Uriah Wesson 
Ladies and gentlemen, I am thrilled to say I’m back in the saddle for NBA action going forward every Friday and I’m ready to help you all put some cash in your wallet down the home stretch of the NBA season. This is a point guard rich environment tonight and there are several key players expected to miss the games this evening so don’t forget to check out our NBA Projection Model and Cheat Sheet all the way till lock for the latest and most accurate information when it comes to value plays! Enough yammering, you came for plays. Let’s get into Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown for 4.23.
Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown For 4.23
Point Guard:
Russell Westbrook, Wizards, $11,000:
If you can get there Westy has been on a tear lately giving you nine triple-doubles in the last ten games with no less than 55.75 DK points during that stretch with a usage rate of around 33% during that stretch. His shooting percentage is still terrible but that really hasn’t done anything to slow him down and against a Thunder team who is top seven in pace and bottom seven in defensive efficiency I see no reason that he will take a step back tonight.
Ja Morant, Grizzlies, $7,200:
My first instinct was to see if Jonas Valanciunas was going to be a go for this one but sadly he is still dealing with lingering concussion issues but Ja’s usage jumps 2.6% without JoVal on the floor to just over 30%. Portland is garbage defensively, there is no other word for it. Aside from the Kings, there is no one worse. If I can fit it tonight a looking at leaning heavily on this contest for a little late-night hammer action.
John Wall, Rockets, $7,500:
If you don’t know what I am about to say you are either new, in which case welcome, or you have not been listening to us at all during the season in which case I say you aren’t doing DFS correctly. You play primary ball handlers against the Clippers, period. Only concern is a blowout but the Rockets are down to potentially Wall and Armoni Brooks so I think the minutes are safe.
Also Consider:
Goran Dragic or Kendrick Nunn (If Tyler Herro is out): $5,000 and $5,100 respectively.
Steph Curry: $10,300
Kyrie Irving: $10,100
Damian Lillard: $9,500
Theo Maledon: $5,200
Kemba Walker: $7,500
Shooting Guard:
Lou Williams, Hawks, $4,300:
I’m kind of guess here so I’ll need a little bit of confirmation later in the day but with Trae Young expected to miss the several games with an ankle sprain I’m expecting the Hawks to lean on Sweet Lou’s scoring ability. I don’t really have a great sample size to give you here but it should stay close enough that he will get plenty of minutes to pay off the cheap price. Keep an eye on news with this one.
Bradley Beal, Wizards, $9,600:
Overshadowed by Westy’s triple-double run he is on is the NBA’s number two scorer on the season Bradley Beal with a sub 10K price tag. While everyone is tailing Russ’s performance I may ultimately opt to find some savings in terms of price and ownership and stick with guy who is benefiting from the 14-15 assists Westy is dishing out a game right now. Oh, almost forgot, he’s small forward eligible on DK (I don’t know why). SF is really thin tonight so consider taking advantage here.
Also Consider:
CJ McCollum: $8,600
Marcus Smart: $6,900
Paul George: $9,600
Svi Mykhailiuk: $3,800
Small Forward:
Jimmy Butler, Heat, $9,700:
I really don’t like the point total of 215 with this game but the Hawks can’t guard anybody and Dipo is out yet again with that lingering knee issue and Tyler Herro looks to be a true game time decision so Jimmy will need to handle his business from both sides of the court tonight. I may back off of this in lieu of cheaper options as value opens up but to this point Butler is in a good position tonight
Kenrich Williams, Thunder, $4,900
If you’re trusting the 230 game total you have to find someone on the Thunder side to run back. With no SGA or possibly Luguentz Dort out and how thin small forward is tonight, he should be on the radar. I’m likely gonna find myself more on Beal at SF and running Svi at SG but Williams is sporting a decent usage of around 18% over the last handful of games and he took advantage of the higher pace against the Wizards a few days ago and scored 28.25 DK points so there are worse options out there.
Also consider:
Jae’Sean Tate: $6,200
Kevin Huerter: $5,800
Keep an eye on value opening up here tonight, I’m not “in love” with anyone to this point tonight here.
Power Forward:
Jason Tatum, Celtics, $10,000
A 232 game total and a depleted Brooklyn defense that was never good even when healthy and the potential of Jaylen Brown missing tonight and point Tatum feels like a smash spot in the making. I love that DraftKings does weird things like putting Tatum as a power forward. It makes no sense but I’ll be happy to take another primary ball-handler at PF. When Brown sits Tatum sees a massive 4.7% increase in usage to over 35%! He has the potential to be the top scorer on the evening so don’t forget about him tonight.
Jason Tatum again: Ok fine I’ll add another one.
Darius Bazley, Thunder, $6,200:
As I already mentioned I’m liking a lot of pieces in this contest. With no SGA and a 230 total, there is a ton of usage to go around for the rest of these mid-low prices Thunder players and Bazley sees a usage increase of 4.5% when SGA and Dort are off of the floor and he has given you right at 40 DK points in each of the last two with Dort off of the floor.
Also Consider:
John Collins (If Capella sits): $6,800
Jeff Green (If Durant sits): $4,800
Center:
Christian Wood, Rockets, $8,200:
Love this guy’s talent and now that he is playing his full allotment of minutes on an almost nightly bases he is hard to ignore at 8.2K. We will need to keep an eye on injury news for Houston to verify but I don’t think they’ll be able to sit him much no matter the score with as many as 7 guys on the Rocket’s roster missing tonight. I’m in no way worried about Ivica Zubac’s defense from the Clippers and I would be surprised if Boogie pulls a Boogie and get’s himself ejected against his old team without making an impact. All signs point to another 50+ DK point performance for Wood tonight.
Daniel Gafford, Wizards, $3,800:
Still way too cheap for the production he’s been giving you even when he is only getting 16 minutes. If he gets anywhere near the mid-20’s you’re talking 30 DK ponts at minimum. With a usage rate averaging near 23% over the last seven games and the already discussed pace and Thunder defense if we can get any idea on minutes his value is fantastic.
Also Consider:
Nikola Jokic: $10,900
Jusuf Nurkic: $5,200
Bam Adebayo: $8,200
Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports Draftkings Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown For 4.23. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord Chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!
