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Rocket Mortgage: Initial DFS Targets
Welcome to Rocket Mortgage Classic Week. The Win Daily team has a ton of content on the way, including several articles, data and ownership projections authored by Steven, Patrick and Antonio. Below are my early targets for the Rocket Mortgage for DraftKings. These targets are subject to change as we learn ownership projections and as the Win Daily team roundtables the field, but these are the golfers I like on my initial look. Reminder that these picks will be discussed on the Win Daily Livestream and Podcast Tuesdays and Thursdays, and of course, all week on Discord.
Note that this course should serve up some very low scores just like the last few weeks and I will be focusing on ball striking, namely OTT and APP game. I should also note that Harris English, one of my favorite players in the field, has withdrawn from the tournament due to a positive Covid test.
Bryson DeChambeu (11700) – Yes he’s expensive and yes he still may garner mega-chalk status, but he’s just been too good not to include in some of your GPP lineups. He’s gaining OTT in a big way and he’s gaining on APP and his recent history is just too good to ignore. His last six finishes dating back to the Genesis are as follows: 6th, 8th, 3rd, 4th, 2nd, 5th. Just to put that in perspective, his worst finish since early February is 8th place.
Tyrell Hatton (10700) – If you’re in the mood to fade Bryson, you may want to consider Hatton as he has been red hot this year as well, albeit with a much smaller sample size. He is good OTT and great on APP and there’s just no reason not to consider him as a golfer that can outright win this tournament. Hatton should end up being a nice leverage play as most players are either paying up for Bryson or pivoting to a “safer” Webb Simpson play or Patrick Reed.
Rory Sabbatini (8800) – I must admit that the price tag is a bit unsettling, but Sabbatini has been very consistent this year and he finished 3rd here last year. His strokes gained metrics aren’t great but I’m confident that he has the game to finish Top 15 here in spite of the lack of distance OTT (finished 21st at RBC and 14th at Colonial). An early look at ownership has Sabbatini as a chalky selection and if that sustains, I will be off of him. A situation to monitor.
Doc Redman (8500) – APP and OTT game have just been too good to ignore. He also played very well here last year finishing in 2nd place. While this year’s field is stronger than last year, he’s finished 11th and 21st in his last two tournaments (tournaments which were more talent laden than this week’s field). He will be chalky and he’s a nice fade in big GPP’s but feel free to use him and find your ownership leverage elsewhere. Cash game stud.
Lucas Glover (8400) – not a sexy name but if not for one bad Saturday at the Travelers he would have finished Top 10. Lucas has been nothing if not consistent as he’s finished 20th, 21st and 23rd since the return of golf (should be noted he was playing poorly before the break so it’s reasonable to assume that the break benefited him quite a bit). His OTT and APP numbers are solid and I think his relatively high pricetag should keep ownership down.
Adam Hadwin (8200) – a golfer I really like to lean on. His APP game has been fine since coming back from the break but his OTT game could use a pick me up. While he hasn’t been super impressive since coming off the pandemic break, I like his upside and he’s definitely a GPP and cash target.
Harold Varner III (7600) – I was on him last week and he was solid yet again. This guy is constantly going under the radar but his game is too good to ignore. He has been great OTT, on APP and ARG and just needs to get hot with the putter. Should be noted he missed the cut here last year, but his game is firing on all cylinders right now so I’ll take the shot. Keep in mind that Varner is likely to garner some chalk so monitor the situation with the Win Daily team as we move forward.
Tom Hoge (7000) – Finished 64th here last year and wasn’t very good at Colonial or RBC so why do I like him? He’s coming off a 37th place finish last week and strung a couple of good days together and while his missed plenty of cuts this year he has flashed at times, including at the Arnold Palmer where he finished in 15th place. His OTT and APP numbers are solid and this is the type of guy that may surprise some people. Make no mistake, dipping into this range is risky, but this guy has the game to make a cut and make some noise. He will also offer some ownership leverage as he’s likely to be under 5%.
Cameron Tringale (6600) – a ball striker that has plenty of potential to outperform his pricetag. Not much length for Tringale OTT but if the ball striking is where it should be then it’ll come down to the putter. Tringale is coming off a poor performance last week and a missed cut at the Travelers so he should be low owned.
Thanks for checking out our Rocket Mortgage: Initial DFS Targets. Stay tuned for plenty more on this players pool and please subscribe and rate the Win Daily podcast, join us on the Win Daily Sports Discord, and check out WinDailySports.com/Golf for more PGA content!
