Saturday 10/3 EPL DFS and Best Bets

This article focuses on 10/3 EPL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large.

Saturday 10/3 EPL Slate and DFS Gameplan

This slate varies between the two sites once again. Both sites slates start at 9 a.m. ET but DraftKings is only offering the first two games, whereas FanDuel’s slate is featuring all three. This is becoming customary at this point.

The middle game between Manchester City and Leeds United “more on this below under best bets” will be the most popular. It has the highest total, includes all of the chalky, expensive Manchester City players, as well as a bunch of value from Leeds United. Both sites showed Manchester City’s defense a ton of unmerited respect by pricing Leeds United down so much.

Gabriel Jesus remains out for Manchester City, as well as Sergio Aguero. Riyad Mahrez should lead the line once again, with Raheem Sterling, Kevin De Bruyne, and Phil Foden supporting him in the attack. In terms of ownership, KDB, followed by Mahrez, followed by Sterling, should be the most popular players on the slate.

Beyond Manchester City and Leeds United

The first game presents some potential pivots from Everton. I expect Lucas Digne to be rightfully highly owned at a weak defender position on DraftKings. James Rodriguez has made Everton into a much better team. It looks like Richarlison will be out for this game, after twisting his ankle mid-week. As a result, Rodriguez and the absolutely red hot Dominic Calvert-Lewin will be the main plays in the attack. They represent contrarian pivots from the Manchester City forwards.

On the other side of this game, Neal Maupay and Leandro Trossard have been quietly very good so far this season. However, keep in mind they will be on the road at Everton and this is not a spot with a ton of upside. Therefore, I would limit them to low money entries in larger field tournaments, just for ownership edge on a small slate.

The final game is FanDuel only and it should be low scoring. More than anything we will want to roster goalies. If mass multi entering, you will probably want to hedge both sides, hoping that one of the two goaltenders grabs a clean sheet win and caps off your tournament victory. You can also use the defensemen as you wish. At only $7, in a game with fairly even odds, I expect last year’s highest scoring goaltender Nick Pope to be extremely popular.

EPL Best Bets

Manchester City (-295) at Leeds United (+750) – 12:30 PM ET – Saturday 10/3

Picks – *OVER 3.5 Goals -106 – FanDuel Sportsbook, OVER 2.5 Goals – -286 – DraftKings Sportsbook*

DraftKings | FanDuel

The Betting Game Plan

Leeds United has been extremely defensively challenged to start off the season. Two of their three games have been a 4-3 away loss at Liverpool and a 4-3 win away at Fulham. Their coach has been adamant that they would not try to adapt their open play style any time soon. That could prove to be a disaster against a team that can pour it on like Manchester City.

On the flip side, Manchester City has had plenty of defensive woes of their own. They are coming off a humiliating 5-2 home loss at the hands of Leicester City. They gave up a hat trick to Jamie Vardy and generally looked lost and confused all game.

Nathan Ake was brought in from recently relegated Bournemouth to make an impact at center back. However, he has not been able to make a huge difference aside from his goal off a corner kick last week. Manchester City has been missing his counter part Aymeric Laporte, who should finally start alongside Ake for this game. Nevertheless, I think Leeds United will be able to score at least a goal or two here, as Manchester City tries to work out their defensive kinks and figure things out.

10/3 EPL FanDuel Rankings

Forward/Midfield

• 1. Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $23
• 2. Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $22
• 3. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $20
• 4. Kalvin Phillips – Leeds United – $12
• 5. Dominic Calvert-Lewin – Everton – $20
• 6. James Rodriguez – Everton – $17
• 7. Phil Foden – Manchester City – $16
• 8. Neal Maupay – Brighton – $16
• 9. Helder Costa – Leeds United – $9
• 10. Leandro Trossard – Brighton – $15
• 11. Patrick Bamford – Leeds United – $17
• 12. Callum Wilson – Newcastle – $18
• 13. Chris Wood – Burnley – $16
• 14. Rodrigo Moreno – Leeds United – $13
• 15. Mattias Klich – Leeds United – $15
• 16. Alex Iwobi – Everton – $10

Defense

• 1. Liam Cooper – Leeds United – $7
• 2. Chris Taylor – Burnley – $8
• 3. Kevin Long – Burnley – $10
• 4. Lucas Digne – Everton – $15
• 5. Seamus Coleman – Everton – $10

Goalies

1. Nick Pope – Burnley – $7
2. Karl Darlow – Newcastle – $11
3. Ederson – Manchester City – $13

10/3 EPL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

1. Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $9,800
2. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City- $9,200
3. James Rodriguez – Everton – $8,300
4. Dominic Calvert-Lewin – Everton – $8,100
5. Patrick Bamford – Leeds United – $6,000
6. Helder Costa – Leeds United – $5,400
7. Leandro Trossard – Brighton – $6,900
8. Rodrigo Moreno – Leeds United – $4,800
9. Neal Maupay – Brighton – $7,700

Midfield

• 1. Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $11,100
• 2. Kalvin Phillips – Leeds United – $5,500
• 3. Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $9,800
• 4. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $9,200
• 5. James Rodriguez – Everton – $8,300
• 6. Phil Foden – Manchester City – $7,500
• 7. Leandro Trossard – Brighton – $6,900
• 8. Mateusz Klitch – Leeds United – $5,000
• 9. Helder Costa – Leeds United – $5,400
• 10, Alex Iwobi – Everton – $3,800

Defense

• 1. Lucas Digne – Everton – $6,600
• 2. Seamus Coleman – Everton – $4,600
• 3. Benjamin Mendy – Manchester City – $4,400
• 4. Stuart Dallas – Leeds United – $4,100
• 5. Luke Ayling – Leeds United – $4,000

Goalies

1. Ederson Ederson – Manchester City – $5,900
2. Jordan Pickford – Everton – $5,500
3. Illan Meslier – Leeds United – $3,700 “Large field tournament only, and if fading all Man City attackers aside from possibly Kevin De Bruyne”

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