It’s Thursday and we’re thirsty for some NHL. We have ten games tonight so not overwhelming but it’s what I’d call a nice-sized slate. Aside from reading the article, don’t forget to check out our NHL DFS Projection Model which is available every morning.
11/10 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET
*All odds and player pricing below have been obtained from DraftKings and are accurate as of the time of writing*
New York Rangers (-155) at Detroit Red Wings (+135) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Vegas Golden Knights (-170) at Buffalo Sabres (+145) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Calgary Flames (+135) at Boston Bruins (-155) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Edmonton Oilers (+135) at Carolina Hurricanes (-155) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Arizona Coyotes (+225) at New York Islanders (-265) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Ottawa Senators (+155) at New Jersey Devils (-180) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
San Jose Sharks (+140) at St. Louis Blues (-165) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Philadelphia Flyers (+110) at Columbus Blue Jackets (-130) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Nashville Predators (+160) at Colorado Avalanche (-190) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Chicago Blackhawks (+225) at Los Angeles Kings (-265) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
11/10 NHL Favorite Popular Line
Vegas One “Jack Eichel ($7,100), Chandler Stephenson ($4,800), Mark Stone ($5,300)“
Main lock/early games always tend to be more popular so I’m really pulling from the first six games of the night here. The Devils will be popular as they’re on a roll and later on Colorado will get some ownership, being the champs and all. However, I’ll start off with the Golden Knight’s top line. They are currently tied for third in the NHL with eight goals and strong peripheral stats “4th in the NHL in SATF” to match.
After a hot start, the Sabres have now dropped three straight games while Vegas has coasted to eight straight wins. The Golden Knight’s +20 point differential is second-best in the NHL, only behind the Boston Bruins. As -170 favorites, they are one of the bigger favorites on the slate and the top line is also incredibly affordable. They are priced more like your average second line than a line toward the top of the NHL in both goals scored and all supporting categories.
11/10 NHL Favorite Contrarian Line
Los Angeles Two “Phillip Danault ($4,400), Trevor Moore ($3,900), Viktor Arvidsson ($4,000)”
A super cheap line from the top favorite of the night? A sneaky second line that’s quietly 10th in the NHL in SATF? A late-night hammer galore? We get all of the above and more in the form of the King’s second line. Unfortunately, neither of the three skaters gets any time on Los Angeles’ top power-play unit. They do however share a correlation on the second power-play unit. Overall, the type of line you try to weave into a large field tournament entry and not a 10-man contest.
Defensemen and Goalies
Defensemen
Dougie Hamilton – New Jersey – $7,000 – If splurging up I think I might not try to get on the Erik Karlsson train and with Rasmus Dahlin in a tough matchup look elsewhere. We have yet to get a Dougie ceiling game and with the Devils rolling this could be a nice spot to buy in.
Ryan Graves – New Jersey – $3,300 – For far less money, you could also take a stab at Hamilton’s Devils teammate. Graves has goals in three of his last six games “he seems to alternate every other game”. That’s not bad scoring prowess for a $3,300 defenseman.
Goalies
Ilya Sorokin – New York Islanders – $8,100 – Stellar 2.20 GAA and winner of five of his last six starts. Tonight the Islanders are tied with the Kings for the title of slate-high favorites at -265. With the total set a bit low at six, it can be assumed most of that total is not projected to go the Coyote’s way.
Igor Shesterkin – New York Rangers – $7,400 – It has not been an ideal start to the season for Shesterkin. However, I think you can trust the talent and just take the discount in tournaments.
11/10 NHL Best Bet
Philadelphia/Columbus Blue Jackets – U 6.5 (-110) – DraftKings – 1 Unit – The model over at our friends at Sharp is showing a total of 4.98 providing for a 19.29% edge. Carter Hart was back in practice Wednesday and wait for him to be confirmed in net before placing this bet. On the other side, Joonas Korpisalo’s 5.00 GAA is surely lacking but he has only had one start “against Colorado no less”. I think we can give that man a pass.
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