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The PGA Tour heads to Sea Island Resort in St. Simons Island, Georgia for the final PGA event of the season. I purposely worded that in italics because there WILL be one more event the week after Thanksgiving. Robert Streb returns to defend his crown after sticking a wedge shot inches from the pin last year to hold off a hard charging Kevin Kisner in a playoff hole. That was actually Streb’s 2nd win here as he’ll go for the Sea Island hat trick this week in yet another loaded field. A little known insider fact is that there are actually a large group of PGA professionals that call Sea Island home: Harris English, Patton Kizzire, J.T. Poston, Keith Mitchell, Hudson Swafford, and Greyson Sigg will all be teeing it up this week on their home course. There are also a ton of professionals that live in the nearby area as well. What a lot of the industry won’t tell you is that none of the tour pro’s who call this home have ever won The RSM Classic.
This event is actually played on two different courses. On Thursday and Friday half of the field will play the Plantation Course and the other half will play the Seaside Course. Then they will switch. After the cut, on the weekend, ALL of the players will play the Seaside course. I mention this because although the Plantation course does not have shot-link data, it’s known to be the easier of the 2 courses. This sets up for an advantage in Showdown lineups, making sure you’re getting the players on the Plantation course in the first 2 days. That said, I’m going to focus on the Seaside course as this is where 3 days will be played. Tom Fazio re-designed the par 70, 7005 yard oceanside course in 1999. Distance off the tee has basically been neutralized here, so we’ll be targeting fairway finders for sure. The course will also go back to our typical fall swing birdie fest with Bermuda grass greens.
Key Metrics (in order)
SG:APP
Fairways Gained (driving accuracy)
Greens in Regulation (GIR)
Birdie or Better %
Par 4 (400-450)
SG:P (putting on Bermuda)
3 Putt Avoidance
Easy Courses, Windy Conditions
Initial Picks
Webb Simpson ($10700) – Looks to be finding his game again after a T14 his last time out at The C.J. Cup. He also has 4 top 10’s at The RSM including 2 playoff losses.
Louis Oosthuizen ($10400) – One of the most accurate ball strikers on the planet. His form leaves a bit to be desired at this price, but Oosti is still looking for that all important first PGA win (on American soil), and it won’t kill you if he finishes in his typical 2nd place.
Cam Smith ($10300) – This guy just continues to show up on the leaderboard EVERYWHERE. It’s a hefty price but you’re not going to find a more consistent golfer in this top tier.
Corey Conners ($9900) – We haven’t seen him in a while but he’s as accurate as they come on short courses. He’s 1st in my model and if he brings his putter he may win the RSM.
Russell Henley ($9600) – Another accurate short course specialist. Henley has been knocking on the door every event since last year’s U.S. Open. He’s a couple of Bermuda putts away from another victory.
Alex Noren ($9500) – It’s stupid but Noren has the thing where he does well every other tournament. Coming off a T45 at Mayakoba it may be time to go back to this golfer who can get hot with the putter. Not sure I can pay this price but I’m gonna consider him when we get some ownership numbers.
Kevin Kisner ($9200) – This Georgia native loves playing this course in his backyard. He’s a great course fit here but comes in with some of the worst form in this field. HIGH Risk/Reward option.
Seamus Power ($8200) – Remember last week wasn’t a birdie fest and Power let a lot of people down getting cut after shooting a first round 75. Nothing’s broken here, he bounced right back with a 2nd round 70. Let’s hope the ownership stays low. I’m going right back to Seamus at this price.
That’s my cream of the crop. There are a couple other guys I’m not playing but you may consider at the RSM:
Scottie Scheffler, Harris English, Taylor Gooch, Adam Scott, Joel Dahmen, and Brendon Todd.
Let’s take a look at some more RSM value.
Chris Kirk (8000): He’s playing well and going home. A little to pricey for me, but I know Sia is on him this week.
Charles Howell III (7800) – Also going home in good form. Lacks the DK scoring I like at birdie fests
Jason Day (7600) – If there’s ever a time to jump on the Spencer band wagon, this is it. He’s showing glimpses of hope and T12 here last year.
Aaron Rai (7400) – This guy is a good golfer just finding his footing on American soil. He’s finally coming around and it’s best to be early on a guy before the field recognizes he’s there.
Tyler Duncan (7200) – His recent form has caught my eye. Good history here as well.
Alex Smalley & Taylor Moore (7100) – These rookies are good. Better than their prices here in this field. I’d give these up and comers some serious consideration.
Chez Reavie (7000) – Short course specialist. A bit nervous about his birdie fest/DK point potential but at this price, all we need is cut makers.
Camilo Villegas (6800) – Great course history, and last years FIRST ROUND LEADER (hint, hint). Also part of a 5 man playoff back in 2016, and I just LOVE his story so I’m pulling for him.
Fishing with others: Lucas Glover, Andrew Landry, Matt NeSmith, Taylor Pendrith, Greyson Sigg, Hudson Swafford, and Vaughn Taylor.
I always like to give you one more, that you may not know.
Ludvig Aberg ($6500) – He’s a Swedish kid, a junior at Texas Tech and the world’s 3rd ranked amateur. Just played The Bermuda Championship where he opened with B2B rounds of 68.
Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – Sia’s SW is now 46-13.
WinDaily has 4 other tools coming at you later this week to help with your process of building winning Draftkings lineups. Check out our live show on Tuesday night with Sia, Joel and Spencer. Both Antonio and Spencer also release articles later in the week as well. Check back on Wednesday evening to catch Steven’s ownership article to help you nail down those final low-owned guys that’ll get you that big GPP win. As always, make sure to stop into the WinDaily Discord room to ask questions from our stellar PGA team or just compare notes with some of the other members of our family.If you haven’t already, follow WinDailySports on YouTube and via Apple podcasts to check out all the content at WinDailySports.com. We’ve been hitting big with our NFL, NBA, and NHL content and you’re going to want to be part of that. Hope you enjoyed this article.
– Isaiah
