Sia 
Hopefully you’ve already reviewed The Range and now comes the onslaught of DFS picks from our entire team. Here are my PGA Championship: Initial Picks and these will be further developed on the Win Daily Show Livestream tomorrow at 8:30 pm. Joining us on tomorrow’s show is none other than Joel Schrek, who has won 100k in just the last 3 weeks in PGA DFS. Please join us on the Livestream @windailysports or @SiaNejad. Let’s get after it. Pricing is for DraftKings.
Jon Rahm (10500) – He’s great in all aspects of the strokes gained metrics and is particularly great OTT. I expect a bounce back from a very below average performance last week. Won’t be nearly as popular as JT or Xander so you gain a bit of leverage with Rahm.
Bryson Dechambeau (10300) – How about a contrarian play right off the bat. Bryson is tracking at less than 10% ownership while everyone else in the 10k and above range is 15% or higher (including Xander and JT at above 23%). Thanks but no thanks on the chalk. The rap on Bryson is that he’s not going to be able to bomb his way around the course for four days and I actually agree with that. I think we all forget that before Bryson put on all the weight he was one of the smarter and more calculated guys in golf, and I expect that golf IQ to be in play this week.
Webb Simpson (9700) – Very quietly finished 12th last week and if not for a couple of terrible putts he would have been firmly inside the Top 10. Great ball striker and an improved short game. He also leads the field in par 4 scoring average. Reasonable price for a very consistent player with upside.
Daniel Berger (8800) – In case you didn’t notice, Berger finished 2nd last week at the WGC. While everyone was wondering whether Brooks would catch JT, Berger was making his way up the leaderboard like he has been doing this entire year. Berger’s game is too good and this price is too low. Good OTT and Great on APP. He gains a lot with the putter which can be hard to rely on from tournament to tournament but he’s also picking up strokes ARG. In other words, he gains in every category.
Collin Morikawa (8600) – He is good OTT and amazing on APP (2nd behind Justin Thomas on the year). His ARG game could be better but it’s not Hovland bad. I question Collin’s game when it gets to crunch time on Sunday, but if he is battling for an outright win on Sunday but then freezes up, he’s already paid off his DFS price tag.
Abraham Ancer (7700) – Has made the cut in all tournaments since the restart and 4 of 5 have been Top 15. He’s longer than many think OTT and he’s great on APP. I tend to give a pass to anyone who was below average at the Memorial and Ancer was certainly below average there (58th). But every other tournament he’s played since the restart has been a Top 15 finish. This guy defines value at this price.
Tommy Fleetwood (7700) – His game sets up well for this course and he’s starting to play well after taking a long layoff post-restart (finished 35th last week at WGC but shot 4 under on Sunday). Add to that Fleetwood may be perfectly fine with potentially volatile weather conditions and the price is just too good here to pass over.
Chez Reavie (7400) – There is simply nothing bad to say about this guy. He’s been successful on this track in the past and he is hitting the ball better than almost anyone on the tour right now. He will be popular for sure but he’s a great value. Don’t go overweight on Chez in GPP but have some shares. A great cash game play to free up some money up top.
Harris English (7200) – Hasn’t played a ton since the restart but he’s Top 20 in his last three (including an impressive 13th at the Memorial). English has been striking the ball very well and gains in every category.
Tom Lewis (7100) – I mentioned Tom Lewis on the Win Daily Show Livestream last week and wish I had rostered him on more than a handful of teams. Lewis was red hot last week and it feels like I’m chasing points here, but he’s made 3 cuts in a row including a 2nd at the WGC and a 12th the Rocket Mortgage. He’s priced up a bit but his ability to turn it on at any given moment is too much to ignore.
Ryan Palmer (6900) – You will have some swings and some misses in this range but Palmer feels like the ultimate upside option in this range. He’s been great OTT and on APP and is in very good form with a 15th and a 2nd in his last two. If the conditions get dicey, Palmer should be just fine as he thrived in tough conditions at the Memorial.
Rory Sabbatini (6800) – If you’re looking for a cheap contrarian play, you’ve got one here. He hasn’t been great as of late but the cuts that he’s made since the restart (3 out of 5) he’s been right around Top 20.
Harold Varner (6600) – To be blunt, this guy just hasn’t been good since the restart. But typically his OTT and APP game are very good and considering his current price, I think he’s worth a shot. He hasn’t played since the Memorial so hopefully he’s used the off time to work on his mechanics.
Chan Kim (6200) – If you’re looking for a true longshot then you have found him here. I’m no fan of the OWGR in terms of how it correlates to DFS success, but this guy is well inside the Top 100 and currently stands at 83. His SG metrics leave a little to be desired but I’m going to take a shot here with an absolute no name.
Secret Weapon (sub 7k/sub 5% ownership) – see you in Discord
Thank you for check out my PGA Championship: Initial Picks. Again, make sure you tune into the Livestream to catch Joel Schrek, Michael Rasile and myself as we develop these picks. Also, Discord will be a constant flow of information and narrowing of picks as we approach Thursday morning. There is simply no better time to be a part of the Win Daily family. Let’s go.
