Line 1

JT Miller ($5,400/$6,900) – Elias Pettersson ($6,200/$6,700) – Brock Boeser ($5,800/$6,800)

Top Value stack:

Montreal Canadiens Line 3

Tyler Toffoli ($5,900/$6,000) – Jesperi Kotkaniemi ($3,500/$4,500) – Corey Perry ($2,700/$3,400)

Thanks for reading this article on the NHL DFS Man Advantage for Monday, January 25th, 2021. Make sure you head to the Win Daily Sports Discord for up to date info and help directly from our pros! Head over to Twitter and give the @WinDailySports account and me (@MVecchio81) a follow for all things Fantasy Sports and make sure to check out WinDailySports.com for more money-making content.

4 years ago 0 comments

NHL

NHL DFS Man Advantage for DraftKings and FanDuel (Jan. 25)

rmferenc@gmail.com 4 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NHL DFS Man Advantage for Monday night January 25th! Tonight we have a single game showdown slate with a 10 pm Eastern start time

Typically when we have showdown slates we can look to one side having the advantage in net, but when it comes to this matchup tonight, neither Ottawa nor Vancouver have been great on defense or in net.

Both the Senators and Canucks are in the bottom half of the league in goals allowed with Vancouver ranking dead last (31st) with 33 goals allowed in just 7 games. Ottawa isn’t much better, ranking 26th and allowing 20 goals in just 5 games.

I don’t think I will be using either goaltender in this game, and honestly, with how bad all four goalies have been for these teams it doesn’t matter who starts when it comes to building my lineups.

NHL DFS Captain Picks:

One thing to remember, on DraftKings you have to choose your captain carefully because there is a price difference. I will gear this section more to DraftKings for that reason. Also any player listed in this section is also a great play in the flex/util spot as well.

Top Overall Plays:

Brady Tkachuk ($14,700/$14,500)

Tkachuk is far away the Sens best offensive player and is also the highest priced skater on both sites (same price as Pettersson on FD) but he is worth paying up for. In 5 games this season, Tkachuk is averaging nearly 4 shots on goal per game and has 2 goals and 2 assists so far.

JT Miller ($12,600/$13,500)

Miller is my favorite lower priced high end play for this game in the captain spot. While he hasn’t scored yet, to me that just means he’s due, Miller does have 5 assists in just four game this season. Miller is skating on the Canucks second line with Pettersson and Jake Virtanen. Virtanen ($3,600/$7,000) is a potential value play in GPP’s because everyone will most likely pair Miller with Pettersson, or other pieces on the top PP and you can differentiate yourself by using Virtanen and paying up elsewhere.

Value Captains Pick

Jordie Benn ($3,600/$6,000)

Benn is an odd pick to say the least for captain, and is only viable on DK for this spot because of the salary savings. Benn has only played one game because of COVID protocols but contributed in a big way with an assist, a shot on goal, and 3 blocked shots (earing the 3 point bonus) on Saturday. Using Benn at captain on DK leaves you over $9K per player for your final 5 spots and lets you load up on PP skaters and will also make your team very different then the rest of the field.

NHL DFS Flex/Utility Plays:

Ottawa Senators:

Ottawa’s top line is definitely a good place to start especially if you are using Tkachuk as your captain. You can go three man stack from each team if you’d like, but I would prefer to have 4 Senators in my lineups because I think they win this game. Going with the top line stack and then either adding a value piece like Evgenii Dadonov ($4,600/$11,500). Another piece I like to add to the line 1 stack would be Nikita Zaitsev ($7,600/$7,000). Zaitsev is really more of a FanDuel play because of his salary. He doesn’t open as much up on DK as he does on FD. Zaitsev had his 4 game assist streak snapped on Saturday, but that just means he can start a new one on Monday. Zaitsev plays on the Sens top D pair alongside Thomas Chabot ($9,000/$13,000) so he should see plenty of time with the top line.

Vancouver Canucks:

There is a lot to like about this Canucks team except they just aren’t playing well right now so it’s hard to want to roster anyone from this team. Bo Horvat($9,600/$12,500) is the best player on the Canucks right now and he will be in my lineups on Monday. Horvat has points in three straight games totaling 4 goals and 2 assists in that span. During this stretch Horvat also has 7 shots on goal and 2 blocked shots. If you have the salary, Brock Boeser ($8,200/$9,500) is a my second favorite Canuck and make for a nice mini stack with Horvat. After Horvat and Boeser, Tyler Myers ($6,400/$6,500) is a good play and if you are strapped for salary, Adam Gaudette ($2,800/$6,500) is a good value piece.

4 years ago 0 comments

NHL DFS Man Advantage for DraftKings and FanDuel (Jan. 20)

rmferenc@gmail.com 4 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NHL DFS Man Advantage for Wednesday night January 20th! Tonight we have an odd 5 game slate tonight with only one early game and four late games.

We may only have one early game on this night but it is the marquee game on the slate as Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, and the rest of the Edmonton Oilers head to Toronto to take on Auston Matthews and the Leafs.

This game is the only game with a 6.5 O/U (at the time of writing) and it should be the focus of your lineups. I am not going to write up guys like McDavid and Matthews because we already know they are the guys you have to play, especially in cash. I will instead, give you options to fill in around those plays, or if you are MME and playing large field GPP’s, ways to be contrarian.

With the four remaining games on the slate, I am most interested in loading up on the Golden Knights, as usual, in their home matchup with the Coyotes. Arizona is a young team that is just not good enough to hang with Vegas on most nights and Wednesday might not be their not again. Also, after how many goals were scored Monday night between San Jose and St. Louis I am expecting a similar scoreline again.

NHL DFS Goalies:

Top Overall Goalie:

Cam Talbot ($7,800/$7,900)

Robin Lehner ($8,500/$8,600) is probably the real overall play for the night, but he will most likely be the chalk goalie on the night and as a GPP player I never like playing the chalk goalie. Talbot offers similar upside and will save you $700 as well. In Monday’s loss to the Ducks, Talbot made 26 saves on 27 shots and is facing the same Ducks team tonight. Talbot gets to face a Ducks team that has only scored 4 goals in their first three games, so the offense does not scare me. If Talbot doesn’t start I am still interested in Kappo Kahkonen ($7,600/$7,900) but I would probably switch to Carey Price ($8,000/$8,200) as my top goalie for GPP’s.

Other Options: Frederick Andersen ($8,100/$8,000)

Top Value Goalie:

John Gibson ($7,300/7,400)

Copy, Paste from Monday. Gibson is still one of the best goalies in the world and he showed that Monday night against the Wild in a 34 save shutout victory. I will be rolling Gibson out once again on Wednesday as my favorite goalie based on price. If Ryan Miller ($7,100/$7.400) starts then I am moving off the Anaheim goalie situation altogether and will actually be getting some Wild pieces into my lineups.

Other Options: Braden Holtby ($7,600/$7,300), Jordan Binnington (FD ONLY – $7,400)

NHL DFS- Forwards

Top Overall Center

Tomas Hertl ($6,200/$6,000)

No, technically Hertl is not the top overall center on this slate, but to me he slots in third tonight behind the duo of McDavid and Matthews. Early on, Hertl has been the Sharks best player picking up 3 goals and 3 assists in just three games while averaging over 21 minutes of ice time (which is a lot for a forward). Hertl centers the Sharks second line with Evander Kane ($6,600/$7,400) and rookie winger John Leonard ($3,500/$3,300). Both of these players have performed well for the Sharks as well combining for a goal and five assists in their three games paired up with Hertl.

Other Options: Draisaitl (EDM), Couture (SJ), Horvat (VAN), Suzuki (MTL), Tavares (TOR), O’Reilly (STL), Karlsson (VGK), Pettersson (VAN)

Top Value Center

Alex Kerfoot ($2,600/$4,400)

As I mentioned in the open, the Leafs and Oilers game carries the highest projected goal total and is a game we want exposure to. While the majority of people will flock to the big names we want to look for ways to be contrarian in some lineups. Kerfoot is one way to do it. Kerfoot projects at under 2% ownership while both McDavid and Matthews are projecting over 35%. Since picking up zero fantasy points in his first game, Kerfoot has managed to pick a goal and an assist and at least 4.5 fantasy points over both sites. Kerfoot centers the Leafs 3rd line with Ilya Mikheyev ($3,200/$3,500) and Zach Hyman ($4,200/$4,800).

Other Options: Stephenson (VGK), Schenn (STL), Kotkaniemi (MTL), Schmaltz (ARI), Rask (MIN), Gaudette (VAN), Thomas (STL)

Top Overall Wing

Max Pacioretty ($7,500/$8,300)

Another team we want to have exposure to is the Vegas Golden Knight and why not take their best player. On lineups where you want to fade the top stars in the Leafs/Oilers game the Knights is where you will want to spend your salary. Pacioretty has a goal in each of his teams first 3 games and is averaging 20 fantasy points per game on both sites. Patches plays wing on the Knights first line with Mark Stone ($6,700/$7,400) and Chandler Stephenson ($4,300/$3,800), which is my favorite line stack on tonight’s slate as well as the teams top power-play unit.

Other Options: Fiala (MIN), Nugent-Hopkins (EDM), Hoffman (STL), Marner (TOR), Miller (VAN), Gallagher (MTL), Nylander (TOR), Schwartz (STL), Rakell (ANH), Keller (ARI).

Top Value Wing

Jordan Kyrou ($2,800/$3,200)

In what is also a game I think will have plenty of goals, Kyrou is a really nice value piece and is having a hot start to the reason. St. Louis’ young winger has 2 goals and an assist as well as 6 shots on goal in his first 3 games this season. Kyrou was recently bumped up to the second line with Brayden Schenn ($4,100/$5,300) and Jayden Schwartz ($4,700/$5,700) making them one of my favorite mid tier stacks tonight.

Other Options: Comtois (ANH), R Smith (VGK), Tuch (VGK), Toffoli (MTL), Deslauriers (ANH), Pearson (VAN), Labanc (SJ), Yamamoto (EDM)

NHL DFS Defensemen Rankings:

Top Overall Defensemen

Shea Theordore (VGK)
Brent Burns (SJ)
Alex Pietrangelo (VGK) — Are seeing a Vegas trend?
Colton Parayko (STL)
Alec Martinez (VGK) — Oh look, more Vegas
Shea Weber (MTL)
Quinn Hughes (VAN)
Jeff Petry (MTL)
Matt Dumba (MIN)
Jakob Chychrun (ARI)

Top Value Defensemen

Alexander Romanov (MTL) — play him, people still haven’t started playing him yet
Jake Muzzin (TOR)
Kevin Shattenkirk (ANH)
Darnell Nurse (EDM)
Joel Edmundson (MTL)
Justin Holl (TOR)
Zach Whitecloud (VGK)
Slater Koekkoek (EDM)
Mario Ferraro (SJ)
Travis Hamonic (VAN)

NHL DFS Line Stacks

Top Overall Stack

As I mentioned numerous times in this article the top lines from both the Leafs and Oilers are the top overall plays, but when playing GPP’s you will want to be different and come off the chalk where you can, and I have a line that will go completely overlooked tonight but has a nice ceiling for their salary:

Montreal Canadiens Line 2

Josh Anderson($5,300/$4,600)/Nick Suzuki($5,400/$5,900)/Jonathan Drouin($4,600/$4,700)

Top Value Stack

Minnesota Wild Line 1

Kirill Kaprizov($5,400/$4,800)/Victor Rask($3,000/$3,200)/Zach Parise($4,400/$5,700)

I also am interested in the Wild’s second line tonight for value, especially if Gibson is out and Miller starts.

Thanks for reading this article on the NHL DFS Man Advantage for Wednesday, January 20th, 2021. Make sure you head to the Win Daily Sports Discord for up to date info and help directly from our pros! Head over to Twitter and give the @WinDailySports account and me (@MVecchio81) a follow for all things Fantasy Sports and make sure to check out WinDailySports.com for more money-making content.

4 years ago 0 comments

NHL Premium

NHL DFS Man Advantage for DraftKings and FanDuel (Jan. 18)

rmferenc@gmail.com 4 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NHL DFS Man Advantage for Monday night January 18th! Tonight we have a good-sized 8 game slate to kick off the second week of the NHL season.

When we have slates with this many games I like to pinpoint a few that I want to focus on, typically the games with the highest projected goal totals. Tonight we have three games with 6.5 over/under, with two of those games being from the Scotia NHL North Division (the All Canada Division). Both the Winnipeg @ Toronto and Vancouver @ Calgary go in carrying the high O/U and I will have a good amount of exposure to both games. I mentioned there were three games with the 6.5 O/U and that last game is Buffalo @ Philadelphia.

I expect Carter Hart to be relatively chalky in net, which means I will want to run back any Flyers stacks with a few Sabres. Philadelphia has been inexpensive to start the season, and while their prices have begun to creep up they are still underpriced.

NHL DFS Goalies:

Top Overall Goalie:

Juuse Saros (DK $7,900/FD $7,400)

Saros has had a great start to the season and it should continue tonight against the Hurricanes. Carolina had what should have been an easy start to the season in Detroit, but they came away 1-1 and the offense didn’t look as potent as we would have hoped. Saros stopped 71 of 74 shots faced in his first two starts in Columbus and Carolina only scored 5 goals on 74 shots of their own in the two games in Detroit. If Saros doesn’t get the nod tonight, I am fine swapping over to Pekka Rinne (DK $7,700/FD $7,400). If Saros doesn’t start, I would move my #1 overall goalie play to Cam Talbot ($8,000/$7,700). Talbot has a similar matchup with the Ducks that Saros has with the Canes. Los Angeles isn’t as high-powered of an offense as the Ducks are in my opinion and they managed 67 shots on goal in two games against Minnesota this weekend. Talbot stopped 61 of of 67 shots and earned the win in both games and I think the Wild get the win again tonight.

Other Options: Carter Hart (Phi), Robin Lehner (VGK), Jacob Markstrom (CGY) – These three should be the “chalk” among the goalies tonight along with Frederick Andersen (TOR) but I am fading him in favor of the Jets offense.

Top Value Goalie:

John Gibson ($7,400/$7,200)

Now I just mentioned that I think the Wild win tonight, but that is not a lock or something I would bet on. Anaheim has one of the best goalies in the world between the pipes in Gibson and he could easily shut down this Wild offense tonight. After a dud in the first game of the season, Gibson bounced back with an outstanding performance in an OT loss to the Knights on Saturday. Gibby stopped 31 of 33 shots from the potent Vegas offense on the road Saturday night and should have a similar or better night on Monday.

Other Options: Jake Allen (MTL), Braden Holtby (VAN), Linus Ullmark (BUF) – MME or LF GPP’s only

NHL DFS Forwards:

I will not give you the generic everyone is playing these guys in this section. If guys like McDavid, Matthews, Ovechkin, MacKinnon are on the slate we are playing them. I will find other forwards who may go overlooked and point them out here.

Top Center:

Mark Scheifele ($6,300/$7,500)

Scheifele is more of a DK play at his price there, but is still a solid GPP play to be different then the people who will flock to McDavid/Draisaitl. In the Jets only game this season, Scheifele picked up a goal and 6 shots on goal in 26+ minutes of ice time. Scheifele is one of the most underrated players in the NHL and often goes overlooked in DFS. I love stacking him tonight with the first power-play unit. Toronto is averaging over 4 power-plays allowed p/game in their first 3 games this season. Neal Pionk ($4,700/$4,900) is where I would start with a power-play stack for the Jets, and then work in one of the other forwards on that unit depending on your available salary.

Other Options: (in order of preference): McDavid (EDM), Matthews (TOR), Tavares (TOR), Draisaitl (EDM), Hayes (PHI), Eichel (BUF), Aho (CAR), O’Reilly (STL), Pettersson (VAN)

Top Value Center:

Phillip Danault ($3,900/$4,600)

Danuault centers the Canadiens top line, which has been on fire to start the season. This line torched the Oilers on Saturday and I am going right back to them tonight. Danault is a GPP only play because he is point dependent. He doesn’t offer much in the fringe stats and if he doesn’t score or pick up assists he will not score a ton of fantasy points. Danault did have two assists on Saturday night, and with how hot both Tomas Tatar ($5,900/$6,200) and Brendan Gallagher ($5,500/$7,200) have been to start the season I am taking a chance the hot streak continues tonight.

Other Options: Frost (PHI), Sissons (NSH), E. Staal (BUF), Henrique (ANH), Kerfoot (TOR), Rask (MIN), Eriksson Ek (MIN), Kotkaniemi (MTL), Bozak (STL)

Top Winger:

Matthew Tkachuk ($6,900/$6,100)

While I like Tkachuk’s price on both sites, I LOVE him on FanDuel today. Tkachuk has been the best player early on for the Flames this season and I expect it to continue tonight. In two games this season the Flames winger has two goals and assist, as well 10 shots on goal, and is averaging over 21 fantasy points P/game on both sites. Tkachuk will be part of a Flames power-play stack for me tonight.

Other Options: Fiala (MIN), Nugent-Hopkins (EDM), Pacioretty (VGK), Stone (VGK), Connor (WPG), E. Kane (SJ), Forsberg (NSH), Ehlers (WPG), Meier (SJ), Marner (TOR), Miller (VAN) – 1st game of the season for him after COVID list, Gaudreau (CGY)

Top Value Winger:

Zach Sanford ($3,200/$4,700)

Just like Tkachuk, Sanford is better being played on one site over the other, in this case, it’s DraftKings. Sanford has been moved up to the top line for the Blues in a matchup with a poor (that’s me being polite) defensive team in the Sharks tonight. Sandford has incredible upside for his price and will be part of a line 1 stack for me tonight with David Perron and Ryan O’Reilly.

Other Options: Lindblom (PHI), R. Smith (VGK), Tuch (VGK), Mangiapane (CGY), Schenn (STL), Pearson (VAN), Hoglander (VAN), Hyman (TOR)

NHL DFS Defensemen Rankings:

I will ALWAYS try and pair up my defensemen as part of some type of stack. Generally, I only try to play defensemen who see power-play minutes. Most night dmen do not offer enough upside to play them alone, and if you think they will have a good fantasy night that means the forwards they play with will be scoring and you will want to have them in your lineups as well.

Top Defensemen Rankings:

Shea Theodore (VGK)
Roman Josi (NSH)
Alex Pietrangelo (VGK)
Jake Muzzin (TOR)
Jakob Chychrun (ARI)
Colton Parayko (STL)
Matt Dumba (MIN)
Dougie Hamilton (CAR)
Rasmus Andersson (CGY)
Quinn Hughes (VAN)

Top Value Defensemen Rankings:

Joel Edmundson (MTL)
Zach Whitecloud (VGK)
Jonas Brodin (MIN)
Travis Hamonic (VAN)
Justin Holl (TOR)
Jake McCabe (BUF)
Mattias Ekholm (NSH)
Mario Ferraro (SJ)
Ethan Bear (EDM)
Brett Kulak (MTL)

NHL DFS Line Stacks:

Top Overall Line Stack (Not mentioned above)

Vegas Golden Knights L1

Max Pacioretty($7,500/$7,800)/Chandler Stephenson($4,000/$3,300)Mark Stone($7,000/$7,700)

Top Value Line Stack:

St. Louis Blues Line 3

Tyler Bozak($2,700/3,700)/Robert Thomas($3,200/$4,300)/Mike Hoffman($4,200/$5,700)

Thanks for reading this article on the NHL DFS Man Advantage for Monday January 18th 2021. Make sure you head to the Win Daily Sports Discord for up to date info and help directly from our pros! Head over to Twitter and give the @WinDailySports account and me (@MVecchio81) a follow for all things Fantasy Sports, and make sure to check out WinDailySports.com for more money making content.

4 years ago 0 comments

NHL

NHL DFS Power Plays Beginning to Breakdown the Return to Ice

Matt Rogers 5 years ago

written by Matt Rogers

What does the ‘Return to Ice’ plan look like for FanDuel NHL?

On May 26th, Gary Bettman announced a ‘Return to Ice’ plan for the 2019-2020 season. Sheesh, Fall 2019 feels like a decade ago! In summary, the season is considered concluded and the top 12 teams from each conference enter a 24-team playoff format. So when can we start playing FanDuel NHL again?

In the first half of July, we saw the upswing in training camps begin to hum for all 24 teams, depending on where their COVID case status is at the time.

Starting on Tuesday, July 28th, there are three days of exhibition games schedule.

Finally, starting on Saturday, August 1st the NHL will begin a four-team Round Robin tournament for top seeding, in two separate cities for each Conference. Additionally, there will be a ‘Best of 5’ Qualifying round for the remaining eight teams.

For a deeper look into the ‘Return to Play’ format, take a look at Zak’s Puck Picks post for The NHL Returns to the Ice details. Also, the NHL Round Robin and Best of 5 Series were announced on July 14th on the league site.

It remains to be season if FanDuel NHL will be available for the exhibition games. Historically, they have not. However, this is a unique circumstance. Though, we do know for a fact they should have salaries ready, soon, for the weekend of August 1st. Get excited!

Where are the Two Hub Cities Located?

According to practically everyone covering the NHL, the two hub cities are Edmonton and Toronto. I suspect, Canada is currently a preferred location as COVID cases are unpredictably flaring up all over parts of the US right now. Canada appears to have a lower case rate right now. So, it likely feels like the safest move for the NHL.

However, it wouldn’t take much for this unpredictable situation to change, quickly.

That said, it is beginning to feel safe to assume our FanDuel NHL player options will be skating in Edmonton, in the Western Conference, and Toronto, in the Eastern Conference.

So, while we’re preparing for the revised FanDuel NHL season conclusion, it makes sense to look at who the top fantasy hockey options are when playing in each area.

I plan to have a series of FanDuel NHL posts focused on the potential fantasy hockey outcomes for this playoff format, to prepare you for your FanDuel NHL plays this summer.

We’re going to start it off by looking at the skaters with the best offensive statistics while visiting each arena.

While reviewing game logs isn’t the most effective way to win fantasy hockey plays, and the opponents defense and game lines are a huge factor as well, it’s also helpful to know who’s most comfortable in each ice location.

Let’s take a look…

Top Fantasy Hockey Plays for FanDuel NHL in Edmonton and Toronto

Top Scorers Visiting Rogers Place (Edmonton) this Season

NAME	SEASON	TEAM	GP	P	G	A	+/-
Tanner Pearson	2019-20	VAN	2	5	3	2	2
Andrew Mangiapane	2019-20	CGY	2	5	3	2	5
Alex Pietrangelo	2019-20	STL	2	4	1	3	-1
Blake Wheeler	2019-20	WPG	2	3	1	2	3
Jared Spurgeon	2019-20	MIN	1	3	3	0	3
Tyler Seguin	2019-20	DAL	1	3	1	2	2
Elias Lindholm	2019-20	CGY	2	3	2	1	5
Bo Horvat	2019-20	VAN	2	3	0	3	2
Kyle Connor	2019-20	WPG	2	3	3	0	1

Note: Data is obtained at Statmuse and includes only those skaters in the Western Conference with three or more points in Rogers Place Area this season.

First of all, looking at this chart, Alex Pietrangelo is an immediate high-value defensive play in Edmonton. Pietrangelo was already having a fantastic year for fantasy hockey, but he is also getting pricey for FanDuel NHL.

If we can afford him, though, he’s a great top D-man play in almost any match-up.

Both Tanner Pearson and Andrew Mangiapane also stick out, not just because they each have five total points in only two games played in Edmonton this season.

Pearson and Mangiapane have often been a solid value play all year, although their salaries, too, were beginning to climb pre-COVID. Still, they should each be at the top of your list when play opens up on August 1st.

The rest of this list isn’t all that surprising, as they’re some of the most well known top fantasy hockey players this past season.

I’d still peg them for your FanDuel NHL top plays list as there’s now a differentiation between all of the well-known top fantasy hockey players in this tournament, in the Western Conference.

Top Scorers Visiting Scotiabank Area (Toronto) this Season

NAME	SEASON	TEAM	GP	P	G	A	+/-
Martin Necas	2019-20	CAR	2	6	3	3	3
Nikita Kucherov	2019-20	TBL	2	5	2	3	4
Ryan Strome	2019-20	NYR	1	4	2	2	3
Steven Stamkos	2019-20	TBL	1	4	1	3	2
Alex Ovechkin	2019-20	WSH	1	4	2	2	1
Lucas Wallmark	2019-20	CAR	2	3	1	2	-1
Mark Pysyk	2019-20	FLA	1	3	3	0	2
Brayden Point	2019-20	TBL	2	3	2	1	3
Artemi Panarin	2019-20	NYR	1	3	0	3	3
Mike Matheson	2019-20	FLA	1	3	0	3	3
Brad Marchand	2019-20	BOS	2	3	2	1	1
Erik Haula	2019-20	CAR	2	3	2	1	2
Brendan Gallagher	2019-20	MTL	1	3	1	2	2
Charlie Coyle	2019-20	BOS	2	3	1	2	1
Blake Coleman	2019-20	TBL	2	3	3	0	0
Anthony Cirelli	2019-20	TBL	2	3	0	3	0
Nicklas Backstrom	2019-20	WSH	1	3	0	3	1

Note: Data is obtained at Statmuse and includes only those skaters in the Eastern Conference with three or more points in Scotiabank Area this season.

The Eastern Conference list for play in Toronto is amazing for so many reasons. First of all, there are a LOT of skaters with three or more points in Toronto. Some of that has to do with the fact that the Maple Leafs defense hasn’t been tremendous at home…or, anywhere.

Still, it’s quite clear off-the-radar fantasy hockey options like the Canes Martin Necas is clearly comfortable with Scotiabank Arena. Necas had a decent total of 36 points (16 goals, 20 assists) in 64 games this season.

But those are not dominating stats. Yet, in just two games in Scotiabank, he piled up three goals and three assists, for MONSTER FanDuel NHL plays. So, Necas, is a name you need to be aware of for value plays. He’s clearly comfortable in Toronto.

Mark Pysyk jumps off the table as a great defensive play, but unlike Pietrangelo, Pysyk isn’t well known and will likely be dirt-cheap by August 1st.

Ryan Strome, Charlie Coyle, and Blake Coleman are three mid-salary range plays I’ve been using all FanDuel NHL season, this year. However, Coleman was most effective with the Devils. It’s hard to known, still, how he fits into the Bolts lines for this playoff format.

Again, this isn’t a locked list of great FanDuel NHL DFS plays for this playoff format. But, it’s one of several tools I hope to provide you as we quickly march to a ‘Return to Play’ NHL DFS season in early August.

A combination of these pieces of information, should yield you solid returns this summer. Summer…I can’t believe we’re writing about live Fantasy Hockey in the Summer! What a bizarre year 2020 has been so far! Make sure to check out WinDailySports.com for more content in the near future, follow us on Twitter at @WinDailySports, and hop into our Expert Chat for one on one conversations!

5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL NHL Premium

DFS Diamonds for 10/18: DFS Pro J.P. on Week 8 NFL and Friday NHL

Coby Williams 6 years ago

written by Coby Williams

To those of you that don’t recognize me, I go by JPrellezo on FanDuel and DraftKings, but you can call me Javi. My goal is to assist you in becoming more successful and profitable with some DFS Diamonds. I’ll go through what works for me and I hope I can guide you to the Promised Land in 10/18 DFS!

I want to start off with a huge shout out to Win Daily’s Allan Fabrykant and Dan Wehr as they helped me while I was busy at a golf tournament with my one entry and my one contest, which was a qualification for the NHL Live Final in Nashville for DraftKings. I took it down! It was the second qualifier of 40 qualifiers. Once again, Allan and Dan helped as this was a team effort. I can’t take all the credit. You can get regular DFS NHL advice from them in our Premium Gold slack chat.

Ok.Now moving on to why you’re reading. Let’s get into football and some NHL.

10/18 DFS Deeper Dive – Core/Value Plays

Vikingsvs. Lions

This is a tough game for DFS for Week 7 except for one key player who can be used in both GPPs and cash games. That is none other than Dalvin Cook. Although he hasn’t been like the Cook of Weeks 1-4, he is still in a killer matchup. The Packers RBs went off against the Lions defense last week and I expect Cook to do the same. I’m not on anyone else this game.

10/18 DFS Core Plays

FanDuel
- Dalvin Cook, RB, MIN – $8,300
DraftKings
- Dalvin Cook, RB, MIN – $8,000

10/18 DFS Value Plays

FanDuel
- Marvin Jones, WR, DET – $5,600
DraftKings
- Kerryon Johnson, RB, DET – $5,100
- Marvin Jones, WR, DET – $5,000

Texansvs. Colts

This is another game that should gain some ownership, but I’m not high on at all. I believe the Colts have a sneaky good defense and a suspect offense. The Texans, on the other hand, have a great offense, but suspect defense. This has the makings of either a shootout or a 13-10 final score. I’ll throw in DeAndre Hopkins in some GPPs, but I’m not high on this game in general. As for T.Y. Hilton, I’m not a fan at all, but on DK, he is way too cheap. He will a big, value play for me on DK.

10/18 DFS Core Plays

FanDuel
- DeAndre Hopkins, WR, HOU – $8,000
DraftKings
- T.Y. Hilton, WR, IND – $5,900
- DeAndre Hopkins, WR, HOU – $7,800

10/18 DFS Value Plays

FanDuel
- Carlos Hyde, RB, HOU – $6,300
DraftKings
- T.Y. Hilton, WR, IND – $5,900
- Carlos Hyde, RB, HOU – $4,700
- Jacoby Brissett, QB, IND – $5,600

Raidersvs. Packers

The biggest question going into this game are the WRs for the Packers. The only healthy and somewhat relevant WR is Marquez Valdes-Scantling, but Allen Lazard is about to step in as the second WR and is $3,000 on DK. I don’t think he will get any ownership , but he is a key GPP and value play. As for the Raiders, I’m seeing Josh Jacobs as a value play, but Green Bay has been tough against the run ever since a slow start. Darren Waller is also going to be the only person I target in the passing game for the Raiders.

10/18 DFS Core Plays

FanDuel
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling, WR, GB – $6,300
DraftKings
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling, WR, GB – $5,200

10/18 DFS Value Plays

FanDuel
- Jamaal Williams, RB, GB – $5,400
- Allen Lazard, WR, GB – $4,500
DraftKings
- Josh Jacobs, RB, OAK – 5,000
- Jamaal Williams, RB, GB – $4,900
- Allen Lazard, WR, GB – $3,000

49ersvs. Redskins

Once again, another game I’m not high on except for a couple of players. I’m only targeting a handful from the 49ers and zero from the Redskins. 49ers are mainly value plays. None are core plays. Tevin Coleman is the clear goal line back and seems to be the primary RB. If you’re going to use one of the 49ers WRs, I’d do three different lineups and have one of the below value WRs in each lineup. Do not use multiple 49ers WRs in any lineup and hedge it by using one for each of your three lineups. Also, 49ers DST is a core play and should be the only defense you use in DFS besides the Bills.

10/18 DFS Value Plays

FanDuel

Tevin Coleman, RB, SF – $6,200
Deebo Samuel, WR, SF – $5,300
Marquise Goodwin, WR, SF – $5,000
Dante Pettis, WR, SF – $5,100

DraftKings
- Tevin Coleman, RB, SF – $5,600
- Deebo Samuel, WR, SF – $4,500
- Marquise Goodwin, WR, SF – $4,800
- Dante Pettis, WR, SF – $4,100

Dolphinsvs. Bills

Another game I’m targeting on one side and not the other. To start off, load up on the Bills DST in your defense slot for seasonal and DFS and try building lineups around them. Monitor John Brown’s status because he’s missed some practice. If he plays, stack up Josh Allen with Brown. If Brown is out, put in some Dawson Knox, Duke Williams, and Cole Beasley. Devin Singletary should be back, but I’m avoiding the Bills RB situation for one more week.

10/18 DFS Core Plays

FanDuel
- John Brown, WR, BUF – $5,900
DraftKings
- John Brown, WR, BUF – $5,500
- Josh Allen, QB, BUF – $6,500

10/18 DFS Value Plays

FanDuel

Cole Beasley, WR, BUF – $5,600
Duke Williams, WR, BUF – $4,700
Dawson Knox, TE, BUF – $4,800

DraftKings
- Cole Beasley, WR, BUF – $4,700
- Duke Williams, WR, BUF – $4,100
- Dawson Knox, TE, BUF – $3,300

Chargersvs. Titans

Marcus Mariota is out and Ryan Tannehill is in. The problem with Tannehill is I watched him in Miami for years and he’s terrible. I don’t know how he will do with the Titans, but he didn’t look good in his relief appearance last week. I’m a clear fade on the Titans except for Derrick Henry. As for the Chargers, I’m on Hunter Henry on DK and GPPs and on Keenan Allen for a bounce-back game. Allen would be a pure GPP play versus a good Titans secondary.

10/18 DFS Core Plays

FanDuel
- Hunter Henry, TE, LAC – $5,700
- Derrick Henry, RB, TEN – $6,500
DraftKings
- Hunter Henry, TE, LAC – $4,000
- Derrick Henry, RB, TEN – $5,800

10/18 DFS Value Plays

DraftKings
- Hunter Henry, TE, LAC – $4,000

Saintsvs. Bears

This is the fade of the week for me. With Alvin Kamara banged up and Marshon Lattimore on Allen Robinson, I’m just going to fade this game. I might throw some Bears DST out there in DFS, but I just don’t like this game. The Bears defense is one of the best and the Saints defense is sneaky good.

10/18 DFS Value Plays

FanDuel
- Bears DST – $4,500
DraftKings
- Bears DST – $3,000

Seahawksvs. Ravens

I’m still torn on this game and what to do. On the one side, both secondaries aren’t very good. On the other side, both QBs are very good even with Lamar Jackson struggling the last few weeks. I lean more on the Seahawks side of thing. Tyler Lockett is still too cheap and with Will Dissly out for the season, more targets are going to Lockett and DK Metcalf. Chris Carson is probably my second-favorite running back behind Leonard Fournette. Metcalf is one of my favorite value plays on DK. As for the Ravens, I’ll have a GPP lineup with Jackson and Mark Andrews. If Brown plays, I’ll also have a stack with him and Jackson as well. Again, I’ll have more than 50% of my lineups with Tyler Lockett on FD.

CorePlays

FanDuel
- Chris Carson, RB, SEA – $7,600
- Tyler Lockett, WR, SEA – $6,500
DraftKings
- Chris Carson, RB, SEA – $6,500
- Tyler Lockett, WR, SEA – $6,600
- DK Metcalf, WR, SEA – $4,800

ValuePlays

DraftKings
- DK Metcalf, WR, SEA – $4,800

Cardinalsvs. Giants

The battle of two bad defenses. Although the Giants have been more solid on defense, they are still a weaker unit. Kyler Murray seems to be living up to the hype as the #1 overall pick, but he needs to continue to capitalize with touchdowns in the red zone. I’m going to be more on the Cardinals side for this game, but if Saquon Barkley is not limited, I’ll be over him this week. The only problem with Barkley on FanDuel and DraftKings is he is the highest-priced RB so I might be off him this week. As for David Johnson, he has scored over 15 FanDuel points in 5 of his first 6 games this season. I believe this game goes overlooked and could be a GPP gold mine. Load up on this game.

DFSCore Plays

FanDuel
- Kyler Murray, QB, ARI – $7,700
- David Johnson, RB, ARI – $7,400
- Evan Engram, TE, NYG – $6,800
DraftKings
- David Johnson, RB, ARI – $7,800
- Evan Engram, TE, NYG – $6,500

ValuePlays

FanDuel
- Daniel Jones, QB, NYG – $7,200
- Golden Tate, WR, NYG – $6,100
DraftKings
- Daniel Jones, QB, NYG – $6,100
- Golden Tate, WR, NYG – $5,800 (especially if Sterling Shepard is out)
- Christian Kirk, WR, ARI – $5,000 (if active)

Ramsvs. Falcons

It’s safe to say that the Rams defense is very overrated. As for the Falcons defense, they are one of the worst in the league. I think that this game is the shootout of the week and I’ll have a mix of Robert Woods with Cooper Kupp with a combination of both in GPP lineups. I’m also high on the Falcons and think Julio Jones is due for a breakout game and this could finally be the week. Devonta Freeman is a lock for me on DraftKings because he is severely underpriced. Austin Hooper is also underpriced on DraftKings. Again, this is my Game Stack of the Week.

CorePlays

FanDuel
- Devonta Freeman, RB, ATL – $6,400
- Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,500
- Austin Hooper, TE, ATL – $6,600
- Robert Woods, WR, LAR – $7,300
DraftKings
- Matt Ryan, QB, ATL – $6,300
- Devonta Freeman, RB, ATL – $5,400
- Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,300
- Austin Hooper, TE, ATL – $5,300

ValuePlays

FanDuel
- Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,500
Devonta Freeman, RB, ATL – $6,400
DraftKings
- Devonta Freeman, RB, ATL – $5,400
- Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,300
- Austin Hooper, TE, ATL – $5,300

GPPGame(s) of the Week:

Jaguarsvs. Bengals

I still believe in Minshew Mania. Besides having the greatest mustache, I still think he had a bad game because he faced off against an underrated defense. I will side more with the Jaguars on this one, but Joe Mixon is so cheap, especially on DraftKings. DK pricing seems to continue to be broken with Leonard Fournette as the sixth highest priced RB for the slate when he should easily be priced at a higher tag. The Bengals have a lot of value plays for this week against a Jacksonville defense that is a shell of its former self.

ValuePlays

FanDuel
- Gardner Minshew, QB, JAX – $6,900
- Joe Mixon, RB, CIN – $6,100
- D.J. Chark, WR, JAX – $6,600
- Tyler Boyd, WR, CIN – $5,600
- Auden Tate, WR, CIN – $5,900
DraftKings
- Joe Mixon, RB, CIN – $5,000
- Tyler Boyd, WR, CIN – $5,600
- Auden Tate, WR, CIN – $4,500
- Leonard Fournette, RB, JAX – $7,000
- Gardner Minshew, QB, JAX – $5,400

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NHL DFS – 10/18 DFS

I’m going to focus on my Top three games. I’m still riding high from the live final qualification and I’m going for a second ticket tomorrow. Up to this point, here are my favorite games for this slate.

Florida Panthers vs. Colorado Avalanche

This game features one of the highest scoring totals on the slate with both projecting to score over three goals each. The Blackhawks and Blue Jackets also have a similar total, but I prefer this game stack. Before you ask, it isn’t because I’m a diehard Florida Panthers fan (true story), but because both teams aren’t the best defensively and both teams shoot the puck a lot. I think the two top power play lines will be top plays, but you can save salary with the Panthers second power play line. Barkov is way too cheap on DK. I’ll have him in more than 50% of my lineups.

Core Players

Nathan MacKinnon (C, COL) – (FD- $8,600 / DK – $7,700)
Mikko Rantanen (W,COL) – (FD- $7,900 / DK – $7,200)
Gabriel Landeskog (W, COL) – (FD- $7,100 / DK -$6,900)
Nazem Kadri (C,COL) – (FD- $5,000 / DK – $4,800)
Aleksander Barkov (C, FLA) – (FD- $7,500 / DK -$5,800)
Mike Hoffman (W, FLA) – (FD- $6,900 / DK -$6,300)
Evgenii Dadonov (W, FLA) – (FD- $6,500 / DK -$6,600)
Jonathan Huberdeau (W, FLA) – (FD- $7,100 / DK -$6,000)

Value Plays

Vincent Trochek – (C, FLA) – (FD- $6,400V/ DK -$5,500)
Keith Yandle – (W, FLA) – (FD- $5,400 / DK -$5,300)
Frank Vatrano – (W, FLA) – (FD- $3,300 / DK -$3,900)
Aaron Ekblad – (D, FLA) – (FD- $4,700 / DK – $5,500)
Brett Connolly – (W, FLA) – (FD- $4,300 / DK -$3,400)
Tyson Jost – (W, COL) – (FD- $3,900 / DK -$2,900)
Sam Girard – (FD- $4,000 / DK – $3,500)
Nazem Kadri (C,COL) – (FD- $5,000 / DK – $4,800)

Capitals vs. Rangers

This is the second night of a back-to-back for the Rangers and they are coming off a poor game against a winless Devils team. Given how bad the Capitals defense is and the two high powered offenses facing each other, I expect a high scoring affair. I like the Capitals side more than the Rangers side since this is the second night of a back to back for the Rangers.

Core Plays

Alex Ovechkin (W, WAS) – (FD- $8,500 / DK -$7,800)
John Carlson (D, WAS) – (FD- $6,700 / DK -$6,700)
Nicklas Backstrom (C, WAS) – (FD- $6,300 / DK -$5,900)
T.J. Oshie (W, WAS) – (FD- $6,400 / DK – $5,500)
Mike Zibanejad (C, NYR) – (FD- $7,600 / DK -$6,800)
Artemi Panarin (W, NYR) – (FD- $7,800 / DK -$6,200)
Jacob Trouba (D, NYR) – (FD- $5,800 / DK -$5,600)
Chris Kreider (W, NYR) – (FD- $5,400 / DK -$4,000)

Value Plays

Tom Wilson (W, WAS) – (FD- $4,500 / DK – $4,700)
Jakub Vrana (w, WAS) – (FD- $4,800 / DK -$4,300)
Lars Eller (C, WAS) – (FD- $4,500 / DK -$4,200)
Dmitry Orlov (D, WAS) – (FD- $4,000 / DK -$3,700)
Kaapo Kakko (W, NYR) – (FD – $5,100 / DK –$4,600)
Chris Kreider (W, NYR) – (FD- $5,400 / DK -$4,000)

Oilers vs. Red Wings

This game is more of a one-sided target for me. The Oilers are hot and I’m riding the streak. Give me all the PP1 and PP2 for the Oilers.

Core Plays

Connor McDavid (C, EDM) – (FD- $9,400 / DK -$8,100)
Leon Draisaitl (C, EDM) – (FD- $8,700 / DK -$7,900)
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (C, EDM) – (FD- $6,000 / DK- $5,200)
Oscar Klefbom (C, EDM) – (FD- $5,600 / DK – $6,100)
James Neal (C, EDM) – (FD- $5,600 / DK – $6,100)

Value Plays

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (C, EDM) – (FD- $6,000 / DK- $5,200)
Oscar Klefbom (C, EDM) – (FD- $5,600 / DK – $6,100)
James Neal (C, EDM) – (FD- $5,600 / DK – $6,100)
Darnell Nurse (D, EDM) – (FD- $4,900 / DK -$5,400)
Zack Kassian (C, COL) – (FD- $4,400 / DK -$4,200)
Ethan Bear (C, COL) – (FD- $3,500 / DK – $3,500)

Favorite Goalies

Mike Smith or Mikko Koskinen – Oilers – Clear number 1
Corey Crawford – high total against, but I think it’ll hit the under with lots of shots.
Joonas Korpisalo – Same as Crawford

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6 years ago 0 comments

NHL

10/17 NHL DFS: The Daily Hot Shot

Allan Fabrykant 6 years ago

written by Allan Fabrykant

The NHL has presented us with a Thursday night, nine-game slate. We will go for a position by position breakdown tonight. There are some intriguing plays and strong stacks to consider, let’s get into it!

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10/17 NHL DFS Centers

Mika Zibanejad (FD $7,600 | DK $7,800) – He will highlight the top line of the Hudson River Rivalry that is set to take place tonight. Unfortunately for the Devils, they have yet to win a game this season. They are giving up the second-highest goals allowed per game in the league at 4.5 goals allowed, keeping them steadily in the last place. In just three games, Zibanejad has scored eight points (four goals, four assists), giving him the highest points per game this season by far.

Paul Stastny (FD $5,400 | DK $6,200) – Member of the biggest line lock of the night, Stastny and Company will be going up against the lowly Sens, who are settling at third-last in the league with one win and four losses to start the season. With the game in Vegas, Ottawa will need a prayer and that might not even do it. Stastny’s price has remained relatively cheap despite being on the highest producing line on his team and bagging six points in his last three games (three goals, three assists).
Honorable Mention: Sean Couturier

10/17 NHL DFS Wingers

JT Miller (FD $5,600 | DK $4,700) – Miller has been on fire to start the season and has proven to be one of the Canucks’ best offseason pickups. Miller leads the team in scoring given that he scored six points in his last three games (three goals, three assists). Miller has been averaging around 18 minutes of ice-time per game but given his recent performances, it wouldn’t be a surprise if that increased. Not to mention he appears on the Canucks deadly top power-play unit. Finally, Miller will be playing against the Blues, who have had a rather mediocre start to the season and have coughed up a fair amount of goals, 3.33 per game to be exact. I wouldn’t be surprised if Miller got on the end of one of them.

David Pastrnak (FD $8,500 | DK $7,500) – Pastrnak is simply an elite winger, if you’re looking for a low-owned play with a safe floor Pastrnak is your guy, as he leads the Bruins with 10 points in six games, followed by his linemates Marchand and Bergeron. Last game, Pastrnak lit up one of the league’s best in John Gibson for four goals en route to his team’s 4-2 win over the Ducks last Monday.
HM: Nick Schmaltz

10/17 NHL DFS Defensemen

Alexander Edler (FD $5,800 | DK $6,300) – Vancouver’s lead power powerplay defenseman has registered four points in his last three games and has averaged a whopping 25 minutes of average ice-time throughout the season. It is clear coach Travis Green has faith in the veteran Swede and given the leakage, the Blues have been prone to thus far this season, Edler holds value as a stack option alongside the Canucks’ top line (Miller, Pettersson, Boeser)

Jacob Trouba (FD $5,800 | DK $6,000) – Much like his teammate, Zibanejad Trouba hit the ground running in his first three games of the season with a goal and three assists while averaging 24 minutes of ice-time per game. Trouba carries a price tag on the higher end but works well in a Rangers stack alongside Buchnevich, Panarin and Zibanejad, given that they all play together on the Rangers top power play unit.
HM: Shea Theodore, Ryan Ellis

10/17 NHL DFS Goalies

Pekka Rinne (FD $8,700 | DK $8,000) – Rinne is a perfect 4-0-0 to start the season and will have one of the best offensive teams in front of him with a CF% of 51.48. The Preds also lead the league in goals and have the sixth-highest shots per game total in the league. Rinne will be pricey but if you’re looking for a safe play between the pipes Rinne is the way to go.

Carter Hutton (FD $8,500 | DK $7,800) – Hutton has been as good as Rinne if not better. He too holds a perfect 4-0-0 record and holds an extremely low 1.74 GAA. The Kings shoot a lot but don’t turn the offensive production into goals nearly enough, as they are currently hovering around the middle of the league in goals per game while posting the second-most shots on goal per game in the league. Furthermore, the Kings have started the season on the back foot with a 2-4-0 record and look to be starting Jonathan Quick, who holds an abysmal stat line at 0-3-0, a GAA of 6.44 and a Save Percentage below .800.
HM: Alexander Georgiev

10/17 NHL DFS STACKS & CASH PLAY OF THE NIGHT

Vegas Golden Knights 2 – This line should be an auto-lock tonight. Stat-wise this line is far and away the most intriguing option and with that will come the super high ownership, especially in cash. This is the good kind of chalk and given the price of some of their player such as Stastny and Theodore, they are surprisingly stackable with other strong options tonight.
HM: New York Rangers 1 (Zibanejad, Panarin, Trouba), Buffalo Sabres 1 (Reinhart, Eichel, Olofsson)

10/17 NHL DFS Game Stacks

Vancouver vs St. Louis – Both of these teams are very offensive-minded, with both teams averaging over three goals a game. The optimal game stack would be Vancouver’s top line alongside St. Louis’ second line, and alternatively their first line. Statistically, these two teams are very evenly matched and this game could turn into a shootout.

10/17 NHL DFS Punts
Calle Jarnkrok (FD $3,600 | DK $3,500) – Jarnkrok will be playing on Nashville’s top line and although Kuemper has had his moments to start the season. The Preds are leading the league in goals with 4.67 per game, one of which came from Jarnkrok last game. Over his past three games, Jarnkrok has had four assists and has steadily been seeing an increase in ice-time each and every game. If Forsberg is held out of tonight’s contest the winger will be set to see even more ice time. The fact that he plays on the Preds’ top power play unit only adds to his value.

Quinn Hughes (FD $4,000 | DK $3,700) – Quinn has had his moments this season but has largely been overshadowed by the success of his defensive teammate Alexander Edler. In a pinch, Hughes still provides excellent value as he has registered three points in his first five games while averaging 20 minutes of ice time per night and playing on the Canucks second power-play unit. Hughes is the future of Vancouver’s defensive core and will definitely be in the mix when considering low owned Canuck plays tonight. Hughes pairs well alongside Tanner Pearson.
HM: Sean Walker

6 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL NHL PGA

DFS Diamonds for 10/9: DFS Pro J.P. on NFL, NHL and PGA

Coby Williams 6 years ago

written by Coby Williams

WIN DAILY is excited and proud to welcome DFS Pro Javier Prellezo to the team! Check out his incredible career DFS accomplishments in his bio at the bottom of the page.

Win Daily DFS Grinders: Happy Wednesday to you!!

For those of you that were in our Premium Gold Slack Chat this past week, I was trying to guide you all to push for Christian McCaffrey. They are simply forcing him the ball and rolling the offense towards CMC. Until they decide to lighten the workload, you need to keep pushing CMC as a CORE PLAY. Unfortunately, he’s not on the main slate for this week so it’s time to be sad.

MostDFS sites, pros, players, etc. don’t focus on the next week until later on inthe week, but I want to provide an early look into Week 6. I want to focus onthe top 3-5 games that I’m currently leaning towards for Week 6. I will take adeeper dive into the games later in the week.

DFS Cash Game Plays and Top Plays

Bengals vs. Ravens

This isn’t a game to target on both sides, but more on the Ravens side. The Bengals defense is bad and for those of you that took advantage of the cheap price on the Bengals DST were thoroughly disappointed. Given two straight weeks of disappointment for Lamar Jackson, I’d expect a BIG bounce-back game for Jackson and the Ravens offense. Keep your eye on Marquise Brown and his ankle throughout the week.

DFS Core Plays

FanDuel
- Lamar Jackson, QB, BAL – $8,200
- Marquise Brown , WR, BAL – $5,800
- Mark Andrews , TE, BAL – $6,300
DraftKings
- Lamar Jackson, QB , BAL – $6,900
- Mark Andrews, TE, BAL – $4,800

ValuePlays

FanDuel
- Joe Mixon, RB, CIN – $6,400
DraftKings
- Auden Tate, WR, CIN – $4,500

Texans vs. Chiefs

To be honest, this might be the game stack of the week. Texans vs. Falcons did NOT disappoint and I don’t think this game will either. Given two mediocre defenses and two killer offenses, I’ll be heavily invested in this game and I’d expect it to be the chalk. Keep your eye on Patrick Mahomes, who was hobbling all game on that ankle.

CorePlays

FanDuel
- DeAndre Hopkins, WR, HOU- $8,400
- Will Fuller, WR, HOU – $6,600
- Travis Kelce, TE, KC – $7,500
DraftKings
- DeAndre Hopkins, WR, HOU – $7,400
- Travis Kelce, TE, KC – $7,000
- Will Fuller, WR, HOU – $6,000
- Deshaun Watson, QB, HOU – $6,700

ValuePlays

FanDuel
- Carlos Hyde, RB, HOU – $6,000
DraftKings
- Deshaun Watson, QB, HOU – $6,700
- Carlos Hyde , RB, HOU – $4,400

Falcons vs. Cardinals

Many may shy away from this game because of how bad both teams are, but I wouldn’t say their offenses are as bad as their defenses. Austin Hooper will be the chalk given the Cardinals defense versus TEs, but hopefully, ownership will shy away from Hooper a little given that they shut down Tyler Eifert.

CorePlays

FanDuel
- Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,500
- Julio Jones, WR, ATL – $8,500
DraftKings
- Austin Hooper, TE, ATL – $5,000
- Julio Jones, WR, ATL – $8,000
- Matt Ryan, QB, ATL – $6,400

ValuePlays

FanDuel
- Larry Fitzgerald, WR, ARI – $5,600
- Christian Kirk, WR, ARI – $5,600
- Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,500
DraftKings
- Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,700
- Christian Kirk, WR, ARI – $5,200 (if active)
- Devonta Freeman, RB, ATL – $5,700

GPP Game(s) of theWeek:

Redskins vs. Dolphins

Battle of the defeated! Who will get their first win or will they tie? Honestly, both defenses are bad, both offenses are bad. I suspect that many will NOT be on this game because of how bad they are, but this could be GPP gold. I side more with the Redskins side for offense, but with the Dolphins coming off a bye week. You just never know.

ValuePlays

FanDuel
- Adrian Peterson, RB, WAS – $5,300
- Preston Williams, WR, MIA – $5,600
DraftKings
- Adrian Peterson, RB, WAS – $4,500
- Preston Williams, WR, MIA – $4,100

Eagles vs. Vikings

Kirk Cousins is alive! I feel like most players will shy away from this game because of what the Eagles just did, but I expect the Vikings to feast on this terrible defense. The Vikings are motivated and Dalvin Cook had an off week. I expect Dalvin Cook to be a CORE PLAY!

CorePlays

FanDuel
- Stefon Diggs, WR, MIN – $5,800
- Zach Ertz, TE, PHI – $6,600
- Dalvin Cook, RB, MIN – $8,200
DraftKings
- Dalvin Cook, RB, MIN – $8,400

ValuePlays

FanDuel
- Stefon Diggs, WR, MIN – $5,800
DraftKings
- Stefon Diggs, WR, MIN – $5,900
- Jordan Howard, RB, PHI – $4,900
- Zach Ertz , TE, PHI – $5,400

This is NOT a homer pick, but if Darnold is out this week once again, I’d say load up with the Dallas DST and move on from anyone else. Luke Falk is terrible and bad defenses (like the Eagles) have been feasting. The word is that Sam Darnold will be active, but be on the lookout for this news.

I’ll be back Friday with a deeper dive into my favorite NFL games for Week 6.

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NHL DFS (10/9)

Three game slates are NOT my favorite, but I do like to max enter on low-cost entries to see if we can hit big. My strategy is to put in 10-20 lineups for each team. Ideally, you can do 10 PP1 for each team and 10 PP2 for each team. It isn’t the best strategy, but it worked more times than once. I’d also recommend doing different combos of game stacks and hope for a 6-5 shootout in one of the games. With these PP lines, I’d focus on a game stack or focus on a particular stack that you’re in love with to mix and match,

Kings vs. Canucks

Kings – The Kings were bad last year and will continue to be bad. Losing 6-5 to Edmonton in their first game shows us a promising offense. As expected, their defense is bad and the Canucks could be a sneaky stack even though they are supposed to be any good this year. Core plays for the Kings include Anze Kopitar, Tyler Toffoli, and Ilya Kovalchuk.

Canucks – A young squad with lots to learn. This game might the one we want to avoid given the inconsistencies of both teams. I don’t know what to expect, but there are some solid core players here. Core plays for the Canucks include Elias Pettersson, J.T. Miller, and Alexander Edler.

Key Takeaway – Being on the second night of a back-to-back, I’d load up on the PP1 and PP2 of the Canucks. Nothing is sneaky on a three game slate, but the Canucks are a solid play against the worst team in the NHL. I’d fade the Kings.

Devils vs. Flyers

Devils – The defense has been suspect through two games and offense seems middle of the pack. I’d fade them for now, but the offense does look promising coming off what they did last year. Core plays from New Jersey include P.K. Subban, Taylor Hall, Wayne Simmonds, Travis Zajac, and Kyle Palmieri.

Flyers – One game, one win. They allowed three goals on the path to a 4-3 win against the lowly Blackhawks. This game has the potential for high scoring given the rivalry and the poor defenses on both sides. I’d target more the Flyers side vs. the Devils side. Core plays from Philadelphia include Claude Giroux, Jakub Voracek, James van Riemsdyk, and Shea Gostisbehere.

Key DFS Takeaway – This game has the potential to be high scoring so a game stack isn’t out of the question, but I’d prefer the Sabres vs. Canadians in that regard.

Canadiens vs. Sabres

Canadiens – Through two games, they’ve allowed three goals and five goals while losing both games in Shootouts. Defense looks to be a problem for the Canadiens, but the offense does NOT. I’d stack the top two PP lines with a focus on the PP1. Core plays from Montreal include Phillip Danault, Shea Weber, and Brendan Gallagher.

Sabres – They have beat two solid teams thus far with only three goals allowed thus far in the first two games. The offense put up seven recently against a solid Devils team, so we can wait and see to see how it goes, but I would just focus on the Canadiens side as of now. Core plays from Buffalo include Jack Eichel , Jeff Skinner, Victor Olofsson, and Sam Reinhart. These guys will be on the PP1 unit and have good value for your stacks.

Key DFS Takeaway – My primary game stack play would be this one. Both defenses are pretty suspect and both offenses seem to be strong this year. If I had to pick a side for this game, I’d choose Buffalo.

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PGADFS (10/9) – Houston Open

CorePlays

Doc Redman (FD : $8,400 ; DK : $7,200) – Best value for this tournament. He can find his way into contention given he is third in greens in regulation and fifth in strokes gained off the tee. Best value on the slate and will most likely be the chalk.

Harris English (FD : $9,900 ; DK : $8,900) – Weak field and this is your most expensive play on both sites, but this golfer was once elite. He’s an above-average with his putter and his short game is one of the best in the game. Although he has a weak approach game, he can be trusted given the weak field of this tournament.

My Consensus Value Rankings for this Tournament:

Harris English
Doc Redman
Lanto Griffin
Henrik Stenson
Brian Harman
Scottie Scheffler
Jhonattan Vegas
Zack Sucher

Please contact me with any questions on Twitter @Javi_Prellezo or on our Win Daily Slack channel!

6 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports NHL

NHL DFS Strategy Guide: The Keys to Winning

Allan Fabrykant 6 years ago

written by Allan Fabrykant

Hi everyone and welcome to the first NHL DFS article here at Win Daily Sports. I am very excited for the season to get underway so we can start winning together! Before the season begins, let’s explore the strategies I employ when making DFS lineups and hopefully, you too will become a successful NHL fantasy player!

Before we take a look at methods and important statistics, we need to have an overview of how to play NHL DFS on both FanDuel and DraftKings. Both sites require you to choose nine players. On FanDuel, these are two centers, four wingers, two defensemen and a goalie with a total salary of $55,000. Whereas on DraftKings, there are two centers, three wingers, two defensemen, a goalie, and a utility player with a total salary of $50,000. Blank squads look as such.

Point breakdowns for each site are similar for the most part, but there are subtle differences that you should be aware of before building your line. Here is an analysis of each category.

Player Points	FanDuel	DraftKings
Shots	+1.6	+0.5
Blocked Shots	+1.6	+0.5
Goals	+12	+3
Assists	+8	+2
Power Play Points Bonus (Goals/Assists)	+0.5	—
Short Handed Points Bonus (Goals/Assists)	+2	+1
Hat Trick Bonus (3 Goals)	—	+1.5
Shootout Goals	—	+0.2

Goalie Points	FanDuel	DraftKings
Saves	+0.8	+0.2
Goals Against (Excludes Empty Netters)	-4	-1
Wins	+12	+3
Shutouts	+8	+2
Goals	—	+3
Assists	—	+2

GENERAL NOTES:

It is plausible that someone can be credited with a goal without intending to score or even without shooting the puck
There are a maximum of two assists on a goal and a minimum of zero
There are no assists on Penalty Shots.
In-game penalty shots will count as Goals Against for a goalie if scored but penalty shootout goals will not.
NHL is a late-swap sport so each player will lock when their respective game starts.
FanDuel is generally slower at updating player prices than DraftKings.

NHL DFS Goalies

Goalies are the heart of any NHL DFS fantasy lineup, and more often than not they will be the difference between cashing or not. If you want to take down a GPP, a successful goalie is vital. There are some predictors to help you determine whether or not your goalie will have a good outing on any particular night. The first is whether or not the goalie is hot or cold. At an NHL level a goalie’s mental state is everything, and if they are experiencing a cold streak it is challenging to shake off even for the best goalies. That is why when choosing a goalie, it helps if they have a positive record over their previous five starts. In terms of statistics, there are two clear indicators to measure how many goals they allow per game (goals-against average or GAA) and how many shots they stop per game (save percentage or SV%). In general, it is preferable that your goalie has maintained a goals-against average below 3.00 and save percentage of at least .910 entering that game.

Probably the most essential and clear-cut factor in predicting a goalie’s success is whether or not they are favored to win and if the over/under is low. Vegas statisticians employ many different factors when they predict the success rate of any team, and more often than not, they tend to be correct. Every NHL arena is different, and some goalies feel more comfortable on a particular ice surface than others, so it is also vital to look at a goalie’s record at that specific arena, to gauge their likelihood of success. It is also important to avoid goalies if they play two days in a row since fatigue is a very important factor for predicting performance between the pipes. My final tip for NHL DFS goalies is do not be afraid to spend up at this position or even put them as the first player in your line. As mentioned earlier, the goalie is the heart of your team, and your success depends on their performance.

Furthermore, all goalies tend to be rather expensive, to begin with, due to the high upside, so there isn’t a massive jump between a stud goalie and a value goalie. For starting goalie updates I use Left Wing Lock’s Starting Goalie Tracker. They use up to the minute information to determine which goaltender is most likely to start each matchup and provide confirmation once a goalie is selected.

NHL DFS Stacking

Stacking is the strategy that is integral to success in NHL DFS. When it comes to stacking in hockey, it is much more straightforward than with most other sports. The main idea is stacking players alongside their even strength linemates. Generally, you will want to reserve two-player stacks for cash games and focus three-player stacks for GPPs since ideally if a line is in form, all three players will benefit. More often than not the winner of large-field GPPs will have two full line stacks along with two defensemen and a goalie who performed well. I like to break down my stacks into two different groups, either of which can be useful in completing your lineup.

The first is a “Top Tier” Stack, this is where the two or three players you have on the same team are on the ice at the same time at even strength, and on the power play. This is ideal since the players will maximize the amount of time they have on the ice together. The second option is a “Mid Tier” Stack, and this is where the players are on the ice together during even-strength but are not on the same power play. Do not be afraid to play mid-tier stacks, as especially with bargain stacks it is not always the case that they see power-play time together, but they could be very hot coming into the game and up against a struggling or tired goalie. Not to mention, there are some instances where a bargain player working alongside a star player during even-strength will not play on their power-play unit, but will still represent an excellent value play due to their price.

As a NHL DFS general rule any team’s top two lines would be considered the most “stackable” as they will see the bulk of the ice time, however, third line one-offs and stacks could also provide decent value under the right circumstances. Generally, stay away from fourth lines on principle, they will usually only see around 5-10 minutes of ice time per game and are most often the least talented players on their team. (There are rare occasions where fourth line one-offs may be appropriate for GPPs, such as if a fourth liner sees power play time.)

Since stacks are as vital to NHL DFS success, it is also important to be attentive to line changes and general NHL news. Line changes are usually confirmed in the team’s morning skate which takes place the day of the game. Line changes could occur for many reasons including coaching inclinations, poor/promising performance, injuries and suspensions. A cheap option could replace an injured or suspended player on a top line, which would quickly increase their value. Be sure to check line updates at dailyfaceoff.com. It is wise to check at some point in the afternoon EST after the morning skate. Most lineups should be finalized by then.

NHL DFS Defensemen

Generally speaking you want defensemen who play alongside the top two lines of favored teams and especially alongside stud players. Ideally your defensemen will see around 20 minutes of ice time per game and will appear on one of their team’s two power play units. Power play time isn’t necessary but it is definitely recommended. If you choose to punt at the defensive spot, aim to have a player that sees at the very least 15 minutes a game and plays alongside a stud defenseman. Don’t be afraid to stack defensemen and forwards together, especially if they have power play time together as any skater is a scoring threat on a power play.

Other Strategies

When looking for stacks begin by looking at which teams are in the best position to succeed on any given night then proceed to analyze which lines are most likely to perform, essentially taking a top-down approach.

Another NHL DFS strategy I like to use is recency. If someone is performing well, odds are they will continue to perform well. Much similar to how goalies in a hole tend to stay in a hole, players with the hot hand are generally prone to score in streaks.

One of the most underrated strategy’s in NHL Fantasy is targeting back-to-backs, especially when the team went into overtime or a shootout the night before. If a team has to travel after a long night they will be in a very weak position during the following game. It is an extremely underrated aspect of DFS hockey considering the impact that it has on some teams. Imagine losing a game in overtime and having to travel overnight to prepare for your next game the following day in the middle of a season. Not to mention some teams start their backup goalies on the second or first halves of a back-to-back. Use Left Wing Lock, as their goalie tracker includes a “back-to-back tracker.”

As a final piece of general NHL DFS strategy don’t roster players against your goalie, it minimizes your upside, since either the player will succeed and the goalie will take a hit or vice versa.

(Unlike other sports, every person on the bench will get ice time. Some will get more than others depending on what line they’re on and if they play on their team’s Power Play or Penalty Kill units.)

STRATEGIC NOTES:

It is best to construct your lines just after noon, Eastern Standard Time since by then generally all lineups will be confirmed after morning skates and all the best contests will still be available.
I personally use LineStar’s implied goal totals from time to time to help me consider which team has the greatest likelihood of scoring.
The best teams to target are those that have trouble on the penalty kill and my personal favorite matchups of the night are the most mismatched Power Play and Penalty Kill.
When it comes to personal narratives such as birthdays, playing against family, playing against a hometown team or coming back from a long absence, take it with a grain of salt.

Risk

GPP Options and Punts are beneficial in the right context. They don’t always have to be one-offs and could simply be an inexpensive player having exposure to a top talent. However, there are times where selecting a one-off can be useful as their price allows you to fill your NHL DFS lines with the talent you are looking for. My favorite one-offs would be at the defensive position since a lot of their point production is not reliant on the play from others, and they could record points individually, mainly through blocked shots. (Blocking shots shouldn’t be a sole reason to select a defenseman as generally, you’d want all your players to hold scoring upside. However, it is minor stats such as shots and blocked shots that can save your line. On FanDuel, eight shots/blocked shots are worth more than a goal, and on DraftKings, six shots/blocked shots are equal to an assist.)

Punts could also be recently promoted players such as third liners who were promoted to the second line, AHL callups who were performing well, third/fourth liners who see power play time or cheap players who play alongside top performers. GPP punts aren’t necessary for a takedown but sometimes they can provide the necessary edge that will separate you from the rest of the pack.

Advanced Analysis

The final important factors to consider are advanced statistics. Generally, it is the upfront factors such as current player performance or playing alongside top tier talent that is most significant. However, advanced statistics can sometimes reveal flaws in players that could seem ideal at first glance. There are five advanced statistics that I rely on the most when constructing my lineups for any given slate. The first two predict a player’s production in the offensive zone and how productive his team is in general while he is on the ice, and the third gauges overall player performance. The fourth represents a player’s luck on the ice and the last advanced stat represents how often team creates high-danger chances.

The offensive production stats I use are Corsi, which is the measures the differential between offensive shot attempts (shots on goal, missed shots and blocked shots) with defensive shot attempts while that player is on the ice. A top-level player generally has a Corsi above 55% and a Corsi above 50% represents positive offensive production. Fenwick, which is similar to Corsi, insofar as Fenwick disregards blocked shots in its analysis and only focuses on “unblocked shot” attempts. Often the numbers are very similar, but these subtle differences could be pivotal in-game.

The third advanced statistic I use is an all-around stat developed by Corsica hockey known as a Player Rating. Corsica hockey boiled down many different advanced statistics into a single Player Rating through the use of model NHL DFS stacking (or in this case statistical stacking).

The fourth advanced stat I generally take with a grain of salt, but one I consider nonetheless, is PDO, which is a team’s shooting percentage and save percentage merged together in one stat to predict a player’s overall luck. Hockey is one of the most luck-based DFS sports so it is stats such as PDO which can be used as predictors to determine on-ice luck. The higher above 100 a player is, the luckier they are.

The final advanced statistic I consider before creating my lineups are HDSCF/A (High-Danger Scoring Chances For/Against). This represents the amount of dangerous chances that are taken either for or against their team while they are on the ice. A “High-Danger” chance is either a one-timer, a rebound or shots from the slot, which is the area directly in front of the goaltender and in-between both offensive face-off circles.

I generally use hockey-reference.com for PDO, naturalstattrick.com for Corsi, HDSCF/A and Fenwick and corsicahockey.com for player ratings.

Thank you for taking the time to look over this strategy guide, and I hope it will lead to a very prosperous NHL DFS season for you.

6 years ago 0 comments

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NHL DFS (10/9)

NHL DFS Goalies

NHL DFS Stacking

NHL DFS Defensemen

Other Strategies

Risk

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