In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re looking for a big payday at the Sanderson Farms Championship and helping you find some winning teams!
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PGA DFS Course Notes:
- Relatively weak field of 144 golfers
- Cut: Top 65 and ties
- Defending Champ: Sergio Garcia (-19 over Peter Malnati’s 18)
- 2019 champ: Sebastian Munoz (-18)
- The course: CC of Jackson (Jackson, MS)
- Par 72: 7,460 yards
- Parkland course with trees lining tough-to-hit fairways
- Rough not too penal, but approach angles are important
- Wider, open Bermuda greens that run pure
- Course should remain soft without much mind, and scoring could go low
- Six of last seven winners have all been first time winners on the PGA TOUR
- New guys (last year’s part-timers) have a shot
- Focus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Approach, Par 5s Gained, SG: OTT, Opportunities Gained, Birdie or Better%, SG: Putting (Bermuda)
The Picks:
Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):
Sungjae Im (DK $10,300) – Im makes a lot of sense as the guy to get the most exposure to (in the top tier) when considering the full range of metrics, course history and form. He’s finished second here (in 2019) and he hasn’t missed a cut in forever. Im is a consistent player who controls the ball well off the tee – and he shouldn’t have any problem scoring here given his strategic ability to dismantle a golf course. He’s a fine play in all formats.
Sergio Garcia (DK $10,500) – Sergio – the event’s defending champ – has the most extensive resume of any golfer in the field, coming off a week where he had the most extensive record at the Ryder Cup on the world stage. This course and its approachable greens are going look a whole lot easier than anything did at Whistling Straits, so I’ll have ample shares of him this week in GPPs.
Mito Pereira (DK $9,900) – Pereira is solid off the tee and has been a mainstay on leaderboards since joining the PGA last year. Since he won three times on the Korn Ferry Tour and has name recognition, he’s going to get chalky, and the guys on the breakdown had him somewhere around 20% ownership. He has top-six finishes in three of his last four starts and should be a fine cash game and single-entry play.
Also consider: Sam Burns (GPP), Will Zalatoris (GPP) Corey Conners (cash), Keegan Bradley
Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):
Sebastian Munoz (DK $9,300) – Munoz is 4-for-4 in his last four tries here, but we must be a little concerned with his hideous performance at the Fortinet Championship, but he’s in a great spot to bounce back on a course he likes. I’ll have some shares, but I won’t go all-in after what he did to my lineups in the new season’s first event.
Charley Hoffman (DK $9,000) – Hoffman might get popular because he’s one of the most recognizable names in this price range, he’s got solid course history at the Sanderson Farms, and he posted a bunch of top 25s last season. I’m fine using him in cash and will have some exposure in GPPs.
Cameron Davis (DK $9,100) – He’s $1K more expensive than last year after finishing this tournament T6 in 2020, but the price increase is worth it – largely because he’s proven to be a much better golfer this past season. He hasn’t posted a top 10 finish sine he won at the Rocket Mortgage, but this is a god a spot as any for him to get back in the Top 15 and use his ample talents to take apart this course.
Seamus Power (DK $8,800) – The 34-year-old Power looks appropriate for cash games and single entry and is coming off the best stretch of golf in his career, including a win at the Barbasol in July 2021 and a bunch of top 20s in the weeks leading up. Sia had him listed in his Initial Picks and the team seems to approve of using him in a bunch of formats.
Matthew Wolff (DK $8,500) – I LOVED Spencer’s breakdown of Wolff and was thinking many of the same things about him when I saw the price, which bakes in his inherent volatility. He’s a perfect GPP play with winning upside, and during a better stretch of play could be pried with the $10K guys as noted by our stats guru.
C.T. Pan (DK $8,100) – Pan is one of my favorite golfers to target in GPPs, and not just because I called him as my bargain pick at the Olympics, when he stormed back after an opening round 74 to shoot 66-66-63 and snag the Bronze after an epic seven-man playoff. Pan’s course management, ball-striking and putting are all solid, and he’ll be in the mix for my GPP builds.
Patrick Rodgers (DK $7,600) – Rodgers is a talented player with the ability to go low on any day, but he struggles to put together four good rounds. He’s made strides since missing the cut by two strokes here in 2020. This course doesn’t have as many pitfalls as the typical PGA Tour venue, so I’m anticipating less frustration and better overall performance form a guy who’s priced for upside.
Also consider: Carlos Ortiz (GPP), Aaron Wise, Matthias Schwab (GPP), Doug Ghim (GPP), Keith Mitchell, Taylor Pendrith, Scott Stallings (GPP)
Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):
Luke List (DK $7,500) – From a distance and ball-striking perspective, List is one of my classic go-to GPP plays, largely because his putting is way too heinous to consider playing in cash games. I love his upside (despite missing the cut by a stroke in 2020) and the price this week is fair enough to get decent exposure in large-field GPPs – he’s just a little too risky for single-entry.
Chad Ramey (DK $7,000) – Recency bias will keep the masses off Ramey this week, but the rookie has the chops to play well at a venue where he actually does have some experience. The Fulton, Mississippi native finished T26 here in 2018 after shooting 66 in a Monday qualifier and getting in.
Rory Sabbatini (DK $6,900) – Sabbs played solid golf at the end last season (T10 at the Wyndham Championship and three straight made cuts in EURO events) after winning silver in the Olympics – an epic performance that followed four straight missed cuts. I think he’s a great bargain value at this price and he’s got really god course history at CC of Jackson.
Adam Schenk (DK $6,700) – Sia and I are both interested in Schenk this week as a guy who usually flies under the radar in GPPs and has posted some good finishes at Sanderson Farms, including a T7 in 2018. His solo fourth at the Barracuda and T31 at the Northern Trust in August are also promising.
Denny McCarthy (DK $6,600) – McCarthy has posted top 20 finishes in each of his last three starts at the Sanderson Farms Championship and keeps getting it done with the putter here. He had a rough 2021, but he plays well at this venue and won’t break the bank at this price point in your GPPs.
More value golfers to consider: Scott Piercy, Joel Dahmen, Lanto Griffin, Lucas Herbert (GPP), Brandt Snedeker (GPP), Henrik Norlander, David Lipsky (GPP), Matt Wallace, Greyson Sigg, Hudson Swafford, John Augenstein (GPP), Dylan Frittelli (GPP), J.T. Poston
Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):
Dawie Van der Walt (DK $6,500) – Van der Walt is a large-field GPP play only and I wouldn’t think about playing him in single-entry, but the 38-year-old South African has a tour card and the game to play well here. He’ll look at get it going gain after a solid stretch to close out last year’s Korn Ferry Tour.
Wyndham Clark (DK $6,400) – Clark is long off the tee and shouldn’t be flummoxed by the rough too much this week if he sprays it around a little, as bomb-and-gauge is a little more in play than usual. I love the low price and upside for him at this event, where he’s made the cut in three of four tries.
Anirban Lahiri (DK $6,200) – He’s made the cut both times here and is one of the safer plays among the super-cheap golfers. I’ll be using him to close out a few GPP entries where I’ve maxed out the pricing in my other selections.
Additional GPP punts: Peter Malnati, Tyler McCumber, Brandon Hagy, Seung-Yul Noh