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Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown For 5.1

Bonus NBA anyone? Looks like I get the opportunity to run it back on a 10 game Saturday slate. Believe it or not, NBA DFS gets even crazier towards the end of the regular season. Rest assured we’ll find you the best options to keep you above the cash line. We have a number of 10K and above players so we’ll need to get creative on the low end so don’t forget to check out our NBA Projection Model and Cheat Sheet all the way till lock for the latest and most accurate information when it comes to value plays!

***Note***We typically don’t put value plays in the articles as things always change at the last minute so you’ll need to be on discord when news break so you can pivot.

Teams with potential injury news (multiple Q tags):

Detroit, Golden State, Atlanta, Orlando, Indiana, Dallas,

Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown For 5.1

Point Guard:

Luka Doncic, Mavericks, $10,900:

If this matchup doesn’t get you excited nothing will. We get one of the most NBA’s most prolific all around offensive weapon against a Wizards team who leads the NBA in pace and is mediocre at best defensively.

Steph Curry, Warriors, $10,600:

I know I’m being captain obvious here with my first two recommendations but can you blame me? No need for me to go deep into analytics with these first two. You know what they bring to the table and the matchups are two of the best on the evening.

Frank Campazzo, Nuggets, $4,800:

Ghost says it day in and day out. You play primary ball handlers against the Clippers, PERIOD. with Jamal Murray out for the season it’s Frank the tanks team to lead from point guard and DraftKings hasn’t adjusted his price enough to reflect his new role. In the last nine games, he has played no less than 26 minutes and he has plenty of weapons to facilitate with Jokic, Gordon, and Porter Jr on the court. I’m going on faith a little here with such a small sample but attacking the Clippers in this way rarely fails.

Also Consider:

Kevin Porter Jr: $7,400

Shooting Guard:

Jordan Clarkson, Jazz, $7,500:

No Donovan Mitchell or Mike Conley so the point guard duties fall firmly on the shoulders of Clarkson tonight. With a 227 total and Clarkson 30.5% usage sans those two on the court, he’s going to get every opportunity to put points on the board. I may opt to go with a cheaper option to save a little salary but Jordan is looking at potentially 40 minutes on the court so it’s hard to not look at him. If I decide to run a couple of balanced lineups tonight he’s 100% going to be in there for me.

Deangelo Russell, Timberwolves, $6,900:

Perimeter shooting against the Pelicans, that is all.

Also Consider:

Josh Jackson: $6,000

Svi Mykhailiuk: $3,400

Small Forward:

Anthony Edwards, Timberwolves, $7,400 :

I remember distinctly talking to our guy Michael Rasille on a Wednesday night podcast about two months ago when Minnesota was facing off against the Pelicans and we couldn’t figure out who in the hell was gonna take the perimeter shots where they are exploitable. My how times have changed. It’s almost a given he takes 20 shots tonight and most of them will be from the outside. If his shots are falling his bump in rebounds lately (nine boards in the three of his last four) gives him a ceiling north of 50 DK points tonight.

Oshae Brissett, Indiana Pacers, $5,700:

His price keeps climbing but it’s still not where it should be for the results. In his last five games he’s played no less than 31 minutes and has done no worse than 5x his salary. This play becomes largely worthless if the Pacers choose to bring back Domantas Sabonis tonight so be aware of the starting rotation before you lock him in. If it all works out I like the sneaky upside this game gives you on a large slate.

Also consider:

Kent Bazemore, Warriors, $4,600

Power Forward:

Darius Bazley, Thunder, $6,700:

Steady eddie lately. Bazely has been quietly giving you between 6x-7x return in six of the last eight contests and Detroit doesn’t scare me in the least. No matter what the scenario or score his minutes stay above 30 minutes and he’s taking around 15 shots a game with between 25 and 30% usage. He’s been a mainstay in my lineups when hunting for mid-range options.

Bojan Bogdanovic, Jazz, $6,600:

It may surprise some of you but it isn’t Jordan Clarkson who sees the biggest uptick in usage and fantasy points when Conley and Mitchell are off the court. It’s Bojan. His usage spikes by 5.2% to 27.2% and he comes in $600 cheaper than Joe Ingles and $900 less than Jordan which will be needed tonight if you’re trying to get multiple 10K studs like me tonight.

Also Consider:

Dorian Finney Smith (If Maxi or Kristaps sit): $5,000

Miles Bridges: $7,300

Center:

Christian Wood, Rockets, $8,700:

His pricing has been off all season. Night after night he gives you 50+ DK point upside and I don’t recall his price ever getting to 9K at any point. Since Harden and Boogie the Rockets have also climbed to one of the highest paced teams in the NBA sitting around 5th and we all know how fast the Warriors like to play. Throw in the 25% usage rate and the lack of interior size for Golden State the ole ding-ding kicker himself Draymond Green dealing with an injury he should be able to have a field day today.

Nikola Jokic, Nuggets, $10,900:

I’m throwing Jokic in here for obvious reasons. With no Murray or Barton, Nikola gets to soak up even more than his typical 29% usage rate and I’ll be completely honest, I’ve never been a Boogie Cousins fan and now that he’s older and slower I don’t think can do anything to stop Joker from running circles around him.

Also Consider:

I’m waiting for injury news here. I’m not really enamoured with most of the options at this point.

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports Draftkings Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown For 5.1. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord Chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

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