jason mezrahi 
In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re picking apart the field at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and looking for big winners!
PGADFS Course Notes:
- Tournament field of 34 golfers (winners from 2019)
- Cut: No-cut event
- Played at Plantation Course at Kapalua Resort in Hawaii: 7,518 yards, par 73
- Course was renovated in 2019 by course designers Ben Crenshaw & Bill Coore
- Greens larger to accommodate more pin locations, fairway bunkers more of an issue on tee shots
- Focus Stat Categories: Driving Distance, Strokes Gained: Off the Tee, SG: Putting, SG: Approach, Birdie or Better%
- Past Champions: Xander Schauffele (2019), Dustin Johnson (2018), Justin Thomas (2017) & Jordan Spieth (2016)
The Picks:
Elite PGADFS (DK $9,000 and up):
Jon Rahm (DK $11,400, FD $11,900) – Rahm is the tourney favorite and both a great course fit and strong golfer in all formats. He’s a cash game lock and my favorite to win this week.
Justin Thomas (DK $11,200, FD $11,700) – Thomas is a closerunner-up, and my shares of him will be close to Rahm. There are simply noflaws in his game, he hits it a mile and he’s riding high off the President’sCup win. Lock him in as a pivot to Rahm, unless you’re going studs and scrubs –an option we’ll explore in one of our sample builds.
Dustin Johnson (DK $10,100, FD $11,200) – You’re getting adiscount on DK because of his rough 2019, which included both injury andsubstandard play. DJ’s length will play here – he just needs to roll in someputts and get that old dominant feeling back.
Gary Woodland (DK $9,300, FD $10,400) – Woodland is a sneaky pick this week. He likes the course and he’s at 16-1 odds to win this event, so that’s something to consider. Woodland was playing well in the Hero World Challenge but closed with a one-over-par 73 in the final round to finish T7. He’s certainly got the game for this track.
Also consider: Rickie Fowler, Patrick Cantlay
Mid-RangePGA DFS (DK $7,500 to $8,900):
Cameron Champ (DK $8,200, FD $9,700) – Champ is another bomber who’s a feast-or-famine PGA performer. This week he’s relatively safe to deploy, and his ownership shouldn’t be through the roof since he’s a little pricier than many of the more popular names below him. He finished 11th here last season.
Brendan Todd (DK $8,100, FD $9,300) – Todd had a breakthrough in 2019 with two wins and three Top 10s, though he’s always been known as a guy who can go really, really low. The Pittsburgh native will be a long way from home, but he finished eighth in 2014, he can move it off the tee and the guy can be an absolute demon on the greens. Todd makes for a decent GPP special this week.
Corey Connors (DK $7,800, FD $8,900) – The Canadianhas six top 25s in his last eight starts and had a solid2018-19 season with a win, four top 10s and seven Top 25s overall. His puttingand reasonable price make him one of my core plays in both cash and GPPs.
Matthew Wolff (DK $7,900, FD $9,100) – Wolff might get popular this week, but his raw talent makes him a strong consideration for GPPs. Don’t get distracted by the wonky swing – this young man is an elite ball-striker who’s both long off the tee and a capable putter.
Also consider: Paul Casey, MattKuchar, Joaquin Niemann
Value PGADFS (DK Under $7,500):
J.T. Poston (DK $7,400, FD $8,400) – Hopefully J.T. will be “Poston” some low scores, am I right? The North Carolina native hit his stride in 2019 with a win, three Top 10s and nine Top 25s – finishes that bode well considering his low price.
Sebastian Munoz (DK $7,100, FD $8,300) – I doubt that Munoz will attract much ownership, so he’ll be a staple in my GPPs. The Colombian’s game checks all the boxes and he’s affordably priced on both sites.
Sung Kang (DK $6,600, FD $7,600) – Kang is a crazy bomber who should enjoy this course. I have a feeling he’ll be popular because of the stars and scrubs strategy, so he could be a fade option if you don’t believe in his admittedly bizarre game. Again – he probably won’t win and there’s some fade equity, but I’ll be using him in the 1/5 lineups where I lock in two $10K+ studs on DK.
Lanto Griffin (DK $6,500, FD $7,000) – Another golfer bound to be popular this week as folks desperately search for value, Griffin closed out the year with a couple of poor showings after winning the Houston Open. I think he’s underpriced.
More value golfers for GPPs: Keith Mitchell, Max Homa
The PGA DFSFades:
Xander Schauffele (DK $8,700, FD $10,000) – He won last year, and he’sgoing to be very popular, but Xander’s game has shown some cracks recently. I’mnot picking him this week.
Kevin Kisner (DK $7,700, FD $9,000) – Kisner has a 9th and a 17th here in two tries, but he’s not the stat profile we’re looking for on this course. He also tends to be a popular play because he’s decent against strong fields, so I’m fading him.
Graeme McDowell (DK $7,100, FD $8,900) – He’s a familiar name, but this isn’t the venue for him. I love the guy and his attitude, but it’s best to stay away on courses over 7,500 yards in length.
Also fading these lower-priced guys: Jim Herman, Martin Trainer, Tyler Duncan
PGA DFS — Sample DK GPPlineup (stars and scrubs):
Jon Rahm ($11,400)
JustinThomas ($11,200)
SebastianMunoz ($7,100)
KeithMitchell ($7,000)
SungKang ($6,600)
LantoGriffin ($6,500)
($200left)
PGA DFS – Sample DK GPP lineup #2 (balanced):
JustinThomas ($11,200)
RickieFowler ($9,500)
CameronChamp ($8,200)
J.T.Poston ($7,400)
SebastianMunoz ($7,100)
SungKang ($6,600)
($0left)
PGA DFS – Sample DK GPP lineup #3 (large-field):
DustinJohnson ($10,100)
MattKuchar ($8,400)
BrendanTodd ($8,100)
MatthewWolff ($7,900)
CoreyConnors ($7,800)
LantoGriffin ($6,500)
($1,200left)
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Goal: 16.5, Prize: 1.5x
These three (Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, and Gary Woodland) rank among the top golfers on the tour for making birdie or better, so getting an average of six sub-par holes a piece from them will get us to 18. If you’re really feeling frisky, go for the 2x payout!
