NHL DFS Hot Shot for DraftKings and FanDuel (Mar. 4)

This article focuses on 3/4 NHL Picks for both DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbooks and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We analyze tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so that we can gain an edge on the field at large. Full goal-scoring odds and rankings for each position for both sites are available below.

Thursday 3/4 NHL Slate and DFS Gameplan

Welcome back to the Hot Shot! Let’s get ready for a ten game Thursday slate. Given some of the matchups that we have on tap, this slate should be on the higher scoring side.

Notable Goal Scoring Odds

Note: All odds are listed +300 or below. All odds are taken from DraftKings Sportsbook, as of the time of writing.

7 p.m. ET Main Lock

Buffalo Sabres (+139) at New York Islanders (-162) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total – Jack Eichel (+190), Jean-Gabriel Pageau (+220), Mathew Barzal (+235), Jordan Eberle (+235), Anders Lee (+235), Anthony Beauvillier (+245), Brock Nelson (+245), Taylor Hall (+260), Sam Reinhart (+275), Victor Olofsson (+300)

Philadelphia Flyers (-122) at Pittsburgh Penguins (+102) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total – Jake Guentzel (+155), Evgeni Malkin (+180), Bryan Rust (+195), Sean Couturier (+210), Travis Konecny (+210), James van Riemsdyk (+220), Claude Giroux (+235), Jared McCann (+250), Kasperi Kapanen (+265), Joel Farabee (+265), Kevin Hayes (+265), Oskar Lindblom (+300), Nolan Patrick (+300)

Detroit Red Wings (+245) at Carolina Hurricanes (-295) – 6 Projected Goal Total – Sebastian Aho (+117), Vincent Trocheck (+160), Andrei Svechnikov (+175), Nino Niederreiter (+185), Anthony Mantha (+235), Jesper Fast (+240), Brock McGinn (+240), Martin Necas (+255), Jordan Staal (+255), Dylan Larkin (+255), Dougie Hamilton (+295)

New York Rangers (-114) at New Jersey Devils ( -103) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total – Mika Zibanejad (+138), Chris Kreider (+170), Kyle Palmieri (+195), Nico Hischier (+235), Pavel Buchnevich (+255), Pavel Zacha (+260), Colin Blackwell (+285), Filip Chytil (+285), Jack Hughes (+295), Andreas Johnsson (+295), Miles Wood (+295), Alexis Lafrenière (+300), Ryan Strome (+300)

Winnipeg Jets (+130) at Montreal Canadiens (-152) – 6 Projected Goal Total – Kyle Connor (+180), Brendan Gallagher (+185), Tyler Toffoli (+188), Mark Scheifele (+200), Josh Anderson (+230), Nikolaj Ehlers (+255), Tomas Tatar (+260), Pierre-Luc Dubois (+285), Blake Wheeler (+285), Nick Suzuki (+295), Shea Weber (+295)

After Main Lock

Tampa Bay Lightning (-220) at Chicago Blackhawks (+180) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total – Steven Stamkos (+130), Brayden Point (+160), Alex Killorn (+195), Patrick Kane (+205), Ondrej Palát (+215), Alex DeBrincat (+255), Dominik Kubalik (+255), Anthony Cirelli (+260), Blake Coleman (+280), Victor Hedman (+280), Tyler Johnson (+280), Pius Suter (+295), Yanni Gourde (+300)

Florida Panthers (-134) at Nashville Predators (+116) – 6 Projected Goal Total – Filip Forsberg (+170), Jonathan Huberdeau (+200), Aleksander Barkov (+210), Patric Hörnqvist (+210), Viktor Arvidsson (+220), Carter Verhaeghe (+245), Mikael Granlund (+255), Matt Duchene (+270), Alexander Wennberg (+295)

Columbus Blue Jackets (+135) at Dallas Stars ( -165) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total – Joe Pavelski (+195), Denis Guryanov (+205), Patrik Laine (+205), Jamie Benn (+225), Roope Hintz (+250), Cam Atkinson (+255), Oliver Björkstrand (+255), Joel Kiviranta (+300)

Ottawa Senators (+160) at Calgary Flames (-200) – 6 Projected Goal Total – Matthew Tkachuk (+160), Sean Monahan (+175), Elias Lindholm (+195), Johnny Gaudreau (+205), Drake Batherson (+215), Andrew Mangiapane (+220), Brady Tkachuk (+225), Evgeny Dadonov (+245), Dillon Dube (+260), Mikael Backlund (+300), Dominik Simon (+300)

Toronto Maple Leafs (-162) at Vancouver Canucks (+135) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total – Auston Matthews (-125), Brock Boeser (+175), Mitch Marner (+175), John Tavares (+190), Elias Pettersson (+200), J.T. Miller (+210), William Nylander (+215), Bo Horvat (+220), Zach Hyman (+275)

3/4 NHL FanDuel Rankings

Centers

1. Auston Matthews – Toronto – $9,000
2. Sebastian Aho – Carolina – $7,400
3. Brayden Point – Tampa Bay – $7,200
4. Vincent Trocheck – Carolina – $5,700
5. Sean Monahan – Calgary – $6,500

Wingers

1. Matthew Tkachuk – Calgary – $6,000
2. Andrei Svechnikov – Carolina – $6,000
3. Tyler Toffoli – Montreal – $6,300
4. Kyle Connor – Winnipeg – $6,800
5. James van Riemsdyk – Philadelphia – $6,600
6. Steven Stamkos – Tampa Bay – $8,400

Defense

1. Dougie Hamilton – Carolina – $5,200
2. Morgan Rielly – Toronto – $5,600
3. Mark Giordano – Calgary – $5,800
4. Adam Fox – New York Rangers – $4,700
5. Jake Muzzin – Toronto – $4,500

Goalies

1. Andrei Vasilevskiy – Tampa Bay – $8,800
2. James Reimer – Carolina – $7,800
3. David Rittich – Calgary – $7,700

3/4 NHL DraftKings Rankings

Centers

1. Auston Matthews – Toronto – $8,900
2. Sebastian Aho – Carolina – $6,200
3. Brayden Point – Tampa Bay – $6,100
4. Sean Monahan – Calgary – $5,700
5. Vincent Trocheck – Carolina – $6,600
6. Mika Zibanejad – New York Rangers – $6,800

Wingers

1. Steven Stamkos – Tampa Bay – $7,400
2. Matthew Tkachuk – Calgary – $6,600
3. Andrei Svechnikov – Carolina – $5,900
4. Brendan Gallagher – Montreal – $6,100
5. Jake Guentzel – Pittsburgh – $7,000
6. Tyler Toffoli – Montreal – $7,300

Defense

1. Mattias Ekholm – Nashville – $4,000
2. Nikita Zadorov – Chicago – $2,800
3. Dougie Hamilton – Carolina – $6,800
4. Mark Giordano – Calgary – $6,000
5. Roman Josi – Nashville – $6,900

Goalies

1. Andrei Vasilevskiy – Tampa Bay – $8,500
2. James Reimer – Carolina – $8,200
3. Semyon Varlamov – New York Islanders – $8,300

Top Point Per Dollar Line “DraftKings”

Carolina Power Play One “Sebastian Aho, Andrei Svechnikov, Vincent Trocheck, Dougie Hamilton”

I really hate just how scattered the talent is across the Hurricanes’ three lines. As a result, targeting the power play is the best way to try to grab a number of their best skaters. However, against a team like Detroit, there’s always the possibility of being able to pour it on. All of the aforementioned skaters work well as individual plays and this can be condensed down to a two or three man.

Top Point Per Dollar Line “FanDuel”

Calgary Two “Matthew Tkachuk, Andrew Mangiapane, Mikael Backlund”

We get a discount on the Flames second line against our favorite target, the dreadful Ottawa Senators. If memory serves me correct, the Senators trolled us last time around in this same matchup. This time around, positive regression should kick in.

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