DeepDiveGolf - David Bieleski 
And, just like that, we reach the final event of the FedExCup Fall in 2024! As we preview the RSM Classic, it always feels a little bittersweet to know we won’t have any full field PGA Tour events until January. However, don’t fret too much. I will of course continue to cover the DP World Tour. And, overall, I’m looking to a slight reduced pace to recover from another magnificent year covering golf.
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There remains a lot on the line at The RSM Classic this week. Most notably, of course, finalizing the Top 125 on the FedExCup rankings and discovering who will retain PGA Tour playing cards in 2025. Some notable names on the bubble this year are popular star of Netflix’s “Full Swing” Joel Dahmen, 2019 US Open winner Gary Woodland, and former Ryder Cup player Daniel Berger.
Sea Island Golf Club Course Analysis
The RSM Classic is played in a course rotation, with both the Seaside Course and Plantation Course at Sea Island Resort in-play. Of the two, the Plantation Course is the easier yielding on average a score 1.5 strokes less than Seaside.
Neither course is particularly long. The Seaside course plays as a 7,005 yard par 70. The longest par 4 is just 470 yards (the 18th), with the other par 4s all between 368-452 yards. It has the 2nd shortest par 4/5 length average of the PGA Tour regular stops.
The Plantation Course is also incredibly short. It is a par 72 at just 7,060 yards. This is the 3rd shortest par 72 on the PGA Tour, ahead of only the Palmer Course at PGA West and Pebble Beach Golf Links. Additionally, 623 yards of the scorecard is eaten up on the par 5 4th hole.
Therefore, driving distance makes little impact at the RSM Classic. Emphasis instead falls on driving accuracy, as your ability to find the fairway and set up an approach shot with more control is key. We also see a positive correlation in the short-game metrics as predictors of success. A players ability around the green and with the putter is really where you can separate yourself in this tournament.
Sea Island Seaside and Plantation Golf Course Comps
Prior course form does show positive correlations to success in our preview of the RSM Classic. However, this is less significant than other destinations. I do read this with a grain of salt. The event does tend to have a more transient field, due to it’s traditional spot in the calendar with either upcoming youngsters or veterans trying to retain their playing privileges on the PGA Tour. The simple nature of having two courses in rotation also lends itself to a natural increase in volatility.
Other short, positional courses can be used as a guide this week. The most obvious is the RBC Heritage, with Harbour Town Golf Links demanding accuracy off the tee and an excellent short-game. Harbour Town is also an interesting mix between coastal golf and some holes in land with tree-lined fairways. This provides an intriguing parallel between what players experience at the Seaside and Plantation courses.
Last week’s tournament in Bermuda may not be the worst place to seek some guidance. In addition to providing some indication of recent form, the tournament also had high winds (scroll down for the weather preview) and is another short course where driving distance is mitigated.
Pebble Beach shares some correlation being an exposed, ocean side golf course. Sony Open host Wai’alae is also worth a look for similar reasons, with driving accuracy important and also featuring Bermuda greens. I also considered the Myrtle Beach Classic, also played on the East Coast in neighbouring South Carolina. My only misgiving with the latter is that the tournament did have a significant number of strong drivers manage to find their way towards the top of that leaderboard.
RSM Classic Weather Preview and Predictions
Currently, there does not look to be any weather edge in our preview of The RSM Classic forecast.
What is notable is the high winds and severe gusts currently projected over the first two days of tournament play. Prevailing winds look set to settle in the low to mid teens. Gusts are then forecast to reach mis to high 20s across both Thursday and Friday.
I believe there are two advantages that gained from a preview of this knowledge at the RSM Classic. First, if you are playing round-by-round showdown in DFS then the AM wave should gain a substantial advantage in rounds 1 and 2. The mornings look to have the lowest winds, and will also benefit from slightly softer conditions overnight.
Secondly, we want to increase our weighting even further for SG: ATG and SG: PUTT. It is inevitable when winds are up that players will miss more shots. A sudden, unexpected gust can easily blow a ball off course, leaving an opportunity for scrambling or a longer than expected putt. You want to emphasise short-game skills this week, as a player’s ability to maintain momentum and recover could be key to success and making the cut.
RSM Classic Preview Golf Betting Tips
Thank you for reading our preview and tournament analysis of the 2024 RSM Classic.
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It was a fun final PGA Draft Cast for 2024. Spencer hamstrung himself by putting out a dare on X (the website formerly known as Twitter) that he would limit himself to a $46,000 salary. Rewatch the latest episode below!
I look forward to welcoming you into the WinDaily family and celebrating many, many wins with you in 2024!
