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Welcome to my soccer DFS breakdown for the English Premier League!
We have a large mid-week slate on tap for Wednesday with six games on the slate! There are a few games that appear to be very lopsided with Chelsea, Manchester City, and Liverpool having easy matchups. My favorite game might be Brighton at West Ham. When these teams get together they usually put up goals. In their last three matchups they put up 12 goals combined, but they all ended in draws. In fact, neither team has kept a clean sheet since 2018 against each other. This game could be the key to a takedown if everyone focuses on fitting in the big players from the three giants on the slate.
Another matchup that may not seem like a one-sided game, but could be is Burnley and Wolves. Burnley swept both games last season by a total of 6-1 and has not lost to Wolves since 2018. In recent form, Burnley has played a bunch of high-scoring games. In their last four games, they are unbeaten (1 win, 3 draws) and have scored nine goals. Meanwhile, Wolves have only scored three goals in their last four games but they have won two of those four games. The last game on this slate is Leicester at Southampton. Leicester has been in great form recently with two wins and seven goals scored, prior to that they only managed two goals in their previous four games. Southampton is on the opposite end from the Foxes with only one goal scored and six allowed in back-to-back losses.
Soccer DFS: Fwds/Mid
High Priced Plays:
Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)
Yes, he is expensive but it is hard for me to go to anyone else in this spot. Salah is the best player in the EPL right now and has scored or assisted on a goal in 10 straight EPL matches for Liverpool. Even if you don’t want to stack Liverpool it could be hard to get a takedown without Salah on Wednesday.
Other Options: Diogo Jota (Liverpool), Jamie Vardy (Leicester), Sadio Mane (Liverpool), Ilkay Gundogan (MCI)
To be perfectly honest, while I mentioned two other options, outside of Salah there isn’t really anyone in this price range I am interested in.
Mid-Tier Plays:
James Ward-Prowse (Southampton)
Ward-Prowse is the do-everything man for Southampton but for me he is underpriced ($7K on DK) on Wednesday. Only Matt Ritchie of Newcastle has thrown in more crosses this season than Ward-Prowse. In his last four matches, the Southampton midfielder is averaging near 11 crosses per game. Ward-Prowse seems like a solid and safe play with a safe floor that won’t break the bank for you. If you are looking for a small stack from Southampton, I also like Adam Armstrong to score on Wednesday.
Other Options: Pascal Gross (BHA), Jarrod Bowen/Michail Antonio stack (WHU), Dwight McNeil (Burnley), Bernardo Silva (MCI),
Value Tier Plays:
Maxwel Cornet (Burnley)
Cornet is on the higher end of value for me ($6.8K) but still value nonetheless. Burnley has been putting goals in on a regular basis of late and Cornet has been the catalyst for this on most nights. Like I mentioned in the open, Burnley has nine goals in their last four games and Cornet has four of those nine goals. If you are like me and think Burnley is able to score a few goals in this game then a stack of Cornet/McNeil and one of Charlie Taylor or Matthew Lowton make for a solid inexpensive three-man.
Other Options: Jorginho (Che- make sure he is in, carrying a Q tag), Pablo Fornals (WHU), Neal Maupay (BHA)
Soccer DFS: Defensemen
High Priced Plays:
- Trent Alexander-Arnold (Liv)
- Joao Cancelo (MCI)
- Marcos Alonso (Che)
Mid Tier Plays:
- Valentino Livramento (Sou)
- Andrew Robertson (Liv)
- Lucas Digne (Eve)
- Marc Cucurella
Value Tier Plays:
- Antonio Rudiger (Che)
- Matthew Cash (AVL)
- Joel Matip (Liv)
- Luke Thomas (Lei)
Soccer DFS: Goalkeepers
If you are playing cash games then it’s straightforward for me, whoever the keepers are for Chelsea, Liverpool, or Man City are your options. There is enough value on this slate that you can fit whoever you want in between the woodwork. I would rank them as I wrote them above, Chelsea has, on paper, the easiest matchup.
Nick Pope (Burnley)
Pope’s 2021 numbers don’t pop off as spectacular, but this is a winnable game against a club that doesn’t pose much of a goal-scoring threat. Burnley also allows their opponents plenty of shot attempts so there is potential for a huge day from Pope on Wednesday. Pope is averaging 3.6 saves in his last five starts.
Other Options: Kasper Schmeichel (Lei), Jose Sa (Wolves)
Thank you for reading my breakdown for the UEFA Champions League! Make sure to be in discord after lineups release (approximately 1 hour before kickoff) to see if any changes are needed to your lineups! Make sure to follow both, @mvecchio81, and @windailysports on Twitter!
