David Jones 
Welcome to my NFL Daily Fantasy Sports guide for this Sunday’s games! In this article, I’ll walk you through my strategic approach for selecting top players and crafting optimal lineups to give you a winning edge in NFL DFS for 2024. I’ve thoroughly analyzed each game and position to highlight the best plays and explain the reasoning behind my selections.
*I’ll be updating this article on Sunday morning if there are any changes. Be sure to check back for the most current and accurate DFS plays.
Quarterback Rankings
- Jalen Hurts: Highest floor ceiling combo in elite matchup
- Brock Purdy: Better if Deebo Samuel is in
- Justin Herbert: Too cheap, easy stack candidate
- Baker Mayfield: Never fails, always under-owned
- Caleb Williams: way too cheap, easy enough to stack but you don’t have to
- Cooper Rush > Mac Jones
Running Back
Best Spend Ups:
- Saquon Barkley
- Alvin Kamara
Jonathan Taylor
The Colts likely need to establish the run here, and they should have much trouble doing so. Indy is without their WR1 and Joe Flacco has come back down to earth. Furthermore, a good way to beat Josh Allen is to keep him off the field and shorten the game by running the ball. The Bills give up the second most fantasy points to running backs, just behind the Carolina Panthers, in the league. They have been decent enough at stopping rushing TDs (5 allowed) but have gotten chewed up through the air giving up the single most receptions to backs (61) and tied for a league-worst receiving TDs to backs (4).
Best Mid-Range
- James Cook
- Aaron Jones
- Rhamondre Stevenson (gaining interest here)
- Najee Harris
James Conner
The Jets are not good at stopping the run (24th in DVOA against the rush). James Conner has been stacking up yards recently while averaging over 20 touches per game (rushing and receiving). In two of his past three games, he has eclipsed 100 yards rushing and this was against the Chargers and the Bears, two very good defenses. He is also used in the passing game which makes him a better play on DraftKings than FanDuel.
Others to consider:
- Bijan Robinson
- Tyler Allgeier
- Jordan McLaughlin (large field GPP)
Wide Receiver
Atlanta Falcons news
We need to know if Drake London is in or out. If he is in, at $6,700, I am happy to play him and to find out just how healthy he is. The obvious dilemma is how much will they need him, and if he will just be playing a decoy role. That would open up opportunities in the run game and for the other pass catchers. With how bad the Saints are at stopping the run on the season, the Falcons could easily just lean into their two-headed run game monster. But, with the recent trade of Marshon Lattimore, it suddenly got easier to throw on the Saints as well. After Kyle Pitts, Darnell Mooney is the best option if London is out. Ray-Ray McCloud is certainly worth a shot in GPPs as well.
Amari Cooper News:
Currently, Amari Cooper is questionable with the same wrist injury that kept him out in Week 9. If he is ruled out Khalil Shakir, as well as Dalton Kincaid, immediately becomes a priority for a main lineup in both GPPs and Cash.
Justin Jefferson
Justin Jefferson, the receiver who wanted one penny more than Ja’Marr Chase on his contract extension (allegedly), gets an elite matchup against the Jaguars defense that all the 4th most fantasy points to receivers in the NFL. They are also dead last in DVOA against the pass. The matchup literally could not get better. He is the top spend-up at the position, on a week when there are plenty of question marks for higher-priced wide receivers.
Josh Downs and the Colts
With Michael Pittman out, your eye automatically looks for the next best option for the Colts receivers. That is going to be Josh Downs. You would probably assume as much with how Joe Flacco has elevated him, but then you also need to look at his primary matchup. He runs 85% of his routes out of the slot. The Bills slot corner, Taron Johnson, allows the most YPRC on the team. He allows over 3x the number of YPRC as Christian Benford, who plays on the outside. Downs will lead the active Bills receivers in YPRR by a mile, but he lacks in downfield plays. Both Alec Pierce and Adonai Mitchell are deep boom or bust plays that are cheap with potential in large-field GPPs.
San Francisco 49ers
Deebo Samuel is questionable. I tend to think he plays, in which case he is the best option, particularly in cash. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow an average of 38.4 fantasy points to receivers per game. In 9 weeks, they have given up 10 receiving TDs to receivers, 4 receiving TDs to tight ends, and 4 receiving TDs to running backs. Jauan Jennings and Ricky Pearsall are both also in play here. Jennings will get a significant amount of run in the slot while Pearsall will be used on the outside more. The TD week is coming for Pearsall and there aren’t many better defenses to do it against than the Buccaneers. If Samuel is out, jam in Jennings, Pearsall, or George Kittle.
Others to consider/mix in MME
- Davante Adams or Garrett Wilson (whichever fits honestly-essentially the same play)
- Ladd McConkey
- Quentin Johnston
- Jordan Addison
- Sterling Shepard (Better if Jalen McMillian is out)
- Trey Palmer (Better if Jalen McMillian is out)
- Parker Washington
- Kendrick Bourne
Tight End Rankings
- Cade Otton
- Dalton Kincaid (better if Cooper is out)
- George Kittle (better if Deebo is out)
- Kyle Pitts (better if London is out)
- Taysom Hill
- Jake Ferguson
A lot of these injuries we will be discussing on the livestream tomorrow.
Again, I will update this article if anything changes. Be sure to come back and check for the most up-to-date plays.
