Saturday 1/16 EPL DFS

This article focuses on 1/16 EPL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large.

Saturday 1/16 EPL Slate and DFS Gameplan

Let’s get ready for EPL Matchweek 19/38! Both sites will be featuring the entire four game slate, beginning with a pair of games at 10am ET.

Brighton (+245) at Leeds United (+106) – The Seagulls have been experimenting with their lineups as of late. However, I expect them to go back to a more standard setup against Leeds United. It has been an impressive first half of the season for Leeds, easily the best of the three promoted teams. Their work ethic and commitment to scoring should serve them well here. Raphinha seems very affordable on both sites and Patrick Bamford has the second highest goal scoring odds on the slate.

Burnley (+390) at West Ham (-129) – The one thing Burnley does well is sit back and play defense. I expect this to be a very tactical, low scoring match with nod to West Ham.

Chelsea (-200) at Fulham (+600) – Chelsea is a huge road favorite here but Fulham has been in extremely strong form. Logic tells you that Chelsea should be able to take care of business but they have been underwhelming as of late.

Southampton (+390) at Leicester City (-134) – Leicester is probably my favorite team on the slate as they are very ease to parse out. You have James Maddison taking all the set pieces and Jamie Vardy, the most likely to score. Vardy has the highest goal scoring odds on the slate.

Notable Goal Scoring Odds

Note: Many of these players will not end up starting, but their goal odds are listed just in case. If they do not end up starting, disregard them. All odds listed +300 or below and projected starters are listed in bold.

Brighton at Leeds United – Patrick Bamford (+110), Neal Maupay (+165), Rodrigo (+240), Pablo Hernandez (+275), Andi Zeqiri (+275), Tyler Roberts (+275), Raphinha (+295), Jack Harrison (+370)

Burnley at West Ham –  Michail Antonio (+135), Jarrod Bowen (+225), Chris Wood (+225), Mohamed Said Benrahma (+240), Tomas Soucek (+240), Andriy Yarmolenko (+240), Ashley Barnes (+300)

Chelsea at Fulham – Olivier Giroud (+107), Tammy Abraham (+118), Timo Werner (+125), Christian Pulisic (+175), Aleksandar Mitrović (+245), Hakim Ziyech (+265), Kai Havertz (+265), Mason Mount (+380)

Southampton at Leicester City – Jamie Vardy (-120), Kelechi Iheanacho (+133), Harvey Barnes (+240), Ayoze Perez (+275), James Maddison (+295), Che Adams (+360)

EPL Best Odds

* Leeds United and Leicester City Parlay (+261) – 0.75 Units – “DraftKings Sportsbook”

DraftKings | FanDuel

The Betting Game Plan

This is a nasty little EPL slate so let’s go a bit lighter than usual unit wise but take a bigger swing. Chelsea is not giving us much juice at -200 and while they have been struggling lately, Fulham has been playing well. Therefore, let’s pair Leeds United facing a woeful Brighton side and Leicester City hosting Danny Ings less Southampton.

1/16 EPL FanDuel Rankings “Set pieces less important on FanDuel”

Forward/Midfield

• 1. James Maddison – Leicester City – $18 “Set pieces”
• 2. Jamie Vardy – Leicester City – $22
• 3. Raphinha – Leeds United – $14 “Set pieces”
• 4. Patrick Bamford – Leeds United – $21
• 5. Timo Werner/Tammy Abraham/Olivier Giroud – Chelsea – $20/$19
• 6. Mason Mount – Chelsea – $16 “Some set pieces”
• 7. Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $13
• 8. Hakim Ziyech – Chelsea – $14 “Some set pieces”
• 9. Michail Antonio – West Ham – $20
• 10. James Ward-Prowse – Southampton – $17 “Set pieces”
• 11. Harvey Barnes – Leicester City – $15
• 12. Leandro Trossard – Brighton – $14 “Some set pieces”
• 13. Neal Maupay – Brighton – $16
• 14. Rodrigo – Leeds United – $17
• 15. Che Adams – Southampton – $13

Defense

• 1. Reece James – Chelsea – $10 “Not currently projected to start”
• 2. Craig Dawson – West Ham – $9
• 3. Ben Chilwell – Chelsea – $11
• 4. Ola Aina – Fulham – $9
• 5. Erik Pieters – Burnley – $6

Goalies

1. Nick Pope – Burnley – $8
2. Kasper Schmeichel – Leicester City – $12
3. Edouard Mendy – Chelsea – $14

1/16 EPL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

1. Raphinha – Leeds United – $7,600 “Set pieces”
2. Jamie Vardy – Leicester City – $8,600
3. Patrick Bamford – Leeds United – $7,800
4. Timo Werner/Tammy Abraham/Olivier Giroud – Chelsea – $7,400/$8,400/$8,300
5. Leandro Trossard – Brighton – $6,400 “Share of set pieces”
6. Neal Maupay – Brighton – $5,700
7. Michail Antonio – West Ham – $8,500
8. Chris Wood – Burnley – $4,500
9. Jarrod Bowen – West Ham – $8,200 “Set pieces”
10. Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $8,000

Midfield

1. James Maddison – Leicester City – $9,100 – CORE PLAY “Set pieces”
2. Raphinha – Leeds United – $7,600 “Set pieces”
3. Mason Mount – Chelsea – $7,900 “Some set pieces”
4. Timo Werner – Chelsea – $7,400
5. James Ward-Prowse – Southampton – $7,100 “Set pieces”
6. Leandro Trossard – Brighton – $6,400 “Share of set pieces”
7. Michail Antonio – West Ham – $8,500
8. Jarrod Bowen – West Ham – $8,200 “Set pieces”
9. Harvey Barnes – Leicester City – $7,300
10. Hakim Ziyech – Chelsea – $6,700 “Some set pieces”
11. Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $8,000
12. Jack Harrison – Leeds United – $7,500

Defense

1. Reece James – Chelsea – $5,200 “Not currently projected to start”
2. Ben Chilwell – Chelsea – $5,800
3. James Justin – Leicester City – $5,700
4. Aaron Cresswell – West Ham – $6,700
5. Matthew Lowton – Burnley – $3,500

Goalies

1. Nick Pope – Burnley – $4,100
2. Kasper Schmeichel – Leicester City – $5,500
3. Edouard Mendy – Chelsea – $5,700

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