adam.sardinha1@gmail.com 
NFL DFS Week 3 is almost complete.Let’s take a look at the biggest takeaways from all of Sunday’s Week 3 DFSaction. I have compiled 12 major observations from the games played on Sunday.We also look ahead to Week 4. Prices discussed are for DraftKings.
Sign up NOW for WIN DAILYSPORTS Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info,24/7 expert chats and more!
MikeEvans #Kaboom
Mike Evans was underpriced byDraftKings in comparison to Chris Godwin this week. Let’s just say somebodymust have told Evans that because he made them ALL pay. I was high on Evans with the discount and he wasa GPP winner. At 10.7 percent ownership, he was featured in the winning lineupof the DFS Week 3 NFL $500K SLANT contest. The sharps were definitely ontoEvans having a bounce-back week. However, if you missed out on Evans this week,he is someone to fade hard in Week 4 against the Rams. Evans’ price hasinflated to $7,100, whereas the value is in Godwin, whose price fell to $6,000.Los Angeles gives up the second-fewest fantasy points to the wide receiverposition.
NelsonAgholor Delivers As Chalk
In the first half of the game,things were not looking great for Agholor. He was heavily played at his $3,600price tag. In the second half, he delivered big with two touchdown receptions.In the DFS Week 3 NFL MASSIVE $50 DOUBLE UP contest Aghlolor saw a whopping67.5 ownership percentage. He was essentially the free square space in cashgames in Week 3. But what is more interesting was his usage in GPP contests.His ownership dropped down to 30.2 percent in the NFL $500K SLANT. Thelow-priced value wide receivers are always going to be lower owned in GPPs. Whatthis means is you can not only eat the chalk in cash games with a cheaphigh-value receiver, but you can still do it in GPPs as well. For Week 4,Agholor is not on the main slate because he is playing Thursday night.
PatrickMahomes Continues To Dazzle
Is their a defense on the planetthat can stop Mahomes? Mahomes has been on absolute fire to start the seasonand will continue to be a value in DraftKings in Week 4. His price has actuallydecreased from $7,600 to $7,500 in DraftKings for the upcoming week. The Lionshave allowed an average of 287 passing yards to opposing quarterbacks thisseason. It looks like Mahomes is going to throw for another 300 yards and threetouchdowns.
CardinalsCannot Stop Tight Ends
The Arizona Cardinals defense cannotcover the tight end position. For three straight weeks, they have allowed anopposing tight end to score 21-plus fantasy points. In Week 4 the Cardinals areplaying the Seattle Seahawks, setting the stage for tight end Will Dissly. Heis priced up just $200 more since last week at $3,600. He will be a great cheaptight end to target considering he has three touchdown receptions in the lasttwo weeks on 12 targets.
Timeto Run All Over the Dolphins
Need a running back play? Trywhoever is playing the Miami Dolphins that week. Not only was Ezekiel Elliottat $8,900 and 50 percent ownership able to produce, but backup running backTony Pollard got in on the action. For Week 4, the Miami Dolphins will betaking on the Los Angeles Chargers. This sets up nicely for Austin Ekeler, whohas been priced up to $8,000 after three weeks of severe underpricing. Ekeleris still going to be a great option in cash games though and will be continuedto be heavily rostered. He was at 40.5 percent ownership in the DFS Week 3 NFLMASSIVE $50 DOUBLE UP contest.
DannyDimes
Daniel Jones was rostered in just 1.8 percent of lineups in the NFL $500K SLANT. He was in the winning lineup in that contest. He absolutely smashed his projection by scoring 39.24 fantasy points. Jones put the team on his back with the injury to Saquon Barkley. His salary was only $5,000 in DraftKings in Week 3, and his price rose to just $5,300 in Week 4. The Giants will play the Washington Redskins on a short week. The Redskins defense through the first two weeks of the season has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to the quarterback position. Jones will continue to be a value because the Giants bad defense will force the quarterback to have to keep pace.
KyleAllen > Cam Newton
Allen spoiled any DFS player thatplayed him in Week 3. He was just too great of value at a mediocre $4,000salary. Allen was heavily rostered with 9.7 percent ownership in the NFL $500KSLANT, and 28.4% ownership in the NFL MASSIVE $50 DOUBLE UP. The price point onhis salary was the main drive of his ownership; however, going into Week 4 witha matchup against the Texans at $5,200 it might be wise to go right back toKyle Allen. The Texans have allowed two of the three quarterbacks they havefaced two passing touchdowns and at least 300 yards.
KylerMurray Uses His Legs
Kyler Murray only had six rushingattempts for 17 yards through the first two weeks of the season. In Week 3, thescript changed and Murray rushed eight times for 69 yards. He also had twopassing touchdowns to go with 173 passing yards. People were definitely high onMurray as he garnered 15 percent ownership in the DFS Week 3 NFL MASSIVE $50DOUBLE UP. As a result of his rushing upside combined with the fact that he isthrowing 40 times per game, Murray has a great floor in cash but still has thatpotential for a nice ceiling GPP game.
RussellWilson Continues to Be Overlooked
Seems like there are just not enoughpeople playing Russell Wilson in DraftKings. He was $6,300 in Week 3, scored44.34 fantasy points, and had just 1.6 percent ownership in the NFL $500K SLANTGPP contest. Both of his primary receivers, Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf, bothwere under four percent owned. Also, with the Cardinals coming up next week thefolks at DraftKings have been nice enough to lower Wilson to $6,100, and movehis two primary receivers up just $100 each. People were off Wilson due to thefact that he just had 20 passing attempts Week 1, but those attempts haveincreased by 15 over the past two weeks.
DalvinCook Continues to Smash
Dalvin Cook was in an obvious greatmatchup against the Oakland Raiders and yet his ownership was at a mere 32.8percent in the DFS Week 3 NFL MASSIVE $50 DOUBLE UP. Maybe more than 66 percentof people hate winning. He was even lower owned in the NFL $500K SLANT at 21.3percent. With the Vikings taking on the Bears in Week 4, I am sure that somepeople will be off Cook making him an even better target in DFS across allformats. As a result, his price has finally reached over $8K at $8,300. Youshould still play him, that is if you like money.
MarlonMack – Three Down Back
Mack rushed 16 times for 74 yardswith a touchdown and brought in two of three targets for 14 yards in Week 4.Mack has now seen three straight games with at least 18 touches. Running backNyheim Hines has seen just as many targets as Mack in the last two weeks. Thisis great for Mack moving forward, especially as he takes on the Raiders.Indianapolis has the fifth-highest run play rate in the NFL through the firstthree weeks. The Raiders defense played well against the run at home, but inWeek 3 on the road, they allowed 211 rushing yards. Oakland was the third-worstrun defense in 2018. As a result, Mack in DraftKings has been priced up toabove $6K for the first time at $6,100.
WereWe Not High Enough On Mark Ingram?
In the highest projected total gameof the week, Ingram should have be more heavily owned. One would think that therunning back on one of the most explosive offenses in the league would behighly rostered. Well, it did not pan out that way. In the DFS Week 3 NFL $500KSLANT contest, Mark Ingram had just 3.7 percent ownership. He scored threetouchdowns and rushed for over 100 yards. Now it must have been the projectedgame script that scared players away from Ingram. Players must have assumed theRavens would be from behind, but the matchup was still good. The Chiefs defensegave up 99 yards rushing just last week to Josh Jacobs. The Chiefs are allowinga league-high 6.2 yards per rushing attempt. Kerryon Johnson might be aninteresting play as the Chiefs take on the Lions In Week 4.
All that considered Ingram still hadfour targets and four receptions in the passing game, along with the majorityof work in the red zone. His price has gone up to $6,600 from $5,700 but theRavens are back at home in Week 4. The Browns are allowing over 100 rushingyards per game so far through the first three weeks.
THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READSOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ONTWITTER @WinDailyDFS.PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT WinDaily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS, ANDDATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILYPODCASTS HERE.
NFL DFS Week 3 is almost complete. Let’s take a look at the biggest takeaways from all of Sunday’s Week 3 DFS action. I have compiled 12 major observations from the games played on Sunday. We also look ahead to Week 4. Price discussed are for DraftKings.
Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY SPORTS Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!
Mike Evans #Kaboom
Mike Evans was underpriced by DraftKings in comparison to Chris Godwin this week. Let’s just say somebody must have told him that because he made them ALL pay. I was high on Evans with the discount and he was a GPP winner. At 10.7 percent ownership, he was featured in the winner of the DFS Week 3 NFL $500K SLANT contest. The sharps were definitely onto Evans having a bounce-back week. However, if you missed out on Evans this week, he is someone to fade hard in Week 4 against the Rams. Evans priced has inflated to $7,100, whereas the value is in Godwin whose price fell to $6,000. Los Angeles gives up the second-fewest fantasy points to the wide receiver position.
Nelson Agholor Delivers As Chalk
In the first half of the game, things were not looking great for Agholor. He was heavily played at his $3,600 price tag. In the second half, he delivered big with two touchdown receptions. In the DFS Week 3 NFL MASSIVE $50 DOUBLE UP contest Aghlolor saw a whopping 67.5 ownership. He was essentially the free square space in cash games in Week 3. But what is more interesting was his usage in GPP contests. His ownership dropped down to 30.2 percent in the NFL $500K SLANT. The low-priced value wide receivers are always going to be lower owned in GPPs. What this means is you can not only eat the chalk in cash games with a cheap high-value receiver, but you can still do it in GPPs as well. For Week 4, Agholor is not on the main slate because he is playing Thursday night.
Patrick Mahomes Continues To Dazzle
Is their a defense on the planet that can stop Mahomes? Mahomes has been on absolute fire to start the season and will continue to be a value in DraftKings in Week 4. His price has actually decreased from $7,600 to $7,500 in DraftKings for the upcoming week. The Lions have allowed an average of 287 passing yards to opposing quarterbacks this season. It looks like Mahomes is going to throw for another 300 yards and three touchdowns.
Cardinals Cannot Stop Tight Ends
The Arizona Cardinals defense cannot cover the tight end position. For three straight weeks, they have allowed an opposing tight end to score 21-plus fantasy points. In Week 4 the Cardinals are playing the Seattle Seahawks, setting the stage for tight end Will Dissly. He is priced up just $200 more since last week at $3,600. He will be a great cheap tight end to target considering he has three touchdown receptions in the last two weeks on 12 targets.
Time to Run All Over the Dolphins
Need a running back play? Try whoever is playing the Miami Dolphins that week. Not only was Ezekiel Elliott at $8,900 and 50 percent ownership able to produce, but backup running back Tony Pollard got in on the action. For Week 4, the Miami Dolphins will be taking on the Los Angeles Chargers. This sets up nicely for Austin Ekeler who has been priced up to $8,000 after three weeks of severe underpricing. Ekeler is still going to be a great option in cash games though and will be continued to be heavily rostered. He was at 40.5 percent ownership in the DFS Week 3 NFL MASSIVE $50 DOUBLE UP contest.
Danny Dimes
Daniel Jones was rostered in just 1.8 percent of lineups in the NFL $500K SLANT. He was in the winning lineup in that contest. He absolutely smashed his projection by scoring 39.24 fantasy points. Jones put the team on his back with the injury to Saquon Barkley. His salary was only $5,000 in DraftKings in Week 3, and his price rose to just $5,300 in Week 4. The Giants will play the Washington Redskins on a short week. The Redskins defense through the first two weeks of the season has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to the quarterback position. Jones will continue to be a value because the Giants bad defense will force the quarterback to have to keep pace.
Kyle Allen > Cam Newton
Allen spoiled any DFS player that played him in Week 3. He was just too great of value at a mediocre $4,000 salary. Allen was heavily rostered with 9.7 percent ownership in the NFL $500K SLANT, and 28.4% ownership in the NFL MASSIVE $50 DOUBLE UP. The price point on his salary was the main drive of his ownership; however, going into Week 4 with a matchup against the Texans at $5,200 it might be wise to go right back to Kyle Allen. The Texans have allowed two of the three quarterbacks they have faced two passing touchdowns and at least 300 yards passing.
Kyler Murray Uses His Legs
Kyler Murray only had six rushing attempts for 17 yards through the first two weeks of the season. In Week 3, the script changed and Murray rushed eight times for 69 yards. He also had two passing touchdowns to go with 173 passing yards. People were definitely high on Murray as he garnered a 15 percent ownership in the DFS Week 3 NFL MASSIVE $50 DOUBLE UP. As a result of his rushing upside combined with the fact that he is throwing 40 times per game, Murray has a great floor in cash but still has that potential for a nice ceiling game.
Russell Wilson Continues to Be Overlooked
Seems like there are just not enough people playing Russell Wilson in DraftKings. He was $6,300 in Week 3, scored 44.34 fantasy points, and had just a 1.6 percent ownership in the NFL $500K SLANT GPP contest. Both of his primary receivers Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf both were under four percent owned. Also, with the Cardinals coming up next week the folks at DraftKings have been nice enough to lower Wilson to $6,100, and move his two primary receivers up just $100 each. People were off Wilson due to the fact that he just had 20 passing attempts Week 1, but those attempts have increased by 15 over the past two weeks.
Dalvin Cook Continues to Smash
Dalvin Cook was in an obvious great matchup against the Oakland Raiders and yet his ownership was at a mere 32.8 percent in the DFS Week 3 NFL MASSIVE $50 DOUBLE UP. Maybe more than 66 percent of people hate winning. He was even lower owned in the NFL $500K SLANT at 21.3 percent. With the Vikings taking on the Bears in Week 4, I am sure that some people will be off Cook making him an even better target in DFS across all formats. As a result, his price has finally reached over $8K at $8,300. You should still play him, that is if you like money.
Marlon Mack – Three Down Back
Mack rushed 16 times for 74 yards with a touchdown and brought in two of three targets for 14 yards in Week 4. Mack has now seen three straight games with at least 18 touches. Running back Nyheim Hines has seen just as many targets as Mack in the last two weeks. This is great for Mack moving forward especially as he takes on the Raiders. Indianapolis has the fifth-highest run play rate in the NFL through the first three weeks. The Raiders defense played well against the run at home, but in Week 3 on the road, they allowed 211 rushing yards. Oakland was the third-worst run defense in 2018. As a result, Mack in DraftKings has been priced up to above $6K for the first time at $6,100.
Were We Not High Enough On Mark Ingram?
In the highest projected total game of the week, Ingram should have be more heavily owned. One would think that the running back on one of the most explosive offenses in the league would be highly rostered. Well, it did not pan out that way. In the DFS Week 3 NFL $500K SLANT contest, Mark Ingram had just 3.7 percent ownership. He scored three touchdowns and rushed for over 100 yards. Now it must have been the projected game script that scared players away from Ingram. Players must have assumed the Ravens would be from behind, but the matchup was still good. The Chiefs defense gave up 99 yards rushing just last week to Josh Jacobs. The Chiefs are allowing a league-high 6.2 yards per rushing attempt. Kerryon Johnson in Week 4, might be an interesting play as the Chiefs take on the Lions.
All that considered Ingram still had four targets and four receptions in the passing game, along with the majority of work in the red zone. His price has gone up to $6,600 from $5,700 but the Ravens are back at home in Week 4. The Browns are allowing over 100 rushing yards per game so far through the first three weeks.
THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS, AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE.
Image via: Mike Morris
