It’s Week Three of the NHL Season and the Hot Shot is here to help you check all of the boxes. Tonight, we have a decent-sized eleven-game slate. There are plenty of options to choose from and we will cover a few of them below. Aside from reading this 10/26 NHL DFS article, don’t forget to check out our NHL DFS Projection Model which is available every morning. If you like what you see, sign up for more Win Daily content here.
10/26 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET
*All odds and player pricing below have been obtained from DraftKings Sportsbook and are accurate as of the time of writing*
Anaheim Ducks (+250) at Boston Bruins (-310) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Columbus Blue Jackets (+100) at Montreal Canadiens (-120) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Winnipeg Jets (-118) at Detroit Red Wings (-102) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
San Jose Sharks (+240) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-298) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Colorado Avalanche (-142) at Pittsburgh Penguins (+120) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Seattle Kraken (+164) at Carolina Hurricanes (-198) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Minnesota Wild (-120) at Philadelphia Flyers (+100) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Ottawa Senators (+105) at New York Islanders (-125) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Toronto Maple Leafs (+105) at Dallas Stars (-125) – 6 Projected Goal Total
St. Louis Blues (+160) at Calgary Flames (-192) – 6 Projected Goal Total
New York Rangers (-125) at Edmonton Oilers (+105) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
10/26 NHL Favorite Popular Line
Detroit One – “Dylan Larkin ($7,400), Alex DeBrincat ($7,500), Lucas Raymond ($4,200)”
This line has been absolutely magnificent to start off the season. Dylan Larkin has 14 points over 7 games (four goals, ten assists), that’s very good. However, Alex DeBrincat has been an absolute monster with 13 points over 7 games but in the form of nine goals and four assists. It goes without saying the focus has been to get him the puck. Finally, Lucas Raymond has been lapping up the scraps left behind by his linemates with 5 points across 7 games. At $4,200, he does give us some salary relief. As a full line, they have twice as many goals (12) as any other line in the NHL over the first three weeks.
Tonight, the Wings host the Jets in a 6.5 projected total affair and it will be no surprise if they are popular. It must be noted that Alex DeBrincat missed practice on Wednesday as he was “feeling under the weather”. This is worth watching prior to lock and as this game starts at the beginning of the slate, there will be plenty of time to pivot elsewhere should he sit out. That said, this is the NHL so normally guys don’t sit out because they are feeling a little sick. You can save that sort of explanation for absence for the other major fall-spring sport NBA!
10/26 NHL Favorite Contrarian Line
Carolina Three – “Jordan Staal ($2,900), Jordan Martinook ($3,200), Jesper Fast ($2,700)”
Use Staal with one of the other two skaters.
This is a pick nearly entirely derived from the metrics. First, we must note that Carolina generally has a good matchup to begin with. The Hurricanes are hefty -195 money line favorites hosting the Kraken in a projected 6.5 total game. So we can check those boxes. However, most people will target the Hurricanes’ top two lines. The third line may not see as much ice time but they have certainly put their limited opportunities to good use. They lead the NHL in SATF which includes all shots, even those missed or blocked. When you also factor in that they are exceptionally cheap, they make for a great off-the-wall line for large field tournaments. I don’t know if you necessarily roll all three here but I’d use Staal with one of the other two.
Defensemen and Goalies
Defensemen
Tony DeAngelo- Carolina -$4,300 – He is underperforming as compared to expectations to start the season. That said, it is not like we have that large of a sample size and his price has been reduced accordingly. For now, he is still featuring over Brent Burns with the Hurricanes top powerplay unit.
Dylan DeMelo – Winnipeg – $3,300 -Off to a hot start with 5 points in six games so far. He is averaging a total of 10.4 FPPG on DraftKings. If we anticipate the Detroit top line listed above getting into a shootout, he also provides us a small way to bring the other side back a little.
Goalies
Linus Ullmark – Boston- $8,500 – Ullmark is certainly at a minimum, the preferred cash play. He has been stellar (1.00 GAA/.962 SV%) and at -310 the Bruins are the biggest favorite on the slate, albeit with a low six projected total.
Jordan Binnington – St. Louis – $7,200 – This is the opposite of a cash play. Binnington had been a bit shaky over the last couple of seasons since his stunning rookie debut. However, he has been solid so far this season (1.69 GAA/.945 SV%), resulting in an average of 18.4 FPPG on DraftKings. Tonight, the Blues are decent underdogs at +160, although there is only a six total. If St. Louis wins it will likely be because he was more than worth his relatively low DraftKings price.
10/26 NHL Best Bet
Red Wings ML (-120) – DraftKings – 1 Unit
Detroit is leading the league with a whopping 34 goals scored so far and the Jets defense has lost a touch from previous seasons with the offense nothing to write home about. I think the Wings’ strong form continues at home tonight.
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