Stoweby's Showdown For 10.18 Rams at 49ers

Welcome to week 6 ladies and gentlemen! Hopefully we are all taking a look at this shortly after counting all of our winnings from the main slate. We should have ourselves a unique game with a higher total but both quarterbacks showing that they can lay an egg in the bright lights of primetime. We are going to likely have to run multiple game scripts to have a chance at a high cash today but we can make it happen. Here we go with Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.18 Rams at 49ers.

Week 6 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

DraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.

My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups for you to deploy, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will help make for profitable results.

If I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP, at least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 6 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points) Stoweby’s Showdown For 10.18 Rams at 49ers

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Chalk: Raheem Mostert $14,700

Pivot: Jared Goff $16,200

Contrarian #1: George Kittle $15,600

Contrarian #2: Cooper Kupp $13,500/Robert Woods $12,600

Contrarian #3: Cam Akers $3,000 (High Risk)

This one is interesting ladies and gentlemen. We have a 51 point total but both Jared Goff and Jimmy Garoppolo have shown that they can crap the bed when the lights are bright. So when building multiple lineups it would be a wise choice to put a few together assuming that one or both of them have a poor night by using kickers and defenses where it makes sense in your game script. My preferred approach will be to pick one one QB per lineup and using a pass catcher or two on the other side to get some exposure. My high risk captain is Cam Akers, they have been bringing him along slowly but he showed flashes last week on just nine carries. We know he should be the lead back, now we just need to hope the Rams have figured it out. Fingers crossed. Raheem Mostert also has the potential to completely shred this defense, Rams have given up over 100 yards in four of five games this year and if Jimmy G struggles again George Kittle and Mostert will likely be the only offensive 49ers worth rostering.