Welcome to week 4 ladies and gentlemen! Hopefully we are all taking a look at this shortly after counting all of our winnings from the main slate. We have an interesting contest this evening with an injury riddled Niners team and Eagles who beyond Miles Sanders and two tight ends have no pass catchers. With a ton of injuries there should be points to be had for minimal cost and plenty of solid opportunities to take advantage of. Let’s not waste anymore time get into Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.4 Eagles at 49’ers.
Week 4 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns
DraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.
My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups for you to deploy, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will help make for profitable results.
If I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP, at least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.
Let’s get to the game!
Week 4 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points) Stoweby’s Showdown Eagles at 49’ers:
Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.
Chalk: Miles Sanders $13,800
Pivot: George Kittle $14,100
Contrarian #1: Carson Wentz $15,600/ Nick Mullens $14,700
Contrarian #2: Jerick Mckinnon $12,300
Contrarian #3: Jeff Wilson $10,500
***Bonus Play*** If you’re feeling frisky Deebo Samuel is stone min $300 and while not in full game shape may make enough plays to shatter the slate. Don’t forget about him.
One thing about you builds tonight that I’m seeing, salary shouldn’t be hard to navigate so you should be able to fit your favorites. Aside from what will be the big chalk in Miles Sanders at a surprisingly low price I largely like the Niners side for captain spot being 9 point favorites. I’ll be attacking the run game heavily on the Niners side. As far as the Eagles go I want no business with the offense beyond Miles Sanders, Zack Ertz, and Greg Ward. There is a clear case to be made for the Kickers as well as the San Francisco defense tonight as well due to the amount of injuries on the offensive side for the Eagles.
Stoweby’s Showdown for 10.4 Eagles at 49’ers Flex Plays: (All captains are viable flex’s)
Eagles: Greg Ward, Zack Ertz, Jake Elliot
49’ers: SF Defense, Kendrick Bourne, Robbie Gould, Ross Dwelley
Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.4 Eagles at 49’ers. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!