The new PGA Tour year is well underway and this week we make a stop in Mississippi for the Sanderson Farms Invitational. Feels like I’ve been saying a lot these days, but this week we will have yet another birdie-fest. Usually that means almost the entire field is in play, but there will definitely be an added emphasis to golfers who are long off the tee. We’re always looking for good APP and the shorter irons will definitely be emphasized here. For more on the course and each golfer, tune into our Tuesday night PGA Livestream at 8:00. Now let’s get to the Initial Picks.
Sam Burns (11000) – Burns being the highest priced golfer tells you what you need to know about this field, but he has been very good lately and has shown the ability to pop at any moment. His history here is pretty weak other than a 3rd place finish in 2019. I also like Sungjae in this range.
Mito Pereira (9900) – Likely to be very popular so be ready to pivot in GPP’s if the ownership percentage gets too high, but this guy has plenty of upside and flashed more than a few times last season and this season at the Fortinet (3rd place). He’s well above average in almost every metric that matters to me this week.
Keegan Bradley (9700) – I don’t love the price but Keegan is an elite ball striker and his PUTT troubles could be minimized at a course that has a history of rewarding bad putters. He was 4th here in 2020.
Cam Davis (9100) – A great course fit who has shown upside both in his recent play and at The Sanderson Farms. I really like his trajectory at The Sanderson Farms as in his only three years here he has gone MC, 28th and 6th.
Charley Hoffman (9000) – Certainly not a sexy pick but if there were ever a field for Charley to contend in, it would be here at The Sanderson Farms Championship. He is good OTT and great on APP and rates out well with the PUTT and with BOB gained. Finishes of 6th and 23rd over the last two years.
Seamus Power (8800) – I think the pricetag may keep people off of Power and I think that makes him a pretty solid GPP play. He has a lot of experience here for a younger golfer and has had solid finishes. Recent form isn’t great but plenty of upside in the BOB Gained department. I will also consider Aaron Wise and Carlos Ortiz in this range as GPP plays only.
Patrick Rodgers (7600) – A risky play for sure as the metrics don’t jump off the page and his course history isn’t great either. I do think he’s a good course fit however and I’m willing to take a chance on a guy who has shown some upside over the last few tournaments.
Luke List (7500) – If you think PUTT is neutralized this week then I have the golfer for you: meet Luke. List is great OTT and on APP and can hit it a long way, but he is borderline hilarious with the PUTT. His missed his last two cuts here as well so tread carefully. A GPP play only.
Henrik Norlander (7200) – He’s been very good as of late and his main trouble spot is the short game, which shouldn’t come into play too much at The Sanderson Farms. Finished 4th in 2021.
Matt Wallace (7100) – His play as of late hasn’t been good on either the PGA or European Tour, but his upside is clearly better than most in this price range. Hopefully the long break has Matt tweaking his game a bit and I’m willing to take the chance in GPPs.
Rory Sabbatini (6900) – All you really need to do with Rory is look at his course history and recent history and you’ll see he’s a solid play in the 6k range. Rory was 10th at The Wyndham, 2nd at The Olympics and finished 12th and 20th at his last two efforts at The Sanderson Farms.
Brandon Hagy (6300) – A dart throw who has shown flashes, albeit sparingly. His strength is OTT. He’s MC’d here his last three efforts but finished 18th and 14th the two years prior to that.
Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – Current record is 43-12.
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