The Insight Sheet gets you ready before lock at the 2020 3M Open. Inside is my personal player selection. Make sure to be on Discord tonight to get final questions asked and for help with lineup building. As always, the sheet uses DraftKings pricing but the model is set up for overall play. Players can be used on all sites.
*This is a terrible field OVERALL and I would highly recommend playing lite. There is a legit chance that one of 15 – 20 golfers win this week and I wouldn’t be surprised. With that said, my player pool will generally be heavy chalk or punts. I’ll have my cash section still but this week feels like you need to really nail the low end guys and miss the landmines up top. Yes, this is a general rule but I feel with the ease of the course and the field, chalk will make it through the cut line. There will always be one surprise or so but for now I want the chalk.*
Players priced between $10,000 and higher
**These players are good. Like most weeks, there’s really no need to explain why the top players are here. This week is no different, here is who I am playing.**
Paul Casey $10,100 (Model #1, Projected Ownership 23%)
Brooks Koepka $11,200 (M2, 9%) – Ownership alone makes him a GPP ONLY play for me
Tony Finau $10,900 (M5, 19%)
Tommy Fleetwood $10,500 (M7, 18%)
Players priced between $9,900 and $9,000
Bubba Watson $9,900 (M17, 12%) – Coming off a T32 at The Memorial, Watson is sandwiched between chalk three deep on both sides of him on DraftKings. He’s 16th in Tee to Green on comparable courses and and plays really well on the longer par 4s.
Matthew Wolff $9,700 (M19, 17%) – Last years inaugural winner, he placed 22nd last week. The Rocket Mortgage course has been said to comparable to the 2020 3M Open course and he finished 2nd a few weeks back. Does all of his damage right where you need it (OTT & APP)at TPC Twin Cities. He doesn’t make the cash team though because he is a bit inconstant.
Russell Henley $9,200 (M13, 17%) – Back to back made cuts with a T7 at the Workday Charity Open. He did miss the cut here last year but does show well in the comp course model ranking eighth in T2G. Henley checks a lot of boxes and would rank higher if he was a better putter. Luckily putting isn’t the biggest difference maker here.
Players priced between $8,900 and $8,000
Erik Van Rooyen $8,800 (M18, 24%) – If you want to make a stand, here is your guy but be careful. Rooyen is elite in terms of off the tee and in his approach. He really struggles in the short game. Like Henley though, that’s not necessarily important. What makes him a good player to move off of if you wish is his inconsistency. On courses that he should dominate, he doesn’t. Im playing him at the moment because, again, he could easily win this week, but he could also miss the cut. Choose your poison.
Luke List $8,400 (M43, 13%) – GPP ONLY play for me, List has everything you want at the 2020 3M Open. A good ball striker that can score points with solid odds. He’s not great with the putter and he can get wild with his swing at times (plenty of hazards). I know thats kind of contradicting the ball striking remark but it’s true. Seems to go on and off at times from one hole to another or one round to another.
Max Homa $8,000 (M10, 11%) – Despite missing three cuts in a row (all on the number I believe) and four out of the last five, Homa is still 45th ranked in the field in strokes gained. That’s a crazy stat and truly shows how weak this field is. Top 25 rank in all the important metrics, this is the week Homa breaks through.
Brain Harman $8,000 (M22, 6%) – I’ve wrote him so many times, these last few tournament with nothing but disappointment in the end. Process over results though, right? His putter is the main culprit to his demise but as a whole its the most varied part of a golfers game. If he can get the ball rolling better on the greens, Harman could not only make the cut but perhaps land in the top 15.
Players priced between $7,900 and $7,200
Jhonattan Vegas $7,900 (M9, 12%) – Vegas’ game sets up perfectly for here, which is making higher owned for being a lower priced player. Perhaps better suited as a FRL bet, Vegas does tend to fall off on the weekend. He missed the cut at the Workday but made two top 25 prior.
Sepp Straka $7,900 (M25, 11%) – Since the restart, Straka has made the cut four out of five times. This includes two top 15 finishes including a T8 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic which again is comparable to the 2020 3M open.
Charley Hoffman $7,400 (M34, 10%) – Hoffman is one of the better scorers in the field, which will be needed. Shows up well on comp course model though he did miss the cut last year. Two out of three made cuts since the break, Hoffman feels solid to make the cut and post a possible top 20.
Pat Perez $7,200 (M26, 3%) – Perez is a grinder and can show up from time to time in the top 20. He made the cut at the 3M Open last year (53rd) and made the last two cuts after the restart (T39 & T45). If youre looking for a cheap option without dipping into the 6K, Perez is your man.
Cameron Tringale $7,200 (M50, 5%) – Tringale is another RMC play as he finished T30 a few weeks back. He also made the cut in 2019 finishing 42. A solid ball striker who’s cheap.
Players priced at $7,100 and $7,000
Aaron Wise $7,100 (M55, 4%) – A man that can drive the ball with a solid vegas odds. A man that wins off the tee and approach generally, his recent play leaves something to be desired.
Matthias Schwab $7,000 (M45, 4%) – After touting him last week with a perfect 6/6 cut mark, he of course missed. The Memorial was a hard course and more seasoned players with bigger names also were no match. A top 100 OWGR player, he’s mostly seen on the Euro Tour. I think he bounces back with an easier course and weaker field.
Adam Long $7,000 (M32, 1%) – A man with solid stats across the board who is at his best with his irons and putter. 76th ranked in the worlkd according to DataGolf.com he’s one of the highest ranked in the price range.
Chase Seiffert $7,000 (M11, 10%) – Seiffert might get axed by the end if I think his ownership doesn’t drop. The model has him ranked rather high but it might be a lack of rounds to truly justify his ranking. I’ll have him as I don’t argue with the model I don’t know how much. Proceed with caution at the 2020 3M Open.
Punt Plays $6,900 and below
Matthew NeSmith $6,900 (M16, 2%)
Brice Garnett $6,900 (M36, 2%)
Adam Schenk $6,900 (M33, 4%)
Chesson Hadley $6,900 (M27, 7%)
Hudson Swafford $6,700 (M23, 5%)
Cameron Davis $6,500 (M61, 4%)
Derek Ernst $6,300 (M132, 1%)
Angus Flanagan $6,000 (M91, 1%)
Cash / SE / 3 Max Core Plays
Lucas Gloover $9,400 (M2, 23%)
Harris English $9,000 (M12, 22%)
Doc Redman $8,700 (M8, 23%)
Henrik Norlander $8,600 (M21, 14%)
Ryan Moore $8,100 (M14, 11%)
Troy Merritt $7,500 (M35, 6%)
Richy Werenski $7,400 (M20, 11%)
Vaughn Taylor $6,800 (M4, 3%)
Thank you for reading the Insight Sheet for the 2020 3M Open. You can find my other work here on my Author Page. Follow Win Daily Sports (@WinDailySports) and myself (@DFSPatrickScott) on Twitter for up to date news. You can also come hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before lock!
