Safeway Open: Initial Picks
The new season is upon us (believe it or not) and we start things off in Napa at the Safeway Open. We finally have a normal cut event and a field that isn’t loaded at the top. The Win Daily team will be bringing you plenty of picks via articles and Discord over the next 48 hours, and as usual, we will be bringing you the Livestream and podcast Tuesday night at 8:30 (tonight!). Let’s get to the Safeway Open: Initial Picks.
Emiliano Grillo (9700) – The putter can be a big problem for Grillo and these aren’t the easiest greens to putt on but I do like Grillo’s track record on this course and I love his ball striking. I’m not overweight on Grillo but he’ll be in some lineups. Grillo finished 1st here in 2016.
Cameron Davis (8900) – If his last handful of tournaments are any indication, we may have a rising star on our hands with Cam Davis. He has been great OTT, APP and PUTT with ARG being the only metric that requires some improvement. Riding a hot hand isn’t a bad place to be.
Sam Burns (8700) – Looking at his metrics on the year the only thing that jumps out is his OTT numbers but lately he’s been great on APP as well. Burns has had some missed cuts lately but the metrics tell a different story and I expect him to do well at Safeway.
Henrik Norlander (8500) – The shine is off Norlander as he’s coming off a missed cut at the Northern Trust and a paltry 59th at the Wyndham, but I like grabbing guys when their stock is relatively low. Another guy that picks up a ton of strokes ball striking but is losing strokes with the short game. Not a cash game play but I’ll fire in GPP’s.
Tyler Duncan (8400) – This guy remains under the radar unless you are a Win Daily subscriber. Our team, particularly @sicilykid has been all over this guy in DFS and it has paid off. He has been making cuts and finishing strong and his price is finally reflecting it. Price may be too rich for some, but I’ll have shares. Over his last 13 tournaments he’s lost strokes Ball Striking in only one of them.
Luke List (7400) – Your classic low floor but high upside play. List’s ball striking has been excellent (other than at The Northern Trust) but the putter has been failing him. He’s made 3 out of 4 cuts here (including a 4th place finish in 2019) but last year he had a missed cut. An upside play I’m willing to take in GPP’s.
Adam Schenk (6900) – You’ll notice some of my previous secret weapon plays have made my write-up and here is one of them. Schenk is typically good OTT and on APP but can get shaky ARG and PUTT. Even in the cases where he’s faulty with the short game he usually manages to make the cut with impressive ball striking. Good value here at this price.
Secret Weapon (sub 7k/less than 5% ownership) – See you in Discord
Don’t forget the Livestream tonight at 8:30 with Michael Rasile, Joel Schrek and Sia Nejad.