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We had a 15-game slate for Sunday May 26th. Let’s go over some players who performed well and others who underperformed. All points and prices are based off DraftKings.

Winners

Brandon Woodruff ($6,600)

Woodruff looked special on the mound against the Philadelphia Phillies yesterday. He finished with eight innings and only had one hit against him, a solo home run off the bat of Andrew Knapp. He also reached 10 strikeouts and no walks. The Phillies rank in the Top-10 with a .332 OBP and only managed to get one baserunner against Woodruff.

Woodruff’s Outlook

This was the sixth consecutive outing that Woodruff has thrown at least five innings and given up two runs or less. In that same span, he has a 43:8 strikeout-to-walk ratio. He has been quietly very good and DraftKings has him at low value for his production. His next scheduled start should be on Saturday in Pittsburgh against the Pirates. Make sure to get Woodruff during that slate.

Justin Smoak ($3,900)

Smoak went 2-for-5 against the San Diego Padres yesterday and his two hits left the ballpark. He finished with five RBI and two runs scored, putting his point total at 34. At almost $100 per point, he was definitely an under-the-radar pickup for DFS players yesterday.

Smoak’s Outlook

Smoak has caught fire, hitting five home runs in as many games. However, it’s either out-of-the-park or just an out, as he totaled six hits in those five games. The Blue Jays play an afternoon game today against the Tampa Bay Rays, who lead the Majors with a 2.97 team ERA. I would fade Justin Smoak since the Rays keep runs at a minimum and Smoak only hits home runs.

Howie Kendrick ($4,100)

Howie Kendrick took advantage of facing the Miami Marlins, going 3-for-5 with a home run, three RBI and two times crossing the plate. Add up all his production, you get 26 points. That would equate to $157 per point, which is incredible value. Kendrick has been slumping a bit as of late so I am wary of jumping on him in today’s slate.

Kendrick’s Outlook

Kendrick has been solid at the plate this season with a slash line of .303/.346/.549. However, he has been held without a hit in four of his last six games. The Nationals wrap up their series against the Miami Marlins today, but I would be cautious about counting on Kendrick to put up similar stats.

Losers

Domingo German ($10,100)

Coming into the game, German looked like a prime candidate for the AL Cy Young Award. However, the Kansas City Royals had his number, as he went five innings and gave up seven runs on nine hits. He did strike out six batters and didn’t allow a walk. Even so, German gave up four home runs throughout his outing and with the lofty price tag, he did not provide anywhere near enough value.

German’s Outlook

As stated, German has been great so far in 2019. It seems the Royals have his number, since they seem to hit him better than every other team he faced. He still has a 1.04 WHIP and is throwing more than one strikeout an inning, so German should be fine. German is penciled in to pitch against the Boston Red Sox on Friday night at Yankee Stadium, so he should have a bounce-back outing.

Bryce Harper ($4,500)

Harper, like many of the Phillies, looked totally overmatched at the plate yesterday against Woodruff. Harper went 0-for-3 with all three at-bats ending in a strikeout. He has had a rough week at the plate and should be off people’s DFS radars until something changes in his approach.

Harper’s Outlook

Bryce Harper is still one of the best players in the league. However, he is in the midst of a putrid week where he is batting .179 with a .250 OBP. The superstar of an organization can ill afford to go into a bad stretch like this. Harper wasn’t going to snap his cold strreak against what Woodruff was throwing. Harper and the Phillies get a much-needed day off before starting their next series against the St. Louis Cardinals on Tuesday.

Injury Update

Kris Bryant exited yesterday’s game after colliding with center fielder Jason Heyward in the outfield. Bryant was struck on the side of the head and neck, but is traveling with the team to Houston.

Chris Paddack was scratched from his start on Sunday due to a stiff neck. The injury is not considered serious and he is scheduled to start on Wednesday against the New York Yankees.

Chris Davis was placed on the IL, retroactive to Saturday, with left hip inflammation.

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We had a 15-game slate for Sunday May 26th. Let’s go over some players who performed well and others who underperformed. All points and prices are based off DraftKings.

Winners

Brandon Woodruff ($6,600)

Woodruff looked special on the mound against the Philadelphia Phillies yesterday. He finished with eight innings and only had one hit against him, a solo home run off the bat of Andrew Knapp. He also reached 10 strikeouts and no walks. The Phillies rank in the Top-10 with a .332 OBP and only managed to get one baserunner against Woodruff.

Woodruff’s Outlook

This was the sixth consecutive outing that Woodruff has thrown at least five innings and given up two runs or less. In that same span, he has a 43:8 strikeout-to-walk ratio. He has been quietly very good and DraftKings has him at low value for his production. His next scheduled start should be on Saturday in Pittsburgh against the Pirates. Make sure to get Woodruff during that slate.

Justin Smoak ($3,900)

Smoak went 2-for-5 against the San Diego Padres yesterday and his two hits left the ballpark. He finished with five RBI and two runs scored, putting his point total at 34. At almost $100 per point, he was definitely an under-the-radar pickup for DFS players yesterday.

Smoak’s Outlook

Smoak has caught fire, hitting five home runs in as many games. However, it’s either out-of-the-park or just an out, as he totaled six hits in those five games. The Blue Jays play an afternoon game today against the Tampa Bay Rays, who lead the Majors with a 2.97 team ERA. I would fade Justin Smoak since the Rays keep runs at a minimum and Smoak only hits home runs.

Howie Kendrick ($4,100)

Howie Kendrick took advantage of facing the Miami Marlins, going 3-for-5 with a home run, three RBI and two times crossing the plate. Add up all his production, you get 26 points. That would equate to $157 per point, which is incredible value. Kendrick has been slumping a bit as of late so I am wary of jumping on him in today’s slate.

Kendrick’s Outlook

Kendrick has been solid at the plate this season with a slash line of .303/.346/.549. However, he has been held without a hit in four of his last six games. The Nationals wrap up their series against the Miami Marlins today, but I would be cautious about counting on Kendrick to put up similar stats.

Losers

Domingo German ($10,100)

Coming into the game, German looked like a prime candidate for the AL Cy Young Award. However, the Kansas City Royals had his number, as he went five innings and gave up seven runs on nine hits. He did strike out six batters and didn’t allow a walk. Even so, German gave up four home runs throughout his outing and with the lofty price tag, he did not provide anywhere near enough value.

German’s Outlook

As stated, German has been great so far in 2019. It seems the Royals have his number, since they seem to hit him better than every other team he faced. He still has a 1.04 WHIP and is throwing more than one strikeout an inning, so German should be fine. German is penciled in to pitch against the Boston Red Sox on Friday night at Yankee Stadium, so he should have a bounce-back outing.

Bryce Harper ($4,500)

Harper, like many of the Phillies, looked totally overmatched at the plate yesterday against Woodruff. Harper went 0-for-3 with all three at-bats ending in a strikeout. He has had a rough week at the plate and should be off people’s DFS radars until something changes in his approach.

Harper’s Outlook

Bryce Harper is still one of the best players in the league. However, he is in the midst of a putrid week where he is batting .179 with a .250 OBP. The superstar of an organization can ill afford to go into a bad stretch like this. Harper wasn’t going to snap his cold strreak against what Woodruff was throwing. Harper and the Phillies get a much-needed day off before starting their next series against the St. Louis Cardinals on Tuesday.

Injury Update

Kris Bryant exited yesterday’s game after colliding with center fielder Jason Heyward in the outfield. Bryant was struck on the side of the head and neck, but is traveling with the team to Houston.

Chris Paddack was scratched from his start on Sunday due to a stiff neck. The injury is not considered serious and he is scheduled to start on Wednesday against the New York Yankees.

Chris Davis was placed on the IL, retroactive to Saturday, with left hip inflammation.

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This is a rare small six-game slate and it’s clear that many teams have a travel day ahead of them. The best game to stack is actually the 6:45 ET matchup between the Yankees and Orioles but we’re going to forget about that one since it’s not a part of the major prize pools. What we do need to keep an eye on is the weather though, as we’ve had troubling forecasts throughout the opening month. The games we need to focus on here are MIL-PHI and BAL-NYY. Luckily, that Yankees game doesn’t matter to us and the Philly forecast is nothing to worry about. 

Catcher 

Omar Narvaez, SEA vs. OAK 

DK ($4,300)   FD ($2,900) 

Picking a catcher is like pulling teeth, but it’s hard to argue with Narvaez’s recent production. In fact, Narvaez has at least 12 DK points in three-straight games, with a dinger in back-to-back outings. That has raised his OPS north of .900 and his average above .300, which are some of the best marks in the league for any catcher. While Mike Fiers threw a no-hitter in his most recent start, this is a guy we want to exploit with his 5.48 ERA and 5.16 xFIP. Not to mention, the A’s gave Fiers an extra day off after throwing 131 pitches, which is also a recipe for disaster.  

Also Consider: Blake Swihart has a quality matchup against Nick Kingham and has shown serious potential against right-handers throughout his career.  

First Base 

C.J. Cron, MIN vs. LAA 

DK ($4,300)   FD ($3,500) 

Cron has quietly been one of the best power hitters in the game over the past three seasons, collecting 55 home runs over his last 275 games en route to a .250 ISO. That’s all you can ask for from someone in this price range, and Cron gets the benefit of facing a southpaw too. In that same three-year span, Cron has a .917 OPS against lefties and an absurd 1.376 OPS against southpaws so far this season.  

Also Consider: Jay Bruce is one of the AL leaders with 12 home runs and gets the platoon advantage against Fiers.  

Second Base 

Jonathan Schoop, MIN vs. LAA 

DK ($4,100)   FD ($3,000) 

Stacking Twins is going to be popular on this slate and rightfully so. Not only do they rank first in xwOBA, they also sit third in runs per game. That puts all of the Minnesota bats in play, especially the righties. After allowing eight runs in his most recent start, Skaggs now owns a 4.79 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and .344 wOBA. The southpaw typically struggles with righty bats, allowing a .333 career OBP and OPS approaching .800. Schoop is in good form right now too, collecting three doubles, two homers, six runs and seven RBI over his last 10 games. 

Also Consider: Jason Kipnis has been batting from the two-hole recently and he could be a contrarian play in an Indians stack.  

Third Base 

Jose Ramirez, CLE at CWS 

DK ($4,300)   FD ($3,500) 

Ramirez’s price remains criminally low and he’s hard to avoid until he gets closer to $5,000 on DK and $4,000 on FD. That’s pretty much where he sat last season and recent form would indicate that he’s recapturing that form. In fact, Ramirez is averaging 12 DK points per game across his last 23 outings, despite hitting below .250. That tells us that he’s providing elite counting statistics and that makes him particularly intriguing against Reynaldo Lopez, who owns a 6.38 ERA and 1.75 WHIP. Ramirez will bat from the left side, and he has a .933 OPS against righties since the beginning of 2017 and is way more likely to steal a bag against a right-hander. 

Also Consider: Jeimer Candelario has been too good to be priced at just $3,100 on DraftKings and should bat in the heart of the Tigers order. 

Shortstop 

Francisco Lindor, CLE at CWS 

DK ($4,700)   FD ($3,600) 

Stacking Ramirez and Lindor is one of my favorite strategies on this slate, as they should have success against Lopez. The White Sox right-hander has those ugly ERA and WHIP numbers to match his atrocious .392 wOBA. That should be huge for Lindor, who owns a career .198 ISO and .355 wOBA. That doesn’t even take into consideration his speed, with Lindor swiping at least 15 bags in three-straight seasons.  

Also Consider: Tim Beckham has been a pleasant surprise for the Mariners and will be a great value at $3,700, if you’re looking to stack Seattle. 

Outfield 

Bryce Harper, PHI vs. MIL 

DK ($4,400)   FD ($4,400) 

It’s tough to use Harper on FanDuel but the $4,400 price tag on DraftKings is hard to overlook. We’re talking about a guy with a career OBP approaching .400 and an ISO above .220. Those are simply dominant numbers and his .960 OPS and .405 OBP against righties since the beginning of 2017 shows just how amazing he is with the platoon advantage in his favor. Freddy Peralta is a guy we definitely want to exploit too, posting a 6.75 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in six starts this season. 

Khris Davis, OAK at SEA 

DK ($4,000)   FD ($3,800) 

Davis is in a terrible slump right now but any guy with this sort of power potential is worth a shot in this price range. The simple fact is, Davis has at least 42 homers in three-straight seasons and appears well on his way to another 40-homer year with 10 dingers in 36 games. That’s elite power and his .243 ISO this season is only slightly below his .270 career ISO. That makes this price tag hard to believe, especially considering the fact that Davis gets the platoon advantage against a lefty here. 

Jake Bauers, CLE at CWS 

DK ($3,800)   FD ($3,200) 

After a terrible start to the year, Bauers appears to be finding his rhythm. In fact, the left-hander has a .301 average over his last 23 games, providing 10 runs and 10 RBI in that span. This is a guy we want to use against right-handed pitching too, as his OPS is nearly 200 points higher than when he faces lefties. The Lopez statistics speak for themselves and Bauer makes for a beautiful three-man stack with Ramirez and Lindor. 

Also Consider: If you’re stacking Phillies, don’t forget about Andrew McCutchen at just $4,100.  

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Day 

Jose Berrios over 5.5 Strikeouts 

It’s strange that this number is so low, as Berrios hasn’t had fewer than four Ks in any game this season. That alone makes him an attractive option, as he’s also reached at least six innings pitched in all eight of his starts. Any pitcher with a 25 percent K rate is worth using, especially when they have a six-inning floor against an average offense. 

Jose Ramirez over 1.5 hits+walks 

The write-up from earlier tells you everything you need to know about this play, as it would be hard to imagine Ramirez not getting on base at least twice. In fact, Ramirez has accomplished that feat in five of his last seven games and is traditionally a better on-base guy from the left side.  

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A Through Z 2019 MLB Season Preview – Written by Adam Zibuda

The 2019 MLB season has technically already started, with two games between the Mariners and Athletics taking place in Japan, where the Mariners got their season started off to a nice undefeated 2-0. Opening day however, is now just under a week away and we will see the first pitch thrown on the mainland on Thursday March 28th. To say that the MLB DFS industry is buzzing would be an understatement as the sites are gearing up to one of the biggest MLB seasons ever due to the legalization of sports betting taking place across the states.

There has been no shortage of massive free agent contracts this MLB offseason, with Mike Trout taking the cake with his absurd $430M deal for 12 years with the Angels. Bryce Harper joined in on the fun as well, signing with the Phillies for a lengthy 13-year deal worth $330M. Marwin Gonzalez also signed with the Minnesota Twins for 2 years and $21M while Manny Machado joined the elite contract ranks with his 10 year $300M signing, albeit with the lowly Padres who do not project to be much better in 2019.

The Boston Red Sox are bringing back most of their roster from their 2018 championship run, and should be contenders when October rolls around. The Atlanta Braves are a young and talented team, but might not have enough of a well-rounded roster to really compete when it counts. A couple of other teams that I am excited to watch in 2019 are the Houston Astros, Los Angeles Dodgers, and the Milwaukee Brewers.

The Astros have the bats and the pitching to get it done, which is tough to do in MLB today as plenty of teams have secured the bats but really lack the arm talent to compete down the stretch. The Astros will almost definitely be playing in October this season. The Dodgers got shown up by Boston in the World Series last year, but they will come back hungry this season and look to return to baseball’s biggest stage. The Brewers do not get nearly the press and attention as the Sox, Astros, and Dodgers, but they are a sneaky team that has some serious potential this year. They have depth at nearly every position, along with the talent to potentially dominate their NL Central opponents.

With quite the eventful offseason, the 2019 MLB season is shaping up to live up to all of the hype, and the DFS industry will flourish right alongside.

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New Faces in New Places: Bryce Harper, PHI (OF): Harper was obviously the biggest move in the offseason, as he signed a 13-year $330-million deal with the Philadelphia Phillies. While many believe that Citizens Bank Park is more hitter-friendly than National’s Park, the numbers say otherwise. In fact, Nationals Park actually ranked third in total runs last season while Citizens Bank sat 13th in scoring. They were both fantastic parks for home runs though, with Washington sitting fifth in total homers while Philly sat in fourth. That means that this is a rather neutral move for Harper and that makes it tough to know what you’re going to get. The reason for that is Harper’s volatility. In fact, his career-best marks are a .330 average and 42 home runs while his career-lows are 13 homers and a .243 average. His numbers last year were actually somewhere right in the middle, as he collected 34 home runs to go along with a disappointing .249 average. All this makes Harper a risky bet in fantasy but he has the upside to be the best player in baseball if it’s all clicking.      Manny Machado, SD (SS/3B): Machado was the second-biggest move in the offseason, as he took his talents to the beautiful city of San Diego. While he definitely moved to a tougher park, it really shouldn’t alter his value much. In fact, if you track all of his homers, only a few of them wouldn’t have gotten out at Petco Park. This isn’t the pitcher’s haven it once was either, with Petco Park ranking 13th in runs, 16th in homers and ninth in total hits last season. This is a guy who has at least 24 home runs and 86 RBI in four-straight seasons and it seems likely that he’ll land somewhere around 30 homers and 100 RBI in what should be another great season. Jean Segura, PHI (SS): Segura has moved around a lot recently and it’s hard to understand why. The versatile shortstop has played in Milwaukee, Seattle and Arizona in the last four years and will now suit up for the Philadelphia Phillies. This might actually be the best lineup he’s hit in and one has to wonder where he’ll hit in the batting order. That could be a huge part of his value, as he could be one of the best shortstops in the league if he leads-off or bats second in this much-improved lineup. What really makes Segura valuable is his speed-average combo. Not only does he have at least 20 steals in six-straight seasons, but he’s also hit at least .294 in four of those years. The only times he didn’t approach a .300 average is when he was dealing with the death of his son. It’s not just the speed-average combo either, as Segura is averaging 14 home runs per year across his last three seasons. Those are numbers you don’t see from many shortstops and he could be a great buy in fantasy at an affordable price.  Robinson Cano, NYM (1B/2B): Cano is back in The Big Apple but he’s suiting up for the Mets this time. After a disappointing stretch in Seattle, New York decided to swallow up the majority of his monster contract and gamble on a late-career resurgence. His spring training numbers indicate he’s ready to do just that, with Cano collecting a .475 average and 1.212 OPS in 40 spring training at-bats. The demise of Cano is slightly overexaggerated too. Not only has Cano reached at least a .271 average in all 14 seasons he’s played, but he’s also posted an OPS of .778 or higher in all but one season. While his power numbers definitely dropped off with the Mariners, Cano is still a great bet to accrue a .280 average and 20-25 home runs. With all that said, Cano moves from a tough ballpark to an absolute desert. In fact, Citi Field was the lowest-scoring ballpark in the majors last season.  Daniel Murphy, COL (1B/2B): Murphy probably saw the biggest increase in value with this move to Colorado. The reason for that is his absurd hitting profile. In fact, Murphy owns a .320 career BABIP and a 6.3 percent K-rate. That simply means he has some of the best bat-on-ball skills of any player in the majors and that becomes particularly intriguing in this ballpark. Not only does Coors Field post a BABIP north of .300 nearly every single year, it has led the majors in total hits in 14-straight seasons. Hitting in this ballpark is a godsend for a player like Murphy, who has ranked top-10 in total hits in four of the last five seasons.  J.T. Realmuto, PHI (C): Is this yet another Phillie? Yeah, it is, because the Phillies went crazy in the offseason. This may have been their most underrated move though. Realmuto actually ranked as the top catcher in fantasy last season and he did that in one of the toughest ballparks in the majors. Not only did Marlins Park surrender the second-fewest runs last season, it allowed the fewest homers in the league too. It really shows in Realmuto’s splits, as he posted a .249 average and .682 OPS at home the last three years. On the road, Realmuto generated a .318 average and .887 OPS in the same span. Needless to say, Realmuto is ecstatic to be leaving that terrible ballpark and even worse lineup. Getting such a boost in ballpark and lineup makes Realmuto one of the players to watch this season and he could truly become a superstar if he continues those road numbers for a full season in one of the best lineups in baseball.  Nelson Cruz, MIN (DH): Cruz is simply one of the most underrated players in baseball. Where that’s truly evident is in his power numbers, as he ranks top-five in both home runs and RBI over the last decade. In fact, Cruz is averaging 33.8 home runs in that 10-year span while hitting at least 37 dingers in five-straight seasons. He actually did that damage in Seattle, which is a ballpark that ranked 27th in total runs last season. He now gets to hit in Target Field, which ranked 16th in total runs last year. They’re pretty much on par in terms of home runs but Cruz could be in for another 35-homer season as long as he stays healthy.

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