Michael Rasile 
PGA Tour DFS Preview for 2020
In this article Steven Polardi explains his PGA Tour DFS Preview for 2020 and where there are some areas to make money. Make sure to check out Win Daily Sport for more Golf content and hop in the Expert Discord Chat!
One week from today real golf comes back. A full field, FedEx points, and PGA golfers on the course after months of waiting, it will be exciting. I play DraftKings GPP. My goal is to have you make money, enough to allow you to keep entering and hit the big money. It won’t happen every week, those of you with limited bankrolls should start out playing 1 entry per week to build your stake.
There are two anomaly’s concerning this tourney. First, it is the middle of June and this is the start of the season. Golfers have been quarantined for months and have had limited practice, right? Well, you can bet the top 30 name golfers can pick up the phone and go play a practice round easily, and that’s exactly what they’ve been doing. The lower end of the field has been left to practice in their back yard. You would think it’s an advantage to the top of the field, yet all of us remember Phil Mickelson making incredible other worldly shots from a tree, from a table at the club, from a hole in the parking lot, and he learned all those shots in his back yard, which gives us something to consider. The second thing is there are no crowds, no one to spur an athlete to greater gains. Rory, Phil, Tiger (the Tiger roar) and others are used to huge galleries, while the lower end of the field won’t notice much of a change since they aren’t followed that much. How much these differences affect the tourney, if any, will be fun to watch as the tourney progresses.
I use predictive data to try and gain leverage on the field. Using data and metrics like long term form and short term, with a very light touch on course history. The course that holds the largest difference only has a .3 per round, or 1.2 strokes per tourney difference and that’s the Masters. Most other courses have negligible differences, and I’m not worried about less than 1 stroke per tourney. That being said, don’t ever fade Tiger at The Masters, he has mastered the memory of that course and is the lock chalk. Speaking of chalk, I will never roster the most expensive player over 30% owned. He would have to win with low scores to make value, find a sub 5% owned player who plays a few strokes short or equal to the chalk and you just beat 70% of the field, AND have thousands left in salary to upgrade the other five players. The only risk is if the chalk wins and goes low, which rarely happens.
There is a lot of casual money in GPP, using predictive information can help you beat the field to the money. On Tuesday I will have a preliminary report on some of the players I’m looking at and have a detailed report on Wednesday afternoon. Please know my report on Wednesday will come between 5-6 pm CST. This is to ensure the accuracy of the ownership %, which is a key metric to the predictive data. As a collective group we can all benefit from solid information, and we can all make decisions that make us money.
